- Jan 2025
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bookshelf.vitalsource.com bookshelf.vitalsource.com
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(The Literary Digest never recovered from this methodological disaster and went out of business shortly after publishing its poll.)
Reminds me of the Kathy Schultz video regarding being wrong: Often the public (or in the case of individuals, other people) don't allow us to be wrong without consequences.
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Correlational Method The technique whereby two or more variables are systematically measured and the relationship between them (i.e., how much one can be predicted from the other) is assesse
I found the optional videos addressing correlation vs. causality and spurious correlation to be strikingly relevant in the age of the internet...the "blogosphere" and the 24-hour news cycle. I have no figures, but I'd guess upwards of 90% or more of what gets posted is designed to generate click-throughs, often by baiting the reader with sensationalistic headlines. Even site names themselves can be manipulative: the "WebMD" site which posted the "breakfast vs obesity" post is a great example. No reputable MD or scientist of any caliber (or reputable journalist, for that matter) would make the implications inherent in that post.
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Based on his observations of Mrs. Keech’s tenacious adherence to her beliefs, Festinger formulated one of the most famous theories in social psychology, cognitive dissonance, which we discuss in Chapter 6.
No better example of cognitive dissonance than what we are witnessing in the political sphere today, on all sides.
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Ethnography is the chief method of cultural anthropology, the study of human cultures and societies.
Cultural anthropology and ethnography offers one of the more fascinating windows into the human psyche and it's "trainability." We generally make the mistake of thinking the way we are is the only way we could be. For example, I heard recently of a professed Christian who refuses to believe he'd be a Muslim if he had been born in a Muslim country. Silliness, of course. Foreign kids adopted by American families grow up full American. While there are certainly genetic predispositions (i.e., evidenced by studies of separated twins), I think we are basically born as an unprogrammed computer waiting for our parents and society to load an operating program.
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This is relative, of course. The term "scientifically," like the term "science," is much abused. Even used here it is somewhat subjective. If it were possible to sort the various scientific disciplines into categories of "exactitude," I suspect physics and chemistry would come out on top, in the middle somewhere would be the natural sciences such as my own field of ecology, and at the low end would be sociology. This is not a criticism at all, just an observation on the variability of the human psyche and human behaviors relative to the exactness of physical laws. Much of what we see in the lesser sciences (my own included) are disciplined empirical observations from which we can draw inferences.
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Now that you know correlation doesn’t equal causation, you know that eating fast food doesn’t necessarily cause poor test performance. What are some alternative explanations for the negative correlation between children’s fast-food consumption and low test scores?
parents of children who eat fast food may be less educated and thus less curious about healthy vs. unhealthy food. Less educated themselves, they may value education in general less and so are less encouraging and participatory in their child's schooling.
Working single parents may not have time to make healthy meals, nor energy or time to spend assisting and encouraging their child's studies.
Fast food is vastly less expensive than healthy food in terms of cost/calorie. Thus, poor families may feed more fast food to their kids. Even though they may be interested in their child's education, they make work so much or be so preoccupied with troubles that they have not time to help. They may also have to send their kids to lower-quality schools where teacher quality is lower as well.
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But we also want to avoid causing our participants stress, discomfort, or unpleasantness. These two goals sometimes conflict as the researcher goes about the business of creating and conducting experiments. Above all, researchers are concerned about the health and welfare of the individuals participating in their experiments
Yes, Check out the Philip Zombardo's "Stanford Prison Experiment."
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, did it bother you to learn that researchers sometimes mislead people about the true purpose of their study or that, in Latané and Darley’s seizure study, people were put in a situation that might have been upsetting
Yes.
