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  1. Jun 2020
  2. twitter.com twitter.com
    ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: "@ErikAngner article behind paywall, so only scanned the references: these lack substantial critical literature on overconfidence. e.g.: 1/4" / Twitter
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    1. edampf 08 Jun 2020

      Angner, E. (2020, May 11). "Terrific assessment of projections of demand for Swedish ICU beds. The first two panels are model-based projections by academics; the third is a simple extrapolation by the public-health authority; the fourth is the actual outcome /1." Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1260121561861939200

      is:twitter thread lang:en COVID-19 Sweden confidence judgment overconfidence modeling ICU intensive care uncertainty prediction forecast problem bad science trust in science
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    twitter.com/scibeh/status/1260121561861939200
  3. May 2020
  4. psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
    Preprint.pdf
    1
    1. edampf 12 May 2020

      Fischer, H., & Said, N. (2020, May 12). Metacognition_ClimateChange_Fischer&Said_Preprint. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/fd6gy

      is:preprint lang:en climate change metacognition confidence in science politicized science meta-knowledge political ideology belief Germany Bayesian prediction
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    psyarxiv.com/fd6gy/