193 Matching Annotations
  1. Nov 2022
    1. External validity refers to how the “inferences drawn from a given study’s sampleapply to a broader population or other target populations”

      Definition of external validity

    2. The GRD includes all countries in sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, and thecombined Middle East and North Africa region, as well as additional set ofnon-random Asian and European countries. We thus estimate separate models foreach region as well as a pooled model combining all countries across all regions.

      The GRD takes many regions of the world into account (strength of research)

    3. The GRD documents the spatial location (i.e., latitudeand longitude) and values of individual natural resource extraction sites and pro-duction facilities from 1994 to 2015. Each row in the dataset provides informationfor a single production location of a resource in a single year—i.e., a location-year.For each site or facility, the dataset records the resource, location, output,country-specific and global prices, as well as many other attributes.

      Description of GRD

    4. Notably, across all of our models, we find that resources are negatively associatedwith conflict in Latin America, suggesting heterogeneity of effects worth futureexploration.

      What are some possible reasons for this relationship?

    5. We find that sub-national resource wealth is associatedwith higher levels of conflict using some specifications, though the results vary widelyby data source and world region. Using an instrumental variables strategy lends thestrongest support to this positive relationship, but only for African countries.

      Resource curse is currently affecting African countries

    1. Future research could examine whether climate changecould act as a threat multiplier also for interstate conflict in the Arctic.

      Suggestion for future research

    2. How is climate change linked to conflict? There exist two potential pathways. The first one viewsclimate as affecting the likelihood of conflict via direct physiological and/or psychological factorsand resource scarcity. The second postulates that climate indirectly leads to conflict by reducingeconomic output and agricultural incomes, raising food prices, and increasing migration flows.Whether climate directly or indirectly affects conflict, however, depends on socioeconomic andpolitical factors that condition (intensify or weaken) the effect.

      Major ideas

    1. This survey question is considered an alternative measure of climate change acceptance;those who said storms were staying the same or getting less severe were considered to be climate changeskeptics.

      Seems like an oversimplified way of identifying climate change skeptics.. It's possible that people are not aware that climate change causes the severity of storms to increase

    2. In the United States,Republicans, in particular, have expressed skepticism about thethreat posed by climate change. Is this skepticism reduced bydirect experience with severe weather events?

      Research question

    3. Severe weather events have the potential to mod-erate climate change skepticism in the United States but notamong the most engaged, dedicated partisans.

      Important conclusion

    4. However, among highly educated and motivated Republicanvoters, experience with Hurricane Florence was associated withincreased skepticism about climate change.

      How does this trend happen? If these are highly educated Republican voters who have experience with hurricanes, why are they skeptical about climate change?

  2. Oct 2022
    1. A further claim within the literature is that poverty is the principal underlying causeof civil war. Whilst this is highly plausible, our contention here is that scholars have yet toadequately demonstrate that this is indeed the case, largely because they have failed to satis-factorily tease out the directionality within the poverty and conflict relationship.

      I think this criticism of the claim about poverty and civil war makes sense

    1. checks on executive power create a sit-uation where rebels need not maintain militias and the threat of violence to holdpolitical elites in line.

      4

    2. strong political and legal institutionshelp incumbent elites credibly commit to the political terms of a peace settlement,making lasting bargains more likely.

      3

    1. In the inter-ests of global peace, security, and progress, our own generation should, at least,revisit these issues seriously and apply corrective measures. It is, indeed, imper-ative that the BRIC countries should also not forget their own past relationswith the western colonial powers regarding what is seen by many as their pred-atory exploits in the Global South.

      Author's call to action

    2. neocolonialism is inevitable, giventhe structure of colonial institutions that were intended to foster dependency,a reality that undermines the sovereignty of the states concerned ab initio; thatneocolonialism is resilient because of its ability to change its tactics to achieveits ends; that neocolonialism cannot operate effectively without the coopera-tion of the indigenous leaders; and that its proponents and opponents aliketend to adopt extreme positions.

      Something we could discuss in class

    3. many would agree with Watson: “I argue . . . thatevidence of development as a form of neocolonialism may be etched rightinto the ‘colonial bodies’ of many of today’s aid workers.”

