- Jul 2016
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www.foxnews.com www.foxnews.com
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Moody's Investors Service downgraded the U.K. outlook from "stable" to "negative." The referendum result, it said, "will herald a prolonged period of uncertainty for the UK, with negative implications for the country's medium-term growth outlook."
The news source is providing negative feedback as well. It is true that there is period of uncertainty for the UK. However, it may not result with negative implications. The investors are still getting into agreements as pound plunge has resulted in reduced deal value.
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The pound plunged to its lowest level in over 30 years on Friday, raising concerns about price inflation, and shares in the U.K.'s biggest banks and real estate builders posted double-digit declines as economists predicted the country would fall into recession.
This news channel is stating the facts and the predictions by economists. The pound has plunged and economists are anticipating a recession is known to all. However, there is no analysis done as what could be the impact on the investments and the revenues earned by the investors post Brexit.
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But Driffield said that while the cheap sterling makes U.K. assets look cheap, potential buyers will also need to think about the fall in real expected revenues. "In times of uncertainty -- and I think we can all agree we are living in one of those now -- the fall in real expected revenue dominates, and we see a decline in FDI," he said.
Here comes the real picture. The investment has gone down due to uncertainty that prevails. The investors are also expecting a fall in the expected revenues. The liberal news channel has presented a clear picture in front of the reader.
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In dollar terms, the deal comes with a hefty discount. It was worth $1.38 billion three weeks ago, on the day of the U.K. referendum. But after the fall in the value of the pound, the deal is now worth $1.2 billion.
The news source is making mention of all the deals that occurred after the U.K. referendum and how those deals became cheaper due to fall in the pound.
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But data from research firm Dealogic show the number of deals announced after the referendum on June 23 has fallen 45% compared to the same period last year. The total value of deals announced since the referendum stood at $4.5 billion compared to the $9.1 billion at the same time last year, Dealogic said.
The readers are told exact situation with statistical evidence. The liberal news channel is not trying to hide information and putting forth the exact situation of the investments and deals happening after Brexit. The impact of Brexit cannot be ignored as the number of deals have fallen by 45% as compared to the last year.
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www.wsj.com www.wsj.com
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The U.K. would have to accept most EU rules without having any input into them, pay into the EU budget, and accept free movement of people from other EU countries, or at least a large measure of it.
The EU will remain adamant, since UK has always received more than it's just share. Question of hurt pride maybe. Through the mist, another ex-Yugoslavia scenario with non-english ethnias braking away is sensed, plus North and South England parting like Sudan. After that each entity can apply for EU membership again in a future.
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The smoothest exit from the EU—and the one that would entail the least economic disruption, according to numerous economic models—would be for the U.K. to join the European Economic Area, along with Norway. I
Every country ends up making the best decisions for itself. Pan-European policies have been a failure (given that the average annual growth rate of the EU for the past 40 years is a dismal 0.5%). Small governments over people of the same identity (and feeling of belonging) is the best approach. As an example of the above, giving the Greeks the credit rating of Germans proved to be disastrous. Germans need high quality credit to build those expensive factories and those magnificent cars. Greece is a place where Europeans go to party. Giving Greeks access to all that money simply resulted in the money being wasted and Greece going belly up. Because Greece does not need huge amounts of money to build new taverns.
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there is a risk they become further disaffected
The main reason for the UK leaving is that the EU (which started as the European Coal and Steel Community in 1951) has grown far beyond its original charter as a trading community. The original intent of the Euro was common standards and free movement of goods and services within Europe. Very few of its current member states envisaged the EU as it is today almost at the stage of becoming a formal empire with flag and national anthem. More importantly, almost all the legislation passed in its member states are rubber stamps of EU directives. No one in Brussels gets elected by the people in the countries they govern. It's a nice cozy circle of pals mainly backed by German and French politicians.
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A majority appeared to be motivated by very different concerns: that the U.K.’s openness, particularly to immigration from elsewhere in the EU, was depressing wages, damaging job prospects and putting pressure on public services.
