non-expert humans comfortably exceed 60%
【洞察】120 倍的人机差距意味着:当前 AI 推理能力的提升是「在已知模式上的优化」,而非「真正的归纳推理泛化」。这对所有声称「AI 已接近人类」的产品宣传都是正面挑战——AGI 时间线的预期需要重新校准,而非渐进式调整。
non-expert humans comfortably exceed 60%
【洞察】120 倍的人机差距意味着:当前 AI 推理能力的提升是「在已知模式上的优化」,而非「真正的归纳推理泛化」。这对所有声称「AI 已接近人类」的产品宣传都是正面挑战——AGI 时间线的预期需要重新校准,而非渐进式调整。
you're going to have like 100 million more AI research and they're going to be working at 100 times what 00:27:31 you are
for - stats - comparison of cognitive powers - AGI AI agents vs human researcher
stats - comparison of cognitive powers - AGI AI agents vs human researcher - 100 million AGI AI researchers - each AGI AI researcher is 100x more efficient that its equivalent human AI researcher - total productivity increase = 100 million x 100 = 10 billion human AI researchers! Wow!
the Transformers are not there yet they will not come up with something that hasn't been there before they will come up with the best of everything and 00:26:59 generatively will build a little bit on top of that but very soon they'll come up with things we've never found out we've never known