      What does this mean exactly?

    4. “neocolonialism is also the worst form of imperialism” because“those who practice it” exercise “power without responsibility and for those whosuffer from it, it means exploitation without redress.

      Something we could discuss in class.. Is this true?

    5. “By neocolonialism we mean the practice of granting a sort of inde-pendence with the concealed intention of making the liberated country a client-state, and controlling it effectively by means other than political ones.”

      Another definition for neocolonialism

    6. neocolonialism (including its practical operation), far from being dead, is aliveand well and that if politicians sweep the subject under the carpet, dire conse-quences may follow

      Author's claim

    1. The best way of learning to be anindependent sovereign state is to be an independent sovereign state’

      Could discuss this in class.. Is it a valid statement?

    2. The compensations of monetary unions such as found in the CFA zone are significantonly when intraregional trade is relatively large. This is not the case in either CFA zones.

      Important takeaway

    3. CEMAC has the lowestproportion of intra-regional trade in Africa, at just 2.1% in 2014, while UEMOA’s intra-regionaltrade has stagnated.

      Seems that CFA zones are not benefiting from the supposed advantages of the currency system

    4. reduction in transaction costs, in that the expenses involved in exchanging currencies areaverted as a unitary currency is employed for all intraregional commerce

      Advantage of CFA zone as currency area (#1)

    5. Yet within this system is an in-built rationale within CFA to ensure theunderdevelopment of the African economies, lest their economic size become too unwieldyfor France to oversee

      An important similarity between colonialism and neocolonialism

    6. This devaluation was unilaterally announced by Paris with no consultationwhatsoever with African leaders.

      Indicative of relationship between Parisian and African leaders

    7. the two CFA currencies were (andcontinue to be) set at an unreasonably high level, which limited the price competitiveness ofexports onto global world markets (except when these exports went to the French market)

      This seems highly unethical

    8. hus new currencies were established in French ter-ritories overseas to both protect them from the devaluation and, crucially, to facilitate exportsto France to help Paris rebuild the country after the war,32 with Paris using the institutionalarrangements to maintain their ‘right’ to African natural resources.

      Reasons for creation of CFA

    9. CFA is the common name for the twocurrencies circulating in the 14 member countries of the zone, which is made up two eco-nomic communities.

      Explanation of what "CFA" refers to

    10. the presence of French troops stationed in various military bases acrossthe continent, as well as numerous French military advisers attached to African armies insenior advisory roles

      2

    11. The result of such arrangements in much of Francophone Africa has been continuedunderdevelopment, understood here as the increasing loss by a society over control of itsown future; the emergence of structures of external dependency in the economy; net trans-fers of resources and national wealth to foreigners; a growing gap between the dominatedand dominant nations vis-à-vis technology, life chances and living standards and the con-solidation of a domestic social structure whereby local elites benefit while the majority donot

      Effects of neocolonialism on African states

    12. , most of Francophone Africa continues to beembedded in a set of associations that fit well with Kwame Nkrumah’s description of neo-colonialism, whereby ‘the State which is subject to it is, in theory, independent and has allthe outward trappings of international sovereignty.

      Interesting how states appear sovereign but are actually subject to neocolonialism

    1. Karmon (2013) has researched and writes how Iran spawned Hezbollah andhow it remains its chief financial and ideological sponsor across the globe. Hedetails how its regime is inseparable from Hezbollah. Not one African countrylists Hezbollah as a terrorist entity. This, he explains, is because African countriesthat continue to welcome Hezbollah or Iran owe them their survival because ofmilitary support. Hezbollah, therefore, could and does use West Africa as alaunching pad for its narcotics trade into Europe, and this has consequences on theEU process to clamp down on terrorism.

      Important information on how Iran is a neo-colonial power

    2. Gaining popular support within the Muslim communities of Africa, and byexpanding Africa’s Shiite communities would in Iran’s view influence favourablythe policies of African governments toward Iran, provide Iran with a source offinancial and manpower support and a network and routes for logistical, financialand human support to groups they organise and support in the Middle East

      Reasons for Iran to engage in neo-colonialism

    3. in neo-colonialism, themaintenance and expansion of established social institutions, including religiousmeans, direct colonial rule is not necessary because the economic and socialsituations, including religious relations of dependency and control ensure bothcaptive labour as well as markets for European industry as well as goods

      Is this a valid thought? Something worth discussing in class

    4. Fanon saw the exploitative tendencies of Western countries as inherent to theircapitalist nature but blamed the African petty bourgeoisie, which had receivedpolitical power from the exiting colonial government, as the primary cause ofneo-colonialism in Africa.

