3,272 Matching Annotations
  1. Jan 2026
    1. First, buy European: procurement rules must prioritize European providers for critical infrastructure, as is standard practice in the United States and Asia. Second, build European: the private sector must invest in developing European alternatives, rather than relying on subsidies or waiting for government intervention. And third, fund European: a dedicated fund should support the development of Europe's technology stack, with public bodies acting as launching customers to create initial demand and prove viabilit

      buy, build, fund European. the Eurostack sticky message

    2. While Brussels focuses on regulating consumer-facing services, the underlying infrastructure has been handed over entirely. "What Europeans don't realize is that while they regulate e-commerce and app stores, the digital infrastructure on which everything rests is now owned by non-Europeans," she says.

      Caffarra is critical of DMA and antitrust cases bc they focus on the top layers of the stack, not the deeper layers of infra. Fair point. Does not make DMA as such a distraction, market dominance is a core EU remit to battle.

    3. For Cristina Caffarra, founder of the Eurostack Foundation and a competition economist, Europe's predicament is both alarming and self-inflicted. She estimates that 90 percent of Europe's digital infrastructure (cloud, compute, and software) is now controlled by non-European, predominantly American, companies.

      The 90% is an estimate by Caffarra herself.

    4. If a major American cloud provider were to restrict European access or cease operations, the consequences would be immediate and severe. This fragility has created a market opportunity that American hyperscalers are now exploiting.

      That is the reason to want change, not to not do it. How is the existing dependence an opportunity 'now' for those Europe is dependent on?

    5. A recent analysis by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute found that of 64 crucial technologies, China leads in 57 and the United States in the remaining seven. Europe leads in none.

      Another non sequitur. While a useful analysis, you don't need to 'lead' anything to do things differently than others. Doing it differently may mean you become a leader. You can't sit around waiting to be leading first and then change your practice.

    6. The scale of Europe's technological deficit makes migrations like Austria’s daunting for most organisations.

      non sequitur. You just had multiple paragraphs saying it was easy for Austria. Most organisations in Europe are small, making migration easier.

    7. Its use is strictly limited to external communication with parties that still rely on it, such as the European Commission. Even then, strict rules apply: no sensitive information may be discussed on Teams, and usage is kept to an absolute minimum. This hybrid approach reflects a pragmatic recognition that complete independence is not always immediately possible when external partners remain locked into US platforms.

      yes, it is a pragmatic choice. Similar to us, we don't use any GAFAM but still use Teams because clients do.

    8. Yet the Austrian case also illustrates the practical limits of digital sovereignty. Nextcloud now serves as the primary collaboration platform for internal communication and file sharing, but Microsoft Teams has not been banned entirely.

      Odd formulation, switching from Office to Teams in one sentence which are different things.

    9. "You don't achieve digital sovereignty overnight," Ollrom tells The Register. "You have to do this in many steps, but you have to start with the first step. Don't just talk about it, but execute it."

      agreed, a first step to break status quo is important.

    10. The decision has triggered a ripple effect, as several other Austrian ministries have since begun implementing Nextcloud. For Zinnagl and Ollrom, this proves that one organization willing to take the first step can inspire others to follow.

      Other Austrian ministries are following and implementing NextCloud too.

    11. Austria's Federal Ministry for Economy, Energy and Tourism is a case in point. The ministry recently completed a migration of 1,200 employees to the European open-source collaboration platform Nextcloud, but the project was not a migration away from an existing US cloud provider. It was a deliberate choice not to adopt one

      Austrian Min for Economy Energy and Tourism uses Nextcloud for its 1200 civil servants, not MS Office. It was not a move away from GAFAM bc they did not use that.

    12. Data Protection Impact Assessment (DPIA) before deploying any new technology that is "likely to result in a high risk to the rights and freedoms of natural persons." When conducted for US hyperscaler services, these DPIAs invariably flag the CLOUD Act as a significant, often unacceptable, risk. This legal obligation is increasingly becoming the primary driver of public bodies to seek alternatives.

      DPIAs are a key reason US hyperscaler services become red flagged in procurement processes.

    13. Furthermore, these warrants often come with a gag order, legally prohibiting the provider from informing their customer that their data has been accessed. This renders any contractual clauses requiring transparency or notification effectively meaningless.

      yes, gag orders are a second order problem.

    14. This creates a risk that is difficult, if not impossible, to mitigate contractually. Any private contract between a European customer and a US cloud provider is ultimately subordinate to US federal law. A warrant issued under the CLOUD Act legally compels an American company to hand over data, overriding any contractual commitments of data residency or privacy.

      It creates a risk that cannot ever be contractually mitigated. No US entity can contractually arrange for itself to not comply with US law.

    15. This places European organizations in a precarious position, as it directly clashes with Europe's own stringent privacy regulation, the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR).

      This is again oddly phrased. The access CLOUD Act gives goes way beyond GDPR concerns, it violates every other form of data confidentiality too.

    16. The core of the problem lies in a direct and irreconcilable legal conflict. The US CLOUD Act of 2018 allows American authorities to compel US-based technology companies to provide requested data, regardless of where that data is stored globally

      yes, finally a clear formulation what the issue is.

    17. urope’s quest for digital sovereignty is hampered by a 90 per cent dependency on US cloud infrastructure, claims Cristina Caffarra, a competition expert and a driving force behind the Eurostack initiative.

