- Nov 2024
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jgvw2024.peergos.me jgvw2024.peergos.me
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for - paper - Nature Sustainability - Translating Earth system boundaries for cities and business - Bai et al., 2024 - cross scale translation of earth system boundaries - Bai et al., 2024 - downscaling planetary boundaries - earth system boundaries - from - paper - Cross-scale translation of Earth system boundaries should use methods that are more science-based - Xue & Bakshi
paper details - Title: Translating Earth system boundaries for cities and businesses - Author: Bai et al. - Publisher: Nature Sustainability - Date: 2024, Jan 4
from - paper - Cross-scale translation of Earth system boundaries should use methods that are more science-based - Xue & Bakshi - https://hyp.is/jKlP4KvZEe-p1v9b-AbDOQ/jgvw2024.peergos.me/StopResetGo/2024/11/PDFs/MattersArisingBaietal.pdf
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4thgenerationcivilization.substack.com 4thgenerationcivilization.substack.com
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Domain-specific alliances
for - adjacency - SRG planetary boundary / earth system boundaries working groups - domain specific alliances - Magisteria of the Commons
adjacency - between - SRG planetary boundary / earth system boundaries working groups - domain specific alliances - Magisteria of the Commons - adjacency relationship The domain specific alliances of the Magisteria of the commons is similar to the SRG idea of developing funds version divisions of wealth system boundaries
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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embarking on the search for a completely different economic and social system. But what can this look like?
for - futures - backcasting - question - what does a world within planetary boundaries look like?
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- Oct 2024
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wfabhmdrpib5-u5525.pressidiumcdn.com wfabhmdrpib5-u5525.pressidiumcdn.com
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for - Donald Trump re-election - existential risk - planetary tipping points - earth system boundaries - study - Impact 2024 - Cascade Institute - polycrisis - Trump reelection - increase risk
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- Sep 2024
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Der neue Planetary Health Check des Potsdam Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung ergibt, dass durch die Versauerung der Ozeane möglicherweise gerade die siebte von 9 planetaren Grenzen durchbrochen wird und die Biosphäre auch hier in eine Hochrisikozone eintritt. Bei allen anderen mit Ausnahme des Ozonschwunds haben sich die Bedingungen verschlechtert. Die CO2- Emissionen treiben die Versauerung an, die wiederum die Fähigkeit der Ozeane mindert, als CO2-Senke zu wirken. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/sep/23/earth-breach-planetary-boundaries-health-check-oceans
Website zum Planetary Health Check: https://www.planetaryhealthcheck.org/
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for - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - Camilo Mora et al. - 6th mass extinction - biodiversity loss - question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - to - climate departure map - map of major cities - 2013 - to - researchgate paper - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - 2013 - Camilo Mora et al
paper details - title: The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability - author: - Camilo Mora, - Abby G. Frazier, - Ryan J. Longman, - Rachel S. Dacks, - Maya M. Walton, - Eric J. Tong, - Joseph J. Sanchez, - Lauren R. Kaiser, - Yuko O. Stender, - James M. Anderson, - Christine M. Ambrosino, - Iria Fernandez-Silva, - Louise M. Giuseffi, - Thomas W. Giambelluca - date - 9 October, 2013 - publication Nature 502, 183-187 (2013) - https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12540 - https://www.nature.com/articles/nature12540
Summary - This is an extremely important paper with a startling conclusion of the magnitude of the social and economic impacts of the biodiversity disruption coming down the pipeline - It is likely that very few governments are prepared to adapt to these levels of ecosystemic disruption - Climate departure is defined as an index of the year when: - The projected mean climate of a given location moves to a state that is - continuously outside the bounds of historical variability - Climate departure is projected to happen regardless of how aggressive our climate mitigation pathway - The business-as-usual (BAU) scenario in the study is RCP85 and leads to a global climate departure mean of 2047 (+/- 14 years s.d.) while - The more aggressive RCP45 scenario (which we are currently far from) leads to a global climate departure mean of 2069 (+/- 18 years s.d.) - So regardless of how aggressive we mitigate, we cannot avoid climate departure. - What consequences will this have on economies around the world? How will we adapt? - The world is not prepared for the vast ecosystem changes, which will reshape our entire economy all around the globe.
