要科学合理安排赤字、债务及支出政策,抓实化解地方债务风险,增强财政可持续性
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要科学合理安排赤字、债务及支出政策,抓实化解地方债务风险,增强财政可持续性
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要有所不为,最大限度减少政府对资源的直接配置和对微观经济活动的直接干预
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财政资金向公共领域聚焦,向外溢性强、社会效益高的方面倾斜
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推动更多资金资源投资于人、服务民生
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通过民生改善打开内需增长新空间
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立足全局出台“合预期”甚至“超预期”的政策措施
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创造性运用超长期特别国债、财政贴息等手段
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供给创造需求
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支持建设现代化产业体系
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又强化跨周期调节
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和跨周期
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三去一降一补
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对关键领域和薄弱环节靶向发力,推动发展动能平稳接续转换
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坚持不搞大水漫灌强刺激
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要结合打击网络乱象,深入查找网络生态治理的薄弱环节,采取针对性措施固根基、补短板。
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要坚持以正面声音、主流价值、时代新风
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要加强对网络平台、自媒体和多频道网络机构的引导,促使其担负社会责任,自觉成为正能量传播者。
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the key weakness in China’s consumption structure lies in services.
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China’s share of service consumption still needs to increase, and the representation of service-sector firms among listed companies remains noticeably low
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Since 2020, consumption growth in the A-share data has become more closely aligned with macro growth.
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For a few categories—most notably automobiles and beverages—the relative growth performance of listed companies strengthened after 2020 compared with the macro benchmark.
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During economic downturns, households rely more heavily on essential consumption, while in periods of recovery this dependence diminishes.
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At the same time, although consumption in the grain & food category and the furniture category also weakened relative to the macro benchmark, their underlying dynamics differ: grain & food exhibits a clear counter-cyclical pattern, whereas furniture is strongly influenced by the real estate cycle.
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overtaking automobiles to become the largest category in terms of revenue share among goods-related consumption.
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it reflects a widespread increase in industry-wide revenue, indicating a genuine structural strengthening of essential consumption within this category.
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Figure 3 shows that the revenue share of these firms increased notably after 2020—rising by 4 percentage points from 2019 to 2020—and has since remained above 25%. By 2024, its share is more than 5 percentage points higher than in 2015.
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During the continued rise in essential consumption, the growth of the grain-and-food category stands out most prominently
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Over the past decade, the share of discretionary consumption declined by roughly 5 percentage points, while the share of essential consumption correspondingly increased by about 5 percentage points.
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In total, 493 firms across 11 categories can be effectively matched with retail statistics. The distribution is as follows: 176 in grain and food; 84 in apparel and textiles; 78 in household appliances and audiovisual equipment; 32 in tobacco and alcohol; 30 in furniture; 27 in daily necessities; 19 in automobiles; 14 in cosmetics; 14 in gold and jewelry; 11 in sports and entertainment goods; and 8 in beverages.
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Starting in 2023, goods consumption declined while service consumption increased. In terms of absolute levels, goods consumption has consistently maintained a dominant position.
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we also construct an alternative fixed sample consisting of 458 firms listed in or before 2020 (401 goods companies and 57 services companies).
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we first select 296 companies that were listed in or before 2014 (250 goods companies and 46 services companies).
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In terms of growth rates, differences between A-share-based consumption growth and macro-level consumption growth were larger before 2020 but have narrowed since then.
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post-2020, consumption growth reflected by A-share companies has weakened relative to macro data and shows clear pro-cyclicality
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has risen while discretionary spending has declined
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since 2020, essential consumption
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China’s consumption structure remains dominated by goods
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A-share data is highly representative of goods consumption
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Using revenue data from A-share consumer-sector listed companies
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