- Aug 2023
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there's no uh uh catastrophe even if things plug along as they're going and there's no mass die off of humans or anything like that 00:36:47 the population is set to decline i don't know when the peak is supposed to come but uh the peak is supposed to come at you know within the next 10 20 years or so 00:36:59 and after that the world population will start to decline how is how is this growth capitalism model growth-based capitalism model how is that going to 00:37:12 function when the world is shrinking
- for: population decline, economic growth vs population decline
- comment
- John makes a good point
- how will humans negotiate a growth economy when population is shrinking?
- it may be that AI automation may lessen the need for human capacity, but the future is unknown how these forces will balance out
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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Participation in a religious community generally correlates with better health outcomes and longer life, higher financial generosity, and more stable families—all of which are desperately needed in a nation with rising rates of loneliness, mental illness, and alcohol and drug dependency.
It's really saying something that in paragraph 2 the "sell" for religion is the health and social benefits and outcomes rather than the love or support of god(s)!
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- Jul 2023
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www.sciencedaily.com www.sciencedaily.com
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"When their antennae become clogged with pollution particles, insects struggle to smell food, a mate, or a place to lay their eggs, and it follows that their populations will decline,"
- quote
- "When their antennae become clogged with pollution particles,
- insects struggle to
- smell food,
- smell a mate, or
- smell a place to lay their eggs,
- and it follows that their populations will decline,"
- Author
- Prof Mark Elgar
- quote
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- Aug 2022
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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Gutman, R. (2021, October 28). Is Moderna Really Better Than Pfizer—Or Is It Just a Higher Dose? The Atlantic. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/10/pfizer-moderna-dose-which-vaccine-best/620501/
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Kozlov, M. (2021). Waning COVID super-immunity raises questions about Omicron. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-03674-1
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Zimmer, C. (2021, June 6). We’ll Probably Need Booster Shots for Covid-19. But When? And Which Ones? The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/06/science/covid-vaccine-boosters.html
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www.gavi.org www.gavi.org
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Prabhu, M. (2021, October 1). The COVID-19 vaccine-shy are changing their minds. https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/covid-19-vaccine-shy-are-changing-their-minds
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Julia Raifman. (2022, January 25). How to U-Turn your Omicron decline: Announce the end of mask policies https://t.co/WQGjxXg9fg [Tweet]. @JuliaRaifman. https://twitter.com/JuliaRaifman/status/1486028388590628873
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- Jul 2022
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Yet there were still many traps along the way. In what is now Iraq, the Sumerian civilization (one of the world’s first) withered and died as the irrigation systems it invented turned the fields into salty desert. Some two thousand years later, in the Mediterranean basin, chronic soil erosion steadily undermined the Classical World: first the Greeks, then the Romans at the height of their power. And a few centuries after Rome’s fall, the Classic Maya, one of only two high civilizations to thrive in tropical rainforest (the other being the Khmer), eventually wore out nature’s welcome at the heart of Central America.
Progress traps through history: * 1. Sumerian civilization (Iraq) irrigation system turned fields into salty desert * Greek and Roman empire - chronic soil erosion also eroded these empires * Classic Mayan empire may have collapsed due to the last 2 of 7 megadroughts because it was over-urbanized and used up all water sources, leaving no buffer in case of drought: https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2020/02/new-clues-about-how-and-why-the-maya-culture-collapsed/
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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The Southern Levant, situated between modern day southern Syria via Israel to Sinai, has a spatiotemporally dense and continuous Paleolithic archaeological record offering a unique opportunity to detect faunal changes, including those predating the appearance of Homo sapiens (Bar-Yosef, 1980; Stutz, 2014). It is thus a suitable model to test long-term changes in the body mass of mammalian assemblages, in view of paleoclimates and changing human lineages, to decipher whether climate and/or humans are responsible for animal body size declines. The excellent archaeological record can further illuminate whether size declines are observed since hominins first colonized the region, or whether they start with the emergence of Homo sapiens (Louys et al., 2021), or are concentrated in the last glacial and its aftermath. We tested whether the size, and size changes, in hominin prey through the Pleistocene and early Holocene were related to time, the prevailing human lineages and cultures, paleoenvironment, and temperatures.
Southern Levant is unique for providing records for this study.