      Alternate perspective on causal mechanisms for neo-colonialism in Africa

    5. designed to keep African countries within the capitalist camp

      Interesting how the United States claims to become involved in foreign affairs for the benefit of others but benefits most of all from intervening in these situations

    6. It did not happen because the formercolonies were still economically dependent upon their former colonial masters, whoprevented them from developing.

      Again goes back to the idea that underdevelopment is an issue stemming from colonialism and neo-colonialism

    7. other countries (the dependent) can only develop asa reflection of this expansion

      I think this is an insightful and unique explanation of neo-colonialism

    8. The profit realized was ploughed into their ownEuropean economy and society to transform the European continent into themanufacturing centre of the world

      Could this be a major reason for the economic divide between different regions of the world?

    9. European states legitimized each other’s colonial endeavours, at the Berlinconference 13 November 1884–26 February 1885, without African participationor representation.

      Marks the height of colonial activity

    10. Iran and Turkey have not occupied African territories and raised their flags, sothey are not neo-imperialist, but they have compromised the governance ofAfrican states.

      Highlights the difference between neo-imperialism and neo-colonialism

    11. It is the intent of thisarticle to show that Africa is suffering from neo-colonialism for the same reasonsthat it suffered from colonialism.

      Main takeaway

    1. freedom to decide how to spend resources is essential for effectivepro-poor decentralisation

      Countries must risk potential corruption in order to undergo effective pro-poor decentralization

    2. All of the negative performers are characterised by extremely limitedfinancial resources, that is to say, limited (or tied) transfers and limited or no localtax-raising powers.

      Another important trend to remember

    3. decentralisation should be accompanied by complementarymeasures such as investment in education or the promotion of land reform

      Are there other things that should accompany decentralization for the process to have the greatest pro-poor impact possible?

    4. Common to negative performers is theconsiderable lack of pre-existing local human capacity and very little support fromthe central state in favour of training during reform.

      This trend is to be expected

    5. In negatively performingcountries, decentralisation is often seen as part of a patrimonial agenda aimed atpreserving the monopoly of power and ensuring control over resources.

      Interesting how a country performing negatively or positively in the process of decentralization may predict whether that country will turn away from or toward democracy

    6. there is noexample of the non-occurrence of elite capture or corruption across all nine casestudies.

      This is surprising.. something worth talking about in class

    7. Allpositive and rather positive performers believed in the benefits of decentrali-sation and were committed to delegating powers and responsibilities.

      Important finding

    8. all negative performers are least developed countries(LLDCs) while most of the positive performers are middle-income countrie

      Why does this trend occur?

    9. The comparison of these nine case studies suggests that there is a link betweendecentralisation and poverty; nonetheless this is quite complex.

      Major takeaway

    10. In some cases thedecentralisation process has changed considerably since the publication of thesearticles potentially leading to quite different poverty outcomes. Second, it ispossible that not all of the peer-reviewed articles available have been found so thereported evidence might not give the full picture. Third, the use of differentmethodologies/conceptual and analytical frameworks by the selected authorspartially limits cross-country comparisons

      Limitations (makes paper more credible because authors address potential flaws in their evaluation)

    11. The countries selected are thus countries where decentralisationhas taken place and for which evidence on the impact of the reform on povertyhas been collected.

      Any selection bias here? Does it make sense to include this group of countries in the evaluation?

    12. there are opportunities for an increase intransparency and thus for a reduction in corruption and an overall improvement inlocal governance

      I think this line of reasoning makes sense

    13. The relationship between decentralisation and poverty is quite complex anddepends on the specific definition of both terms.

