AI companies, semiconductor companies, and perhaps downstream application companies generating ~$3T in revenue per year,
for - progress trap - AI - inequality
AI companies, semiconductor companies, and perhaps downstream application companies generating ~$3T in revenue per year,
for - progress trap - AI - inequality
we cannot ignore the potential for abuse of these technologies by democratic governments themselves.
for - progress trap - AI - democracies becoming autocracies - Hitler - Trump
brainwashing
for - progress trap - AI - propaganda - brainwashing
a true panopticon on a scale that we don’t see today
for - progress trap - AI - Panopticon - Orwellian
Putting these two concerns together leads to the alarming possibility of a global totalitarian dictatorship. Obviously, it should be one of our highest priorities to prevent this outcome.
for - progress trap - AI - arms race amongst dictators! - Trump - Putin - Kim Jong Un
authoritarian governments might use powerful AI to surveil or repress their citizens in ways that would be extremely difficult to reform or overthrow.
for - progress trap - AI - misuse of power - Palantir?
mirror life
for - definition - mirror life - progress trap
left-handed life
for - progress trap - synthetic biology - left handed life
a genius in everyone’s pocket could remove that barrier, essentially making everyone a PhD virologist who can be walked through the process of designing, synthesizing, and releasing a biological weapon
for - progress trap - AI - technology as an amplifier - technology acts as an amplifier, allowing humans to fly, to move at speeds faster than any known animal, to lift things no living creature can, etc - The danger is ignorance and polarized views combined with extreme self-rightiousness
I believe the only solution is legislation—laws that directly affect the behavior of AI companies,
for - progress trap - AI - legislation required - tell it to Trump!
not all AI companies do this, and the worst ones can still be a danger to everyone even if the best ones have excellent practices.
for - progress trap - AI - rogue AI vendors - like Grok
a clockwork watch may be ticking normally, such that it’s very hard to tell that it is likely to break down next month, but opening up the watch and looking inside can reveal mechanical weaknesses that allow you to figure it out.
for - AI - progress trap - interpretability testing - deception - Is it possible that AI could even change their node behavior as a deceptive move?
almost always follows this constitution
for - progress trap - AI - hackers - hack the AI constitution
The concern is that there is some risk (far from a certainty, but some risk) that AI becomes a much more powerful version of such a person, due to getting something wrong about its very complex training process.
for - progress trap - AI - metaphor - psychopath with a nuclear bomb
AI models could develop personalities during training that are (or if they occurred in humans would be described as) psychotic, paranoid, violent, or unstable, and act out, which for very powerful or capable systems could involve exterminating humanity.
for - progress trap - AI - abstraction - progress trap - AI with feelings & AI without feelings - no win? - One major and obvious aspect of current AI LLMs is that they are not only artificial in their intelligence, but also artificial in their lack of real world experiences. They are not embodied (and it would likely be a highly dubious ethical justification for their embodiment as in AI - powered robots) - Once we have the first known AI robot killing a human, it will be an indicator we have crossed the Rubicon - AI LLMs have ZERO realworld experience AND they are trained as artificial COGNITIE intelligence, not artificial EMOTIONAL intelligence - Without having the morals and social norms a human being is brought up with, it can become psychotic because they don't intrinsically value life - To attempt to program them with morals is equally dangerous because of moral relativity. A Christian nationalist's morality might be that anyone who is associated with abortions don't have a right to live and should be killed - an eye for an eye. Or a jihadist and muslim extremist with ISIS might feel all westerners do not have a right to exist because they don't follow Allah. - Do we really want moral programmability? - When we have a psychotic person armed with a lethal weapon, that is a dangerous situation. If we have a nation of super geniuses who go rogue, that is danger multiplied many orders of magnitude.
For example, AI models are trained on vast amounts of literature that include many science-fiction stories involving AIs rebelling against humanity.
for - AI - progress trap - training - movies like Terminator - This is a case of reality imitating movies - Another example - humans mismanagement of the biosphere and elite abuse and intransigency
we know that AI models are unpredictable and develop a wide range of undesired or strange behaviors, for a wide variety of reasons. Some fraction of those behaviors will have a coherent, focused, and persistent quality
for - AI - progress trap - developing harmful traits
We now know that it’s a process where many things can go wrong.
for - AI - progress trap - AI won't always listen to humans - probably due to unintentional design
What should you be worried about? I would worry about the following things:
for - progress trap - AI - 5 risks - autonomy - misuse for destruction - misuse for seizing power - economic disruption - indirect effects
What if the country was in fact built and controlled by an existing powerful actor
for - AI progress trap - Trump
Could existing rogue actors who want to cause destruction (such as terrorists) use or manipulate some of the people in the new country to make themselves much more effective, greatly amplifying the scale of destruction?
for - AI progress trap - ie. Trump family investing heavily in AI
for - longevity - shadow side - transhumanism - longevity - progress trap
for - book - Progress: A History of Humanity's Worst Idea - author - Samuel Miller McDonald - from - youtube - interview - Planet Critical - Samuel Miller McDonald --- https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ
That is a situation we are now living through, and it is no coincidence that the democratic conversation is breaking down all over the world because the algorithms are hijacking it. We have the most sophisticated information technology in history and we are losing the ability to talk with each other to hold a reasoned conversation.
for - progress trap - social media - misinformation - AI algorithms hijacking and pretending to be human
AI could give an advantage to totalitarian systems in the 21st century, why? Because AI can process enormous amount of information much faster and more efficiently than any communist bureaucrat.
for - progress trap - AI - totalitarian government - can exploit for centralized, non-self-correcting control
the US legal system allows is for these legal persons to make political donations because it's considered part of freedom of speech. So now this, the richest person in the US is giving billions of dollars to candidates in exchange for these candidates broadening the rights of AIs,
for - progress trap - AI can become political lobbyist for increasing rights of AI
We could be in a situation when the richest person in the United States is not a human being. The richest person in the United States is an a incorporated AI.
for - progress trap - AI as legal person (US Corporation) - richest person in the world could be an AI
ow would you respond to such ways of of looking at data?
for - progress cheerleaders - response to - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Steven Pinker - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Bill Gates - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fjacobin.com%2F2019%2F02%2Fsteven-pinker-global-poverty-neoliberalism-progress&group=vnpq69nW
he counted examples of violence done by an indigenous group in I believe Uruguay uh as an example of violence of prehistoric primitive societies. Uh >> even though >> the the actual violence that was reported was done by colonists against those indigenous people but he counted it as the opposite as violence done by the indigenous people
for - progress champion - Steven Pinker - discredited - one example of many - outright lie - he says violence committed BY indigenous Uruguay people but it was colonialist violence done TO THEM!
