38 Matching Annotations
  1. Sep 2023
    1. found via:

      Niklas Luhmann rejected out of town teaching positions for fear that his hard copy / analog zettelkasten might get destroyed in the moving process 🧵

      — Bob Doto (@thehighpony) August 19, 2022
      <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

      "He rejected a number of other universities' interests in hiring him...at an early stage, arguing that he couldn't risk taking his Zettelkasten with him in the event of an accident to lose by car, ship, train or plane." https://t.co/SmK2gLJpQ0

      — Bob Doto (@thehighpony) August 19, 2022
      <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

      reference ostensibly in this text, but may need to hunt it down.

      Bob confirmed that it was Luhmann Handbuch: Leben, Werk, Wirkung, 2012

    1. The scientists behind the new study are planning an eradication campaign in Sicily. With help from authorities, they say they will destroy the known nests, continue to search local areas for more nests, and monitor for several years to make sure no ants escape. They hope to recruit residents across Europe to keep an eye out for more fire ants.
      • for: invasive species - red fire ant - control
      • comment
        • this is an excellent application for citizen science in general, to control invasive species
    2. Based on an analysis of suitable habitats, the researchers estimate the ants could invade 7% of the European continent.
      • for: stats, stats - invasive species - red fire ants,
      • stats:
        • prefers farms and cities
          • could infest 50% of urban areas
        • could inhabit up to 7% of EU continent
        • infestation vectors
          • walk
          • fly
          • carried by wind
          • shipping
            • Sicily, the site of discovery, ships a variety of plants across the Mediterranean
          • Southern Spain offers ideal climate for red fire ants
          • Climate change could increase its range by 25% by 2050.
    3. The insects spread internationally via shipping, especially of plants and soil. Red fire ants have been detected in imported products in Spain, Finland, and the Netherlands, but not as wild colonies.
      • for: progress trap, red fire ants, fire ants, progress trap - shipping, unintended consequences, unintended consequences - shipping

      • paraphrase

        • Fire ants would be devastating if released in continental Europe and even more all around the Mediterranean Sea.
        • The cost for human economies and well-being would be enormous. Where they have been invasive, they have:
          • displaced native ant and other species
          • damage electrical equipment
        • A genetic analysis of the Italian ants suggests they likely came from either China or the United States.
        • In the U.S., the species causes an estimated $6 billion in damage each year.
        • The insects spread internationally via shipping, especially of plants and soil.
        • Red fire ants have been detected in imported products in Spain, Finland, and the Netherlands, but not as wild colonies.
  2. Aug 2023
      • Empty the cup: start from beginning (see Alan Watts on this), let go of what you know, let new things come by removing the old
      • calling out fire energy/good aggression from within
      • create balance to this energy, by meditating etc.
  3. Nov 2022
  4. Sep 2022
    1. Lulubox apk, the best Android app for getting free skins Lulubox is an app that enables features of popular games using unlimited skins. This free Android application is compatible with the latest Android versions. With this Lulubox apk, you are allowed to install the latest version of Lulubox with the latest skins updates on any Android device that runs Android 4.4 or later. List of games compatible with Lulubox 6.6.2 Fortnight, Pubg Mobile, PUBG: NEW STATE, 8 Ball Pool, Clash of Clans, Brawl Stars, Mini Militia, Free Fire, Carrom Pool, Mobile Legends: Bang Bang, Ludo king, PUBG MOBILE: Aftermath, Dream League Soccer 2021, and many more. (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); How does Lulubox works? Lulubox is a third-party application that injects skins. When someone requests skins while playing a game, it sends required skins for the game and enables features of the game even premium features. All you need to do is just download Lulubox apk and install it on your device. It automatically installs all of the available skins locally on your device. This would help to load skins faster than loading from a cloud service.

      Lulubox is the best tool to get skins for Android games

  5. Aug 2022
  6. Jun 2022
  7. Dec 2021
    1. A sharp rise in reported active volcanoes immediately post-WW II was followed by another steep increase in the early 1950s that has no obvious relationship to historic events.

      'No obvious relationship to historic events' is blatantly inaccurate here. The US military was active in the Pacific for the entirety of this time frame reestablishing the power in the Pacific US colonies. It naturally would follow that volcanic activity would be reported at higher rates as military vessels were combing the area.

