for - definition - syncrhronomous failure - Cascade Institute - Thomas Homer-Dixon

definition - syncrhronomous failure - Cascade Institute - Thomas Homer-Dixon - When multiple systems fail simultaneously, the scale may overwhelm institutions to respond effectively since they have evolved to deal with issues in silos

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/28/climate/canada-wildfires-emissions-carbon.html

Studien: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07878-z

Typewriter Repair Failure by [[Joe Van Cleave]]

for - governance - failure of nation state - on global issues

for - educator - polycrisis - individual action - levers - climate and earth history specialists help with education

educator - earth climate history specialist can help with education about the past to help understand what we face in the present

climate education - low impact due to - ignoring perspectival knowing - and salience landscapes - It may help to look at the problem of education through the lens of Michael Levin's multi-scale competency architecture - https://hyp.is/FFxzRL2nEe6ghzeLcJGM7A/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10167196/ - Applied to cognitive and cultural evolution within the lifetime of a single individual (human) - The salience landscape of an individual can vary depending on their educational and cultural background - There are multiple categories of concepts, each with their own degree of salience: - immediate phenomenological experience - high salience - second hand, linguistically communicated experience - moderate and dependent on source - scientific reported phenomena - moderate, high or low, dependent on source and cultural / educational background - second hand, linguistically communicated experience - low, moderate or high, dependent on source and cultural / educational background - A key observation is that humans are evolved to detect specific environmental cue but miss many others - The rate of cultural evolution is so rapid that our biologically adapted processes cannot adapt quickly enough to the rapid cultural changes, resulting in the experience of "hyperobjects" - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=+hyperobject - education that is done haphazardly and in an adhoc manner will fail to discriminate between this large variety of salience landscape, with the overall impact of low educational impact

This is the concept of growth mindset; and we need to teach that to our children in any way possible. It has been shown in studies that growth mindset has a positive causal influence on academic and financial success (I cannot state sources, but I know I've come across this)

Note to self: Research this later.

Success is the ability to go from failure to failure without losing enthusiasm (or motivation)

for - key insight - failure of the gene coding uni-causal model - key insight - failure of genetic determinism

This sort of failure is still seen today with people setting up note taking systems in a variety of digital environments.

for - World Social Forum - failure to reach action consensus

Zusammenfassender Artikel über Studien zu Klimafolgen in der Antarktis und zu dafür relevanten Ereignissen. 2023 sind Entwicklungen sichtbar geworden, die erst für wesentlich später in diesem Jahrhundert erwartet worden waren. Der enorme und möglicherweise dauerhafte Verlust an Merreis ist dafür genauso relevant wie die zunehmende Instabilität des westantarktischen und möglicherweise inzwischen auch des ostantarktischen Eisschilds. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/dec/31/red-alert-in-antarctica-the-year-rapid-dramatic-change-hit-climate-scientists-like-a-punch-in-the-guts

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/aug/25/emperor-penguins-thousands-of-chicks-in-antarctica-likely-died-due-to-record-low-sea-ice-levels

This being BBC, and me being also a medical interpreter, I trust that this is true.

—David Lynch

• for: holism, progress trap, double bind, SDG failure

• comment

  • In the current silo'd approach typified by the SDGs, unintended consequences, or progress traps are unavoidable and are built into the approach itself.

• for: Hamas 2023 attack on Israel - reason for failure

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/03/smarter-living/failure-resume.html

• for: science and spirituality, business and spirituality, spirituality and sustainability, Tom Greenwood, annotated,
• comment
  • annotated this article:
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Ftomgreenwood.substack.com%2Fp%2Fis-spirituality-the-missing-pillar&group=world

• new trailmark: - new trailmark
  • replace "for" with "adjacency"
• adjacency
  • between
    • sustainability
    • failure,
    • root causes
• source: reason why the author started asking the question:
  • what's missing in sustainability that makes it unachievable after decades of trying?