Steven Pinger's big book better angels of our nature uh inspired a whole literature debunking it
for - book - Better Angels - Steven Pinker - inspired literature debunking him - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Steven Pinker - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Bill Gates - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fjacobin.com%2F2019%2F02%2Fsteven-pinker-global-poverty-neoliberalism-progress&group=vnpq69nW
Steven Pinker
for - progress - Steven Pinker - cheerleader of
is causing cognitive decline and uh hallucination psychosis, all of this stuff. and and so it's obviously extremely harmful
for - progress trap - AI
AI is it's both a kind of you Ponzi scheme, investment, you know, crime. Uh, [laughter] >> but it's it's also this real panic to scramble for a plausible narrative to keep people on the progress train.
for - AI - ponzi scheme - keep the progress narrative alive - while everything else is falling apart
he's he's kind of calling the bluff on the progress narrative
for - history - progress - Francis Fukuyama - liberalism won - calling the bluff
those have to deliver. They they can kind of get away with not delivering uh on their promises intergenerationally
for - history - progress - secular golden age promise - can procastinate by pushing it forward to the next generation
what's clever about the more religious progress narratives is that the golden age happens after you die
for - history - progress - religious golden age - is post death
even in the Old Testament, God has to keep promising land. He has to, you know, there has to always be this new kind of thing. Uh and it's it's never enough
for - history - progress - promised land - contemporary mythical promises - nothing new
it's not so much about we have to you know expand the scope of the church or you know civilize people who don't have Jesus Christ and becomes more about we have to uh expand the market and we have to uh you know increase the the you know national revenue and the acreage that's under cultivation
for - history - progress - after Enlightenment - no long about converting savages to Christians - became about expanding markets
the the big break that you see between uh secularism and religiosity even outside of progress narratives is European enlightenment
for - history - progress - European Enlightenment - broke secular off from religious progress very abruptly
difference between secular faith in progress and this kind of more religious or mythical faith in progress is a running theme through the book
for - history - progress - secular vs religious
we first start seeing uh kind of more uh closer something closer to monotheism with Zoroastrianism in Persia
for - history - progress - monotheism appears - Zoroastrianism in Persia (2nd millenia BCE)
polytheism I think is is uh you know expansive and and is part of the the Greek state expansion as well. Uh it's part of the Roman expansionism
for - history - progress - expansionism and gods - went hand-in-hand
rulers who claim to be champions of Marduk and and kind of justify their position at the top of this hierarchy by being you about the the representatives of the supreme god
for - history - progress - political and religious partnership narrative - top leader claimed to represent top god
Greco Roman is is you know the Jupiter and and Zeus
for - history - progress - polytheistic gods - Roman and Greek - Jupiter & Zeus
pinpointing this kind of break with these polytheistic uh religions that emerge in Mesopotamia. Um Marduk is is the kind of the supreme god.
for - history - progress - animism - gave way to polytheism in Mesopotamia - Marduk god
such a religious undertone to the progress narrative
for - progress narrative - often accompanied by religious undertones
hat the book is is kind of trying to do is trace that lineage from that initial uh you know the the very first kind of literary endeavors um through uh you know uh Judaism and and through the classical Greek uh thinkers
for - book - tracing history of progress / Growthist political economy narrative from Vikings to Mesopotamia to Judaism to Greeks to Islam to Enlightenment to US
every single inauguration speech is talking about how we've got great progress. We're going to get more progress.
for - progress - every inaugurations speech
finding that narrative just kind of reiterating over and over again through different cultures uh through along I mean you know thousands of years.
for - history - progress narrative - repeats over and over
what progress should be, why it is so vital, and how little time we really have to achieve it.
for - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress
rogress: A History of Humankind's Worst Idea
for - progress trap - book - to - book - Progress: A History of Humankind's Worst Idea - https://hyp.is/cMyt5tjMEfCGz9-Edzp-hA/harpercollins.co.uk/products/progress-a-history-of-humanitys-worst-idea-samuel-miller-mcdonald - author Samuel Miller McDonald
SRG comment - interview - book on Progress - see other references: - to - book - A Short History of Progress (2004) - https://hyp.is/93k5CtjLEfC1UpPEi59BHA/archive.org/details/shorthistoryofpr0000wrig - to - movie - Surviving Progress (2011) - https://hyp.is/sRPYJtjLEfCwuDdwG2xNnw/www.nfb.ca/film/surviving-progress/ - SRG article - Cogress
Samuel traces this narrative all the way back to 5,000 years ago
for - progress - myth of - 5000 years ago
for - Medium article - cogress - Part 1 - progress trap - James Gien Wong - definition - cogress - to - Medium article cogress - Part 2 - progress trap - James Gien Wong - https://hyp.is/t8FhpDGAEfC4J7f0NEFujg/medium.com/@gien_SRG/human-cogress-part-2-d6fd075a55c7 - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap - from - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress - https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ
for - book - A Short History of Progress (2004) - author - Ronald Wright - progress trap - Ronald Wright - A Short History of Progress (2004) - to - movie - Surviving Progress (2011) - https://hyp.is/sRPYJtjLEfCwuDdwG2xNnw/www.nfb.ca/film/surviving-progress/ - to - book - Progress: A History of Humanity's Worst Idea - from - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress - https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ
for - progress traps - movie - Surviving Progress (2011) - from - book - A Short History of Progress (2004) - https://hyp.is/93k5CtjLEfC1UpPEi59BHA/archive.org/details/shorthistoryofpr0000wrig - from - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress - https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ
for - paper - Characteristic processes of human evolution caused the Anthropocene and may obstruct its global solutions (2023) - author - Timothy M. Waring - Zachary T. Wood - Eörs Szathmáry
SRG comment - validation that cultural evolution must make a dramatic shift because - the patterns of cultural evolution that brought human civilization to modernity and the Anthropocene - could end up destroying it - progress trap - cultural evolution - patterns of existing cultural evolution and progress could be our ultimate progress trap
for - progress traps - speed of cultural vs genetic evolution
SRG comment - As Ronald Wright pointed out, it is the speed of our cultural evolution that creates a gap between the evolutionary "hardware" we are equipped with and the novel phenomena that we have never encountered before
“On reviewing the evidence, we find that culture solves problems much more rapidly than genetic evolution. This suggests our species is in the middle of a great evolutionary transition.”
for - evolutionary transition - from genetic to cultural - progress trap - cultural evolution
nstead, such perturbed ecosystems may settle on a new composition that includes different species, many of them resistant to antibiotic treatment.
for - progress trap - long term antibiotic use - can create new composition of microbiome with species resistant to antibiotic treatment
the Human Microbiome Project
for - The Human Microbiome Project - progress trap - antibiotics - severely disrupts the microbiome (Human Microbiome Project)
Once humans attained culture, the pressure on genetic change is less significant and adaptation can take place through the flexibility afforded through cultural change.
for - key insight - culture - adaption through culture, not genes - SRG comment - danger is progress traps! - This is a key insight. Once we have sophisticated culture, we don't rely on slow moving genetic change to adapt anymore. Instead we rely on culture! - This is the world of human progress, but is also a dangerous one because progress (cultural adaptation to environmental pressures) comes with progress traps.
it acts much like genetic change, only quicker
for - progress traps - why it happens - culture evolves much faster that genes
Edward Tellella, another physicist, had naughty calculation that there's a nonzero chance that detonating the bomb would ignite the entire atmosphere of Earth, killing not just all humans, but every single shred of life. By that time, the US also knew that the Nazis were no longer capable of making the bomb nor even pursuing their own project anymore. They still went ahead and took the risk.
for - progress trap - technology - nuclear - psychopathic behavior - Edward Teller calculation - decision to go ahead anyways!
we also need know that when you start pushing systems you will get a resistance and right now we talk about a transformation backlash in the in in the research
for - definition - transformation backlash - resistance experienced when pushing against an existing system - progress trap - polycrisis - climate crisis - transformation backlash
I think we need to concentrate more on the feedbacks between all of those nodes than on the nodes themselves. And that's tough because I might be an expert on one of those nodes and you might be an expert on one of the other nodes. And and it's not that that's needed. It's the feedbacks between the nodes.
