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- progress trap - dark futures scenario - like Easter Island but on a global scale
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- The potential global breakdown of global industrialized society, rupturing supply chains so that our highly interdependent world becomes the very Achilles Heel that hastens its demise is chilling
- It could mean a huge disruption to the most important aspect of civilization - the continuing accruing and inter-generational transmission of knowledge
- It would be catastrophic to lose that, but it is entirely possible
- As Wright himself famously said, to use a computer metaphor, we humans are like 50,000 year old hardware, running modern software
- By that, he meant that our cognitive physiology (brain and sensory processing system) has not changed for tens of thousands of years, yet cultural evolution happens at exponentially faster rates, so much so that our biological systems are not adapted to keep up with the pace, and that spells disaster
- When we no longer have the sensory or cognitive apparatus to sense danger, and we are offloading that to AI, we are in an extremely vulnerable situation
progress trap - Gedanken
- Think of our ancestors from 50,000 years ago.
- What Wright is saying with his metaphor is that if that child from 50,000 years ago were transported by a time machine to modernity, (s)he would have little problem integrating into modern society
- LIKEWISE, if we lose all the knowledge fruits of accumulated over so many thousands of years, it would be like being born into a human tribe 50,000 years ago.
- We would likely still have language, but all our technology may have to start from scratch!