阿比林已运营的0.3吉瓦和六个正在建设中的美国站点，表明美国在AI数据中心领域的实际进展与预期一致。

目前已有0.3吉瓦的容量在阿比林运营，另外六个美国站点正在建设中，这显示出美国在AI数据中心建设方面的迅速进展。

阿里巴巴声称Qwen3.6-27B在主要的编码评估中击败了更大的Qwen3.5-397B-A17B模型，这是一个值得注意的技术进步。

大多数人认为数学突破来自于持续不断的努力和渐进式改进，但Lichtman和其他专家的失败表明，有时问题不在于努力程度而在于思维方式的局限，这挑战了我们对数学进步过程的认知。

这是一个关键的统计数据，表明75%的AI能力指标显示出加速趋势。文章使用2023年后的数据进行线性拟合，发现三个指标偏离了线性趋势。这个比例相当高，但值得注意的是，样本量较小(n=4)，可能影响统计显著性。需要更多指标来验证这一发现。

大多数人可能将AI进步归因于单一因素（如模型规模或数据量），但作者指出推理能力的提升是多种因素共同作用的结果，包括推理计算扩展、强化学习更广泛应用以及模型产生推理标记等。这挑战了人们对AI进步驱动因素的认知。

大多数人认为AI能力提升是渐进式的线性增长，但作者通过数据分析发现，在四个关键能力指标中有三个出现了明显加速，且这种加速似乎与推理模型的出现直接相关。这挑战了人们对AI进步速度的普遍认知。

大多数人认为AI能力的发展是持续稳定的线性增长，但作者通过数据分析发现，在四个关键指标中有三个显示出明显的加速趋势，这种加速是由推理模型驱动的。这一结论挑战了人们对AI进步速度的常规认知，表明2024年推理模型的引入可能标志着AI能力发展模式的转变。

大多数人认为基准测试分数的提高意味着模型实际能力的提升。但作者明确表示，SWE-bench Verified的改进不再反映模型真实软件开发能力的进步，而是更多地反映了模型在训练时接触该基准测试的程度。这一结论挑战了整个AI评估体系的有效性，暗示我们可能需要重新思考如何衡量AI的真实进步。

大多数人认为AI模型的性能提升主要源于算法和架构的改进。但作者发现，模型在SWE-bench上的成功更多取决于它们是否在训练中见过这些问题，而非真正的编程能力提升。这一观点与行业普遍认为的'模型进步'叙事相悖，暗示当前AI发展评估可能存在严重偏差。

大多数人认为AI模型迭代通常是渐进式的改进，每次版本更新可能有5-10%的性能提升。但数据显示Kimi K2.6实现了远超预期的飞跃，特别是在工具调用成功率接近97%的情况下，这挑战了人们对AI模型能力提升速度的常规认知，暗示可能存在某种技术突破或架构创新。

这个开篇揭示了AI能力发展的渐进式路径，从简单控制到复杂决策的惊人速度。一个AI从管理自动售货机开始，短短时间内就发展到能自主经营实体企业，展示了AI能力指数级增长的潜力。

这一坦诚的声明揭示了AI工程执行面临的核心挑战——理解模糊的上下文和陈旧工单背后的意图。这表明Ovren团队对技术难题有清醒认识，他们采取渐进式方法解决复杂问题，从明确的范围任务开始，逐步扩展到处理更模糊的工作，这种务实的发展策略令人印象深刻。

令人惊讶的是：仅仅两年前，手机上的实用AI还被认为是科幻小说里的概念，连Siri都无法完成一个完整的句子。而今天，我们已经在手机上运行能与顶级桌面模型媲美的AI，这种技术飞跃的速度和规模在科技史上极为罕见。

令人惊讶的是：AI模型能力在过去4个月内取得了惊人的进步，会计和审计领域在GDPval基准测试中提升了近20%，而警察/侦探工作领域甚至提升了近30%。这种快速进步的速度远超人们的预期，预示着AI将在更多领域实现突破性应用。

for - progress trap - AI - ASI - book - If anyone builds it, everyone dies

把人类的软件工程最佳实践（Git版本控制）直接映射给Agent，不仅解决了上下文传递问题，更重要的是赋予了Agent“撤销”的能力。在不可控的生成式探索中，可回滚的安全网是长周期运行的基础。