      Seems like a conditional relationship (cannot be proven or observed under any circumstances, must be evaluated through a certain lens or using specific definitions)

    14. These legal entities have a wideautonomy in decision making.

      "Devolution" implies greater overall autonomy and existence of separate legal entities

    15. deepening the democratic nature of the country’sinstitutions

      Does decentralization potentially play a role in the development of democracy? Is it a factor that researchers should consider?

    16. First, in an environment where the central statebarely fulfils basic functions and is not interested in giving power andresources to local tiers of government, decentralisation should not be apriority for donors as it could be rather counter-productive. Second, incountries that fulfil basic prerequisites, decentralisation could be apowerful tool for poverty reduction.

      Conflicting findings (relationship between decentralization and poverty level may depend on political context)

    1. It would be naïve to consider our contemporary world as free from ethnocentrism.

      Definite strength of this article is that it tries to avoid traditional eurocentric viewpoint

    2. majorityethnic groups in high-income nations might be seen as superior to majority ethnic groups inlow-income nations

      I agree with Kellecioglu that this phenomenon exists

    3. Western Europeans where more racist and powerful thanbefore, when, at the end of the nineteenth century, they also embarked on the politicalinvasion of the sub-continent

      I like how Kellecioglu looks at historical, social, and political factors together

    4. ontemporary differences in GDP per capita levels werereached through an ethnically excluding technology-driven economic development

      Important takeaway

    5. the correlation between GDP levels and ethnicity at the internationalmacro level exist primarily because it happened to be lighter ethnic groups of western Europethat were the colonisers, while it happened to be darker ethnic groups of Sub-Saharan Africathat where the enslaved ones

      Explains effect of colonialism on present-day distribution of global wealth

    6. the systematic direction is that thelighter a country, the higher the probability of that country having a higher economic level.

      Important relationship between morphological traits and economic level

    7. Duringoppression times, people where hindered in developing their societies, and were instead keptbusy in the colonial apparatus, and/or where involved in emancipation struggles.

      Decolonization was an entirely new struggle that took countries away from the economic sphere to the political sphere in an attempt to repair the damage done by European colonial powers

    8. many ethnic groups where forcefully divided and then compelled to sustain life in a made-upnation under foreign rule that also included many other ethnic groups who in turn had differentcultures and languages

      Are European countries partially responsible for ethnic conflict and political instability in Africa?

    9. It is not a coincidence that industrial creativity emerged in Britain and spread to other westernEuropean nations first. Higher economic levels are interlinked with higher technical and socialdevelopment

      Suggests that economic success and industrialization / technological development go hand in hand

    10. Before that time economiclevels between various regions of the world where practically equal, particularly over longertime period

      Is this true? I know that some African societies throughout history were extremely wealthy in comparison to other societies around the world at the time.

    11. These perceptions in particularmust have laid the foundations for the orderly colour-coded racism in Western Europe andtheir settlement nations.

      Unique set of circumstances led European countries to become imperialists (conditions that most likely never occurred at the same time before and created a window of opportunity)

    12. this means European colonizers are not particularly vicious or intelligent, sinceevery set of ethnic groups have been involved in colonial endeavour. In parallel, colonisedpeople are not particularly kind or less intelligent, since every set of ethnic groups has beensubject to colonial rule.

      Kellecioglu, unlike North, turns away from racist thinking to explain why European countries were more economically successful than other regions of the world as imperialists

    13. Note also that while Group 1 consists of eight percent of world population, they have24 percent of total world current GDP - three times their populace fraction.

      Visible wealth inequality between ethnic groups

    14. since the comparative GDP per capita levels follow the samepattern for recent decades, there is no reason to extend the time period.

      Still a good idea to "repeat trials" and have abundant evidence that the hypothesis is correct

    15. Instead we are interested in capturing the direction ofeconomic inequalities and understanding the approximate magnitude of these inequalities atthe global macro level.

      Drawback is not as much of a drawback as it first appears

    16. Now the claim is that there is a significant worldwide correlation betweennuances of human morphological traits and economic levels.

      Revised hypothesis

    17. Thecentral argument is that natural endowments are economic rents, which can lead to rampantrent-seeking activities when abundance prevails.

      Resource curse argument

    18. But the argument isbased on a static view of culture. Historically, culture must be one of the most dynamicaspects in human societies.