      Odd opening. The 'quest' is not hampered by the 90% US cloud infra, reducing the 90% is the quest. claim: 90% of cloud infra in Europe is GAFAM cloud.

      Cristina Caffarra is Eurostack's founder.

    1. Plus–Minus–Next ist eine einfache dreiteilige Reflexionsstruktur. Sie stammt von Anne-Laure Le Cunff und wurde über ihr Projekt Ness Labs und später ihr Buch Tiny Experiments bekannt. Der Kern ist schnell erklärt:

      plus-minus-next comes from [[Tiny Experiments byAnne-Laure Le Cunff]], so #openvraag what her sources are.

      they're a list of answers to three questions about the past week, what went well, what didn't and what do you conclude for coming week.

      [[Tiny Experiments byAnne-Laure Le Cunff]] describes plus as 'any accomplishments that made you proud' (tadaa, sense of wonder, joy, gratefulnes etc) minus as challenges or obstacles (vgl Maandmap), regrets, mistakes made, straying from healthy habits. The next reads more like strategies/process for [[More like this less like that 20201111165305]]

      It gives as source the ancient Greek πρᾶξις , plus 'centuries' of practical wisdom. So aligns it w general reflection, and [[Action Research is vraag-reflectief leven 20031215142900]]

    2. Next ist kein zusätzlicher Aufgabenstapel. Es ist auch keine Zielplanung. Next beantwortet eine engere Frage: Was mache ich nächste Woche leicht anders als diese Woche?

      the next phase of the review not styled as more tasks (common result for me), and not additional goal planning. It's a more narrow question: what can I easily do different from this week. About practice/method/proces. Next items are sort of smart. The making-it-easy bit echoes [[Gewoonte maak het makkelijk 20201008140324]] from [[Atomic Habits by James Clear]]

    3. Entscheidend ist die Reihenfolge. Zuerst wird gesammelt, ohne sofort zu reagieren. Erst danach wird eine Konsequenz gezogen.

      Answering questions first, and only afterwards look at consequences/next steps

    1. But [it] has expanded drastically after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. That saw what we call the shadow fleet explode to some 900-1,200 vessels globally.

      since the 2022 full scale Russian invasion of Ukraine, while the shadow fleet existed before, numbers have risen to 900-1200 ships globally

    1. When we organise our culture around renewal, we devalue the quieter labour of holding things together, of getting through

      continuation is valuable work. (on a personal level 2025 keeping upright was the biggest thing my company could achieve even) Continuation, holding things together is a ratchet. Compounding effects come from it, unlike clean slates

    2. I am not uninterested in change. I am uninterested in pretending that it is always available, or that it arrives at midnight. So, this is how I have entered 2026. Not with a clean page but with a pen hovering over old ink, writing in the margins where I can. I am not starting again, I am continuing, carefully. Happy New Year. Same old life.

      This is true on various levels. The psychological threshold that is a new calendar year was apparent to me as a child. I tell my team now 'if this were April and you had to postpone to May would you think that is problematic? Then why when its mid December is it hard to postpone to early January?

    1. Robert Lender blogpost about generated fake imagery to manipulate or suggest memories of people around you. A dinner, a Santa visit. Or leaving your (grand)children faked photos without being marked as such (look dad was on Greenland!) Interesting thought experiment. Bc memories are not fixed, and iterated upon with every retelling. Influencing that retelling is a given possibility. Turbocharged gaslighting too.

    1. German court case about balcony photovoltaic installations by people renting homes. The largest German landlord Vonovia withdrew in a case against an Aachen resident. Landlords were making high demands for installations normally reserved for block level installations, while at the same time having no obligation to keep up the tech standard of the existing internal installations. Likely to work as precedent in other tiny scale photovoltaic projects across Germany

    1. In terms of the EU's digital rulebook, it has already started in May with the deletion of a core compliance element in the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) - the obligation to keep records of your processing activities.

      What change is meant here in May 2025? #openvraag

    1. Berlin Senate sees open data as a cause for the (potential hybrid) attack on the Berlin power grid. Frag den Staat team says Senate is trying to wash its hands of resp after decades of under-investing in power infrastructure and its resilience. I see a general trend towards obscuring more data that has been part of open data for a decade or more. Btw the Dutch subsoil cable data is not public, the power networks (like in Germany) are published by the network government owned enterprises. In part this is bc of the HVD regulation. The next round of HVD, and the DS for Energy will likely require this data to be generally available too. Data spaces are a way to deal with access with nuance and granularity but open data is the actual legal default EU wide. So it must be legally explained if something is not open.

    1. Petra de Sutter, rector U Gent had in haar inaugurele rede in september 2025 twee citaten die verzonnen zijn door AI.

      Het eerste niet bestaande citaat - Einstein, 1929 in toespraak Sorbonne, "dogma is the enemy of progress" (Einstein did receive a honorary doctorate Dec 1929 at Sorbonne)

      Het tweede, niet benoemd - uit "de rectorale rede" Hans Jonas 1979 Uni Munchen, parafrase van wat Rabelais in de 16e schreef. (Jonas never lived in Germany again after the war, but was a visiting prof in Munich 1982-1983 per https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hans_Jonas so the speech never existed.