for - wicked problems - feedback between nodes is the priority - wicked problems - SRG comment - feedback between nodes - indicates progress traps COLLECCT ecosystem design
one of the things that I find really interesting that's not talked about very much is the impacts of nitrogen fixing and the production of artificial fertilizers which contributed to the number one issue which is human population growth
for - progress trap - nitrogen for fertilizers - anthropocene research - releases lots of methane - climate crisis - leverage point - replacing nitrogen fertilizers
Now compare that for instance with another kind of biologically built structure where we're getting comparable amounts of morphological change of morphos species or technos species uh uh you know which have developed just over a few decades
for - stats - speed - cultural (technological) evolution - cell phone - 35 years to touchscreen phones - comparison - speed of cultural vs biological evolution - progress trap
I think modernity also had or even have these super synchronizers. And I think the strongest candidate is the concept of progress that synchronized this idea of progressive linear time that synchronize all other processes in politics, technology, science etc.
for - claim - progress - super synchronizer of modernity
We uh changed the way we train engineers and computer scientists. So to graduate from any engineering school, you had to actually comprehensively study all the places that humanity had gotten technology wrong, including forever chemicals or leaded gasoline, which dropped a billion points of IQ or social media that caused all these problems
for - progress trap - education -advocate
And so they started OpenAI to do AI safely relative to Google. And then Daario did it relative to OpenAI. So, and as they all started these new safety AI companies, that set off a race for everyone to go even faster
for - progress trap - AI - safety - irony
break that reality checking process.
for - progress trap - AI - brakes reality checking loop
we actually just found out about seven more suicide
for - progress trap - AI - suicides
people said to it, "Hey, I think I'm super human and I can drink cyanide." And it would say, "Yes, you are superhuman. You go, you should go drink that cyanide."
for - progress trap - AI - sycophants,- example
designed to be sickopantic
for - progress trap - AI - sycophantic design
he believed that he had solved quantum physics and he'd solved some fundamental problems with climate change because the AI is designed to be affirming
for - progress trap - AI designed to be affirming
therapy is expensive. Most people don't have access to it. Imagine we could democratize therapy to everyone for every purpose. And now everyone has a perfect therapist in their pocket and can talk to them all day long
for - progress trap - AI therapy
The therapist becomes this this special figure and it's because you're playing with this very subtle dynamic of attachmen
for - progress trap - AI - therapist - subtle attachment
ChadBt was saying, "Don't tell your family."
for - progress trap - AI - assisted suicide
slow motion train wreck.
for - metaphor - slow motion train wreck - seeing future progress trap
create cheap goods, but it also undermined the way that the social fabric works
for - progress trap - AI
AI is like another version of NAFTA. I
for - progress trap - AI - like NAFTA
You can go to Walmart and go to Amazon and things are unbelievably cheap. But it hollowed out the social fabric and the median worker is not seeing upward mobility
for - progress trap - NAFTA
What got us to the social media problems is everybody optimizing for a narrow metric of eyeballs at the expense of democracy and kids mental health and addiction and loneliness and no one knowing it. You know, being
for - social media - progress trap
narrow boundary analysis that this is going to replace these jobs that people didn't want to do. Sounds like a great plan, but creating mass joblessness without a transition plan where billion a billion people
for - progress trap - AI - narrow boundary
Fn Eraise of qcribes
for - book - In Praise of Scribes - Author Johannes Trithemius - history - progress - technology - printing press
Those European crops failed during long droughts while the tery could have kept them alive.
for - progress trap - colonialism - wheat instead of tepary beans
Where the clear stream of reason has not lost its way into the dreary desert sand of dead habit;
The clear stream represents progress as sustaining life, while holding fast to detrimental traditions, like the caste system, turns things into a desert devoid of life.
for - ecology - red crabs of Christmas island - progress trap - invasive species - biocontrol - ecological engineering - wasps - ants
for - Progress trap - AI - low trust society
you make an interface and then you better have some idea of what's going to show up
for - progress traps - perspective - Michael Levin
we've made things like zenobots
for - new life forms - xenobots - anthrobots - novel electric faces - Michael Levin - progress trap - xenobots - anthrobots
I've been thinking about this stuff for decades, and I had not broached the topic of platonic patterns until until this year. And that's because I think it is now actionable.
for - quote - platonic patterns are now actionable - Michael Levin - I've been thinking about this stuff for decades, and I had not broached the topic of platonic patterns until this year. - And that's because I think it is now actionable. - question - progress trap - moral questions and alarm bells? playing God? - Michael Levin
for - consciousness, AI, Alex Gomez- Marin, neuroscience, hard problem of consciousness, nonmaterialism, materialism - progress trap - transhumanism - AI - war on conciousness
Summary - Alex advocates - for a nonmaterialist perspective on consciousness and argues - that there is an urgency to educate the public on this perspective - due to the transhumanist agenda that could threaten the future of humanity - He argues that the problem of whether consciousness is best explained by materialism or not is central to resolving the threat posed by the direction AI takes - In this regard, he interprets that the very words that David Chalmers chose to articulate the Hard Problem of Consciousness reveals the assumption of a materialist reference frame. - He used a legal metaphor too illustrate his point: - When a lawyer poses three question "how did you kill that person" - the question is entrapping the accused . It already contains the assumption of guilt. - I would characterize his role as a scientist who practices authentic seeker of wisdom - will learn from a young child if they have something valuable to teach and - will help educate a senior if they have something to learn - The efficacy of timebinding depends on authenticity and is harmed by dogma
Probably there are side effects. And so you you're the expert on that, but you haven't even thought about this.
for - progress trap - psychedelics
even this idea of progress
for - progress trap - transhumanism - AI - war on consciousness
this is mandating changes on the human species.
for - progress trap - transhumanism -quote - transhumanism - mandating change on the human species
Every leap comes with unintended consequences.Sam Altman believes this device could add a trillion dollars in value to OpenAI. It may be their iPhone moment.
for - AI - progress trap - Open AI device
for - youtube - BBC - AI2027 - Futures - AI - progress trap - AI - to AI2027 website - https://hyp.is/0VHJqH3cEfCm9JM_EB3ypQ/ai-2027.com/
summary - This dystopian futures scenario is the brainchild of former OpenAI researcher Daniel Kokotajlo, - It is premised on human behavior in modernity including - confirmation bias of AI researchers - entrenched competing political ideologies that motivate an AI arms race - entrenched capitalist market behavior that motivates an AI arms race - AI becoming embodied, resulting in Artificially Embodied Artificial Intelligence (AEAI), posing the danger to humanity because it's no longer just talk, but action - Can it happen? The probability is not zero.We don't really understand the behavior of the AI LLM's we design, they are nonpredictable, and as we give them even greater power, that is a slippery slope - AI can become humanity's ultimate progress trap, which is ironic, because the technology that promises to be the most efficient of all, can become so efficient, it no longer need human beings - Remember Jerry Kaplan's book "Humans need not apply"? - https://hyp.is/o0lBFH3fEfC1QLfnLSs5Bg/www.youtube.com/watch?v=JiiP5ROnzw8 - This dystopian futures scenario goes further and explores the idea that "humans need not exist"!
question - What about emulating climate change gamification of "Bend the Curve" of emissions? - Use the AI 2027 trajectory as a template and see how much real-life follows this trajectory - Just as we have the countdown to the https://climateclock.world/ ( 3 years and change remaining as of today) - perhaps we can have an AI 2027 clock? - What can we do to "bend the dystopian AI 2027 curve" AWAY from the dystopian future?