      Kellecioglu quickly invalidates North's perspective and points out flaws in that line of thinking

    19. One line of argument emphasizes different cultural mentalities as explanation ofdifferent cultural, political, economical, and societal outcomes

      Connects back to North's paper, which is deeply flawed and has racist undertones

    20. some of the most obvious explanatory variables of low levels of GDPper capita for a country are low levels of investment, technology and education. Thesecharacteristics are, in turn, explained by other features such as corrupt leadership, civil wars,poor infrastructures, and poor health care facilities.

      Other factors that play a role in how wealthy a country is

    21. The expectation is that ethnic polarizations at national levels also have significanceat the global macro level. The hypothesis is that there is a systematic correlation between theethnicity a country represents and sustained economic levels

      Author's hypothesis

    1. we do notknow how to put in place the formal rules of the game accompaniedby the informal rules and enforcement characteristics that arenecessary for success.

      Gap in human knowledge, something worth researching / examining in the future

    2. without an under-standing of the very difficult problem of implementing and creating aset of new institutions that will complement the historical traditions ofVenezuela, put in place productive activity, and use oil as a fulcrumby which one can start to make the economy work again, he is boundto fail.

      Main point of story

    3. Sub-Saharan Africa,which is a "basket case" everywhere, is going to continue to be a"basket case" until we can create political systems that somehow orother can put into place something that will work.

      Not entirely true and overall a harsh appraisal of Africa's current socioeconomic and political state

    4. We do not know howto create such a polity. We do not even know how we did itourselves.

      Interesting idea to explore and relates to past class discussions

    5. learn enough about the cultureof a society so that you understand the way it operates, and then tolook for windows of opportunity to alter the way the game is played,so that you can introduce, consistent with the culture and beliefs, newrules and norms

      "Window of opportunity" is a popular concept in political science used to describe how policymakers promote their policies at specific times

    6. one of the reasons that economists have not looked sobrilliant in the last ten years is that they had a set of very simpledefinitions of what made for productivity and attempted to imposethem on various countries

      Flaw in how economists approach topic

    7. the beliefsand the way they have evolved can translate into a set of institutions,and rules of the game, that lead people to more productive andcreative results.

      Major idea

    8. itpays to lie, cheat, and steal

      Idea that impersonal exchange encourages immoral behavior, whereas personal exchange follows traditional game theory and encourages moral behavior

    9. In a society that has evolved successfully, let us saythe Netherlands, we see an initial set of beliefs which were receptiveto new ideas and to new problems, and experiences that forced new,creative solutions.

      Important that beliefs evolve over time to allow for the formation of an economy that can adapt to challenges and changing situations

    10. Avner Greif tells this story in his study of the way medievalGenoese and Magribe traders developed different ways of structuringexchange.

      Good example of societal development and use of trial and error to figure out what will make an economy successful

    11. We say that redistributive norms evolved in Africa because theland-to-man ratio was so vast and because the climate and habitatwere so uncertain that people could not figure out what would workand what would not work.

      This viewpoint seems problematic and does not acknowledge how some African countries are economically successful on a global scale

    12. Instead, societies have stagnated; people have gotten poorer, notbetter off; chaos and confusion and war have led to losers over andover again throughout history.

      This perspective seems biased and overly negative (not representative of the entire situation)

    13. Why did such a belief system evolve? The closest we yethave to an answer is that there is such an enormous contrast betweenperformance characteristics of people in different settings that theacquisition of assets cannot be traced directly to deliberate effort.

      I would like more clarification on this concept

    14. the interaction between formal rules, informal norms, and theenforcement characteristics of both

      Determines whether institutions will be successful and influential in society

    15. You can change formalrules-and I will come back to this at some length-by getting thepolitical system to enact a new law. But how do you change norms ofbehavior, or codes of conduct?

      Important question to address

    16. this is one of the reasons why I continue to be such a critic ofeconomics: if we all know what the causes of economic growth areand yet cannot produce it, something very fundamental is missing.

      Again I don't agree with North because resources are not distributed equally across the world. It's not possible for all countries to provide the same level of education, the same jobs, etc.

