for - quote - climate crisis - behavioral change - system change - importance of showing impacts - example - climate departure project

quote - climate crisis - behavioral change - system change - importance of showing impacts - example - climate departure project - Eltahir - To get people to act, my hypothesis is, you need to reach them - not just by convincing them to be good citizens and saying it’s good for the world to keep below 1.5 degrees, but - showing how they individually will be impacted,”

for - Food for Climate League - food - climate change - climate crisis - food system

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_forest_inequity

urban forest inequity

Mentions of humans thinning trees for better tree canopy in the section on black ash trees in Braiding Sweetgrass by Robin Wall Kimmerer.

for - climate crisis - map of climate departure - world cities

I went gleaning for fruit to try and reduce my carbon footprint. Was it enough? by [[Caitlin Hernández]]

for - climate crisis - raising awareness alone - is not enough - need to also influence top down keystone actors

climate crisis - raising awareness alone - is not enough - need to also influence top down keystone actors - This is only part of the story, the other part is developing a coherent, unified, bottom up movement - While statistics show a majority of people of must countries now take climate change seriously, it's not translating into TIMELY and APPROPRIATE ACTION and BEHAVIOUR CHANGE - The common person is still captured by the pathological economic system - (S)he still prioritised increasingly more precarious survival over all other concerns, including environmental - Ths is because most survival activity is still intimately tied to ecological degradation - The common person is not sufficiently educated about the threat level. - And even if they were, there does not yet exist any process to unify these collective concerns to trigger the appropriate leverage point of bottom up collective action

for - stats - climate crisis intervention - urgency - reduce emissions by 50% in 5 years!

for - climate crisis - biodiversity responsible for buffering 30% of emissions

for - Cities 1.5 podcast - guests - Xuemei Bai - earth system boundaries downscaled to cities - cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries

for - book - What we think about when we try not to think about global warming - author - Per Espen Stokes - climate crisis - psychology of - Per Espen Stokes

for - climate change psychology - video - youtube - Al Jazeera - All Hall the Planet - Why our brains are wired to ignore the climate crisis - Per Espen Stokes - interview

summary - A good introduction to climate change psychology - Per Espen Stokes is interviewed and he discusses his 5 Ds

for - climate crisis propaganda - human psychology used to exploit irrational tendencies of people to delay climate action

for - climate crisis - who has the power? - poverty mentality - leverage points - social tipping points - climate crisis - feelings of helplessness

climate crisis - who has the power? - There is still this assumption that policy-makers are the ones who have the power - There isn't yet a recognition of whether there is power within individuals sufficient to make a real difference. - Trying and failing, we grow weary of believing that we do have power to collectively effect the scale of change required - Unless we demonstrate leverage points within individuals that can lead to effective scale of collective action, we cannot jumpstart an effective movement - poverty mentality can keep us stuck

for - climate crisis - psychology - wrong approach

summary - Climate scientist professor Mojib Latif explores why our best efforts at rapid intervention to deal with the climate crisis are failing - Near the end of the program, he interviews professor Henning Beck, a neuroscientist who suggests that human brains have evolved to be rewarded for securing more. - Dopamine is released when we get more and we have not designed our intervention strategies aligned with this basic property of our brains

for - climate crisis - key insight - why UN cannot address the climate crisis

climate crisis - key insight - why UN cannot address the climate crisis - The UN responds to sovereign states, not to humanity nor to the planet

for - climate crisis - disconnect between - levers of power - and information of what is happening

climate crisis - disconnect between - levers of power - and information of what is happening - there is an abundance of scientific information available to political leaders, yet - they are failing to make the necessary decisions - why?

for - climate crisis - reflections - perspectives - human vs deep time

adjacency - between - climate crisis - different perspectives - human vs - deep time - adjacency relationship - Our global industrialized world is perturbing the carbon cycle so far out of equilibrium that the status quo civilization cannot persist very far into the future<br /> - the earth system has been through many such perturbations and it ALWAYS self corrects - Even the most extreme climate events earth has ever experienced are called transient because they are still relatively short in geological time - In the long term, the planet will restore equilibrium no matter how much extreme the perturbations human civilization creates in the next few centuries - In the long term, the earth is going to be fine - Homo sapien is just one of millions of species, most of which have gone extinct - We should NOT feel we are exceptional - We are comparing different timescales: - human lifetimes are measured in a hundred years - earth system time scales are measured in millions of years - even if there were another mass extinction event, on a geological time scale of tens of million years a new biosphere will regenerate and the ocean chemistry will be restored - Here we have an interesting intersectionality of different timescales. - paleontologists provide a deep time perspective - while we humans live in a timescale of no greater than 100 years - our bodies cannot directly sense change in deep time - therefore, any scientific information about deep time will need to go through our cognitive system - Our body is not evolutionarily designed to biologically respond to information on a deep-time timescale - It may be beneficial to help us see from a deep-time perspective to appreciate the geological-scale changes we are responsible for

for - climate crisis - we are in a pivotal moment

for - climate crisis - 5 deg C could reproduce similar levels of catastrophes as those in early earth history