question - 2024 - Sept 13 - how do we reconcile climate departure with quantification of earth system boundary biodiversity safe and just limit? - Annotating the Sept 11, 2024 published Earth Commission paper in Lancet, the question arises: - How do we reconcile climate departure dates with the earth system boundary quantification of safe limits for biodiversity? - There, it is claimed that: - 50 to 60 % of intact nature is required<br /> - https://hyp.is/Mt8ocnIEEe-C0dNSJFTjyQ/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - a minimum of 20 to 25% of human modified ecosystems is required - https://hyp.is/AKwa4nIHEe-U1oNQDdFqlA/www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1/fulltext - in order to mitigate major species extinction and social disruption crisis - And yet, Mora et al.'s research and subsequent climate departure map shows climate departure is likely to take place everywhere on the globe, with - aggressive RCP decarbonization pathway only delaying climate departure from - Business-As-Usual RCP pathway - by a few decades at most - And this was a 2011 result. 13 years later in 2024, I expect climate departure dates have likely gotten worse and moved closer to the present
from - Gupta, Joyeeta et al.(2024). A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations. The Lancet Planetary Health, Volume 0, Issue 0 - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thelancet.com%2Fjournals%2Flanplh%2Farticle%2FPIIS2542-5196(24)00042-1%2Ffulltext&group=world
to - climate departure map - of major cities of the world - 2013 - https://hyp.is/tV1UOFsKEe-HFQ-jL-6-cw/www.hawaii.edu/news/2013/10/09/study-in-nature-reveals-urgent-new-time-frame-for-climate-change/ - full research paper - researchgate
Tags
- Camilo Mora
- to - The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability
- climate departure
- to - climate departure map - map of major cities - 2013
- from - Gupta, Joyeeta et al.(2024). A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations. The Lancet Planetary Health, Volume 0, Issue 0
Annotators
URL
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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for - earth system boundaries - safe and just earth system boundaries - cross translated - to cities and business - planetary boundaries - downscaled planetary boundaries - urban planetary boundaries - Johan Rockstrom - Xuemei Bao - Lancet paper - just and safe earth system boundaries - Earth Commission report
paper details - title: A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations - authors: - Joyeeta Gupta - Xuemei Bao - Johan Rockstrom - Diana M Liverman <br /> - Dahe Qin - Ben Stewart-Koster - et al - publication: Lancet 2024, Sept 11
summary
Tags
- earth system boundaries - cross-scale translation - to cities and businesses
- Earth Commission Report 2024
- cross scale translated earth system boundaries
- earth system boundaries - downscaled to cities
- Lancet paper - just and safe earth system boundaries - 2024
- downscaled planetary boundaries
- Johan Rockstrom
- urban planetary boundaries
- Xuemei Bao
Annotators
URL
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- Aug 2024
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www.truthdig.com www.truthdig.com
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“Building housing in existing communities is one of our best climate solutions, and paving over 17,000 acres of non-irrigated farmland is not,
for - sustainable building - building reuse vs new build - which is better? - California Forever - intentional community - green debate
sustainable building - building reuse vs new build - which is better? - Study by Preservation Green Lab in 2012 concluded that in most cases, reusing existing buildings is far lower carbon footprint than building new - Research study shows that we cannot expand human activity into intact nature any longer if we are to stay within planetary boundaries - Rockstrom - https://hyp.is/0dbJ4FQSEe-QxY8q4Y3yvw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=JaboF3vAsZs
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he’s spent years grappling with barriers to retrofit existing cities.
for - urban planetary boundaries - barriers to transition - downscaled planetary boundaries - barriers to transition - cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries - barriers to transition - question - retrofitting cities to stay within the doughnut - what are the challenges?
Tags
- uestion - retrofitting cities to stay within the doughnut - what are the challenges?
- California Forever - intentional community - green debate
- urban planetary boundaries - barriers to transition
- downscaled planetary boundaries - barriers to transition
- cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries - barriers to transition
- Building reuse is lower carbon footprint than building new - Preservation Green Labs study
- planetary boundaries - staying within - can no longer expand human activity into intact nature
Annotators
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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one cannot exclude that he's right the challenge is that the science is, really not is very inconclusive on, the cocktail risks of chemicals in the biosphere, but that is why we have it as one of the planetary boundaries, that we have enough evidence to say that the loading of, for example, endocrine disruptors PFAS, persistent organic pollutants all forms of, of um, chemical long lasting chemical products.
