a future project might take ~42 days of wall-clock time, with ~8 hours of agent work (not counting running the evals) and 1000 serial hours of human IC work, evals execution, and review.
「瓶颈-执行比」超过 100:1——这是这篇文章最令人震惊的数字。一个 42 天的项目中，AI 执行工作仅占 8 小时，其余 1000 小时都是串行的人类瓶颈（审查、实验等待、反馈收集）。这意味着即便拥有无限 AI 执行能力，项目速度的实际瓶颈依然是「人类审批链」——组织架构，而非技术能力，将成为 AI 时代的核心竞争力。
Most people estimated around 3-5x uplift compared to Feb 2026 (i.e. doing 1-2 weeks of work during this 2-day period).
3-5 倍的组织效率提升——但这来自 17 倍时间地平线的 AI。效率提升与能力提升之间的换算比率约为 TH^0.39，意味着 AI 能力提升的大部分收益被「组织瓶颈」消耗掉了。令人惊讶的是，当执行速度接近无限时，人类组织的协调摩擦、审查流程、实验等待，成为了主要的速度限制因素——而非 AI 本身的能力。
Aortic dissection typically presents acutely with sudden, severe tearing chest or back pain, often described as lancinating in quality. [5-6] Approximately 50% of patients with thoracic aortic aneurysm may progress to dissection without timely intervention. [5] In contrast, thoracic aortic aneurysm is usually asymptomatic and discovered incidentally during physical examination or imaging for other indications. [5]
ypical length to diameter ratios for trickle bed reactors are in the range of 5:1113,119to 19:184
5:1 to 19:1
It was written in a book that 5x3 cards have an aspect ratio close to the golden ratio (1.618) .
The hazard ratio
HR a measure of how often a particular event occurs in one group to another
I don't believe it was addressed in this piece, but the general desire of women for men the same age or older is also relevant. I've read elsewhere that the supply and demand dynamics on Tinder and other dating sites become so unbalanced for moderately successful men (even nerdy types) in their early-30s that there are dozens of women trying to "catch" them. This makes it even less likely that they settle down just when their options are increasing. And attractive, smart, caring women who want to get married arrive at age 30 and find that the 40:60 ratio from college has turned into 10:90 when an "eligible" man means 30+, still single, educated, high salary, tall, etc.
It is confirmed by anecdotal experience that men are more desirable after their 30s when they have achieved success or wealth accumulation. Women have it harder at this age to find a qualified partner.
Vaccination of children aged 5 to 11 against Covid-19: Don’thesitate any longer – Académie nationale de médecine | Une institution dans son temps. (2022, January 25). https://www.academie-medecine.fr/vaccination-of-children-aged-5-to-11-against-covid-19-donthesitate-any-longer/?lang=en
In part in order to heighten his praise of Aldus as the ideal printer, Erasmus noted by contrast that most printers, given the absence of regulations, “fill the world with pamphlets and books [that are] . . . foolish, ignorant, malig-nant, libellous, mad, impious and subversive; and such is the flood that even
things that might have done some good lose all their goodness.”198 The overabundance of bad books drowned out even any good bits that might be present among them.
And we now say these same sorts of things about the internet and social media.
David Fisman. (2021, December 15). HEPA air cleaners in hospital...lets compare cost to ECMO. ECMO course in the US costs around $93,000 CDN; US cost:charge ratio is around 0.2, so let’s say that’s $20,000 CDN. That’s the cost of 50 high end hepa air cleaners! Or you could do 250 CR boxes at around $80 a pop. [Tweet]. @DFisman. https://twitter.com/DFisman/status/1471259305961828355
There are ways to create aspect-ratio sized boxes in HTML/CSS today. None of the options are particularly elegant because they rely on the “hack” of setting a zero height and pushing the boxes height with padding. Wouldn’t it be nicer to have a platform feature to help us here?
about 0.6180340
Found on pg. 144 of this document: http://publikationen.badw.de/de/002334747
Also, noted in this annotation: https://hypothes.is/a/7p6ymq4VEeypdGs_FAN43w
618034
"The first known calculation of the golden ratio as a decimal was given in a letter written in 1597 by Michael Mästlin, at the University of Tübingen, to his former student Kepler. He gives "about 0.6180340" for the length of the longer segment of a line of length 1 divided in the golden ratio." from https://mathshistory.st-andrews.ac.uk/HistTopics/Golden_ratio/
An intrinsic ratio means an element will maintain its aspect ratio when resized. Think of an img with max-width: 100%. Change the width of its parent and it’ll change the size while keeping the same shape (aka. its aspect ratio).
Imperial College London. ‘Report 34 - COVID-19 Infection Fatality Ratio Estimates from Seroprevalence’. Accessed 12 March 2021. http://www.imperial.ac.uk/medicine/departments/school-public-health/infectious-disease-epidemiology/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-34-ifr/.
Hauck, Katharina. “Agonising Choices in ICUs Should Be Made by Society, Not Individuals,” January 19, 2021. https://www.ft.com/content/d976a31e-90fa-4768-a680-0fcdda33cc2b.