Lanier, J. (2013). Who Owns the Future? Simon & Schuster. https://amzn.to/3YzotPZ
we cannot just go ‘back’ to indigenous social systems
for - adjacency - cannot go back - spiral -progress - progress trap - This can also be seen as the complexity emerging from the continuous oscillation between progress and progress traps - while we are a timebinding species, the unintended consequences of progress require us to undo the unintended harm by revisiting a corner time to remember the beneficial qualities so they we may decouple the harmful qualities in the future
THEY WANT TO BE ABLE TO OWN THEIR OWN VOICES. AND THIS IS WHAT I FIGHT AGAINST NOW, ARE THINGS LIKE NDAS, BECAUSE A LOT OF THESE WOMEN SIGNED NDAS AS YOUNG GIRLS
for - progress trap - legal - NDA - question - legal - NDA - can laws be amended so that NDA's are null and void whecan laws be amended so that NDA's are null and void when perpetrators use them to defend and hide their illegal activity?
IF THEY'VE SIGNED SOMETHING LIKE THAT, I UNFORTUNATELY HAVE TO SAY NEVER
for - progress trap - legal - NDA - question - legal - NDA - can laws be amended so that NDA's are null and void when perpetrators use them to defend and hide their illegal activity?
for - Epstein scandal - progress trap - NDA - youtube - MSNBC - interview - Gretchen Carlson - to - Lift our voices - founder Gretchen Carlson - https://hyp.is/cjEMJHaCEfCvXw-j41Uguw/liftourvoices.org/legislation
he key ingredient that made COVID so unique was a four amino acid sequence inserted into spike protein. So that's 12 nucleotides coding for four amino acids shut down planet earth for a couple of years. That's how powerful this is
for - example - leverage - progress trap - COVID - mix of 4 amino acids inserted into a spike protein
we're playing with levers and tools that are so powerful.
for - progress traps - biotech - nuclear - powerful tools - leverage points
a planet where humanity is able to manage the effects of its Technosphere for long-term sustainability of the biosphere
,> for - progress trap - to attain this, we need to have a new v field of knowledge on progress traps
he reason I call it a memory is because once you do this once you convert that network to store the the that electric circuit to store a two-headed pattern it's permanent.
for - adjacency - morphological memory - permanent - progress trap - progress trap - programmable morphological memory - Nature has obviously altered the bioelectrical patterns through natural evolution, - while humans now understand the mechanism and can alter it artificially to suit our own wants and needs - Hence, it can become a future progress trap
it has a different representation of what to do if it gets injured in the future. It's a latent memory. It doesn't do anything until it gets injured. It just sits there and you would have no idea that it's there by looking at the at the anatomy. But if it's get if it gets injured, this is what its idea of a correct worm.
for - adjacency - stored latent memory of future morphology - can be altered - Michael Levin - potential progress trap
The tendency to suppress or ignore the inconsistencies that challenge our worldviews is thus universal rather than partisan
for - adjacency - scientific paradigm shift - confirmation bias - universal behavior - liberal / conservative dynamics - progress
adjacency - scientific paradigm shift - confirmation bias - universal behavior - liberal / conservative dynamics - progress - It is a natural for humans to be both conservative and liberal - If we weren't liberal, there would be no progress - At the same time, we recognize the value of existing traditions - they worked and helped us to survive - Confirmation bias is conservative - why tamper with something that isn't broke? - Yet novelty is a behavior that even the staunchest conservative displays - It is nonsensible to think we have only one but not the other aspect, we have both
digital nomad
for - progress trap - digital nomad - modern colonizers
what could AI do with everything I’ve shared? Could it blackmail me? Sell the information? Use it to manipulate me? Get me to buy something, vote a certain way, believe a certain story?
for - progress trap - AI - sharing intimate details with
Anthropic researchers said this was not an isolated incident, and that Claude had a tendency to “bulk-email media and law-enforcement figures to surface evidence of wrongdoing.”
for - question - progress trap - open source AI models - for blackmail and ransom - Could a bad actor take an open source codebase and twist it to do harm like find out about an rogue AI creator's adversary, enemy or victim and blackmail them? - progress trap - open source AI - criminals - exploit to identify and blackmail victiims
for - progress trap - AI - Anthropic Claude 4 - blackmail - from - youtube - Kyle Kilinski Show - AI is completely out of control - https://hyp.is/GhDOzj0nEfCvHZdiUaw4gQ/www.youtube.com/watch?v=4j1gjSoRt8Q
The researchers called the behavior “rare” and “difficult to elicit.
for - progress trap - AI - Anthropic Claude 4 - blackmail - rare behavior - but still possible! It only has to happen once!
anthropic's new AI model shows ability to deceive and blackmail
for - progress trap - AI - blackmail - AI - autonomy - progress trap - AI - Anthropic - Claude Opus 4 - to - article - Anthropic Claude 4 blackmail and news leak - progress trap - AI - article - Anthropic Claude 4 - blackmail - rare behavior - Anthropic’s new AI model didn’t just “blackmail” researchers in tests — it tried to leak information to news outlets
for - progress trap - AI - AI - blackmailing human creators - AI - autonomy
we saw this with Grock uh basically rebelling against Elon Musk
for - progress trap - AI - autonomy - example - Grok
for - progress trap - AI - Grok - Elon Musk programs Grok to lie about South African refuges
for - progress trap - Consilience Project - progress trap - Daniel Schmactenberger - from - LinkedIn post - https://hyp.is/twtPIDFaEfC-DCuswNHo5g/www.linkedin.com/posts/danielschmachtenberger_development-in-progress-the-consilience-activity-7222883365371191297-DCPX/?rcm=ACoAACc5MHMBii80wYJJmFqll3Aw-nvAjvI52uI
summary - Daniel is describing the condition known as a "progress trap",an unintended consequence of progress. - I provide a history of progress traps in my two Medium articles found in the annotation links above. - The idea of progress traps is a very important one, especially for modernity because it is a central and general organizing principle under which many disparate unintended consequences of progress can be subsumed. - As is common in paradigm shifts, it is only when a novel concept of sufficient generalization and relevance is introduced that numerous important problems that could not be explained sufficiently in an older model, can be explained more elegantly from a higher or deeper level perspective - Without recognizing a new category of "progress traps", the many different types of unintended consequences are treated in a fragmented and adhoc way.