• for: intentional communities, intentional communities - failure, cults
• comment
  • This article does not seem to be aware of the controversy at Damanhur:
    • https://rightsforrainbows.medium.com/a-call-for-a-new-spiritual-paradigm-in-the-face-of-spiritual-abuse-and-authority-490b912584d8

• for: intentional communities, intentional communities - failures
• comment
  • modern, industrialized society is still a massively interdependent system
  • what many who start intentional communities don't realize is this refined interdependency give us a lot of time savings
  • we find that out when we live in an intentional community and have to make everything ourselves

• for: intentional communities - case study - New Harmony
• paraphrase
  • New Harmony
  • Year: 1825
  • Location: Indiana
  • Size: 20,000 acres
  • Members: 800 in first 6 weeks
  • ideals
    • environment
    • education
    • abolish private property
  • problems
    • low percentage of hard skills
      • 140 of 800 had skills contributing to local industry,
      • 36 were skilled farmers
    • indiscriminate and allowed too many without skills to join
    • intentional communities are often the most attractive for a dangerous constellation of actors
      • dreamers,
      • drifters,
      • seekers in need of belonging,
      • the needy and wounded,
      • the egomaniacal and power-thirsty
      • free riders, lazy and without skills
    • founder was absent a large percentage of the time

• for: intentional communities, intentional communities - failure
• paraphrase
  • reasons for failure:sound more like the challenges afflicting any organisation today:
    • capital constraints,
    • burn-out,
    • conflict over private property
    • conflict over resource management,
    • poor systems of conflict mediation,
    • factionalism,
    • founder problems,
    • reputation management,
    • skills shortage,
    • failure to attract new talent
    • failure to entice subsequent generations.

• for: intentional communities,
• irony
• paraphrase
  • the irony is that many of the administrative and managerial forces that individuals are running away from within mainstream society
    • are exactly the organisational tools that would make intentional communities more resilient

• for: stats, intentional community, intentional communities, - stats - intentional communities
  • intentional communities fail at a rate slightly higher than most startups
  • startup failure rate is around 90%
  • longevity of Fortune 500 companies listed in 1955 to 2017
    • failure rate of 88%
  • S&P companies average lifespan: 15 years

• for: stats, intentional community, intentional communities, stats - intentional communities
  • intentional communities fail at a rate slightly higher than most startups

• for: intentional community, intentional communities, eco-community, ecocommunity
• title
  • Utopia Inc Most utopian communities are, like most start-ups, short-lived. What makes the difference between failure and success?

The sixth step, most essential as well, is to Accept the Wins

Owning the losses means also owning the wins.

The fifth step is to have Selective Memory only choose to remember the events that serve the future. Things that help to improve in the future.

It's like Marcus Aurelius wrote (in a slightly different way): "Ask yourself at any moment, is this essential?" In this way it would become: "Ask yourself at any moment, does this help me?"

The fourth step is to Apply the Reflection. Adjust behavior based on reflection. We improve not for validation, we improve for ourselves (stoic philosophy)

Document the journey in for example a journal. Make a comparison between what would be done in the past and what will be done in the future.

Data collection. Measurement.

Marginal Gains. It's sort of a daily continous Kolb's cycle but in a more lightweight form. I can already see the power in this. Absolute gem.

Could also be overwhelming if applied to a lot. therefore, use the power law and focus on what is essential to life change. (thanks Dr. Benjamin Hardy.)

The third step is to Reflect and think into the future. Extract meaning and lessons from the failure. Think about opportunities.

Reflection increases confidence. Kolb's can help with this a lot.

The second step is Sit with the loss in order to find the (root) cause of the loss or pain. Do not avoid the pain, don't distract oneself, instead embrace it and feel it.

Endurance can be trained. Comfort with uncomfortability can be trained in the same way.

Accept and sit in the fire. Embrace the turmoil.

The first step to deal with loss of any kind, be it a girlfriend, love, job, purpose, etc. Is to ACCEPT YOU LOST

Failure = Failure.