从 GPT-3.5 的 30 秒到 Claude Opus 4.6 的 12 小时，两年内增长了 1440 倍。从 GPT-2 到 GPT-5，任务难度增长了 5400 倍。这个进步速度在人类技术史上几乎没有先例——工业革命历经百年实现劳动效率数十倍提升，而 AI 在五年内实现了数千倍的某种意义上的「认知效率」提升。令人不安的是，这条曲线目前没有任何放缓的迹象。

for - progress trap - AI - inequality

for - progress trap - AI - democracies becoming autocracies - Hitler - Trump

for - progress trap - AI - propaganda - brainwashing

for - progress trap - AI - Panopticon - Orwellian

for - progress trap - AI - arms race amongst dictators! - Trump - Putin - Kim Jong Un

for - progress trap - AI - misuse of power - Palantir?

for - definition - mirror life - progress trap

for - progress trap - synthetic biology - left handed life

for - progress trap - AI - technology as an amplifier - technology acts as an amplifier, allowing humans to fly, to move at speeds faster than any known animal, to lift things no living creature can, etc - The danger is ignorance and polarized views combined with extreme self-rightiousness

for - progress trap - AI - legislation required - tell it to Trump!

for - progress trap - AI - rogue AI vendors - like Grok

for - AI - progress trap - interpretability testing - deception - Is it possible that AI could even change their node behavior as a deceptive move?

for - progress trap - AI - hackers - hack the AI constitution

for - progress trap - AI - metaphor - psychopath with a nuclear bomb

for - progress trap - AI - abstraction - progress trap - AI with feelings & AI without feelings - no win? - One major and obvious aspect of current AI LLMs is that they are not only artificial in their intelligence, but also artificial in their lack of real world experiences. They are not embodied (and it would likely be a highly dubious ethical justification for their embodiment as in AI - powered robots) - Once we have the first known AI robot killing a human, it will be an indicator we have crossed the Rubicon - AI LLMs have ZERO realworld experience AND they are trained as artificial COGNITIE intelligence, not artificial EMOTIONAL intelligence - Without having the morals and social norms a human being is brought up with, it can become psychotic because they don't intrinsically value life - To attempt to program them with morals is equally dangerous because of moral relativity. A Christian nationalist's morality might be that anyone who is associated with abortions don't have a right to live and should be killed - an eye for an eye. Or a jihadist and muslim extremist with ISIS might feel all westerners do not have a right to exist because they don't follow Allah. - Do we really want moral programmability? - When we have a psychotic person armed with a lethal weapon, that is a dangerous situation. If we have a nation of super geniuses who go rogue, that is danger multiplied many orders of magnitude.

for - AI - progress trap - training - movies like Terminator - This is a case of reality imitating movies - Another example - humans mismanagement of the biosphere and elite abuse and intransigency

for - AI - progress trap - developing harmful traits

for - AI - progress trap - AI won't always listen to humans - probably due to unintentional design

for - progress trap - AI - 5 risks - autonomy - misuse for destruction - misuse for seizing power - economic disruption - indirect effects

for - AI progress trap - Trump

for - AI progress trap - ie. Trump family investing heavily in AI

for - longevity - shadow side - transhumanism - longevity - progress trap

for - book - Progress: A History of Humanity's Worst Idea - author - Samuel Miller McDonald - from - youtube - interview - Planet Critical - Samuel Miller McDonald --- https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ

for - progress trap - social media - misinformation - AI algorithms hijacking and pretending to be human

for - progress trap - AI - totalitarian government - can exploit for centralized, non-self-correcting control

for - progress trap - AI can become political lobbyist for increasing rights of AI

for - progress trap - AI as legal person (US Corporation) - richest person in the world could be an AI

for - progress cheerleaders - response to - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Steven Pinker - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Bill Gates - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fjacobin.com%2F2019%2F02%2Fsteven-pinker-global-poverty-neoliberalism-progress&group=vnpq69nW

for - progress champion - Steven Pinker - discredited - one example of many - outright lie - he says violence committed BY indigenous Uruguay people but it was colonialist violence done TO THEM!