Du, Z., Javan, E., Nugent, C., Cowling, B. J., & Meyers, L. A. (2020). Using the COVID-19 to influenza ratio to estimate early pandemic spread in Wuhan, China and Seattle, US. EClinicalMedicine, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100479
Levin, A. T., Cochran, K. B., & Walsh, S. P. (2020). Assessing the Age Specificity of Infection Fatality Rates for COVID-19: Meta-Analysis & Public Policy Implications (Working Paper No. 27597; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27597
Caballero, R. J., & Simsek, A. (2020). A Model of Asset Price Spirals and Aggregate Demand Amplification of a (Working Paper No. 27044; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27044
Golding, N., Russell, T. W., Abbott, S., Hellewell, J., Pearson, C. A. B., Zandvoort, K. van, Jarvis, C. I., Gibbs, H., Liu, Y., Eggo, R. M., Edmunds, J. W., & Kucharski, A. J. (2020). Reconstructing the global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections. MedRxiv, 2020.07.07.20148460. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.07.20148460
New Scientist on Twitter: “Thread on #covid19 trends in the US: Coronavirus infections have surged since the start of June from around 20,000 new cases a day to over 60,000. (1/4) https://t.co/wVFwHWczYR” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved July 19, 2020, from https://twitter.com/newscientist/status/1283387188391149571
Du, H., Jiang, G., & Ke, Z. (2020). A Bootstrap Based Between-Study Heterogeneity Test in Meta-Analysis [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/de4g9
Mason Porter on Twitter: “I am here to help. https://t.co/JBQbTAPTQX” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved June 17, 2020, from https://twitter.com/masonporter/status/1273054551583555585
Okell, L. C., Verity, R., Watson, O. J., Mishra, S., Walker, P., Whittaker, C., Katzourakis, A., Donnelly, C. A., Riley, S., Ghani, A. C., Gandy, A., Flaxman, S., Ferguson, N. M., & Bhatt, S. (2020). Have deaths from COVID-19 in Europe plateaued due to herd immunity? The Lancet, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31357-X
Verity, R., Okell, L., Dorigatti, I., Winskill, P., Whittaker, C., Walker, P., Donnelly, C., Ferguson, N., & Ghani, A. (2020). COVID-19 and the difficulty of inferring epidemiological parameters from clinical data – Authors’ reply. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30443-6
Wood, S. N., Wit, E. C., Fasiolo, M., & Green, P. J. (2020). COVID-19 and the difficulty of inferring epidemiological parameters from clinical data. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30437-0
Russell, T.W., Hellewell, J., Abbott, S., Golding, N.,Gibbs, H., Jarvis, C.I., van Zandvoort, K., Flasche, S., Eggo, R., Edmunds, W.J., Kucharski., A.J. (2020, March 22). Using a delay-adjusted case fatality ratio to estimate under-reporting. CMMID Repository. https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/global_cfr_estimates.html
Russel, T.W., Hellewell, J., Abbott, S., Golding, N., Gibbs, H., Jarvis, C.I., van Zandvoort, K., Flasche, S., Eggo, R., Edmunds, W.J., Kucharski, A.J., (2020). Using a delay-adjusted case fatality ratio to estimate under-reporting. CMMID. https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/severity/global_cfr_estimates.html
Verity, R., Okell, L. C., Dorigatti, I., Winskill, P., Whittaker, C., Imai, N., Cuomo-Dannenburg, G., Thompson, H., Walker, P. G. T., Fu, H., Dighe, A., Griffin, J. T., Baguelin, M., Bhatia, S., Boonyasiri, A., Cori, A., Cucunubá, Z., FitzJohn, R., Gaythorpe, K., … Ferguson, N. M. (2020). Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: A model-based analysis. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, S1473309920302437. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30243-7
We see that ImageMagick is very good about preserving aspect ratios of images, to prevent distortion of your favorite photos and images. But you might really want the dimensions to be 100x200, thereby stretching the image. In this case just tell ImageMagick you really mean it (!) by appending an exclamation operator to the geometry. This will force the image size to exactly what you specify. So, for example, if you specify 100x200! the dimensions will become exactly 100x200 (giving a small, vertically elongated wizard)
However, the gain ratio is the most important metric here, ranged from 0 to 1, with higher being better.
we will have amplified the intelligence of the human by organizing his intellectual capabilities into higher levels of synergistic structuring.
The realization that any potential change in language, artifact, or methodology has importance only relative to its use within a process' and that a new process capability appearing anywhere within that hierarchy can make practical a new consideration of latent change possibilities in many other parts of the hierarchy—possibilities in either language, artifacts, or methodology—brings out the strong interrelationship of these three augmentation means.
Matplotlib different size subplots
Price to Income Ratio:
8.17
The ideal aspect ratio is 3:2. When the image width is 200 pixels, the height should be about 133 pixels. If your height value is substantially different, crop the image to avoid distortion in the thumbnail.
I noticed that it's blurry, at least for me, when I use paint for this. Rather, I used my computer's default app; snipping tool, and uploaded it onto http://resizepic.com/ to resize the image into exactly 200x133 pixels and it was not blurry.
We know what happens to unhealthy projects over a long enough time period, more maintainers leave, contributions eventually fall, and if we’re lucky users leave it. When we aren’t so lucky adoption continues and years later we’re plagued with security and stability issues in widely adopt software that can’t be effectively maintained.The number of users a project has is a poor indicator of the health of the project, often it is the most used software that suffers the biggest contribution crisis.