    17. The gap between thosecountries and others widened and is still widening today. In fact,living standards in sub-Saharan Africa have been falling for most ofthe last twenty-five years, and so the disparities not only are immensebut are getting worse.

      I don't agree with this statement because living standards across the world have actually been improving.. Where is North's evidence to prove this bold claim?

    18. weeconomists measure the well-being of people in different countries,you find we usually talk about per capita income: we take the incomeof a country and we divide it by the population and come up with anumber. This is not the best way to measure well-being, but it givesyou some notion of the enormous disparities.

      I don't see any real value in this measurement system because it takes extreme outliers like billionaires into account

    1. California could evencontinue to use gas power if the CO2 emissions were captured and sequestered underground.Alternatively, gas power plants could be converted to burn clean fuels, such as hydrogen, whichmight be made via electrolysis with solar power, reformed from natural gas while leaving wasteCO2 to be sequestered underground, or produced from gasification of agricultural and forestryresidues or crops. All of these clean firm power sources (and perhaps others) would providecritical reliability that could prevent a Texas-sized tragedy.

      Examples of clean firm power sources that California could use in the future

    2. To ensure grid reliability, Californianeeds to replace today’s carbon-emitting gas-fired power plants, which supply over 40% of thestate’s electricity, with some alternative source of clean electricity that is available on demand,for as long as it is needed, whenever it is needed. This type of electricity resource is known as“clean firm power.”

      Definition of "clean firm power"

    3. Today, California relies on natural gas power plants(and heating) during these periods. If a net-zero carbon economy cannot continue to depend onnatural gas to meet this demand, what will the state use instead?

      Major question that paper will address

    1. Thousands of babies died because of a sweeping generalization, includingsome during the months when the evidence was already available. Sweepinggeneralizations can easily hide behind good intentions.

      Example of information about one group being generalized and applied to another group

    2. How canthis be such a smart solution?

      Assume that people are logical and do certain things for a reason (don't dismiss their behavior as stupid or illogical)

    3. If you are happy to conclude that allchemicals are unsafe on the basis of one unsafe chemical, would you beprepared to conclude that all chemicals are safe on the basis of one safechemical?

      Common way that people generalize about things

    4. When someone says that a majority of a group has some property it can soundlike most of them have something in common. Remember that majority justmeans more than half. It could mean 51 percent. It could mean 99 percent. Ifpossible, ask for the percentage.

      Ask for clarification when someone refers to a majority (majority can range from 51-99 percent)

    5. Are there examplesof different behavior in the same group? Or of the same behavior in othergroups?

      Way to re-evaluate the situation and assess whether there are actually differences between groups

    6. It will be helpful to you if you always assume your categories are misleading.Here are five powerful ways to keep questioning your favorite categories:look for differences within and similarities across groups; beware of “themajority”; beware of exceptional examples; assume you are not “normal”;and beware of generalizing from one group to another.

      Important pieces of advice from Rosling

    7. I remember this whole experience as the first time in my life that I suddenly had to change myworldview: my assumption that I was superior because of where I came from, the idea that theWest was the best and the rest would never catch up. At that moment, 45 years ago, I understoodthat the West would not dominate the world for much longer.

      Influential event in Rosling's life that changed his worldview

    8. The challenge is to realize which of our simplecategories are misleading—like “developed” and “developing” countries—and replace them with better categories, like the four levels.

      Do the four levels of development make sense? Could they be improved upon? Rosling pushes for this way of thinking about groups of people across the world and completely throws out the terms "developed" and "developing."

    9. These women don’t wear Lycra and won’tspend money on ultrathin pads. They demand a low-cost pad that will bereliable throughout the day so they don’t have to change it when they are outat work. And when they find a product they like, they will probably stick tothat brand for their whole lives and recommend it to their daughters.

      Important for businesses to understand different consumer groups and their needs

    10. The fact that 88 percent are vaccinated but major financial investorsbelieve it is only 20 percent indicates that there is a big chance they are failingat their jobs by missing out on huge investment opportunities (probably themost profitable ones in the fastest-growing parts of the world).

      Real-world impact of generalization instinct

    11. The gap instinct divides the world into “us” and “them,” and thegeneralization instinct makes “us” think of “them” as all the same.