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- Apr 2022
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Carl T. Bergstrom. (2021, August 18). 1. There has been lots of talk about recent data from Israel that seem to suggest a decline in vaccine efficacy against severe disease due to Delta, waning protection, or both. This may have even been a motivation for Biden’s announcement that the US would be adopting boosters. [Tweet]. @CT_Bergstrom. https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1427767356600688646
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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What do we know about Covid’s impact on the brain? (2022, March 9). The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/mar/09/covid-coronavirus-brain-study-eric-topol
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- Feb 2022
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Schreiber, M. (2022, February 18). Covid infection increases risk of mental health disorders, study finds. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/18/covid-infection-increases-risk-mental-health-disorder-study
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- Jan 2022
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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Howard, J. (2022, January 21). Covid-19 vaccinations do not impair fertility in men or women, new study finds—CNN. CNN Health. https://edition.cnn.com/2022/01/20/health/covid-vaccine-fertility-study/index.html?utm_source=twCNN&utm_term=link&utm_medium=social&utm_content=2022-01-21T00%3A08%3A17
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: ‘RT @TravellingTabby: Https://t.co/pFl7I2Bufy Today is the first time in almost three weeks that the positivity rate has been under 20%! A…’ / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved 12 January 2022, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1481297611562827776
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- Dec 2021
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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That, Pinker tells us, is the kind of dismal fate ordained for usby evolution. We have only escaped it by virtue of our willingness toplace ourselves under the common protection of nation states,courts of law and police forces; and also by embracing virtues ofreasoned debate and self-contro
It's interesting to note that the founders of the United States famously including Alexander Hamilton and Aaron Burr regularly participated in duel culture which often ended in death despite its use as a means of defending one's honor and relieving tensions between people.
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When archaeologistsundertake balanced appraisals of hunter-gatherer burials from thePalaeolithic, they find high frequencies of health-related disabilities –but also surprisingly high levels of care until the time of death (andbeyond, since some of these funerals were remarkably lavish).16
- Formicola, Vincenzo. 2007. ‘From the Sungir children to the Romito dwarf: aspects of the Upper Palaeolithic funerary landscape.’ Current Anthropology 48: 446–53.
It will require some investigation, but on it's face this reference to Formicola seems to be about a small number of cases and doesn't point to or back up their claim about high frequencies of societal care and support. Where is their evidence within the archaeological record.
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‘What is it about the ancients,’ Pinker asks at one point, ‘that theycouldn’t leave us an interesting corpse without resorting to foul play?’
Part of their point here seems to be that Pinker is suffering from a form of bias related to the most sensational cases which will tend to heighten the availability bias. (Is there a name for this sort of sensationalism effect?)
Is there also some survivorship bias at play here as well?
We don't have access to a wide statistical survey of dead bodies from a large swath of times and places which makes it difficult to determine actual numbers.
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Now, this may seem counter-intuitive to anyone who spendsmuch time watching the news, let alone who knows much about thehistory of the twentieth century.
Are they suffering from potential availability heuristic (cognitive bias) here? Are they encouraging it in us? Just because we see violence on the news every day doesn't mean it's ubiquitous.
Apparently we'll need real evidence here to provide actual indications.
Does Steven Pinker provide archaeological evidence in his book? What are the per capita rates of violence and/or death over time?
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Simultaneously, there was a revival of the old art of excerpting and the use of commonplace books. Yet, the latter were perceived no longer as memory aids but as true secondary memo-ries. Scholars, in turn, became increasingly aware that to address the informa-tion overload produced by printing, the best solution was to train a card index instead of their own individual consciousness.
Another reason for the downfall of older Western memory traditions is the increased emphasis and focus on the use of commonplaces and commonplace books in the late 1400s onward.
Cross reference the popularity of manuals by Erasmus, Agricola, and Melanchthon.
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- Nov 2021
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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Anyone who accidentally creates discomfort—whether through their teaching methods, their editorial standards, their opinions, or their personality—may suddenly find themselves on the wrong side of not just a student or a colleague but an entire bureaucracy, one dedicated to weeding out people who make other people uncomfortable. And these bureaucracies are illiberal. They do not necessarily follow rules of fact-based investigation, rational argument, or due process. Instead, the formal and informal administrative bodies that judge the fate of people who have broken social codes are very much part of a swirling, emotive public conversation, one governed not by the rules of the courtroom or logic or the Enlightenment but by social-media algorithms that encourage anger and emotion, and by the economy of likes and shares that pushes people to feel—and to perform—outrage. The interaction between the angry mob and the illiberal bureaucracy engenders a thirst for blood, for sacrifices to be offered up to the pious and unforgiving gods of outrage—a story we see in other eras of history, from the Inquisition to the more recent past.