Failure is inevitable, and will be part of any learning process. Therefore it should not be avoided at all costs. It should be used to learn from. However; there is also no point in seeking failure, for if failure is not something negative, there is no point to improve (says the author at least)

• for: intentional communities - failure
• comment
  • moral highground and not actually having a collective scaling strategy are the reasons why this typically fails

• for: intentional community, intentional communities, intentional communities - failure
• claim
  • intentional communities have a fatal flaw, an intrinsic Achilles Heel

• for: intentional community, intentional communities, intentional communities - failure, stats, stats - intentional communities
• stats
  • of 478 intentional communities since the 1820s,
  • 112 exist worldwide in the last 30 years (1988 - 2018

• for: intentional community, intentional communities, intentional communities - failure, stats, stats - intentional communities
• stats
  • of 478 intentional communities since the 1820s,
  • 112 exist worldwide in the last 30 years (1988 - 2018

• for: intentional community, intentional communities, DAO community, decentralized cities, Jonathan Hillis, Nora Bateson, intentional communities - failure
• comment
  • this is a critical question
  • unfortunately, many people have tried living in intentional communities over many decades and the success rate is not high
  • listen to what Nora Bateson has to say about her experience of living in idealistic intentional communities and why they fail
    • https://hyp.is/ISC75i5JEe6lgW93D0Ye_A/docdrop.org/video/GE39xfNRRyw/

and

https://hyp.is/ISC75i5JEe6lgW93D0Ye_A/docdrop.org/video/GE39xfNRRyw/

• for: intentional community, intentional communities,

• for: ecological civilization
  • Nora Bateson
    • Nora shares about the many diverse intentional communities she has lived in and found them all dysfunctional.
    • The problem is that they have a mission statement, a purpose.
    • The perspectival knowing is different for each person.
    • How do you nurture unintentional community?
    • support unintentional possibility
    • top-down instructional is an unecological process
    • The question "who can you be when you are with me?" is preferred over "what should you be?"

Reply to Bob Doto at https://www.reddit.com/r/Zettelkasten/comments/14ikfsy/comment/jplo3j2/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=web2x&context=3 with respect to PZ Compass Points.

I'll agree wholeheartedly that applying methods like this to each note one takes is a "make work" exercise. It's apt to encourage people into the completist trap of turning every note they take into some sort of pristine so-called permanent or evergreen note, and there are already too many of those practitioners, who often give up in a few weeks wondering "where did I go wrong?".

It's useful to know that these methods and tools exist, particularly for younger students, but I would never recommend that one apply them on a daily or even weekly basis. Maybe if one was having trouble with a particular idea or thought and wanted to more exhaustively explore the adjacent space around it, but even here going out for a walk in nature and allowing diffuse thinking to do some of the work is likely to be just as (maybe more?) productive.

It could be the sort of thing to write down in your collection of Oblique Strategies to pull out when you're hitting a wall?

I want: - monetary and punitive damages - I want to put it in the spot light that most "psychotherapists" are not qualified, but people, themselves, think they are, and law language makes them think they are - that law, nor anything, meaningfully restrictions anyone from making a "diagnosis" - that not only are psychotherapists not qualified, they are not qualified to know when they are not qualified and refer out - that there is gross insufficiency in not only oversight, but no meaningful sufficient method/tools by which to measure and enforce oversight - that there is gross insufficiency in sound method to match mental needs to mental services - to provide parents and children and welfare the tools and ammo to select, apply, enforce, and measure performance of services - further to do the same for every other person in this world who is in need of, receiving ineffective, receiving damage because of wrong, mental care.

I agree with this statement because if someone is failing there is a reason behind why they are failing. There could be many causes as to why someone fails something. This is important to the history of psychology because failure has happened many times throughout history and there are probably some underlining factors as to why some psychologists failed at certain things. Some causes of failure are lack of interest, poor instruction, poor self-esteem, and things happening at home that are distracting.

I agree with this statement because the student failed because they couldn't understand the material, but it is the school's fault for not providing the tools for the student to be successful such as tutoring or help make course work easier to understand. I think this is important to the history of psychology because we have more resources now that are being used to help students not fail. Back in history there probably wasn't many resources to make sure someone would pass a class or understand material. There are many resources now that are being used to help improve intelligence and prevent failure.

