- Jan 2024
-
-
-
for: COP28 talk - later is too late, Global tipping points report, question - are there maps of feedbacks of positive tipping points?, My Climate Risk, ICICLE, positive tipping points, social tipping points
-
NOTE
- This video is not yet available on YouTube so couldn't not be docdropped for annotation. So all annotations are done here referred to timestamp
-
SUMMARY
-
This video has not been uploaded on youtube yet so there is no transcription and I am manually annotating on this page.
-
Positive tipping points
- not as well studied as negative tipping points
- cost parity is the most obvious but there are other factors relating to
- politics
- psychology
- We are in a path dependency so we need disruptive change
-
-
SPEAKER PANEL
- Pierre Fredlingstein, Uni of Exeter - Global carbon budget report
- Rosalyn Conforth, Uni of Reading - Adaptation Gap report
- Tim Lenton, Uni of Exeter - Global Tipping Report
-
Global Carbon Budget report summary
-
0:19:47: Graph of largest emitters
- graph
- comment
- wow! We are all essentially dependent on China! How do citizens around the world influence China? I suppose if ANY of these major emitters don't radically reduce, we won't stay under 1.5 Deg C, but China is the biggest one.
-
00:20:51: Land Use Emissions
-
three countries represent 55% of all land use emissions - Brazil - DRC - Indonesia
-
00:21:55: CDR
- forests: 1.9 Gt / 5% of annual Fossil Fuel CO2 emissions
- technological CDR: 0.000025% of annual Fossil Fuel CO2 emissions
-
00:23:00: Remaining Carbon Budget
- 1.5 Deg C: 275 Gt CO2
- 1.7 Deg C. 625 Gt CO2
- 2.0 Deg C. 1150 Gt CO2
-
Advancing an Inclusive Process for Adaptation Planning and Action
-
adaptation is underfinanced. The gap is:
- 194 billion / year
- 366 billion / year by 2030
- climate change increases transboundary issues
- need transboundary agreements but these are absent
- conflicts and migration are a result of such transboundary climate impacts
- people are increasing climate impacts to try to survive due to existing climate impacts
-00:29:46: My Climate Risk Regional Hubs - Looking at climate risks from a local perspective. - @Nate, @SoNeC - 00:30:33 ""ICICLE** storyllines - need bottom-up approach (ICICLE - Integrated Climate Livelihood and and Environment storylines)
-
00:32:58: Global Tipping Points
-
00:33:46: Five of planetary systems can tip at the current 1.2 Deg C
- Greenland Ice Sheet
- West Antarctic
- Permafrost
- Coral Reefs - 500 million people
- Subpolar Gyre of North Atlantic - ice age in Europe
- goes in a decade - like British Columbia climate
-
00:35:39
- risks go up disproportionately with every 0.1 deg C of warming. There is no longer a business-as-usual option now. We CANNOT ACT INCREMENTALLY NOW.
-
00:36:00
- we calculate a need of a speed up of a factor of 7 to shut down greenhouse gas emissions and that is done through positive tipping points.
-00:37:00 - We have accelerating positive feedbacks and if we coordinate policy changes with consumer behavior change and business behavior change to reinforce these positive feedbacks, we can help accelerate change in the other sectors of the global economy responsible for all the other emissions
-
00:37:30
- in the report we walk you through the other sectors, where their tipping points are and how we have to act to trigger them. This is the only viable path out of our situation.
-
00:38:10
- Positive tipping points can also reinforce each other
- Question: Are there maps of the feedbacks of positive tipping points?
- Tim only discusses economic and technological positive tipping points and does not talk about social or societal
-
-
- Nov 2022
-
www-proquest-com.ezproxy.libproxy.db.erau.edu www-proquest-com.ezproxy.libproxy.db.erau.edu
-
Since adequately performing economies use too much energy, other research has formulated low energy consumption levels satisfying human needs. What would low energy life be like? For starters, an end to private transportation, not just switching to electric vehicles. People will have to rely on public transit and “active” transport (e.g., walking).
