4,029 Matching Annotations
- Dec 2023
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- for: building - 3D printed earth building
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climateuncensored.com climateuncensored.com
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cytoscape.org cytoscape.org
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ogp.me ogp.me
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scalingsynthesis.com scalingsynthesis.com
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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- for: polycrisis - migration - crime - Sweden
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for: Thomas Homer-Dixon, The Ingenuity Gap, The Upside of Down, Commanding Hope, Cascade Institute, Polycrisis
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SUMMARY
- Thomas Homer-Dixon is a researcher in polycrisis and author of a number of books on aspects of the polycrisis.
- Here he talks about "Commanding Hope", following his other books "The Ingenuity Gap", "The Upside of Down".
- Homer-Dixon explores the idea of hope situated in his life, especially surrounding his children and their future in an uncertain world.
- In particular, he explores a robust form of hope that is honest, astute and powerful and he unpacks the meaning of each of these qualities.
- Even when the odds are stacked against us, robust hope gives us hope that we can make a big difference.
- Homer-Dixon offers a bounty of insights for anyone engaged in rapid whole system change. His Cascade Institute is developing tools to assist individuals and organizations alike who want to find the leverage points for rapid system change.
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what i think tolkien is saying is that just as i was saying before our systems around us and our worlds are so complex that we actually will never know enough to be sure that 01:24:44 there's no grounds for hope we cannot ever know enough to be pessimists basically we cannot know enough to be pessimistic and how does gandalf put it at one point he says he this is a remarkable 01:24:57 statement i mentioned we read this a thousand times he said despair is only for those who know the future without any doubt we do not and and that for me is is the uncertainty itself 01:25:10 most people find uncertainty very scary but for me the uncertainty about the future is an enormous source of possibility it's emancipatory it means we can use our imaginations to explore alternatives
- for: hope - Lord of the Rings
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it has happened before in the past the great german existential philosopher carl jaspers has spoke of the axial age between 600 bc 01:15:42 bce and 200 bce during which five human civilizations all shifted their cosmologies simultaneously they weren't communicating much with each other but that shift in cosmology laid the groundwork for modernity we may 01:15:56 be on the cusp of a second axial age in the 21st century and and because the moment that we face as a species is completely unprecedented we've never been in a situation like this before so it's it's quite conceivable that 01:16:09 unprecedented positive changes are possible for us
- for: story of hope - a new axial age
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the other part of this thinking about stories is to recognize that we don't know the worlds around us the systems 01:14:16 around us well enough to know that good things are impossible
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for: quote - the impossible, quote - Thomas Homer-Dixon
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quote
- We don't know the world's around us the systems around us well enough to know that good things are impossible
- author: Thomas Homer-Dixon
- date: 2021
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i'd start at the beginning of the book by talking about how kids build their imaginary realities 01:12:32 and ben and kate when they were playing together when they were young use the phrase how about all the time how about you know we create this with lego blocks how about we imagine this world and then live in it for a while 01:12:45 and we forget to do those how abouts and in some sense this book commanding hope is my how about for the children
- for: book - Commanding Hope - essence - How about ?
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o i come back to this issue of stories and how we organize our thinking 01:11:03 and worlds around stories and especially stories of ours of what our own purpose in life is uh how we respond to our desperate fear of mortality and death i draw on the work of the anthropologist 01:11:16 and social psychologist ernest becker which has been elaborated by social psychologists in something called terror management theory
- for: adjacency - Thomas Homer-Dixon - Ernest Becker, terror management theory, immortality project
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when we get our story wrong we get our future wrong
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for: quote - when we get our story wrong, we get our future wrong, quote - Thomas Homer-Dixon
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quote
- When we get our story wrong, we get our future wrong
- author: David Korten, quoted by Thomas Homer-Dixon
- date: 2021
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the story of stephanie may
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for: story of hope - Stephanie May
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story of hope
- Stephanie May was a housewife who one day read the story of nuclear test fallout in the atmosphere and was dismayed
- She started petition, phoned local people, worked with other housewife to get thousands of people to sign peittion
- In 3 years, she mobilized mothers around the US, met Betrand Russell in UK, mobilized UK housewives.
- Went on hunger strike in front of Russian embassy and inspired mothers across the US to also perform hunger strikes
- She created a mobilization of a previously diffuse group
- She had good understanding of different worldviews
- Ultimately, she played an important role in securing a treaty to ban nuclear testing in the atmosphere
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it was the mothers that made all the difference he said it was mothers mobilizing around the world that stopped the testing of nuclear weapons in the atmosphere
- for: story of hope - Stephanie May, hope - mothers stopped nuclear testing
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romantic view of the enlightenment
- for: Steven Pinker - Enlightenment Now - critique - violence during Enlightenment, violence during Industrial Revolution
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i think it's in chapter nine of the book i actually 00:52:31 or chapter eight i i i mentioned these folks all of the ones you just talked about curtsville tinker diamandis all of them are all mentioned and i refer to them as techno optimists
- for: techno-optimist - critique, Steven Pinker - critique, Ray Kurzweil - critique, Peter Diamandis - critique, Elon Musk - critique
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i look at pinker's books his latest one enlightenment now and i read very carefully his section on climate change he takes climate change seriously but for me this is a litmus test
- for: Steven Pinker - critique - climate change - Enlightenment Now
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i think it's more likely that 00:49:59 that we will think we will think that we this particular set of procedures ai procedures that we linked into our strategic nuclear weapons system uh will keep us safer but we haven't recognized that they're 00:50:12 unintended that there are consequences glitches in it that make it actually stupid and it mistakes the flock of geese for an incoming barrage of russian missiles and and you know unleashes everything in response 00:50:25 before we can intervene
- for: example - stupid AI - nuclear launch, AI - progress trap - example - nuclear launch
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i think the most dangerous thing about ai is not 00:47:11 super smart ai it's uh stupid ai it's artificial intelligence that is good enough to be put in charge of certain processes in our societies but not good enough to not make really 00:47:25 bad mistakes
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for: quote - Thomas Homer-Dixon, quote - danger of AI, AI progress trap
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quote: danger of AI
- I think the most dangerous thing about AI is not super smart AI, it's stupid AI that is good enough to be put in charge of certain processes but not good enough to not make really bad mistakes
- author: Thomas Homer-Dixon
- date: 2021
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there's this broader issue of of being able to get inside other people's heads as we're driving down the road all the time we're looking at other 00:48:05 people and because we have very advanced theories of mind
- for: comparison - AI - HI - example - driving, comparison - artificial i human intelligence - example - driving
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this is why i spend so much 00:45:58 time inside people's minds and talking about psychology and social psychology that that it's a kind of human stupidity or or hubris uh lack of moral compass 00:46:09 incapacity to see the world as other people see it that that we need to address and so in the book that's why i spent a lot of time providing people with some basic tools so they can for instance understand 00:46:21 other people's worldviews better
- for:Deep Humanity - worldviews, worldview - tools
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it's daunting because they're 00:37:18 all happening simultaneously in a way people don't recognize they're all kind of integrated with each other and they and they're reinforcing each other it's people call this kind of perfect storm but they don't but the problem with the 00:37:30 language the perfect storm terminology is it sort of implies that each one of these things whether it's economic stress or climate change or political polarization rising authoritarianism 00:37:41 you know collapse of mammalian populations they're all kind of separate distinct problems but actually they're all they're all affecting each other at this point
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for: polycrisis, perfect storm, reinforcing feedbacks,
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paraphrase
- the polycrisis is a network of self-reinforcing and diverse crisis:
- political polarization
- war
- fossil fuel entrenchment and expansion
- precarity
- migration
- climate crisis
- extreme weather
- AI
- political polarization
- misinformation and interference of sovereign voting
- emergence of authoritarianism
- incorrect focus of effort - tinkering at the margins
- runaway inequality - wealth, racial, post colonial, gender
- dominance of capitalist wealth aspiration
- rapid change required for entire system
- sense of despair, hopelessness, anger, fear
- mass extinction
- climate departure
- increasing health burden
- runaway pollution
- lack of effective government regulation
- approaching planetary tipping points
- the "perfect storm" assumes that these crisis are not related, but they are all syncrhonizing through positive feedbacks -their self-reinforcing positive feedbacks amplify all of them together and it can reach a threshold beyond human institutions to be able to cope
- Commanding Hope or "Hope to" is critical for meeting these challenges
- the polycrisis is a network of self-reinforcing and diverse crisis:
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in my view the biggest the most dangerous phenomenon on the human on our planet is uh human stupidity it's not artificial intelligence
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for: meme - human stupidity is more dangerous than artificial intelligence
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meme: human stupidity is more dangerous than artificial intelligence
- author:Nikola Danaylov
- date: 2021
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all that's really going to happen for these extraordinarily wealthy folks with their in their in their estates in new zealand with their landing strips and stuff is that they're just going to have an extra couple of decades to watch things 00:43:13 fall apart around them
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for: quote - survival of the richest, climate crisis - elite walled community
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quote: survival of the richest
- All that's going to happen to these extraordinarily wealthy folks with their estates in New Zealand with their landing strips is that they're going to have an extra couple of decades to watch things fall apart around them and that doesn't sound very appealing to me
- author: Thomas Homer-Dixon
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date: 2021
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reference
- Douglas Rushkoff wrote a book on this phenomena
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the idea of a game is really important and the rules of the game so what's happened is that to the extent that that we've we 00:39:33 have lost the common understanding of our reality then people start attacking the rules of the game and and that's you know going back to my work on conflict
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for: adjacency - rules of the game - violence, dangers of not playing by the rules of the game
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adjacency between
- rules of the game
- violence
- adjacency statement
- When people cannot agree on the rules of the democratic game, we are just one step away from violence
- Homer-Dixon explores the relationship between environmental breakdown and violence in an earlier book
- If you believe your "opponent" is not playing by the rules of the game, then they are outside the moral ambit of your community, and you can justify violence
- Their status as a human being is no longer legitimate and they are dehumanized. Violence is now possible
- Whenever a group feels another group is not playing by the rules of the game, it is a very dangerous situation as violence can be justified on these grounds
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what i would call a kind of epistemic fragmentation where where we're losing the ability as societies to have agreement on very basic facts and to the extent that we don't agree on 00:36:41 basic facts about the nature of the world and the nature of the challenges we face it's very hard to to solve those problems effectively democracy for instance can't effective effectively function 00:36:52 if if the people who are talking to each other don't actually agree on what the problems are
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for: definition epistemic fragmentation, no agreement on basic facts, political polarization, adjacency - epistemic fragmentation - polarization - democracy
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definition: epistemic fragmentation
- when major parts of society disagree on basic facts
- adjacency between
- epistemic fragmentation
- polarization
- democracy
- adjacency statement
- democracy is critical to solving our challenges but it won't function if there is so much epistemic fragmentation that we can't agree on basic facts
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i have absolutely no doubt about that if we go even to three degrees warming and we're about 1.2 right at the moment above pre-industrial temperatures but if we go to even three degrees warming there isn't an ecosystem on the planet 00:35:24 that will not be shredded by that and there's no prospect for anything resembling liberal democracy to serve to survive in a world that's three degrees warmer than it was pre-industrial times
- for: 3 Deg C world - catastrophic
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right at the top of my list is our absolutely disastrous relationship with the natural systems around us
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for: top challenges humanity faces
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top challenges
- our relation to the natural world and pushing natural systems to their limits
- climate change is a symptom of that
- our relation to the natural world and pushing natural systems to their limits
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have the wisdom to distinguish between those situations we can change in those situations we can't so it is important to sometimes say but 00:30:42 the best i can do is to hope that in this situation and part of what honest hope is about is teasing out the places where we can have agency and make a difference in the places where we can't although i argue that frequently we throw up our 00:30:54 hands too soon
for: comparison - hope that - hope to
- comparison: hope that - hope to
- a part of honest hope is to be able to distinguish between
- situations where we can't do anything about it and
- situations where we can
- start from
- hope to - to explore possibilities
- if nothing can be done, then goto hope that
- a part of honest hope is to be able to distinguish between
- comparison: hope that - hope to
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distinction between hope that and hope too
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for: comparison - hope that - hope to
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comparison: hope that - hope to
- hope that
- is passive
- I have no agency
- hope to
- is active
- I have agency
- Commanding Hope advocates flipping
- from hope that to
- hope to
- hope that
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onest hope is basically about making sure that our our our hope is grounded in a 00:22:07 in a realistic understanding as we face ourselves about how difficult say climate change is or or uh the economic crisis the world are facing that we actually 00:22:21 acknowledge with the best scientific information we have how serious those are so that's in a sense honest hope is a relationship to truth it's a moral stance towards truth
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for: honest hope - description
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description - honest hope
- a moral stance
- based on the best of our scientific knowledge available
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the third is as a psychological uh a psychological perspective on on what hope needs to be in order to give us a sense of agency 00:25:20 and powerful motivation to persevere through difficult times so those three components i mean frankly they're a reflection of my own kind of hope
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for: powerful hope - description
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description - powerful hope
- psychological view of what hope needs to be in order to motivate agency
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the second of the 00:23:12 uh components of commanding hope is what i call astute hope and this is really uh more of an epistemological stance if the first is a moral attitude or a moral stance towards truth this is a 00:23:24 this is a a a kind of hope that reflects a particular form of knowledge uh in this case knowledge about how uh how we look at the world and what our 00:23:38 perspectives are especially our sort of ideological social and economic perspectives
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for: astute hope - description
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description - astute hope
- our epistemological view of the world
- In complex areas like climate change, we provide tools to help people look at these ideological views
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comment
- Indyweb can provide a good framework for holding the diversity of worldviews for everyone to experience
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what is this thing hope because a lot of people dismiss it and say that it's 00:21:01 it's a kind of weak emotion it's distracting it leads us to wishful thinking and so you know what can we what is the thinking about hope and if we apply our scientific lens 00:21:15 to it what can we do perhaps to make it a more powerful and and significant and useful emotion
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for: definition - hope
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definition: (robust) hope
- has three characteristics:
- honest
- astute
- powerful
- has three characteristics:
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we can in a sense make hope do our bidding we can command it to be a useful powerful emotion
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for: hope - controlling
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comment
- while I agree with his analysis, I disagree that it must be about controlling hope. We've tried to control nature, and that hasn't turned out very well. Perhaps a better language is allowing a more authentic type of hope to emerge.