      Generalization instinct further develops "us" and "them" mentality by grouping "them" together

    12. Misleading generalizationsand stereotypes act as a kind of shorthand for the media, providing quick andeasy ways to communicate

      Generalizing makes it easier for news outlets to report on events or create a story

    13. It’sactually one of the most blatant lies I have ever told, but it worked. Thevillagers were happy to share my dessert between them. Everyone,everywhere knows that people from different tribes have different customs.

      What is the point of Rosling telling this story?

    14. If you could keep track of each separate place though, youwould be surprised how peaceful most of them were.

      We naturally have a skewed perspective on the world that makes other countries seem much more dangerous than our country (we only hear about negative events abroad)

    15. Whether measuring HIV, GDP, mobile phone sales, internet users,or CO emissions, a per capita measurement—i.e., a rate per person—willalmost always be more meaningful.

      Main takeaway

    16. A lonely number always makes mesuspicious that I will misinterpret it. A number that I have compared anddivided can instead fill me with hope.

      Rosling explains how rates can provide more insight on things that seem meaningless when in the form of raw numbers

    17. Many of us forget to behave properly with thosewho will control the future trade deals.

      Suggests that we should only be treating countries with respect because we will soon be the minority that is reliant on them for survival.. Is this a problematic way of looking at the situation?

    18. By 2040,60 percent of Level 4 consumers will live outside the West. Yes, I think theWestern domination of the world economy will soon be over.

      Ask class for thoughts on this claim

    19. More than 80 percent of the world’spopulation will live in Africa and Asia.

      Why are projections of future populations important? Why does this matter to us?

    20. In each case I simply looked for the biggest singleitems taking up 80 percent of the budget, then dug down into any that seemedunusual. In each case the problem was due to a simple confusion or tiny errorsuch as a missing decimal point.

      Rosling tries to find easy "fixes" to size instinct that any person would be able to use

    21. For example, here’s a list of the world’s energy sources, in alphabeticalorder: biofuels, coal, gas, geothermal, hydro, nuclear, oil, solar, wind.Presented like that, they all seem equally important. If we instead sort themaccording to how many units of energy they generate for humanity, threeoutnumber all the rest, as this graph shows.

      Example that we could include in presentation

    22. Whenever I have to compare lots of numbers and work outwhich are the most important, I use the simplest-ever thinking tool. I look forthe largest numbers.

      Tip from Rosling: follow 80/20 rule and look for largest numbers

    23. The news coverage for TB was at a rate of 0.1article per death. Each swine flu death received 82,000 times more attentionthan each equally tragic death from TB.

      Answers question I just asked above (yes, news outlets do gravitate toward unusual stories)

    24. In Sweden, a fatal bear attack is a once-in-a-century event. Meanwhile, awoman is killed by her partner every 30 days. This is a 1,300-fold differencein magnitude. And yet one more domestic murder had barely registered, whilethe hunting death was big news.

      Why does this happen? Do news outlets gravitate toward unusual stories and make them seem more common than they actually are?

    25. The wars with China had lasted, on and off, for 2,000 years. The Frenchoccupation had lasted 200 years. The “Resistance War Against America” tookonly 20 years. The sizes of the monuments put things in perfect proportion. Itwas only by comparing them that I could understand the relativeinsignificance of “the Vietnam War” to the people who now live in Vietnam.

      Rosling also uses different monuments in Vietnam to explain the size instinct and how helpful it can be to compare things with one another

    26. And how can anyone argue that 4.2 million is anything other than a hugenumber? You might think that nobody would even try to argue that, but youwould be wrong. That is exactly why I mentioned this number. Because it isnot huge: it is beautifully small.

      "4.2 million dead babies" illustrates the danger of looking at big numbers without context or other numbers for comparison

    27. So if you are investing money toimprove health on Level 1 or 2, you should put it into primary schools, nurseeducation, and vaccinations. Big impressive-looking hospitals can wait.

      Rosling suggests that small, incremental improvements are the best way to make significant social progress

    28. You tend to get things out of proportion. I do not mean to sound rude. Gettingthings out of proportion, or misjudging the size of things, is something thatwe humans do naturally. It is instinctive to look at a lonely number andmisjudge its importance. It is also instinctive—like in the hospital in Nacala—to misjudge the importance of a single instance or an identifiable victim.