Die Crisis Advisory Group begründet in einer Studie zu Carbon Credits, dass diese nur für die Entfernung von CO2 aus der Atmosphäre vergeben werden sollten, nicht für die Vermeidung von Emissionen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/jun/26/voluntary-carbon-market-offsetting-industry-reforms-cccg-climate-crisis-advisory-group-aoe

indeed 😬

for - climate crisis - individual actions - Project Drawdown

for - oil industry lobby - adjacency - wicked problem - climate crisis - fossil fuel lobby - 2024 US elections - citizen power

adjacency - between - wicked problem - climate crisis - energy industry lobby - 2024 US elections - adjacency relationship - US fossil fuel companies are making record profits under the Biden administration - The Biden administration is not bragging about this because it will hurt their re-election efforts with young people - The government is still under the power of the fossil fuel lobby - Michael Mann states that Trump 2024 win would spell disaster for the earth's climate system - It is clear however that this is a situation of the lesser of two evils - The Fossil fuel lobby has still hamstrung the Biden administration's efforts, introducing dangerous delay - The majority of citizens face the challenge that they are kept in precarity to the existing system - so are afraid to rock the boat - This is a wicked problem - A Biden 2024 win is a necessary but NOT a sufficient condition for avoiding planetary tipping points - What is needed is true citizen power, direct citizen action, not just voting

for - climate crisis - voting - citizen action

from - LinkedIn post - https://hyp.is/rVHY0A46Ee-nAxPjir47lA/www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7194083120868921345/?commentUrn=urn:li:comment:(activity:7194083120868921345,7194083739939815424)&replyUrn=urn:li:comment:(activity:7194083120868921345,7194300883474481154)&dashCommentUrn=urn:li:fsd_comment:(7194083739939815424,urn:li:activity:7194083120868921345)&dashReplyUrn=urn:li:fsd_comment:(7194300883474481154,urn:li:activity:7194083120868921345)

for - voting - climate crisis - citizen action - Environmental Voter Project

to - Environmental Voter Project - voter action on climate crisis - https://hyp.is/AXsq4g47Ee-GbAc3PtbGuA/www.outrageandoptimism.org/episodes/moments-of-truth

for - climate crisis - consumption

for - Extinction Rebellion - Vancouver - Extinction Rebellion - change of strategy - climate crisis - protests - Extinction Rebellion - moving away from public disruption - Unify Regional Extinction Rebellion

potential collaboration - opportunity - partnership - there is an opportunity to collaborate with them - as they enter this new phase of their work

Here's the column Meta doesn't want you to see by [[Marisa Kabas]]

repost with comment of:<br /> When Facebook fails, local media matters even more for our planet’s future By [[Dave Kendall]]

Meta (Facebook) blocked not only the site, but the particular article, so Maria Kabas posted a copy to her site.

https://www.thehandbasket.co/p/kansas-reflector-meta-facebook-column-censored

for - adjacency - liberalism - ubiquity - invisibility - polycrisis - climate change - climate crisis - book - Liberalism and the Challenge of Climate Change

summary - This is an insightful interview with Dr. Christopher Shaw as he discusses his book, Liberalism and the Challenge of Climate Change.

adjacency - between - liberalism - ubiquity - invisibility - polycrisis - metaphor - fish in water, fish in the ocean - adjacency statement - Above all, this book points out that - liberalism is an idea that is - so ubiquitous and j - which everyone without exception is profoundly steeped within that, - like fish in water, a medium that is everywhere, the medium becomes invisible. - At the heart of - modernity's culture wars and - political polarization, - there is a kind of false dichotomy between - liberals and - conservatives, - as both are steeped in the worldview of liberalism - From the Stop Reset Go perspective, - Dr. Shaw's thesis aligns with - the Stop Reset Go Deep Humanity open source praxis, - whose essence is precisely to facilitate helping individuals to understand the powerful connection between - ubiquity and - invisibility. - via Common Human Denominators (CHD)

for - liberal blind spot - Chris Yates - book - liberalism and the challenge of climate change - adjacency - liberalism - individual liberty - progress - bond spot - political polarization - fuel for the right -hyperobjects

Summary - This short article contains some key insights that point to the right climate communication strategy to target and win over the working class - Currently, climate communications speak to elitist values and is having the opposite effect - The working class farmer protests spreading across the EU is a symptom of this miscommunication strategy - as is the increasing support and ascendency of right wing political parties - Researcher and author Chris Yates is in a unique position with one foot in each world - He articulates his insightful ideas and points is in the right direction to communicate in a way that reaches the working class

comment - the figure 4 graph is an example of carbon inequality

Example - carbon inequality - see figure 4

quote - shared futures - climate crisis and appropriate language - (quote below)

• My belief is that
  • societies cannot organize effectively
  • to cope with
  • the impacts of climate change
  • without a shared understanding of
  • the future that awaits.
• Currently, representations of the net-zero future
  • don’t do that.
• They are a denial of the best of human nature.
• They shut down the possibility of
  • imagining something different
  • in favor of a fantasy of more of the same,
    • minus catastrophic climate change.
• With a better, shared understanding of the world we’re moving toward,
  • we can better organize ourselves to live in that world,
    • whatever that might mean,
    • whatever that might look like.

insight - hyperobjects

Comment - This of why a Deep Humanity approach that identifies and clarifies the fundamental issues is so important

key insight - of all about the venison of individual liberty that modernization had sold is a companion bill of goods on

for - climate crisis - agricultural protest

for - litigation terrorism - ISDS - corporate tribunal system - Michael Levin - multi-scale competency architecture - example - adjacency - evolutionary biology - corporate law - climate crisis

adjacency - between - corporate law - climate crisis - evolutionary biology - cultural evolution - adjacency statement - Biologist Michael Levin's multi-scale competency architecture of evolutionary biology seems to apply here - in the field of corporate law - Corporations can be viewed as one level of a social superorganism in a cultural evolution process - Governments can be viewed similiarly, but at a higher level - The ISDS is being weaponized by the same corporations destroying the global environment to combat the enactment of government laws that pose a threat to their livelihood - Hence, the ISDS has been reconfigured to protect the destroyers of the environment so that they can avoid dealing with their unacceptable externalizations - The individual existing at the lower level of the multi-scale competency architecture(the corporation) is battling to survive against the wishes of the higher level individual (the government) in the same multi-scale competency architecture

for - Inflation Reduction Act - bolstering to reach NDC

• for: annotate, Michael Mann - critique of James Hansen 2023 paper, climate crisis - James Hansen - Michael Mann, suggestion - debate - james hansen - michael mann, question - has Hansen responded to Mann yet?