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this third book is very much a book about activism it's about personal engagement it's about agency how we can how we can make the world better as individuals and perhaps 00:20:38 collectively as as societies
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for: book - Commanding Hope - description
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book: Commanding Hope
- This is a book about agency, activism and personal engagement
- It takes a philosophical understanding of hope and applies it to the polycrisis we face
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i realized that that the the thing that giving me the most anguish in the world most uh a sense of crisis was the 00:16:18 possibility that my children would grow up merge into the world as adults and lose their sense of hope into a world of turbulent violence and would lose sense of hope 00:16:31 so that that's when things really started to crystalliz
- for: for my children, self-centered motivation
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new trailmark: reflections
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reflections: I was inspired by my children
- How often we hear academic researchers share how a lot of their work is inspired by their care for their children.
- This is an interesting social phenomena in its own right.
- It seems natural and yet, it begs the question, with so many existential threats to our entire species, is it only when we think of our own children that we can find motivation to act? Why can we not act without the dread our children might face?
- Naturally, the answer is because we are selfish. We think, worry and are concerned more for our direct kin than for any other.
- Perhaps, as a culture, had we had more concern for the others, we might not find ourselves in our current quagmire?
Tags
- definition - robust hope
- book - Commanding Hope - Agency
- danger of not playing by the rules of the game
- violence during Industrial Revolution
- comparison - artificial intelligence - human intelligence - example - driving
- passive hope
- book - Commanding Hope - Genesis story
- AI progress trap
- Steven Pinker - Enlightenment Now - critique - violence during Enlightenment
- comparison - AI - HI - example - driving
- immortality project
- adjacency - rules of the game - violence
- hope - Lord of the RIngs
- self-centered motivation
- polycrisis - not perfect storm
- techno-optimist - critique
- quote - survival of the richest
- hope to
- Steven Pinker - critique
- proactive hope
- story of hope - Stephanie May
- quote - Thomas Homer-Dixon
- AI - progress trap - example - nucliear launch
- commanding hope
- Ray Kurzweil - critique
- polycrisis - syncrhonized self-reinforcing feedbacks
- description - honest hope
- quote - the impossible
- Commanding Hope - interview
- worldview - tools
- Ray Diamandis - critique
- comparison - hope that - hope to
- Elon Musk - critique
- meme - human stupidity is more dangerous than artificial intelligence
- indyweb - a space designed for holding diverse perspectives
- quote - When we get our story wrong
- for my children
- book - Commanding Hope - essence - How about?
- description - powerful hope
- Steven Pinker - critique - climate change - Enlightenment Now
- adjacency - epistemic fragmentation - polarization - democracy
- Deep Humanity - worldviews
- Thomas Homer-Dixon
- example - stupid AI - nuclear launch
- top challenges humanity faces
- description - astute hope
- quote - dangers of AI
- controlling hope
- adjacency - Thomas Homer-Dixon - Ernest Becker
- quote - David Korten
- hope - mothers stopped nuclear testing
- epistemic fragmentation
- 3 Deg C world - catastrophic
- Terror management theory
- book - Commanding Hope - description
- story of hope - a new axial age
Annotators
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for: polycrisis, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Cascade Institute Royal Roads University - Changemakers Speakers Series, etymology - polylcrisis
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Talk: Hope in the Polycrisis
- Speaker: Thomas Homer-Dixon
- Host: Royal Roads University - Changemakers Speakers Series
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Date: 2023
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SUMMARY
- Thomas Homer-Dixon is a leading complex systems scientist and director of the Cascade Institute, which he co-founded at Royal Roads University in Victoria, B.C., Canada, to study the polycrisis and identify strategic high leverage interventions that could rapidly shift humanity's trajectory in the next few critical years.
- The talk, entitled "Hope in the polycriisis" chronicles Homer-Dixon's multi-decade journey to understand the convergence of crisis happening in the world today.
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In a real sense, the evolution of his thinking on these complex problems are reflected in the series of books he has written over the years, culminating in the 2023 book "Commanding Hope", based on a theory of hope:
- Environment, Scarcity, and Violence (Princeton, 1999). - a book showing how other factors combine with environmental stress to produce violence.
- “The Ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity?,” which appeared in Population and Development Review in 1995
- “Resource Scarcity and Innovation: Can Poor Countries Attain Endogenous Growth?" ?” coauthored with Edward Barbier, which appeared in Ambio (1999)
- The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civilization (2006), examined the threat to global stability of simultaneous and interacting demographic, environmental, economic, and political stresses. This led to examining energy as a major factor in our modern society.
- "Commanding Hope: The Power we have to Renew a World in Peril"
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Homer-Dixon also talks about practical solutions, His team at Casacade Institute is researching a promising technology called ultra-deep geothermal, which could provide unlimted energy at energy densities comprable to fossil fuels.
- He finishes his talk with his theory of Hope and how a "Robust" hope can be the key to a successful rapid transition.
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etymology - polycrisis
- https://polycrisis.org/lessons/where-did-the-term-polycrisis-come-from/
- Complexity theorists Edgar Morin and Anne Brigitte Kern first used the term polycrisis in their 1999 book, Homeland Earth, to argue that the world faces
- “no single vital problem, but many vital problems, and it is this complex intersolidarity of problems, antagonisms, crises, uncontrolled processes, and the general crisis of the planet that constitutes the number one vital problem" (p. 74).
- South African sociologist and sustainable transitions theorist Mark Swilling then adopted the term to capture
- “a nested set of globally interactive socio-economic, ecological and cultural-institutional crises that defy reduction to a single cause” (2013, p. 98).
- Climate change, rising inequality, and the threat of financial crises interact in complex ways that multiply their overall impact (Swilling 2013, 2019).
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how do you reframe your idea of Hope to communities that this specific 01:19:33 conception that you've explained might not apply to as is specifically bipod communities and and just a side question if you have time how do you engage with degrowth theories 01:19:45 of capitalism in your work
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for: question - colonialism and degrowth
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question: how are colonialism and degrowth situated in his work?