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But these projects have themselves proved to be controversial. Some view the results as demonstrating cause for concern about research practices in psychology (e.g., Open Science Collaboration, 2015), whereas others have pointed to problems with the replication projects themselves. These problems include the representativeness of the studies chosen for replication (i.e., how representative they are of the field in general) and that, at least in some cases, the researchers altered the procedures of the replications in key ways that departed significantly from the studies they were trying to reproduce (Bryan, Yeager, & O’Brien, 2019; Gilbert et al., 2016; Luttrell, Petty, & Xu, 2017; Noah, Schul, & Mayo, 2018). Others have raised statistical concerns with how the results of replication projects have been analyzed (e.g., Gilbert et al., 2016; Schauer & Hedges, in press; Wilson & Wixted, 2018).
No surprises here. People will always find things to be contentious about, scientists included. We shouldn't lose site of the fact that scientists, honorable ones, anyway, are just doing the best they can. Even they will admit their work has limitations.
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Researchers have to guard against imposing their own viewpoints and definitions learned from their culture onto another culture with which they are unfamiliar. They must also be sure that their independent and dependent variables are understood in the same way in different cultures
Having lived, traveled and/or worked in several countries, I can absolutely vouch for this. A more accessible means of grasping this is how we experience other cultures while simply on vacation, or possibly interacting with immigrants here in the U.S. Our tendency is to criticize them, and in some cases, to get downright angry. I always have to remind myself, "I'm in their world now. Nobody invited me here!"
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Latané and Darley’s original findings have been replicated in numerous studies. Increasing the number of bystanders inhibited helping behavior with many kinds of people, including children, college students, and future ministers (Darley & Batson, 1973; Latané & Nida, 1981; Plötner et al., 2015); in both small towns and large cities (Latané & Dabbs, 1975); in a variety of settings, such as psychology laboratories, city streets, and subway trains (Harrison & Wells, 1991; Latané & Darley, 1970; Piliavin & Piliavin, 1972); and with different kinds of emergencies, such as seizures, potential fires, fights, and accidents (Latané & Darley, 1968; Shotland & Straw, 1976; Staub, 1974), as well as with less-serious events such as having a flat tire (Hurley & Allen, 1974).
One thing not mentioned in these discussions, though I imagine at least some of the researchers considered it: Fewer people helping when more bystanders are present may not be because everyone expects someone else to help. It may be because we as individuals do not like to stand out in a crowd, or act differently from others. Most of us are sensitive to what others will think of us. People inclined to help may be more self-secure and confident, or less concerned with public perceptions.
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The only way to be certain that the results of an experiment represent the behavior of a particular population is to ensure that the participants are randomly selected from that population.
True statement, but there is another requirement. When reporting the results, or when citing them (whether in a casual conversation or in a formal setting, such as a publication or an interview), the researcher must specify that the results definitively apply only to that particular subset of individuals. At the same time, s/he would note that any broader statements they might make are drawn from inferences and probabilities, not from the data themselves.
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Just as the need to preserve self-esteem can occasionally run aground, however, so too can the need to be accurate. People are not perfect in their effort to understand and predict, because they almost never know all the facts they need to judge a given situation completely accurately. Whether it is a relatively simple decision, such as which breakfast cereal offers the best combination of healthfulness and tastiness, or a slightly more complex decision, such as our desire to buy the best car we can for under $20,000, or a much more complex decision, such as choosing a partner who will make us deliriously happy for the rest of our lives, it is usually impossible to gather all the relevant information in advance. Moreover, we make countless decisions every day. No one has the time and stamina to gather all the facts for each of them.
The web is the most obvious and dominant example of this in our daily lives: From the moment we open a browser (or most apps and software), we are manipulated in some fashion. If one wishes to avoid being manipulated, it's critical to recognize it when it happens...most difficult.
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Given the choice between distorting the world to feel good about themselves and representing the world accurately, people often take the first option
"Fer sure...!"
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Social psychologists emphasize the importance of two central motives in steering people’s construals: the need to feel good about ourselves and the need to be accurate. Sometimes, each of these motives pulls us in the same direction. Often, though, these motives tug us in opposite directions, where to perceive the world accurately requires us to admit that we have behaved foolishly or immorally.