suggestion - can we arrange an online debate between James Hansen and Michael Mann?

for - climate crisis - 2023 U.S. poll - demographics - climate communication - 2023 U.S. poll - demographics - climate change - 2023 U.S. poll - demographics - U.S. Hispanic / Latinos - 2023 - high concern about climate crisis - U. S. African American - 2023 - high concern about climate change - U.S. Gen Z - 2023 - high concern about climate change

for - climate crisis - 2023 U.S. poll - climate communication - 2023 U.S. poll

for - 2024 U.S. elections - polycrisis - 2024 U.S. elections - existential threat to civilization- climate crisis

summary - Some good points: - importance of Black and Latino voters - importance of a third party that can spoil the vote

for - quote - Michael Mann - quote - a Second Trump presidency - polycrisis - politics and climate crisis - climate mitigation strategy - voting in 2024 U.S. election - adjacency - Michael Mann - 2nd Trump presidency - exceeding planetary boundaries - exceeding 1.5 Deg C - Gen Z voting

adjacency - between - Michael Mann - 2nd Trump presidency - exceeding planetary boundaries - exceeding 1.5 Deg C - Trump's presidency is existential threat to humanity - Gen Z voting - 2024 election - adjacency statement - Michael Mann's quote " A second Trump term is game over for the climate - really" applies to the 2024 election if Trump becomes the Republican nominee. - Trumps dismal environmental record in his 2016 to 2020 term speaks for itself. He would do something similiar in 2025 if he were the president. G - Given there are only 5 years and 172 days before we hit the dangerous threshold of burning through all the carbon budget for humanity, - https://climateclock.world/ - It is questionable whether Biden's government alone can do enough, but certainly if Trump won the 2024 election, his term in office would create a regression severe enough to put the Paris Climate goal of staying within 1.5 Deg C out of reach, and risk triggering major planetary tipping points - A Biden government is evidence-based and believes in anthropogenic climate change and is already taking measures to mitigate it. A Trump government is not evidence-based and is supported by incumbent fossil fuel industry so does not have the interest of the U.S. population nor all of humanity at heart. - Hence, the 2024 U.S. election can really determine the fate of humanity. - Gen Z can play a critical role for humanity by voting against a government that would, in leading climate scientists Michael Mann's words, be game over for a stable climate, and therefore put humanity and unimaginable risk. - Gen Z can swing the vote to a government willing to deal with the climate crisis over one in climate denial so voting activists need to be alerted to this and create the right messaging to reach Gen Z - https://hyp.is/LOud7sBBEe6S0D8itLHw1A/circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/41-million-members-gen-z-will-be-eligible-vote-2024

for - resource - climate change performance index - how well a city is adapted to the climate crisis

for - climate crisis - U.S. intra-country migration - key insight - climate migration - towards disaster zones

for - climate crisis - food production impacts - stats - high emissions scenario -food production

stats - high emissions scenario - over 30% of food crop production and animal production impacted - mostly around equator

from - Linked In - https://hyp.is/umZ5yrMLEe6Y4W-fLtvt_w/www.linkedin.com/posts/thaliacoaching_the-foods-the-world-will-lose-to-climate-activity-7151258292344803329-23m8/

to - https://www.wired.com/story/the-foods-the-world-will-lose-to-climate-change/ for - climate crisis - food production impact

for - nature-based carbon sequestration - reestablish whale populations - Nate Hagen - The Great Simplification - David King - climate crisis - solutions - progress trap - overfishing - whales

for: - climate crisis - local approach, bottom up approach - cosmolocal - climate crisis

• for: health, David Sinclair, longevity tips, adjacency - lifestyle choices - diet - climate crisis - biodiversity crisis

• SUMMARY

  • The main tips for staying healthy from a lifetime of longevity research on this video.

• adjacency between

  • lifestyle choices
• personal diet
  • climate crisis
  • biodiversity crisis
• adjacency statement:
  • Promoting this kind of diet and lifestyle can have enormous benefits on climate crisis as well.
  • One could write a paper about the crossover benefits to climate and biodiversity crisis.

• for: James Hansen - 2023 paper, key insight - James Hansen, leverage point - emergence of new 3rd political party, leverage point - youth in politics, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics

• Key insight: James Hansen

  • The key insight James Hansen conveys is that
    • the key to rapid system change is
      • WHAT? the rapid emergence of a new, third political party that does not take money from special interest lobbys.
      • WHY? Hit the Achilles heel of the Fossil Fuel industry
      • HOW? widespread citizen / youth campaign to elect new youth leaders across the US and around the globe
      • WHEN? Timing is critical. In the US,
        • Don't spoil the vote for the two party system in 2024 elections. Better to have a democracy than a dictatorship.
        • Realistically, likely have to wait to be a contender in the 2028 election.

• reference

  • paper - Global Warming in the Pipeline
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Facademic.oup.com%2Foocc%2Farticle%2F3%2F1%2Fkgad008%2F7335889&group=world
  • Michael Mann's critique of the paper
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmichaelmann.net%2Fcontent%2Fcomments-new-article-james-hansen&group=world

• for: key insight- polycrisis - climate crisis - political crisis, climate crisis - requires a new political party, money in politics, climate crisis - fossil fuel lobbyists, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics, James Hansen - key insight - political action - 3rd party

• key insight

  • Both democrats and conservatives are captured by fossil fuel lobbyist interests
  • A new third political party that does not take money from special interests is required
  • The nature of the polycrisis is that crisis are entangled . This is a case in point. The climate crisis cannot be solved unless the political crisis of money influencing politics is resolved
  • The system needs to be rapidly reformed to kick money of special interest groups out of politics.