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we have enough of these minerals in the 01:16:25 world to run a world transportation system off electricity using batteries but we don't have enough if we need batteries to stabilize our grids because we've got intermittent power from solar 01:16:39 and wind
- for: green growth - shortage of batteries
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I think there are opportunities for for 01:13:03 um reaching people in new ways emotionally powerful ways across those three emotional temperaments that we haven't exploited and I think people like James Cameron have an intuition for that they haven't either hadn't exploited yet
- for: adjacency art - leverage point - idling resource
-: adjacency between - art - leverage point - idling resource - adjacency statement - art is a powerful leverage point that is, unfortunately still an idling resource
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many people are complex systems thinkers even though they don't know it
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for: example - systems thinking, quote -: many people are complex systems thinkers
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quote:
- many people are complex systems thinkers even though they don't know it
- Thomas Homer-Dixon
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date: 2023
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examples: complex systems clichés
- the whole of greater than the sum of its parts
- nonlinearities
- the straw that broke the camels back
- emergence
- the whole of greater than the sum of its parts
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comment
- the first one could be that systems are not the same as just all the parts
- the second one could also represent Tipping points and nonlinearities of complex systems
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could art in the very general sense 01:10:39 story et cetera be used as one of those tools it's a great question and the answer is absolutely
- for: leverage points - art
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there are four possibilities out there plasma microwave water jet and percussive
- for: ultra deep geothermal drilling technology
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the problem is that most of our 01:04:45 institutions in the Democratic World evolved in the 18th and 19th centuries at a time when uh Transportation the fastest mode of transportation was horseback and almost all the information was communicated verbally 01:04:58 and uh and now we're in a world that's just radically different
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for: adjacency - outdated government institutions - delegitimization - authoritarianism
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adjacency between
- outdated government institutions
- delegitimatization
- authoritarianism
- adjacency statement
- Since old government institutions are not coping with the challenges of modernity, suffering an ingenuity gap, it's fueling a political crisis enabling the rise of authoritarianism
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I think government is uh can be and it a Force for good and many of the problems we Face are what social 01:04:07 scientists would call common good or Collective action problems and actually require coordination from government to be addressed so there is a a political philosophy of 01:04:20 course that is increasingly strong in the United States the government is not good for anything
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for: adjacency - collective action - government - libertarianism - open source movement - commons movement
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adjacency between
- collective action
- government
- commons movement
- comminutism
- libertarianism
- adjacency statement
- government could be important agent of collective action, except when they are stuck due to competing ideology, especially libertarian views
- the briefing commons movement of an alternative collection action approach that can compliment government
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we're all deeply embedded in these problems
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for; example - Wicked problem
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example: Wicked problem
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two tablespoons of crude oil contain as much free energy as would be expended by an adult male laborer in a day you every time you fill up your gas tank if you still have a gas tank uh 00:59:48 you're putting is you're putting two years of manual labor in that in that gas tank
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for: fossil fuel energy density - example
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example : energy density of fossil fuel
- 2 tablespoons of fossil fuel containsv the energy equivalent of one full day of human
- one full average gasoline tank is equivalent to 2 years of human labour
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I tell my researchers look for the 00:57:41 positive feedbacks these are not good feedbacks these are self-reinforcing feedbacks where you get a cycle of of causation that causes it to reinforce itself those 00:57:52 positive feedbacks which may cross several systems like climate economic pandemic Health Systems those positive feedbacks are where you're getting the synchronization if you can find those 00:58:04 then you're making real Headway on the synchronization effect
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for: adjacency - synchronization - clues - positive feedbacks, key insight - synchronisation - positive feedbacks
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adjacency between
- positive feedback
- synchronization
- adjacency statement
- key insight
- look for where the positive feedbacks are occurring within the system
- that will tell you where the synchronization is occurring within the system
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there's this idea and complexity science called the adjacent possible it's just what the boundary of the beyond the 00:47:26 boundary of the real and the visible
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for: definition - the adjacent possible
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definition: the Adjacent possible
- Inn complexity science, the boundary between between the real and the possible
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between middle of March 2020 and the middle of April 2020. 00:44:53 uh four billion people about half the world's population locked down between the middle of March 2020 and middle of April 2020 the concept of social and physical distancing went viral and around the planet and changed 00:45:06 people's behavior all over the planet never has such a large fraction of the human species changed Its Behavior so fast and that was entirely because of the connectivity within the system
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for: rapid behaviour change
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example - rapid behaviour change: COVID lockdown
- When government policy around the world converged rapidly due to the perception of an imminent threat, civilization responded rapidly
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question: could we ever imagine the climate crisis or polycrisis having the same impact?
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the previous average time for vaccinating 40 percent of the world's population for any other epidemic or pandemic or any other viral disease 00:45:56 had been 80 years 40 percent of the world's population this time we did it in two
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for: progress trap
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progress trap: speed of vaccination
- If the vaccine was imperfect and caused harm, it could have caused harm to 40% of three population in a short period of time.
- the shorter the time for something to spread globally, the faster unintended consequence can spread and cause harm
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I think it could be an 00:43:52 enormously traumatic difficult process this Century potentially involving a huge amount of violence but I also think that it's a genuine possibility for these three reasons
- for: Me2We, individual/ collective gestalt
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one thing that I've noticed in traveling around the world doing research uh social science research in a dozen or so countries all over the world is that 00:43:01 those societies that function best to solve their problems are those with the strongest sense of a commitment up to the common wheel
- for: me vs we, invert the N
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Australian Princeton philosopher Peter Singer has 00:42:22 talked about the the broadening radius of our moral uh of our moral scope but those we include within our moral Community uh potentially to include 00:42:35 biota and animals for instance outside the human community
- for: expanded sense of community, beyond the human morall community, animal communication, earth species protect
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we should be focusing on in terms of our Clear Vision of a desirable future
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for: futures, clear vision of desirable future, desirable future - 4 pillars
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desirable future: 4 pillars
- security
- we can manage, alleviate, adapt to the dangers of the polycrisis
- opportunity
- people can express their agency and grow and explore
- justice
- equality and fair distribution of wealth. Everyone deserves to live a life based upon holistic wellbeing
- identity
- we all need to feel like we belong
- security
-
-
Ultra deep geothermal power
-
for:: clean energy source with high energy density -;ultra deep brother power
-
comment
- a practical, cost-effective, initiator ubiquitous, reliable high energy density substitute for fossil fuels can
- give us authentic hope and
- propose complimentary actions that can now make sense like
- temporary energy diet until the practical solution manifests
- a practical, cost-effective, initiator ubiquitous, reliable high energy density substitute for fossil fuels can
-
-
it's mainly a problem of providing huge quantities of high power density zero carbon energy
-
for: modernity - high energy density
-
paraphrase
- high density energy sources of a few thousand watts per square meter are required to operate high energy density infrastructure like transportation vehicles and large buildings that consume the same types of energy density
-
-
enough versus feasible dilemma
-
for: definition - enough vs feasible dilemma, double bind, progress trap
-
definition: enough vs feasible dilemma
- the changes that are actually required are not feasible to do
- what is feasible to do is not enough
- this puts us in a double bind
- we need to have interventions that are BOTH
- enough to solve these problems and are
- feasible to execute
-
-
honesty can actually threaten
-
for: meme - honestly can threaten hope
-
meme: honesty can threaten hope
- a reassuring lie is often preferred to na challenging truth
- denialism is just human nature
- it's difficult to face the truth when the truth is so unpleasant and triggers intense fear or despair
- mortality salience could underlay much of this
-
-
what I propose in commanding hope is a uh is a notion of hope that 00:25:30 counter poses to each of those critiques an alternative understanding of Hope hope that's honest instead of false astute instead of naive and Powerful instead of passive
-
for: definition - robust hope, robust hope triplet
-
definition: robust hope
- honest instead of false
- astute instead of naive
- powerful instead of passive
-
-
hope is a very 00:22:57 critical leverage point in addressing the challenges we face
-for: polycrisis - leverage point - hope, quote - leverage point - hope
-
hope is really the antidote to fear and anger
-for: adjacency - polycrisis - fear - hope - antidote
-adjacency between - fear - anger - hope - antidote - adjacency statement - hope is the antidote to fear and anger
-
I argue we must address This Global poly crisis along two simultaneous pathways
-
for: claim - polycrisis - two parallel interventions
-
claim: polycrisis can be tackled with a two pronged approach
- First, deal with the all the underlying drivers of the stresses simultaneously
- The incapability of present leaders to deal with the issues causes citizens to lose faith and seek alternative leaders who promise to do a better job
- Second, deal with the psychological impacts of the fear and anger, otherwise people fall into:
- despair or
- conflict as an outlet of anger
- After writing his two books:
- The Ingenuity Gap and
- The Upside of Down
- the importance of hope as an emotion led him to write the book
- Commanding Hope
- First, deal with the all the underlying drivers of the stresses simultaneously
-
-
in some ways it may well be that this Century will be 00:16:19 a century characterized by the emotion of fear for many people and fear doesn't stay fear it often becomes anger and anger and fear are often exploited by 00:16:31 folks who uh use those emotions as a ways of as a as a way of building their political Authority to deepen divisions within their society to draw together their followers into sort of a fevered 00:16:45 pitch and uh and use and use the exploitation as political opportunists use the exploitation of fear and anger to build their Authority and Power
-
for: adjacency - polycrisis - fear - anger - political exploitation
-
adjacency between
- polycrisis
- fear
- anger
- political exploitation
- polarization
- authoritarianism
- adjacency statement
- In this polycrisis space, we witness fear leading to anger which is then exploited by political opportunists who then create polarization through authoritarian impulses that superficially quench the desires of the unheard angry citizens
-
-
in terms of amplification and acceleration you can this waveform diagram is sort of a nice metaphor graphical metaphor for the increasing severity of crises and the increasing 00:13:44 frequency of crises within our world
-
for: waveform diagram - amplification and acceleration of crisis
-
comment
- nice picture to illustrate increasing frequency and amplitude of the graphical wave representation of a crisis
-
-
one thing we have noticed with these stresses is that uh from most of them we see these three 00:11:11 phenomena the stresses are amplifying accelerating and synchronizing uh simultaneously
-
for: pernicious cascades - qualities, stats - pernicious cascade, synchronized crisis
-
stats - pernicious cascades - climate change
- Pernicious cascades - qualities
- amplifying
- global mean temp
- in 2000: 0.72 Deg C warmer than pre-industrial (1850)
- in 2020 1.2 Deg C warmer than pre-industrial
- global mean temp
- accelerating
- warming per decade:
- 1970 to 2010 - 0.18 Deg C / decade
- 2010 to 2040 - 0.27 Deg C / decade
- warming per decade:
- syncrhonizing
- many systems are becoming unstable:
- higher inflation
- higher levels of precarity
- higher levels of inequality
- destabilizing climate / increase in extreme weather events
- geopolitical conflicts
- political polarization
- misinformation
- major migration
- Cascade institute does not view these as random events - not a set of coincidence or "perfect storm"
- instead, invisible synchronization and causality between events
- our research reveals the invisible connections
- many systems are becoming unstable:
- amplifying
-
-
the Cascade Institute we're interested in two kinds of Cascades
-
for: cascades - two types, pernicious cascades, virtuous cascades, definition - pernicious cascade, definition - virtuous cascade
-
definition - pernicious cascade
- knock on effects between systems that produce a level of significant harm to society
- definition - virtuous cascade
- knock on effects between systems that produce beneficial impacts for society
-
-
they're probably about 15 or 20 major long-term stresses that you can identify that are affecting 00:09:43 Humanities outcomes for Better or For Worse and Trigger events which which are much less predictable
-
for: stats - major stressors of the polycrisis, trigger events
-
stats: major stressors of the polycrisis
- profile of a crisis
- a crisis occurs when
- a major stressor occurs
- there are between 15 and 20 of them
- and combines with much less predictable "trigger" events
- also called stochastic or random events
- profile of a crisis
-
-
at the Cascade Institute based on partly because of work that I've been doing for uh now almost 20 years looking at the implications of converging crises uh we have really focused on the 00:09:07 relationships between between all these different challenges that humanity is facing what are the Deep connections between them
-
for: Cascade Institute - research focus
-
Cascade institute - research focus
- looking at the deep connections between converging crisis
-
Tags
- Cascade Institute - research focus
- denialism - mortality salience
- meme - honesty can threaten hope
- polycrisis
- leverage points - art
- key insight - synchronization - positive feedback
- clean high energy density energy source - ultra deep geo thermal
- Cascade Institute
- robust hope triplet
- example - complex systems clicches
- definition - robust hope
- definition - pernicious cascade
- Earth species project
- adjacency - collective action - government - commons movement - libertarianism
- Me vs We
- energy diet
- futures
- polycrisis - leverage point - hope
- Invert the M
- cascades - two types
- book - The Ingenuity Gap
- claim - polycrisis - two parallel interventions
- adjacency - polycrisis - fear - anger - political exploitation - authoritarianism - polarization
- green growth - shortage of batteries
- quote - many people are complex systems thinkers
- adjacency - positive feedback - synchronization
- Me AND We
- pernicious cascades - qualities
- definition - adjacent possible
- Ingenuity gap
- crisis - amplification and acceleration - waveform diagram
- Individual/collective herald gestalt
- expanded sense of community
- pernicious cascades
- adjacency - art - leverage point - idling resource
- rapid behaviour change - COVID - polycrisis
- desirable futures - 4 pillars
- adjacency - polycrisis - fear - anger - hope - antidote
- animal communication
- progress trap
- Progress trap ,- vaccine
- quote - leverage point - hope
- ultra deep geothermal drilling technology
- stats - pernicious cascades
- book - Commanding Hope
- synchronized crisis
- trigger events
- question - colonialism and degrowth
- definition - virtuous cascade
- Thomas Homer-Dixon
- adjacency - outdated government institutions - delegitimization - rise of authoritarianism
- etymology - polycrisis
- definition - enough vs feasible dilemma
- stats - polycrisis major stressors
- beyond the human moral community
- Royal Roads University - Changemakers Speakers Series
- Me2We
- book - The Upside of Down
- double bind
- virtuous cascade
- example - energy density of fossil fuels
- modernity - high energy density
- desirable futures
- example - Wicked problem
Annotators
URL
-
-
homerdixon.com homerdixon.com
-
Why do some societies successfully adapt while others do not? I concluded that a central characteristic of societies that successfully adapt is their ability to produce and deliver useful ideas (or what I call “ingenuity”) to meet the demands placed on them by worsening environmental problems.
