- Oct 2024
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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2023 haben Böden und Landpflanzen fast kein CO2 absorbiert. Dieser Kollaps der Landsenken vor allem durch Dürren und Waldbrände wurde in diesem Ausmaß kaum vorausgesehen, und es ist nicht klar, ob auf ihn eine Regeneration folgt. Er stellt Klimamodelle ebenso in Frage wie die meisten nationalen Pläne zum Erreichen von CO2-Neutralität, weil sie auf natürlichen Senken an Land beruhen. Es gibt Anzeichen dafür, dass die steigenden Temperaturen inzwischen auch die CO2-Aufnahmefähigkeit der Meere schwächen. Überblicksartikel mit Links zu Studien https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/14/nature-carbon-sink-collapse-global-heating-models-emissions-targets-evidence-aoe
Tags
- Global Carbon Budget
- Tim Lenton
- by: Patrick Greenfield
- 2023
- The role of forests in the EU climate policy: are we on the right track?
- Impact of high temperature heat waves on ocean carbon sinks: Based on literature analysis perspective
- date::2024-10-14
- Pierre Friedlingstein
- The enduring world forest carbon sink
- Schwächung der terrestrischen Kohlenstoffsenken
- Andrew Watson
- Low latency carbon budget analysis reveals a large decline of the land carbon sink in 2023
- Johan Rockström
- Schwächung der marinen Kohlenstoffsenken
- French Laboratory of Climate and Environmental Sciences
- Philippe Ciais
- A warming climate will make Australian soil a net emitter of atmospheric CO2
Annotators
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- Aug 2024
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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per Espen Stokes is the author of what we think about when we try not to think about global warming
for - book - What we think about when we try not to think about global warming - author - Per Espen Stokes - climate crisis - psychology of - Per Espen Stokes
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- Jan 2024
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Zusammenfassender Artikel über Studien zu Klimafolgen in der Antarktis und zu dafür relevanten Ereignissen. 2023 sind Entwicklungen sichtbar geworden, die erst für wesentlich später in diesem Jahrhundert erwartet worden waren. Der enorme und möglicherweise dauerhafte Verlust an Merreis ist dafür genauso relevant wie die zunehmende Instabilität des westantarktischen und möglicherweise inzwischen auch des ostantarktischen Eisschilds. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/dec/31/red-alert-in-antarctica-the-year-rapid-dramatic-change-hit-climate-scientists-like-a-punch-in-the-guts
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- 2023-12-30
- Recent reduced abyssal overturning and ventilation in the Australian Antarctic Basin
- Abyssal ocean overturning slowdown and warming driven by Antarctic meltwater
- Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science
- East antarctic ice sheet
- Southern ocean overturning circulation
- Matt King
- Bellingshausen Sea
- British Antarctic Survey
- expert: Matthew England
- Tony Press
- Kaitlin Naughten
- Ice core records suggest that Antarctica is warming faster than the global average
- sea ice loss
- Record low 2022 Antarctic sea ice led to catastrophic breeding failure of emperor penguins
- Denman glacier
- expert: Lesley Hughes
- The Largest Ever Recorded Heatwave
- Nerilie Abram
- Antarctica
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Die Antarktis erwärmt sich deutlich schneller als in den bisherigen Klimamodellen angenommen - die Westantarktis doppelt so schnell wie der globale Durchschnitt. Das könnte die Erhöhung des Meeresspiegels erheblich beschleunigen. Eine Untersuchung von Eisbohrkernen belegt das bisher nur vermutete Phänomen der Menschen gemachten "arktischen Verstärkung" in der Südhemisphäre.
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- Dec 2023
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academic.oup.com academic.oup.com
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for: James Hansen, paper - Global Warming in the Pipeline, prediction - May 2024, find - May 2024 prediction, suggestion - debate - James Hansen - Michael Mann, climate crisis - politics, climate change - politics
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Summary
- See the Dan Miller interview in the reference below
- The key point for SRG work in mobilizing and awakening the sleeping giant of the commons is summarized in the 3rd required action in the last sentence of his abstract:
- "Current political crises present an opportunity for RESET, especially if young people can grasp their situation." (Bold is from SRG)
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reference
- James Hansen Dec. 2023 interview discussing this paper
- https://hyp.is/go?url=http%3A%2F%2Fdocdrop.org%2Fvideo%2F8Ag3UVSrlhE%2F&group=world
- Dan Miller, who interviews Hansen and who has coauthored a paper with him, states in the interview that May 2024 is a test date for validating the paper's claims:
- https://hyp.is/HRKEfqYAEe6lGJ_E57_9Mw/docdrop.org/video/8Ag3UVSrlhE/
- Find
- Identify the section in the paper that Miller is alluding to which makes the prediction about events of May 2024.