• question

  • Given the short timescale, the earliest we can achieve this is 2028 in the US Election cycle
  • Meanwhile what can we do in between?
  • How much impact can alternative forms of local governance like https://sonec.org/ have?
  • In particular, could citizens form local alternative forms of governance and implement incentives to drive sustainable behavior?

• for:May 2024 - James Hansen prediction, extreme weather event - May 2024 - Hansen 2023 paper, prediction - extreme weather 2024

• for: climate crisis - next generation nuclear - alternative to, question - James Hansen - knowledge of deep geothermal power

• climate crisis: next generation nucliear - alternative

  • question
    • Has James Hansen come across Deep Geothermal Power yet?
      • https://hyp.is/ZnzWcp_fEe6c3Kv_ggkRiQ/cascadeinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/Deep-Geothermal-Superpower-version-2.0-.pdf

• for: ranked voting, third party - ranked voting, climate crisis - ranked voting, climate crisis - third party with no money from special interests

• for: quote - James Hansen, quote Benjamin Franklin, climate crisis - leverage point - political revolution

• quote

  • If we don't solve the problem in the United States, I don't see us solving the global problem
• author: James Hansen

• date: Dec 2023

• comment

  • Tipping Point network

• climate crisis - leverage points - young people - politics

• comment

  • Hansen considers politics to be the key leverage point for young people now, not protesting and raising awareness

• for: climate crisis - multiple dimensions, polycrisis - multiple dimensions, climate crisis - good references, polycrisis - good references, polycrisis - comprehensive map, power to the people, climate change - politics, climate crisis - politics

• comment / summary

  • The content on this website may be what some call "doomers" that support a narrative of unavoidable catastrophe and civilization collapse
  • The author does an excellent job of drawing together many scientifically validated research papers and news media stories on various crisis and integrates them together to support his narrative.
  • As the author states, it is still incomplete but it is comprehensive and detailed enough to use as a starting foundation to build a complex polycrisis map upon. becaues it shows the complexities of the interwoven nexus of problems we face and the massive network of feedbacks between them that makes solving any one of them alone in isolation an impossibility
  • The Cascade Institute focuses on social tipping points, complexity and polycrisis. We could synthesis a number of tools to map out and reveal effective mitigation strategies including:
    • Cascade Institute tools
    • Social tipping point tools
    • SRG mapping tool along with Indyweb / Indranet
    • Culture hacking tools
    • SIMPOL strategy
    • Downscaled Earth System Boundary tools
    • SRG Deep Humanity BEing journey tools
    • James Hansen's recommendation that the biggest leverage point is new form of governance
      • We need to rapidly emerge a new global third political party that does not take money from special interest groups
    • Progressive International comes to the same conclusion as James Hansen, that the key leverage point for rapid whole system change is radically new governance that puts power back to the hands of the people - power to the people
      • https://hyp.is/N0bxsJaaEe6Nmp_cqQcA7Q/docdrop.org/video/3dxLs-zX5xA/
    • SONEC's
    • Indyweb's people-centered, interpersonal methodology is a perfect match for SONEC circle-within-circles fractal structure
      • mention to @Gyuri
      • I've seen this circle-within-circle fractal, holonic group idea with Tim's software as well as Roberto's
  • Feebate from local governance groups (from another Doomer site - Arctic Emergency)
    • https://arctic-news.blogspot.com/p/feebates.html
  • What the author's narrative shows is
    • how precarious our situation is
    • how many trends are getting far worse in the immediate future
    • how we are already undercapacitated to deal with existing crisis so how will we deal with new ones that are exponentially worse?
    • all these crisis will impact our supply chains. Why are these important? Our reliance on technology is dangerous and makes us very vulnerable
    • Think of your laptop, cellphone or other electronic device that relies on a vast, complex and globally operational internet. Imagine that tidal surges wipes out the globally critical data centers located in New York. Or imagine electronic factories in China and Taiwan are wiped out due to extreme weather. How will you get or fix a broken piece of electronic equipment? We rely on each millions of specialized jobs all working smoothly in order for our laptop to continue working and communicating with each other.

• epiphany

• recommendation for new Indyweb / Indranet tools
  • independent time and date stamp tool for every online, virtual sentence we write so we recognize in a long composition when we inserted a new idea
  • ability to trace rapid trains of thought to reveal how new insights emerge from within our consciousness
• While writing this, I just recalled that we should have a way to time and date stamp every single virtual online action, like in this annotation because recall happens so nonlinearly and we won't have a hope to trace and trailmark without it. Hypothesis doesn't have time and date stamps of every sentence available to the user. So we don't know what nonlinear memory recall led to a specific sentence in an annotation. We need some independent Indyweb / Indranet tool that will do this universally. Trains of thoughts are so fragile we can forget the quick cascades very easily.