for - book - Better Angels - Steven Pinker - inspired literature debunking him - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Steven Pinker - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Bill Gates - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fjacobin.com%2F2019%2F02%2Fsteven-pinker-global-poverty-neoliberalism-progress&group=vnpq69nW

for - progress - Steven Pinker - cheerleader of

for - progress trap - AI

for - AI - ponzi scheme - keep the progress narrative alive - while everything else is falling apart

for - history - progress - Francis Fukuyama - liberalism won - calling the bluff

for - history - progress - secular golden age promise - can procastinate by pushing it forward to the next generation

for - history - progress - religious golden age - is post death

for - history - progress - promised land - contemporary mythical promises - nothing new

for - history - progress - after Enlightenment - no long about converting savages to Christians - became about expanding markets

for - history - progress - European Enlightenment - broke secular off from religious progress very abruptly

for - history - progress - secular vs religious

for - history - progress - monotheism appears - Zoroastrianism in Persia (2nd millenia BCE)

for - history - progress - expansionism and gods - went hand-in-hand

for - history - progress - political and religious partnership narrative - top leader claimed to represent top god

for - history - progress - polytheistic gods - Roman and Greek - Jupiter & Zeus

for - history - progress - animism - gave way to polytheism in Mesopotamia - Marduk god

for - progress narrative - often accompanied by religious undertones

for - book - tracing history of progress / Growthist political economy narrative from Vikings to Mesopotamia to Judaism to Greeks to Islam to Enlightenment to US

for - progress - every inaugurations speech

for - history - progress narrative - repeats over and over

for - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress

• SRG comment - interview - The Myth of Progress - Samuel Miller McDonald
  • Samuel summarizes key points from his research and book:
    • Progress: Humanity's Worst Idea
  • He discusses
    • what progress should be,
    • why it is so vital, and
    • how little time we really have to achieve

for - progress trap - book - to - book - Progress: A History of Humankind's Worst Idea - https://hyp.is/cMyt5tjMEfCGz9-Edzp-hA/harpercollins.co.uk/products/progress-a-history-of-humanitys-worst-idea-samuel-miller-mcdonald - author Samuel Miller McDonald

SRG comment - interview - book on Progress - see other references: - to - book - A Short History of Progress (2004) - https://hyp.is/93k5CtjLEfC1UpPEi59BHA/archive.org/details/shorthistoryofpr0000wrig - to - movie - Surviving Progress (2011) - https://hyp.is/sRPYJtjLEfCwuDdwG2xNnw/www.nfb.ca/film/surviving-progress/ - SRG article - Cogress

for - progress - myth of - 5000 years ago

for - Medium article - cogress - Part 1 - progress trap - James Gien Wong - definition - cogress - to - Medium article cogress - Part 2 - progress trap - James Gien Wong - https://hyp.is/t8FhpDGAEfC4J7f0NEFujg/medium.com/@gien_SRG/human-cogress-part-2-d6fd075a55c7 - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap - from - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress - https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ

for - book - A Short History of Progress (2004) - author - Ronald Wright - progress trap - Ronald Wright - A Short History of Progress (2004) - to - movie - Surviving Progress (2011) - https://hyp.is/sRPYJtjLEfCwuDdwG2xNnw/www.nfb.ca/film/surviving-progress/ - to - book - Progress: A History of Humanity's Worst Idea - from - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress - https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ

for - progress traps - movie - Surviving Progress (2011) - from - book - A Short History of Progress (2004) - https://hyp.is/93k5CtjLEfC1UpPEi59BHA/archive.org/details/shorthistoryofpr0000wrig - from - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress - https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ

for - paper - Characteristic processes of human evolution caused the Anthropocene and may obstruct its global solutions (2023) - author - Timothy M. Waring - Zachary T. Wood - Eörs Szathmáry