-
for: question - adaptation - answer - adaptation, adaptation - ingenuity, endogenous growth, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Cascade Institute
-
question: adaptation
- why do some societies successfully adapt to environmental stresses while others do not?
-
answer: adaptation
- Ingenuity
- Researchers within societies that are able to adapt effectively are able to deliver ingenuity at the right time and place to prevent environmental problems from causing severe hardship.
- Ingenuity
-
references
- The ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity (Homer-Dixon & Barbier,1995)?
- Resource Scaricity and Innovation: Can Poor Countries Attain Endogenous Growth (Homer-Dixon & Barbier,1999)?
- The Ingenuity Gap (2000)
- The Upside of Down (Homer-Dixon, 2006)
-
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cityform.mit.edu cityform.mit.edu
-
- for: urban planning - open source tools
-
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www.researchgate.net www.researchgate.net
-
- for: urban planning - open source tools
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www.iadb.org www.iadb.org
-
- for: urban planning - open source tools
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www.fastcompany.com www.fastcompany.com
-
- for: urban planning - open source tools
-
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
-
almost all wealthy countries now is dominated 00:13:37 by the car it's not about moving people it's about moving lumps of metal around with one person in them You' have to move away from that
- for: inefficiencies - example - cars, low carbon futures - reduce cars
-
we have to be very careful when we respond to climate change we're not exacerbating the other ones that are there and 00:12:34 ideally we want to try and respond to all of these challenges at the same time and there are a lot of crossovers between them but there are also real risks that sometimes you you solve one thing and cause another now in contemporary Society we have been very 00:12:47 good at reductionist thinking of of silos of thinking one bit and then causing another problem elsewhere we we don't have that opportunity anymore we have to start to think of these issues at a system level
-
for: progress trap - Kevin Anderson
-
validation: SRG mapping tool, Indyweb
-
-
-
www.fastcompany.com www.fastcompany.com
-
for some large corporations, the carbon footprint from their investments and cash in banks can be their largest source of emissions; for PayPal, for example, its carbon footprint from banking in 2021 was 55 times larger than all of its other emissions combined.
-
for: carbon footprint of investments - example, carbon footprint - Paypal
-
example
- Paypals carbon footprint of investments and cash in bank was 55x higher than all other emissions combined. Wow!
-
-
Consider pushing your company to change its own banking
-
for: SRG campaign - stop high emissions banking
-
SRG campaign
- stop - banking with high emission banks
- reset - search for alternate low emissions bank
- go - if criteria is met, do the switch
-
-
Find a better bank
-
for: search for - low carbon bank
-
to
- inspired search:[how much of royal bank of canada investments is in fossil fuels?] (https://search.brave.com/search?q=how+much+of+royal+bank+of+canada+investments+is+in+fossil+fuels%3F&source=desktop)
-
limitation
- their tools listed are situated in the US only
-
-
if you bank with one of the largest 11 banks in the U.S., the report suggests using the rough estimate of 0.24 metric tons of CO2 for every $1,000 you have in the bank. Between 20% and 30% of your money is likely used in fossil fuel projects or other carbon-intensive sectors like mining.
-
for: stats - bank emissions
-
stats: bank emissions
- if your bank is equivalent to the largest 11 US banks, the Project Drawdown report estimates
- 0.24 metric tons of CO2 for every $1,000 USD saved in the bank
- between 20 to 30 percent of your money is likely used to finance fossil fuel projects or other carbon intensive sectors like mining.
- if your bank is equivalent to the largest 11 US banks, the Project Drawdown report estimates
-
-
-
for:climate crisis - solutions - banking
-
from:[ Linked In Jonathan Foley Post] (https://hyp.is/TMzeTpnkEe6gsIcc_dt8hg/www.linkedin.com/posts/jonathan-foley-182808b9_how-to-break-up-with-your-bank-activity-7140431002400677888--kqs/)
-
Tags
- SRG campaign - stop high emissions banking
- from - Linked In Jonathan Foley - Project Drawdown post
- project drawdown - bank emissions
- carbon footprint of investments - examples
- carbon footprint - Paypal
- climate crisis - solutions - banking
- search for - low carbon bank
- stats - bank emissions
Annotators
URL
-
-
www.cbc.ca www.cbc.ca
-
Royal Bank of Canada was the biggest fossil fuel financier in the world last year after providing over $42 billion US in funding.
-
for: fossil fuel - financing - RBC
-
comment
- wow!
-
-
-
-
www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
-
Exciting new report from Project Drawdown shows how changing your bank might be one of the most effective hashtag#climate solution levers we can pull.
to: [Fast Company article on bank emissions] (https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fastcompany.com%2F90996425%2Fhow-to-break-up-with-your-bank&group=world)
-
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rupertread.net rupertread.net
-
What is needed is a breakaway group of nations willing to get serious about the climate emergency. Who would join it? Most of the world’s countries, potentially.
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for: key point: alternative COP - breakaway group of nations, quote - alternative COP
-
quote
- What is needed is a breakaway group of nations willing to get serious about the climate emergency. Who would join it? Most of the world’s countries, potentially.
- author: Rupert Read
-
date: Dec 4, 2021
-
comment
- suggestion
- This could very well work. By applying social tipping point theory, a coalition of the willing could potentially accomplish a lot more than a coalition mired in friction.
- There is enough capacity between 100 nation states willing to take far more aggressive measures than what a few petrostates of the COP convention continuously veto that it could bring about a social tipping point.
-
-
“come back next year and try again”. My response is that it will be the same old thing – they’ve had 26 chances already. The planet can’t afford any more. I think the time for the Cop process is over. We just can’t keep kicking the can down the road.
-
for: quote - COP - Rupert Read, quote - COP - come back next year and try again, quote - alternative COP
-
quote
- come back next year and try again
- author: Rupert Read
-
date: Dec. 4, 2021
-
quote
- We just can't keep kicking the can down the road
- author: Rupert Read
-
date: Dec 4, 2021
-
comment
- Well, COP28 is over and just as Rupert Read predicted above, we will
- kick the can down the road again
- come back next year and try again
- It's a perpetual groundhog day, until it isn't
- Well, COP28 is over and just as Rupert Read predicted above, we will
-
-
- from:[hypothesis annotation] (https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.linkedin.com%2Ffeed%2Fupdate%2Furn%3Ali%3Aactivity%3A7140623789737811969%2F%3FcommentUrn%3Durn%3Ali%3Acomment%3A(activity%3A7140623789737811969%2C7140681818403422208)%26dashCommentUrn%3Durn%3Ali%3Afsd_comment%3A(7140681818403422208%2Curn%3Ali%3Aactivity%3A7140623789737811969)&group=world )
-
-
www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
-
Rupert Read has the best idea I have heard re international climate negotiations: countries that are serious should have their own conference where they collaborate on strong targets, plans, etc. Part of which should be recognising the dangers of remaining reliant on the petrostates, planning to transcend that reliance and sanctioning them
-
for: good idea - COP alternative, COP alternative - coalition of the willing, COP alternative - social tipping point, Rupert Read - alternative to COP
-
good idea: COP alternative
- This could work based on the principle of social tipping points
- The current COP pits the powerful incumbents of the old system delaying as long as possible rapid system change, these are the conservatives
- This puts the liberals at distinct disadvantage from the conservatives because in a consensus reached agreement, the conservatives can veto any strong and binding language that represents rapid system change
- In an alternative conference where the 100+ nation states are already in agreement, action in this smaller coalition OF THE WILLING, will lead to rapid action.
- This could lead to breaking the threshold of system change via reaching the 25% social tipping point threshold
-
question: alternative COP
- If an alternative COP was held, is the nation state the best level to approach?
- What about a city level COP?
-
reference
- Rupert Read article on alternative COP
-
-
-
www.google.com www.google.com
-
google.search: nexialist meaning
-
-
kangarookoncepts.tripod.com kangarookoncepts.tripod.com
-
-
www.terrestres.org www.terrestres.org
-
its design as by its original destination, the car is a luxury good. And luxury, in essence, cannot be democratized: if everyone has access to luxury, no one benefits from it; on the contrary: everyone cheats, frustrates and dispossesses others and is cheated, frustrated and dispossessed by them.
-
for: quote - luxury cannot be democratized, 1% - democracy, elites - democracy, adjacency - luxury - democracy, luxury is not democratic, luxury is inequality, Andre Gorz, Terrestrial website, adjancency - luxury - democracy, quote luxury
-
quote
- ... By its design as by its original destination, the car is a luxury good. And luxury, in essence, cannot be democratized: if everyone has access to luxury, no one benefits from it; on the contrary: everyone cheats, frustrates and dispossesses others and is cheated, frustrated and dispossessed by them.
- author: Andre Gorz
- date: Sept. 25, 2023
-
publication: Terrestrial
-
comment
- insightful comment reveals an adjacency between luxury and democracy that is obvious in hindsight, but missed seeing in foresight!
-
adjacency between:
- luxury
- democracy
- adjacency statement
- luxury is, by definition a premium artefact so by definition is beyond the reach of most people. It is therefore un-democratic by design.
-
-
-
bylinetimes.com bylinetimes.com
-
Whatever one thinks of Sultan Al Jaber, one statement he’s made repeatedly makes perfect sense: “We cannot unplug the world from the current energy system before we build a new energy system.” The focus, then, has to shift.
-
for: quote - Sultan Al Jabber, quote - energy replacement instead of phase out, key point - focus on energy transition instead of just fossil fuel phase out
-
quote
- Whatever one thinks of Sultan Al Jaber, one statement he’s made repeatedly makes perfect sense: “We cannot unplug the world from the current energy system before we build a new energy system.”
- The focus, then, has to shift.