    1. 202 roadmap for Signal - pinned messages - android tablet support - muting participants in group calls - local backups, exports chat history - cloud backups hosted by Signal - device storage improvements - better linux availability

      some of these are 'making Signal do all the things' in my eyes, others straight forward improvements

    1. Icelandic referendum on opening EU negotiations to be held in 2027. Since 2022 there has been a shift in sentiment, with a plurality now in favour. PM recently stated that current geopolitical events may increase that.

    1. If your blog is installed in a subdirectory but you’ve set a different wp_siteurl, you don’t need the redirect — index.php will handle it automatically.

      wp_siteurl will solve the redirect issue of having the blog in a subdir that's diff from where WP itself is. What about my set-up that uses the domain root too.

    1. [[Alan Levine c]] on the ActivityPub WP plugin. Does automatic embeds, and you can @ mention people and it will turn them into proper URLs.

      Seems this is all in Gutenberg, not sure if it also works in classic. Should have a look at the current state of AP plugin, wrt granularity of posting control, and of being more than a broadcasting actor. Can I change the activity e.g.?

    1. When he said that the whole meaning of a (clear) conception consists in the entire set of its practical consequences, he had in mind that a meaningful conception must have some sort of experiential "cash value", must somehow be capable of being related to some sort of collection of possible empirical observations under specifiable conditions.

      The term cash value here repeats the notion of iteration, of ratchet effect in perceiving truth / gaining knowledge. Like in a life insurance policy the cash value is a representation of what has been ratcheted up for future use.

    1. William James, who had an equally impressive beard, took Peirce's ideas and made them more immediately practical. He asked: what difference does a belief make to your actual life, right now? He was interested in beliefs that help us deal with our experiences successfully.

      The present time as part of context

    2. Stories can produce results that slogans and demands can't. Reality, in the form of how people actually respond, pushed Weymouth to correct his formula.

      he changed his formula, but did not correct it. In fact nothing in this text suggests there was even any impact of his change in actions, nor that it had more impact as the text implies than his previous actions.

    3. Aristotle called practical wisdom phronesis. It's the ability to discern what works in particular situations, not through abstract principle alone, but through experience and judgement. It's knowing what to do, and when, in specific circumstances.

      context is important in pragmatism, also to avoid reductio ad absurdum

    4. This is why I count myself as a Pragmatist. It's a philosophical tradition that views language and thought as tools for problem-solving and action, not for trying to create a mirror of reality. At its core is an understanding that you cannot know the world without having a perspective. This does not make all perspectives somehow “equally valid” but instead means that you should test your approaches against reality, observe what works, revise what doesn't, and gradually get better at navigating the world as it actually is.

      a more usefully worded def of Pragmatism as philosophical school than usually encountered. Vgl [[Filosofische stromingen als gereedschap 20030212105451]] [[Pragmatisme Rorty 20200924110612]]

    1. Cloudbeleid aanscherpen: veilige opslag van overheidsdata onder Europees recht.

      De toevoeging van 'onder Europees recht' is hier belangrijk, tenminste als het betekent 'en niet ook onder anderlands recht'. Zorgelijk dat het alleen om data gaat, want het gebruik van iedere VS tool is voor de overheid een attack surface. Dan valt het altijd onder VS recht, ook buiten de Cloud Act om. Het gaat om de uitknop ook.

    2. Cloudbeleid aanscherpen: veilige opslag van overheidsdata onder Europees recht. IT-inkoop bundelen: als 1 overheid betere voorwaarden afdwingen bij leveranciers. Open standaarden en open source stimuleren om lock-ins te voorkomen. Versnellen van modernisering van verouderde systemen om risico’s te verkleinen. Investeren in digitaal vakmanschap om onze kennis en capaciteit te vergroten. Binnen Europa samenwerken aan het bouwen aan veilige, betrouwbare Europese alternatieven.

      6 strategic elements

    1. Het is volstrekt onbegrijpelijk en onverantwoordelijk dat X het de facto communicatiekanaal van onze overheid lijkt te zijn. Wie bijvoorbeeld de berichten van minister David van Weel over Venezuela wil lezen, kan daarover niets lezen op de officiële website van Buitenlandse Zaken, maar wel op X

      This is a key issue. Gebruik is niet meer uit te leggen. Vgl [[Een goed gesprek over digitale soevereiniteit in de gemeente]] Amersfoort

    2. Alsof er geen alternatieven zijn en men werkelijk niet zonder kan: het platform wordt volledig gedomineerd door extreemrechts en heeft een marktaandeel van slechts 4 procent in Europa.

      Pretending that there's no alternative. Yes, bc staying isn't painful enough still. Although this new little crisis may provide a trigger. Says 4% usage of Twitter in Europe. Source?

    3. Ondanks de voortdurende misdragingen en de openlijke digitale oorlogsverklaring aan Europa blijven onze regeringsleiders, politici en journalisten stug doorposten op X. De Franse president Macron bestond het zelfs om zijn veroordeling van het inreisverbod voor Thierry Breton en zijn vier collega’s te posten op… X.

      The cognitive dissonance of bemoaning the evils of Twitter on the very same platform.