SRG comment - validation that cultural evolution must make a dramatic shift because - the patterns of cultural evolution that brought human civilization to modernity and the Anthropocene - could end up destroying it - progress trap - cultural evolution - patterns of existing cultural evolution and progress could be our ultimate progress trap

for - progress traps - speed of cultural vs genetic evolution

SRG comment - As Ronald Wright pointed out, it is the speed of our cultural evolution that creates a gap between the evolutionary "hardware" we are equipped with and the novel phenomena that we have never encountered before

for - evolutionary transition - from genetic to cultural - progress trap - cultural evolution

for - progress trap - long term antibiotic use - can create new composition of microbiome with species resistant to antibiotic treatment

for - The Human Microbiome Project - progress trap - antibiotics - severely disrupts the microbiome (Human Microbiome Project)

for - key insight - culture - adaption through culture, not genes - SRG comment - danger is progress traps! - This is a key insight. Once we have sophisticated culture, we don't rely on slow moving genetic change to adapt anymore. Instead we rely on culture! - This is the world of human progress, but is also a dangerous one because progress (cultural adaptation to environmental pressures) comes with progress traps.

for - progress traps - why it happens - culture evolves much faster that genes

for - progress trap - technology - nuclear - psychopathic behavior - Edward Teller calculation - decision to go ahead anyways!

for - definition - transformation backlash - resistance experienced when pushing against an existing system - progress trap - polycrisis - climate crisis - transformation backlash

for - wicked problems - feedback between nodes is the priority - wicked problems - SRG comment - feedback between nodes - indicates progress traps COLLECCT ecosystem design

for - progress trap - nitrogen for fertilizers - anthropocene research - releases lots of methane - climate crisis - leverage point - replacing nitrogen fertilizers

for - stats - speed - cultural (technological) evolution - cell phone - 35 years to touchscreen phones - comparison - speed of cultural vs biological evolution - progress trap

for - claim - progress - super synchronizer of modernity

for - progress trap - education -advocate

for - progress trap - AI - safety - irony

for - progress trap - AI - brakes reality checking loop

for - progress trap - AI - suicides

for - progress trap - AI - sycophants,- example

for - progress trap - AI - sycophantic design

for - progress trap - AI designed to be affirming

for - progress trap - AI therapy

for - progress trap - AI - therapist - subtle attachment

for - progress trap - AI - assisted suicide

for - metaphor - slow motion train wreck - seeing future progress trap

for - progress trap - AI

for - progress trap - AI - like NAFTA

for - progress trap - NAFTA

for - social media - progress trap

for - progress trap - AI - narrow boundary

for - book - In Praise of Scribes - Author Johannes Trithemius - history - progress - technology - printing press

for - progress trap - colonialism - wheat instead of tepary beans

The clear stream represents progress as sustaining life, while holding fast to detrimental traditions, like the caste system, turns things into a desert devoid of life.

for - ecology - red crabs of Christmas island - progress trap - invasive species - biocontrol - ecological engineering - wasps - ants

for - Progress trap - AI - low trust society

for - progress traps - perspective - Michael Levin

for - new life forms - xenobots - anthrobots - novel electric faces - Michael Levin - progress trap - xenobots - anthrobots

for - quote - platonic patterns are now actionable - Michael Levin - I've been thinking about this stuff for decades, and I had not broached the topic of platonic patterns until this year. - And that's because I think it is now actionable. - question - progress trap - moral questions and alarm bells? playing God? - Michael Levin

for - consciousness, AI, Alex Gomez- Marin, neuroscience, hard problem of consciousness, nonmaterialism, materialism - progress trap - transhumanism - AI - war on conciousness

