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  1. Jul 2018
  2. hbr.org hbr.org
    If You Say Something Is “Likely,” How Likely Do People Think It Is?
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    1. chrisaldrich 07 Jul 2018
      The best forecasters make lots of precise forecasts and keep track of their performance with a metric such as a Brier score.
      forecasting Brier score
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    hbr.org/2018/07/if-you-say-something-is-likely-how-likely-do-people-think-it-is