    1. Original 'Vulcan group' (2011) says they're not the ones who sent a letter taking resp for the Sept and Dec 2025 arson attacks on Berlin energy infra. Prev saw an analysis by a linguist that the December letter wasn't written by native speakers, but seemed translated (not saying what from)

    1. Het verliezen van de trouwdatum heeft een grote emotionele impact, laat het stel weten. Volgens de man en vrouw ligt de fout buiten hun verantwoordelijkheid en heeft de aanwezige trouwambtenaar van de gemeente het nagelaten om het echtpaar tijdens de huwelijksvoltrekking op de fout te wijzen.

      Ja, maar al is het waar dat het ter plekke gecorrigeerd had kunnen worden, maakt het nog steeds het huwelijk niet geldig want het is niet gebeurd. Performatieve teksten hebben een reden.

    1. Wat financiering van het EDIC betreft, worden verschillende opties onderzocht, van lidmaatschapsmodellen tot het EU Sovereign Tech Fund en de oprichting van een Europese open marktplaats. Adriana Groh, medeoprichter van het Duitse Sovereign Tech Fund, legde uit hoe haar organisatie betrokken was bij de oprichting van het EDIC. ‘Inmiddels heeft het fonds een vaste plaats gekregen in een agentschap dat, als onderdeel van het EDIC, ook Europese middelen ontvangt. We investeren al in gedeelde infrastructuur die door heel Europa wordt gebruikt – in Frankrijk, Italië, Nederland, Polen en Duitsland. Met de toevoeging van Europese budgetten wordt onze missie nu ook op Europees niveau ondersteund.’

      on funding the DC-EDIC

    2. k zei tegen hen: vraag al je bedrijven om een kopie van hun data op een Europese cloud te bewaren, voor de zekerheid. Dat is minimale beveiliging. Je kunt nog steeds met AWS werken als je wilt, maar zorg dat je een kopie hebt onder Europese jurisdictie.’

      good example here of suggesting a single easy step to break the status quo by [[Henri Verdier p]]: ensure copies of all your data are available on a European cloud too. See it as a minimal safety precaution (that can become the first step to fully moving away from US clouds)

    3. voormalig Franse ambassadeur voor digitale zaken Henri Verdier, die werd geïntroduceerd als de founding father van het EDIC

      [[Henri Verdier p]] (vgl [[Paris 2014]] en [[NGI Forum 2023]] where he discussed this.) here mentioned as founding father of DC-EDIC.

    1. We are aware that AWS, as the largest player, cannot be exactly matched, but we are confident that we do not have to compromise on security and availability with a European counterpart.

      this is the sticking point, and true. You cannot expect a plug and play replacement. Analyse the components, make a new necklace of the different pieces.

    2. That is not currently planned. We primarily want our services within Europe to run on European infrastructure with a view to digital independence, greater control and as little vendor lock-in as possible.

      not moving off US tech infra completely. Yet, European services on European infra is the goal. The nameserver infra is global, they say, so is that the carve-out, or are there other US vendors with EU datacenters in play?

    3. The most crucial services run redundantly, both within AWS and in a Belgian data centre. In the event of a serious incident at AWS, zone signing, zone distribution and the database can be deployed immediately.

      They have a redundant set-up. Meaning they could leave anytime, just need a new redundancy plan then. Makes it more realistic they will move next year.

    4. Everything related to registering and managing the .be, .vlaanderen and .brussels domains runs within AWS, except for the name servers. The latter are the “GPS” servers that ensure that when you type in a domain name, you are sent to the correct IP address. These are spread across the globe.

      Client facing interfaces run on AWS, registration, management of domains etc. Name servers are a global network. Makes it quite a bit less dramatic (both the before and after)

    5. Peter Vergote, legal advisor at DNS Belgium: "Our data and processes at AWS are located on European soil, spread across multiple data centres. This is perfectly in line with European legislation such as GDPR and NIS2 .

      That is technically true, but not in practice. The 2018 Cloud Act makes all EU reg moot points from the US perspective. That makes any American involvement in your stack by def a breach of NIS2, GDPR and other digital and data related regs.

    6. The migration away from AWS is still in its early stages. The market is currently being surveyed. The transition will begin in 2027 and is expected to be completed in the second half of 2027.

      The decision is made, but transition still in early planning phases. To be completed 2027. Market survey ongoing, meaning there's no new contractor in sight as yet.

    7. At the same time, DNS Belgium wants to inspire other organisations in Belgium and Europe with its AWS exit. Technological dependence on, or possible access and influence by non-European players, is a growing concern among Belgian companies.

      DNS Belgium wants to set an example. It is also responding to concerns of their customers.

    8. Since 2017, the system that processes the registrations of .be domain names has been located in AWS's European data centres.

      DNS Belgium is on AWS since 2017, in EU data centers but that means nothing, definitely not since 2018

    1. Ook andere landen hebben inmiddels hun samenwerking met de Verenigde Staten ingeperkt, uit zorg dat gedeelde informatie wordt gebruikt voor militaire acties die mogelijk botsen met internationaal recht en mensenrechten. Canada en het Verenigd Koninkrijk hebben de regels voor informatie-uitwisseling aangescherpt, terwijl Frankrijk openlijk afstand heeft genomen van Amerikaanse militaire drugsoperaties buiten een internationaal en juridisch kader. Binnen de Europese Unie is afgesproken dat lidstaten geen gegevens delen die kunnen bijdragen aan dodelijke acties op zee.