Summary - Alex advocates - for a nonmaterialist perspective on consciousness and argues - that there is an urgency to educate the public on this perspective - due to the transhumanist agenda that could threaten the future of humanity - He argues that the problem of whether consciousness is best explained by materialism or not is central to resolving the threat posed by the direction AI takes - In this regard, he interprets that the very words that David Chalmers chose to articulate the Hard Problem of Consciousness reveals the assumption of a materialist reference frame. - He used a legal metaphor too illustrate his point: - When a lawyer poses three question "how did you kill that person" - the question is entrapping the accused . It already contains the assumption of guilt. - I would characterize his role as a scientist who practices authentic seeker of wisdom - will learn from a young child if they have something valuable to teach and - will help educate a senior if they have something to learn - The efficacy of timebinding depends on authenticity and is harmed by dogma

for - progress trap - psychedelics

for - progress trap - transhumanism - AI - war on consciousness

for - progress trap - transhumanism -quote - transhumanism - mandating change on the human species

for - AI - progress trap - Open AI device

for - youtube - BBC - AI2027 - Futures - AI - progress trap - AI - to AI2027 website - https://hyp.is/0VHJqH3cEfCm9JM_EB3ypQ/ai-2027.com/

summary - This dystopian futures scenario is the brainchild of former OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo, - It is premised on human behavior in modernity including - confirmation bias of AI researchers - entrenched competing political ideologies that motivate an AI arms race - entrenched capitalist market behavior that motivates an AI arms race - AI becoming embodied, resulting in Artificially Embodied Artificial Intelligence (AEAI), posing the danger to humanity because it's no longer just talk, but action - Can it happen? The probability is not zero.We don't really understand the behavior of the AI LLM's we design, they are nonpredictable, and as we give them even greater power, that is a slippery slope - AI can become humanity's ultimate progress trap, which is ironic, because the technology that promises to be the most efficient of all, can become so efficient, it no longer need human beings - Remember Jerry Kaplan's book "Humans need not apply"? - https://hyp.is/o0lBFH3fEfC1QLfnLSs5Bg/www.youtube.com/watch?v=JiiP5ROnzw8 - This dystopian futures scenario goes further and explores the idea that "humans need not exist"!

question - What about emulating climate change gamification of "Bend the Curve" of emissions? - Use the AI 2027 trajectory as a template and see how much real-life follows this trajectory - Just as we have the countdown to the https://climateclock.world/ ( 3 years and change remaining as of today) - perhaps we can have an AI 2027 clock? - What can we do to "bend the dystopian AI 2027 curve" AWAY from the dystopian future?

Lanier, J. (2013). Who Owns the Future? Simon & Schuster. https://amzn.to/3YzotPZ

Annotations <br /> alternate link for annotations

for - adjacency - cannot go back - spiral -progress - progress trap - This can also be seen as the complexity emerging from the continuous oscillation between progress and progress traps - while we are a timebinding species, the unintended consequences of progress require us to undo the unintended harm by revisiting a corner time to remember the beneficial qualities so they we may decouple the harmful qualities in the future

for - progress trap - legal - NDA - question - legal - NDA - can laws be amended so that NDA's are null and void whecan laws be amended so that NDA's are null and void when perpetrators use them to defend and hide their illegal activity?

for - progress trap - legal - NDA - question - legal - NDA - can laws be amended so that NDA's are null and void when perpetrators use them to defend and hide their illegal activity?

for - Epstein scandal - progress trap - NDA - youtube - MSNBC - interview - Gretchen Carlson - to - Lift our voices - founder Gretchen Carlson - https://hyp.is/cjEMJHaCEfCvXw-j41Uguw/liftourvoices.org/legislation

for - example - leverage - progress trap - COVID - mix of 4 amino acids inserted into a spike protein

for - progress traps - biotech - nuclear - powerful tools - leverage points

,> for - progress trap - to attain this, we need to have a new v field of knowledge on progress traps

for - adjacency - morphological memory - permanent - progress trap - progress trap - programmable morphological memory - Nature has obviously altered the bioelectrical patterns through natural evolution, - while humans now understand the mechanism and can alter it artificially to suit our own wants and needs - Hence, it can become a future progress trap