- Instead of focusing on dismantling the incumbent system,
- we need to focus on accelerating the deployment of the new system that will replace it
- author: Nafeez Ahmed
-
date : Dec 6, 2023
-
key point
- we must focus on the energy shift instead of just the phase out or down of the old energy system
-
-
Yet we have to not lose sight of the opportunity ahead. We have a chance to get a global agreement on some unprecedented milestones that have never been on the table before: tripling renewables worldwide by 2030, reducing fossil fuel use worldwide, and releasing trillions of climate finance. What many don’t realise is that we are dealing with nonlinear dynamics here – not simple straight line change.
-
for: COP28 - success without phase out
-
key point
- Even if the final COP28 language does not include phase out or phase down, it can still happen if the other deals are inked, such as tripling of renewables by 2030 or trillions more for climate finance.
- This is because nonlinear dynamics are at play
- Tripling investments can result in deployment far beyond the 3x investment
- If that happens then the resulting atmosphere will force phase down and potentially phase out of fossil fuels simply by market logic
- current heavy fossil fuel subsidies will be stressed to potential breaking point
- being so noncompetitive will drive away many investors
-
-
green colonialism
-
for: definition - green colonialism
-
definition: green colonialism
- applying colonialist thinking to the green transition
-
-
-
bylinetimes.com bylinetimes.com
-
- for: polycrisis - US political election interference due to threat of net zero transition to Russian economy
-
-
www.linkedin.com www.linkedin.com
-
Ultimately, the conversation needs to change to how we phase out fossil fuel demand. Because it’s demand that keeps producers in business.
-
for: fossil fuel phase out, fossil fuel phase down, fossil fuel demand phase out
-
suggestion - by Nafeez Ahmed - fossil fuel demand phase out
- Nafeez writes that instead of phasing out fossil fuels, the focus should be on phasing out fossil fuel demand through increasing demand for alternatives
-
-
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www.carbonbrief.org www.carbonbrief.org
-
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for: carbon emissions - colonialism correction
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title: Revealed: How colonial rule radically shifts historical responsibility for climate change
- date: Nov. 26, 2023
- author:
- Simon Evans,
- Verner Viisainen
-
publication: Carbon Brief
-
SUMMARY
- first-of-its-kind climate justice analysis that measures the contribution of colonial contributions of carbon emissions
- total emissions to date since 1850: 2,558bn tonnes of CO2 (GtCO2).
- planetary global warming since 1850: 1.15C above pre-industrial temperatures.
- 1850 was chosen as start year for humanity's measurable carbon budget due to available records and most emissions happening after this point"
- carbon budget used from 1850 to 2023:92%
- remaining carbon budget: 8%
- chances of staying under 1.5 Deg C if we do not exceed our budget: 50/50
- burn rate of remaining 8%: 1% / month
- time remaining to stay within budget: 8.4 years:
- emissions corrected by colonial emissions accounting"
- Portugal emissions: > 3x more
- Netherlands emissions: 3x more
- UK emissions: 2x more
- UK ranks 4th when colonial emissions are counted
- France emissions: 1.5x more
- EU+UK emissions:19% more
- As a group, EU+UK ranks only 2nd behind US
- India emissions: 15% less
- Indonesia: 34% less
- Africa: 24% less
- On a per capita basis, China, Africa and India are far behind developed nations' emissions contributions.
- Many former colonial powers are now net CO2 importers. This raises their emissions contributions even further if accounted for
-
-
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
-
better described by a phylogenetic network than a bifurcating tree.[1] Reticulate patterns can be found in the phylogenetic
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for: salience mismatch - comparison - phylogenetic network - bifurcating tree
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salience mismatch: comparison - phylogenetic network - bifurcating tree
- Dec 11, 2023
- I need examples of both applied to indyweb / Indranet to see pros and cons
- I don't yet appreciate the meaning of phylogenetic network
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phylogenetic_network
- Dec 12, 2023
- Salience mismatch lifting. I think you are applying biomimcry here but the comarison between
- evolution of living systems and
- evolution of ideas
- Two (or more) ideas can interact and give rise to a new idea
- So at the very least, at least 3 ideas can exist autonomously, each being a source for new ideas.
- Salience mismatch lifting. I think you are applying biomimcry here but the comarison between
- Dec 11, 2023
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braveneweurope.com braveneweurope.com
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This dangerous framing is compounded by a generally supine media owned or controlled by the 1%
- for: 1% - media control
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This 1% of humanity uses its awesome power to manipulate societal aspirations and the narratives around climate change.
-
for: quote - Kevin Anderson, quote - 1% manipulation
-
quote
- This 1% of humanity uses its awesome power to manipulate
- societal aspirations and
- the narratives around climate change.
- These extend from
- well-funded advertising to
- pseudo-technical solutions,
- the financialisation of carbon emissions (and increasingly, nature) to
- labelling extreme any meaningful narrative that questions inequality and power.
- This 1% of humanity uses its awesome power to manipulate
-
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For a flip-of-a-coin chance of staying at or below 1.5°C we have, globally, just five to eight years of current emissions before we blow our carbon budget
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for: do people know? - 50% chance, 1.5 Deg. C target - is still a crap shoot
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new trailmark: do people know?
-
do people know?: 50% chance
- the well known 1.5 Deg C. target, which currently seems almost impossible to achieve, is still a crap shoot! There is a 50% chance that if be we achieve it, we can still trigger very harmful impacts like tipping points
-
-
they have the power to hinder progress towards stopping the climate crisis, especially with their control of mainstream media.
- for: climate crisis - elite control of mainstream media
-
- for: Kevin Anderson - carbon inequality, climate crisis - carbon inequality climate crisis - carbon inequality, carbon inequality
Tags
- climate crisis - Ellie control off mainstream media
- Kevin Anderson - carbon inequality
- do people know?
- climate inequality
- quote - 1% manipulation
- new trailmark - do people know?
- Climate crisis
- 1% - media control
- 1.5 Deg target - is still a crap shoot
- do people know? - 50% chance
- climate crisis - carbon inequality
- Kevin Anderson
- quote - Kevin Anderson
Annotators
URL
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-
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we need to find things and issues and events that people care about that brings together the big social blocks that we have so 00:53:07 people as workers people as women people as disabled people as racialized and so on and so forth uh to into having a a united front and then when there has 00:53:21 that United f it needs to have a radical Democratic element extremely radical Democratic element as in this is not just we're changing some of the people that are at the top of the 00:53:34 state we have to go into democratize the state
-
for: appropriate cliches - united we stand, appropriate cliches - power to the people
-
suggestion
- cliches
- we need modernize old cliches
- united we stand, divided we fall
- power to the people - energy cooperative
- water to the people - water cooperative
- food to the people - food cooperative
- knowledge to the people - media and education cooperative
- Stop Reset Go and Indyweb / Indranet can converge media from across the web via mindplex of trans-disciplinary social annotations
- we need modernize old cliches
-
-
they have been swallowed up into uh you know the left part of the 00:52:30 the block that fights against the the rightwing block that's a necessary role that they're playing but the next Force needs to sit outside of that
-
for: left / right polarization - transcending
-
comment
- What James is saying is that we must be wise enough to:
- understand the attractors of each party so that
- whole system change agents can navigate away from being coopted into the existing polarization
- This requires a very strong and clear understanding of the direction whole system change requires and staying on course
- It's very insightful to study how coopting occurs in real-life
- What James is saying is that we must be wise enough to:
-
-
the term that I'm knocking around at the moment for you know something which isn't a green New Deal de growth is a 00:32:28 green Democratic Revolution
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for: definition - green democratic revolution
-
definition: green democratic revolution
- Schneider proposes this strategy is more pragmatic than either green growth or degrowth. The words are chosen carefully:
- green - obvious
- democratic - authentic equal power of the people
- revolution - because we are at the precipice, a fast evolution, a rEVOLUTION is necessary
- He finds both of these current approaches problematic:
- green growth employs the same elite debt-based growth logic that contributed to the fossil growth economy
- degrowth is a terrible term for climate communications which brings the wrong immediate connotations to the masses so creates unnecessary friction at the outset for any strategy that needs to win over the masses.
- Schneider proposes this strategy is more pragmatic than either green growth or degrowth. The words are chosen carefully:
-
-
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for: climate crisis - voting for global political green candidates, podcast - Planet Critical, interview - Planet Critical - James Schneider - communications officer - Progressive International, green democratic revolution, climate crisis - elite control off mainstream media
-
podcast: Planet Critical
- host: Rachel Donald
-
title: Overthrowing the Ruling Class: The Green Democratic Revolution
-
summary
- This is a very insightful interview with James Schneider, communications officer of Progressive International on the scales of political change required to advert our existential Poly / meta / meaning crisis.
- James sees 3 levels of crisis
- ordinary crisis emerging from a broken system
- larger wicked problems that cannot be solved in isolation
- the biggest umbrella crisis that covers all others - the last remaining decades of the fossil fuel system,
- due to peak oil but accelerated by
- climate crisis
- There has to be a paradigm shift on governance, as the ruling elites are driving humanity off the cliff edge
- This is not incremental change but a paradigm shift in governance
- To do that, we have to adopt an anti-regime perspective, that is not reinforcing the current infective administrative state, otherwise, as COVID taught us, we will end up driving the masses to adopt hard right politicians
- In order to establish the policies that are aligned to the science, the people and politicians have to be aligned.
- Voting in candidates who champion policies aligned to science is a leverage point.
- That can only be done if the citizenry is educated enough to vote for such politicians
- So there are two parallel tasks to be done:
- mass education program to educate citizens
- mass program to encourage candidates aligned to climate science to run for political office
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have you seen this amazing interview from years ago with um what's he called Andrew 00:50:57 marsky yes and um uh and he says and um Andrew Maron says in a incredibly pompous way you know journalist with a stroppy disputatious
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for: media bias - insight of journalist questions
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media insight
- the journalist's question reveals where they are situated
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the French Revolution happened in Denmark
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for: social tipping points - political, quote - french Revolution - Denmark
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quote.
- the French Revolution happened in Denmark
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well I'll start with two extremely optimistic points
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for: answer to above question
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answer : two answers
- first, the elite have the majority of
- wealth
- control of setting policies
- control of the media
- and they work really hard at controlling policy and media
- and the people
- hate the system
- generally hate them
- second, social tipping points occur. Something happened in over place, then it spreads to other places
- first, the elite have the majority of
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how do we organize a green de Democratic Revolutio
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for: question - how do we organise a green democratic revolution when power is so entrenched?
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question
- how do we organise a green democratic revolution when power is so entrenched?
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let's go back to focusing on like these forces that exist to undermine 00:46:38 popular power um and maintain the the the ruling class
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for,: question - maintaining ruling elites
-
question
- how do the elites maintain the tiling class in their favour and undermine popular power,?
