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    1. Additional Distinguishing Information Virginia-Based Firm DAA is headquartered in Vienna, Virginia. We understand the Commonwealth’s regulatory and governance framework for public school divisions, including the Virginia Public Procurement Act and relevant sections of the Code of Virginia governing school operations and closures. Specialized Focus Unlike general-purpose consulting firms that offer redistricting as one service among many, DAA is built specifically around demographic analysis, enrollment forecasting, and school boundary planning. Our methodologies are purpose-built for K-12 applications. Our team understands the particular data quality challenges of school enrollment records. We are attuned to the community dynamics that surround redistricting decisions. And our deliverables are designed for the people who use them — school boards making policy decisions, administrators managing operations, and families trying to understand where their children will go to school. Census Bureau Expertise Two of our three principals are former Census Bureau staff who worked directly on the methods used to produce population estimates and projections for the United States. This gives us an unusually deep understanding of the federal demographic data that forms the foundation of any enrollment projection. We know not just how to use Census, ACS, and other federal data products, but how they are made — their assumptions, their error structures, and where they should and should not be trusted. This is particularly important in the post-2020 environment, where differential privacy and COVID-19 disruptions have introduced data quality challenges that many analysts do not fully appreciate. Collaborative, Not Black-Box We do not disappear for three months and return with a set of recommendations. Our phased methodology is designed so that the district is a partner at every stage — reviewing data, validating assumptions, providing local knowledge, and understanding the tradeoffs before scenarios are finalized. This approach produces better analysis, because local expertise catches things that data alone cannot, and it produces better outcomes, because the district owns the process and its results. Clients Who Come Back Several of our clients have extended their engagements beyond the original scope. Brunswick County Public Schools extended from one year to four. Others have returned for annual updates or new phases of work. We take this as the strongest possible signal that our work delivers value and that districts find us good partners to work with. Data Security and FERPA Compliance This project will require access to geocoded student enrollment records protected under the Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act (FERPA), 20 U.S.C. § 1232g. We take these obligations seriously and have established procedures that meet the requirements of every district we work with. Data Handling All student data will be transmitted via Box.com, an enterprise-grade encrypted file sharing platform that has been approved by multiple school districts for this purpose. Once received, student data is stored on encrypted, access-controlled systems accessible only to project team members. No student data is shared with third parties under any circumstances. All analysis is conducted on secured workstations with current security software and operating system patches. FERPA Compliance Our team has completed FERPA training and maintains current knowledge of student data privacy requirements. We will execute a data sharing agreement with the district that complies with FERPA’s “studies” exception (34 CFR § 99.31(a)(6)). All published reports and maps present data in aggregate form only — no individual student will be identifiable in any deliverable. Student-level records are used solely for geocoding and boundary analysis. Data Destruction Upon project completion or contract termination, we will securely destroy all student-level data in our possession and provide written certification of destruction to the district. Aggregate analytical outputs will be retained only as needed for the contracted deliverables. Staff Training All DAA personnel assigned to this project have received training on student data privacy, including FERPA obligations, data minimization principles, and incident response procedures.

      unless these sections are required, remove them.

    2. nnual enrollment projection updates for subsequent school years ($5,000 per update)

      Ongoing annual updates to enrollment projections and utilization analysis (incorporating development): $10,000 / year.

      As needed boundary analysis support: $4,000 / option (more than 3 options in a year available at a discounted rate).

    3. Craig Eckert Title: Director of Capital Projects and Planning Email: ceckert@bcswan.net (Craig’s preferred method) Phone: (910) 782-5078 Timeline: November 2023 – Present

      Change contact.

    4. Reference 3: Norfolk, MA Public Schools Contact: Dr. Ingrid Allardi Title: Superintendent Email: allardi@norfolk.k12.ma.us Phone: (508) 528-1225 Timeline: February 2024 – May 2024 Scope: Norfolk Public Schools contracted us to develop a ten-year enrollment forecast (2024-2034) by school and grade. Our analysis considered historical enrollment patterns, school choice trends, new construction activity, and migration and birth patterns at both the local and state level.

      Change to Olathe Public Schools.

    5. Additional Deliverables (Beyond the RFP Scope) The following items are not specified as required end products in the RFP, but we typically include them at no additional cost because districts have found them useful for governance, communication, and the years of operations that follow boundary changes. Any of them can be omitted at the district’s preference. Board presentation package for October 8, 2026 — slide deck with scenario summaries, maps, data visualizations, and our analysis of recommended options. We will present in person and remain available for Board questions and discussion. Interactive web-based scenario explorer (similar to our Horseheads CSD work) — a public-facing tool that lets Board members, district staff, and community members compare scenarios side by side and look up individual addresses. Pricing for this option is in the Cost Proposal section. Methodology documentation memo capturing the forecasting and capacity methods used, so the district can re-run or update the analysis in future years. Annual update option — recurring re-projection and boundary-impact monitoring in subsequent years, priced separately.