• for: James Hansen, paper - Global Warming in the Pipeline, prediction - May 2024, find - May 2024 prediction, suggestion - debate - James Hansen - Michael Mann, climate crisis - politics, climate change - politics

• Summary

  • See the Dan Miller interview in the reference below
  • The key point for SRG work in mobilizing and awakening the sleeping giant of the commons is summarized in the 3rd required action in the last sentence of his abstract:
    • "Current political crises present an opportunity for RESET, especially if young people can grasp their situation." (Bold is from SRG)

• reference

  • James Hansen Dec. 2023 interview discussing this paper
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=http%3A%2F%2Fdocdrop.org%2Fvideo%2F8Ag3UVSrlhE%2F&group=world
    • Dan Miller, who interviews Hansen and who has coauthored a paper with him, states in the interview that May 2024 is a test date for validating the paper's claims:
    • https://hyp.is/HRKEfqYAEe6lGJ_E57_9Mw/docdrop.org/video/8Ag3UVSrlhE/
    • Find
      • Identify the section in the paper that Miller is alluding to which makes the prediction about events of May 2024.
  • Michael Mann's critique of the paper
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fmichaelmann.net%2Fcontent%2Fcomments-new-article-james-hansen&group=world

• for: question - climate crisis - local solutions - scalability

• question

  • These are great starts but is there a trajectory to scaling them to replace a large part of society's GDP as a minimum but total holistic wellbeing as a final goal?:

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/dec/14/failure-cop28-fossil-fuel-phase-out-devastating-say-scientists

• for: climate crisis - role of community

• comment

  • Jane starts off a great conversation with the thesis that communities can be the key for solving the climate crisis

• for: question - can communities have real impact?

• question: can communities have real impact?

  • In this discussion, Ross is acting as the devil's advocate questioning whether communities can have real impact. He is consistent and his comments are based on evidence and experience. He challenges everyone else to prove him wrong and makes everyone go deeper to validate their positions.
  • Ross makes valid points that so far, have not been effectively addressed, mainly because nobody has thought further of how to systematically organize communities to the scale required. It's not trivial!

• for: climate crisis - debate - community action, climate crisis - discussion - community action, indyweb - curation example

• discussion: effectiveness of community action to address climate crisis

  • This is a good discussion on the effectiveness of community action to address the climate crisis.
  • It offers a diverse range of perspectives that can all be mapped using SRG trailmark protocol and then data visualized within Indyweb via cytoscape

• for: academic communication to the public - importance, elites - two types, key insight - elites, key insight - science communication

• comment

• key insight

  • Elites are necessary in every society
  • Historically, people who strongly believe that the current elites aren't necessary or are harmful often become the revolutionaries who become the new elites
  • elites need to speak in their own specialist language to each other but there are two kinds of elites
    • those who serve society
    • those who serve themselves
    • often, we have fox in sheep's clothing - elites who serve themselves but disguise themselves in the language of elites who serve others in order to gain access to power ,
    • we normally think of wealthy people as elites, but Harari classifies scientists as also a kind of elite
  • elites may be necessary but
    • We are caught in a double bind, a wicked problem as elites are also the world's greatest per capita energy consumers and their outsized ecological, consumption and energy footprint is now a existential threat to the survival of our species

• references

  • Kevin Anderson: A Habitable Earth Can No Longer Afford The Rich – And That Could Mean Me And You
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fclimateuncensored.com%2F1485-2%2F&group=world
  • The role of high-socioeconomic-status people in locking in or rapidly reducing energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41560-021-00900-y&group=world
  • Millionaire spending incompatible with 1.5 °C ambitions
    • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sciencedirect.com%2Fscience%2Farticle%2Fpii%2FS2666791622000252&group=world

• for: climate crisis - resource flow, carbon budget - resource flow, carbon budget - resource redistribution

• comment

  • This is really a major change in the way resource flows
  • The high consuming countries and individuals need to drop their consumption drastically and give those to the decarbonization effort and to the disenfranchised who need to be uplifted to a state of wellbeing

• for: climate crisis - air travel, climate crisis - triage approach, climate communications - SRG suggestion - energy diet

• comment

  • Kevin's use of the term triage is aligned to a Stop Reset Go strategy of reframing the challenges in the next few years in terms of a potentially temporary energy diet
  • That may be more palatable for transition for people accustomed to the existing high carbon lifestyle culture to accept
  • The potential of developing alternative energy resources plus a shift to low energy / high efficiency lifestyle could get us to the target and provide incentive for a drastic energy consumption cut

• for: quote - Kevin Anderson, quote - elite positive feedback carbon inequality loop, climate crisis - societal aspirations, elites - societal aspirations, societal aspirations, key insight - societal aspirations

• quote

  • This 1% of humanity uses its awesome power to manipulate
    • societal aspirations and
    • the narratives around climate change.
  • These extend from
    • well-funded advertising to
    • pseudo-technical solutions,
    • and financialisation of carbon emissions (and increasingly, nature) to
    • labelling extreme any meaningful narrative that questions inequality and power.

• comment

• key insight - societal aspirations
  • it is the societal aspiration of the logic of capitalism and the free market that continues to create the next generation of the 1%
  • How can the luxury industry NOT BE high carbon intensity? It's an oxymoron. High carbon is baked into the definition of luxury, and it is luxury goods and services which accelerate climate breakdown.
  • The elites have a strong feeling of entitlement. They feel they DESERVE to reward themselves with a luxury lifestyle. That aspiration and reward structure multiplied by 80 million (1% of 8 billion) is a major variable driving the climate crisis

• for: climate crisis - elites, Kevin Anderson - elites, carbon emissions - elites, adjacency - elites - carbon inequality - incentives - luxury - capitalism

• title: A Habitable Earth Can No Longer Afford The Rich – And That Could Mean Me And You