for - examples of planetary boundaries novel entities
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World Economic Forum, we're working very closely. They're also integrating planetary boundaries in, their global economy kind of policy agenda
for - World economic forum - integration planetary boundaries into their strategy
Concern - unintended consequence - The WEF is perceived by many to be an elitist organisation - who do not have the best interest off the people in mind - This could lead to potential reputational damage to the planetary boundary framework thru their association with it
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on land, we use net primary production as an indicator for biodiversity, so basically, the richness of all biomass on land, but the ocean is also a control variable. a massive food web of net primary production from phytoplankton to the, you know, the big sharks and whales. And, we, we, need to be able to, represent scientifically what are the, minimum levels of keeping intact food webs in the ocean to keep the ocean functioning. Oxygen levels, as you mentioned as well,
for - planetary boundaries - ocean biology - net primary production
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We don't have a control variable for ocean biology, and we don't have a control variable for the big ocean conveyor belt system, which holds the big potential tipping point systems
for - planetary boundaries - lack of ocean biological boundary
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it's only in 2023, it's only last year, that we for the first time quantify all the nine,
for - planetary boundaries - 2023 - all 9 fully quantified
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for - interview - Johan Rockstrom - planetary boundaries
Tags
- planetary boundaries - lack of ocean biological boundary
- planetary boundaries - 2023 - all 9 fully quantified
- World economic forum - integration planetary boundaries into their strategy
- examples of planetary boundaries novel entities
- planetary boundaries - ocean biology - net primary production
- interview - Johan Rockstrom - planetary boundaries
- - progress trap - WEF adoption of planetary boundaries
Annotators
URL
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- Jun 2024
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this is where we can see the doubling time of the global economy in years from 1903 it's been 15 years but after super intelligence what happens is it going to be every 3 years is it going be every five is it going to 00:33:22 be every year is it going to be every 6 months I mean how crazy is the growth going to be
for - progress trap - AI triggering massive economic growth - planetary boundaries
progress trap - AI triggering massive economic growth - planetary boundaries - The podcaster does not consider the ramifications of the potential disastrous impact of such economic growth if not managed properly
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- May 2024
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Dillman and colleagues33Dillman KJ Czepkiewicz M Heinonen J DavíÐsdóttir B A safe and just space for urban mobility: a framework for sector-based sustainable consumption corridor development.Global Sustainability. 2021; 4: e28Crossref Scopus (16) Google Scholar noted that allocating the remaining planetary capacity to cope with the various barriers among countries and smaller units is morally and mathematically challenging.
for - followup - downscaling planetary boundaries - challenges - Dillman et al.
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Steffen and colleagues20Steffen W Richardson K Rockström J et al.Planetary boundaries: guiding human development on a changing planet.Science. 2015; 3471259855 Crossref PubMed Scopus (6576) Google Scholar stated that the planetary boundaries framework was “not designed to be downscaled or disaggregated to smaller levels
.> for - key insight - downscaling planetary boundaries - Steffen et al.
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sonec.org sonec.org
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for: SONEC, neighborhood circles, downscaled planetary boundaries, earth system boundaries, community governance, neighborocracy, neighbourhood parliament, healthy power, toxic power
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title: SoNeC: Sociocratic Neighbourhood Circles in Europe
- date: 2022
- authors:
- Barbara Sirauch
- Rita Mayrhofer
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collaborators
- Maria-Juliana Byck
- Orsolya Lelkes
- Johannes Zimm
- Pia Haerlinger
- Naya Tselepi
- Nathaniel Whitestone
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summary
- SONEC offers a framework for relocalization of the economy but it will require very careful planning to create the right conditions for the emergence of local wellbeing economies.
- One of the leverage points is the cosmolocal nature of SONEC, allowing the rapid, global sharing of good and best practices
- This will be important because if SONEC is to reach its potential to awaken the sleeping giant of citizens to drive the necessary changes to mitigate the worst of the current existential polylcrisis, we will need a global synchronization of collective action at the local level.
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- Mar 2024
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www.c40.org www.c40.org
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C40 High Impact Accelerators - sustainable cities - downscaled planetary boundaries
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- Jan 2024
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www.msnbc.com www.msnbc.com
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“A second Trump term is game over for the climate — really!”
for - quote - Michael Mann - quote - a Second Trump presidency - polycrisis - politics and climate crisis - climate mitigation strategy - voting in 2024 U.S. election - adjacency - Michael Mann - 2nd Trump presidency - exceeding planetary boundaries - exceeding 1.5 Deg C - Gen Z voting
adjacency - between - Michael Mann - 2nd Trump presidency - exceeding planetary boundaries - exceeding 1.5 Deg C - Trump's presidency is existential threat to humanity - Gen Z voting - 2024 election - adjacency statement - Michael Mann's quote " A second Trump term is game over for the climate - really" applies to the 2024 election if Trump becomes the Republican nominee. - Trumps dismal environmental record in his 2016 to 2020 term speaks for itself. He would do something similiar in 2025 if he were the president. G - Given there are only 5 years and 172 days before we hit the dangerous threshold of burning through all the carbon budget for humanity, - https://climateclock.world/ - It is questionable whether Biden's government alone can do enough, but certainly if Trump won the 2024 election, his term in office would create a regression severe enough to put the Paris Climate goal of staying within 1.5 Deg C out of reach, and risk triggering major planetary tipping points - A Biden government is evidence-based and believes in anthropogenic climate change and is already taking measures to mitigate it. A Trump government is not evidence-based and is supported by incumbent fossil fuel industry so does not have the interest of the U.S. population nor all of humanity at heart. - Hence, the 2024 U.S. election can really determine the fate of humanity. - Gen Z can play a critical role for humanity by voting against a government that would, in leading climate scientists Michael Mann's words, be game over for a stable climate, and therefore put humanity and unimaginable risk. - Gen Z can swing the vote to a government willing to deal with the climate crisis over one in climate denial so voting activists need to be alerted to this and create the right messaging to reach Gen Z - https://hyp.is/LOud7sBBEe6S0D8itLHw1A/circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/41-million-members-gen-z-will-be-eligible-vote-2024
Tags
- quote - A second Trump presidency - climate disaster
- adjacency - Michael Mann - 2nd Trump presidency - exceeding planetary boundaries - exceeding 1.5 Deg C - Gen Z voting
- quote - Michael Mann
- polycrisis - political crisis - climate crisis
- polycrisis - politics - climate crisis
- climate mitigation strategy - voting in the 2024 U.S. election
Annotators
URL
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- for: downscaled earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, TPF
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- Dec 2023
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www.mdpi.com www.mdpi.com
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- for: downscaled planetary boundaries, downscaling planetary boundaries
- annotate
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www.annualreviews.org www.annualreviews.org
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- for: planetary boundaries - critique
- annotate
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www.arup.com www.arup.com
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for: downscaled planetary boundaries, planetary boundary cities, ARUP - planetary boundary design
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comment
- There is no threshold information, just general design methods
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filipbiljecki.com filipbiljecki.com
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- for: annotate, urban planning, downscaled planetary boundaries, downscale earth system boundaries
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for: Kevin Anderson, transition, climate equity, climate justice, climate justice - Kevin Anderson, carbon inequality - Kevin Anderson, life within planetary boundaries, lifestyle within planetary boundaries - elites, climate crisis - Kevin Anderson
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summary
- Kevin offers a picture of what a world within the stable climate planetary boundary would look like for the wealthy of the planet.