I agree that failure crushes self-confidence and destroys the spirit students have. I think that trying to prevent children from failure is the best thing someone can do because no one likes to fail at anything. I think this can relate to anyone but, I will use a psychologist as an example, for example, a psychologist does an experiment, but the experiment fails, it might make the psychologist not want to do another experiment. When I failed a reading assessment I felt like crying and that I would always be bad at reading. I think failure is important to the history of psychology because there were probably many failures when trying to acquire knowledge about different things. They overcame failure by understanding their mental abilities which is being used to help prevent children from failing because they are trying to measure each children's mental ability so they can be taught correctly and will possibly won't fail. This is important to history as well because everyone is different and so they can't hold children to the same standard of school progress.

Michel Thomas Method Review

Michel Thomas method also includes: - atomic pieces built up as building blocks into larger pieces - lots of encouragement to prevent the feeling of failure

Downsides: - there is no failure mode which can nudge people into a false sense of performance when using their language with actual native speakers

This reviewer indicates that there is some base level of directed mnemonic work going on, but the repetition level isn't such that long term retention (at least in the space repetition sort of way) is a specific goal. We'll need to look into this piece more closely to firm this up, however.

// - market driven solutions distort achieving a good life for all - rather, they prioritize meeting the desires of the rich rather than the needs of the poor - investment flows to where money is expected to be made, not necessarily for any form of justice

!- identification : of failings of current climate activists

Search indicates the word "later" appears in this book 123 times, about half of them (57 by a quick count) are in contexts of the author saying he'll explain something later in the book. This is an annoying habit and would be better replaced with links to the exact pages where the material occurs.

Alternately/in addition to, an index could be immensely helpful here.

How does a book which speaks so heavily of indices and their value not have an index?

danah boyd posits that journalism in the United States didn't fail as the result of Craigslist or Google, but because of hedge funds and investors acquiring them to strip out their valuable real estate.

Can't annotate on https://feedback.mailgun.com/forums/156243-feature-requests/suggestions/39905227-provide-meaningful-delivery-status-description-rat so posting here instead.

Anonymous commented · May 26, 2021 4:36 AM

Without your comment I'd never find the real issue, because I was only look at permanent failures. That error message is really misleading, hope they can fix this.

Kelly commented · December 30, 2020 2:35 AM

Yes we desperately need this too. Half of our recipients were soft bounced due to "Too old" but we could still send to them previously on other ESPs.

That could be a problem, if it actually send to the permanent failure hook in this case. Then you would have to hit their bounces API to check whether it's actually a permanent failure / hard bounce for the recipient as opposed to just for this message.

too old error

Exactly. I arrived at the same conclusion.

To help fight cognitive bias, one should actively think about potential failure modes of one's decisions and think about alternative conclusions which aren't part of the findings one might have hoped for. Watching out for these can dramatically help increase solution spaces and be on the watch out for innovative alternate or even better solutions.

Henriques-Gomes, L. (2021, September 29). Young Australians with disabilities face significant barriers to getting Covid vaccine. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/sep/30/young-australians-with-disabilities-face-significant-barriers-to-getting-covid-vaccine

Thomas, T., & Duncan, P. (2021, December 23). If Omicron is the dominant variant in UK, why is the number of confirmed cases so low? The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/23/if-omicron-is-the-dominant-variant-in-uk-why-is-the-number-of-confirmed-cases-so-low

Okay, so don't translocate beavers. It seems like they could reap havoc if there is no natural predators.

Dear god I really hate when publishers do their references/notes like this. Sitting here at the end, unlinked to the actual text. There's a special place in hell for editors that do this in the digital age.

Yup. This is basically a version of "don't coddle your students".

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-complicated-legacy-of-e-o-wilson/

I can see why there's so much backlash on this piece.