• author: Kevin Anderson

• date: Nov. 29, 2023

• comment

• adjacency between
  • elites
  • capitalism
  • free market
  • incentives
  • double bind
  • wicked problem
  • inequality
  • carbon inequality
  • luxury industry
• adjacency statement
  • This article was pulled by "The Conversation" for being too controversial
  • It addresses the double-bind / wicked problems that we find ourselves in.
  • It's not just that the elites that are the highest per capita polluters, but
    • it is an indictment of the entire philosophy and worldview of capitalism and the market economy which produces winners and losers and
    • the winners reap enormous resource benefits, including being able to afford luxury items as rewards which constitute the largest ecological footprint of all
  • while at any one time, there is always a minority of the 1%, who hold the most outsized ecological footprint of all, the logic that produced that 1% also serves as the incentives for the majority of the 99%, who because of the inherent precarity created by capitalism, will fight and struggle to become part of that 1%
  • So while one generation of the 1% die off, a new generation is born and created by the incentive structure of scarcity and precarity.
  • In this sense, capitalism has its own self-reinforcing, positive feedback loop that keeps the masses of the disenfranchised aspiring to the same high resource and ecological footprint, luxury lifestyle
  • Look at the culture industry of sports, entertainment, movies, music, TV, etc. and of business in general. The leaders of these and ALL fields are celebrated as heros and they all reward themselves with an ultra-high carbon intensity, luxury lifestyle.
  • Unless we do more than simply demonize the current set of elites, and recognize the root cause and change the incentive structure itself, we will only ever deal with the symptom and not the problem, and continue to generate the next generation of elites
  • The luxury lifestyle industry is a important role-player in the self-reinforcing feedback loop

• for: polycrisis wartime mobilization, climate crisis wartime mobilization, 2024 extreme weather - wartime mobilization opportunity

• key insight

• adjacency between
  • real COVID mobilization
  • imagined future climate crisis wartime mobilization

• adjacency statement

  • The rapid response to the COVID pandemic was a real life case of a wartime scale mobilization in a very short time. This shows that it is possible. We need to see if we can strive for this for climate change. If 2024 becomes the year of extreme weather due to El Nino, then we could use it as an opportunity for a wartime mobilization

  • one good thing about the COVID pandemic is that it did show that a rapid wartime mobilization is possible, because it did kind of happened during COVID

• for: climate crisis - Canada - surprising positive public opinion shift

• for climate change - wartime mobilization, interview - Seth Klein - A Good War, polycrisis - conflict, climate crisis - conflict, Naomi Klein - brother

• summary

  • An interview with activist Seth Klein on his book: A Good War. Klein studied how WWI and WWII stimulated a rapid mobilization of Canada with an eye to translating the same methods to combating climate change.

• for: Kevin Anderson, transition, climate equity, climate justice, climate justice - Kevin Anderson, carbon inequality - Kevin Anderson, life within planetary boundaries, lifestyle within planetary boundaries - elites, climate crisis - Kevin Anderson

• summary

  • Kevin offers a picture of what a world within the stable climate planetary boundary would look like for the wealthy of the planet.

• for: climate crisis - Kevin Anderson
• annotate

• for: fossil fuel phase out, fossil fuel phase down, COP28 controversy, Sultan Al Jaber controversy, fossil fuel demand phase out, Nafeez Ahmed - phase out fossil fuel demand, carbon colonialism, colonialism - climate crisis

• title: A Message to White Environmentalists: Demanding a Fossil Fuel Phase Out is Not Enough

• author: Nafeez Ahmed
• date: Dec 6, 2023
• publication: Byline Times

• for: climate crisis - psychology - hope
• annotate

• for: climate crisis - intervention - switch banks, project drawdown - switch banks

to: [Fast Company article on bank emissions] (https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fastcompany.com%2F90996425%2Fhow-to-break-up-with-your-bank&group=world)

• for:climate crisis - solutions - banking

• from:[ Linked In Jonathan Foley Post] (https://hyp.is/TMzeTpnkEe6gsIcc_dt8hg/www.linkedin.com/posts/jonathan-foley-182808b9_how-to-break-up-with-your-bank-activity-7140431002400677888--kqs/)

• for: climate crisis - voting for global political green candidates, podcast - Planet Critical, interview - Planet Critical - James Schneider - communications officer - Progressive International, green democratic revolution, climate crisis - elite control off mainstream media

• podcast: Planet Critical

• host: Rachel Donald

• title: Overthrowing the Ruling Class: The Green Democratic Revolution

• summary

  • This is a very insightful interview with James Schneider, communications officer of Progressive International on the scales of political change required to advert our existential Poly / meta / meaning crisis.
  • James sees 3 levels of crisis
    • ordinary crisis emerging from a broken system
    • larger wicked problems that cannot be solved in isolation
    • the biggest umbrella crisis that covers all others - the last remaining decades of the fossil fuel system,
      • due to peak oil but accelerated by
      • climate crisis
  • There has to be a paradigm shift on governance, as the ruling elites are driving humanity off the cliff edge
  • This is not incremental change but a paradigm shift in governance
  • To do that, we have to adopt an anti-regime perspective, that is not reinforcing the current infective administrative state, otherwise, as COVID taught us, we will end up driving the masses to adopt hard right politicians
  • In order to establish the policies that are aligned to the science, the people and politicians have to be aligned.
  • Voting in candidates who champion policies aligned to science is a leverage point.
  • That can only be done if the citizenry is educated enough to vote for such politicians
  • So there are two parallel tasks to be done:
    • mass education program to educate citizens
    • mass program to encourage candidates aligned to climate science to run for political office

• for: climate crisis - analogy

• climate crisis - analogy

  • We're on a highway to the cliff
  • our foot is on the accelerator
  • the ruling class is driving
  • we are bound and gagged in the boot
  • we have to
    • work together to untie ourselves,
    • break through the front seat,
    • remove the driver,
    • take control of the steering wheel and brakes and
    • avoid driving over the cliff edge

• for: climate crisis - elite control of mainstream media

• for: Kevin Anderson - carbon inequality, climate crisis - carbon inequality climate crisis - carbon inequality, carbon inequality

• for: system justification theory, status quo bias, question - lack of commensurate action

• summary

  • Supporting their hypotheses, the authors identify a general trend that social marginalization is associated with less system-justification.
  • Those benefitting from the status quo (e.g., healthier, wealthier, less lonely) were more likely to hold system-justifying beliefs.
  • However, some groups who are disadvantaged within the existing system reported higher system-justification—suggesting that
    • system oppression may be a key moderator of the effect of social position on system justification.