- Michael Mann's critique of the paper
- James Hansen Dec. 2023 interview discussing this paper
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Tags
- James Hansen
- James Hansen - prediction - May 2024
- climate crisis - politics
- Dan Miller - James Hansen Dec 2023 interview
- Michael Mann - critique of James Hansen 2023 paper
- suggestion - debate - James Hansen - Michael Mann
- find - may 2024 prediction data
- paper - Global Warming in the Pipeline
- climate change - politics
Annotators
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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- annotate
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for: James Hansen - interview - Paul Beckwith, Global warming in the pipeline
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Summary
- Paul discusses James Hansen's most recent, and controversial paper:
- Global warming in the pipeline
- with guest James Hansen
- the paper claims that IPCC protective are far too conservative
- Micheal Mann fort I've, disagrees with it:
- a
- Paul discusses James Hansen's most recent, and controversial paper:
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- Nov 2023
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www.theglobeandmail.com www.theglobeandmail.com
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for: James Hansen 2023 paper, Global Warming in the Pipeline, claim - IPCC underestimating global warming - James Hansen
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reference
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Jedes Zehntel Grad weiterer Temperaturerhöhung drängt 140 Millionen Menschen - vor allem in ärmeren Regionen - aus der sogenannten Klimatische, in der Menschen gut leben können. Forschende haben genau berechnet, wie viele Menschen bei verschiedenen Klimaszenarien in so heißen Gebieten leben würden, dass sie mit hoher Wahrscheinlichkeit zur Emigration gezwungen werden. Bei dem derzeit wahrscheinlichen 2,7 Grad-Szenario für 2100 wären das bis 2030 ca 2 Milliarden Menschen, bei einem 1,5 Gra-Pfad 400 Millionen. Auch in den nicht ganz so heißen Gebieten wird die Zahl der Extremwetterereignisse weiter zunehmen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/22/global-heating-human-climate-niche
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www.theclimateweb.com www.theclimateweb.com
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Explore What We Collectively Know About the Causes of, the Risks From, and the Solutions to Global Heating (Climate Change)
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Eine Gruppe von Forscher:innen um James Hansen hat eine Studie veröffentlicht, der zufolge sich die globale Erhitzung beschleunigt und die 1,5°-Grenze schon bald überschritten werden wird. Die These, dass der IPCC die Empfindlichkeit der Erde für Veränderungen in der Einstrahlung (Climate Sensitivity) bisher unterschätzt, ist nicht wissenschaftlicher Konsens, wird aber sehr ernst genommen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/02/heating-faster-climate-change-greenhouse-james-hansen
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- Aug 2023
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Die Durchschnittstemperatur der Ozeane erreichte Anfang August mit 20,96° (Daten des europäischen Wetter-Service Copernicus) einen neuen Rekord. Ein Teil der Temperatursteigerung dürfte auf den sich aufbauenden El Niño zurückgehen.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/04/oceans-hit-highest-ever-recorded-temperature
BBC-Grafik:
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Die globale Erhitzung droht die Anzahl der Organismen in den tiefsten noch vom Licht erreichten Zonen (200-1000m) in diesem Jahrhundert um bis zu 40% zu reduzieren. Bei höheren Temperaturen zerfallen Mikroorganismen schneller, so dass weniger Nahrung zur Verfügung steht. Diese Zone ist eine wichtige CO2-Senke. https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-65460128
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www.liberation.fr www.liberation.fr
- Jun 2023
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www.climate.gov www.climate.gov
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It was partly through their attempts to understand what caused and ended previous ice ages that climate scientists came to understand the dominant role that carbon dioxide plays in Earth’s climate system, and the role it is playing in current global warming.
claim
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- May 2023
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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- Feb 2023
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www.carbonbrief.org www.carbonbrief.org
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In its 2013 fifth assessment report, the IPCC stated in its summary for policymakers that it is “extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature” from 1951 to 2010 was caused by human activity. By “extremely likely”, it meant that there was between a 95% and 100% probability that more than half of modern warming was due to humans.
