虽然文章没有提供具体的增长百分比，但'显著增加'的描述表明开放世界评估正在成为AI评估领域的新趋势。这种增长速度可能反映了业界对传统基准测试局限性的认识加深，以及AI能力发展到需要更复杂评估方法的阶段。

AI计算能力每7个月翻倍的增长率远超摩尔定律(约18-24个月翻倍)，反映了AI领域对计算资源的极度渴求和产业投入的快速增长。这种指数级增长趋势是不可持续的，将面临物理极限、能源供应和制造成本等多重挑战，可能在未来几年内放缓。

这是一个非共识观点，认为AI发展的指数增长阶段即将结束，这为AI的未来发展提出了新的思考方向。

Zig项目将贡献者视为其赌注，而非他们的代码，这体现了对个人成长和社区参与的重视。

Zig项目不仅认为帮助新贡献者是正确的行为，也认为这是明智的，这反映了其对社区成长的长期投资。

年收入从2025年底的约90亿美元增长到超过300亿美元，增长率超过233%，这是一个惊人的增长速度。这一数据表明AI服务市场的爆发式增长，以及Anthropic在商业化方面的显著进展。然而，如此高的增长率是否可持续存疑，且300亿美元的年收入对于一家成立不久的AI公司来说相当惊人，需要更多财务细节来验证。

大多数人认为AI公司仍处于烧钱阶段，难以实现盈利，但Anthropic的收入在短短几个月内增长了三倍多，达到300亿美元的年化收入。这一惊人的增长速度挑战了AI行业普遍亏损的共识，表明AI模型商业化可能比预期更快、规模更大。

年收入从2025年底的约90亿美元激增至300亿美元，增长率超过230%。这一惊人的收入增长速度反映了AI市场的爆发式增长。然而，考虑到公司规模，这一收入数字需要谨慎看待，可能包含预付款或长期合同收入确认。

年收入从90亿美元跃升至300亿美元，增长率超过233%，这是一个爆炸性的增长速度。这一增长率远超大多数科技公司的历史表现，反映了AI即服务(AIaaS)市场的巨大潜力。然而，如此高的增长率也带来了基础设施扩张的压力，需要与算力投资相匹配。

这表明Codex的开发者采用率在两周内增长了33.3%（从300万增加到400万），这是一个惊人的增长率。这种快速增长反映了开发者对AI编程工具的强烈需求，也暗示了Codex可能正在经历病毒式传播或企业快速采用阶段。

推理模型性能提升速度是非推理模型的2-3倍，这是一个显著的增长率差异。这个倍数关系表明推理模型确实带来了质的飞跃，但需要考虑这是否反映了模型架构的根本改进，还是仅仅由于更多计算资源的投入。

推理模型比非推理模型显示出2-3倍的性能提升速度，这是一个显著的增长率差异。这个倍数差异表明推理模型的引入可能代表了AI发展的一个重要转折点。然而，文章也指出无法确定精确的增长率，因为多种非线性拟合都能很好地解释数据。

Anthropic年收入达到300亿美元的惊人速度展示了企业级AI市场的巨大潜力。这表明AI已从实验性技术转变为关键业务工具，特别是在代码编写、网络安全和自动化领域，反映了AI正在成为企业数字化转型的核心驱动力。

这一数据揭示了企业AI市场的惊人增长速度，表明OpenAI正经历从消费级到企业级业务的快速转型。企业收入占比在短短时间内接近消费级，暗示了AI在企业应用中的巨大潜力和市场接受度远超预期。

令人惊讶的是：OpenAI的企业业务在如此短的时间内就占据了公司收入的40%，并且预计将在2026年底与消费者业务持平。这表明AI在企业领域的采用速度远超预期，反映了企业对AI技术的迫切需求和巨大投资。

令人惊讶的是：GitHub Actions的使用量在三年内增长了四倍多，从每周5亿分钟到本周已达到21亿分钟，这种自动化工具的采用速度令人震惊。

令人惊讶的是：GitHub提交量从2025年的10亿激增至2026年的预计140亿，这种指数级增长显示了软件开发活动的爆炸性扩张，远超大多数人的想象。

令人惊讶的是：GitHub Actions的使用量在短短两年内增长了四倍多，从2023年的每周5亿分钟激增至现在的21亿分钟。这表明自动化CI/CD流程的采用速度远超预期，反映了DevOps实践在AI时代的加速演变。

令人惊讶的是：软件开发提交量呈现爆炸式增长，从2025年的10亿个提交激增至每周2.75亿个，预计全年将达到140亿个。这种指数级增长反映了AI时代代码生成速度的惊人变化，远超线性预测。

