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So, the closest I ever got to being scammed was while I was sleep deprived working on Loop Thesis shortly after leaving Oracle. A door-to-door salesperson came to my apt from one of the 3rd-party energy sourcing companies that are really scummy trying to act like they were from PECO, and they were acting like they were trying to get me through some administrative process that would have moved my PECO account over to them, where presumably they would over-charge me. I was sleep deprived and half delirious and was halfway through the transfer process before I figured out what was going on.
What saved me was a couple of things:
A) they had me call up PECO to start the transfer and when the person on the line asked about stuff, I noticed that they really didn't want her to be on speaker phone while I was answering and asking my own questions. They kept kind of angrily gesturing for me to mute the phone. And it's really hard to manage multiple people in a scam at the same time, especially when one of them is just a random PECO employee.
B) PECO asked questions. They were like "here's the process you're going through", and then I immediately said, "huh, well that doesn't make sense, I thought I was doing Y" and then the scammer was like "don't tell them that!"
C) At the point where I stopped trusting them, I just told them to go away and I would look things up myself and I stopped engaging. I stopped saying "but why would X happen, you said Y, that doesn't make sense." And just said, "no, I'll look this up later, sorry" over and over again until they left.
and that was shortly before I made a policy of just, even if someone makes me think I want something, I still wait 24 hours to do it. But to me, that emphasizes that not having a situation be in control of the scammer is important. If I lived with anyone else, getting them on the line would have blocked the scam. The PECO person asking any questions at all could block the scam. Being like "there is never a legitimate reason for you to stand next to me and coach me while I do a thing" would block the scam.
My point being, you don't actually need to know what's real and what's not, that's not the defense against scams. The defense against scams is:
A) Not letting them start the conversation -- ie, you always call back, schedule an apt, write an email.
B) Not letting them control the conversation -- ie, you always have someone else there, you always research without them present, you always force them to use a medium like text, you never let them stay on the line for too long or walk you through things step-by-step.
C) Not making impulse decisions period -- you have a universal policy that you wait before you do a thing, because then you have moments of clarity while you're waiting. And you never break that policy even when it seems like you should, because the whole point is that you don't trust yourself to know when to break the policy.
And I really genuinely believe those steps will work in many cases regardless of how savvy someone is or isn't, and it feels like the approach to scammers right now is that we tell people to just be smarter, and it's like saying "why are people dying in cars? Should we add airbags and make people use turn signals or should we just yell 'be more aware' at them?"