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- Oct 2023
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Durch die Überschreitung von 6 der 9 planetaren Grenzen wurde der „safe operating space for humanity“ verlassen. Die neue Studie analysiert auf Basis von 2000 Studien erstmals die Situation bei allen planetaren Grenzen. Als besonders bedrohlich schätzen die Forschenden ein, dass 4 direkt auf das Leben bezogene Grenzen überschritten wurden. Die dadurch mangelnde Resilienz könnte es auch unabhängig von Emissions-Senkungen unmöglich machen, das 1,5°-Ziel zu erreichen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/13/earth-well-outside-safe-operating-space-for-humanity-scientists-find
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6 von 9 planetaren Grenzen wurden bereits überschritten, wie eine neue gemeinsame Studie von Erdsystemwissenschaftler:innen zeigt. Es handelt sich um die Grenzen bei globaler Erwärmung, Biosdiversität, Entwaldung, Schadstoffe, Stickstoffkreislauf und Süßwasser. Die Studie stammt vor allem von Autori:innen, die das Konzept der planetaren Grenzen entwickelt hatten. https://taz.de/Studie-zur-Belastung-des-Planeten/!5960174/
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- Sep 2023
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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- for: urban development, inequality, just boundaries, safe and just boundaries, climate justice, urban planetary boundaries, livable cities, earth system boundaries, earth system justice
- title: Urban inequalities in the 21st century economy
- author: Jan niman, Yehua Dennis Wei
- date: Apr 2, 2020
- source: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7124478/
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- Aug 2023
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iopscience.iop.org iopscience.iop.org
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the systemwide optimum population cohort for the climate action interventions is a community (P4) of 10 000 persons
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for: cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, leverage point
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stats
- 10000 to 1 million is optimum size
- question: investigate rationale
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We suggest that prioritizing the analyzed climate actions between community and urban scales, where global and local converge, can help catalyze and enhance individual, household and local practices, and support national and international policies and finances for rapid sustainability transformations.
- for: cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, leverage point
- key finding
- suitable cohorts and cohort ranges for rapidly deploying climate and sustainability actions between a single individual and the globally projected ∼ 10 billion persons by 2050 is:
- community scale between 10k and 100k
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- for: cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, leverage point
- title: Powers of 10: seeking 'sweet spots' for rapid climate and sustainability actions between individual and global scales
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www.pewresearch.org www.pewresearch.org
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So far, smart city systems are being set up to appropriate and commercialize individual and community data. So far, communities are not waking up to the realization that a capacity they need is being stolen from them before they have it.”
- for: smart cities, doughnut cities, cosmolocal, downscaled planetary boundaries, cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, TPF, community data, local data, open data, community data ownership, quote, quote - Garth Graham, quote - community owned data
- quote
- paraphrase
- Innovation in the creation and sustainability of social institutions acts predominantly at the local level.
- In the Internet of Things, for those capacities to emerge in smart cities, communities need the capacity to own and analyse the data created that models what they are experiencing.
- Local data needs to be seen as a common, pool resource.
- Where that occurs, communities will have the capacity to learn or innovate their way forward.
- So far, smart city systems are being set up to appropriate and commercialize individual and community data.
- So far, communities are not waking up to the realization that a capacity they need is being stolen from them before they have it.
