Bias-variance trade-off

It should not be used as a primary decision-making tool, but instead as a complement to other methods of determining the source of a piece of text.

Training language models to follow instructionswith human feedback

Reinforcement learning uses neural networks to generate a mathematical expression sequentially by adding mathematical symbols from a predefined vocabulary and using the learned policy to decide which notation symbol to be added next140. The mathematical formula is represented as a parse tree. The learned policy takes the parse tree as input to determine what leaf node to expand and what notation (from the vocabulary) to add

In chemistry, models such as simplified molecular-input line-entry system (SMILES)-VAE155 can transform SMILES strings, which are molecular notations of chemical structures in the form of a discrete series of symbols that computers can easily understand, into a differentiable latent space that can be optimized using Bayesian optimization techniques (Fig. 3c).

Neural operators are guaranteed to be discretization invariant, meaning that they can work on any discretization of inputs and converge to a limit upon mesh refinement. Once neural operators are trained, they can be evaluated at any resolution without the need for re-training. In contrast, the performance of standard neural networks can degrade when data resolution during deployment changes from model training.

Standard neural network models can be inadequate for scientific applications as they assume a fixed data discretization. This approach is unsuitable for many scientific datasets collected at varying resolutions and grids.

generating hypotheses

Applications of symbolic regression in physics use grammar VAEs150. These models represent discrete symbolic expressions as parse trees using context-free grammar and map the trees into a differentiable latent space. Bayesian optimization is then employed to optimize the latent space for symbolic laws while ensuring that the expressions are syntactically valid. In a related study, Brunton and colleagues151 introduced a method for differentiating symbolic rules by assigning trainable weights to predefined basis functions. Sparse regression was used to select a linear combination of the basis functions that accurately represented the dynamic system while maintaining compactness. Unlike equivariant neural networks, which use a predefined inductive bias to enforce symmetry, symmetry can be discovered as the characteristic behaviour of a domain. For instance, Liu and Tegmark152 described asymmetry as a smooth loss function and minimized the loss function to extract previously unknown symmetries. This approach was applied to uncover hidden symmetries in black-hole waveform datasets, revealing unexpected space–time structures that were historically challenging to find.

to address the difficulties that scientists care about, the development and evaluation of AI methods must be done in real-world scenarios, such as plausibly realizable synthesis paths in drug design217,218, and include well calibrated uncertainty estimators to assess the model’s reliability before transitioning it to real-world implementation

However, current transfer-learning schemes can be ad hoc, lack theoretical guidance213 and are vulnerable to shifts in underlying distributions214. Although preliminary attempts have addressed this challenge215,216, more exploration is needed to systematically measure transferability across domains and prevent negative transfer.

Another approach for using neural networks to solve mathematical problems is transforming a mathematical formula into a binary sequence of symbols. A neural network policy can then probabilistically and sequentially grow the sequence one binary character at a time6. By designing a reward that measures the ability to refute the conjecture, this approach can find a refutation to a mathematical conjecture without prior knowledge about the mathematical problem.

foresighted

AI methods have become invaluable when hypotheses involve complex objects such as molecules. For instance, in protein folding, AlphaFold210 can predict the 3D atom coordinates of proteins from amino acid sequences with atomic accuracy, even for proteins whose structure is unlike any of the proteins in the training dataset.

Transformer architectures

Such pretrained models96,97,98 with a broad understanding of a scientific domain are general-purpose predictors that can be adapted for various tasks, thereby improving label efficiency and surpassing purely supervised methods8.

In the analysis of scientific images, objects do not change when translated in the image, meaning that image segmentation masks are translationally equivariant as they change equivalently when input pixels are translated.

Symmetry is a widely studied concept in geometry69. It can be described in terms of invariance and equivariance (Box 1) to represent the behaviour of a mathematical function, such as a neural feature encoder, under a group of transformations, such as the SE(3) group in rigid body dynamics.

Another strategy for data labelling leverages surrogate models trained on manually labelled data to annotate unlabelled samples and uses these predicted pseudo-labels to supervise downstream predictive models.

