2 Matching Annotations
- Aug 2023
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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forecasts of the magnitude and longevity of the event were very good; although forecasted high-temperature records fell 1–3 °C short of the observed highs in many cases.
- for: meteorology, forecasting, ensemble forecasting, Pacific Northwest heatwave
- paraphrase
- forecasts of the magnitude and longevity of the event were very good;
- although forecasted high-temperature records fell 1–3 °C short of the observed highs in many cases.
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Meteorologists are typically reluctant to make extreme weather forecasts at forecast horizons of around a week for fear of “crying wolf” and the associated reduction in end-user trust. In this case, however, the ensemble forecast provided sufficient certainty that meteorologists were able to warn of “extreme” heat at this relatively long-lead time—a testament to ensemble forecast technology.
- for meteorology, forecasting, ensemble forecasting
- paraphrase
- Meteorologists are typically reluctant to make extreme weather forecasts at forecast horizons of around a week
- for fear of “crying wolf” and
- the associated reduction in end-user trust.
- In this case, however, the ensemble forecast provided sufficient certainty that meteorologists were able to warn of “extreme” heat at this relatively long-lead time
- a testament to ensemble forecast technology.
- Meteorologists are typically reluctant to make extreme weather forecasts at forecast horizons of around a week
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