The EU has given Europe 50plus years of peace, prosperity and progress. The UK is still a relevant vital part of Europe.the UK parliament opposes Brexit. The best outcome for the UK and Europe now would be for the UK to have a 2nd referendum. This would ensure if this drastic action is actually what the people want. On EU referendums the Danes have done this, the Irish have done this, and the UK have an opportunity to do this now. They should take it.
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A minority of Brexit advocates, like Messrs. Gove and Johnson, depicted the EU as an obstacle to a more freewheeling, buccaneering, open-market economy.
The Brexit campaign was based on lies, with no actual idea of plan on what to do if the Brexit proposal was passed. The net result of going through with an actual UK exit is a weaker UK, with less to little political influence in Europe, a weaker EU with a centre of power moving further East, a massive market correction in the UK, a likely recession and a potential potential.
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Stephen Fidler
Stephen Fidler has been Brussels Editor of The Wall Street Journal and Dow Jones Newswires since October 2009. He runs a bureau of 11 journalists and leads coverage from Brussels of the European Union and the euro zone as well as the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. He writes a regular column and was part of a team of Journal reporters named as a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize in 2011 for their reporting on the euro-zone debt crisis.
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www.economist.com www.economist.com
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A third issue is that globalisation means that business is conducted through “value chains”, in which products are assembled or distributed in many markets.
EU has been blind to the situation of immigration in the UK, and this has been a huge mistake on the part of the EU. When 55% of the population in the capital of the UK is not of British origin (whatever the passport is), you clearly have reached a limit. The day 55% of Berliners are not German or 55% of Romans are not Italian you will see an even stronger reaction. The EU should have acknowledged the peculiar situation of the UK (historical immigration plus fresh immigration from the EU plus fresh immigration from the rest of the world) and granted the country a special status with regard to freedom of movement within the Union. And we know very well that enabling the citizens of East European countries whose per capita GDP was half that of the West to move freely across the continent was a big blunder, and a demonstration that the EU sometimes defends more the interests of large entrepreneurs who need cheap labor than the interests of citizens.
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Britain could become more open to international investment outside the EU; a kind of Singapore of Europe. However, as this blog pointed out before the vote, this camp sat uneasily with the more nativist, anti-globalisation and anti-immigration side of the campaign.
What has happened now, particularly in non-London England is very distressing. It is understandable that in some towns and cities that people have been left behind and there is a lot of real poverty. That did not apply to prosperous towns in the Home Counties.Something very ugly is happening in England. Perhaps it was always there, lurking, and the referendum has opened the box. People in the prosperous counties such as Essex and Herts voted in great swathes for Leave. These areas don't have a mass immigration or suffer from major crises. There was broadly an inverse relationship between those voting Brexit and the immigration numbers.
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currency depreciation can be a very useful tool for countries when they have become locked in to an overvalued exchange rate.
British manufacturing relies heavily on imported components and commodities, and the price of those just jumped. The effect of exchange rates on exports is often exaggerated. Much British manufacturing, such as cars, is here because manufacturing them in the EU wins EU subsidies and tax breaks. Not any more. Manufacturers wanting to serve the EU market will not be making them in Britain any more, the same goes for other goods. Finally, tariffs on manufactured good, most of which get sold to the EU, are only going to go up. There will be some winners and some losers in manufacturing out of this but it's by no means a simple win.
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THE pound has been the biggest post-Brexit casualty in the financial markets. It has fallen from almost $1.50 to around $1.30 against the dollar; less so against the euro which itself has been dragged down by Brexit worries.
The pound falling, credit rating declines, short-term balance of payment issues and interest rate increases are expected results. At this point, fearful readers seem to be looking only at these short-term effects and panicking. If the new government acts decisively takes a firm path towards a dynamic economy, the pains should be limited to the short-to-medium-term and Scotland and Ireland would be very receptive to staying within the UK if and only if the UK demonstrates that it can quickly reboot its economy.