      Diff other countries also halted their collab with the US. Canada and UK have limited their intelligence sharing. EU MS will not share info that may be used for extrajudicial killings in international waters by the US navy.

    2. The Dutch government stopped naval collaboration with the USA in the Caribic wrt drug smuggling (three islands of the Dutch Kingdom are just off the coast of Venezuela). Ducht navy will only work on stopping drugs smuggling within national waters

    1. Telegram holds 500 million USD in Russian bonds, that have now been immobilised in Russia’s central securities depository by the Russian state. Means the state already had a hold on Telegram and now making it very visible. 500 million reasons to not use Telegram for those who still needed a reason

  2. ezrond.co.uk ezrond.co.uk
  3. ezrond.co.uk ezrond.co.uk
    1. [[Stephanie Booth p]] on how to get away from doomscrolling in the face of traumatic events, such as here the horrific fire in Crans-Montana (on the 25th year of a similar event in Volendam, 14 young deaths, 200 severely wounded w burns, in a 3minute fire from small fireworks),

    1. It’s a somewhat unsatisfying process, but if you get the right answer eventually, it does feel like progress, and you didn’t need to use up another human’s time.

      perhaps that is the ultimate benefit we get from algogens: no need to ask someone else a) bc we don't really like asking for help or b) we fear interrupting a colleague. And it probably nicely mimicks busywork too.

    1. Lefkowitz vergelijkt het met een gokkast: de uitzonderlijke keer dat je de jackpot wint zal je zeker bijblijven, maar van de veel talrijkere keren dat je je inzet kwijt was zul je je veel minder herinneren. Van een casino weten we dat het huis altijd wint, maar Lefkowitz suggereert dat de situatie met AI vergelijkbaar is. We onthouden de zeldzame successen en vergeten het vele gepruts.

      we remember the successes, not the fails

    2. In augustus 2025 schreef de Amerikaanse programmeur Glyph Lefkowitz hier een stuk over met als titel The Futzing Fraction: de ‘prutsfactor’.

      The futzing factor by Glyph Lefkowitz august 2025 is the source of this, here in Dutch translated as 'prutsfactor'

    1. https://web.archive.org/web/20260105183931/https://moultano.wordpress.com/2025/12/30/children-and-helical-time/ At first glance this graph seems thought provoking. With E we regularly remark to Y that in our heads, our childhood and student years are much bigger than the period aftwards. More firsts. Vgl Gregory Bateson [[Informatie is verschil dat verschil maakt 20230905124229]], information is a difference that makes a difference, i.e. firsts, and make your time perception longer by doing new stuff [[Maak tijd langer met nieuwe dingen 20210418104515]] and Bateson's use of Korzybski's landscape as theory of mind: [[Steps to an Ecology of Mind by Gregory Bateson]] (1972):

    1. Chinese producers are close to being monopolists not only in rare earths, but also electronics products, batteries, and many types of active pharmaceutical ingredients

      strategic autonomy is eroded across the stack, and across several sectors. See EU efforts wrt rare earth, the prev race on African continent etc.

    2. When these nuts open, it looks like China is producing a big wave of new products. These are its breakthroughs in drones, electric vehicles, and robotics. Years from now we may see greater success in biotech as well. I am keen to follow along China’s progress in electromagnetism over the next decade. China’s industrial ecosystem is leading the way in replacing combustion with electromagnetic processes. Everything is now drone, as the combination of cheaper batteries and better permanent magnets displaces the engine.

      when we perceive a wave, it has deep roots, true for all tech. It emerges from an ecosystem (something the US billionaires don't accept as true about themselves). n:: vgl alle tech heeft diepe wortels

    3. Alexander Grothendieck used an analogy of a walnut to describe different approaches to mathematics, which might also apply to technology development. Some mathematicians crack their problems by finding the right spot to insert a chisel before making a clean strike. Grothendieck described his own approach as coming up with general solutions, as if he were immersing the walnut in a bath for such a long time that mere hand pressure would be enough to open it. The US comes up with exquisite and expensive solutions to its technology problems. China’s industrial ecosystem is more like a rising sea, softening many nuts at once.

      bit forced analogy, without the point is clearer.

    4. Our view is that China’s industrial success has roots in deep infrastructure. That includes not only ports and rail, it also includes data connectivity, electrification, and process knowledge. China’s strength lies in a robust manufacturing ecosystem full of self-reinforcing parts.

      Assessment of the fundamental strength of China. Makes me think of Malaysia that focused on food and edu, then manufacturing, then services and IT to go within a generation from poor to upper middle income country.

    5. The electric vehicle industry is the sharp tip of the spear of China’s global success. Chinese EVs have greater functionalities than western models while selling at lower price points. A rule of thumb is that it takes five years from an American, German, or Japanese automaker to dream up a new car design and launch that model on the roads; in China, it’s closer to 18 months. The Chinese market is full of demanding customers as well as fast-iterating automotive suppliers

      Chinese market is big enough itself to iterate quickly. EV cars tip of spear for global success author says. Their lead times are typically much shorter.

    6. China’s automotive success is biting into Germany more than anywhere else. I keep a scrapbook filled with mournful remarks that German executives offer to newspapers. “Most of what German Mittelstand firms do these days, Chinese companies can do just as well,” said a consultant to the Financial Times. “In my sector they look at the price-point of the market leader and sell for roughly half of that,” the boss of a medical devicemaker told the Economist. It’s never hard to find parades of gloomy Germans. Now more than ever it looks like their core competences are threatened by Chinese firms.

