hasgenerated meaningful political-economic shifts in the states whereit was adopted.
MONEY
hasgenerated meaningful political-economic shifts in the states whereit was adopted.
MONEY
can affect the ability of organ-ized economic interests to engage in politics and make demandson representatives in Congress.
Drugs are a big economy
Marijuana legaliza-tion allowed for the growth of a new industry that, once devel-oped, could sway gardner’s re-election bid
Also have to think this is so issue dependent
that is, members learn about policy innovationsadopted in the states they represent, and as a result are more likelyto sponsor and vote for similar policies nationally
Educational place, maybe something like a testing ground
has gained leverage in Colorado politics, compel-ling even conservative politicians like gardner to support industrydemands
So less about the public and more about the private powers at work
influence of industry
or lobbying groups
instrumental variables analysis indicates le-galization influenced pro-marijuana bill sponsorship and roll calls in the 116thCongress.
Makes sense, basically senators are responsive to district opinion/state legislation can make them look bad
empirically, i examine theeffects of state marijuana legalization
State legalization is more likely to lead to federal support
Members of Congress represent geographically demarcated districts em-bedded in subnational policy environments.
Represent smaller pool of constituents
The practiceof this prosecutorial discretion is surprisingly political
Scary
The purpose of this study is to show that the presidentialuse of rhetoric is consistent with his motivation for managerial control of thepublic bureaucracy
I wonder if this is true at state and local levels too
Aggregated across the 89 districts, this reveals a sub-stantial impact by presidential statements at the case-processing level
More what I'm taking away from this article is that the national shift, including the pres, towards war on drugs also increased the likelihood they were taken up
Attorneys shifted thecomposition of their caseload in areas where drugs are considered a publicproblem
could be in part the ideology of the attorney
Local Priority Opinion
This is interesting
presidential signaling in that context
I just think presidential rhetoric might be a proxy for other things
Clearly, the implementation of the War on Drugsinvolved the exercise of prosecutorial discretion.
Sort of gets mixed up where the rubber meets the road
the first examines cases handled and the second casesconcluded.
Second might be more interesting, actually would be interesting to know the outcome
which helps clarify causality andaddresses concerns about potential endogeneity
The presidential statements happen before the prosecutions
Reader’s Guide to Periodical Liter-ature (extended to cover our time span). If media changes affect the Attorneys,we expect that the drug composition increases as mentions rise.
Skeptical of this proxy
We test the hypothesis thatthe U.S. Attorneys’ agenda is positively influenced by congressional attentivenessto drug policy issues.
Which also may be in turn influenced by the president
This accounts for theresources provided by Congress and the president to the DEA for bringingcharges in drug cases.
Maybe proxy for increase in crackdown
by which cases are referredby investigating agencies
easy, hard
We expectthat the Attorneys’ offices’ attention to drug cases will be positively influencedby the degree of presidential rhetorical emphasis on drug policy.
I think reading this more for a history might be beneficial
I had to figurethese things out like any other American, by studying his speeches and reading newspapers
lol good quote
presidents’ prioritization of drug policy in their public discourse.
Proportion of speech coded
when an Attorney prosecutes it incourt.
Looking at number of cases excepted
U.S. Attorneys’ prosecution of drug crimes: as the composi-tion of presidential statements regarding narcotics increased, the narcotics com-position of the U.S. Attorneys’ caseloads also increased.
I can think of many cofounders, for one maybe the number of cases just increased. Or public opinion.
Their relative independence puts a premium on other less formalcontrol mechanisms
Rhetoric
but the U.S. Attorney retains the final decisionto prosecute
They are in charge of "putting bad guys away"
Overall, total federal spending increased from 1.5 billiondollars in 1981 to 9.7 billion dollars in 1990
These are much more tangible changes
by“communication, exhortation, [and] symbolic position taking
Mostly they just get to bring issues to the table but they can do this too
political leaders mayexercise agency leadership by choosing and expounding common goals throughpublic rhetoric,
Speak it into existence
because of specific monitoringproblems inherent in principal-agency settings
They might not carry out the job as the president intended
Rhetoric is a means for pres-idents to offer and secure a national agenda
I feel like it is more of a signal
We address the president’s ability toaffect the attention patterns of public agencies by sending policy priority signalsthrough public rhetoric.