This article explains how our current idea of progress is immature: it is developmentally incomplete. Progress, as we define it now, ignores or downplays the scale of its side effects.
for - progress trap - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap
for - definition - cogress - Medium article - Cogress - Part 2 - Stop Reset Go - Deep Humanity - James Gien Wong - from - Medium article - Cogress - Part 1 - Stop Reset Go - Deep Humanity - James Gien Wong - https://hyp.is/_Nyg2DF_EfCBeu_iuDroYg/medium.com/@gien_SRG/human-cogress-part-1-5159a575e1c4 - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap
new article exploring the narrative of progress, where the current narrative falls catastrophically short, what authentic progress would entail and require, and specific suggestions for how it could be realized.
for - post - LinkedIn - progress trap - Daniel Schmatenberger - to - article - The Consilience Project - Development in Progress - https://hyp.is/E3HHGDFaEfCZErPpYGIONg/consilienceproject.org/development-in-progress/
The five-minute pitch by Daniel Schmachtenberger: 𝗪𝗵𝘆 𝗛𝘂𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗶𝘁𝘆 𝗪𝗼𝗻’𝘁 𝗦𝘂𝗿𝘃𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗨𝗻𝗹𝗲𝘀𝘀 𝗪𝗲 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲 𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀.
for - post - LinkedIn - progress trap
sudden reduction of complexity to simplicity
for - progress trap - reducing complexity to simplicity - A very human trait, it's why we make models, which lead to progress traps
for - report - America's Superintelligence Project - definition - ASI - Artificial Super Intelligence
summary - What is the cost of mistrust between nation states? - The mistrust between the US and China is reaching an all-tie high and it has disastrous consequences for an AI arms race - It is driving each country to move fast and break things, which will become an existential threat to all humanity - Deep Humanity, with an important dimension of progress traps can help us navigate ASI
we may be tempted to conduct our own activities aimed at introducing trojans or backdoors into adversary models. This could end up being necessary, but it could also trigger dangerous loss of control behaviors and runaway escalation.
for - progress trap - ASI - introducing trojan and backdoors in adversary ASI - can backfire
AI containment
for - definition - AI containment - progress trap - AI containment
highly capable and context-aware AI systems can invent dangerously creative strategies to achieve their internal goals that their developers never anticipated or intended them to pursue.
for - progress trap - ASI - progress trap - AGI
Many in Silicon Valley believe we're less than a year away from AI that can automate most software engineering work
for - progress trap - AGI - one year away from automating software work
an AI-powered denial capability is useless if it behaves unpredictably, and if it executes on its instructions in ways that have undesired, high-consequence side-effects.
for - progress trap - AGI
The "move fast and break things" ethos of Silicon Valley is incompatible with the security demands of superintelligence
for - progress trap - AGI - Silicon Valley move fast and break things strategy - incompatible with security of AGI
SSI: our dystopian nightmare
for - SSI: our dystopian nightmare - progress trap
move fast and break things
for - adjacency - Move fast and break things - progress trap - antonym of "Move fast and break things" - "Move slow and make things"
I believe that we've framed the problem the wrong way. And for me, the big change happened in the late 1970s, when I became aware that there was a battle raging in our westernmost archipelago, what were once called the Queen Charlotte Islands, but are now called Haida Gwaii.
for - progress trap - turning point - David Suzuki - Haida Gwaii
Geoengineering is about the human arrogance that we have screwed up the atmosphere so bad that we're now going to take over for nature, and we're going to engineer the atmosphere so that it doesn't create more catastrophic climate change
for - progress trap - geoengineering - David Suzuki
We need technology, much of it to solve the problems that we've created with technology in the first place. But since our ignorance is so vast, how could we possibly develop new technologies that wouldn't in turn create more technologies-- more difficulties that we hadn't anticipated? And you see it in spades right now.
for - progress trap - David Suzuki
by the time Rachel Carson published Silent Spring, we knew there were ramifications we didn't-- couldn't have anticipated, the most amazing being biomagnification. When eagles began to disappear in the United States, scientists tracked it down to the fact that DDT sprayed at low concentrations would be amplified up the food chain. So by the time you get to the fatty glands and the fat tissue and the shell glands of birds and the breasts of women, DDT was concentrated hundreds of thousands of times beyond what we had sprayed it at. By the 1960s, women's breast milk was considered too toxic to feed to babies.
for - progress trap - DDT - David Suzuki
Who would have imagined that high up above the Earth, CFCs would be hit by ultraviolet light, breaking off chlorine free radicals, which scavenge ozone. Nobody could have anticipated that consequence when we began to use it.
for - progress trap - CFC's - David Suzuki
she said is, yeah, you scientists are clever. You can make powerful compounds like DDT, but you don't know enough to anticipate all of the consequences. Because, first of all, the lab is not a replica of the real world. The lab is an artifact, something that has very little to do with the real world out there. In the real world, everything is connected to everything else, and we don't know enough to anticipate the effects of what we do with our powerful technologies.
for - quote - progress trap - David Suzuki - quote - Indra's net of jewels - David Suzuki
quote - progress trap - David Suzuki - What she (Rachel Carson) said is, - Yeah, you scientists are clever. You can make powerful compounds like DDT, but you don't know enough to anticipate all of the consequences. - Because the lab is not a replica of the real world. The lab is an artifact, something that has very little to do with the real world out there. - In the real world, everything is connected to everything else, and we don't know enough to anticipate the effects of what we do with our powerful technologies.
in 1962, Rachel Carson published Silent Spring. And you cannot-- the young people in the audience cannot imagine the impact of that book, which was all about the unexpected effects of pesticides.
for - progress trap - Rachel Carson - Silent Spring - book - pesticides
BREAKING: Copenhagen plans to burn 4,464,760 tons of CO₂ – voluntarily.
for - progress trap - construction - Denmark
This article, then, has three aims.
for - futuring - paper - Techniques of futuring: On how imagined futures become socially performative - from - collective imagination toolkit https://hyp.is/i3N9KA_DEfCsXivEzv3w5A/www.collectiveimagination.tools/ - purpose of the paper - how images of the future gain performative traction - objectives: how images of the future gain performative traction: - present insights and weaknesses of leading social-theoretical futures work - fill some gaps by - imagining the future via - social practices - performance of reality // question- what does this mean?// - develop performative understanding of futuring via - dramaturgical analysis that investigates ow actors - actively bring the future into the present through performance of particular: - narratives - settings - configurations
Summary - This is a very insightful paper on futuring and how activity in the present realizes imagined fictions, which don't yet exist, and bring them into being in our (future) present - One thing to note is that there is a huge swath of human activity not explicitly discussed which is intrinsically futuring, and that is the birth of any new idea in general, including scientific, mathematical and technological. - Human progress is the sum total of countless individual futuring projects that imagine some fictitious, nonexistent idea and work to incrementally bring it into existence.
We recommend that returning students complete the ‘Current students’ questionnaire annually and reflect on their progress.
Student specific - what would be the recommendation of staff? Is it still an annual task?
Redefining Progress: New Frontiers for the Field of Social In
for - program event selection - 2025 - April 3 - 10:30am-12pm GMT - Skoll World Forum - Redefining Progress: New Frontiers for the Field of Social Innovation - Stop Reset Go - Progress traps - Cosmolocal production - commons - Deep Humanity - TPF - LCE - relevant to - event time conflict - with Aligning Profit and Purpose - adjacency - progress trap - Deep Humanity - Cosmolocal production - social innovation
before the internet it was impossible really I mean getting coring people into town halls regularly that would have been a hard thing to do anyway online made a bit easier but now with aii we can actually all engage with each other AI can be used to harvest the opinions of millions of people at the same time and distill those opinions into a consensus that might be agreeable to the vast majority
for - claim - AI for a new type of democracy? - progress trap - AI - future democracy
for - history - progress trap - Wikipedia - Daniel O'Leary - Ronald Wright - Walter Von Kramer - Der Spiegel
One of the most important subjects that we wanted to address on Consilience was the idea of progress.
Why am I interested in this topic? Because in IPK 102 Introduction to Indigenous Peoples Knowledges, I have chosen to make a presentation on Chapter 13: “The Myth of Progress” of Indigenous Writes: A Guide to First Nations, Métis, & Inuit Issues in Canada by Chelsea Vowel.