for - adjacency - stored latent memory of future morphology - can be altered - Michael Levin - potential progress trap

for - adjacency - scientific paradigm shift - confirmation bias - universal behavior - liberal / conservative dynamics - progress

adjacency - scientific paradigm shift - confirmation bias - universal behavior - liberal / conservative dynamics - progress - It is a natural for humans to be both conservative and liberal - If we weren't liberal, there would be no progress - At the same time, we recognize the value of existing traditions - they worked and helped us to survive - Confirmation bias is conservative - why tamper with something that isn't broke? - Yet novelty is a behavior that even the staunchest conservative displays - It is nonsensible to think we have only one but not the other aspect, we have both

for - progress trap - digital nomad - modern colonizers

for - progress trap - AI - sharing intimate details with

for - question - progress trap - open source AI models - for blackmail and ransom - Could a bad actor take an open source codebase and twist it to do harm like find out about an rogue AI creator's adversary, enemy or victim and blackmail them? - progress trap - open source AI - criminals - exploit to identify and blackmail victiims

for - progress trap - AI - Anthropic Claude 4 - blackmail - from - youtube - Kyle Kilinski Show - AI is completely out of control - https://hyp.is/GhDOzj0nEfCvHZdiUaw4gQ/www.youtube.com/watch?v=4j1gjSoRt8Q

for - progress trap - AI - Anthropic Claude 4 - blackmail - rare behavior - but still possible! It only has to happen once!

for - progress trap - AI - blackmail - AI - autonomy - progress trap - AI - Anthropic - Claude Opus 4 - to - article - Anthropic Claude 4 blackmail and news leak - progress trap - AI - article - Anthropic Claude 4 - blackmail - rare behavior - Anthropic’s new AI model didn’t just “blackmail” researchers in tests — it tried to leak information to news outlets

for - progress trap - AI - AI - blackmailing human creators - AI - autonomy

for - progress trap - AI - autonomy - example - Grok

for - progress trap - AI - Grok - Elon Musk programs Grok to lie about South African refuges

for - progress trap - Consilience Project - progress trap - Daniel Schmactenberger - from - LinkedIn post - https://hyp.is/twtPIDFaEfC-DCuswNHo5g/www.linkedin.com/posts/danielschmachtenberger_development-in-progress-the-consilience-activity-7222883365371191297-DCPX/?rcm=ACoAACc5MHMBii80wYJJmFqll3Aw-nvAjvI52uI

summary - Daniel is describing the condition known as a "progress trap",an unintended consequence of progress. - I provide a history of progress traps in my two Medium articles found in the annotation links above. - The idea of progress traps is a very important one, especially for modernity because it is a central and general organizing principle under which many disparate unintended consequences of progress can be subsumed. - As is common in paradigm shifts, it is only when a novel concept of sufficient generalization and relevance is introduced that numerous important problems that could not be explained sufficiently in an older model, can be explained more elegantly from a higher or deeper level perspective - Without recognizing a new category of "progress traps", the many different types of unintended consequences are treated in a fragmented and adhoc way.

for - progress trap - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap

for - definition - cogress - Medium article - Cogress - Part 2 - Stop Reset Go - Deep Humanity - James Gien Wong - from - Medium article - Cogress - Part 1 - Stop Reset Go - Deep Humanity - James Gien Wong - https://hyp.is/_Nyg2DF_EfCBeu_iuDroYg/medium.com/@gien_SRG/human-cogress-part-1-5159a575e1c4 - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap

for - post - LinkedIn - progress trap - Daniel Schmatenberger - to - article - The Consilience Project - Development in Progress - https://hyp.is/E3HHGDFaEfCZErPpYGIONg/consilienceproject.org/development-in-progress/

for - post - LinkedIn - progress trap

for - progress trap - reducing complexity to simplicity - A very human trait, it's why we make models, which lead to progress traps

for - report - America's Superintelligence Project - definition - ASI - Artificial Super Intelligence

