for - AI - inside industry predictions to 2034 - Leopold Aschenbrenner - inside information on disruptive Generative AI to 2034

document description - Situational Awareness - The Decade Ahead - author - Leopold Aschenbrenner

summary - Leopold Aschenbrenner is an ex-employee of OpenAI and reveals the insider information of the disruptive plans for AI in the next decade, that pose an existential threat to create a truly dystopian world if we continue going down our BAU trajectory. - The A.I. arms race can end in disaster. The mason threat of A.I. is that humans are fallible and even one bad actor with access to support intelligent A.I. can post an existential threat to everyone - A.I. threat is amplifier by allowing itt to control important processes - and when it is exploited by the military industrial complex, the threat escalates significantly

• to - YouTube - 4 hour in-depth interview with Leopold Aschenbrenner on the disruptive and existential impacts of A.I. super-intelligence
  • https://hyp.is/zk8hdjEoEe-EIHtdo3U81w/www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdbVtZIn9IM

In 2000, Bill Joy predicted that advances in computing would allow an intelligent robot to be built by 2030.

https://www.niemanlab.org/collection/predictions-2023/

Just as predictive means may be used on the level of letters, words, and even whole sentences within information theory at the level of specific languages, does early orality sophistication in children help them to become predictive readers at earlier ages?

How could one go about testing this, particularly in a broad, neurodiverse group?

https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/06/politics/joe-biden-donald-trump-maga-republican/index.html

This is similar to the IndieWeb and web standards ideas of looking back at history to see the actual patterns of work that were beneficial.

Link to: - https://hypothes.is/a/HhAj3r1bEeyw9h_Pa4QNrA

ReconfigBehSci. (2020, November 5). @ToddHorowitz3 2/2 so I would prefer to treat this as an opportunity for empirical observation and learning. Evaluation should focus on trying to assess actual contribution, not a priori judgments. [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1324367278352355330

ReconfigBehSci. (2020, November 5). A prediction to keep an eye on.. [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1324347728172847107

(7) ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: “@ToddHorowitz3 probably- and I think there are many interesting questions around why he is there and whether he should be there. But to answer those properly, looking at the performance of the model seems important and interesting to me- that is all I am saying” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved March 6, 2021, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1324389147050569734

https://www.instagram.com/p/CZDx5OarV_Q/

Top Tech Trends For Web Developers in 2022 Jack Herrington https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bk5JvHGFv3A

Highlights

• AI Coding tools
• Lightweight Frameworks
• Classic Frameworks
• WebAssembly
• Headless UI Libraries

the Guardian. ‘How Modelling Covid Has Changed the Way We Think about Epidemics | Adam Kucharrski’, 4 January 2021. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jan/04/covid-model-epidemic-collaboration-experiment.

hilariously wrong

Tsolaki, Vasiliki, George E. Zakynthinos, and Dimosthenis Makris. ‘The ARDSnet Protocol May Be Detrimental in COVID-19’. Critical Care 24, no. 1 (December 2020): 351. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13054-020-03081-4.

Friston KJ, Parr T, Zeidman P et al. Dynamic causal modelling of COVID-19 [version 1; peer review: awaiting peer review]. Wellcome Open Res 2020, 5:89 (https://doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15881.1)

This chapter establishes new characters and the suspense inherent to the convention of the marriage plot, which we have seen in all Austen novels thus far. Sidney Parker is introduced and appears to be a potential love interest for Charlotte, because she is our main female protagonist who has yet to meet a potential match (she clearly is not interested in Sir Edward or Arthur Parker.) Sidney is described as “seven or eight and twenty, very good looking with a decided air of ease and fashion and a lively countenance,” and is known to be single from the account of Mr. Parker. He is around the same age as Austen’s typical male love interests and although older than Charlotte, not by much. His introductions to her are described as “very well-bred” and “proper.” Although this information is largely the narrator’s perspective and Charlotte’s impression of him is not revealed, he seems like a contender in the potential marriage market Sanditon seems to suggest. Like other Austen love interests, he comes from outside of the original plot, later than other characters, similarly to Darcy’s introduction as a friend of Bingley’s in Pride and Prejudice. Also, he expresses opinions quite different from those of his family or the social circle to which he belongs. Earlier, Mr. Parker speaks of Sidney’s feelings towards his siblings and his propensity to ridicule their dramatic schemes and exaggerated illness. This and his relationship as brother to Mr. Parker, suggests a similar situation to the Knightley and Emma dynamic in Austen’s, Emma. However, Charlotte seems more like a Fanny Price character (Mansfield Park) than an Emma. Although she is more opinionated that Fanny, she is a quiet and observant character most of the time who has been minimally active in the plot thus far. Another reason to suppose their match is that Charlotte also rapidly recognizes the faults of the Parkers as hypochondriacs and sees through the schemes of Sir Edward Denham and Miss Denham. Her and Sidney seem at the very least, like they would be a compatible pair.

Furthermore, in the latter half of the chapter, Charlotte sees Clara Brereton and Sir Edward speaking intimately by the water, clearly intending their conversation to be private. Although Clara Brereton seemed to reject his affection in discomfort earlier, she speaks to him “composedly” and they seem engaged in “gentle conversation.” This contrast in Clara’s behavior is quite suspicious and seems to suggest an actual connection between the two, which could be a secret engagement similar to that of Jane Fairfax and Frank Churchill in Emma. However the rivalry the Denham’s have with Clara over Lady Denham’s inheritance could play into this attachment. This suggests a potentially duplicitous and coercive match similar to that of Mrs. Clay and Mr. Elliot in Persuasion.

  This chapter establishes familiar character dynamics that might elucidate the trajectory of the personas Austen presents in this unfinished text. The chapter begins with the introduction of Miss Esther Denham and Sir Edward Denham, a scheming sibling pair reminiscent of Mansfield Park’s The Crawfords and Northanger Abbey’s The Thorpes. Austen explicitly establishes the bald aim of the two to obtain wealth and status from advantageous matrimony, a characteristic that similarly mirrors the Crawfords and Thorpes. Sir Edward, in particular, resembles Austen’s past villainous men; throughout the Austen canon, coxcomb-esque behaviors are the cardinal sins of bachelors. Indeed, Willoughby, Wickham, Henry Crawford, Mr. Elton, Thorpe, and Mr. Elliot all receive biting characterizations by Austen, and thus, given the fates of these men in their respective novels, we can predict that Sir Edward is not the male love interest of this story. 
 Sir Edward’s dynamic with, and apparent longing for the affection of, Clara Brereton, additionally reverberate into the Austen canon in a meaningful way. Other Austen works present relationships between gentried men and pseudo-adopted young women; notably, Emma features Jane Fairfax and Frank Churchill’s secret engagement and Mansfield Park depict Henry Crawford’s arguably predatory pursuit of Fanny Price. These relationship both demonstrate wealth and class incongruities as interpersonal complications. Further, these dynamics are also characterized by the ignorance of other characters to the details of the relationship. Therefore, we cannot know from this unfinished account of Charlotte’s observations if Clara Brereton is a Fanny Price or a Jane Fairfax; we cannot fully know if the behaviors and dispassion Charlotte Heywood witnesses are evidence of a painful resistance to unwanted advances or red herrings to disguise an intimacy. Since speculation is the nature of this activity, however, it is notable that in both Mansfield Park and Emma, outside perceptions of the aforementioned relationships were incorrect. Therefore, paradoxically, Charlotte’s perception of Clara’s distaste for Sir Edward might in fact evince a returned affection and eventual marriage between the two. 

Links to common words/themes throughout the annotations

and so the marriage plot begins and the heroine is born.... I suspect