Yoffe’s seemingly flawless reasoning first stumbles when she tries to establish the causality between binge drinking and sexual assaults. The high correlation between alcohol consumption and sexual assaults is indeed indisputable. More than 80 percent of campus sexual assaults involve alcohol, one study cited in Yoffe’s article states. But correlation and causality are not the same, and confusing one with another sometimes leads to absurd conclusions. For example, a website called “Spurious Correlations” points out that per capita US consumption of cheese and number of people who died by becoming tangled in their bedsheets for the past decade have a perfect correlation. One can hardly agree that one causes another. By the same token, it would be a risky jump to conclude that alcohol causes sexual assault. National Crime Victimization Survey shows that while rape has declined since 1979, female binge drinking is rising during the same period. If we follow Yoffe’s reasoning, we would conclude that binge drinking helps reduce rape. That’s obviously not the case. Furthermore, if Yoffe’s description of the charming, well liked serial offenders is true, then alcohol is simply a tool and an excuse for their crimes. Banning binge drinking won’t necessarily prevent sexual assaults, because sexual predators are still there. Their intentions to rape and inflict pain are still there. If they want, they can simply switch to another tool at their disposal.
Starts to criticize argument by noticing problems with causality