      I see this too. But it's a weird paragraph. Yes the automotive industry is behaving like dinosaurs in Germany, but the two examples (Mittelstand is not the automotive industry, and a medical device maker) don't connect to the rest.

    7. I believe that Chinese technological success is now the rule rather than the exception. There are two fields in which China is substantially behind the west: semiconductors and aviation. The chip sector is gingerly attempting to expand under the weight of US restrictions; meanwhile, China’s answer to Airbus and Boeing is on a very long runway. I grant that these are two critical technologies, but China has attained technological leadership almost everywhere else. And I believe its technological momentum will continue rolling onwards to engulf more of their western competitors over the next decade.

      China's industrial and tech power is now almost by default ahead of US (and EU), except semiconductors (ASML, NXP) and aviation (Airbus, Boeing).

    8. I’ve had Silicon Valley friends tell me that they are planning a trip to China nearly every month this year. Silicon Valley respects and fears companies from only one other country. Game recognizes game, so to speak. Tech founders may begrudge China’s restrictions; and some companies have suffered directly from IP theft. But they also recognize that Chinese companies can move even faster than they do with their teams of motivated workers; and Chinese manufacturers are far ahead of US capabilities on anything involving physical production. Some founders and VCs are impressed with the fact that Chinese AI companies have gotten this far while suffering American tech restrictions, while leading in open-source to boot.

      SV techies plan monthly trips to China, as indicator for how China is doing and how US tech sees it

    9. Since the US is much more services-driven, Americans may be using AI to produce more powerpoints and lawsuits; China, by virtue of being the global manufacturer, has the option to scale up production of more electronics, more drones, and more munitions.

      useful observation, akin to Lovelock's [[AI begincondities en evolutie 20190715140742]]

    10. China’s capacity, which was one-third US levels in 2000 and more than two-and-a-half times US levels in 2024. Beijing is building so much solar, coal, and nuclear to make sure that no data center shall be in want. Though the US has done a superb job building data centers, it hasn’t prepared enough for other bottlenecks. Especially not as Trump’s dislike of wind turbines has removed this source of growth. Speaking of Trump’s whimsy, he has also been generous with selling close-to-leading chips to Beijing. That’s another reason that data centers might not represent a US advantage for long.

      China is increasing power generation (renewables and nuclear) to a volume that supports compute and data centers. The US in comparison is not growing in generation. Interesting stats on generation here

    11. One advantage for Beijing is that much of the global AI talent is Chinese. We can tell from the CVs of researchers as well as occasional disclosures from top labs (for example from Meta) that a large percentage of AI researchers earned their degrees from Chinese universities. American labs may be able to declare that “our Chinese are better than their Chinese.” But some of these Chinese researchers may decide to repatriate. I know that many of them prefer to stay in the US: their compensation might be higher by an order of magnitude, they have access to compute, and they can work with top peers. 5But they may also tire of the uncertainty created by Trump’s immigration policy. It’s never worth forgetting that at the dawn of the Cold War, the US deported Qian Xuesen, the CalTech professor who then built missile delivery systems for Beijing. Or these Chinese researchers expect life in Shanghai to be safer or more fun than in San Francisco. Or they miss mom. People move for all sorts of reasons, so I’m reluctant to believe that the US has a durable talent advantage.

      global talent wrt AI is largely Chinese, even if many of them currently reside in the USA

    12. it’s not obvious that the US will have a monopoly on this technology, just as it could not keep it over the bomb.

      compares AI dev and attempts to keep it for oneself to the dev of atomic bombs and containment

    13. Chinese efforts are doggedly in pursuit, sometimes a bit closer to US models, sometimes a bit further. By virtue of being open-source (or at least open-weight), the Chinese models have found receptive customers overseas, sometimes with American tech companies.

      China's efforts are close to the US results, and bc of open source and/or open weight models, finding a diff path to customers.

    14. I am skeptical of the decisive strategic advantage when I filter it through my main preoccupation: understanding China’s technology trajectories. On AI, China is behind the US, but not by years

      author thinks there's no US decisive strategic advantage really vis-a-vis China.

    15. It also forces thinking to be obsessively short term. People start losing interest in problems of the next five or ten years, because superintelligence will have already changed everything. The big political and technological questions we need to discuss are only those that matter to the speed of AI development. Furthermore, we must sprint towards a post-superintelligence world even though we have no real idea what it will bring.

      yes, this is why I think the AI hype is tech's coping strategy in the face of climate change. A figleaf for inaction.

    16. Effective altruists used to be known for their insistence on thinking about the very long run; much more of the movement now is concerned about the development of AI in the next year.

      yes, again a coping strategy. AGI soon is a great excuse to do whatever you want now bc AGI will clean everything up next year. AI is a cope cage much like a tinfoil hat.

    17. If you buy the potential of AI, then you might worry about the corgi-fication of humanity by way of biological weapons. This hope also helps to explain the semiconductor controls unveiled by the Biden administration in 2022. If the policymakers believe that DSA is within reach, then it makes sense to throw almost everything into grasping it while blocking the adversary from the same. And it barely matters if these controls stimulate Chinese companies to invent alternatives to American technologies, because the competition will be won in years, not decades.