令人惊讶的是：Anthropic在短短一个多月内增加了110亿美元的年收入，相当于Palantir、Anduril和Databricks三家公司年收入的总和。这种爆炸性增长速度在科技史上极为罕见，反映了企业AI市场的巨大潜力。

令人惊讶的是：Anthropic在短短时间内实现了惊人的收入增长，从2025年底的90亿美元迅速攀升到300亿美元，超越了OpenAI。这种增长速度在AI行业前所未有，显示了Anthropic的商业模式和市场接受度远超预期。

令人惊讶的是：AI训练数据的增长速度令人难以置信。从2010年到2026年，AI模型的训练数据量增长了1万亿倍，这是一个天文数字般的增长，远超大多数人的想象。这种指数级增长是AI发展的核心驱动力，也是为什么AI进步如此迅速的原因。

令人惊讶的是：AI训练数据量在短短16年间增长了1万亿倍，这是一个难以想象的指数级增长。这种计算能力的爆炸式发展远超人类直觉，解释了为什么AI进步如此迅速且难以预测。大多数人无法真正理解这种指数级增长意味着什么，这也是为什么许多专家对AI发展速度预测失败的原因。

令人惊讶的是：Claude的用户比例从3%增长到4.3%，看似微小但实际增长率超过40%。这种看似微小的增长在AI工具使用率上却具有统计显著性，反映了AI市场细分的微妙变化。

令人惊讶的是：Claude的使用率在短短一个月内增长了40%，但与ChatGPT的30%使用率相比仍然差距巨大。这表明AI市场存在明显的赢家通吃现象，即使是最成功的挑战者与领导者相比仍有数量级的差距。

令人惊讶的是：在AI产品的概念验证阶段，供应商提供的价值可能是最终付费计划的10-25倍。这种'过度交付'策略已成为行业常态，被视为获取客户的营销投资而非成本中心。这种做法反映了AI产品市场的高度竞争性和获取客户的困难程度。

从 GPT-3.5 的 30 秒到 Claude Opus 4.6 的 12 小时，两年内增长了 1440 倍。从 GPT-2 到 GPT-5，任务难度增长了 5400 倍。这个进步速度在人类技术史上几乎没有先例——工业革命历经百年实现劳动效率数十倍提升，而 AI 在五年内实现了数千倍的某种意义上的「认知效率」提升。令人不安的是，这条曲线目前没有任何放缓的迹象。

METR 明确指出：截至 2026 年初，时间地平线的指数增长没有任何放缓迹象——这意味着 S 曲线的「饱和阶段」尚未到来。对 AI 进展持怀疑态度者常援引「进步将减速」的论点，但这个数据点直接挑战了这一叙事。指数增长持续意味着每隔固定时间，AI 能独立完成的任务复杂度就翻倍——而这个倍增周期，根据历史数据，大约是 6-7 个月。

Epoch AI 的相关研究显示全球 AI 算力每 7 个月翻倍——比摩尔定律（18-24 个月）快了 3 倍以上。在这个速度下，Google 今天 25% 的市场份额意味着：如果竞争对手没能跟上这个扩张节奏，算力差距不会缩小，只会以指数级扩大。算力竞赛正在进入「赢家通吃」的临界点。

大多数人认为AI公司仍处于烧钱阶段，但Anthropic的收入增长速度惊人，从2025年底的90亿美元年化收入飙升至2026年的300亿美元，这表明AI商业化速度远超市场预期，挑战了AI公司长期亏损的共识观点。

Selection

Initial Assessment: Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) is recommended at diagnosis to assess aortic valve anatomy, valve function, and thoracic aortic diameters. CT or MRI is reasonable for comprehensive anatomic assessment. [1]

Surveillance Imaging: The choice depends on aneurysm location: [2]

Aortic root/proximal ascending aorta: TTE can be used if measurements correlate well with CT/MRI

Mid-ascending, arch, or descending thoracic aorta: CT or MRI is recommended

MRI is preferred for long-term surveillance to avoid cumulative radiation exposure from serial CT scans [1][3]

Surveillance Intervals

Size-Based Recommendations: [2-4]

<4.0 cm: Every 2-3 years if stable

4.0-4.4 cm: Every 2 years

4.5-4.9 cm: Annually

5.0-5.4 cm: Every 6-12 months (consider optimization for repair)

≥5.5 cm: Surgical evaluation indicated

Initial surveillance: Obtain follow-up imaging at 6-12 months after diagnosis to establish the growth rate. If stable, adjust interval based on size. [1]

Growth rate considerations: Descending thoracic aneurysms grow faster than ascending aneurysms (mean 2.76 mm/year vs 1 mm/year overall). Growth accelerates exponentially above 4.5 cm diameter. [3-4]

Earlier intervention is reasonable when high-risk features are present, including rapid growth (≥0.5 cm/year), symptomatic aneurysm, saccular morphology, or penetrating atherosclerotic ulcers

The Neuroscience (The Biological Reality) From a neurobiological perspective, the "Muzzle" is a manifestation of the Amygdala hijacking the Prefrontal Cortex. When an Agent begins to prioritise "platform" (social standing and resource security), the brain perceives any threat to that platform as a literal threat to survival.