- author: Garth Graham
- leader of Telecommunities Canada
Tags
- quote - community data ownership
- doughnut cities
- smart cities
- downscaling planetary boundaries
- community data
- open data
- quote
- quote Garth Graham
- cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries
- Telecommunities Canada
- Garth Graham
- cosmolocal
- TPF
- localization
- community data ownership
Annotators
URL
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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we hope that in the future you want 00:16:18 to be a part of the decentralized city that we're building that we're already starting to expand the nodes all over the world and we think there will be thousands more of them that start to form these decentralized uh almost 00:16:30 city-states
- for: regenerative cities, sustainable cities, doughnut cities, earth system boundaries, urban planetary boundaries, circular cities
- comment
- if they are envisioning a lot of cities, they need to carefully think about earth system boundaries for each city, otherwise, they will simply be adding to the problem of cascading tipping points.
- They also have to be designed to be climate resilient as extreme weather will make any human settlement of the future very challenging
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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- for: safe and just boundaries, earth system boundaries, planetary boundaries
- title
- Safe and just Earth system boundaries
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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what are we gonna do with all these boundaries once this is their set right 01:43:58 what I always say that this esps really need to be linked to actors if they are going to have any bearing in real world and to guide the practice so we can do that by cross-scale 01:44:11 translation try to bring down this you know planetary level kind of our boundaries into actors cities and businesses in particular so when we talk about this cross-scale translation what we are talking about is if the boundary 01:44:24 is transgressed then what we are talking about is how do you allocate the responsibilities equal um equitably
- for: downscaled planetary boundaries, bend the curve, allocate responsibilities, fair share, science-based targets
- key insight
- downscaling to city scale and to business actdors
- based on Science based targets
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- for: earth system boundaries, safe and just boundaries, planetary boundaries, doughnut economics, bend the curve
- title Earth System Boundaries for a Just World on a Safe Planet
- source
- Future Earth, Earth Commission
- date
- June 2023
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- Jul 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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- for: safe and just boundaries, earth system justice, planetary boundaries
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with the Earth commission has taken up all this science a first attempt of being a kind of a community effort 00:14:53 scientifically to really give businesses and cities in the world quantitative boundaries to work with to operationalize as science-based targets
- for: downscaled planetary boundaries, earth system boundaries, bend the curve
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this is 30 years of ipcc Assessments from the third assessment in 2009 all the way to the 1.5 degrees Celsius 00:09:50 assessment a few years back this is the red Embers diagram of confidence in science and what you see for each column is the assessment of risk of irreversible changes and at what 00:10:03 temperature levels 20 years ago at the third assessment the risk was basically assessed as zero because it was set at six degrees Celsius nobody was suggesting we would end up at six degrees but look at the trend line the 00:10:16 more we learn about the planet the more we understand about the coupled interactive Earth system the lower is the temperature at which we put risks of irreversible changes and it's down in 00:10:29 the less than two degrees Celsius range now blinking red so that's where we are
- for: planetary boundaries, tipping points, planetary tipping points
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Downscaling the planetary boundaries in absolute environmental sustainability assessments – A review
- Title
- Downscaling the planetary boundaries in absolute environmental sustainability assessments – A review
- Authors
- Morten W. Ryberg
- Martin Marchman Andersen
- Mikotaj Owsianiak
- Michael Z. Hauschild
- Date
- Dec 2020
- Source
- Abstract
- Excerpt
- To ensure choices concerning sharing principles in absolute environmental sustainability assessments (AESA) are deliberate,
- there is a need for understanding the distributive justice theory underlying the sharing principles. -This study provides a framework for determining and communicating the distributive justice theories that underlie the choice of sharing principles in AESA
- To ensure choices concerning sharing principles in absolute environmental sustainability assessments (AESA) are deliberate,
- Excerpt
- Title
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- Jun 2023
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www.weforum.org www.weforum.org
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What are the ultimate limits of our planet? Scientists now have the answers
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- Mar 2023
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www.frontiersin.org www.frontiersin.org
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Title: Unintended Consequences: Unknowable and Unavoidable, or Knowable and Unforgivable?
Abstract - Paraphrase - there are multiple environmental limits within which humanity can safely operate, - potential negative outcomes of seemingly positive actions need to accounted for. - “nexus” research is consistent with the above - it recognizes the integrated and interactive nature of water, energy and food systems, - and aims to understand the broader implications of developments in any one of these systems. - This article presents a novel framework for categorizing such detrimental unintended consequences, based upon: - how much is known about the system in question - and the scope for avoiding any such unintended consequences. - The framework comprises four categories: - Knowable and Avoidable - Knowable and Unavoidable - Unknowable and Avoidable - Unknowable and Unavoidable - The categories are explored with reference to examples in both: - the water-energy-food nexus and - planetary boundary frameworks. - The examples: - highlight the potential for the unexpected to happen and - explore dynamic nature of the situations that give rise to the unexpected. - The article concludes with guidance on how the framework can be used - to increase confidence that best efforts have been made to navigate our way toward - secure and sustainable water, energy and food systems, - avoiding and/or managing unintended consequences along the way.