summary - What is the cost of mistrust between nation states? - The mistrust between the US and China is reaching an all-tie high and it has disastrous consequences for an AI arms race - It is driving each country to move fast and break things, which will become an existential threat to all humanity - Deep Humanity, with an important dimension of progress traps can help us navigate ASI

for - progress trap - ASI - introducing trojan and backdoors in adversary ASI - can backfire

for - definition - AI containment - progress trap - AI containment

for - progress trap - ASI - progress trap - AGI

for - progress trap - AGI - one year away from automating software work

for - progress trap - AGI

for - progress trap - AGI - Silicon Valley move fast and break things strategy - incompatible with security of AGI

for - SSI: our dystopian nightmare - progress trap

for - adjacency - Move fast and break things - progress trap - antonym of "Move fast and break things" - "Move slow and make things"

for - progress trap - turning point - David Suzuki - Haida Gwaii

for - progress trap - geoengineering - David Suzuki

for - progress trap - David Suzuki

for - progress trap - DDT - David Suzuki

for - progress trap - CFC's - David Suzuki

for - quote - progress trap - David Suzuki - quote - Indra's net of jewels - David Suzuki

quote - progress trap - David Suzuki - What she (Rachel Carson) said is, - Yeah, you scientists are clever. You can make powerful compounds like DDT, but you don't know enough to anticipate all of the consequences. - Because the lab is not a replica of the real world. The lab is an artifact, something that has very little to do with the real world out there. - In the real world, everything is connected to everything else, and we don't know enough to anticipate the effects of what we do with our powerful technologies.

for - progress trap - Rachel Carson - Silent Spring - book - pesticides

for - progress trap - construction - Denmark

for - futuring - paper - Techniques of futuring: On how imagined futures become socially performative - from - collective imagination toolkit https://hyp.is/i3N9KA_DEfCsXivEzv3w5A/www.collectiveimagination.tools/ - purpose of the paper - how images of the future gain performative traction - objectives: how images of the future gain performative traction: - present insights and weaknesses of leading social-theoretical futures work - fill some gaps by - imagining the future via - social practices - performance of reality // question- what does this mean?// - develop performative understanding of futuring via - dramaturgical analysis that investigates ow actors - actively bring the future into the present through performance of particular: - narratives - settings - configurations

Summary - This is a very insightful paper on futuring and how activity in the present realizes imagined fictions, which don't yet exist, and bring them into being in our (future) present - One thing to note is that there is a huge swath of human activity not explicitly discussed which is intrinsically futuring, and that is the birth of any new idea in general, including scientific, mathematical and technological. - Human progress is the sum total of countless individual futuring projects that imagine some fictitious, nonexistent idea and work to incrementally bring it into existence.

Student specific - what would be the recommendation of staff? Is it still an annual task?

for - program event selection - 2025 - April 3 - 10:30am-12pm GMT - Skoll World Forum - Redefining Progress: New Frontiers for the Field of Social Innovation - Stop Reset Go - Progress traps - Cosmolocal production - commons - Deep Humanity - TPF - LCE - relevant to - event time conflict - with Aligning Profit and Purpose - adjacency - progress trap - Deep Humanity - Cosmolocal production - social innovation

for - claim - AI for a new type of democracy? - progress trap - AI - future democracy

for - history - progress trap - Wikipedia - Daniel O'Leary - Ronald Wright - Walter Von Kramer - Der Spiegel

Why am I interested in this topic? Because in IPK 102 Introduction to Indigenous Peoples Knowledges, I have chosen to make a presentation on Chapter 13: “The Myth of Progress” of Indigenous Writes: A Guide to First Nations, Métis, & Inuit Issues in Canada by Chelsea Vowel.