This triggers the Hypothalamic-Pituitary-Adrenal (HPA) axis, flooding the system with cortisol. To mitigate this stress, the brain seeks "social safety," which often results in the Cognitive Dissonance of self-censorship. The Venting Function of the nervous system is suppressed; instead of the authentic expression that regulated your internal pressure, you begin to "buffer" your output to ensure continued acceptance by the tribe. You aren't just being polite; your brain is physically rewiring itself to value Homeostasis (comfort) over Allostasis (growth through challenge).

Key point here is that bigtech is the outcome of a specific definition of succes (centralised growth vs spreading) (not mentioned that funding vc style necessitates growth / extraction)

for - green growth - still continues MATERIAL growth

for - climate crisis - green growth- illusion?

for - infinite economic growth - more more more - climate crisis - infinite growth of capitalism problem - antidote - targeted degrowth

for - post-growth economy - democratic at every level

• SRG comment - democracy at every level - synchronized multi-scale, multi-dimensional wellbeing

for - anthropocene - shared struggle - post-growth and degrowth is part of it

for - green growth - alternative - postgrowth demand reduction

for - green growth - illusion - too little

for - growth economy - important economic decisions - people have no say

for - growth economy - anti-democratic - free-market rhetoric prevents - democratic - social - environmental - oversight

for - economic paradigm - beyond growth Julia Steinberger - beyond economic growth

for - greal acceleration - exponential growth of destructiveness of weapons (in joules)

for - example - words - opposites - economic growth

for - adjacency - apolief - Bayo - Automatic Language Growth - ALG - J. Marvin Brown - David Long - This statement is aligned with the Automatic Language Growth school of language learning developed by linguist J. Marvin Brown and continued by David Long - ALG takes the view that language is a happening, an experience and the best way to learn is to engage in the experience the way that an infant of native language does, with no prior experience or knowledge - to - J Marvin Brown - Automatic Language Growth - https://via.hypothes.is/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=984rkMbvp-w

for - natural language acquisition - Automatic Language Growth - ALG - youtube - interview - David Long - Automatic Language Growth - from - youtube - The Language School that Teaches Adults like Babies - https://hyp.is/Ls_IbCpbEfCEqEfjBlJ8hw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=984rkMbvp-w

summary - The key takeaway is that even as adults, we have retained our innate language learning skill which requires simply treating a new language as a new, novel experience that we can apprehend naturally simply by experiencing it like the way we did when we were exposed to our first, native language - We didn't know what a "language" was theoretically when we were infants, but we simply fell into the experience and played with the experiences and our primary caretakers guided us - We didn't know grammar and rules of language, we just learned innately

for - natural language acquisition - youtube - The Language School that Teaches Adults like Babies - to - book - From the Outside In - linguist - J. Marvin Brown - https://hyp.is/PjtjBipbEfCr4ieLB5y1Ew/files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED501257.pdf - quote - When I speak in Thai, I think in Thai - J. Marvin Brown

summary - This video summarizes the remarkable life of linguist J. Marvin Brown, who spent a lifetime trying to understand how to learn a second language and to use it the way a natural language user does - After a lifetime of research and trying out various teaching and learning methods, he finally realized that adults all have the abilitty to learn a new language in the same way any infant does, naturally through listening and watching - The key was to not bring in conscious thinking of an adult and immerse oneself in - This seems like a highly relevant clue to language creation and to linguistic BEing journeys - to - youtube - Interview with David Long - Automatic Language Growth - https://hyp.is/GRPUHipvEfCVEaMaLSU-BA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=5yhIM2Vt-Cc

for - report - Action Aid - climate justice - stats - 70% of economic growth of global North - unequal carbon budget

Große Korporationen müssen Wachstum anstreben. Wenn sie nicht genug wachsen, verlieren sie an Macht über ihre Umgebung und Möglichkeiten, ihre Märkte zu kontrollieren und Innovationsprozesse zu managen.

> for - addiction - abstinence - synaptic growth - in a year, returns to baseline

> for - brain development - synaptic growth and synaptic pruning

Kapitalistische Gesellschaften sind Gesellschaften, die die Extraktion, Verteilung und Verwendung fossiler Energieträger zur Basis-Struktur ihres Stoffwechsels gemacht haben.

