5,672 Matching Annotations
  1. Last 7 days
  2. Apr 2026
    1. this means that existing estimates overstate the returns to software R&D, and makes the software intelligence explosion seem much less likely.

      R&D Returns Overstated

      Accounting for compute bottlenecks suggests that returns to software R&D may be lower than previously estimated, reducing explosion likelihood.

    2. But I think we have enough evidence to think that software progress might really be several times a year, and to make a best guess contextualized with a lot of uncertainty.

      Progress Estimation

      Despite uncertainties, evidence suggests software progresses at several times per year, with estimates ranging from 2-50x annually.

    3. gpt-oss-20b does substantially better than GPT-3 on MMLU, despite using the same amount of training compute.

      Real-World Progress Example

      Comparing models with same compute but different performance (like GPT-3 vs gpt-oss-20b) provides concrete evidence of software progress.

    4. This means that almost all existing estimates of software progress were misleading.

      Measurement Problems

      Existing software progress estimates are misleading due to data quality improvements and scale-dependence factors not properly accounted for.

    5. these estimates rely on an overly conservative estimate of software progress of 3× per year

      Progress Underestimation

      Existing software intelligence explosion models may use conservative progress estimates, potentially underestimating explosion likelihood.

    6. Synthetic data can help push beyond this — a good example that Millidge raises is the Phi series of models.

      Synthetic Data Impact

      Synthetic data generation techniques like Phi models can dramatically improve efficiency beyond traditional distillation methods.

    7. If doubling cumulative research effort also doubles compute efficiency, then the returns to R&D are 1. If it quadruples, then the returns are 2.

      R&D Returns Measurement

      Returns to AI software R&D measure how research effort translates to compute efficiency gains, with >1 threshold for potential explosion.

    8. Almost all the evidence points to very fast software progress: each year, the training compute needed to get to the same capability declines several times — possibly even ten times or more.

      Rapid Efficiency Gains

      Software progress enables 2-10x annual compute efficiency gains, though estimates have wide confidence intervals due to data limitations.

    9. AI software progress is about reducing the training compute you need to get to the same level of capability, through better algorithms or data.

      Software Progress Definition

      Software progress enables achieving same AI capabilities with less compute through algorithmic or data improvements, a key efficiency driver.

    1. context management plus engineering improvements may well push the task horizon to weeks or even months.

      Action建议:将上下文管理与工程改进结合,以延长任务处理时间边界。这种方法可显著提升模型处理长期任务的能力。

    2. We can treat the task horizon that an LLM can reliably handle as a north-star metric for model progress, analogous to transistor density in Moore's Law

      Action建议:采用任务完成边界作为衡量模型进步的北极星指标。这种量化方法有助于评估持续学习技术的实际效果和进展。

    3. I'd view continual learning more as an "arrow" than a "line" — it's the collective effort to push the task horizon that an LLM can reliably handle.

      Arrow vs Line Perspective

      Action建议:将持续学习视为推动任务边界的集体努力,而非离散方法集合。这种视角帮助理解其方向性和系统性本质。

    1. ChatGPT has 900 million weekly users, which means employees already know how to work with it. For enterprises, that reduces rollout friction and accelerates the point where every employee can delegate tedious tasks.

      ChatGPT的9亿周活跃用户为企业AI采用提供了独特优势,消除了用户培训的障碍。这一惊人的用户基础表明,消费级AI应用已经培养了庞大的AI熟练劳动力,这将显著降低企业AI转型的实施成本和时间,加速AI在工作场所的普及。

    1. This system iteratively formulates scientific hypotheses, designs and executes experiments, analyzes and visualizes data, and autonomously authors scientific manuscripts.

      从「提出假设」到「撰写论文」的完整科研周期,由一个系统自主完成——这是人类有史以来第一次把「科学发现」这件事本身自动化。令人震惊的是,这不是某种特定任务的自动化(比如蛋白质折叠或围棋),而是「做科研这件事」的自动化。这意味着 AI 开始具备自我迭代、自我升级的能力——因为科研本身就是产生更强 AI 的途径之一。

    1. The question : how much electricity can we turn into useful work?

      这一反问揭示了AI时代的底层逻辑转换:算力/电力的消耗直接等同于生产力。过去的优化目标是“节能”,而现在和未来的核心命题是“转化率”——如何将廉价的电力通过AI模型转化为高价值的认知与执行工作。这是对能源-智力转换效率的极致追求。

    1. A learning system can continuously incorporate real-world data in a way that numerical solvers fundamentally cannot, capturing and compounding the knowledge that is currently trapped out there in the real world.

