We live in an age of paradox. Systems using artificial intelligence match or surpass human level performance in more and more domains, leveraging rapid advances in other technologies and driving soaring stock prices. Yet measured productivity growth has fallen in half over the past decade, and real income has stagnated since the late 1990s for a majority of Americans. Brynjolfsson, Rock, and Syverson describe four potential explanations for this clash of expectations and statistics: false hopes, mismeasurement, redistribution, and implementation lags. While a case can be made for each explanation, the researchers argue that lags are likely to be the biggest reason for paradox. The most impressive capabilities of AI, particularly those based on machine learning, have not yet diffused widely. More importantly, like other general purpose technologies, their full effects won't be realized until waves of complementary innovations are developed and implemented. The adjustment costs, organizational changes and new skills needed for successful AI can be modeled as a kind of intangible capital. A portion of the value of this intangible capital is already reflected in the market value of firms. However, most national statistics will fail to capture the full benefits of the new technologies and some may even have the wrong sign

By 2050, the world’s urban population will have increased by some 44%

We opt for an embedding method, since wehypothesize less independent behaviors than individuals inthe system. Embedding methods are especially adapted toproducepersonalizedpredictions (e.g. collaborative filteringapplications), by making the assumption that the behaviorfrom an individual can be predicted by collecting data frommany users

Motif models for RNA-binding proteins

Estimating the prevalence of functional exonic splice regulatory information

Prediction of clustered RNA-binding protein motif sites in the mammalian genome

We’ve got lots of telephones already. Can’t you think of anything else for your birthday? Something very special?

But I lived, and was to live for ever!

All our steps in creating or absorbing material of the record proceed through one of the senses—the tactile when we touch keys, the oral when we speak or listen, the visual when we read. Is it not possible that some day the path may be established more directly?

customer relations, where live emotion estimation could be used when a customer phones into a call center.

His head being turned back, he passed a crook of the road, and looking forward again, beheld the figure of a man, in grave and decent attire, seated at the foot of an old tree. He arose, at Goodman Brown's approach, and walked onward, side by side with him.

She clenched her fists

A cuckoo clock!

In April 1950, Charney’s group made a series of successful 24-hour forecasts over North America, and by the mid-1950s, numerical forecasts were being made on a regular basis.

Charney determined that the impracticality of Richardson’s methods could be overcome by using the new computers and a revised set of equations, filtering out sound and gravity waves in order to simplify the calculations and focus on the phenomena of most importance to predicting the evolution of continent-scale weather systems.

Courageously, Richardson reported his results in his book Weather Prediction by Numerical Process, published in 1922.

Despite the advances made by Richardson, it took him, working alone, several months to produce a wildly inaccurate six-hour forecast for an area near Munich, Germany. In fact, some of the changes predicted in Richardson’s forecast could never occur under any known terrestrial conditions.

Visual Dynamics: Probabilistic Future Frame Synthesis via Cross Convolutional Networks

known to be effective: prediction markets

we predicted that there would be diagnosis-by-sex interactions in subcortical structures rich in sex hormone receptors, particularly in the amygdala and hippocampus.

we predicted, based on previous reports, that youths with BPD would have abnormal NA volumes22,23 and that youths with SZ would have reduced thalamic volumes.24,33 We also predicted that the BPD with psychosis group would share features with the BPD without psychosis and the primary psychotic disorder groups