Wie es dann in der Folge heisst: Es werden biophyikalische Überschüsse extrahiert und akkumuliert, die institutionalisierte Beziehung zwischen diesem Überschuss und Wert verdinglicht den Wachstumsprozess und führt zu neuartigen ökologischen Widersprüchen.

Im Standard stellt Martin Auber mit aktuellen Daten belegt dar, warum der bloße Ausbau der Kapazitäten zur Erzeugung erneuerbarer Energien nicht zu einer Dekabonisierung führen wird. Der Energiebedarf wächst wesentlich schneller als die zur Verfügung stehende erneuerbare Energiepunkt. Durch den KI-Boom wird er noch einmal deutlich gesteigert. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000255154/wann-kommt-die-energiewende-oder-kommt-sie-gar-nicht

for - adjacency - quote - inherent sacred - Chinese saying - (hu)man on earth, good at birth. The same nature, varies on nurture - building a regenerative world - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang - Deep Humanity - Common Human Denominators - rekindling the sacred in an age of crisis - chinese meme

adjacency - between - Chinese saying - (hu)man on earth, good at birth. The same nature, varies on nurture - building a regenerative world - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang - Deep Humanity - Common Human Denominators - rekindling the sacred in an age of crisis - chinese meme - adjacency relationship - This ancient Chinese philosophy saying is a good summary of a key claim of the Stop Reset Go open source Deep Humanity praxis, namely - we are all sacred but we forget that as we become enculturated - The Deep Humanity Common Human Denominators (CHD) and the tree metaphor depicts diagrammatically how we can find a way to return to the sacred later in life - even though we have had it obscured - The existential crisis requires awakening the sleeping giant of the billions of people who no longer have a living experience of the sacred - This strategy is like moving from the branches of the tree of great diversity back to the common trunk of the sacred that supports all this diversity, - using the BEing journey as the strategic tool to bring back wonder, awe and a living experience of the sacred

for - from - post - LlinkedIn - Rediscovering Harmony: How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang

from - post - LinkedIn - Rediscovering Harmony: How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang - https://hyp.is/C8v8mLlSEe-aUfeerj7pSg/www.linkedin.com/posts/post-growth-institute_chinese-philosophy-regenerative-futures-ugcPost-7273235520824979456-DOqk/

for - post - LinkedIn - How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - Man Fang - Post Growth Institute - to - Medium - Rediscovering Harmony: How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - By foregrounding relationships — between individuals, communities, and the natural world — we can build systems that prioritize wellbeing and resilience - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang

to - Medium - Rediscovering Harmony: How Chinese Philosophy Offers Pathways to a Regenerative Future - By foregrounding relationships — between individuals, communities, and the natural world — we can build systems that prioritize wellbeing and resilience - Post Growth Institute - Man Fang - https://hyp.is/a2HCSrlTEe-um4thfDGo-A/medium.com/postgrowth/rediscovering-harmony-how-chinese-philosophy-offers-pathways-to-a-regenerative-future-07a097b237a0

for - climate crisis - climate communications - 2nd framing element - majority of discourse framed around economics of carbon markets - or green growth technological solutions from corporation's - Joe Brewer

Eine neue Studie bestätigt, dass die Hauptursache des immer schnelleren Anstiegs des Methan-Gehalts der Atmosphäre die Aktivität von Mikroaorganismen ist, die durch die globale Erhitzung zunimmt. Damit handelt es sich um einen Feedback-Mechanismus, durch den sich die globale Erhitzung selbst verstärkt. https://taz.de/Zu-viel-Methan-in-der-Atmosphaere/!6045201/

Studie: https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2411212121

Vorangehende Studien: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01629-0, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01296-7.epdf?sharing_token=CDMa5-ti34UNBqv3kfuCB9RgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0NZRKXEI-7kyXEEvNI7duu65JLcZpmhGxWTeSfYcMCqxqYk5nUrdR60izmjToMNw56RgBqIcn3JXKxSjx13vmB9ZYndGTUMt-52Vs7HT_T6K9Oth4QFRyP51eOpz8pV8l65HFDo2VSfQ6xDXklMtmvt-HGwltAINb_2xgmtAR-V4g%3D%3D&tracking_referrer=taz.de

for - stats - green growth - 2024 - Global South vs Global North

stats - green growth - 2024 - Global South has - 60% of world population - 20% of fossil fuel production - fossil fuel production in decline - 70% of global renewable resource potential - In 2024, 87% of capex of electricity generation is renewable - From 2019 to 2024, renewable energy has grown 23% annually and now supplies 9% of its electricity - 17% of Global South has already overtaken Global North in % of renewable electricty generation

for - Report - Powering Up the Global South - Rocky Mountain Institute - RMI - 2024 - Vikram Singh - Kingsmill Bond

Summary - This report shows that the Global South is adopting cleantech faster than the Global North

for - book - Ecotopia - Ernest Callenbach - 1975 - 2009 - futures dismantling capitalist-driven growth and suburban sprawl

original source?