To identify rare events for future scientific enquiry, deep-learning methods18 replace pre-programmed hardware event triggers with algorithms that search for outlying signals to detect unforeseen or rare phenomena

Recent findings demonstrate the potential for unsupervised language AI models to capture complex scientific concepts15, such as the periodic table, and predict applications of functional materials years before their discovery, suggesting that latent knowledge regarding future discoveries may be embedded in past publications.

inductive biases (Box 1), which are assumptions representing structure, symmetry, constraints and prior knowledge as compact mathematical statements. However, applying these laws can lead to equations that are too complex for humans to solve, even with traditional numerical methods9. An emerging approach is incorporating scientific knowledge into AI models by including information about fundamental equations, such as the laws of physics or principles of molecular structure and binding in protein folding. Such inductive biases can enhance AI models by reducing the number of training examples needed to achieve the same level of accuracy10 and scaling analyses to a vast space of unexplored scientific hypotheses11.

Box 1 Glossary

and coupled with new algorithms

geometric deep learning (Box 1) has proved to be helpful in integrating scientific knowledge, presented as compact mathematical statements of physical relationships, prior distributions, constraints and other complex descriptors, such as the geometry of atoms in molecules

LaMDA: Language Models for Dialog Application

Quantitatively, SPRING with GPT-4 outperforms all state-of-the-art RLbaselines, trained for 1M steps, without any training.

“Rung 1.5” Pearl’s ladder of causation [1, 10] ranks structures in a similar way as we do, i.e., increasing amodel’s causal knowledge will yield a higher place upon his ladder. Like Pearl, we have three different levelsin our scale. However, they do not correspond one-to-one.

We find empirically that for best-of-n (BoN) sampling

d

RL

LaMDA pre-training as a language model.

Safety does not seem to benefit much from model scaling without fine-tuning.

How LaMDA handles groundedness through interactions with an external information retrieval system

Daniel Adiwardana, Minh-Thang Luong, David R. So, Jamie Hall, Noah Fiedel, Romal Thoppilan, Zi Yang,Apoorv Kulshreshtha, Gaurav Nemade, Yifeng Lu, and Quoc V. Le. Towards a human-like open-domain chatbot.arXiv preprint arXiv:2001.09977, 2020

Using one model for both generation and discrimination enables an efficient combined generate-and-discriminateprocedure.

LaMDA Mount Everest provides factsthat could not be attributed to known sources in about 30% of response

linear

Because DDPG is an off-policy algorithm, the replay buffer can be large, allowingthe algorithm to benefit from learning across a set of uncorrelated transitions.

One challenge when using neural networks for reinforcement learning is that most optimization al-gorithms assume that the samples are independently and identically distributed. Obviously, whenthe samples are generated from exploring sequentially in an environment this assumption no longerholds. Additionally, to make efficient use of hardware optimizations, it is essential to learn in mini-batches, rather than online.As in DQN, we used a replay buffer to address these issues

The DPG algorithm maintains a parameterized actor function μ(s|θμ) which specifies the currentpolicy by deterministically mapping states to a specific action. The critic Q(s, a) is learned usingthe Bellman equation as in Q-learning. The actor is updated by following the applying the chain ruleto the expected return from the start distribution J with respect to the actor parameters:∇θμ J ≈ Est∼ρβ[∇θμ Q(s, a|θQ)|s=st,a=μ(st|θμ)]= Est∼ρβ[∇aQ(s, a|θQ)|s=st,a=μ(st)∇θμ μ(s|θμ)|s=st] (6)Silver et al. (2014) proved that this is the policy gradient, the gradient of the policy’s performance

Interestingly, all of our experiments used substantially fewer steps of experience than was used byDQN learning to find solutions in the Atari domain.

The original DPG paper evaluated the algorithm with toy problems using tile-coding and linearfunction approximators. It demonstrated data efficiency advantages for off-policy DPG over bothon- and off-policy stochastic actor critic.