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Buttonwood
Buttonwood columnist considers the ever-changing financial markets. Brokerage was once conducted under a buttonwood tree on Wall Street.
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www.economist.com www.economist.com
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The big question is how this news will affect retail investors elsewhere.
Brexit is going to have a huge impact (I pray to god not only negative effects) for people further Europe borders. It seems that Britain it is not the only country in the world where old people is deciding the younger generations' future pushing them over their limits. London's financial markets are the primary clearing house for Euro/USD transactions. There is absolutely no good reason for the EU to permit this business to remain outside of its borders where member states cannot benefit from the profits and taxes of this business. We can presume that no matter how nice Britain is to its former partner that this industry will be moving. EU cities are already lining up to be the new home for Euro/USD clearing.
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Commercial property values have come under pressure since the referendum result
British manufacturing relies heavily on imported components and commodities, and the price of those just jumped. The effect of exchange rates on exports is often exaggerated. Much British manufacturing, such as cars, is here because manufacturing them in the EU wins EU subsidies and tax breaks. Not any more. Manufacturers wanting to serve the EU market will not be making them in Britain any more, the same goes for other goods. Finally, tariffs on our manufactured good, most of which get sold to the EU, are only going to go up.
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But investor concerns have shown up in another market - property
Britain has initiated a hostile divorce between itself and the EU, and all the niceties said by Britain will not make the hurt feelings, or the opportunism, of the EU go away. Britain may not enjoy many aspects of the EU. External regulations, external laws, immigration, glacial progress on freer markets and trade, endless discussions and a system where a few minorities can upend years of negotiations. And a net cost of 135bn pounds a week. It was, however, the required ticket for many of Britain's most lucrative industries to have access to the EU, and it turns out that access is a requirement for them to stay in Britain. Banking and insurance for example are heavily concentrated in the financial capital of Europe, London. This industry provides 60Bn in tax income a year, or 8.5 times the net cost of Britain's cost being part of the EU. It is also an industry which does not have any particular barriers to moving in relatively short order to a new location.
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financial markets had quietened down in the wake of the shock referendum result
Richard Branson has said that his company has lost about a third of its value because of the plunging stock market caused by the Brexit vote on Friday -- global stocks have lost a record £2.25 trillion.
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Buttonwood
Buttonwood columnist considers the ever-changing financial markets. Brokerage was once conducted under a buttonwood tree on Wall Street
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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It was building for the future, and the future has arrived. Amazon doesn’t have to seduce customers with a deal because they’re going to buy anyway.”
This is how, Amazon has earned brand recognition. Now, Amazon has loyal customers, who will not go anywhere else and would purchase from Amazon regardless of attractive deals available or not. So, this is the time to encash the built reputation.
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Amazon wants to be so deeply embedded in a customer’s life that buying happens as naturally as breathing, and nearly as often.
Amazon wants to become an integral part of daily routine of the customers. Hence, the company is changing tactics and strategies in order to be successful without compromising with the profit margin.
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The retailer built a reputation and hit $100 billion in annual revenue by offering deals. The first thing a potential customer saw was a bargain:
The competition is high and it coaxed all the companies to provide huge discounts in order to lure people. The customers were sharp and made purchases on the basis of discount percentage given.
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Her calculation is that she will be dealing with a Republican Party that is deeply fractured and demoralized after the defeat of Mr. Trump,
This suggests over-confidence about winning the presidential elections. She has planned everything well in advance.
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Mrs. Clinton’s 100 days that she would look to push issues that might be broadly popular, like infrastructure jobs and a breakthrough on immigration.
Hilary Clinton is too focused and her first 100 days plan clearly proves this. She has thought of all the issues and problems that need to be addressed with immediate attention.
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Mrs. Clinton thinks she would be a better dealmaker than President Obama if she finds willing partners on the other side
The expectations of Mrs. Clinton are highlighted. However, the remark may not be taken in a good light by Mr. Obama and his office bearers. This could also be taken as comparison and putting down the other person.