This website is creating the argument using reports by the IPCC stating that its extremely likely that 95% to 100% that more than half modern global warming was caused by humans. This is infact false information or "misinformation" because there are many scientific studies that prove that global warming is a natural process and is not caused by humans
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- Jul 2022
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So the first transition, they say, was about 10,500 years ago with the beginning of agriculture. Some have said farming was our biggest mistake: it supported more of us, but at the cost of more disease, poor nutrition, grinding labour, and hierarchical societies that turned into warring empires. But we gained more energy from domesticating animals, and more information by the invention of writing. “Serendipitously,” the authors write, “farming created environmental conditions across our home planet that were unusually stable. This gave time for large-scale civilizations to develop.” That is, humans launched global warming not in the 1800s but with the first agriculture. By burning off forests to make farmland, we began to pump carbon dioxide into the atmosphere — coincidentally, just as the earth was moving on schedule back into another glacial period. Over the next few thousand years farming spread across Asia, Africa, Europe, and much of the Americas, keeping the planet just a little too warm for a return of the glaciers.
First transition The authors make an extraordinary claim that the Holocene not only coincided with the beginnings of agriculture, but that humans, in large scale burning of forests to create agricultural fields released sufficient quantities of CO2 emissions from the burning to prevent the coming of the next ice age!
Do a literature review to see if there is evidence for such an extraordinary claim.
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- Jun 2022
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www.science.org www.science.org
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dire warning
Really? What's the dire warning? Whatever creatures dominated at the time of the warm period flourished and expanded their ranges. Even now, humanity flourishes most in warmer places (http://www.luminocity3d.org/WorldPopDen/#3/12.00/10.00).
Contrary to the climate alarmist suggestion that warming should be stopped, the study shows that a warmer Earth has been the norm - and when it was, life of all kinds flourished.
That's the opposite of a "dire warning" to any sensible person.
But if people wake up to the scientific reality, why would anyone want to pay scientists to come up with ways to keep us trapped in the ice age we've been in for most of human history?
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- Sep 2021
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www.propublica.org www.propublica.org
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Since about 70% of water delivered from the Colorado River goes to growing crops, not to people in cities, the next step will likely be to demand large-scale reductions for farmers and ranchers across millions of acres of land, forcing wrenching choices about which crops to grow and for whom — an omen that many of America’s food-generating regions might ultimately have to shift someplace else as the climate warms.
Deep Concept: The US Government, in the 1960's/70's provided a crystal ball glimpse into the future by defining climate change (man-made global warming) as a national security concern. Various reports warned of "exponential" growth (population) and related man-made factors (technology etc.) that would contribute to climate change and specifically discussed the possibility of irreconcilable damage to "finite" natural resources.
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- Feb 2021
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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van der Linden, S. (2021). The Gateway Belief Model (GBM): A review and research agenda for communicating the scientific consensus on climate change. Current Opinion in Psychology, 42, 7–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.copsyc.2021.01.005
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- Sep 2020
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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Merchants of Doubt. (2020). In Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Merchants_of_Doubt&oldid=950272903
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- Aug 2020
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www.newscientist.com www.newscientist.com
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Association, N. S. and P. (n.d.). Covid-19 lockdowns will have little lasting impact on global warming. New Scientist. Retrieved August 10, 2020, from https://www.newscientist.com/article/2251313-covid-19-lockdowns-will-have-little-lasting-impact-on-global-warming/
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- Jul 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Leiserowitz, A., Maibach, E., Rosenthal, S. A., Kotcher, J., Bergquist, P., Ballew, M. T., Goldberg, M. H., Gustafson, A., & Wang, X. (2020). Climate change in the American Mind: April 2020 [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/8439q
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Leiserowitz, A., Maibach, E., Rosenthal, S. A., Kotcher, J., Ballew, M. T., Bergquist, P., Gustafson, A., Goldberg, M. H., & Wang, X. (2020). Politics and global warming, April 2020 [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/d7vbq
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- Jan 2020
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www.hcn.org www.hcn.org
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Or global warming. I can’t see or touch it. What I can see and touch are these raindrops, this snow, that sunburn patch on the back of my neck. I can touch the weather. But I can’t touch climate. So someone can declare: “See! It snowed in Boise, Idaho, this week. That means there’s no global warming!” We can’t directly see global warming, because it’s not only really widespread and really really long-lasting (100,000 years); it’s also super high-dimensional. It’s not just 3-D. It’s an incredibly complex entity that you have to map in what they call a high-dimensional- phase space: a space that plots all the states of a system. In so doing, we are only following the strictures of modern science, laid down by David Hume and underwritten by Immanuel Kant. Science can’t directly point to causes and effects: That would be metaphysical, equivalent to religious dogma. It can only see correlations in data. This is because, argues Kant, there is a gap between what a thing is and how it appears (its “phenomena”) that can’t be reduced, no matter how hard we try. We can’t locate this gap anywhere on or inside a thing. It’s a transcendental gap. Hyperobjects force us to confront this truth of modern science and philosophy.
