but also with creating not just the possibility but the reality of alternative worlds, alternative futures
There's no point in thinking about the future if you're not going to enact these methods and/or policies
30 Matching Annotations
- Oct 2018
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mikecosgrave.com mikecosgrave.com
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each aspect of the vision needed the other
Democratic system. But this mightn't work all the time. What happens then? Will the institutions who develop policies enact their own vision?
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The necessary steps to achieve the preferred future can then be enacted.
People focused on a long term future can now develop short term policies to get there.
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individuals are interrogated as to the nature of a preferred day in their life in the future
The use of imagination to explore the possible future. In this case is it an anything goes system?
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They also inspire the noble within each person by calling individuals to sacrifice the short term for the longer term, for the greater good.
People working together in order to benefit the masses. This is similar to contemporary green politics. Change our lifestyle and we can attempt to mitigate climate change
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In transformation, the future is narrowed toward the preferred. Which future do individuals desire? Which futures do organizations, cities and nations desire?
Doesn't this require all citizens to agree on the future they want? Is this done through referenda and elections? Or focus groups and think thanks?
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Ministry of Health is crucial. The second differentiation is the level of technology
Should the government be in control, or should the public?
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The “cloud” is a public space; however, for administrative purposes health is organized through upazilas or sub-districts
Open Source debate?
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moving up and down layers, and horizontally across discourses and worldviews, increasing the richness of the analysis
Scenarios such as the financial crash have many layers, and they all need to be studied to get a clear picture
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Each level is true (at its level), internally consistent, and solutions need to be found at each level.
Each level needs to be addressed and worked on in or else you won't be able to achieve synergy. All levels need examination in order to plan the future.
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Levels 1 and 2 are most visible; levels 3 and 4 are broader and deeper and more difficult to identify.
Seems like the most realistic plan in the essay.
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three contrasting positions
All three positions can work together?
We can change how we see the world and using new technologies help change the institutions and the law. For me the three positions seem like a natural progression instead of contrasting positions.
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New futures are more often than not driven by a creative minority. They challenge the notion of a used future. Instead of imitating what everyone else is doing, they innovate. This can be social, political, cultural, spiritual or technological innovation.
Minorities have most to benefit in the future - e.g to escape racism, sexism, homophobia etc
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voters will not reward the leader for solving tomorrow’s problems
We want a good future, but we are not prepared to work for it.
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It also seeks to identify issues before they become unwieldy and expensive, and, of course, to search for new possibilities and opportunities.
Looking at the pass to discover the future? Use of history?
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Strategies can then be articulated as to what is required — greater emphasis on the pull of the future, the weight of the past, or the push of the present
We need to work together regardless of political belief to benefit the future
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At the global macro level, while there are many images of the future, five or so are archetypa
Ideas of the future can be illustrated through politics - populism, eco politics, socialism, Neo-liberalism
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not only as an ecological problem in the third world but relating it to first-world consumption patterns as well
Critique of capitalism
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through examining different national or gender or ethnic images of the future, we gain insight into the human condition
A good future is a relative concept
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place to colonise
Interesting use of language. Privileged institutions shouldn't be the only ones to contribute to the future.
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It does this by asking participants to envision their ideal organisational world and then it aids in creating strategies to realise that world
This must be all inclusive - it must not be spearheaded by a privileged group e.g white upper class male academics.
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is not useful during times of turbulence since incremental policy change does not help the organisation or nation transform to meet dramatic new conditions.
Important! Links back to VUCA world.
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the future is often used to enhance the probability of achieving a certain policy. This is often phrased as “preparing for the future,” or “responding to the challenge of the future.”
This reminds me of VUCA - Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, Ambiguous world. Corporations and governments plan to much when it comes to policy and they think this policy will remain intact. In reality living in a VUCA world this is redundant.
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Through questioning the future, emerging issues analysis, and scenarios, the intention is to move out of the present and create the possibility for new futures
Radical. Can't move forward with certain policies if you want a specific future. You need to tear down these policies and start from scratch.
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more concerned with creating the future than simply predicting it
Its not purely academic, the field itself would be redundant if the idea weren't put into practice.
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in that it attempts to include all types of stakeholders instead of only powerbrokers
The field is open because all of us in some way can help hold the future?
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generation back futures studies placed a far greater emphasis on forecasting
As we can see with political events such as BREXIT and the Trump election future events are getting harder to forecast so the field needs to be more fluid to handle change
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Planning seeks to control and close the future, while futures studies seeks to open up the future, moving from “the” future to alternative futures.
Need to be fluid
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fluid dance of structure (the weights of history) and agency (the capacity to influence the world and create desired futures)
Future studies needs to be flexible in order respond to the needs of both the now and the future.
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predicting the future to mapping alternative futures to shaping desired futures, both at external collective levels and inner individual levels
Changing nature of future studies. Does this change due to factors like climate change?
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