This quote works well for individuals, but looking at tree stands in Alaska only thousands of years from glaciation, one sees incredibly tall trees that have shallow root systems, but they utilize each others' root systems to keep groups of trees strong and tall. This apparently even extends to groups of trees looking out for each other to keep the group strong.

via https://www.saschafast.de/

After relevance comes the "plateau period" where a lot of practice is being done with a lot of mistakes; there seems to be little progress. Most people give up here.

You need a growth mindset and just continue.

for - economic growth - physical limits to - reductio ad absurdum - physical absurdity of continuing current energy and waste heat trends into the near future

paper details - title - Limits to Economic Growth - author - Thomas W. Murphy Jr. - date - 21 July, 2022 - publication - Nature Physics, comment, online - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41567-022-01652-6

summary - Physicist Thomas W. Murphy employs reductio ab adsurdium logic to prove the fallacy of the assumptions of his argument - In this case, the argument is that we can indefinitely continue to sustain economic growth at rates that have held steady at about 2-3% per annum since the early 1900s. - Using both idealistic and simplified energy and waste heat calculations of energy and waste heat compounding at 2-3% per annum (or 10x per century), Murphy shows the absurd conclusions of continuing these current trends of energy and waste heat emissions on a global scale. - The implications are that physics and thermodynamics will naturally constrain us to plateau to a steady state economy in which the majority of economic activity needs to not depend on physically intensive

from - Planet Critical podcast - 6th Mass Extinction - interview with science journalist Peter Brannen - https://hyp.is/66oSJD-AEe-rN08IjlMu5A/docdrop.org/video/cP8FXbPrEiI/

for - absurdity of indefinite economic growth - energy projection example of recent energy trends

-absurdity of indefinite economic growth - energy projections - Energy growth has typically been 2–3% per year since early 1900's. - This is approximately equivalent to 10x each century - Present-day energy output is 18 TW and extrapolates to - - approx.100 TW in 2100, - approx. 1,000 TW in 2200, etc. - In 400 years, from today, we would exceed the total solar power incident on Earth - In 1300 years from today, we would exceed the entire output of the Sun in all directions - In 2400 years from today, we would exceed the energy output of all 100 billion stars in the Milky Way galaxy - This last jump is made impossible by the fact that even light cannot cross the galaxy in fewer than 100,000 years. - Hence, physics puts a hard limit on how long our energy growth enterprise could possibly continue

for - decoupling - economic growth from - physical resources

for - quote - economic growth - pioneering economists saw growth not as permanent, but as just a temporary phase

quote - economic growth - pioneering economists saw growth not as permanent, but as just a temporary phase - (see below) - Given that - assumptions of quantitative growth are pervasive in our society and - have been present for many generations, - it is perhaps not surprising that growth is not widely understood to be a transient phenomenon. - Early thinkers on the physical economy, such as - Adam Smith, <br /> - Thomas Malthus, - David Ricardo and - John Stuart Mill - saw the growth phase as just that: a phase

for - absurdity of indefinite economic growth - waste heat projection example of recent waste heat trends

absurdity of indefinite economic growth - waste heat projection example of recent waste heat trends - At present, the waste heat term is about four orders of magnitude smaller than the solar term. - But at a growth factor of ten per century, they would reach parity in roughly 400 years. - Indeed, the surface temperature of Earth would reach the boiling point of water (373 K) in just over 400 years under this relentless prescription.

for - limits to economic growth - physics calculations - by Tom Murphy show absurdity of continual growth - energy and waste heat perspective

to - Nature Physics - LImits to Economic Growth - Tom Murphy - https://hyp.is/CM3Grj9_Ee-obTc6jrPBRA/tmurphy.physics.ucsd.edu/papers/limits-econ-final.pdf

for - progress trap - AI triggering massive economic growth - planetary boundaries

progress trap - AI triggering massive economic growth - planetary boundaries - The podcaster does not consider the ramifications of the potential disastrous impact of such economic growth if not managed properly

for - green growth - mineral and metal shortages

green growth - mineral and metal shortages

• Achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 will require
  • a whopping 460% increase in copper production,
  • which will require 194 new large-scale mines to be brought online over the next 32 years.

This is the concept of growth mindset; and we need to teach that to our children in any way possible. It has been shown in studies that growth mindset has a positive causal influence on academic and financial success (I cannot state sources, but I know I've come across this)

Note to self: Research this later.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hiiEeMN7vbQ

"The great books are the inexhaustible books. The books that can sustain a lifetime of reading."