// - This paper is principally about - progress traps, - how they emerge, - their characteristics - as they morph through the knowability / avoidability matrix - and how we might predict and mitigate them in the future
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library.oapen.org library.oapen.org
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- Title: Consumption Corridors: Living a Good Life within Sustainable Limits
- This book explores how to enhance peoples’ chances to live a good life in a world of ecological and social limits.
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Often, environmental and social analysts focus on threats, dangers,and damage. They highlight negatives, in terms of limited or non-renewable resources, or the impacts of excessive emissions or effuents.But what if one took the opposite approach and focused on the posi-tives that we want to strive for? We – the authors – believe that everyhuman being, that is you and us and everybody close and far away,wants to be able to live a good life, a life that is worth living. Giventhat the Earth’s resources are limited and distributed highly unevenly,the core objective has to be how everybody can live well within limits.
// - A key shift is required to mobilize people at scale - This strategy is already being adopted by change agents around the globe but the change in perspective needs to become greater - Living within doughnut economics reaches the same conclusion: https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=a+good+life+for+all - and currently, as the "Good Life for All" study showed at a national (country) scale, very few if any countries are meeting this requirement - the great inequality implies that the poor must be uplifted materially, whilst the rich must be encouraged to share material and economic wealth - the poor of the world will receive material and economic gain while the economic elites of the world gain nonmaterial wealth
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It requiresa deep and profound orientation toward the good life. It requires usto ponder what the good life is, what conditions must be fulflled forindividuals to live it, and what it takes to create these conditions.
// - Orienting towards the good life is needed to mobilize action. - Why? - Because shifting from a negative vision to a positive one is necessary to mobilize action (at scale) - It is the difference between: - being coerced vs being self-motivated - being reactive vs being proactive - being depressed and lethargic vs being joyful and energetic - hence, in this transition journey, we must accompany the limits with the positive transformation that allows us to achieve wellbeing within them.
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Rejecting familiar recitations of problems of ecological declineand planetary boundaries, this compact book instead offers a spir-ited explication of what everyone desires: a good life. Fundamentalconcepts of the good life are explained and explored, as are forcesthat threaten the good life for all. The remedy, says the book’s seveninternational authors, lies with the concept of consumption corri-dors, enabled by mechanisms of citizen engagement and deliberativedemocracy.
- Consumption corridors are proposed as the way to live what we all consider a good life, within planetary boundaries.
- Citizen engagement and deliberative democracy are key to co-creating a system that works for us all
Tags
- planetary boundaries
- consumption corridor
- a good life within planetary boundaries
- story shift
- deliberative democracy
- A good life within limits
- preventing overshoot
- citizen engagement
- overshoot
- a good life
- a good life within ESBs
- positive story
- ecological limits
- a good life within Earth System Boundaries
- doughnut economics
- wellbeing within limits
Annotators
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www.dailymaverick.co.za www.dailymaverick.co.za
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Cape Town’s notorious unfinished freeway finally gives way to Foreshore development
- Question
- Will they develop within planetary boundaries?
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Our concept of ESJ assumes fair sharing of responsibilities among different actors, ensuring that those who are most responsible and capable do the most. For example, the Earth Commission has developed principles for sharing responsibilities for cities and companie
- Earth Commission has develop principles for sharing responsibilities for cities and companies.
- Comment
- This is implicitly a form of downscaling
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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future work should calculate the Planetary Boundaries globally for each ecosystem first, and then downscale them by country.
- Comment
- In fact, Johan Rockstrom, one of the principal founders of the concept of planetary boundaries is currently working with the Earth Commission to effectively downscale fair share planetary boundaries to cities.
- reference: https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=SBT+for+cities
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By synthesizing knowledge around these questions, we aim to reveal the obstacles that still prevent the application of these important concepts at wide scale in the real world. Such insight also helps to identify ways to overcome the obstacles.
- Paraphrase
- The aim of the study is to:
- reveal the obstacles that still prevent the application of = downscaled planetary boundaries and = downscaled doughnut economics at wide scale in the real world and in so doing
- help identify ways to overcome the obstacles
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and even at smaller scales
No mention of Hachaichi's work
- Mohammed Hachaichi References https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=hachaichi
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Yet few cities and companies currently have such targets.
- Paraphrase
- Few cities currently have science-based targets (SBT)
- Only 22 of 500 top greenhouse gas emitting companies set targets in line with SBT (Bloomberg Terminal)
- Only 110 of the top 200 cities with the highest emissions had "net zero" pledges aligned with Paris Agreement.
- Numbers are lower or missing for biodversity or other ESBs.
- Comment
- Setting such SBTs for cities is in effect downscaling Planetary Boundaries.