Personally, I think the need to feel good about ourselves overwhelmingly dominates the need to be accurate. The exceptions are individuals who are gifted with supreme self-confidence and those who have found the courage to step outside of themselves to see themselves objectively.
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Naïve Realism The conviction that we perceive things “as they really are,” underestimating how much we are interpreting or “spinning” what we see
If one had to choose a single issue to work on for self-improvement, it would have to be cultivating self-knowledge in combination with objectivity and self-awareness. It's about the only skill I can think of to help us avoid this.
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But suppose, while you are deciding whether to complain about her to the manager, a regular customer tells you that your “crabby” server is a single parent who was kept awake all night by the moaning of her youngest child, who was terribly sick; that her car broke down on her way to work and she has no idea where she will find the money to have it repaired; that when she finally arrived at the restaurant, she learned that her coworker hadn’t shown up, requiring her to cover twice the usual number of tables; and that the short-order cook keeps screaming at her because she is not picking up the orders fast enough. Given all that information, you might now conclude that she is not a nasty person but an ordinary human under enormous stress.
The essence of Buddhism is to not allow ourselves to be influenced by circumstance...a terrifically difficult task. Certainly not one I'm capable of.
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So what is this person “really” like? Aloof and arrogant or charming and welcoming? It’s the wrong question; the answer is both and neither. All of us are capable of being shy in some situations and outgoing in others. A much more interesting question is: What factors were different in these two situations that had such a profound effect on the student’s behavior? That is a social psychological question. (See the Try It! exercise on social situations and shyness.)
So true: We have "two natures," so to speak...a long-recognized characteristic of human beings and perhaps the root of dualistic religions dating to Zoroaster in Persia. Personally, I believe the healthiest people know this, and make a conscious effort to recognize it and choose between them...maybe even take the suppressed one out of the subconscious and into the light now and then to consider it. It's reminiscent of the folk or Indian tale about how we each have to dogs or wolves in us...one kind and one aggressive. The one that grows stronger is the one we feed.
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We note here that a lively debate has arisen over the testability of evolutionary hypotheses. Because current behaviors are thought to be adaptations to environmental conditions that existed thousands of years ago, psychologists make their best guesses about what those conditions were and how specific kinds of behaviors gave people a reproductive advantage. But these hypotheses are obviously impossible to test with the experimental method. And just because hypotheses sound plausible does not mean they are true. For example, some scientists now believe that giraffes did not acquire a long neck to eat leaves in tall trees. Instead, they suggest, long necks first evolved in male giraffes to gain an advantage in fights with other males over access to females (Simmons & Scheepers, 1996). Which of these explanations is true? It’s hard to tell. Evolutionary explanations can’t be tested directly, because after all, they involve hypotheses about what happened thousands of years ago. They can, however, suggest novel hypotheses about why people do what they do in today’s world, which can then be put to the test, as we will see in later chapters (Al-Shawa, 2020).
We (scientists, anyway) want answers, we live for precision and correctness and repeatability. I think this gets in the way of finding productive ways of dealing with both interpersonal problems and social issues on a larger scale. In many cases (such as our innate tendencies of aggression, control over the less powerful, and focus on self-interest), it makes more sense to accept them as "givens" and seek ways to ameliorate them than it does to try understanding them.
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For example, we are often influenced by the mere presence of other people, including perfect strangers who are not interacting with us. Other people don’t even have to be present: We are governed by the imaginary approval or disapproval of our parents, friends, and teachers and by how we expect others to react to us.
I can think of lots to say about this statement, but I'll note two here:
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first, this concern for right and proper behavior or appearance is the source of many neuroses at the root of mental illness.
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a quote I heard once which I'll paraphrase here: People who worry about others around them think of them would be surprised to learn just how seldom they do.
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he global COVID pandemic has brought out the best and worst of humankind
I've often thought the reason Covid was contentious is that it was not lethal enough. If everyone in the country had at least one relative who died, they'd be complaining the government was not doing enough.
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