Arguing that this is casual is crazy though
exercised in part through politi-cal appointees
But this is not spoken influece
shows that presidential atten-tion drives public concern in economic, foreign, and civil rights policy
Ok so it would also do so on drugs, interested to see the empirical evidence
Presidential rhetoric shapes the priorities of the administra-tive agents over whom he seeks managerial control
influence the people who actually carry it out
twenty-first century
Hard article, warranted a reread if I had time
state’s second face and must work to build a less distortedaccount of American politics that reflects—as more than an unfortunate anomaly—the politicallives of RCS communities.
For one just accepting that the state is not benevolent
repression, subjugation, and social control
Which it primarily does through police
rather than as resourceful, creative, anddeliberate political actors
Just working outside the normal bounds
strengthen racial learning,diminish faith in the American Dream, reduce individuals’ senses of their equal worth, exacerbateperceptions of individual and group discrimination, and cultivate “serious misgivings about theextent of equality
yikes
genuine physi-cal education through which the individual interiorizes his social position
Taught to be subbordinate
In this way, police act as messengers for therules of a racialized class system, teaching people in RCS communities what to wear and howto comport themselves, which public spaces to avoid, and what kinds of actions are forbidden tothem
They reflect the state but they also reflect society, a hotbed for creating the rules of race relations and reinforces stereotypes about them
assuming the position of a second-class citizen, or three-fifths of a citizen, or a denizen, oran at-will citizen allowed autonomy only at the discretion of the law officer
Forced to play into the definition the state/police are setting
take thestand” to demonstrate their law-abidingness before ever going to court
Guilty until proven innocent
experiences of pain into collective narratives
Candyman
of identity and practices ofsocial valuation
But also must create a negative self view to a degree
criminal stigmabecomes a wellspring of racial stigma
Making these the same
Brandedas criminals, individuals experience limited access to social, political, and economic goods, rangingfrom jobs, professional licensing, and even school opportunities to social welfare benefits andvoting
Back to the political effects
basis of appearance: baggy pants, red or blue clothes
On no real grounds
symbolically marking RCS communities as in need of oversightand contrasting their residents against “law-abiding” citizens who need protection from threat-ening elements in RCS communities
Vicious cycle
Police encounters in public spaces functionas daily rituals indicating who is suspicious, who can be trusted with freedoms, and who deservesthe benefits afforded to citizens in full standing;
Defining worth and citizenship, creating race with this definition
Rather, political actors construct and reconstruct race as they use institutions to dividepopulations, define the terms of their relations, and subject them to different modes of governance
Juts a denomination for control
Yet our subfield has little to say about how policing and criminal justice constructrace and class themselves, or indeed how policing itself may “recreate and enforce the country’sracial divide
Policing is a stereotype now
functions that provided broad and amorphous powers to deeply intervene into the daily lives ofthe urban poor
Lowkey didn't have to be a bad thing
In the JimCrow South, welfare officials facilitated the exploitation of black workers by applying “employablemother” rules, using vague eligibility rules to deny benefits, inspecting homes for moral violations,or simply shuttering the welfare office when hands were needed in the fields
Police as a way to enact government beyond just criminal proceedings
“mental health facilitators,school disciplinarians, public housing managers, and guards against park trespassing
Among other things, just not work they are trained to do
to discipline clients and aggressively investigate and prosecutecases of welfare fraud as felonies
Policing bleeds into everything
this profile fits nearly perfectly the classic Europeanmodel of a state against which the U.S. is usually contrasted.
The police are a mode of dictatorship?
This engendersin him a distrust and resentful attitude toward all public authorities and law officers
Forced self disenfranchisement
hey are subject to state failures to provide securityfrom violence and deprivation (see, e.g., Kennedy 1998, Muhammad 2010, Fortner 2015, Leovy2015, Miller 2016), yet also subject to state projects of repression and discipline that work to sus-tain subjugation
Vicious cycle if I've ever seen one
Residents turnto the police in an effort to mobilize state powers on their behalf, and they target police when theyrise up to contest state powers over their lives.