  8. Nov 2021
  9. Sep 2021
  10. Jun 2021
  11. May 2021
    1. No records were ever located to support The RIBA team member’s conclusion that the Shoe Fly poles would most likely fail due to heavy rain. According to the Manager in Transmission Asset Management, The RIBA team member was an expert on the RIBA process who was assigned to assist “the engineer walk through the process.” Based upon the records the Manager in Transmission Asset Management identified the engineer as the engineer most familiar with the overall project and assigned to do the RIBA scoring for the project. According to an undated PG&E Org Chart, the engineer assigned to score the project was a Senior Engineer assigned to Transmission Asset Development and reported directly to the Manager in Transmission Asset Management. According to the notes on the scoring sheet, as interpreted by the Manager of Transmission Asset Development, “the concern here is the note says that the structures would go down during rainy and wet storm. And what’s not shown here is that the wildfire is not likely, because on the wet ground not likely to have wildfire.” No records in support of Senior Engineer’s conclusion were ever located. On the other hand, the TL Relocate 10 Towers project scored 581. According to the scoring sheet, the Senior Engineer was also the engineer assigned to score this project. Despite the fact that by 2014 the scope of the project was limited to the replacement of insulators so that money spent on the project prior to cancellation could be charged to the Capital Budget, the project scored 18 points out of 10,000 possible points for safety110. Despite the fact that the project involves the same Caribou-Palermo line the Reliability Risk Score is 562. 434 of those points are justified because “WRDI is possible contact with public leading or to other facilities causing potential injuries to few employees” according to the notes on the scoring sheet. The 2014 RIBA scoring is used to highlight the subjective nature of the comparative risk analysis. Because they are subjective the risk scores are easily manipulated. PG&E was highly motivated to complete the TL Relocate 10 Towers project in order to be able to charge the budget overruns, money already spent, to the capital budget. By 2014 the Replace 5 Damaged Towers project was about future spending. The best example of the manipulation is the WRDI justifications. One of the oft-stated justifications for the TL Relocate 10 Towers Project was the fact that the ten towers were located in a remote, inaccessible location. The towers were so inaccessible that PG&E had to use helicopters to fly personnel to the towers. Also, there was no evidence that any of the ten towers was on the verge of collapse according to the 2009 email from the manager who cancelled the project in 2009. On the other hand, the Shoe Fly was built on Camp Creek Road and any, or all of those poles, could reasonably be expected to fall down within a year. Another example of manipulation of facts in the 2014 RIBA was the RIBA team member’sconclusion, apparently based upon the Senior Engineer’s scoring note that “structures would go down only if it is rainy and wet”; and restated several times by the Manager in Transmission Asset Management that the wood Shoe Fly poles would probably only collapse during heavy rain

      Evidence of the subtle way that profit-incentives in a complex environment create risk ...

      Can this be addressed by incentives or only by culture? By culture only i think.

  12. Feb 2021
    1. There’s so much money that goes to the creditors to the top 1 percent or 5 percent that there is no money for capital investment, there is no money for growth. And, since 1980 as you know, real wages in America have been stable. All the growth has been in property owners and predators and the FIRE sector, the rest of the economy is in stagnation.
  13. Sep 2020
    1. ***Update as of 9/9/2020 @ 4:51 PM***Voluntary evacuations lifted for residents north of Foothill Blvd. and east of Santa Anita Ave.  The Bobcat Fire has generally progressed away from the City of Arcadia.  The current weather forecast suggests that Santa Ana winds will dissipate this evening and the Red Flag Warning will be removed after 8:00 p.m.Based on these factors, the City of Arcadia is removing the recommendation for residents to evacuate.  However, residents are advised to remain on alert for any changes to weather conditions that may affect the fire.  Evacuations may be necessary for your safety if conditions change.

      This is a particularly good sign!

  14. Aug 2020
    1. “The median compensation package — including base pay, special pay, overtime and benefits — for full time Cal Fire firefighters of all categories is more than $148,000 a year.”
    2. A six-word California fire ecology primer: The state is in the hole. A seventy-word primer: We dug ourselves into a deep, dangerous fuel imbalance due to one simple fact. We live in a Mediterranean climate that’s designed to burn, and we’ve prevented it from burning anywhere close to enough for well over a hundred years. Now climate change has made it hotter and drier than ever before, and the fire we’ve been forestalling is going to happen, fast, whether we plan for it or not.
  15. Jun 2020
    1. Serverless architectures refer to applications that significantly depend on third-party services (known as Backend as a Service or “BaaS”) or on custom code that’s run in ephemeral containers (Function as a Service or “FaaS”). This simply means the application developer does not need to worry about provisioning servers and scaling them but simply relies on infrastructure and services already built for all of that
  16. Oct 2019
  17. Feb 2019
  18. Dec 2018
  19. Feb 2018
  20. Feb 2017
  21. Nov 2016
    1. We hypothesize that precipitation levels during the preceding wet season and during the onset of the dry season in forests of Southern Hemisphere South America act as a key regulator of drought intensity during the subsequent dry season.