It could and should easily have been written without any reference at all to E. O. Wilson and been broadly interesting and true. However given the editorial headline "The Complicated Legacy of E. O. Wilson", the recency of his death, and the photo at the top, it becomes clickbait for something wholly other.

There is only passing reference to Wilson and any of his work and no citations whatsoever about who he was or why his work was supposedly controversial. Instead the author leans in on the the idea of the biology being the problem instead of the application of biology to early anthropology which dramatically mis-read the biology and misapplied it for the past century and a half to bolster racist ideas and policies.

The author indicates that we should be better with "citational practices when using or reporting on problematic work", but wholly forgets to apply it to her own writing in this very piece.

I'm aware that the magazine editors are most likely the ones that chose the headline and the accompanying photo, but there's a failure here in both editorial and writing for this piece to have appeared in Scientific American in a way as to make it more of a hit piece on Wilson just days after his death. Worse, the backlash of the broadly unsupported criticism of Wilson totally washed out the attention that should have been placed on the meat of the actual argument in the final paragraphs.

Editorial failed massively on all fronts here.

This article seems to be a clear example of the following:

Any time one uses the word "problematic" to describe cultural issues, it can't stand alone without some significant context building and clear arguments about exactly what was problematic and precisely why. Otherwise the exercise is a lot of handwaving and puffery that does neither side of an argument or its intended audiences any good.

(1) ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: ‘RT @ahandvanish: New paper on 10,024 breakthrough infections shows that vaccination does not prevent #LongCovid. Https://t.co/8WurrqXRwy…’ / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved 29 October 2021, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1453638123624226822

Is das flipped classroom eigentlich auch schon ohnehin flipped - wie das publishing nicht erst gefiltert wird? Irgendwie (weiß noch nicht wie) glaube ich, dass diese Drehung auf der einen Seite auch im Klassenraum Wiederhall findet

failure in communication

The interesting modern historical question is why does a small gang of authoritarian leaders seem to rise up to the top and take over Russia? Is there some fundamental lesson that the people of Russia have not yet learned that creates this atmosphere of enabling authoritarianism? Yeltsin tried but it failed and this vacuum created the space for the opportunity Putin to step in. The danger of failed democracy is authoritarianism waiting in the wings.

catalog, until a successor card catalog comes along in 1848. Only the<br /> absence of a bound repertory allows the paper slip aggregate to answer all inquiries about a book ’ s whereabouts after 1781. Thus, a failed undertaking tacitly turns into a success story.

The Josephinian card index was created, in part on the ideas of Konrad Gessner's slip method, by accumulating slips which could be rearranged and then copied down permanently. While there was the chance that the original cards could be disordered, the fact that the approximately 300,000 cards in 205 small boxes were estimated to fill 50 to 60 folio volumes with time and expense to print it dissuaded the creation of a long desired compiled book of books. These problems along with the fact that new books being added later was sure to only compound problems of having a single reference. This failure to have a bound catalog of books unwittingly resulted in the success of the index card catalog.

Kakorrhaphiophobia: the fear of failure

Hypercapnic and Hypoxic Resp failure can co-exist

Respiratory failure defined.

The level of complexity to using some of these tools is also a huge hurdle for the everyday user as well. Some require deep knowledge of the tool along with coding ability as well.

Perhaps this complexity barrier will come down over time, but some projects don't seem to be working toward making things easier and simpler for the end user.

countries negotiating may not be as effective as working at the individual / civil society level to appeal to the wealthy demographics, who are responsible for the lions share of emissions.

Colin Davis. (2021, October 15). Today marks a milestone of sorts: The number of children under 14 who’ve tested positive for Covid in England just passed one million (1,003,787 to be precise). 🧵 https://t.co/C58QwpvJrk [Tweet]. @ProfColinDavis. https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1449046813877706753

Design for Resilience

Podcast

Great example of the overly optimistic rose colored glasses of the venture fund backed tech elite. How do they still get away with such blatant failures? Who hold them socially and financially accountable?