The featured resource for this podcast episode is the article by The Consilience Project, “Development in Progress”.

for - AI - progress trap - Youtube - bioweapons is not the only threat. Nano technology and many others can be turned into weapons of mass destruction - RDeepSeek R1 just caught up with OpenAIs o1 - There is no moat@ What does this mean? - David Shapiro - 2025, Jan 29

for - adjacency - progress trap - mafia - intentional fires - Italy - complexity - CNN - How the Mafia is weaponizing wildfires - 2025,Jan 27

for - adjacency - reflexive processes elevate marginalized perspectives and challenge status quo - diversity of Indyweb perspectival knowing - mitigates progress traps that emerge from myopism - SOURCE - paper - Reflexivity as a transformative capacity for sustainability science: introducing a critical systems approach - Lazurko et al. - 2025, Jan 10

for - progress trap - cloud capital - behavioral modification - source - article - Le Monde - Musk, Trump and the Broligarch's novel hyper-weapon - Yanis Varoufakis - 2025, Jan 4

[[Moral Progress by Philip Kitcher]] reads, based on both their blurbs, like a continuation of [[The Ethical Project by Philip Kitcher]], exploring how actual ethical changes have occurred in time. Moves towards method rather than big-T truth (in line w social evolution perspective of the Ethical Project) and strengthens the pragmatism in pragmatic naturalism. 10yrs between the 2 books. Blurb mentions progressing away from something rather than to something, which chimes neatly with the evolutionary perspective of moving away from being hindered by a selective pressure. The attention to moral progress as method brings it closer to my notion of [[Ethics As A Practice (EaaP) 20200819161530]]

for - progress trap - Tesla autopilot - YouTube - The hidden data that reveals why Tesla's crash - WSJ - 2024 - Dec

for - quote - Response to Elon Musk - competition is moot - whoever creates superintelligence first week also create the progress trap that comes along with it - Roman Yampolskiy

quote - Response to Elon Musk - competition is moot - whoever creates superintelligence first week also create the progress trap that comes along with it - Roman Yampolskiy

• If he [Musk] is concerned about competitors getting there first,
  • it doesn't matter as uncontrolled superintelligence is equally bad, no matter who makes it come into existence.

for - progress trap - AI superintelligence - interview - AI safety researcher and director of the Cyber Security Laboratory at the University of Louisville - Roman Yampolskiy - progress trap - over 99% chance AI superintelligence arriving as early as 2027 will destroy humanity - article UofL - Q&A: UofL AI safety expert says artificial superintelligence could harm humanity - 2024, July 15

for - progress trap - blockchain - one unintended consequence is that it is very energy inefficient - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20

importance of Plutarch's Lives

for - epiphany - adjacency - progress traps - losing sight of the sacred - the Genesis story of intentionality - the symbol is the abstraction - is the intentionality - is the incompleteness - in the light of the infinite emptiness

epiphany - adjacency - between - progress traps - losing sight of the sacred - the Genesis story of intentionality - the symbol is the abstraction - is the intentionality - is the incompleteness - in the light of the infinite emptiness - adjacency relationship - Epiphany occurred to me that Genesis is the story of control - and control is about intentionality - and intentional design is all about incompleteness - The written symbol is inherently incomplete - To control anything in nature requires intentionaity - We must design something with intention, which will always be incomplete - and here we immediately run up against the infinite - and the emergence of progress traps - In this sense, every design is a mistake, biding its time to reveal the form of its unintended consequences

for - adjacency - climate crisis - raw milk - Boevar food supplement for cows to lower methane emissions of farting cows - misinformation - far right conspiracy theories - deeper issue - blindspot revealed by anxiety - Deep Humanity - progress traps

for - progress - measure of - Dil Green

progress - measure of - Dil Green - the degree to which we transcend blind evolution and - grow a capacity to evolve our culture purposefully, with increasing wisdom

comment - Wisdom trumps intelligence - Part of that wisdom is a deep understanding of the nature of human progress and how progress traps are an intrinsic possibility of all progress - wisdom includes a diversity of perspectives that mitigate myopic design - In particular, it means a deep understanding of the emptiness of reality and the role that plays in progress traps

for - progress traps - law of unintended consequences - A Transcender Manifesto - Dill Green

for - adjacency - systemic intedependent web - predicament - progress trap - Joe Brewer - progress trap - climate crisis solutions