      While the Biden admin controls are useful in their own context too (vgl stack sovereignty) they also stimulate alternative paths. The length of those paths is not an issue if you think you'll get AGI 'soon'.

    18. Silicon Valley’s views on AI made more sense to me after I learned the term “decisive strategic advantage.” It was first used by Nick Bostrom’s 2014 book Superintelligence, which defined it as a technology sufficient to achieve “complete world domination.” How might anyone gain a DSA? A superintelligence might develop cyber advantages that cripple the adversary’s command-and-control capabilities. Or the superintelligence could self-recursively improve such that the lab or state that controls it gains an insurmountable scientific advantage. Once an AI reaches a certain capability threshold, it might need only weeks or hours to evolve into a superintelligence. 3 And if an American lab builds it, it might help to lock in the dominance of another American century.

      decisive strategic advantage comes from [[Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom]] 2014 (bought it 2017). AGI race portrayed here as a race to such an advantage for the USA.

    19. Tech folks may be the worst-traveled segment of American elites

      this is bad, no exposure, insular. Back in the '00s a key diff between D and R USians was whether they traveled (ao to Europe) or not, or had passport at all. Now that divide for techies?

    20. The two most insular cities I’ve lived in are San Francisco and Beijing. They are places where people are willing to risk apocalypse every day in order to reach utopia. Though Beijing is open only to a narrow slice of newcomers — the young, smart, and Han — its elites must think about the rest of the country and the rest of the world. San Francisco is more open, but when people move there, they stop thinking about the world at large.

      Comparing Bejing and SF, as people risk happy. Beijing only open to young, smart and esp Han, while SF more generally open to new people. But Beijing people must think about rest of China and the world, whereas SF stop thinking about the outside world. See earlier point of externalising costs.

    21. Portfolio managers want to be right on average, but everyone is wrong three times a day before breakfast. So they relentlessly seek new information sources; consensus is rare, since there are always contrarians betting against the rest of the market. Tech cares less for dissent. Its movements are more herdlike, in which companies and startups chase one big technology at a time. Startups don’t need dissent; they want workers who can grind until the network effects kick in. VCs don’t like dissent, showing again and again that many have thin skins. That contributes to a culture I think of as Silicon Valley’s soft Leninism. When political winds shift, most people fall in line, most prominently this year as many tech voices embraced the right.

      wow, lots to unpack. Good explanation of the 'AI all the things' hype where the world thinks 'huh'? It is also an expression of the underlying assumptions of tech startups and VC funding. Dissent, noisiness make VC funding feel more bet like than as we are all chasing this there must be something to it. The 'herdlike' should be a giant red flag in the middle of Sand Hill Road. In contrast the portfolio managers have a different approach to risk, and accept being wrong most of the time simultaneously. (Vgl the statistic that Federer is all time greatest tennisplayer while winning 54% of points. That's the level of beating the odds needed to stand out.)

    22. There’s a general lack of cultural awareness in the Bay Area.

      you cannot not tie this to the positive paragraphs above. The entire point is that these aspects are not stand-alone but a network, and expressions of the same underlying behaviour (not values as often said).

    23. The Bay Area has all sorts of autistic tendencies. Though Silicon Valley values the ability to move fast, the rest of society has paid more attention to instances in which tech wants to break things.

      See above on the culture. If Silicon Valley would break their own things it would be ok. At issue is they try to move fast by externalising the cost of breaking and broken things to the rest of the world, while the measure of their success remains localised in the Bay Area expressed in USD and the length of their serial entrepreneurship. [[BigTech heeft Hacker ethos contextloos overgenomen 20201222153105]]

    24. The well-rounded type might struggle to stand out relative to people who are exceptionally talented in a technical domain

      exactly, and that is likely a blind spot (author is a relative outsider, on an anthropological action research tour after all)

    25. Narrowness of mind is something that makes me uneasy about the tech world. Effective altruists, for example, began with sound ideas like concern for animal welfare as well as cost-benefit analyses for charitable giving. But these solid premises have launched some of its members towards intellectual worlds very distant from moral intuitions that most people hold; they’ve also sent a few into jail.

      yes, [[Effective Altruism 20200713101714]] as utilitarianism ad absurdum.

    26. favorite part of Silicon Valley is the cultivation of community. Tech founders are a close-knit group, always offering help to each other, but they circulate actively amidst the broader community too

      yes, reminds me of the 'getting to an explosive mix' work of the MIT guy I met in AMS. What backgrounds or skills are missing in a specific location, to make something fly.

    27. Venture capitalists are chasing younger and younger founders: the median age of the latest Y Combinator cohort is only 24, down from 30 just three years ago.

      Interesting metric. Is it bc of the chasing (capital, eagerness) or bc of the founders (ideas, surfing a new tech wave). AI people are younger I suppose.