• Question

  • The question here is this:
    • Can system justification theory be applied to explain why the majority of citizens, even though they are aware that the current fossil fuel energy system must be rapidly scaled down, there is no commensurate sense of emergency of concomitant action?

https://www.gawker.com/politics/the-joe-manchin-trolley-problem

archive copy: https://web.archive.org/web/20230604114624/https://www.gawker.com/politics/the-joe-manchin-trolley-problem

Malm, Andreas. How to Blow Up a Pipeline. Verso Books, 2021. https://www.versobooks.com/products/2649-how-to-blow-up-a-pipeline.

Aram Zucker-Scharff indicated that this was one of his favorite books on the climate crisis and has interesting consequences for both individual and group action. He said it might make an interesting pairing with Palo Alto (@Malcolm2023).

It came up as we were talking about the ideas of climate crisis in the overlap of The Monkey Wrench Gang.

Might also be interesting with respect to @Hoffer2002 [1951].

Of course, one ought to be cognizant of the fact that he knew (or should have known) he was patently wrong then too.

His statements as quoted here allow him to gloss over the fact that a lot of the blame rests at his own feet.

Adragna, Anthony. “Luntz: ‘I Was Wrong’ on Climate Change.” POLITICO, August 21, 2019. https://www.politico.com/story/2019/08/21/frank-luntz-wrong-climate-change-1470653.

Potentially interesting with respect to @Linsky2023

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Montreal_Protocol

https://context.center/topics/climate-change/#explainers

https://www.alternet.org/2019/09/alexander-von-humboldt-the-first-person-to-understand-climate-change-more-than-200-years-ago

https://blog.biodiversitylibrary.org/2020/10/alexander-von-humboldt.html

The Climate Web

Explore What We Collectively Know About the Causes of, the Risks From, and the Solutions to Global Heating (Climate Change)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

The increased efficiency in the use of a resource doesn't imply a decrease in the usage of that resource, but rather may cause in incommensurate increase in use because of decrease in cost.

The increased efficiency of the use of a resource may act as a catalyst for increasing usage.

Interesting to see this take up some space as an example from 1972.

• for: quote, quote - Kevin Anderson, quote - Kevin Anderson - Marshall plan, discussion - Johan Rockstrom / Kevin Anderson, perspectival knowing

• quote

  • Our choice to fail over the last 30 years has brought us to this position.
  • And a way out of that, a way out of the Marshall Plan, is to say we can have these negative emissions
  • I think we need to say that, okay that's one way out of it – if they work.
  • Another way out of it is the Marshall Plan.
  • And so we need to open that that dialogue up. but we've... in effect, I think the IAMs have closed that dialogue,.
  • Which is one of the reasons, going back to... It would be interesting to see other parts of the world looking at this, because, I would have a guess,
    • when we say 'that's not feasible', many people elsewhere in the world are saying 'well of course it's feasible, we've been doing... we've been living like that for years!'

• comment

  • In rebuttal to Johan's perspective on Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs),
    • Kevin is addressing the issue of perspectival knowing, and
    • its implications on what solutions we entertain as a global society.
  • The example he cites is Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs) illustrates two major perspectives:
    • Johan includes NETs as he see's that without them, the transition goes from manageable to unmanageable
    • Kevin questions the inclusion of the NETs as potentially shutting down discussion about what Johan would consider an unmanageable situation
  • Kevin brings up a valid point for inclusion of other voices, especially those indigenous ones who are still institutionally marginalized not only in economic and cultural spaces, but also academic and intellectual ones.
  • The decolonization of academia takes on a concrete form here. Both the global and local south have lived under severe economic repression for centuries. Anderson's contention is that making do with less is something that billions of people have had to contend with for centuries as a social norm forced upon them by colonialist then post colonialist institutions.
  • Inclusivity of a greater diversity of voices does play an important role in shaping the future direction of humanity.
  • We should be having an open discussion about a Marshall plan and should not be afraid to go there.
    • We had it in WWII, which, while more direct threat, is not as great as the threat of climate change on all life on earth in a slightly greater time scale.
  • The global and local south has a lot to teach the global and local north. For this great transition of humanity to occur likely simultaneously requires
    • radical amounts of resource transfer from the global / local north to the global / local south,and
    • radical degrowth

• for: TPF, crowdsource solutions, climate crisis - commons, polycrisis - commons, quote, quote - crowdsourcing solutions, quote Miles Fidelman, Center for Civic Networking, Protocol Technologies Group, bottom-up, collective action
• quote
  • At best, we will see new forms of collaboration among large numbers of people toward beneficial ends.
  • The most obvious example is the changing nature of responses to largescale natural disasters.
  • Perhaps we will see this spirit of volunteer and entrepreneurial cooperation emerge to address such pressing issues as climate change
    • e.g., maybe, the Green New Deal will be crowdsourced.
• author: Miles Fidelman
  • founder, Center for Civic Networking
  • principal, Protocol Technologies Group

• for: climate change - evolutionary causes, cultural evolution - unsustainability, unsustainability
• definition: Anthroecological theory (AET)
  • This theory proposes that the ultimate cause of anthropogenic environmental change is multi-level selection for niche construction and ecosystem engineering