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the overwhelming majority of people support are not on the political agenda which is why this whole the idea that there is a center in politics is a complete fiction
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for: quote - there is no center, it's a fiction, quote - James Schneider - Progressive International
-
quote
- key point
- the things that the overwhelming majority of people support are not on the political agenda
- which is why this whole the idea that there is a center in politics is a complete fiction
- Elite consensus opinion is almost always massively in the minority
- and so you have to work very hard to prevent things which are massively in the majority from getting political expression
- Polling between 2/3 and 3/4 of people support (including generally speaking the majority of people who voted in the last election support) things like
- public ownership of
- energy
- water
- rail
- mail, etc
- a 15 pound an hour minimum wage
- a wealth tax
- public ownership of
- the things that the overwhelming majority of people support are not on the political agenda
- All of these things considered way way on the left are not on the left, that's actually the center if you're talking about where is the mainstream British public opinion - and it's such strong public opinion because no one ever says it in the public sphere and when they do they are ridiculed
- author: James Schneider, Progressive International
- date: Dec, 2023
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you can see it all the time it's 00:41:37 unbelievably it's unbelievably painful we look at all the our institutions
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for: polycrisis - entrenched institutional bias, examples - entrenched institutional bias - bank macro economic policy - lobbyist
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paraphrase
- James provides two examples of major institutional bias that has to be rapidly overcome if we are to stand a chance at facilitating rapid system change:
- Bank of England controls macroeconomic policies that favour elites and not ordinary people and
- these policies are beyond political contestation
- In the normal political system, lobbyists through the revolving door between the top levels of the Civil Service and the corporate sector bias policies for elites and not ordinary citizens
- Bank of England controls macroeconomic policies that favour elites and not ordinary people and
- James provides two examples of major institutional bias that has to be rapidly overcome if we are to stand a chance at facilitating rapid system change:
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the changes that we need to make to our political system go well well 00:41:10 well beyond like having a better P party in changing who some of the MPS are and so on and so forth because it is structurally set up to insulate the ruling class from popular pressure
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for: quote - political system change is required
-
quote
- the changes that we need to make our political system go well beyond having a better party or changing who some of the MPS are and so on
- because it is structurally set up to insulate the ruling class from popular pressure
- the changes that we need to make our political system go well beyond having a better party or changing who some of the MPS are and so on
-
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it is so difficult to get people excited about politics because they've sort of seen through the two- party system now where it's just like the same thing over and 00:38:25 over
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for: green democratic revolution - critique
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critique: green democratic revolution
-
paraphrase
- it is so difficult to get people excited about politics because
- they've sort of seen through the two- party system now where it's just like the same thing over and over again
- so you have to offer something new
- but I think was quite difficult for the left to really bring about a progressive Revolution
- Iif you take that kind of thinking to its logical conclusion, one essentially ends up just abolishing the whole system and end up at Anarchy
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meanwhile, the right is doubling down and making itself a firmer force
-
comment
- in a sense, it feels like a moment when the traditional tension between liberals and conservatives is reaching a peak
- over force is desperately hanging onto the past whilst smoother is forestry moving in a new direction
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our posture as well 00:36:59 has to be like totally anti- systemic we're not coming in to try to get some reforms to try to amarate just some of the some of the crisis 00:37:11 because we it's actually not possible
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for: anti-system posture - required for mass support
-
reference
- see previous annotation
-
-
I you know think this is important in the kind of what the left postur is to regime break to system breakdown which 00:35:27 experiencing has to be anti-regime let
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for: Lessons from COVID
- Left position to avoid driving masses to the hard right
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quote
- i think this is important in the kind of what the left posture is to regime and system breakdown which it is experiencing has to be anti-regime
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paraphrase
- otherwise the anti-regime forces go to the hard right and
- if the left follows the left wing of the management state which is trying to technocratically limit the catastrophe of breakdown,
- it will never get popular support that's basically what happened during COVID.
- the hard right denied science, the left went begging the administrative state and as a consequence, there was a massive expansion of the right around the globe
- otherwise the anti-regime forces go to the hard right and
-
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normal crisis in the system for most people is degrowth like 00:22:22 most people's living standards don't rise that's so it's it's divorced from the experience that that most people have in in in the UK you know where we're where we're speaking from wages at 00:22:36 the same level they were in 2005 rents aren't bills aren't your groceries aren't but your pay is so um you know most people have been experiencing 00:22:49 degrowth that's the comms reason why it's bad
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for: degrowth - criticism - bad communication, suggestion - growth and degrowth simultaneously
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suggestion
- evolution / transition / transformation are better terms as it indicates something is dying at the same time diverging is being born
- it is highly misleading to think one dimensionally as there are many things that have to degrow and many things that have to grow simultaneously
- degrowth of carbon emissions, which implies pragmatically in the short time scale noe available a significant degrowth of fossil fuels
- growth of a new energy system to replace much of it
- degrowth of unnecessary and harmful consumption accompanied
- growth of holistic network of root level wellbeing activities and the low carbon infrastructure to support it
-
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we're on the highway to climate hell with our foot on the accelerator and he completely right 00:33:33 apart from one thing right
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for: climate crisis - analogy
-
climate crisis - analogy
- We're on a highway to the cliff
- our foot is on the accelerator
- the ruling class is driving
- we are bound and gagged in the boot
- we have to
- work together to untie ourselves,
- break through the front seat,
- remove the driver,
- take control of the steering wheel and brakes and
- avoid driving over the cliff edge
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we need to implement emergency 00:30:58 plans to transform th some things very fast and those are the highest order things within the within the world system so that 00:31:11 is um most importantly energy food production and debt write Downs those are those are the things and there are other things as well but
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for: priorities - rapid whole system change
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priorities: rapid whole system change
- energy system
- food system
- debt
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couldn't that be one way to like quite dramatically Force regime change then if if you could Implement degrowth and kind of trigger a because this is a 00:30:21 a lot of what they talk about as well degrowth Scholars like it's either degrowth a controlled degrowth or an uncontrolled Financial collapse so couldn't that then force a change in the 00:30:32 financial system
- for,: question - controller degrowth vs financial collapse
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why do we need 00:24:19 to have economic expansion because there's 300 trillion dollar of debt based on future expansion so if we don't have future expansion that's $300 trillion 00:24:33 worth of debt which isn't going to be repaid entirely which means total financial crisis and so on and so right I say it is baked into the system
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for: adjacency - debt - growth
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adjacency between
- debt
- growth
- adjacency statement
- in the current different of endless growth, debt requires growth to pay off the debt
- we borrow money to open a new business and have to GROW our market shares to service the debt
- multiplier millions and billions of times the world over, we have too brief our markets and sell more stuff too post back our loans
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there are sort of 00:17:41 two broad um programs or ideas that deal with this or that try to engage with this issue they have pockets of support 00:17:52 one is the idea of a green New Deal or a global Green New Deal and the other one is degrowth and and I don't think that either of those work for different reasons
- for: quote, climate futures - both green new deal and regrowth don't work, green new deal - criticism, degrowth - criticism
Tags
- climate crisis - elite control of mainstream media
- definition - green democratic revolution
- cliches - united we stand
- anti system posture - required for mass support
- degrowth - criticism - bad communication
- answer - to above question
- podcast - Planet Critical - James Schneider - Progressive International - Green democratic revolution
- quote - both green new deal and degrowth won't work
- Green new deal - criticism
- James Schneider - communications offers - Progressive International
- institutional bias - bank macro economic policy and lobbyists
- polycrisis - entrenched institutional bias
- climate crisis - voting for global political green candidates
- COVID - political lessons for the left
- social tipping points - political - example - french Revolution
- Left must adopt anti-regime to win the populas
- priorities - rapid whole system change
- Social tipping points
- key point - there is no center, it's a fiction
- question - maintaining elite power
- green democratic revolution - critique
- media bias - insight of journalist questions
- suggestion - transition - growth - degrowth - complexity
- Social tipping points - political
- adjacency - debt - growth
- quote - French Revolution - Denmark
- cliches - power to the people
- quote - political system change is required
- degrowth - criticism
- trans-disciplinary mindplex - SRG mapping / Indyweb / Indranet
- suggestion ,- growth and degrowth simultaneously
- green democratic revolution
- quote - James Schneider, Progressive International
- climate crisis ,- analogy
- question ,- controlled degrowth vs financial collapse
- quote - there is no center, it's a fiction
- left / right polarization - transcending
- Elites - are not popular
- question - how do we organise a green democratic revolution when power is so entrenched?
- climate futures - green new deal - degrowth
Annotators
URL
-
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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- annotate
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for: James Hansen - interview - Paul Beckwith, Global warming in the pipeline
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Summary
- Paul discusses James Hansen's most recent, and controversial paper:
- Global warming in the pipeline
- with guest James Hansen
- the paper claims that IPCC protective are far too conservative
- Micheal Mann fort I've, disagrees with it:
- a
- Paul discusses James Hansen's most recent, and controversial paper:
-
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www.frontiersin.org www.frontiersin.org
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Conclusion: Supporting our hypotheses, we identify a general trend that social marginalization is associated with less system-justification. Those benefitting from the status quo (e.g., healthier, wealthier, less lonely) were more likely to hold system-justifying beliefs. However, some groups who are disadvantaged within the existing system reported higher system-justification—suggesting that system oppression may be a key moderator of the effect of social position on system justification.
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for: system justification theory, status quo bias, question - lack of commensurate action
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summary
- Supporting their hypotheses, the authors identify a general trend that social marginalization is associated with less system-justification.
- Those benefitting from the status quo (e.g., healthier, wealthier, less lonely) were more likely to hold system-justifying beliefs.
- However, some groups who are disadvantaged within the existing system reported higher system-justification—suggesting that
- system oppression may be a key moderator of the effect of social position on system justification.
-
Question
- The question here is this:
- Can system justification theory be applied to explain why the majority of citizens, even though they are aware that the current fossil fuel energy system must be rapidly scaled down, there is no commensurate sense of emergency of concomitant action?
- The question here is this:
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the oppression of gender minority and non-white individuals very likely increases the costs of desisting from system-justifying beliefs as is the case when minority political candidates are judged as more extreme compared to white and male candidates (69)—increasing the social sanctions (costs) for holding “extreme” views. These pressures can give rise to politics of respectability—which are used to deflect social pressures targeting one's identity (70, 71).
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for: system justification theory - conformity bias
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key insight
- conformity bias imposed on individuals belonging to minorities can bring about stronger system justification behavior
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-
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for: system justification theory, status quo bias
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summary
- Supporting their hypotheses, the authors identify a general trend that social marginalization is associated with less system-justification.
- Those benefitting from the status quo (e.g., healthier, wealthier, less lonely) were more likely to hold system-justifying beliefs.
- However, some groups who are disadvantaged within the existing system reported higher system-justification—suggesting that
- system oppression may be a key moderator of the effect of social position on system justification.
- This is a very important finding and could be used to develop more effective social tipping point strategies
-
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wires.onlinelibrary.wiley.com wires.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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for: social tipping point, STP, social tipping point - misapplication, social tipping points - 4 application errors
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title: Social tipping points everywhere?—Patterns and risks of overuse
- author: Manjana Miikoreit
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date: Nov 17, 2022
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abstract
- The last few years have witnessed an explosion of interest in the concept of social tipping points (STPs),
- understood as nonlinear processes of transformative change in social systems.
- A growing body of interdisciplinary scholarship has been focusing in particular on social tipping related to climate change.