      揭示了AI驱动设计的另一大优势:打通仿真与现实的闭环。传统求解器难以穷尽制造公差等现实复杂因素,而学习系统能持续吸收实测数据,形成越用越聪明的“数据飞轮”。将现实中散落的隐性知识固化为模型能力,这是传统工具无法企及的质变。

    1. AB-MCTS(Adaptive Branching Monte Carlo Tree Search)です。これは、推論のプロセスを「木の探索」として捉え

      将蒙特卡洛树搜索(MCTS)——一个 AlphaGo 时代的博弈 AI 技术——应用于商业调研推理,这个跨领域迁移令人惊讶。MCTS 的本质是在不确定的巨大搜索空间中,通过「探索-利用」平衡找到最优路径。商业研究的本质也是如此:在无数假设和信息源中,判断哪条线索值得深挖。Sakana 用博弈论的搜索框架重新定义了研究工作流——这在学术上已被 NeurIPS 2025 认可为 Spotlight 级贡献。

    1. By late next year, the rate of model releases and the number of new evals required could be such that even keeping ourselves informed will be a challenge without effective AI assistance.

      METR 承认:仅仅「保持对 AI 动态的了解」,本身就即将超出人类能力的极限——不依赖 AI 就无法跟上 AI 的发展速度。这是一个深刻的自指悖论:AI 安全评估机构需要用 AI 来评估 AI 的安全性,因为 AI 的发展速度已经超出了人类组织的处理带宽。「用 AI 理解 AI」不再是选项,而是生存必需。

    2. If agents can execute all your ideas nearly as fast as you can prompt them, there's no point in implementing only your best idea. It might be better to implement your top three ideas all in parallel, but this makes it harder to stay organized.

      「想法即执行」重构了创新流程的根本逻辑:当前的研究范式是「先筛选最优方案再执行」,未来将变成「并行执行多个方案再筛选」。这是从「精益决策」到「并行探索」的范式迁移——类似于从串行计算到并行计算的架构革命。代价是「组织复杂度爆炸」:同时管理十几个并行项目的结果,可能比串行执行三个更难,不是因为工作更多,而是因为理解和整合更难。

    3. a future project might take ~42 days of wall-clock time, with ~8 hours of agent work (not counting running the evals) and 1000 serial hours of human IC work, evals execution, and review.

      「瓶颈-执行比」超过 100:1——这是这篇文章最令人震惊的数字。一个 42 天的项目中,AI 执行工作仅占 8 小时,其余 1000 小时都是串行的人类瓶颈(审查、实验等待、反馈收集)。这意味着即便拥有无限 AI 执行能力,项目速度的实际瓶颈依然是「人类审批链」——组织架构,而非技术能力,将成为 AI 时代的核心竞争力。

    1. Treatment of superficial vein reflux (see Varicose Veins, above) has been shown to decrease the recurrence rate of venous ulcers. Where there is substantial obstruction of the femoral or popliteal deep venous system, superficial varicosities supply the venous return and should not be removed.

      Failure of venous insufficiency ulcerations to heal is most often due to inconsistent use of first-line treatment methods. Ongoing control of edema is essential to prevent recurrent ulceration; the use of compression stockings following ulcer healing is critical, with recurrence rates 2–20 times higher if compression stockings are not used

      Duplex ultrasound evaluation should assess blood flow direction, venous reflux, and venous obstruction, and include examination of the deep venous system, great saphenous vein (GSV), small saphenous vein (SSV) and its thigh extension (Giacomini vein), accessory saphenous veins, and perforating veins. Venography is recommended primarily in patients with post-thrombotic disease, especially when intervention is planned, as it provides greater anatomic detail than duplex ultrasonograph The examination also identifies patterns of disease that have treatment implications. Axial reflux is defined as uninterrupted retrograde flow from groin to calf and can occur in either superficial or deep systems. [4] Junctional reflux is limited to the saphenofemoral or saphenopopliteal junction, while segmental reflux occurs in a portion of a truncal vein. [4] Understanding whether reflux originates from superficial junctions versus deep venous incompetence fundamentally changes treatment planning, as superficial disease is amenable to ablation while deep disease typically requires conservative management Management of secondary varicose veins from post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) is fundamentally different and more challenging. Compression therapy, lifestyle modifications, and symptom management form the cornerstone of PTS treatment. [4-8] Elastic compression stockings (20-30 mm Hg), leg elevation, weight loss, and exercise constitute the primary therapeutic approach Endovascular interventions for PTS—including percutaneous transluminal venoplasty and stenting—are reserved for select patients with significant iliofemoral obstruction who have failed conservative management. [7] These procedures require careful patient selection and standardized criteria. The role of superficial venous ablation in PTS patients with concomitant superficial reflux remains controversial and should be approached cautiously, as the underlying deep venous pathology may limit benefit

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  3. Mar 2026
    1. Venoactive drugs (diosmin, hesperidin, horse chestnut seed extract) may be considered as adjuncts to compression for symptomatic relief in countries where available

    2. Endovenous Thermal Ablation (RFA/EVLA)

      Relative contraindications include inappropriate vein size, with veins <2 mm and >15 mm representing potential contraindications for RFA specifically. [1] A history of superficial thrombophlebitis resulting in a partially obstructed saphenous vein may preclude thermal ablation. [1] Significant tortuosity of the GSV on duplex examination can make catheter delivery difficult.