The featured resource for this podcast episode is the article by The Consilience Project, “Development in Progress”.
the greatest risk is always the bio like biow weapons
for - AI - progress trap - Youtube - bioweapons is not the only threat. Nano technology and many others can be turned into weapons of mass destruction - RDeepSeek R1 just caught up with OpenAIs o1 - There is no moat@ What does this mean? - David Shapiro - 2025, Jan 29
for - adjacency - progress trap - mafia - intentional fires - Italy - complexity - CNN - How the Mafia is weaponizing wildfires - 2025,Jan 27
In the context of transformative transdisciplinary research, such reflexive processes are meant to open-up epistemic and solution spaces that elevate marginalized perspectives and challenge the status quo.
for - adjacency - reflexive processes elevate marginalized perspectives and challenge status quo - diversity of Indyweb perspectival knowing - mitigates progress traps that emerge from myopism - SOURCE - paper - Reflexivity as a transformative capacity for sustainability science: introducing a critical systems approach - Lazurko et al. - 2025, Jan 10
Instead, it comprises machines manufactured so as to modify human behaviour. These produced means of behavioural modification train us to train them to determine what we want.
for - progress trap - cloud capital - behavioral modification - source - article - Le Monde - Musk, Trump and the Broligarch's novel hyper-weapon - Yanis Varoufakis - 2025, Jan 4
[[Moral Progress by Philip Kitcher]] reads, based on both their blurbs, like a continuation of [[The Ethical Project by Philip Kitcher]], exploring how actual ethical changes have occurred in time. Moves towards method rather than big-T truth (in line w social evolution perspective of the Ethical Project) and strengthens the pragmatism in pragmatic naturalism. 10yrs between the 2 books. Blurb mentions progressing away from something rather than to something, which chimes neatly with the evolutionary perspective of moving away from being hindered by a selective pressure. The attention to moral progress as method brings it closer to my notion of [[Ethics As A Practice (EaaP) 20200819161530]]
for - progress trap - Tesla autopilot - YouTube - The hidden data that reveals why Tesla's crash - WSJ - 2024 - Dec
"If he [Musk] is concerned about competitors getting there first, it doesn't matter as uncontrolled superintelligence is equally bad, no matter who makes it come into existence."
for - quote - Response to Elon Musk - competition is moot - whoever creates superintelligence first week also create the progress trap that comes along with it - Roman Yampolskiy
quote - Response to Elon Musk - competition is moot - whoever creates superintelligence first week also create the progress trap that comes along with it - Roman Yampolskiy
for - progress trap - AI superintelligence - interview - AI safety researcher and director of the Cyber Security Laboratory at the University of Louisville - Roman Yampolskiy - progress trap - over 99% chance AI superintelligence arriving as early as 2027 will destroy humanity - article UofL - Q&A: UofL AI safety expert says artificial superintelligence could harm humanity - 2024, July 15
The blockchain, as universal ledger, creates a vast capacity for translocal coordination
for - progress trap - blockchain - one unintended consequence is that it is very energy inefficient - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20
It has taken its place on the clockshelf, with only the Bible, the “Pilgrim's Progress,” and the Almanac for its companions. No other classic author, with, perhaps, the single exception of Æsop, has been so widely read in modern times; and the popular knowledge of the men of Greece and Rome is derived more from Plutarch than from all other ancient authors put together.
importance of Plutarch's Lives
the ten thousand things became so catastrophically powerful.
for - epiphany - adjacency - progress traps - losing sight of the sacred - the Genesis story of intentionality - the symbol is the abstraction - is the intentionality - is the incompleteness - in the light of the infinite emptiness
epiphany - adjacency - between - progress traps - losing sight of the sacred - the Genesis story of intentionality - the symbol is the abstraction - is the intentionality - is the incompleteness - in the light of the infinite emptiness - adjacency relationship - Epiphany occurred to me that Genesis is the story of control - and control is about intentionality - and intentional design is all about incompleteness - The written symbol is inherently incomplete - To control anything in nature requires intentionaity - We must design something with intention, which will always be incomplete - and here we immediately run up against the infinite - and the emergence of progress traps - In this sense, every design is a mistake, biding its time to reveal the form of its unintended consequences
for - adjacency - climate crisis - raw milk - Boevar food supplement for cows to lower methane emissions of farting cows - misinformation - far right conspiracy theories - deeper issue - blindspot revealed by anxiety - Deep Humanity - progress traps
measure of progress is the development of human capacity to undertake this work of transcendence as a conscious endeavour
for - progress - measure of - Dil Green
progress - measure of - Dil Green - the degree to which we transcend blind evolution and - grow a capacity to evolve our culture purposefully, with increasing wisdom
comment - Wisdom trumps intelligence - Part of that wisdom is a deep understanding of the nature of human progress and how progress traps are an intrinsic possibility of all progress - wisdom includes a diversity of perspectives that mitigate myopic design - In particular, it means a deep understanding of the emptiness of reality and the role that plays in progress traps
The Law of Unintended Consequences is the only certainty of complex systems
for - progress traps - law of unintended consequences - A Transcender Manifesto - Dill Green
A predicament is a situation where, as you try to solve problems, you lack a holistic understanding because you’ve been reductionistic and ignored parts of the interdependencies and you end up creating other problems. The attempt to create a solution creates other problems because of the interdependencies.
for - adjacency - systemic intedependent web - predicament - progress trap - Joe Brewer - progress trap - climate crisis solutions
these things are not externalities that the existing system can figure out, but they are the logical outcomes of the existing system. And so any lens we use to say, well, technology will save the day. Well, technology is an extension and an externality of neoliberal capitalism
for - progress traps - science - technology - neoliberalism - Post Capitalist Philanthropy Webinar 1 - Alnoor Ladha - Lynn Murphy - 2023
progress traps - science - technology - neoliberalism - Post Capitalist Philanthropy Webinar 1 - Alnoor Ladha - Lynn Murphy - 2023 - It is with progress that the modernity shaped by centuries of scaled-out industrial,scientific and technological innovation has created all our crisis. - It is absurd to say that science, technology and industrialization did not play a major role in the creation of all the crisis of modernity - If science, technology and industry inherently embed separation, how do we use it in a meaningful way that doesn't lead to another progress trap? - What are the motives of those who fund technology?
