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    1. In the extreme scenario, AI is more productive than humans at the vast majority of knowledge-work tasks. It does nearly all of them autonomously, and it creates essentially no new knowledge tasks for people.

      【数据】极端情景下的具体数据预测:AI将自主完成绝大多数知识工作,几乎不为人创造新的知识任务,这一预测反映了模型对AI能力发展的激进假设,值得验证。