Chen, C. (2021, April 14). A Tiny Number of People Will Be Hospitalized Despite Being Vaccinated. We Have to Learn Why. ProPublica. https://www.propublica.org/article/a-tiny-number-of-people-will-be-hospitalized-despite-being-vaccinated-we-have-to-learn-why?token=4HsRcuNGpEdmAeWz4oEu5Cr56zj5_5OE

COVID-19 vaccine rollout may be delayed—With IT system ‘failing constantly’. (n.d.). Sky News. Retrieved 2 March 2021, from https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-vaccine-rollout-may-be-delayed-with-it-system-failing-constantly-12164829

Smaldino, Paul E., and Cailin O’Connor. ‘Interdisciplinarity Can Aid the Spread of Better Methods Between Scientific Communities’. MetaArXiv, 5 November 2020. https://doi.org/10.31222/osf.io/cm5v3.

Chris Ham: The United Kingdom’s poor record on covid-19 is a failure of policy learning. (2021, January 26). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/26/chris-ham-the-united-kingdoms-poor-record-on-covid-19-is-a-failure-of-policy-learning/

test

failure-denial cycle

This is good opinion/info to support my claim. If only Santa Anna had given mercy to the Texans, he could've used them against their side, and they could've helped him get more prisoners or win the revolution and continue his rein over Texas.

This is good to show how his execution of Texas soldiers wasn't working for him because everyone was willing to fight even harder, not going to die without a fight.

I feel like this question needs to be asked more. We talk about our classrooms as being places where it should be "safe" to take risks and to fail, but it's not enough for us to assert it, and I'd argue not enough for us to implement only the policies which would address our own concerns. We really have to ask how our students perceive their safety.

Hybrids: Between Industry and Academia ft. Nurit Nobel (Episode 016). (2020, August 9). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_oRegXaGsTU

Rodela, T. T., Tasnim, S., Mazumder, H., Faizah, F., Sultana, A., & Hossain, M. M. (2020). Economic Impacts of Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) in Developing Countries [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/wygpk

Xu, G., Qi, F., Li, H., Yang, Q., Wang, H., Wang, X., Liu, X., Zhao, J., Liao, X., Liu, Y., Amit, I., Liu, L., Zhang, S., & Zhang, Z. (2020). The differential immune responses to COVID-19 in peripheral and lung revealed by single-cell RNA sequencing. MedRxiv, 2020.08.15.20175638. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.08.15.20175638

Sasaki, K., & Yamada, Y. (2020). The pandemic threatens the Registered Reports system as well as human lives [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/6wdaz

Candelieri, A., Giordani, I., Ponti, A., & Archetti, F. (2020). Resilience in urban networked infrastructure: The case of Water Distribution Systems. ArXiv:2006.14622 [Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.14622

Test and trace: It didn’t have to be this way. (2020, June 19). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2020/06/19/test-and-trace-it-didnt-have-to-be-this-way/

Buranyi, S. (2020). Scathing COVID-19 book from Lancet editor—Rushed but useful. Nature, 582(7813), 478–479. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-01839-y

McKie, R. (2020, June 14). Lancet editor attacks UK government for “catastrophic” handling of Covid-19 pandemic. The Observer. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/14/lancet-editor-attacks-uk-government-for-catastrophic-handling-of-covid-19-pandemic

where's the line though? every output generates a feedback loop with the hivemind, turning into input to ourselves with our cracking, overwhelmed, filters

it's unrealistic to wish everyone to see jokes are jokes, to rely on journalists to generate unbiased facts, and politicians as self serving leeches, err that's my bias speaking

editor, R. M. D. political. (2020, June 7). UK failure to lock down earlier cost many lives, top scientist says. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/07/uk-failure-to-lock-down-earlier-cost-many-uk-lives-top-scientist-says

Horton, R. (2020). Offline: Health in the unhappy time of COVID-19. The Lancet, 395(10237), 1600. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31206-X

Pescetelli, N., Rutherford, A., Kao, A., & Rahwan, I. (2020). Pescetelli_et_al_Collective learning in news consumption. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/w6nc5