Seems similar to the second point
police stops and criminal custody have become normal and expected experiencesof government
gonna lessen trust in the state and political involvement
governcitizens, regulate their behaviors, revoke their freedoms, redefine their civic standing, and imposeviolence on them
Police are the mechanism for this
apolitical
not
ordinary citizens
But we just saw that they have millions of contacts with ordinary citizens in a given year
urban neighborhoods and serviced race- andclass-based residential segregation
The advance team of disadvantaging black communities for other policy to swoop in later
The new regime “creat[ed]hundreds of thousands of additional contacts between police and the policed
and by extension, means of control
urban problem solvers
This is facts, and this is how people view them, this all stems from broken window stuff?
disciplining poor and disordered communities,targeting people not because they were serious criminals but because they were precarious andpowerless: policing based on “their status as people with problems but without property
This is where the failure of the first face perpetuates the second face
Yet scores of studies revealed troubling evidence:High-volume stops and low-level arrests were weakly correlated with crime but showed a strongconnection to race, poverty, and place
Wasn't even working
were to the newgeneration what the Jim Crow rituals had been to the generation before
and more ubiquitous
target areas, find suspicious individuals, question them until they consent to search, and get luckyby finding something on them
Race and poverty getting intertwined here
elimination of disorder and theregulatory enforcement of codes against disordered people and places.
Perceived
Figuratively speaking, it was thewindows community members had broken and failed to repair that now conveyed and fomenteddisrespect and disregard for the law
Crime became synonymous with degradation
Civil order violations and misdemeanor offenses rosequickly and became a far more frequent gateway to criminal adjudication, as arrested individualsfrequently pled guilty to small-time infractions to avoid sitting in jail
Problem with Clintons three strikes
argument was that police should moveaggressively against minor infractions, no matter how peripheral to public safety they seemed
Yiiiiikes
federal resources flowed to local police with little categorical restraints onhow they should be spent.
Also reflective of public opinion to empower them
(and what they teach by what they do) has implications beyond policing.
Police have the power to shape public opinion
expanded, deepened, and routinizedpolice involvement in the daily lives of RCS communities
Made them an institution against their will
the growing infrastructure of immigrationpolicing
I am interested in this
including those with police, jails, courts, bail offices, housingauthorities, and the gamut of other street-level bureaucracies that encircle the poor.
We are learning the buildup to the jail lecture
from too much government engagement—in the forms of supervision,interference, and predation.
Too much of the second face of gov combined with not enough of the first
has been diverted from serious political analysis of policing andrelated criminal justice operations by its steady focus on national contests over electoral and policyoutcomes
Not paying attention to the right things
officials that exercise social control and encompassvarious modes of coercion, containment, repression, surveillance, regulation, predation, discipline,and violence.
First face is the bad/good job they are supposed to be doing, second face is what they do with their power
second face
second face is the implied power that comes with being in the government
black and Latino residents as suspect populations andsubjecting them to similar projects of “extractive policing” and “government seizure”
Ways to extort ethnic politics
extract revenues for the municipality
Corruption still
through coercion,containment, repression, surveillance, regulation, predation, discipline, andviolence
Oh joy
some
emphasis on some
I G U R E
Almost no significance
In a nationof 18,000 law enforcement agencies, discussions of“policing” writ large may often mask importantheterogeneity.
There is variation, numb nuts
mean that effects areestimated with substantially more noise.
Makes me doubt the generalizability of chicago
F I G U R E
Ethnicity is more important than party affiliation
Black and White offi-cers, and (3) Hispanic and White officers, as wellas conditional Democratic–Republican comparisonswithin
How does race and ethnicity play in
Democraticand Republican officers
Does party affiliation change behavior
all instances of the number “8”appear to have been manually deleted from datesand times in the use-of-force data, requiring imputa-tion to remedy; and (3) civilian ethnicity was excludedfrom stop data despite evidence that HPD tracks thisinformation for its annual reports
Scary for other reasons
if officers from differ-ent social identities do not treat civilians differently,there is little reason to suspect AR is occurring.