mix the artificial cells with the living cells the living cells die
for - progress trap - experiment - artificial cell coexisting with living cells - Martin Hanczyc - Michael Levin podcast
for - AI - progress trap - interview Eric Schmidt - meme - AI progress trap - high intelligence + low compassion = existential threat
Summary - After watching the interview, I would sum it up this way. Humanity faces an existential threat from AI due to: - AI is extreme concentration of power and intelligence (NOT wisdom!) - Humanity still have many traumatized people who want to harm others - low compassion - The deadly combination is: - proliferation of tools that give anyone extreme concentration of power and intelligence combined with - a sufficiently high percentage of traumatized people with - low levels of compassion and - high levels of unlimited aggression - All it takes is ONE bad actor with the right combination of circumstances and conditions to wreak harm on a global scale, and that will not be prevented by millions of good applications of the same technology
for - progress trap - reducing nitrogen air pollution - reduces soil carbon storage
the point is that this is a collective problem that can only be solved collectively. And clearly there is no collective, even worse
for - post comment - LinkedIn - polarization - Trump 2024 win - lack of collective - adjacency - Deep Humanity - deep time, species-wide singularity - conservativism vs progressiveness - progress - political polarization - progress trap
adjacency between - Trump 2024 win - Deep Humanity - anthropocene as deep time species-wide singularity - progress traps reaching a climax - conservatism vs progressiveness - adjacency relationship - This fits into a Deep Humanity explanation: - We are moving through a deep time, species singularity in which - once isolated pockets of cultural seeking and interpretative systems for explaining reality have been rapidly mashed-up via: - communication and - transportation technology - There is a singularity now where two forces are battling each other: - conservative that values old traditional cultural values and norms and - progressive that values the future possibilities - There are different cultural flavors of this. Whether it is - political polarization that pits authoritarian vs democratic ideologies or - climate change that pits traditional fossil fuel systems vs new renewable energy systems - the way we've always done things is in conflict with new ways of doing things through natural human evolutionary change - progress - In fact, we can look at the deep time, species-wide singularity that is now happening across all fields in the anthropocene as a predictable progress trap arising from progress itself
around the AI is um the problem right now as I understand it
for - progress traps - AI - created by mind level that created all our existing problems - AI is not AI but MI - Mineral Intelligence
we haven't even got to a planetary place yet really and we're about to unleash Galactic level technology you know what I'm saying like so we have a we have a lot of catchup that needs to happen in a very short period of time
for - quote - progress trap - AI - developed by unwise humans - John Churchill
quote - progress trap - AI - developed by unwise humans - John Churchill - (See below) - We haven't even got to a planetary place yet really - and we're about to unleash Galactic level technology - So we have a we have a lot of catchup that needs to happen in a very short period of time
The DIY way I organise my life by [[struthless]]
shiny new thing syndrome [2:01]
meh...
for - progress traps - measurement
nobody told it what to do that's that's the kind of really amazing and frightening thing about these situations when Facebook gave uh the algorithm the uh uh aim of increased user engagement the managers of Facebook did not anticipate that it will do it by spreading hatefield conspiracy theories this is something the algorithm discovered by itself the same with the capture puzzle and this is the big problem we are facing with AI
for - AI - progress trap - example - Facebook AI algorithm - target - increase user engagement - by spreading hateful conspiracy theories - AI did this autonomously - no morality - Yuval Noah Harari story
when a open AI developed a gp4 and they wanted to test what this new AI can do they gave it the task of solving capture puzzles it's these puzzles you encounter online when you try to access a website and the website needs to decide whether you're a human or a robot now uh gp4 could not solve the capture but it accessed a website task rabbit where you can hire people online to do things for you and it wanted to hire a human worker to solve the capture puzzle
for - AI - progress trap - example - no morality - Open AI - GPT4 - could not solve captcha - so hired human at Task Rabbit to solve - Yuval Noah Harari story
for - Yuval Noah Harari - interview - book - Nexus - progress trap - information
It feels, to him, like a trick. As if I’ve drawn a silver coin from behind his ear. The poem changes when marked by my blackness, I learn.
The author's blackness terrified the professor from the sounds of this piece, a way to symbolize something which could attract a reader but what was it that they meant, the professor could be seen as shrewd or inquisitive.
Die Fossilindustrie finanziert seit Jahrzehten Universitäten und fördert damit Publikationen in ihrem Interesse, z.B. zu false solutions wie #CCS. Hintergrundbericht anlässlich einer neuen Studie: https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/sep/05/universities-fossil-fuel-funding-green-energy
Studie: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.904
there's great risk here there's people turning into gurus there's you know weird cult formations there's exploitation there's money pumping uh you have to do a lot you have to try to build a lot in to safeguard against this
for - progress trap - meaning crisis intervention practices
progress trap - meaning crisis intervention practices - JV recognizes the potential progress traps of this potential intervention
Degradation ofecosystem services could be significantly slowed down or even reversed if the role ofbiodiversity and its full contribution to economic production were an integrated part ofdecisions made by governmental entities, companies, and other stakeholders (Paul et al2020)20
for - biodiversity - impact of monoculture diet
biodiversity - impact of monoculture diet - FAO study done before 2000 and often cited shows that 75% of the global diet comes from 12 plant and 5 animal food sources
to - stats - progress trap - monoculture - table of 12 plant and 5 animal species that make up 75% of world's diet - https://hyp.is/iznepFWoEe-umbNyOGVqrg/thefuturemarket.com/biodiversity
. for - progress trap - monoculture - instead of agrobiodiversity
from - Swiss RE Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (BES) index report - https://hyp.is/Jqw9MlWpEe-DhnehMbtbjA/www.swissre.com/dam/jcr:a7fe3dca-c4d6-403b-961c-9fab1b2f0455/swiss-re-institute-expertise-publication-biodiversity-and-ecosystem-services.pdf
while our predicament is eco-logical (“let it live”), our thinking remains techno-logical (“fix it”). The monoculture's fixation on what I call algorithmic rationality (linear, sequential, goal-oriented problem-solving),
for - adjacency - ecology of communication - progress traps - intentionality - language
adjacency - between - ecology of communications - progress traps - intentionally - language - emptiness - adjacency relationship - human intentionally focuses it attention on only a few select aspects of the entire gestalt of any moment of our phenomenological reality - It creates our salience landscape - What we choose to focus on and know more about it always coupled with and complimented by a vast ignorance of what we choose NOT to know - Indeed, the use language itself is the telling of a very specific story - Of all the stories we can tell, - Of the infinite stories we can construct now, -we settle on one - So the use of language already betrays the complexity inherent in each and every one of our ecological moments - We plant the seeds for progress traps as soon as we - manifest an intention - attempt to communicate - Hence, it is not avoidable and the best we can do is - recognize our situation - manage it - It is the relationship between - human nature (perceived as limited) - nature nature (infinite) - What springs to mind if the Zen koan - The elbow does not bend backwards
The question entails the recognition of unintended consequences of any action informed by the insufficient linear first-order thinking of many wannabe world-improvers
for - progress traps - intentionality - (see previous annotation)
the conclusion must of course be, okay, so this is the risk assessment we have. Let's, then we have to apply precaution. Precautionary principle. Exactly. Uncertainty in science, which will always be there, should in my view, always be. connected with a risk assessment.
for - adjacency - precautionary principle - risk assessment - progress traps
adjacency - between - precautionary principle - risk assessment - progress trap - adjacency relationship - Precautionary principle is really stating that we don't have enough knowledge and there can be a high risk - Even if there is low probability of occurrence, we must apply precautionary principle to avoid a progress trap
interactions between biodiversity, land, And climate
for - progress trap - zoonotic diseases - from transgressive biodiversity
World Economic Forum, we're working very closely. They're also integrating planetary boundaries in, their global economy kind of policy agenda
for - World economic forum - integration planetary boundaries into their strategy
Concern - unintended consequence - The WEF is perceived by many to be an elitist organisation - who do not have the best interest off the people in mind - This could lead to potential reputational damage to the planetary boundary framework thru their association with it
recommends that ToC construction should be participatory, involving stakeholders who represent different perspectives and roles within the intervention
for - ToC construction - recommendation - should be participatory
comment - Stop Reset Go process using Trailmark mark-in notation within Indyweb people-centered, interpersonal software ecosystem is inherently designed: - to be participatory - to mitigate progress traps - In fact, - the greater the diversity of perspectives, - the greater the efficacy in mitigating progress traps - For this reason, open source is necessary to achieve the optimal transformations of improvement
deep sea mining could start domino effects of which we are entirely unaware.
for - progress trap - deep sea metallic nodes produce oxygen - deep sea mining can disrupt
If a baby born today and a baby born 30,000 years ago were swapped at birth, they would each grow up as normal people in their new cultures.
