- Jan 2024
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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Yong, Ed. “The Tipping Point When Minority Views Take Over.” The Atlantic (blog), June 7, 2018. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/06/the-tipping-point-when-minority-views-take-over/562307/.
Centola's Experiments Suggest 25% Activists Will Tip a Population
Relationship with @Schelling1971 work?
Schelling, Thomas C. “Dynamic Models of Segregation.” The Journal of Mathematical Sociology 1, no. 2 (July 1, 1971): 143–86. https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.1971.9989794.
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- Oct 2023
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www.researchgate.net www.researchgate.net
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caling Up Change: A Critical Reviewand Practical Guide to HarnessingSocial Norms for Climate Action
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for: social tipping points - climate action, climate action - social tipping points, social norms - climate action, climate action - social norms, Damon Centola
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title: Scaling Up Change: A Critical Review and Practical Guide to Harnessing Social Norms for Climate Action
- author:
- Sara M. Constantino
- Gregg Sparkman
- Gordon T. Kraft-Todd
- Cristina Bicchieri
- Damon Centola
- Bettina Shell-Duncan
- Sonja Vogt
- Elke U. Weber
- date: 2022
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- Aug 2023
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tomgreenwood.substack.com tomgreenwood.substack.com
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Without a solid spiritual foundation, humanity may well continue on its path toward self-destruction, whether it be through environmental collapse, nuclear war or Artificial Intelligence gone haywire. On the other hand, if we evolve our culture to value inner work as much as we value outer work, then our individual and collective spiritual wisdom might just catch up with our rapidly advancing technology.
- comment
- critics will argue that such internal paradigm shifts take decades rather than years
- see the paper showing time scales of different types of social tipping points:
- However, what his not been researched is the combination of different types of social tipping points and how specific combinations might actually accelerate action.
- Applying the social tipping point complex contagion findings of Damon Centola to cascading tipping points, where deep inner transformation can play a strategic role, is a possibility worth investigating
- comment
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- Jul 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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- for: social tipping point, STP
- title
- Creating Change: How to Make Big Things Happen
- guest
- Damon Centola
- description
- a very clear exposition of how complex contagion works and what must be done to spread complex behavior change
- comment
- this is particularly important for rapid whole system change and mobilizing a bottom-up movement to deal with our current polycrisis
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ndg.asc.upenn.edu ndg.asc.upenn.edu
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when the size of the committed minority reached~25% of the population, a tipping point wastriggered, and the minority group succeeded inchanging the established social convention.
- Key finding
- when the size of the committed minority reached
~25% of the population,
- a tipping point was triggered, and the minority group succeeded in changing the established social convention.
- when the size of the committed minority reached
~25% of the population,
- Key finding
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- Title
- Experimental evidence for tipping points in social convention
- Authors
- Damon Centola
- Joshua Becker
- Devon Brackbill
- Andrea Baronchelli
- Date
- 2018
- Source
- Science 360, 1116-1119 (2018)
- Title
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- Feb 2023
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penntoday.upenn.edu penntoday.upenn.edu
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“And if they’re just below a tipping point, their efforts will fail. But remarkably, just by adding one more person, and getting above the 25 percent tipping point, their efforts can have rapid success in changing the entire population’s opinion.
- going from just below 25% to just above 25% results in a dramatic change in adoption of a new norm
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When a minority group pushing change was below 25 percent of the total group, its efforts failed. But when the committed minority reached 25 percent, there was an abrupt change in the group dynamic, and quickly a majority of the population adopted the new norm.
- = 25% Social Tipping Point
- A committed minority group pushing for change just below 25% of the total group population does not succeed
- but when the committed minority is just above 25%,
- abrupt change in group dynamics quickly causes a majority of the population to adopt the new norm
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www.google.com www.google.com
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06:06Weak Ties
- = weak ties
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25:13Complex Contagions
- = complex contagion
- example: climate change norms
- = complex contagion
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- Nov 2021
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www.monbiot.com www.monbiot.com
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Social convention, which has for so long worked against us, can if flipped become our greatest source of power, normalising what now seems radical and weird. If we can simultaneously trigger a cascading regime shift in both technology and politics, we might stand a chance. It sounds like a wild hope. But we have no choice. Our survival depends on raising the scale of civil disobedience until we build the greatest mass movement in history, mobilising the 25% who can flip the system.
This is the core philosophy behind Stop Reset Go, but NOT NECESSARILY just in the direction of civil disobedience. To invest only in that is to put all our eggs in one basket that top down actors will be pressured beyond a certain threshold. It may happen, it may not, or it may just take too long. We must diversify and also invest in systematized bottom-up efforts.
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Another paper explored the possibility that the Fridays for Future climate protests could trigger this kind of domino dynamics. It showed how, in 2019, Greta Thunberg’s school strike snowballed into a movement that led to unprecedented electoral results for Green parties in several European nations. Survey data revealed a sharp change of attitudes, as people began to prioritise the environmental crisis. Fridays for Future came close, the researchers suggest, to pushing the European political system into a “critical state”. It was interrupted by the pandemic, and the tipping has not yet happened. But witnessing the power, the organisation and the fury of the movements gathered in Glasgow, I suspect the momentum is building again.
The space is ripe for interventions that can facilitate social tipping points.
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