Which would be a good thing in policing
We usethese covariates, along with 2015–2019 five-year Amer-ican Community Survey data, to evaluate PR
Are officers politically similar to their populations
However,even in the district with the highest share of Repub-lican residents, civilians are roughly 9% Republican.
Still overrepresented, even in chicago
In the division with the lowest share ofRepublican residents, only 2% of civilians are Repub-lican, compared to 37% of officers
This is more across the board than they made it sound
T A B L E
This is mega yikes lowkey
Results show police officers diverge from their juris-dictions on every attribute we measure.
Not representative
if each current officer was insteadreplaced with a random draw from their respectivejurisdiction while holding agency sizes fixed
Perfect representation
agency level. For officer race and gender, we rely onagency responses to federal surveys, avoiding the esti-mated voter file proxies. In our behavioral analysis ofChicago and Houston, we use voter file measures ofparty identification but rely on individual-level racialdata obtained through open-records requests.
No problems
officers can provide AR fortheir partisan group without identifying or knowinglyinteracting with individual copartisans.
Maybe reps and drug use
so stronglytied to matters of race, officers may actively repre-sent copartisans indirectly through their treatmentof various civilian racial groups
reps will treat white people better
tooccur when the salience of a relevant identity increases
Both for bureaucrats and citizens
staffing agencies withworkers who share values with the population at largewill promote desirable outputs
better outcomes when they are representative
bureaucratic oversight is often incapable of ensuringthat bureaucrats will exercise discretion in desirableways
May act poorly
diverging from partisanpreferences on policing policy in the general popula-tion
Surprising, I wonder if they offer theories
Each test compares officers deployed tocomparable places, times, and tasks, ensuring officerbehavior is always evaluated against behavior by peersfacing common circumstances
Like a treatment
e.g., selec-tively analyzing only the subset of situations whereofficers chose to make stops or issue citations
Also looking at when they did not make arrests
every sin-gle district in Chicago and nearly every division inHouston is policed by officers who skew more Repub-lican than local residents
Again, a scary thought
police officers are notonly more likely to affiliate with the Republican Party,they also have higher household income, vote moreoften, and are more likely to be White.
And when you read this, you're scared
And how do officers with differ-ing partisan affiliations behave when interacting withthose civilians?
Are the police just going to take matters into their own hands
olice officers experience nosuch constraint
Can act on their partisan beliefs
Our results suggest that despite Republicans’ preference formore punitive law enforcement policy and their overrepresentation in polic-ing, partisan divisions often do not translate into detectable differences inon-the-ground enforcement.
Thats a nice conclusion
Police skew more Republican than their jurisdictions,with notable exceptions.
Similar to sheriff findings from last semester
We need toobserve the intervening political processes—and toaccount for a wide range of alternative mechanisms
This is where institutions are also probably quite important
nce local demographicsstabilize, and with them residents’ expectations,diverse localities face no special barriers to raisingtaxes.
Adjustment is one hell of a thing
ethnically charged battles in Massachu-setts communities in this period.
It wasn't heavily politicized which lends credit to the expectation idea
Above all, the centrality ofelites in the decision to hold a tax vote emerges fromthe newspaper articles.
salience of ellites
can transform political agendas, with aspecial impact on easily ignored, long-term issues
the politically volatile ones
But the evidence shows the opposite:that increases in diversity shape the holding of votesmore than their eventual success
So politicians actually have a good finger on the pulse
Preference divergenceis one such mechanism
This makes intuitive sense to me, for the most part one would think that the public of public goods was generally good fro all
have markedeffects on those towns’ willingness to make long-termpublic investments
long term public goods
But whatmany researchers have missed is the role of changes indiversity.
The uncertainty factor
The results are also robust to the inclusion ofseveral economic and fiscal variables (e.g., unemploy-ment rate) and several measures of community stabil-ity (e.g., the percent of people in the same home in1985 and 1990). The results are not driven by housingprices or the change in housing prices, an alternativepathway through which diversity might shape prop-erty tax rates.
More to be said here but basically the results hold
2.950
In override votes, changes are not significant, implying residents might be anticipating moving
many of the most predictive variablesare economic measures such as the tax rate and themedian household income.