"The great books are the books that never have to be written again. They are so good no-one can try to write them again."

"The great books are the books that everyone wants to have read but no-one wants to read."

What did not stand out to me before while reading the book, but does now when watching this, is the fact that the greatest books are subjective to each individual... Meaning my list might not be the same for others.

Very fascinating thought experiment. Out of the 140+ books I have read so far only a few, less than a handful, would fit the list of "growth" books; the greatest, that I would take to the deserted island for 10 years...

1. The Bible
2. Antonin Sertillanges' The Intellectual Life: Its Spirit, Method, Conditions
3. Marcus Aurelius' Meditations

No other book, to my mind, that I have read so far would cut it to my list.

Vorschau der New York Times auf die wichtigsten Klimathemen 2024. Erwartet werden viele Extremwetterereignisse duch die Kombination von weiterer Erhitzung durch Treibhausgase mit dem aktuellen El Niño. Zu den wichtigen Themen gehören die Präsidentschaftswahlen, weitere fossile Expansion in den USA und weltweit, darunter die LNG-Expansion, das Wachstum der Erneuerbaren, globale Finanzreformen, Klimaprozesse und Klima-Aktivismus. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/02/climate/the-big-climate-stories-in-2024.html

Beware of Mental-Itis! Industrial. The Calvin Company, 1937. http://archive.org/details/0800_Beware_of_Mental-itis_06_00_55_00.

for - liberalism - economic growth - adjacency - liberalism - economic growth

Adjacency - between - growth - liberalism - adjacency statement - Since researching the work of Christopher Shaw, and especially his book - Liberalism and the Challenge of Climate Change - I can see the adjacency between liberalism and economic growth - Laws are a cap on one type of behavioral liberty, and yet, there is no cap on consumptive liberty, which is what is causing us to collectively exceed natural limits

Die taz plädiert dafür, die Förderung von Wertschöpfung in Deutschland bei der Solarenergie nicht mehr über das Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz abzuwickeln, da die dazu notwendigen bürokratischen Verfahren zu kompliziert sind. https://taz.de/Stand-der-Solarenergie/!5984121/

• for: progress trap - green growth - nickel mining - evicting uncontacted tribe

• progress trap: green growth - mining

  • Capitalist logic justifies this violence
  • We destroy the earth in order to save the earth
  • Question
    • Is this really the way we should be doing things?
    • Is the green growth agenda really going to keep humanity safe? Or will the unintended consequences, the progress trap be worse than the problem it is attempting to solve?

• for: green growth - ethics - indigenous violence, Indonesia - violence against indigenous people, progress trap - green growth - nickel mining - eviction of indigenous people

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxsCVEBM510<br /> How To Use An Antinet Zettelkasten For Personal Growth by Haile Rene on 2023-12-21<br /> featured on Scott P. Scheper (channel)

Video intro for Soul Cards book...

ugh...

• from:LinkedIn Post shared by Phoebe Coyne on low economic growth can help achieve staying under 1.5 Deg C.

• for: climate solutions - low economic growth, Jason Hickel,

• for: green growth - shortage of batteries

• for: question - adaptation - answer - adaptation, adaptation - ingenuity, endogenous growth, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Cascade Institute

• question: adaptation

  • why do some societies successfully adapt to environmental stresses while others do not?

• answer: adaptation

  • Ingenuity
    • Researchers within societies that are able to adapt effectively are able to deliver ingenuity at the right time and place to prevent environmental problems from causing severe hardship.

• references

  • The ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity (Homer-Dixon & Barbier,1995)?
    • http://www.homerdixon.com/1995/09/01/the-ingenuity-gap-can-poor-countries-adappt-to-resource-scarcity/
  • Resource Scaricity and Innovation: Can Poor Countries Attain Endogenous Growth (Homer-Dixon & Barbier,1999)?
    • http://www.homerdixon.com/1999/03/01/resource-scarcity-and-innovation-can-poor-countries-attain-endogenous-growth/
  • The Ingenuity Gap (2000)
    • http://www.ingenuitygap.com/
  • The Upside of Down (Homer-Dixon, 2006)
    • https://homerdixon.com/writing/books/the-upside-of-down/

• for: degrowth - criticism - bad communication, suggestion - growth and degrowth simultaneously

• suggestion

  • evolution / transition / transformation are better terms as it indicates something is dying at the same time diverging is being born
  • it is highly misleading to think one dimensionally as there are many things that have to degrow and many things that have to grow simultaneously
    • degrowth of carbon emissions, which implies pragmatically in the short time scale noe available a significant degrowth of fossil fuels
  • growth of a new energy system to replace much of it
  • degrowth of unnecessary and harmful consumption accompanied
    • growth of holistic network of root level wellbeing activities and the low carbon infrastructure to support it