      Overview of the size instinct

    29. “In the deepest poverty you should never do anythingperfectly. If you do you are stealing resources from where they can be betterused.”

      Are these wise words? How does this quote relate to the main instinct discussed in the chapter?

    30. Itwould, I believed, be truly unethical to spend more resources in the hospitalbefore the majority of the population—and the 98.7 percent of dying childrenwho never reached the hospital—had some form of basic health care.

      Hans Rosling's opinion on the question above

    31. “It is unethical to spend all my time and resources trying tosave those who come here. I can save more children if I improve the servicesoutside the hospital. I am responsible for all the child deaths in this district:the deaths I do not see just as much as the deaths in front of my eyes.”

      Is this a more or less ethical way of thinking about medical care? Does this line of thinking seem logical?

    32. I admitted the child, inserted a feeding tube, andordered that oral rehydration solution should be given through the tube. Mypediatrician friend dragged me into the corridor by the arm. He was veryupset and angrily challenged the substandard treatment I had prescribed,accusing me of skimping in order to get home for dinner. He wanted me togive the baby an intravenous drip.

      Shows how perspective changes the situation completely

    33. The Deaths I Do Not See

      Hans Rosling describes how he worked as a doctor in Mozambique at one point and could only provide citizens with basic medical care due to limited resources

    1. J.H. de Soto defines socialism “as system of institu-tional aggression on the free exercise of human action or entrepreneurship”43

      Biased definition of socialism ("institutional aggression" has a negative connotation)

    2. The study of competitiveness of economic systems is not an easy task,especially because of the problem of choosing a measure instrument of thisphenomenon

      Major challenge with studying competitiveness

    3. These circum-stances gave the rise to the fact that in the countries of the capitalist systemsocial welfare was built faster than in the socialist countries

      I would like clarification on this idea

    4. the guardian of democracy

      Potential bias in referring to these countries as guardians of democracy (makes it seem as if democracy is inherently good)

    5. According to A. Maddison, Geary-Khamis dollars are the best measure of volume com-parisons of GDP per capita, in long serial circles time, as well as between countrie

      Strategic choice made by researcher

    6. thisis an unstable economic system generating a growing number of public pro-tests. Despite this it functioned in many countries almost till the end of thetwentieth century, or it still functions there.

      Ultimately an unstable economic system that results in public protests and general social unrest

    7. However, as economic history shows, the socialist economic system beganto be built in the country completely unprepared for Marxist concept of thesociety mature for socialism

      What does "completely unprepared for Marxist concept of the society mature for socialism" mean in this context? Was the country too inexperienced with capitalism to adopt socialism at this time?

    8. According to Marks, socialism could come when capitalism has freed soci-ety from poverty 16.

      Marks believes socialism is the economic system that logically follows capitalism

    9. Utopia should be understood here as the project of an ideal political systemwhich is to operate on principles of justice, solidarity and equality. Such as-sumptions were typical of the Marxist doctrine.

      People originally thought that socialism would lead to a utopian society and solve social issues

    10. the economic affairs of society be-long to the public and not the private sphere”

      Emphasis on community needs rather than individual needs (public vs. private)

    11. This is the economicpolicy formed on the basis of the criticism of the capitalist system, in whichthe social (and not private) ownership of production means is the econom-ic basis of eliminating class division and exploitation

      Definition of socialism

    12. he history of capitalism shows that this economic system started to formin the second half of the fifteenth century, mainly due to the great geo-graphical discoveries 12 .

      Suggests that capitalism began to develop because of "geographical discoveries," which seems like a vague references to natural resources such as fossil fuels

    13. the most impor-tant role is played by capitalism (a form of individual and market system

      Claims that capitalism is the most influential individual / market system today

    14. In thehistory so far the economy has acted in five of its forms, namely: in a primalcommunity, slavery, feudalism, capitalism and socialism

      What does this mean?

    15. The author assumed thatcompetitiveness is the ability of the surveyed economies to build prosperity

      Assumption made by author (also a definition of competitiveness)