Makes sense, economic concerns almost always win out
and included 15indicator variables denoting how long since the lastoccurrence of the dependent variable.15 Year indicatorvariables capture unobserved time effects.
Like sure, I do not know this stuff yet
This analysis shows that changing diversity—but notthe baseline level of diversity—matters in predictingdebt exclusion vote
long term, public goods
Evidence: Diversity’s Impact
The findings
Avg. CommuteTime 90
Suburban metric, clever
it compares towns that pass increases to allothers, limiting the selection bias induced by thetown officials’ decision to hold the vote.
Also if anything this would lead to an underestimate
so wecannot use the election results as a straightforwardestimate of public preferences
Because some opinions may not see the light of day
leaders in diversecommunities will propose spending initiatives notsupported by their constituents—and so will seethem fail at the ballot box.
Sort of a subset of different preferences
iverse communities’lower social capital might in turn dampen theircollective willingness to make public investments.
Might be valid to question whether there is a decrease in social capital
with opportunities toattract new voters, to gain recognition, and to ad-vance their agenda. These divisive questions can alsodivide local leaders and generate lasting cleavages,making it harder to bring together a coalition in sup-port of increased taxes.
New electoral power among diverse voters
So long as it shapesresidents’ long-term expectations, diversity couldmatter without becoming a visible topic of localpolitics
Might have to have a history of politicization though
increasesin ethnic and racial diversity will mostly affect resi-dents’ support for capital projects and other long-termplans
Public goods
Sociologists have demonstrated that racial andethnic considerations are often paramount when in-dividuals consider where to move.
Maybe also racism again
moving decisions
homevalue
Other work has shown that localdiversity shapes attitudes towards public spendingonly when race and ethnicity are highly politicized
I mean hypothetically social contact theory could make good relations
a diverse locality might lead whites tosee public spending as having diminishing benefitsfor them
This is sort of just blatant racism though
perceived
only has to be perceived
When called to the ballot box, local voters are likelyto know when the proposal will come to fruition.While current spending provides tangible benefits inthe near-term, capital investments take years, and sorequire both significant trust in the taxing authorityand a broad construction of one’s self-interest.
And a more general affect for one's community, but reasonably good proxies
The second is that each ethnic group’sutility level for a given public good is reduced if othergroups also use it’
competition, assumes ethnicities vote as a bloc
One is that different ethnic groups have differentpreferences over which type of public goods toproduce
Diversity in ethnicity is diversity in opinions
By shaping whether towns ever considernew tax proposals, rising diversity can have a stealthimpact even absent visible and contentious localpolitical battles
Doesn't even make it to the floor
the effect is strong only on votesabout long-term capital spending, suggesting thatdemographic changes operate in part by narrowingpeople’s time horizons.
Reminds me of the refugee paper from ethnic conflict
willingness to hold or passmeasures that raise taxes
are taxes a good proxy for public goods provision
11 percentage points weighting towns by population.Massachusetts remains more homogeneous than Texas,but the same probability in Texas school districtsdropped by just two percentage points duringthe 1990s.
The diversity is mass is changing at a greater rate
subsequent
cause and effect
ofeconomic decline or of urban labor markets
Lots of confounding variables
diverse environments generate distinctive opinions,which are then translated into policy by local leaders
Fracturing of opinions?
If the candidate is good enough to hold his own withother voters, then the fact that he has the right kind of name maybe just the added fillip needed for success.319
But also if the office is lower down, ethnicity becomes an easier description
ClearlytherewasnogreatdesertionofItalianDemocraticvoterstovoteforaRepublicancompatriot.‘Arethere,then,no exc
Certainly party lines are stronger than ethnic ones
ontoadmitthatattimes,asSamuelLubell and other
Not what decides events on election day
Very frequently the nomination goes to the man withan “O” at the beginning or end of his name rather than to an indi-vidual who might make a good officcholder on other and perhapsmore significant grounds.
represent
nklysaytheywillunlessthe leaders)demandsaremet?