It can be challenging to learn accurate value estimates. Q-learning, for example, is prone to over-estimating values (Hasselt, 2010). We examined DDPG’s estimates empirically by comparing thevalues estimated by Q after training with the true returns seen on test episodes. Figure 3 shows thatin simple tasks DDPG estimates returns accurately without systematic biases. For harder tasks theQ estimates are worse, but DDPG is still able learn good policies.

It is not possible to straightforwardly apply Q-learning to continuous action spaces, because in con-tinuous spaces finding the greedy policy requires an optimization of at at every timestep; this opti-mization is too slow to be practical with large, unconstrained function approximators and nontrivialaction spaces

Our contribution here is to provide modifications to DPG, inspired bythe success of DQN, which allow it to use neural network function approximators to learn in largestate and action spaces online

Directly implementing Q learning (equation 4) with neural networks proved to be unstable in manyenvironments.

As with Q learning, introducing non-linear function approximators means that convergence is nolonger guaranteed. However, such approximators appear essential in order to learn and generalizeon large state spaces.

We refer to our algorithm as Deep DPG (DDPG, Algorithm 1).

This means that the target values are constrained to change slowly, greatlyimproving the stability of learning.

A major challenge of learning in continuous action spaces is exploration. An advantage of off-policies algorithms such as DDPG is that we can treat the problem of exploration independentlyfrom the learning algorithm.

but modified for actor-critic and using “soft” target updates, rather thandirectly copying the weights.

his simple change moves the relatively unstable problem oflearning the action-value function closer to the case of supervised learning, a problem for whichrobust solutions exist.

One approach to this problem is to manually scale the features so they are in similar ranges acrossenvironments and units. We address this issue by adapting a recent technique from deep learningcalled batch normalization

minimize covariance shif

normalizes each dimensionacross the samples in a minibatch to have unit mean and variance

IMPALA: Scalable Distributed Deep-RL with Importance WeightedActor-Learner Architectures

We achieve stable learning at high through-put by combining decoupled acting and learningwith a novel off-policy correction method calledV-trace.

we aim to solve a large collection oftasks using a single reinforcement learning agentwith a single set of parameters

the progress has been primarily in singletask performance

multi-task reinforcement learning

IMPALA (Figure 1) uses an actor-critic setup to learn apolicy π and a baseline function V π . The process of gener-ating experiences is decoupled from learning the parametersof π and V π . The architecture consists of a set of actors,repeatedly generating trajectories of experience, and one ormore learners that use the experiences sent from actors tolearn π off-policy.

an agent is trained on each task

scalability

separately

We are interested in developing new methodscapable of mastering a diverse set of tasks simultaneously aswell as environments suitable for evaluating such methods.

IMPALA actors communicate trajectoriesof experience (sequences of states, actions, and rewards) to acentralised learner

full trajectories of experience

aggressivelyparallelising all time independent operations

learning becomes off-policy

IM-PALA achieves exceptionally high data throughput rates of250,000 frames per second, making it over 30 times fasterthan single-machine A3C

With the introduction of very deep model architectures, thespeed of a single GPU is often the limiting factor duringtraining.

IMPALA is also moredata efficient than A3C based agents and more robust tohyperparameter values and network architectures

IMPALA use synchronised parameter update which is vitalto maintain data efficiency when scaling to many machines

A3C

Q-learning(Watkins, 1989) is one of the most popular reinforcementlearning algorithms, but it is known to sometimes learn un-realistically high action values because it includes a maxi-mization step over estimated action values, which tends toprefer overestimated to underestimated values

noise

unify these views

we can learn a parameterized value function

insufficiently flexible function approximation

Both the target networkand the experience replay dramatically improve the perfor-mance of the algorithm

The target used by DQN is then

show overestimationscan occur when the action values are inaccurate, irrespectiveof the source of approximation error

θt

upward bias

In the original Double Q-learning algorithm, two valuefunctions are learned by assigning each experience ran-domly to update one of the two value functions, such thatthere are two sets of weights, θ and θ′

θ′t

while Double Q-learning is unbiased.