Certainly this modern inquisition is a more gentle one than the original Inquisition of the Catholic Church.
Is this a supporting data point on the continuum of decreasing violence for Steven Pinker's decline of violence thesis?
Is the totality of what we may be giving up worth it for the greater overall comfort for society?
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- Oct 2021
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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‘A bit of a mystery’: Why hospital admissions for Covid in England are going down | Coronavirus | The Guardian. (n.d.). Retrieved 8 October 2021, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/sep/24/a-bit-of-a-mistery-why-england-covid-cases-are-going-down-despite-ease-of-restrictions
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www.miamiherald.com www.miamiherald.com
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Florida changed its COVID-19 data, creating an ‘artificial decline’ in recent deaths. (n.d.). Miami Herald. Retrieved September 2, 2021, from https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article253796898.html
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- Sep 2021
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www.newscientist.com www.newscientist.com
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Wilson, C. (n.d.). What we know so far about booster shots and the covid-19 vaccines. New Scientist. Retrieved 13 September 2021, from https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg25133513-500-what-we-know-so-far-about-booster-shots-and-the-covid-19-vaccines/
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COVID in Israel: Serious Cases Decline for Fourth Consecutive Day. (n.d.). Haaretz. Retrieved 6 September 2021, from https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/covid-in-israel-serious-cases-decline-for-fourth-consecutive-day-1.10179105
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- Aug 2021
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Local file Local file
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After a long and influential career, commonplace books lost their influence in the late seventeenth century. Classical passages were relegated to the anti- quarian scholar; they no longer molded discourse and life. Men who sought confirmation in empirical evidence and scientific measurement had little use for commonplace books.
I believe that Earle Havens disputes the idea of the waning of the commonplace book after this.
I would draw issue with it as well. Perhaps it lost some ground in the classrooms of the youth, but Harvard was teaching the idea during Ralph Waldo Emerson's time during the 1800s. Then there's the rise of the Zettelkasten in Germany in the 1700s (and later officially in the 1900s).
Lichtenberg specifically mentions using his commonplace as a scientific tool for sharpening his ideas.
Can we find references to other commonplacers like Francis Bacon mentioning the use of them for science?
Tags
Annotators
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twitter.com twitter.com
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John Thornhill on Twitter: “Good news: Vaccine hesitancy collapses Smart data analysis from @TheEconomist https://t.co/cQcajRtEM6 https://t.co/IWIbUsEFXG” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved August 1, 2021, from https://twitter.com/johnthornhillft/status/1418510295241269248
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- Jul 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Adam Kucharski. (2021, June 27). Update: Https://t.co/WUf7IItdDj [Tweet]. @AdamJKucharski. https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1409088075783979012
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Dombey, D., Mallet, V., Johnson, M., Milne, R., & Arnold, M. (2021, March 10). Pandemic blamed for falling birth rates across much of Europe. https://www.ft.com/content/bc825399-345c-47b8-82e7-6473a1c9a861
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- Jun 2021
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Castro, M. C., Gurzenda, S., Turra, C. M., Kim, S., Andrasfay, T., & Goldman, N. (2021). Reduction in life expectancy in Brazil after COVID-19. Nature Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01437-z
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twitter.com twitter.com
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RichardBrown on Twitter: “@Richard_Florida Still pretty slow recovery in London too @nicolegelinas. Https://t.co/nH9FOpV386” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved June 29, 2021, from https://twitter.com/MinorPlaces/status/1407018950714605574
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Milman, O., Yelin, I., Aharony, N., Katz, R., Herzel, E., Ben-Tov, A., Kuint, J., Gazit, S., Chodick, G., Patalon, T., & Kishony, R. (2021). Community-level evidence for SARS-CoV-2 vaccine protection of unvaccinated individuals. Nature Medicine, 1–3. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01407-5
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- May 2021
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Burton-Chellew, M. N., & West, S. A. (2021). Payoff-based learning best explains the rate of decline in cooperation across 237 public-goods games. Nature Human Behaviour, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01107-7
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www.imperial.ac.uk www.imperial.ac.uk
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Coronavirus antibody prevalence falling in England, REACT study shows | Imperial News | Imperial College London. (n.d.). Imperial News. Retrieved March 7, 2021, from https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/207333/coronavirus-antibody-prevalence-falling-england-react/
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- Mar 2021
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www.newscientist.com www.newscientist.com
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Vaughan, A. (n.d.). Covid-19 vaccine hesitancy is declining as global roll-out ramps up. New Scientist. Retrieved 25 March 2021, from https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg24933273-700-covid-19-vaccine-hesitancy-is-declining-as-global-roll-out-ramps-up/