      Don't talk about this being beyond scope. This is just what we do. No additional price involved.

    6. Project schedule. Phase windows show typical effort distribution; the dashed vertical lines mark RFP-specified milestones (initial roster, updated roster, Round 1 due, district modification requests, Round 2 due, Board presentation, Board vote).

      Make sure the dates in the above figure are readable and don't overlap the colored parts of the chart.

    7. A baseline “do nothing” forecast for BCPS shows where each school is heading by 2030-31 if no boundary changes are made. New London Academy worsens to 107% and Forest Elementary reaches 100%, while most other schools stay near current utilization. The actual Phase 5 deliverable will incorporate the housing-pipeline yield not modeled here — likely pushing eastern schools higher still. Sources: VDOE Fall Membership 2025-26 (actual); Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service, 2026-2030 K-12 Enrollment Projections; BCPS Membership Projections 2024-2029, Table 14 (capacities).

      is this correct? I thought they were declining, not increasing?

    8. Foundation Analysis Scenarios Delivery Phase 0 Kickoff & OnboardingRoles, criteria, data plan Phase 3 Analysis & QATrends, audits, discontinuities Phase 6 Boundary ScenariosTwo rounds, scored against criteria Phase 7 Documentation & PresentationMaps, reports, GIS, board deck Phase 1 Data DiscoveryThree-source data plan Phase 4 Enrollment ForecastingHybrid cohort + housing yield Phase 2 Geographic ProcessingGeocoding, areal interpolation Phase 5 Capacity AnalysisFunctional capacity, dual-year Inputs flow left to right; each phase has decision points where we check in with district staff before proceeding. Detailed phase descriptions follow.

      Do some coloring by phase to make this pop.

    9. The planned closure of Stewartsville Elementary — the district’s oldest operating school, built in 1912 and running at 41% of capacity in 2025-26 — adds both urgency and political sensitivity to this redistricting. The closure is projected to save approximately $1 million per year in operating costs. In March 2026, the Board voted 5-2 to close the school, prompting a community lawsuit that cited procedural requirements under VA Code § 22.1-79(8). Rather than wait for the court’s June ruling, the Board held a new public hearing and voted unanimously to delay closure to the end of 2026-27, launching this division-wide redistricting study at the same time.

      Note that we understand the sensitivity of this project, and the feelings throughout the community on how it is going.

    10. anticipate the planned closure.

      Is it officially closing? I thought part of this process for this RFP was to make sure it should close. Check this in public records -- including those we have downloaded.

    11. [Chris to confirm and add additional K-12 redistricting engagements from the past five years from the broader client list — e.g., North Penn PA, Wake NC, Orange NC. Each should include client name, dates of service, and a 2-3 sentence description of the redistricting scope.]

      Add riverview gardens school district in MO. We helped them choose an elementary school to consolidate, and built redistricting to balance their elementary and middle schools after the closure.

    12. geocoding student enrollment records to precise locations, creating and modifying attendance zone boundary shapefiles, producing high-resolution maps with street-level detail, and performing spatial analysis of enrollment patterns, housing development, and capacity utilization

      add transportation analysis

    13. Name of Company: Demographic Analytics Advisors, LLC Address: 112 Elmar Dr. SE, Vienna, VA 22180 Phone: (509) 432-4117 Main Point of Contact: Christopher Dick, Founder and CEO Email: chris@demoadvisors.com FEIN: 86-1979854 Year and Month of Formation: February 2021 Ownership Interests: Demographic Analytics Advisors, LLC is wholly owned by Christopher Dick State Corporation Commission ID: [SCC ID]

      each of these should be on their own line.

    14. utilization analysis

      in support of school consolidation and redistricting. We will also be writing a best practices paper in redistricting and consolidation for them this summer.

    15. In April 2026 we also published Enrollment Forecasting, Capacity, and Utilization Analysis: Best Practices and an Assessment of Current Models — Olathe Public Schools, a peer-benchmarked review of the exact analytical questions Bedford County faces today: how to measure functional building capacity, how to build a forecast that incorporates the housing pipeline rather than only past enrollment trends, and how to tie utilization analysis to defensible governance decisions

      Olathe is currently undergoing the same discussions as Bedford in terms of closing schools and needing to redistrict. We will bring our expertise from that engagment to this one.