The orange bars show the bias in a single Q-learning update when the action values are Q(s, a) =V∗(s) + a and the errors {a}ma=1 are independent standardnormal random variables. The second set of action valuesQ′, used for the blue bars, was generated identically and in-dependently. All bars are the average of 100 repetitions.

DDPG

multiplying the rewards gen-erated from an environment by some scalar

ELU

his is akin to clipping therewards to [0, 1]

network structure of

Hyperparameters

PPO

TRPO uses a hard constraint rather than a penalty because it is hardto choose a single value of β that performs well across different problems

gradient estimator

we only ignore the change in probability ratio when it would make the objective improve,and we include it when it makes the objective worse.

ot sufficient to simply choose a fixed penalty coefficient β and optimize the penalizedobjective Equation (5) with SGD

objective function (the “surrogate” objective) is maximized

Generalizingthis choice, we can use a truncated version of generalized advantage estimation

Without a constraint, maximization of LCP I would lead to an excessively large policyupdate; hence, we now consider how to modify the objective, to penalize changes to the policy thatmove rt(θ) away from 1

our goalof a first-order algorithm that emulates the monotonic improvement of TRPO,

A proximal policy optimization (PPO) algorithm that uses fixed-length trajectory segments isshown below. Each iteration, each of N (parallel) actors collect T timesteps of data. Then weconstruct the surrogate loss on these N T timesteps of data, and optimize it with minibatch SGD

Thefirst term inside the min is LCP I . The second term, clip(rt(θ), 1 − , 1 + ) ˆAt, modifies the surrogateobjective by clipping the probability ratio, which removes the incentive for moving rt outside of theinterval [1 − , 1 + ]. Finally, we take the minimum of the clipped and unclipped objective, so thefinal objective is a lower bound (i.e., a pessimistic bound) on the unclipped objective

Clipped Surrogate Objective

Wecan see that LCLIP is a lower bound on LCP I , with a penalty for having too large of a policyupdate

hese methods havethe stability and reliability of trust-region methods but are much simpler to implement, requiringonly few lines of code change to a vanilla policy gradient implementation, applicable in more generalsetting

shows howseveral objectives vary as we interpolate along the policy update direction

Surrogate objectives, as we interpolate between the initial policy parameter θold, and the updatedpolicy parameter, which we compute after one iteration of PPO.

lower bound (i.e., a pessimistic bound

samples transitions with probability ptrelative to the last encountered absolute TD error

RMSprop

his means thatin the loss above, the time index t will be a random time in-dex from the last million transitions, rather than the currenttime.

Multi-step learning.

Prioritized replay.

Prioritized

parameters θ of the online network (which is alsoused to select actions

ablation

θ represents the parame-ters of a target network

a periodic copy of the online net-work which is not directly optimized.

Noisy Nets. The limitations of exploring using -greedypolicies are clear in games such as Montezuma’s Revenge,where many actions must be executed to collect the first re-ward

t is a time step randomly picked from the replaymemory

DDQN

For many tasks our models exhibit human-level performance, and we are the first to report computer agents that can craftdiamond tools, which can take proficient humans upwards of 20 minutes (24,000environment actions) of gameplay to accomplish

e extend the internet-scalepretraining paradigm to sequential decision domains through semi-supervisedimitation learning wherein agents learn to act by watching online unlabeled videos.

an agent isinstructed to obtain a desired goal item

urriculum learning (at least using current RL methods) is that the agentachieves a small success probability (within available/reasonable compute) on a new task aftermastering a previous task.

We study curriculum learning on a set of goal-conditioned Minecraft tasks, in which the agent istasked to collect one out of a set of 107 items from the Minecraft tech tree

Results

It has 5 minutes (1500 time steps) to complete the task and obtains areward of +1 upon success. After each success or failure a new task is selected without resettingthe world or respawning the agent

Simon Says”

Learning progress curriculum

Few-Shot (FS) - the model is given a few demonstrations of the task at inference time asconditioning [ RWC+19 ], but no weights are updated

fuzzy

[KMH+20] Jared Kaplan, Sam McCandlish, Tom Henighan, Tom B. Brown, Benjamin Chess,Rewon Child, Scott Gray, Alec Ra

As found in [ KMH+20 , MKAT18 ], larger models can typically use a larger batch size, but requirea smaller learning rate. We measure the gradient noise scale during training and use it to guideour choice of batch size [MKAT18 ]. Table A.1 shows the parameter settings we used. To train thelarger models without running out of memory, we use a mixture of model parallelism within eachmatrix multiply and model parallelism across the layers of the network. All models were trained onV100 GPU’s on part of a high-bandwidth cluster. Details of the training process and hyperparametersettings are described in the appendix.