Surely going to be more dependent on economics
nceofethnicrivalries,InthediscussionofNewHampshire,Tpointedouthowdevastatin
Both internally and in relation to each other
pwardsocialandeconomicmobilityofethnic‘minoritype
Partly due to assimilation no?
Democratic party.
i.e poor
leadership of the partyfand a general af
Political machines
why substitute any moredebatable and contestable issu
The idiocy works
ionofthesecond la
I mean look at trump today
lprinciplesofthegreatMazzini, andhasourinterestsatheartbecauseheismarriedtooneofourpeople."Somepoliticiansnow claimthatLodgeoverdidthespecialappea
It isn't the highest power but it can act as an in
MereappealtotheOldSod,thevirtuesofMazziniorPulaskiisnotenough.Althoughabitmore
Ethnic = white here
hepoliticalarrivaloftheItalians,thePolish,andtheFrench-CanadiansthreatenedthehegemonyoftheTrishleadershipoftheDemocraticpartyintheurbanareas,
Ethnic differences are most salient at the beginning
eesas“Viewedtahistoricalperspe
Mobilize
Gnicfactors perse.Oveetime ethnicdistinctions anditacscseatssr'werdevay)Wigl
Religion over ethnicity
involved-—thereligiousdivisionsintheNewEag-faeelesosegare vottestprovlenseThaa-insomeresponstho factthat4
Or at least political differences on salient issues
information is forbidden by law.
Already talked about how religion can shape law
philosophic and social differences be-tween Protestantism and Catholicism,
differnce in policy but also day to day norms
snotuncommon:in1834aconventinChar
Economics always rule
based as much on bigotry as land or building
Akin to redlinning
building laws, lax health regulations, inefficient inspection of food andmilk, uncleaned streets, overcrowded school buildings, and unsupervisedplaygrounds”
The tings that get cut in favor of private goods
housing developments be-came terrifying places to live, trapping people in prisons filled with vio-lence and drugs.
With no political power to save them
were the elite develop-ers, who were so powerful that city planning was often driven wholly bytheir preferences.
The 1%
middle-class migrantstotheWestalsobenefitedfromreformgovernments’responsivenesstoresidentialdevelopers.
They get all of the small things and the small things build up. But housing is a big thing that they also got
Asmentioned in chapter 1, none of these leaders could afford to rest on biasalone. They worked for reelection as all politicians do, by cultivatingareliable constituency.
The bias was so clear in the sessemination of bemefits thouhj
symbolic benefits that cost few resources.
Didn't do much besides PR
Daley’scity“thatworked”metthedemandsofthiscon-stituency.He focusedon streetrepairs and beautification,garbagecol-lectionandsnow removal, lowpropertytaxes and preservationofprop-ertyvalues
So it works for the contiuents, they are getting to live a good city. They didn't always mean a miority got left put, sometoimes they were in control, but often it meant that African Americans got fucked.
Irishpatronagefaroutstripped populationshares.
Benefited the groups that those in office represented
spending on roads and decreased spending on healthand welfare.
Both required business support and were not worried about regualr people
but represent large sums of real money.
regression echos the bar plot arguing that the provision of publci goods fell
Public good
Mostly what we care about, so why did machines target white voters?
I analyze expenditures in the categories of health andpublic welfare.'
This feels like the best proxy but even then there may be other groups that are invested
Reformers’ core constituents werewhite, middle-class voters, and, thus, city spending on sanitation ser-vices—a major concern of homeowners—is used to represent their de-mands
ok lowkey a questionable proxiy, I am more tempted to look at anecodatl evidence here
broader community demands.
majority demands
Narrowly Distributed Benefits
Selectorate theory can explain this, it was basically a one party disctatprship
Oncethe regime collapsed, these areas again turned out at higher rates.
Common sense argument for repression
eripheral Core marginturnout turnout of victory turnout
Even the people dissatified, or being done dirt, were not runting out
bynon-corecoalitionmembers.
They were being excluded
theseregimescouldwinreelectionwithonlyasmall shareoftheeligibleelectoratevotingthembackintooffice
See the systems tneyh put in place from chpoater one, they shrunk the winning colation legally or illegally
.38*
Generally had less turnout