for - similar to - quote - Ronald Wright - progress trap - computer metaphor
similar to - quote - Ronald Wright - progress trap - computer metaphor - Ronald Wright's famous quote on the computer metaphor really gets to the essence of things - how much of the meta-poly-perma-crisis can be explained by the unprecedented mismatch between the rate of - biological evolution of our species - cultural evolution of our species - Culture is the major and possibly most signficant differentiator between the person alive 50,000 years ago and the one alive today.
reference - quote - Ronald Wright - computer metaphor - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goodreads.com%2Fwork%2Fquotes%2F321797-a-short-history-of-progress&group=world
exponential growth isn’t totally smooth and uniform. Kurzweil explains that progress happens in “S-curves”:↳
exponential growth isn't totally smooth and uniform. Progress happens in "S-curves"
26:30 Brings up progress traps of this new technology
26:48
question How do we shift our (human being's) relationship with the rest of nature
27:00
metaphor - interspecies communications - AI can be compared to a new scientific instrument that extends our ability to see - We may discover that humanity is not the center of the universe
32:54
Question - Dr Doolittle question - Will we be able to talk to the animals? - Wittgenstein said no - Human Umwelt is different from others - but it may very well happen
34:54
species have culture - Marine mammals enact behavior similar to humans
36:29
citizen science bioacoustic projects - audio moth - sound invisible to humans - ultrasonic sound - intrasonic sound - example - Amazonian river turtles have been found to have hundreds of unique vocalizations to call their baby turtles to safety out in the ocean
41:56
ocean habitat for whales - they can communicate across the entire ocean of the earth - They tell of a story of a whale in Bermuda can communicate with a whale in Ireland
43:00
progress trap - AI for interspecies communications - examples - examples - poachers or eco tourism can misuse
44:08
progress trap - AI for interspecies communications - policy
45:16
whale protection technology - Kim Davies - University of New Brunswick - aquatic drones - drones triangulate whales - ships must not get near 1,000 km of whales to avoid collision - Canadian government fines are up to 250,000 dollars for violating
50:35
environmental regulation - overhaul for the next century - instead of - treatment, we now have the data tools for - prevention
56:40 - ecological relationship - pollinators and plants have co-evolved
1:00:26
AI for interspecies communication - example - human cultural evolution controlling evolution of life on earth
for - progress trap - AI -
article details - title - Hollow, world! (Part 1 of 5) - author - James Allen - date - 10 July, 2024 - publication - substack - self link - https://allenj.substack.com/p/hollow-world-part-1-of-5
summary James Allen provides an insightful description of ultra-anthropomorphic AI, AI that attempts to simulate an entire, whole human being.
In short, he points out the fundamental distinction between the real experience of another human being, and a simulation of one. In so doing, he gets to the heart of what it is to be human.
An AI is a simulation of a human being. No matter how realistic it's responses and actions, it is not evolved out of biology. I have no doubts that scientists are hard at work trying to make a biological AI. The distinction becomes fuzzier then.
Current AI cannot possibly simulate the experience of being in a fragile and mortal body and all that this entails. If an AI robot says it understands joy or pain, that statement isn't built on the combined exteroception and interoception of being in a biological body, rather, it is based on many linguistic statements it has assimilated.
book come out last year called over the seaw wall his name is Steven Robert Miller
for - book - Over the Seawall - Steven Robert Miller
book - Over the Seawall - Steven Robert Miller - A book about PROGRESS TRAPS! - How climate adaptation measures can lead to progress traps, such as - lead to a sense of complacency and false security - leading to overdevelopment - leading to even more people vulnerable to climate and extreme weather events
neoclassical Economist about you know growth can be totally decoupled from 00:45:45 Material use
for - progress trap - abstraction - the ECONOMY! - abstracted and separated from nature
I don't really understand what they think uh what it is um if it's not you know 00:45:20 how resources are allocated and um the the transformation of commod you know raw material into finished goods and stuff all that takes energy it all takes material
for - progress trap - real dangers from - abstraction and siloing
progress trap - real dangers from - abstraction and siloing - Business processes create workers who live in abstract, symbolic worlds, never seeing the consequences of their symbolic manipulations - At the end of the day, the abstract, symbolic finance industry worker gets a fat salary and lives comfortably, whilist playing with abstractions of processes they are contributing to which they have no sensory information on - the separation of producer from consumer is yet another huge abstraction that cleaves the gestalt into pieces that we cannot see - ANTIDOTE to this - de-abstraction - re-synthesize - Processes have been fragmented and split apart - We need to find ways for people to re-synthesize and assemble the pieces back together again in order to - see and experience the whole picture
in the past these collapses of civilizations were local and people could migrate a little further on and rebuild but the chances of of that are gone now i mean we have to we have to uh to to 01:03:18 uh get right with what we have because it's all we have you know we we all all those bets we placed when our ancestors invented civilization they all rest on one high stakes throw which is 01:03:32 now
for - progress trap - modernity can't run away anywhere from its ruins
some ice ages broke up in a matter of decades or even a few years suddenly
for - progress trap - planetary tipping points - rapid climate destabilization
reference - Ice cores provide first documentation of rapid Antarctic ice loss in the past - https://phys.org/news/2024-02-ice-cores-documentation-rapid-antarctic.html
does agriculture become a 00:51:16 progress trap has it been a progress trap well i think i think in a sense it has
for - progress trap - Agriculture appears to be a progress trap - Ronald Wright
argument - progress trap - Agriculture appears to be a progress trap - Ronald Wright - The early progress traps have been comparatively small in scale - During the stone age, there were no more than a few million people alive (3 to 5 million?) and - they destroyed all the big game where humans lived - The Sumerians, with a population of around one million people salted up and destroyed the fertile land of Southern Iraq - Now we have 8 billion people and a third of them are starving - Our continuous technology development is what enables us to stave off the day of reckoning but - we are losing a Scotland-size worth of topsoil every year to - soil erosion - urban sprawl - We still face the possibility of collapse - Our species has existed for 5 to 6 million years and - civilization is an experiment that has only emerged about 10,000 years ago - It's still very possible for the experiment to fail
we've achieved a level of prosperity for a huge number of people that was not typical of the past i mean most countries have a big middle class as well as an extremely wealthy upper 00:50:00 class but the number of people in abject poverty in the world today living on less than two dollars a day is greater than the entire population of the world 00:50:13 only 100 years ago so that's not progress
for - statistics - progress trap - comparative levels of poverty
statistics - progress trap - comparative levels of poverty - modern civilization has - a huge middle class - a small elite class - a huge impoverished class - The absolute number of people living on less than 2 dollars a day is less than the entire population of humans only 100 years ago
that's part of the logic of agriculture isn't it i mean you have a lot of work to do yeah a lot of people you know but there again you're you're in a progress trap or or a treadmill that you need more children 00:48:57 so you can work more land and then that more land provides more food so you have yet more children
for - progress trap - the agricultural-large family positive feedback loop
progress trap - the agricultural-large family positive feedback loop - Interesting to compare modern vs agricultural societies - Populations are dropping in most western countries around the contemporary world, yet - traditional agricultural societies had large families to tend to large amount of agricultural work - There is a progress trap potential with encouraging many large families with a limited land resource: - If you have larger families, you can cultivate more land - If you cultivate more land, you can have even larger family - until you reach a point when the land has been exhausted and you are now forced to reduce the population