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Deeply confident that she would perform better as the president than as a political candidate, Mrs. Clinton wants to pursue a whole new approach at the White House to try to break through years of partisan gridlock, according to a dozen campaign advisers and allies who described her goals and outlook.
The confidence and charisma of Mrs. Clinton is unparalleled. She is dynamic and wants to prove her mettle after becoming the president of the United States.
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In her first 100 days, she would also tap women to make up half of her cabinet in hopes of bringing a new tone and collaborative sensibility to Washington
This is an agenda for the presidential campaign by Hilary Clinton. She is inclined to give more power to women in order to bring equity in the best possible form.
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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As the United States and its allies uproot the Islamic State in Syria and Iraq, its supporters may turn to terrorism wherever they are, many terrorism experts believe.
This is a serious concern. Some steps to curb and control terrorism may give rise to terrorism in future. Hence, all the steps should be chosen carefully.
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The classified counterterrorism drone campaign, he said, has targeted other groups, notably Al Qaeda’s old core in Pakistan, its branch in Yemen and the Shabab in Somalia.
This is in connection with 9/11 attacks. Al Qaeda was held responsible then for terrorism and attacks in the United States.
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But I don’t feel like we have enough information to analyze whether this tactic is working and helping us achieve larger strategic aims.”
This statement suggests ambiguity that even government personnel are facing due to terrorism. There is lack of information with the government. Transparency is the need of the hour along with accurate information.
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The United States could kill just the small number of dangerous terrorists it wanted to kill, leaving nearby civilians unharmed.
This suggests how careful United States is. Even after severe attack, the focus of the country is to cause no harm to the civilians living nearby due to terrorism attacks and defense.
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genius.com genius.com
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Summer says she has no dog in this fight, she’s got no opinions on Adnan’s guilt or innocence. She just knows what she knows.
Summer's statements can be trusted and sounds convincing. She is not biased to any side and has nothing to do with Adnan. Summer is just sharing the information, which seems like a fact. She was with Hae at school around 2:30 or 2:45 suggests that Hae was alive that time and 2:36 call cannot be about Hae's murder. This is very convincing and clarifies that Jay is lying. There are two evidences now- one is that there is no pay phone near the Best Busy, and second that Hae was alive that time.
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I used to steal CDs from there all the time, so I was pretty aware of what was around.
Laura's statement about her stealing CD's suggest that she must have been proactive and is aware of all the corners of the Best Buy. Here, Laura's statement is credible (ethos). This is because; any person trying to steal from store would doubly check for all the phones is and around the store. I am convinced with Laura's statement of not having any phone booth or pay phone around.
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The pay phone in question is important because Jay tells the detectives that Adnan called him on January 13, 1999 and told Jay he’d killed Hae. “Come and get me, I’m at Best Buy.” When Jay gets there he says he sees Adnan standing by the phone booth wearing red gloves.
This is a very important piece of information. This can prove that Adnan is innocent and cannot be held guilty for Hae's murder. Koenig is using logs here. It is logical that Jay lied because Jay has clearly used the name 'Best Buy'; but when there is no pay phone or phone booth there; then Adnan could not have called Jay from there. This is very convincing and can be a crucial evidence in Adnan's favor.
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- Jun 2016
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www.wsj.com www.wsj.com
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Spain’s IBEX 35 fell just 1% after Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy’s Popular Party did better than expected in national elections Sunday.
I really want to know the connection of Spain's improvement with that of 'Brexit'. Though, the losses are really high in all the European countries. This looks like a mystery.
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Today’s market reaction suggests that Brexit could be more a local rather than globally systemic event
This is not convincing. The effect of 'Brexit' is clearly visible all over the world. The stock exchanges of all the countries have fallen flat. In the long run, it could be possible that impact would be more local.
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Brexit is an event which will have long-lasting adverse repercussions for the markets, in particular for the eurozone,”
The appeal used here is logos. This is convincing as the impact on the markets in eurozone would be long lasting. Also, the strategist at J.P. Morgan Cazenove must have analyzed the market before making such statements.
