for - neuroscience - time estimation - non-experts are better at providing time budgets - neuroscience - non-experts give better time estimates than consultants

ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: ‘RT @JASPStats: How to obtain introductory texts using the Learn Bayes Module in JASP. #stats #openSource https://t.co/dn7jyFr59i’ / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved 6 March 2021, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1326512599903694848

Sinclair, Alyssa H., Morgan Taylor, Freyja Brandel-Tanis, Audra Davidson, Aroon T. Chande, Lavanya Rishishwar, Clio Maria Andris, et al. ‘Counteracting COVID-19 Risk Misestimation with an Interactive Website’. PsyArXiv, 9 February 2022. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/v8tdf.

ReconfigBehSci. (2021, December 17). RT @peterdodds: Current excess deaths estimate per @TheEconomist: 18.2 million with 95% range of 11.4 million to 21.2 million. And up it… [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1471903926035353610

McNamara, L. A., Wiegand, R. E., Burke, R. M., Sharma, A. J., Sheppard, M., Adjemian, J., Ahmad, F. B., Anderson, R. N., Barbour, K. E., Binder, A. M., Dasgupta, S., Dee, D. L., Jones, E. S., Kriss, J. L., Lyons, B. C., McMorrow, M., Payne, D. C., Reses, H. E., Rodgers, L. E., … Schrag, S. J. (2021). Estimating the early impact of the US COVID-19 vaccination programme on COVID-19 cases, emergency department visits, hospital admissions, and deaths among adults aged 65 years and older: An ecological analysis of national surveillance data. The Lancet, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02226-1

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Kennedy-Shaffer, L., Kahn, R., & Lipsitch, M. (2021). Estimating Vaccine Efficacy Against Transmission via Effect on Viral Load. Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 32(6), 820–828. https://doi.org/10.1097/EDE.0000000000001415

Graso, M. (2021). Over-estimation of Covid-19 Risks to Healthy and Non-Elderly Predict Support for Continuing Restrictions Past Vaccinations. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/bg54x

Seth Trueger. (2021, April 16). *far lower than expectations that’s < 1 in 10k, which is way better than 95% https://t.co/mxQ84MFKc2 [Tweet]. @MDaware. https://twitter.com/MDaware/status/1383065988204220419

(20) ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: ‘RT @AdamJKucharski: Summary of severity estimates for B.1.1.7 👇 Important to distinguish whether we’re talking about risk of death/ICU/hosp…’ / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved 24 April 2021, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1381927066258571274

ReconfigBehSci. (2021, April 19). @ToddHorowitz3 so, given that no one can know the ‘unmitigated number’ what they seem to be calculating is in difference deaths given lockdown and model prediction without lockdown and calling that the ‘overestimate’—Which seems truly bizarre [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1384147188180082692

(20) ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: ‘RT @seabbs: A nice insight piece from @RTI_Intl about lessons learnt estimating Rt for #covid19. Https://t.co/1jWzGuU61z Helpful to read…’ / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved 21 April 2021, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1384410143937466368

ReconfigBehSci. ‘RT @kareem_carr: PSA: When You Say "there Were 6 Cases in 6.8 Million Doses Therefore We Can Expect about 1 in a Million Incidents Going Fo…’. Tweet. @SciBeh (blog), 15 April 2021. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1382620714633732097.

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Adelani, D. I., Kobayashi, R., Weber, I., & Grabowicz, P. A. (2020). Estimating community feedback effect on topic choice in social media with predictive modeling. EPJ Data Science, 9(1), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-020-00243-w

Measure the risk of airborne COVID-19 in your office, classroom, or bus ride. (2020, August 11). Science. https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/08/how-to-measure-risk-airborne-coronavirus-your-office-classroom-bus-ride-cvd/

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COVID-19 Lockdowns and Decline in Traffic Related Deaths and Injuries. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved July 30, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13278/

Ballard, Timothy, Ashley Luckman, and Emmanouil Konstantinidis. ‘How Meaningful Are Parameter Estimates from Models of Inter-Temporal Choice?’, 21 August 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/mvk67.

Du, Z., Javan, E., Nugent, C., Cowling, B. J., & Meyers, L. A. (2020). Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate early pandemic spread in Wuhan, China and Seattle, US. EClinicalMedicine, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100479

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COVID Recovery Dashboard. Retrieved from https://goodjudgment.io/covid-recovery/#1363 on 12/08/2020

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Razzaghi, H. (2020). Estimated County-Level Prevalence of Selected Underlying Medical Conditions Associated with Increased Risk for Severe COVID-19 Illness—United States, 2018. MMWR. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 69. https://doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm6929a1

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Deregulation in a Time of Pandemic: Does Pollution Increase Coronavirus Cases or Deaths?. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved August 5, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13231/

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Intergenerational Residence Patterns and COVID-19 Fatalities in the EU and the US. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved July 29, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13452/

U.S. Economy Shrinks at Record 32.9% Pace in Second Quarter. (2020, July 30). Bloomberg.Com. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-30/u-s-economy-shrinks-at-record-32-9-pace-in-second-quarter

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adams, jimi, & Light, R. (2020). What Role Does Collaboration have in Responding to COVID-19? [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/jqwyr

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Carl T. Bergstrom on Twitter

Graeden, E., Carlson, C., & Katz, R. (2020). Answering the right questions for policymakers on COVID-19. The Lancet Global Health, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30191-1

Katherine Milkman en Twitter: “Overconfidence is a pernicious bias, even in experts. It’s astounding how few experts’’ confidence intervals included the correct estimate of #COVID19 infections in the US by 3/29 when forecasting for just two weeks in the future. (of course, non-expert estimates are even worse) https://t.co/pa6oMDp2wV" / Twitter.” (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved April 17, 2020, from https://twitter.com/katy_milkman/status/1244668082062348291

Bui, Q., Katz, J., Parlapiano, A., & Sanger-Katz, M. (2020, April 22). What 5 Coronavirus Models Say the Next Month Will Look Like. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/22/upshot/coronavirus-models.html

It's a POC - GSD and most importantly see what sticks.

10% of $2000(cost of camer) * 3days = Rental Price

Rental Price - Commission = Rental Made This guy totally forgot taxes here.... :)

54$ for 3 days 365 days a year about 50 % usage so roughly 180 days. $54 for 3 days $? for 180 days = $3240 about 740$ profit per year for a $2000 investment if he's 50% utilized over the year.

Camera's Man this guy needed to crunch some more numbers. Camera's have compatibility issues....