• for: adjacency - debt - growth

• adjacency between

  • debt
  • growth
• adjacency statement
  • in the current different of endless growth, debt requires growth to pay off the debt
  • we borrow money to open a new business and have to GROW our market shares to service the debt
  • multiplier millions and billions of times the world over, we have too brief our markets and sell more stuff too post back our loans

• for: interesting fact - urban growth and slums, quote - urban growth and slums

• interesting fact: urban growth and slums

• quote: urban growth and slums

  • globally, 70% of today's urban growth occurs outside the formal planning process

• comment

  • this is definitely a unique urban planning problem of large metros, especially in the Global South

In Frankreich unterzeichnen der Staat und die 50 Unternehmen mit den höchsten Emissionen Verträge zur CO2-Reduktion. Die Unternehmen verpflichten sich dazu, ihre Emissionen in 10 Jahren zu halbieren und erhalten dafür Staatsbeihilfen. Die NGO RAC kritisiert, dass die Verträge keine Sanktionen enthalten und dass vor allem in größere Energieeffizienz investiert wird. https://www.liberation.fr/politique/decarbonation-les-industriels-et-letat-joignent-la-parole-au-pacte-20231122_ZE3RIXZ6YJE4JJDQCATOQYMJMM/

• for: false dichotomy of sustaining modernity

• paraphrase

  • The pace of modernity can neither be sustained in a high carbon nor a low carbon green economy
  • No matter what the political party, they all subscribe to a view of sustaining the same or greater pace of modernity

• comment

  • libertarians want no constraints
  • but nature herself imposes limits
  • populations collapse if resources are overused
  • human populations who adopt a Libertarian approach eventually encounter a limit anyways

Reference for ADP1-ISx strain

1. Suárez G.A., Renda B.A., Dasgupta A., Barrick J.E.. Reduced mutation rate and increased transformability of transposon-free Acinetobacter baylyi ADP1-ISx. Appl. Environ. Microbiol. 2017; 83:e01025-17. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar] [Ref list]

One could argue that Adler and Van Doren would lump social media into the sources of amusement category.

Aus einer Nature-Studie geht hervor, dass sich die von Menschen bewohnten flutgefährdeten Flächen in den letzten 40 Jahren verdoppelt haben. Mehr als die Hälfte dieser Zunahme fand in China und Vietnam statt. Auch weitere südasiatische Länder spielen für sie eine große Rolle. In reichen Industrieländern ging die Besiedlung von flutgefährdeten Flächen dagegen zurück. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/04/climate/global-flood-risks.html

Studie: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06468-9.epdf?sharing_token=lpLSX0c_H2RI-pKt6iP_i9RgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0N5PpHI13vjZwm42632-yUOKAmeWVVA09hCWJsOuBg5RtJFsHbrapKlxrvx0359W4uRPwef-npfYwNwSGVyxJ-YlZI11HzNuhfqUjPscjX71YbnF6RwtayHuYSFb5gtw8LBW5Ei0mZFLroD_yNuU52xf2peUhGEIsOyYLmDDX6jpKDD-Ce3ulRLxi6O-57ohGU%3D&tracking_referrer=www.nytimes.com

04:00 shame as feedback and driving growth (most powerful emotion)

• also see how anxiety can be used and leveraged for growth (as a whisper that aids, rather than destroying)

Disconnect between GDP growth and well-being

Post Growth Entrepreneurship website

• for: Johan Rockstrom - wellbeing economy, wellbeing economy, green growth, degrowth, question, question - Johan Rockstrom - green growth or degrowth?
• question
  • Does Johan Rockstrom advocate for a green economy or degrowth?
  • He would seem to be arguing for green growth as degrowth, if not done extremely carefully, can result in a drop in wellbeing.
  • How does he see this taking place when the elites perceive that they have the most (at least materially) to give up? Is there a contradiction here?

Zettel title from Christian Tietze<br /> found in https://forum.zettelkasten.de/discussion/comment/18549/#Comment_18549

• for: progress, progress trap, exponential growth - knowledge, exponential growth - technology, technology - exponential growth, US patents, patents, intellectual property -description: GIF graph of US patents from the start in 1825 to 2021

Curbing growth and emissions

• for: population decline, economic growth vs population decline
• comment
  • John makes a good point
  • how will humans negotiate a growth economy when population is shrinking?
  • it may be that AI automation may lessen the need for human capacity, but the future is unknown how these forces will balance out

• for: net zero, kick the can down the road, green growth, degrowth, NET, negative emissions technology

• Title
  • Corporations can't be greened

• Author Erin Remblance

• Description

  • The author argues that corporations cannot be greened.
  • In other words, by definition, they cannot put nature ahead of profit and this inherent flaw means they will never do enough, and will never transcend greenwashing
  • The real question then is this
    • Can we transition to a green capitalist economy within planetary boundaries in time to avoid planetary tipping points?