      The hypothesized causal pathway through precipitation is not directly on the precip during the peak fire period, but through factors that are influenced on longer time-scales.

      This is advantageous for forecasting because it means that the strongest signals for forecasting occur several months in advance of the desired forecast. If the strongest response was more proximate it would make the advanced forecasts weaker as they would be relying on the earlier month SST values as estimates of the closer in values that could in concept produce stronger forecasts.

    2. We defined our empirical predictive model as a linear combination of the two climate indices sampled during these months of maximum correlation:FSSpredicted(x,t)=a(x)×ONI[t,m(x)−τONI(x)]+b(x)×AMO[t,m(x)−τAMO(x)]+c(x)

      If I'm reading this and the supplemental material correctly this is a two step modeling approach applied independently to each region.

      1. For each region identify the month of ONI and AMO that are most tightly correlated with FSS.
      2. Use the values of ONI and AMO for the selected months to build a two-variable multiple regression.

      If this is right it seems like the model could be improved further by incorporating lagging methods like https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.12399 and by making the model spatially explicit so that neighboring regions can borrow strength from one another. However the ability to to perform these kinds of approaches may be necessarily limited by the small size of the available training set.

    3. we used 2001–2009 fire counts detected by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)

      The success of this model with only small amounts of training data is encouraging for other areas of ecology and environmental science where the available time-series may be short.

    4. Fire season severity, here defined as the sum of satellite-based active fire counts in a 9-month period centered at the peak fire month, depends on multiple parameters that influence fuel moisture levels and fire activity in addition to precipitation, including vapor pressure deficits, wind speeds, ignition sources, land use decisions, and the duration of the dry season. As a result, the relationship between FSS and SSTs may be more complex than the relationships between precipitation and SSTs described above.

      This recognition of additional factors that could influence fire, and the fact it more complex models using the same data may be able to indirectly use some of these influences is really valuable. It is, in effect, positing that latent variables associated with some of these causes may be associated with measurable aspects of SST.

    5. This is a nice example of chaining together separate pieces of knowledge to understand what form of forecasting model might be successful. Large scale climate phenomena -> variation in precipitation -> variation in fire season severity.

    1. To predict FSS at or before the beginning of the fire season, we established a cutoff (minimum) lead time of 3 month

      It would be interesting to know how certainty in the results continued to improve as the last few months of data became available. If the improvements where substantial it could justify consideration of shifting policy to more last minute shifts in resources.

  22. Oct 2016
    1. A rat crept softly through the vegetation

      This line stands out because it seems that it doesn't fit. The book is filled with images of fire and bones. All of a sudden there is life in the rat and the vegetation.

    2. Burning burning burning burning

      This book is called The Fire Sermon, but is only here at the end that we get fire. This book, like much of the poem, has a motif of water. In this book specifically, we have the Thames, damp ground, the sailor home from sea, fisherman, the river, barges, and more. There is little to do with heat or flames. In a piece with so little to do with fire, it makes us ask the question: why is this section called The Fire Sermon? It is followed by a reference to the Lord. Is the poem referencing Hell?

    3. Burning burning burning burning

      This is the only line that might have related to the "fire" within his sermon title. As well as the images that surfaced prior to this "book."

    4. From satin

      The beginning of this line correlates with the constant image of "flames," "smoke," "fiery," "firelight," etc. "From satin" appears to be a reference towards Lucifer himself in relation to this woman that is sitting in her chair, "like a burnished throne."

    5. Dead
  23. Dec 2015
    1. The blurring of boundaries between the body and the city raises complexities in relationto our understanding of the human subject and the changing characteristics of humanagency.

      Maybe this is to say we shouldn't be blurring the lines of the boundaries so much then? Sounds a bit like playing with fire..

  24. Mar 2015