    28. People like to make fun of San Francisco for not drinking; well, that works pretty well for me. I enjoy board games and appreciate that it’s easier to find other players. I like SF house parties, where people take off their shoes at the entrance and enter a space in which speech can be heard over music, which feels so much more civilized than descending into a loud bar in New York. It’s easy to fall into a nerdy conversation almost immediately with someone young and earnest. The Bay Area has converged on Asian-American modes of socializing (though it lacks the emphasis on food). I find it charming that a San Francisco home that is poorly furnished and strewn with pizza boxes could be owned by a billionaire who can’t get around to setting up a bed for his mattress.

      things to appreciate yes, but it also sounds either like the wonderyears of d&d in the basement getting stretched by decades or as a selective neurotype gathering. I think the SV lingo for this is 'this doesn't scale', an army of Zuckerbergs that don't do emotion.

    29. I’m struck that some east coast folks insist to me that driverless cars can’t work and won’t be accepted, even as these vehicles populate the streets of the Bay Area.

      well, they indeed can't and won't in general bc of the underlying premises. [[Why False Dilemmas Must Be Killed to Program Self-driving Cars 20151026213310]]/

    30. Today, AI dictates everything in San Francisco while the tech scene plays a much larger political role in the United States. I can’t get over how strange it all feels. In the midst of California’s natural beauty, nerds are trying to build God in a Box; meanwhile, Peter Thiel hovers in the background presenting lectures on the nature of the Antichrist. This eldritch setting feels more appropriate for a Gothic horror novel than for real life.

      Author thinks Silicon Valley has taken a turn to the gothic. what a description

    1. Na de Tweede Wereldoorlog werd het gebruik deels weer in ere hersteld. In 1948 gebeurde dat in Haarlem, de stad van Laurens Janszoon Coster, en in 's-Hertogenbosch, Arnhem en Gouda, daarna vanaf 1949 in Drenthe, en later ook in Noord-Brabant, Zeeland en in Groningen

      Na WOII kwam het weer wat op. o.a. Groningen waar ik het ken van De Ploeg

    2. In de 19e eeuw werden koppermaandagprenten aan relaties gestuurd, als geschenk. In de loop van de 20e eeuw ging het ritueel vrijwel verloren, doordat men in plaats van Koppermaandagprenten, Kerst- en Nieuwjaarskaarten ging versturen.

      In de 19e eeuw werd het gebruik de koppermaandagprenten aan relaties te sturen. Dat verdween in de 20 eeuw.

    3. Toen in de 18e eeuw de gilden werden afgeschaft, bleef de traditie van de feestdag alleen in stand onder de drukkers. De gezellen van de drukkers drukten als proeve van vakbekwaamheid een speciale prent met een heilwens erop, de Koppermaandagprent, die zij op Koppermaandag aan de meesterdrukkers en de eigenaar van de drukkerij overhandigden.

      In de 18e eeuw hielden de gilden op te bestaan. In de grafische sector werd het toen een proeve van bekwaamheid voor gezellen.

    4. Tegenwoordig wordt de term alleen nog gehanteerd in de grafische industrie. Drukkers en uitgevers sturen vaak een koppermaandagprent om het nieuwe jaar in te luiden

      Alleen in de grafische sector, incl de grafische kunst, is het nu nog gebruik.

    5. Op die dag hielden de gilden traditioneel een feestdag. De gildebrieven werden voorgelezen en de privileges die de leden van het gilde genoten, werden opgesomd. Vervolgens trokken de gildelieden de stad in om geld in te zamelen dat vervolgens werd verbrast.

      Koppermaandag was oorspronkelijk voor alle gilden.

    1. A vulnerability in Notepad++. Blast from the past, I used it a lot in the 00s until I switched to Mac early 2008. The vulnerability is in the updater for Notepad++ and can be exploited by a man in the middle attack. Newest version should be ok. Mostly fun it is still around, and gets a Dutch gov vuln warning.

    1. commented here on h. "Wrt permanence, my own h. bookmarks and annotations flow directly into my local notes, through the h. API.

      The h. software is open sourced, so theoretically one would be able to run their own instance of it. Except for the social function of it. Like you I follow Chris Aldrich annotations feed (which is how I ended up here), and several others. When others bookmark the same stuff I do but use very different tags for it, is where it gets interesting. Like years ago in the del.icio.us bookmarking service, the difference in tags signifies a social or sectoral distance. Basically you're finding a sliver of overlap between two different mindsets / contexts / interests. I then can add those people to the feeds I follow."

    Tags

    Annotators

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    1. Last month was Trump’s 28-point Russia-Ukraine war peace proposal, presented without consultation with Ukraine. Now, the U.S. National Security Strategy claims that Europe is in “economic decline” and experiencing “civilizational erasure,” and it openly endorses parties hostile to the European Union.

      the support for far-right, dismantling of EU is a measure of the threat Europe poses to zero-sum interests of US admin, also on individual level.

    2. But while many thought they had cracked the code for managing Trump, the U.S. attacks on Europe have only multiplied over time

      in zero sum thinking getting appeased is winning so push harder. (Vgl my experiences in former Soviet Union localities, much the same thing)

    3. they converge into a strategy built to implement Trump administration’s geoeconomic ambitions: complete regulatory freedom for Silicon Valley tech companies in Europe and a commercial reset with Russia at the expense of Ukrainian and European sovereignty.

      US admin perception of Europe

    1. USA escalation , attacks Venezuela (after a wave of killing people at sea by US Navy) and claims to have captured Maduro for prosecution. More zero sum irrationality? Is this still about the nationalisation of US petrochemical installations in Venezuela in 2007, some still under World Bank arbitration?