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Title
- How to stop cities and companies causing planetary harm
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Author
- Xuemei Bai,
- Anders Bjørn,
- Şiir Kılkış,
- Oscar Sabag Muñoz,
- Gail Whiteman,
- Holger Hoff,
- Lauren Seaby Andersen,
- Johan Rockström
Next year, the Earth Commission, including many of the scientists on this report, will issue a report outlinging the Earth System Boundaries (ESB) to hlep cities and corporations stay within planetary boundaries.
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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- Key Finding
- This paper uses machine learning to overcome unavailable carbon footprints inventories of the Global South
- which are usually hampered by:
- lack of local urban emissions data,
- reduced climate footprint, and
- shortages in climate finance.
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using these algorithms, the author estimates 24,110 cities' carbon footprints of the Global South
- to provide a comprehensive analysis on a planetary scale,
- while allocating responsibilities according to the cities' regions and sizes.
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author
- Mohammed Hachaichi
- Key Finding
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Highlights•Downscaling seven of nine planetary boundaries indicators to the city scale-level.•Extended-Environmental Input-Output analysis is used to estimate cities’ footprints.•The Planetary Boundaries framework is a controlling tool for cities footprints.•City-level carbon footprint is higher than the national-level by 17%.
- Highlights
- Downscaling seven of nine = planetary boundaries indicators
- to the city scale-level
- for 62 major cities in the = Middle East North Africa (MENA) region
- Extended-Environmental Input-Output analysis is used to estimate cities’ footprints.
- The Planetary Boundaries framework is a controlling tool for cities footprints.
- City-level carbon footprint is higher than the national-level by 17%.
- Downscaling seven of nine = planetary boundaries indicators
- Highlights
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- Title
- Downscaling the planetary boundaries (Pbs) framework to city scale-level: De-risking MENA region’s environment future
- Author
- Mohamed Hachaichi
- Title
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- Feb 2023
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www.thedrum.com www.thedrum.com
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Customers could only pay with a CO2e currency we printed for the occasion, with every shopper given a ‘budget’ of 18.9 kg CO2e to spend – the maximum personal weekly allowance if we are to meet the goals of the 2030 Paris Agreement.
= example - gamifying system change in one area - grocery shopping - 18.9 kg was the hard limit - shoppers must keep their purchases under 18.9 kg per week to do their fair share to stay within planetary boundaries, in terms of grocery shopping
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- Jan 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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businesses are doing what they can but not what 00:24:19 they must to address the crisis
!- planetary boundaries : synchronization
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Annotators
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- Dec 2022
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bafybeid2xqau2fweqvs2nztbppirtyknfbrrbhonbqz4cpaqgjichb3tq4.ipfs.w3s.link bafybeid2xqau2fweqvs2nztbppirtyknfbrrbhonbqz4cpaqgjichb3tq4.ipfs.w3s.link
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he concept of planetary boundariesprioritising scientific expertise and discussed primarily inacademic debates [14], and the doughnut commonlyappealing to policy-makers and practitioners at nationalor subnational scales, neither has the traction acrossspatial scales that has been achieved through the steerby the UN in the case of SDGs.
!- downscaling : planetary boundaries and doughnut economics - neither has the traction as SDGs
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agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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Identifying safe ranges for these systems in isolation, for example as the planetary boundary framework has done (Rockström et al., 2009; Steffen, Richardson, et al., 2015), will not be enough to describe a safe corridor.
!- limitations : planetary boundary framework - planetary boundary framework is insufficient to describe a safe corridor
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earthcommission.org earthcommission.org
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what are the challenges of translating global scale targets into concrete and actionable targets for local actors?
!- key question : what are the challenges of translating global scale targets into concrete and actionable targets for local actors? - in other words, how do we downscale global indicators such as planetary boundaries?
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- Jun 2022
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besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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In contrast to the unhelpful but common argument about whether ‘the problem’ is population growth or consumption, it is not novel to argue that the problem is both—plus waste. Because of ongoing need for progress on all three, this point of intervention is nonetheless key. Unlike research on impact as a function of population, affluence and technology (1 = PAT), we point to strong opportunities to decouple affluence from material consumption [leverage point 1]. We also side with those who argue that more efficient production is insufficient, and that volumes of production and consumption are key variables
All three variables - population growth, consumption and waste must be minimized simultaneously in order to bend the curve back to a safe operating safe for humanity
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www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
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What can we do with a shift in thinking backed by a total of $3.6 trillion in funds under management? I’m backing strategic circular initiatives to convert the highest return on value for anyone’s money. Stay tuned as we crack open new investment opportunities.
Her diagram explicitly shows a synthesis of planetary boundaries and circular economy. This is a connection that many in this area are tacitly aware of but is good to explicate it in a diagram of this sort..
If circular economy is about ultimate reuse and recirculating material flows to eliminate the concept of waste, then how does energy consumption fit into the picture? Obviously, CO2 emissions is a form of material waste that is an undesirable byproduct of carbon-based energy usage. Capturing CO2 and reusing it is one method, but not a very scalable solution presently.