A short, and very cogent argument here.
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The strategy would focus on vigorous range management, soil and water conservation including tree-planting, limiting over-grazing and preventing deforestation. Improving water availability would also require additional construction of surface dams during rainy seasons and deep wells.
solutions
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The primary causes of desertification in Somaliland include, among other things, deforestation, over-grazing and mismanagement of land and the environment as well as soil erosion, all of which have damaging effects on farmland and rangeland. Drought, considered as a cyclical phenomenon generally refers to rains failing for a long period of time which accelerates desertification and drastic reduction of water. Drought, is more compounded nowadays, by global climate change.
a more complex explanation of desertification in Somalia
Tags
Annotators
URL
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www.greenfacts.org www.greenfacts.org
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Rehabilitation and restoration approaches can help restore ecosystem services that have been lost due to desertification.
desertification - prevention and restoration
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www.pbs.org www.pbs.org
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(Through interpreter) Definitely there is a change. We used to count on the rainy season and the dry seasons. Now it's not normal. It has changed. We hear on the radios that in the West and in industrialized countries, there is a lot of pollution in the atmosphere.
relationship between drought and global warming - Somali perspective
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- Sep 2019
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www.ipcc.ch www.ipcc.ch
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Table 2.2:
IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 °C - Table 2.2: The assessed remaining carbon budget and its uncertainties
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- Mar 2019
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www.thehindu.com www.thehindu.com
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According to the analysis, urban areas were found to be relatively cooler than the surrounding non-urban areas during heat waves. At 44.5°C, the non-urban areas were warmer than urban areas (43.7°C). However, during the night, all urban areas were hotter than the surrounding non-urban areas.
Urban heat island effect
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www.thehindu.com www.thehindu.com
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Most strikers want their governments to aggressively cut their greenhouse gas emissions. Some youngsters are even demanding a lower voting age, so they can have a bigger say in political process. They want a safe future, powered by the wind and the sun, not dirty and dangerous coal and gas. For instance in Australia, students are urging politicians to move beyond fossil fuel projects, with the hashtag #StopAdani trending. The fear is that the coal mine project will damage water and the reefs.
More power to you!
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- Jan 2019
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static1.squarespace.com static1.squarespace.com
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. The power of glaciation and climate in shaping movement, lifestyle,and innovation cannot be underestimated
really off topic but makes me think of global warming and how our present actions can have huge, tangible consequences
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- Mar 2018
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www.inverse.com www.inverse.com
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Consistent rates of ice disappearance support scientists’ prediction that the Arctic will be completely devoid of ice by 2040.
Wow. Really alarming.
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insideclimatenews.org insideclimatenews.org
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As global temperatures rise, warmer oceans are expected to fuel stronger hurricanes, with disastrous consequences.
Here is a sample annotation.
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- Oct 2017
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academic.oup.com academic.oup.com
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‘Truly it would seem as if “Man strews the earth with ruin.”4 But this conclusion is too flattering to human vanity. Man's most permanent memorial is a rubbish-heap, and even that is doomed to be obliterated’ (Sherlock, 1922, p. 343
CO2 atmospheric concentration used as simple indicator for many years to track great acceleration / progression in Anthropocence, this now joined by long list of other indicators, escalating at an alarming rate, population, water use/ shortage, paper consumption, global warming, increase in number and ferocity of storms .......
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In 1873, the Italian geologist and priest Antonio Stoppani suggested that our technologies, infrastructures, and patterns of land use had created fundamental changes in Earth’s systems, propelling us into what he called an ‘anthropozoic era’
Note : Read over Article again by Will Steffen, Paull J Crutzen & John R McNeill. [] (https://www.pik-potsdam.de/news/public-events/archiv/alter-net/former-ss/2007/05-09.2007/steffen/literature/ambi-36-08-06_614_621.pdf)
Explore development of Anthropocence. How do we track progression of Anthropocene? CO2 Emissions??
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- Aug 2015
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www.vox.com www.vox.com
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The right-wing base has a coherent position on climate change: It's a hoax, so we shouldn't do anything about it. The left-wing base has a coherent position: It's happening, so we should do something about it. The "centrist" position, shared by conservative Democrats and the few remaining moderate Republicans, is that it's happening but we shouldn't do anything about it. That's not centrist in any meaningful ideological sense; instead, like most areas of overlap between the parties, it is corporatist.
The worst possible outcome.
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