- In contrast with tipping point studies in the natural sciences–for example
- climate tipping points and
- ecological regime shifts–
- STPs are often conceptualized as desirable, offering potential solutions to pressing problems.
- Drawing on
- a well-established definition for tipping points, and
- a qualitative review of articles that explicitly treat social tipping points as potential solutions to climate change,
- this article identifies four deleterious patterns in the application of the STP concept in this recent wave of research on nonlinear social change:
- (i) premature labeling,
- (ii) not defining system boundaries and scales of analysis,
- (iii) not providing evidence for all characteristics of tipping processes, and
- (iv) not making use of existing social theories of change.
- Jointly, these patterns create a trend of overusing the concept.
- Recognizing and avoiding these patterns of “seeing the world through tipping point glasses” is important for
- the quality of scientific knowledge generated in this young field of inquiry and for
- future science-policy interactions related to climate change.
- Future research should seek to
- identify empirical evidence for STPs while remaining open to the possibility that
- many social change processes are not instances of tipping, or that
- certain systems might not be prone to nonlinear change.
- identify empirical evidence for STPs while remaining open to the possibility that
- The last few years have witnessed an explosion of interest in the concept of social tipping points (STPs),
-
-
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
-
- for: polycrisis, metacrisis, meaning crisis
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willruddick.substack.com willruddick.substack.com
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we as a society do…. Stuff to get money
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for: money - enabling transaction with strangers, adjacency - money - othering
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adjacency between
- money
- othering
- competition
- sacred
- adjacency statement
- in exchange for MY labour, I have access to the fruits of others
- how much money your can get used how much resource produced by others you can get
- we accumulate money for ourselves and don't share much with others
- othering is built into the use of money ,- the artificial scarcity of money puts us all in competition with each other for a scarce resource
- competition is othering
- by default, the economic game is about grabbing the most resources for self
- hence it is facing a direction AWAY from the sacred
- it intrinsically does not treat all others a equally sacred
- it promotes an every-person-for themselves attitude
-
-
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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softness is not the kind of thing that's generated in my brain okay 00:06:36 softness is a word that describes how I am currently interacting with a sponge it's a mistake to go looking in the brain to understand why I feel it is soft rather than hard because it lies in 00:06:48 what I'm doing and the same for these other accompanying fields thinking this way about softness is a way of escaping from the explanatory Gap 00:07:01 because it it's a way of escaping from the idea that we need to find a brain mechanism that's generating the softness
- for: hard problem of consciousness - sensory motor theory, explanatory gap
-
there may be a little bit of a mystery is in the quality of the redness of red or in this case the quality of the felt softness and this is where 00:04:56 sensory motor theory has an original contribution
- for: hard problem of consciousness - sensory motor theory
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www.onecommunityglobal.org www.onecommunityglobal.org
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- for: open source - built environment
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www.regenerators.co www.regenerators.co
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for: Deep Humanity - business transition, DH - business transition
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summary
- fear of the old system dying, and therefore of death in general is something top executives are dealing with, and not very well.
- Deep Humanity mortality salience BEing journeys are a valuable tool to help with the transition of business and industry
-
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In the past seven years alone I’ve given more than 500 talks and interviews about regeneration, and I sense the same fear again and again in most leaders. A fear of fully embracing a regenerative transition because it means they need to let go of most of what they have been taught is good business and leadership. They need to surrender to a landscape that doesn’t have a fixed toolbox, process-plans, checklists and business models and it scares the shit out of most executives.
- for: transition - business world - fear, DH - business application, Deep Humanity - Business application
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sonec.org sonec.org
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he initiators
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for: SRG TPF community initiator program
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Common objective on a local level, like a specific problemNeighbourhood cooperation to build better relationships, without a specific objectiveAn individual takes the initiative to build a neighbourhood community, driven by a visionof a better world.
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for: question - SONEC alignment to earth system boundaries
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question
- Stop Reset Go's objective is to find global community partners who can help motivate a local community strategy aligned with the tight timeframe to stay under 1.5 Deg C.
- Is SONEC open to working on a strategic to empower communities in this way?
- We can offer it as an optional framework that the community can integrate into their final framework
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Different kinds of neighbourhoods
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for: neighboourhood typologies
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paraphrase
- local
- extended
- virtual
-
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If, in addition, the necessary financial resources are lacking, the citizens will not be able to adequatelymeet expectations either
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for: community participation - challenges
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comment
- time and money are the two biggest factors governing participation. There is a high level of precarity in society currently and many people are just trying to survive, leaving little time left over for anything else
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For citizens,neighbourhoods are the place to live. This is the level at which they get to know each other, build re-lationships and take action to achieve political and socio-ecological change 23
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for: neighborhood cooperation - challenges, community cooperation - challenges
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comment
- the greatest challenge with community and neighbourhood cooperation is that the great diversity of people living in them can pose a challenge to effective cooperation.
- there is a structural reason for the alenation found in Western communities and neighbourhoods that have emerged in historical context of the three great separations
-
references
- the three great separations
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Local governments are also very aware of theseproblems.
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for: local government - citizen conflicts, community group autonomy,
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comment
- frequently, local government officials are in conflict with citizens. That's why it's important that community citizen groups have autonomy while still maintaining important relationships with local governments.
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Although there are manyinitiatives, they have not yet reached the scale necessary to respond effectively to the crises; they oftenlack a stable and facile organisation of collaboration and a clearly structured process of joint decisionmaking
-
for: key insight - community capacity
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key insight - community capacity
- quote
- . Although there are many initiatives, they have not yet reached the scale necessary to respond effectively to the crises; they often lack a stable and facile organisation of collaboration and a clearly structured process of joint decision making
-
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At the same time, more andmore people are demanding a different political culture, transparent decision-making and real partici-pation in political decision-making processes 18 . The crises challenge us to develop and implement newforms of solidarity, citizenship and political action in the sense of a vita activa
- for: vita activa, new forms of political participation
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The multiple crises that we and our children are facing right now are real and well documented byacademics and scientists alike.
- for: polycrisis, metacrisis, meaning crisis
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SoNeC opens up a viable approach for real citizen participation with a potentially major impact toaddress the needs of the people in a certain neighbourhood facing the ever increasing climate andcurrent democratic crisis.
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for: suggestion - SONEC and commons transition plan
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suggestion
- Is a synthesis of SONEC and existingCommons Transition plans worthwhile considering?
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The basic SoNeC framework is designed with European values, e.g. tolerance, mutual respect,non-discrimination, solidarity and gender equality in mind.
-
for: SONEC - expanding globally, Global North South sister city program
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comment
- For globally expanding SONEC, it is also important to consider other cultural values outside the European lens and to also address the structural inequalities of colonialism
- For a globalized SONEC, one suggestion is to create a sister city program based on reparation from colonial injustice and integrating a climate justice component
-
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three well-developed and proven concepts
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for SONEC - foundational pillars
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paraphrase: SONEC foundational pillars
- Neighbourhood parliaments
- Sociocratic circle organization method
- Elinor Ostrom's "governing the commons" principles
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SoNeC is a framework for citizen participation.
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for: transition - at local level, community owned production cooperatives
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comment
- SONECs can provide the vehicle for rapid whole system change and transition at the local level
- From SONEC neighborhood parliaments, a community can become more independent and production can be relocaized in the form of community owned cooperatives for:
- energy
- water
- food
- transportation
- health
- manufacturing
-
Tags
- community participation - challenges
- vita activa
- key insight - community capacity
- polycrisis
- new forms of political participation
- neighbourhood cooperation - challenges
- local government - citizen conflicts
- SONEC foundational pillars
- metacrisis
- three great separations
- nieghbourhood typology - three different types
- community cooperation - challenges
- quote - community capacity
- community owned production cooperatives
- transition - at local level
- meaning crisis
- SONEC - expanding globally
- SRG TPF initiator program
- question - SONEC alignment to staying under 1.5 Deg C and Earth system boundaries
- community group autonomy
- - suggestion - synthesis - SONEC - Commons Transition Plans
- Global North South sister city program
Annotators
URL
-
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earth4all.life earth4all.life
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- annotate
- for: response to COP28 president's statement
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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- for: metacrisis, polylcrisis, meaning crisis, Daniel Schmachtenberger, John Vervaeke, Iain McGilchrist
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for: plan B, climate futures, dystopian future, civilization collapse
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title: If We’ve Lost the Climate War, What’s Plan B?
- subtitle: Why a carbon tax won’t save us, and what’s next.
- author: Crawford Kilian
-
date: Nov 22, 2023
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summary
- a good article that shows the complexity and unpredictability of a collapse scenario and system justification theory, which sounds like the boiling frog syndrome
-
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system justification theory
- for: system justification theory, Kiffer Card, Kirk Hepburn
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It may be that the climate denialists, even in the 1980s, knew this very well. They denied global heating because they saw it meant social and political change on a scale never seen before. An economic system that had made millions rich and billions at least comfortable would collapse. For those who’ve benefited from the system, death is less frightening than poverty.
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for: quote - staying under 1.5 Deg C
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quote: staying under 1.5 Deg C
- It may be that the climate denialists, even in the 1980s, knew this very well.
- They denied global heating because they saw it meant social and political change on a scale never seen before.
- An economic system that had made millions rich and billions at least comfortable would collapse.
- For those who’ve benefited from the system, death is less frightening than poverty.
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Cutting emissions back to bring global temperatures down to 1.5 C or 2 C would be the equivalent of shutting down China, the United States, India, Japan and Russia.
-
for: stats - staying under 1.5 Deg C
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stats: staying under 1.5 Deg C
- is equivalent to shutting down the economies of China, the US, India, Japan and Russia
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- for: 4 Deg world, William Rees,
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global-tipping-points.org global-tipping-points.org
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- for: planetary tipping points, global tipping points, positive tipping points, social tipping points
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www.carbonbrief.org www.carbonbrief.org
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for: remote COP29 project proposal - demographic data
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comment
- this is the first year the full participants list has been published. If it shows city/country of origin, that would be very useful for this proposal
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climatetrace.org climatetrace.org
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- for: emissions tracking tool, climatetrace
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- annotate
Tags
Annotators
URL
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4thgenerationcivilization.substack.com 4thgenerationcivilization.substack.com
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for: futures - neo-Venetian crypto-networks, Global Chinese Commons, GCC, cosmolocal, coordiNation, somewheres, everywheres, nowheres, Global System One, Global System Two, Global System Three, contributory accounting, fourth sector, protocol cooperative, mutual coordination economics
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summary
- learned something new
- I learned a number of new ideas from reading Michel's article. He gives a brief meta-history of our political-socio-economic system, using Peter Pogany's framework of Global System One, Two and Three and within this argues for why a marriage of blockchain systems and cosmolocal production systems could create a "fourth sector" for the transition to Global System Three.
- He cites evidence of existing trends already pointing in this direction, drawing from his research in P2P Foundation
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The next step would be a convergence with the commons of physical production, the cosmo-local urban commons and p2p hardware companies, so that crypto governance becomes a mutual coordination infrastructure for more and more human citizens.