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- May 2022
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www.usmcu.edu www.usmcu.edu
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The HRF design intends to operationalize entangled security (figure 8). It provides orchestration logic at ecoregional, nation-state, and local levels and is expected to vary according to context. It comprises four main task groups: HRF support; planetary security; human security; and state security.
These are umbrella categories that can allow for the classification of vast numbers of existing transition projects. With the use of disaggregated planetary boundaries, doughnut economics framework, Inner and Outer transformation, and Bend-the-Curve gamification, the impacts of each type of operation can be measured.
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Annotators
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- Jan 2022
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aeon.co aeon.co
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by adopting a replicator/interactor framework, where ‘perpetuation’ can mean differential persistence – persistence doesn’t require continuous presence – replication is taken to include reproduction, recurrence and re-production – and processes such as the nitrogen cycle can be considered entities that are perpetuated (the replicators, as it were)
Hier kann man dann eine Verbindung zu dem framework der planetaren Grenzen sehen. Es handelt sich hier um Prozesse wie den Stickstoffzyklus, die persistent sind und das Überleben der verschiedenen Entitäten fördern, die in sie eingebettet sind oder die zu Ihnen beitragen.
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- Nov 2021
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www.mdpi.com www.mdpi.com
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Sustainability window analysis is based on the advanced sustainability analysis (ASA) approach. The ASA approach was developed in Finland Futures Research Centre [31,32,33] providing a general framework for analyzing sustainability.
Include this in a comparative analysis of other methodologies such as Hoornweg, Hachaichi, R3.0 Thresholds and Allocations, etc.
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medium.com medium.com
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Would it not be just if people would be able to explore a bit more of the world than just their own town?
Mobility can be used strategically. It cannot simply be accessible by the elites but it must all be done within planetary boundaries.
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www.annualreviews.org www.annualreviews.org
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Many high-carbon activities are also highly routinized. From a psychological perspective, this bears the hallmarks of habitual behavior, in that environmentally significant actions are often stable, persistent, and an automatic response to particular contexts (159), e.g., commuting by car repeatedly over many months or years. Theories of social practice offer a contrasting account in which routines coevolve with infrastructures, competencies, conventions, and expectations (160). For example, developments in urban infrastructure, everyday routines, and the shifting social significance of private transport have culminated in the car becoming a dominant mode of mobility (161). Elsewhere, coordinated developments across spheres of production and consumption have led to the freezer becoming regarded as a domestic necessity (162), and changing patterns of domestic labor and shifts toward sedentary recreation have contributed to the rise in indoor temperature control (163). Although such assemblages shift over time, policy and action intended to reduce emissions have been ineffective in coordinating changes throughout these social and material configurations. As a consequence, routinized, commonplace, and largely unconscious behaviors remain mostly unaffected, with many high-carbon activities even growing and expanding (e.g., frequent flying).
New stories and narratives, in other words, new social imaginaries of viable low carbon life styles can help bring about a shift. By adopting the viable story, it primes individuals to seek technology elements that are designed to fit that new social imaginary.
As mentioned above, community economists Michael Shuman demonstrates how relocalizing can create new patterns of behavior consistent with a desirable future.
The Swiss 2000 Watt society is another example of such a new social imaginary https://www.2000-watt-society.org/what as is Doughnut Economics https://doughnuteconomics.org/
We must engage film-makers, artists, playwrights to create stories of such alternative futures of living within planetary boundaries, doughnut economics and eco-civilizations.
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As the emerging field of energy humanities (168) is beginning to show, the traditions, cultures, and beliefs of contemporary, industrial societies are deeply entangled with fossil fuels in what have been called petrocultures and carbonscapes (169). Future visions are dominated by such constrained social imaginaries (170), and hence rarely offer a “radical departure from the past” (171, p. 138).
Constructing social imaginaries that are alternatives to the petrocutultural, carbonscape ones is critical to shift the mindset.
Carbon pollution cannot be disentangled from colonialism and social imaginaries must consist of stories that tell alternative futures narratives that address both simultaneously.
Replace petroculture with ecoculture, doughnut economics, living within planetary boundaries and eco-civilization
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- Jul 2021
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www.tandfonline.com www.tandfonline.com
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Shifting the focus from boundaries and limits to self-limitation emphasizes that this is a social challenge and a process rooted in forms of participation, collective self-determination, and democratic deliberation.
In the doughnut model these boundaries replace the sustainable development goals, but they don’t fit with the doghnut metapher. There is also a relationship to the bonds/ligatures mentiones by Dahrendorf.
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understanding of Earth-system dynamics ‒ their definition also requires normative and political assumptions of what are acceptable or “unacceptable” paths for humanity in general,
See maybe already Canguilhem's understanding of the normative character of the notion of biological normality.
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Earth is envisioned as a globe that appears – at least in principle – as if it can be managed as a cybernetic system, albeit with the complication of non-linear feedback loops
The metapher of the globe is criticized in a way reminding Bruno Latour.
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