We use the same model and architecture as GPT-2

While zero-shot performance establishes a baseline of thepotential performance of GPT-2 on many tasks, it is notclear where the ceiling is with finetuning.

13.19%

The Bloom filterswere constructed such that the false positive rate is upperbounded by 1108 . We further verified the low false positiverate by generating 1M strings, of which zero were found bythe filter

Bloom filters

Recent work in computer vision has shown that common im-age datasets contain a non-trivial amount of near-duplicateimages. For instance CIFAR-10 has 3.3% overlap betweentrain and test images (Barz & Denzler, 2019). This results inan over-reporting of the generalization performance of ma-chine learning systems.

e also add 8,000 text-instructions generated bythe OpenAI API gpt-3.5-turbo model [38],

introducing a unified framework that converts all text-basedlanguage problems into a text-to-text format

In this way, an NTM can be thought of as simultaneously exploring all computational possibilities in parallel and selecting an accepting branch

Computational problems[edit] Intuitively, a computational problem is just a question that can be solved by an algorithm. For example, "is the natural number n {\displaystyle n} prime?" is a computational problem. A computational problem is mathematically represented as the set of answers to the problem. In the primality example, the problem (call it PRIME {\displaystyle {\texttt {PRIME}}} ) is represented by the set of all natural numbers that are prime: PRIME = { n ∈ N | n  is prime } {\displaystyle {\texttt {PRIME}}=\{n\in \mathbb {N} |n{\text{ is prime}}\}} . In the theory of computation, these answers are represented as strings; for example, in the primality example the natural numbers could be represented as strings of bits that represent binary numbers. For this reason, computational problems are often synonymously referred to as languages, since strings of bits represent formal languages (a concept borrowed from linguistics); for example, saying that the PRIME {\displaystyle {\texttt {PRIME}}} problem is in the complexity class NP is equivalent to saying that the language PRIME {\displaystyle {\texttt {PRIME}}} is in NP.

Presburger arithmetic is much weaker than Peano arithmetic, which includes both addition and multiplication operations. Unlike Peano arithmetic, Presburger arithmetic is a decidable theory. This means it is possible to algorithmically determine, for any sentence in the language of Presburger arithmetic, whether that sentence is provable from the axioms of Presburger arithmetic. The asymptotic running-time computational complexity of this algorithm is at least doubly exponential, however, as shown by Fischer & Rabin (1974).

NP-hard if everything in NP can be transformed in polynomial time into it even though it may not be in NP

At present, all known algorithms for NP-complete problems require time that is superpolynomial in the input size, in fact exponential in O ( n k ) {\displaystyle O(n^{k})} [clarify] for some k > 0 {\displaystyle k>0} and it is unknown whether there are any faster algorithms.

The Subgraph Isomorphism problem is NP-complete. The graph isomorphism problem is suspected to be neither in P nor NP-complete, though it is in NP. This is an example of a problem that is thought to be hard, but is not thought to be NP-complete. This class is called NP-Intermediate problems and exists if and only if P≠NP.

NP-complete problems are often addressed by using heuristic methods and approximation algorithms.

GPT-4 outperforms ChatGPT by scoring in higher approximate percentiles among test-takers.

40% more likely to produce factual responses than GPT-3.5

We used GPT-4 to help create training data for model fine-tuning and iterate on classifiers across training, evaluations, and monitoring.

"There is a robust debate going on in the computing industry about how to create it, and whether it can even be created at all."

asks for the Minecraft domain.

Definition 3.2 (simple reward machine).