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for: quote - ethereum - milestone - integration with physical production commons
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quote
- The next step would be a convergence with the commons of physical production, the cosmo-local urban commons and p2p hardware companies, so that crypto governance becomes a mutual coordination infrastructure for more and more human citizens
- author: Michel Bauwens
- date: 2023
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If the Somewheres are the locally rooted people, and the Nowheres are digital nomads who have lost their connection to such local communities, then the Everywhere’s are those that are able to connect, and enrich the local through their connection with the global.
- for: definition - somewheres - nowheres - everywheres
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protocol cooperatives
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for: definition - protocol cooperative, question - protocol cooperative
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question: protocol cooperative
- this seems to be the same definition as cosmolocal. Why not call it a cosmolocal cooperative?
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?
- for: typo
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a ‘fourth sector’ model, based on decentralized peer production, and new hybrid forms of organization
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for: fourth sector
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comment
- coexisting with the other three sectors
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<g>
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GCC
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for: acronyms - GCC, suggestion
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suggestion: acronyms
- Have a table of acronyms at the start of the article
- @Michel introduced this without defining it and I did not know the meaning when I saw it here.
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If the 19th cy
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they strongly support the development of ‘public goods’ for the Ethereum and crypto networks
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for: China - support for public goods for Ethereum
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research
- do literature review to validate Michel's claim
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It may not be a surprise that they are Chinese, as China is now once again at the center of world civilization, taking back its historical place, while it is also the first ‘biophysical civilization’, in which the aim of Ecological Civilization is one of the two central ideals of development.
- for: China - ecocivilizational goal
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GCC
- for: accronym - GCC, Global Chinese Commons
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Humans however, do not just need bread and butter, they need identity and belonging just as much, if not more, hence the emergence of what I believe we can best call, at this moment of history, ‘CoordiNations’.
- for: portmanteau - coordiNation, definition - coordiNations
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Distributed Autonomous Organizations
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for: question - DAO book?
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question: DAO book?
- @Michel, does it make sense to coauthor a volume on existing DAOs? This might compliment our cosmolocal book?
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Indeed, fortunately, digital technology has also changed material consumption and production. 2008, the global financial crisis which created mass youth unemployment in many different countries and urban areas, saw the emergence and then exponential growth, of what is called the ‘urban commons’.
- for: urban commons - history
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Once Satoshi Nakamoto published his white paper on Bitcoin on the P2P Foundation Ning forum
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for: adjacency - Satoshi Nakamoto white paper - bitcoin - P2P Foundation Ning forum
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adjacency between
- Satoshi Nakamoto white paper
- bitcoin
- P2P Foundation Ning website
- adjacency statement
- I didn't realize that Satoshi Nakamoto first published his paper on the P2P Foundation Ning website.
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ecological ‘thermo-dynamic’ accounting, which would allow for context-based sustainability
- for: thermodynamic accounting - Indyweb blockchainless provenance
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Contributory accounting
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for: open source - contributory accounting, Indyweb - contributory accounting, open source accounting - indyweb - provenance
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comment
- Indyweb's people-centered, interpersonal design enables granular contributory accounting within the network through the feature known as provenance, that tracks the evolution of shared ideas within a network
- this is done without blockchain, a blockchainless ecosystem
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noosphere, the sphere of interconnected cultural exchange and cooperation,
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for: noosphere, symbolosphere, meaningverse, comparison - noosphere, symbolosphere, meaningverse
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comparison: noosphere, symbolosphere, menaingverse
- The last two terms originate in Stop Reset Go's Deep Humanity praxis and are comparable to the noosphere.
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The symbolosphere stresses the symbolic nature of the experience
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the GS2 transition was more painful than GS1, and so very likely, the GS3 transition will be harder
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for: GS3, Global System Three transition, mutual coordination economics
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paraphrase
- GS3 will be more difficult than GS2
- social contract needs to be updated to include
- new relation with nature and non-human beings
- stronger multilateral relasionships to protect the planet
- In Michel's view, a cosmolocal coordination will be required
- The alternative is coercive eco-fascism to prevent massive ecological damage while we continue to overconsume planetary resources
- definition: mutual coordination economics
- an economic system that maximizes freedom of choice within earth system boundaries with minimal coercion
- it is a new synthesis of markets, states and commons via decentralized p2p networks
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This dissatisfaction with the dominant role of the state, or similar dissatisfaction by what others consider the failing market-based neoliberal order, may now go into different directions
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for: different possible socio-economic-political futures
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comment
- Michel outlines the possibilities then selects the last one as the one he situates himself in and will write on, namelyl:
- A dream to integrate:
- markets,
- networks,
- state functions, AND what we could call
- ‘the Commons’
- A dream to integrate:
- Michel outlines the possibilities then selects the last one as the one he situates himself in and will write on, namelyl:
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Global System Two
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Global System One
- for: definition - Global System One
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Peter Pogany, Rethinking the World
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for: book - Rethinking the World
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book: Rethinking the World
- author: Peter Pogany
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Tags
- book - Rethinking the World
- blockchainless accounting
- portmanteau - coordiNation
- Indyweb - contributory accounting
- protocol cooperative
- futures - neo-Venetian crypto-networks
- comparison - noosphere - symbolosphere - meaningverse
- learned something new
- adjacency - Satoshi Nakamoto white paper - bitcoin - P2P Foundation
- typo
- China - support for public goods for Ethereum
- definition - Global System Two
- mutual coordination economics
- definition - protocol cooperative
- Global System Three
- urban commons - history
- quote - Michel Bauwens
- suggestion - acrononyms
- fourth sector
- China - ecocivilizational goal
- quote ethereum milestone - integration with physical production commons
- cosmo-local
- Global System Two
- different possible socio-economic-political futures
- definition - coordiNation
- open source - contributory accounting
- question - DAO book?
- Global System One
- open source accounting - Indyweb - provenance
- cosmolocal
- question - protocol cooperative
- Global System 3
- protocol cooperatives
- GS3
- accronym - GCC
- thermodynamic accounting - Indyweb blockchainless provenance
- definition - somewheres - nowheres - everywheres
- author - Peter Pogany
- Global Chinese Commons
- definition - Global System One
Annotators
URL
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Those concepts of education, media, parenting, political economy etc are all human constructs — classifications or categories we created to help us think about things in bite-sized chunks. They are the products and tools of analysis, reductions of reality. They’re all orange-side techniques and artefacts!
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for: question - kariotic flow - examples of purple side
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question: kariotic flow - purple side examples
- Could Kylie provide corresponding purple side examples fo these specific orange side processes?
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By consistently avoiding and devaluing the activities of the purple-side Archetypes, we have effectively disconnected the brakes, and disconnected our civilisation from reality.The orange-side
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for: salience mismatch, question - provide examples - kariotic flow
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question: Can Kylie provide an example of some damaging right side activities and how it could be corrected by including the corresponding left side activities?
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for: kariotic flow
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summary
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While I appreciate the general idea, the explanation in terms of the 6 parts of the kariotic flow wheel is not clear. I found a strong salience mismatch
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concrete examples would go a long way to bridge the explanatory gap between the salience landscape of the author and that of the reader
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So Kairotic Flow doesn’t analyse and it doesn’t bring together the results of analysis. Instead, it focuses on relevant scope as a whole, in context, allowing patterns to emerge into our awareness, without taking things apart in the first place.
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for: critique - without analysis, kariotic flow - emptiness, kariotic flow - entanglement
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critique: without analysis
- really? Or has the analysis just gone to a deeper, subconscious level?
- everything a person has learned in life creates a complex network of ideas that is like a giant, invisible toolbox ready to be drawn upon when the environmental context cues trigger a response from the toolbox
- this would be impossible if years of past analysis and abstraction was not already done
- any intelligent response to an event that emerge in our environment is not arbitrary, but draws upon this complex, learned past
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To restate another way, every single time we try to navigate real life (including the metacrisis) by focusing our attention on human-created constructs like economy and education, we automatically double down on dissociating from reality. As Daniel says, it is reductionistic to do this. That’s the nice way of putting it. Losing touch with reality is also the literal definition of psychotic.
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for: critique - language
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question: navigating without language
- critique: language
- adjacency between
- kariotic flow
- word intent
- epoche
- is the author sayng that we can and must navigator without language and ideas? If so, I don't see how that is possible, since language shapes the way we experience reality. Decades of languages training has become a part of the way we experience reality now and I don't see how it can become undone.
- I've explored my entire life, in fact to determine it's itt is possible to undo this deep linguistic conditioning
- my latest explorations of epoche are towards this direction
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Culturally, and throughout our global civilisation’s systems and structures, we systemically and continuously overemphasise the innovating-constructing-standardising Archetypal activities on the orange side of the Kairotic Flow cycle, while devaluing and avoiding the nurturing-decomposing-reorienting activities of the Archetypes on the purple side of the cycle.This might not sound like much, but the consequences are profound.
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for: kariotic flow - metacrisis explanation, question - salience
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question: salience
- critique,: inadequate explanation
- I don't understand the salience of why the right half needs that left half.
- I think the ideas are too abstract and while years of experience may make the author familiar with our salience, to a new mind looking at the ideas for the first time, there is a salience mismatch because they semantic fingerprints are different
- a few concrete examples of , how this works to explain the metacrisis would be very helpful
- there isn't enough time spent illuminating and explaining what each of these 6b abstract ideas are our why they are assigned such strategic importance. Hence, I do not appreciate their salience and the salience mishmash occurs
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Unfortunately, whenever we attempt to orient thought, choice and action using these human-created concepts, we’re effectively navigating towards the centre or essence of the concept’s definition, and as an inevitable consequence are simultaneously orienting away from reality-as-it-is, as a whole. (The map is not the territory!)
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for: critique - language constructs
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critique: language constructs
- it is an inherent aspect of language that words are loci of a specific aspect of reality
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Kairotic Flow focuses not on problems or solutions, but on responding as wisely as possible to continually changing life conditions.
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for: terminology - problems - solutions
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terminology: problems - solutions
- the two ways of speaking seem equivalent to me.
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Tags
- question - provide examples - kariotic flow
- kariotic flow - metacrisis explanation
- kariotic flow - entanglement
- terminology - problems - solutions
- question - kariotic flow - examples - purple side
- critique - inadequate explanation
- explanatory gap
- critique - without analysis
- adjacency - kariotic flow - epoche
- kariotic flow - emptiness
- question -; salience
- salience mismatch
- critique - language constructs
Annotators
URL
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cleantechnica.com cleantechnica.com
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for: critique - of Simon Michaux
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comment
- summary
- Simon Michaux has been writing about the shortage of Lithium, copper and other metals required to build the technologies for a rapid energy system transition.
- Based on Michaux's analysis, there will be a large shortage of such minerals. However, Michael Barnard disputes Michaux's claims as detailed in the article. Michaux's arguments have been used to advocate for degrowth. While degrowth may still be a viable futures trajectory, shortage of minerals may not be one of the reason. Lack of circular economy processes or continued exploitation practices that sustain inequality and rampant consumerism and economic growth may still be valid reasons to consider for degrowth however.
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picturing.climatecentral.org picturing.climatecentral.org
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for: visualizations - sea level rise at 3 Deg C
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comment
- Look to canal cities like Venice or Amsterdam for inspiration because if it cities are salvagable, parts of them will become canal cities.
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