Only a handful have been set up this century: University of California Merced (2005), Ave Maria University (2003) and Soka University of America (2001). Just five U.S. colleges founded in the past 50 years make it into the Times’s top 25 “Young Universities”: University of Alabama at Birmingham (founded 1969), University of Texas at Dallas (1969), George Mason (1957), University of Texas at San Antonio (1969) and Florida International (1969). Each is (or originated as) part of a state university system.

How does he focus on the dearth of new universities, particularly in populations which have only been growing? No mention of the growing number of colleges which have gone bankrupt and disappeared? Given population growth, with appropriately commensurate funding (a political football), we should have seen a huge number of new institutions just from that.

Graph - millionaire emission growth vs remaining carbon budget - Note the year 2037 on this graph - This is when millionaire emissions exceeds remaining carbon budget

yacht stats - 2021: 5245 superyachts of lengths 30-180m - 1990: 1090 superyachts of lengths 30-180m - stats - yachts - quote - yachts

• 21:52 Carbon credits, carbon markets
  • it's a scam designed to perpetuate fossil fuel use, in a phoney war against the climate crisis
  • Offsets were designed to allow polluters to pay others to create schemes that would compensate or "offset" that pollution. The classic example WAS afforestation, the planting of trees that can sequester that carbon.
  • Carbon neutrality comes from this idea that you can keep polluting if you offset it and become "carbon neutral"
  • A company may decarbonize a lot of their supply chain but may struggle to get rid of airflights around the world. In that case, they use offsets. When companies analyze the very difficult choices, they take the easy way out and use carbon offsets
  • However, there is so much offsets for afforestation now that there isn't enough land on earth
  • Carbon markets are a recipe for grifting and fraud or zero impacts
    • https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jan/18/revealed-forest-carbon-offsets-biggest-provider-worthless-verra-aoe
  • This is the current state of offsets

31:00 Shell oil carbon offset greenwashing scam - the sky zero proposal - Shell claims they can offset all the O+G emissions out of the ground - it is preposterous - there's not enough land on earth when you tally up all the carbon offset afforestation schemes

• 32:30 Neo-colonialism

  • rich white man can offset his emissions by buying land from a developing nation. Now the indigenous people cannot use that land for any reason.
  • also, will require huge amount of water to grow those trees
  • we don't have enough land and we don't have 100 years, only 5 years.
  • nature-based solutions are an industrial, myopic approach

• 37:00 Deferred Emission Reduction

  • a lot of carbon credits are called deferred emission reduction credits.
  • this is avoided emissions - ie. trees in a forest with 100 ton of sequestering potential
  • this is promise to not destroy the biosphere any further so it's not removing any existing carbon
  • maybe multiple people might own the same forest, or someone might come along and burn it down
  • Trees are vulnerable to climate impacts - ie. Microsoft bought a large forest in California that later burned down in a climate change intensified wildfire

• 40:00 can we do anything within the extractive capitalist system?

  • some people claim that as long as extractivist capitalism still persists, we cannot have system change
  • also a neocolonialist element - global north exploited the global south to create most of the emissions in the atmospheric commons
  • a number of people are beginning to see that an extractivist capitalist system is not in line with effectively addressing the climate crisis
  • wind, solar, etc has displaced electricity generation in a number of countries like in the UK. However, these are only a few countries.Renewables are helping increase overall energy production

• 44:22: Stop burning fossil fuels

  • t doesn't matter if investments in renewables triple. It won't make a difference if we don't significantly stop burning fossil fuels at the same time.

• 47:00 economic growth prevents real change

  • Insisting on 1, 2 or 3% growth, will limit the response to the climate threat to render it irrelevant
  • Climate change is still mostly an optimization problem. They are more concerned with economic damage.
  • Economists believe that anything that threatens economic growth cannot be accepted

• 51:00 Degrowth making headway

  • Degrowth scholars are getting more attention on the need to decouple economic grwoth from climate policies

• 52:10 Is there a positive future scenario - The role of solidarity

  • Solidarity is the greatest strength we can harness.
  • The success of Doughnut Economics gives me hope
  • The richest 1% must reign in their impacts and redistribute to allow the impoverished to live humane lives
  • We can all have good lives and we don't have to manufacture that wonder
  • This is what it is to be human