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everyone’s very worst fear of what might happen five years from now is instantly brought forward
The story is particularly written keeping in mind the investors. The investors in the stock market are the worst affected due to 'Brexit'.
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The aftershocks of the U.K.’s vote to leave the European Union continued to ripple through financial markets Monday, deepening a rout in bank shares and sending the British pound to a three-decade low.
This story has created ripples all over. 'Brexit' has resulted in crashing of stock markets across the world.
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If the police are at her house, you know, if her mother, actually, you know for, for whatever reason, if she didn’t, you know she didn’t go home or she went somewhere else. In no way did I associate this call with being, you know, umm the beginning of you know, of this whole horrible thing.
This text suggests that Adnan is not confident. He is trying to hide something and at the same time he wants to emphasize on something, which he himself does not believe. His language and usage of 'you now' so many times suggest that he is not confident and in a panicky state.
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Oh no, uh, I do remember that phone call and I do remember being high at the time because the craziest thing is to be high and have the police call your phone. I’ll never forget that.
Adnan seems to be in lighter mood when he says that the craziest thing is to be high and have the police call at your phone. This can be possible in the case that he is carefree and has no fear as he knows that he is innocent.
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Over the past few weeks, I’ve been holding up bits of evidence here and there that look bad for Adnan. Today, I’m just going to lay out the rest.
Sarah is changing strategy here. Till now she was trying to prove Adnan innocent. But, now she is tying to flip the other side of the coin too. She just wants to weigh all the pros and cons before reaching any conclusion.
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One page was ripped out from the map. At trial they pointed out that it was the page that showed Leakin Park.
This line suggests that Adnan is guilty and this was used to prove the same in the court. However, this page could have ripped up earlier or it could be a coincidence too.
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The most incriminating piece of physical evidence against Adnan Syed was a fingerprint, or rather, a palm print.
Sarah Koeing, the writer seems to be doubtful about this piece of evidence, and it is clear in the way she writes it here.
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genius.com genius.com
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I've had to ask about teenagers' sex lives, where, how often, with whom, about notes they passed in class, about their drug habits, their relationships with their parents.
This is how she begins introduction to the podcast. Here, Sarah is trying to brief audience about what all can be expected in the podcast episode.
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And I'm not a detective or a private investigator. I've not even a crime reporter.
Sarah suggests that she is doing this out of curiosity to understand about the missing high school girl; and this is not her profession.
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The cause of death was manual strangulation, meaning someone did it with their hands.
This is very crucial information to resolve the case.
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Adnan was born in the US, but his parents are from Pakistan. And they're conservative Muslims-- no drinking, no smoking, no girls, all that
This goes against the verdict where Adnan is convicted.
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By the time I left Rabia's office that first day, I understood only one thing clearly, though maybe not the thing Rabia and Saad wanted me to understand. But what I took away from the visit was, somebody is lying here
Sarah could figure out that the case is not that simple. There is a big mystery and lot is being hidden.
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In the picture Jay drew, it's cold. I mean, he's not describing a crime of passion here.
It is clear that Jay has cooked a story and the fact is still not revealed.
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No one ever has been able to provide any shred of evidence that I had anything but friendship toward her, like love and respect for her. That's at the end of the day, man. The only thing I can ever say is, man, I had no reason to kill her.
Adnan clearly proves his point and innocence here.
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But then he mentions that there was this one girl, an alibi girl.
This is the major turning point in the case. The alibi girl appeared to give another dimension to the case. Asia McClain was never spoken about earlier. this suggests that her name was kept hidden deliberately because there is a group of people behind who wanted Adnan to get arrested for Hae's murder. They could do so only on the basis of their breakup and alleged love affair. Hence name of Asia McClain was never mentioned.
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colostate.instructure.com colostate.instructure.com
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Hussain Alabdullah
Alabdullah Hussain ehussain
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