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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Thompson, D. (2021, February 17). COVID-19 Cases Are Dropping Fast. Why? The Atlantic. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/02/why-covid-19-cases-are-falling-so-fast/618041/
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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England: “shocking” decline in primary pupils’ attainment after lockdown. (2020, November 11). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/education/2020/nov/11/england-shocking-decline-in-primary-pupils-attainment-after-lockdown
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- Feb 2021
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advances.sciencemag.org advances.sciencemag.org
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Stewart, A. J., McCarty, N., & Bryson, J. J. (2020). Polarization under rising inequality and economic decline. Science Advances, 6(50), eabd4201. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd4201
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- Oct 2020
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outline.com outline.com
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fewer faithful supports
(see tag)
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- Sep 2020
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ec.europa.eu ec.europa.eu
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GDP main aggregates and employment estimates for the second quarter of 2020: GDP down by 11.8% and employment down by 2.9% in the euro area. (n.d.). Retrieved September 9, 2020, from https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-press-releases/-/2-08092020-AP
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- Aug 2020
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ec.europa.eu ec.europa.eu
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GDP and employment flash estimates for the second quarter of 2020: GDP down by 12.1% and employment down by 2.8% in the euro area. (n.d.). Retrieved August 29, 2020, from https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-press-releases/-/2-14082020-AP
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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COVID-19 Lockdowns and Decline in Traffic Related Deaths and Injuries. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved July 30, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13278/
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Lewis, D., Mertens, K., & Stock, J. H. (2020). U.S. Economic Activity During the Early Weeks of the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak (Working Paper No. 26954; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26954
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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August 6, S. G. •, & 2020. (2020, August 6). Sweatpants Forever: How the Fashion Industry Collapsed. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/08/06/magazine/fashion-sweatpants.html
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Barro, Robert J, José F Ursúa, and Joanna Weng. ‘The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the “Spanish Flu” for the Coronavirus’s Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity’. Working Paper. Working Paper Series. National Bureau of Economic Research, March 2020. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26866.
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Montenovo, L., Jiang, X., Rojas, F. L., Schmutte, I. M., Simon, K. I., Weinberg, B. A., & Wing, C. (2020). Determinants of Disparities in Covid-19 Job Losses (Working Paper No. 27132; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27132
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twitter.com twitter.com
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MikeFarb on Twitter: “What the he’ll is going on in the Stock Market. GDP dropped by 32.9%(a disastrous number)and over the last 3 trading days the NASDAQ is up over 300 Points! Never mind the Pandemic and Rampant Unemployment. https://t.co/e6aK5qJ5Lt” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved August 4, 2020, from https://twitter.com/mikefarb1/status/1289524802550546432
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- Jul 2020
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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CNN, B. Helen R., Steve George, Meg Wagner, Melissa Macaya, Mike Hayes and Veronica Rocha. (n.d.). July 13 coronavirus news. CNN. Retrieved July 25, 2020, from https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-07-13-20-intl/index.html
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Metternich, N. W. (2020). Drawback before the wave?: Protest decline during the Covid-19 pandemic. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/3ej72
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- Jun 2020
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Bellaigue, C. de. (2020, June 18). The end of tourism? The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/travel/2020/jun/18/end-of-tourism-coronavirus-pandemic-travel-industry
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www.jpost.com www.jpost.com
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India’s war against the coronavirus pandemic. (n.d.). The Jerusalem Post | JPost.Com. Retrieved June 2, 2020, from https://www.jpost.com/opinion/indias-war-against-the-coronavirus-pandemic-629970
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- May 2020
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Myers, K. R., Tham, W. Y., Yin, Y., Cohodes, N., Thursby, J. G., Thursby, M. C., Schiffer, P. E., Walsh, J. T., Lakhani, K. R., & Wang, D. (2020). Quantifying the Immediate Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Scientists. ArXiv:2005.11358 [Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2005.11358
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Duffy, B. (2020, May 26). Coronavirus:growing divisions over the UK government's response. https://www.kcl.ac.uk/policy-institute/assets/coronavirus-growing-divisions-over-uk-government-response.pdf
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