Not going to be a possibility for most people
-
Estimates put the level of energy use “compatible with avoiding 1.5ºC of global warming without relying on negative emissions technology” at around 7,500 kilowatt-hours per person per year. Americans currently use more than ten times this level, so our energy use would need to decline drastically
We use too much energy for this to be possible
-
-
go-gale-com.ezproxy.libproxy.db.erau.edu go-gale-com.ezproxy.libproxy.db.erau.edu
-
Many INDCs lack necessary details, such as clarity on sectors and gases covered, details on the impact of listed mitigation actions, different metrics to aggregate gases, details on base year or reference values from which reductions or improvements would be measured, or accounting practices related to land use and the use of specific market mechanisms (
Countries were only concerned with delivering a result rather than giving good solutions
-
About two thirds of the available budget for keeping warming to below 2[degrees]C have already been emitted
no money for change
-
The INDCs collectively lower greenhouse gas emissions compared to where current policies stand, but still imply a median warming of 2.6-3.1 degrees Celsius by 2100. More can be achieved, because the agreement stipulates that targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions are strengthened over time, both in ambition and scope
Agaisnt too late
-
-
onlinelibrary-wiley-com.ezproxy.libproxy.db.erau.edu onlinelibrary-wiley-com.ezproxy.libproxy.db.erau.edu
-
On the other hand, emissions from the building sector are expected to rise from 9 gigatonnes (Gt) in 2004 to 11 to 16 Gt in 2030, mainly due to economic growth in developing countries (IPCC 2007). Given climate change as a global constraint to future use of fossil fuels, it is the responsibility of the industrialized nations to develop an energy efficient building stock in order to facilitate economic development elsewhere in the world. Recent policy proposals (European Commision 2011; Kelly 2009) make similar arguments and suggest sectoral reduction targets of 80% or more for developed regions.
Arguement for it is too late
-
As heat losses of buildings are minimized during transformation, energy for hot water and appliances becomes the dominant contributor to sectoral energy demand. Reducing the sectoral carbon footprint by at least 50%, as required to limit global warming to 2°C, cannot be achieved by transforming the stock alone; additional measures such as lowering consumption from hot water generation or appliances and changes that impact lifestyle, such as smaller dwellings and more people per dwelling, are required.
Against its too late
-
- Mar 2022
-
-
In 1994, The Unix-Haters Handbook was published containing a long list of missives about the software—everything from overly-cryptic command names that were optimized for Teletype machines, to irreversible file deletion, to unintuitive programs with far too many options. Over twenty years later, an overwhelming majority of these complaints are still valid even across the dozens of modern derivatives. Unix had become so widely used that changing its behavior would have challenging implications. For better
-
- Sep 2021
-
stackoverflow.com stackoverflow.com
-
Unfortunately, it's too late to make the question more specific as this would invalidate some of the (good) answers.
-
- Jul 2021
-
www.techradar.com www.techradar.com
-
While Microsoft is entirely in the right by reminding people of the terms they agreed to, many users are taking issue with the fact that they hadn’t been warned about the limit in the eight years it’s been in place, and many people are now being told they are over the limit after years of being over.
-
- Mar 2021
-
github.com github.com
-
yeah I discovered too late that #310 exists and does that
Tags
Annotators
URL
-
- Feb 2021
-
-
My only concern with this approach is that if someone calls #valid? on the form object afterwards, it would under the hood currently delete the existing errors on the form object and revalidate. The could have unexpected side effects where the errors added by the models passed in or the service called will be lost.
-
My concern with this approach is still that it's somewhat brittle with the current implementation of valid? because whilst valid? appears to be a predicate and should have no side effects, this is not the case and could remove the errors applied by one of the steps above.
-
- Jan 2021
-
unix.stackexchange.com unix.stackexchange.com
-
As you installed a development release (17.04) that had only a 9-month life span and had an End of Life (EOL) in Jan 2018, there is no way to upgrade it to 17.10 as that went EOL back in July 2018. So as you're stuck with a release without an upgrade path (as you cannot skip versions)
-
-
discourse.ubuntu.com discourse.ubuntu.com
-
The “no-snaps” ship already sailed years ago…you folks missed that boat. It’s too late to wish for a return to the past. Snaps in Ubuntu have been happening for years already, and will continue regardless of any opinions expressed here.
-
- Aug 2020
-
github.com github.com
-
I really can't see how we can trust browsers accept headers. :'( More about the situation than about your statement.
-
-
github.com github.com
-
Safari sends following order application/xml (q is 1) application/xhtml+xml (q is 1) image/png (q is 1) text/html (q is 0.9) text/plain (q is 0.8) \*/\* (q is 0.5) So you visit www.myappp.com in safari and if the app supports .xml then Rails should render .xml file. This is not what user wants to see. User wants to see .html page not .xml page.
-
- Jul 2020
-
-
In the Set class we already called this - and difference, which it is ok but not really accurate because of the previous explanation, but probably not worthwhile to change it.
Is this saying that the name difference is inaccurate?
Why is it inaccurate? You even called it the "theoretic difference" above.
Is that because "relative complement" would be better? Or because the full phrase "theoretic difference" [https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/set-theoretic_difference] is required in order for it to be accurate rather than just "difference"?
-
- Dec 2019
-
stackoverflow.com stackoverflow.com
-
Basically, the standard said something, interpreters ignored it because the standard seemed illogical, but now interpreters like Bash have really confusing semantics, and no-one wants to fix it.
-
- Dec 2017
-
crumplab.github.io crumplab.github.io
-
cles For journal articles, the generic format for a reference is as follows: Author, A. A., Author, B. B., & Author, C. C. (year). Title of article. Title of Journal, xx(yy), pp–pp. doi:xx.xxxxxxxxxx
-