• for: inequality, poverty, W2W, Jane Goodall, socio-ecological system, climate justice, emptiness - example, entanglement - inequality and climate crisis
• key insight
  • if you're very poor and you're living in some kind of Wilderness Area
    • you're going to destroy the environment in order to survive
    • example: Gumby Street National Park
      • in 1960 it was part of the Great Forest
      • but by the late 1980s was a tiny Islander forest and all the hills around were bare
      • more people living there than the land could support
      • too poor to buy food elsewhere
        • struggling to survive
        • cutting down the trees to make money from charcoal or Timber
        • or to make more land grow more food and
      • that's when it hit me
        • if we don't help these people these local communities find ways of living without destroying the environment
        • we can't save chimpanzees forests or anything else so we need to alleviate poverty
• comment
  • This is why the inequality crisis is entangled with the climate crisis

• for: climate communications, crisis communications,
  • one of the reasons why we don't do it is that
    • we think there needs to also be a sudden huge change inside
    • but actually there doesn't need to be a sudden age change inside at all
    • that thing is funnily enough getting in the way
  • An awful lot of people who write about ecological things in the newspaper are preventing you from being ecological
  • I know that sounds a bit rude to my to my colleagues you know who write editorials for newspapers
    • but it I'm afraid it's true because you know
    • you look at page one of the newspaper and basically it says
      • you're stupid right ?
      • it gives you a whole bunch of facts that you didn't know
        • in the form mostly of quite raw data
        • it just sort of dumps the data on you which we don't do about
      • anything else we don't do it about?
        • we don't do it about racism
        • we don't do it about economics
      • we don't just dump data on on page one but we do do it regarding global warming and I think that's a bit of a problem
    • then you go on to the middle of the newspaper and you get to the editorial section
    • and the editorial section is saying
      • you're evil
      • you're a bad person
      • you're not being ecological enough
    • stupid and evil is not a good place from which to launch a successful politics or ethics or any kind of creativity
    • what is creativity fundamentally?
    • it's inviting the future
    • creativity means you're allowing the future to be different from the past doesn't it?
      • because you're creating something (new)
      • that's what creating means
      • and in order to do it successfully you actually have to be incredibly gentle

Das Natonale Klima-Anpassungsprogramm, das die britische Regierung in der vergangenen Woche vorgelegt hat, ist nicht nur unzureichend, sondern es ignoriert die Folgen der globalen Erhitzung. Themen wie Kühlung der Innenstädte, Umbau von Gebäuden oder Waldaufbau zum Gewässerschutz werden nicht angegangen. Bill McGuire, emeritierter Professor für Klimafolgen in London, kritisiert die Ignoranz der britischen Regierung im Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jul/20/government-plan-britain-extreme-heat-society-economy

• Title
  • Addressing the Climate Crisis: An Action Plan for Psychologists
• Date
  • Feb 2022

What happened to these and why? my guess is that it was hard to breakthrough to the broader public on a complex long-term topic.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Skeptical_Environmentalist

tangentially mentioned in the Dan Allosso Book Club 2023-04-29

Title: How Alive Is 1.5? Part One – A Small Budget, Shrinking Fast

Author: - Kevin Anderson - Dan Calverley

Key Messages - For a 50:50 chance of staying below 1.5°C, we’re using up the remaining carbon budget at around 1% every month. - Following current national emissions pledges (NDCs) to 2030 puts the temperature commitments within the Paris Agreement beyond reach. - Claims that 1.5°C is now inevitable also assign “well below 2°C” to the scrapheap. - An ‘outside chance’ of not exceeding 1.5°C remains viable, but ongoing fossil fuel use is rapidly undermining it. - The few credible pathways for an outside chance of 1.5°C are not being discussed. This is an active choice by policymakers and experts, who have largely dismissed equity-based social change.

https://www.zmescience.com/ecology/animals-ecology/why-animals-are-splooting-to-deal-with-the-heat/

He is basically saying this is plausible. And his is the most sensible answer here by far IMO.

The whole point of "bad case" scenarios is that they involve feedback effects and breakdown of "civilization" as we know it.

This article as a whole is an illustration of the narrow, conventional thinking.

NB: i came here via https://passivehouseaccelerator.com/articles/building-our-solarpunk-future where they are citing this as evidence future won't be too bad:

For many of us, it’s all too easy to imagine the terrible, particularly as we witness the damage caused by just 1.2°C of global heating today. We’re also bombarded by Doomist messages.

For example, Roger Hallam, the co-founder of Extinction Rebellion, recently said this of climate change: “I am talking about the slaughter, death, and starvation of 6 billion people this century. That’s what the science predicts.”

Only that’s not what the science predicts. According to the fact-checker website, Climate Feedback: “Research shows that continuing climate change results in a broad array of serious threats to humans and other species. However, counter to Hallam’s statement, published studies have not predicted 6 billion human deaths this century and there is no credible mechanism referred to justify how this could happen.”

!- example : DGC - also, Yellow jackets in France and working class in Sri Lanka paralyzed their respective country due to rising fuel costs - the precariat class is threatened and are also caught in the wicked problem

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/14/climate/patagonia-climate-philanthropy-chouinard.html

!- for : Social Tipping Points - Tipping Point Festival - Meaning crisis

Title: How Fast a Low Carbon Transition? Or: Is Vaclav Smil Wrong? Author: Mark Trexler Date: May 21, 2022

!- for : comparison of green growth vs energy descent

The problem with capitalism is that in times of fecundity things can seem to magically work so incredibly well because so much of the system is hidden, yet when problems arise so much becomes much more obvious.

Unseen during fecundity is the amount of waste and damage done to our environments and places we live. Unseen are the interconnections and the reliances we make on our environment and each other.

There is certainly a longer essay hiding in this idea.