    3. Endovenous ablation is the preferred treatment for symptomatic varicose veins with axial reflux, offering less postprocedure pain, reduced morbidity, and earlier return to activity

      Endovenous thermal ablation (radiofrequency ablation [RFA] and endovenous laser ablation [EVLA]) has largely replaced surgery as the standard of care

      Ultrasound-guided foam sclerotherapy (UGFS) represents a less invasive option but has higher recurrence rates

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    1. This finding is consistent with previous work that supports users' sense-making of text, e.g., by modulating text saliency. Specifically, Gu et al. [32] and Gero et al. [29] both found improved reading efficiency and comprehension with saliency-modulating text renderings.

      any single sentence that compares and contrasts this work with prior work.

    1. Grimaud and Eerola (2022) compared instrument ensembles of strings, woodwinds, and brass in a study where participants either rated the emotions they perceived or manipulated musical parameters to produce a certain emotion. They found that strings were associated with increased anger and fear, woodwinds with decreased anger and fear, and brass with decreased fear, in the cases of both emotion perception and production. For the other emotions (joy, sadness, calmness, power, surprise), however, results were less consistent between perception and production, indicating that the emotion-instrument association may also depend on context of the task.

      makes an explicit connection between a music theory concept and congition

    2. This research follows a constructionist approach to musical affect (Cespedes-Guevara & Eerola, 2018). That is, although we are interested in the "bottom-up" influence of certain musical features on musical affect, we believe these cannot be adequately evaluated without considering the "top-down" effects of context and individual differences that are present when affects are constructed. The perception or induction of affect does not merely arise in response to a stimulus but is also formed in relation to the individual and the context.

      makes an explicit connection between a music theory concept and congition

    3. This research follows a constructionist approach to musical affect (Cespedes-Guevara & Eerola, 2018). That is, although we are interested in the \'bottom-up\' influence of certain musical features on musical affect, we believe these cannot be adequately evaluated without considering the \'top-down\' effects of context and individual differences that are present when affects are constructed. The perception or induction of affect does not merely arise in response to a stimulus but is also formed in relation to the individual and the context.

      makes an explicit connection between a music theory concept and congition

    1. Aortic dissection typically presents acutely with sudden, severe tearing chest or back pain, often described as lancinating in quality. [5-6] Approximately 50% of patients with thoracic aortic aneurysm may progress to dissection without timely intervention. [5] In contrast, thoracic aortic aneurysm is usually asymptomatic and discovered incidentally during physical examination or imaging for other indications. [5]

    2. Earlier intervention is reasonable when high-risk features are present, including rapid growth (≥0.5 cm/year), symptomatic aneurysm, saccular morphology, or penetrating atherosclerotic ulcers

    1. Shortly after his official letter of resignation,on June 26, 1970, Grothendieck gave a lecture tohundreds of listeners at the University of Paris inOrsay in which he talked about all that had becomeimportant to him: the spread of nuclear weapons,the arms race, the threat to humanity posed bytechnological progress. He went so far as to callmathematical research dangerous because it ispart of this technological progress. The content ofthis lecture was later circulated in various unof-ficial manuscripts under titles such as “Respon-sabilité du savant dans le monde d’aujourd’hui: Lesavant et l’appareil militaire” (“The Responsibilityof Scientists in Today’s World: The Scientist andthe Military Establishment”).
        • Tourist is an ugly human being* - It immediately establishes a critical tone.
      1. How alone you feel in this crowd- tourist fell slightly alienated but locals experience deeper issues like poverty and exploitation
      2. Heaps of Death and ruin- Tourists can leave anytime, while locals are stuck
        • People who inhabit the place in which you just passed cannot stand you*- Tourists can leave anytime while locals are stuck with consequences of tourism
      3. And every tourist is a native somewhere- Travel freedom is privilege that many people in the world do not have due to money, or is it that they lack freedom of the mind?
  4. Feb 2026
    1. Learn how to watch and rate movies people (rated for balance only)The people who rated this movie 1-star should get their heads out of their posteriors. Too many movie-goers these days seem to only see movies as either being the best thing ever or the worst thing ever. The only way a movie should get 10 stars is if it would be difficult to improve upon and the only way a movie should get 1 star is if it was absolutely ineptly made on every level, and I assure you this movie doesn't come close to that. Even solely rating on personal taste and ignoring the technical filmmaking and how successfully the movie achieves the filmmakers' apparent intent, this movie could hardly be in the worst 10% of movies for anyone's taste.This movie fails in many respects, but it has some redeeming moments and taken as a movie for small kids, it's not bad. The humor and acting both fall flat or miss the mark about as often as they're on target, but that is a sign of mediocrity, not atrocity.Unfortunately at this point most of the IMDb users seem to think that if they enjoyed a movie they should give it a 10 and if it wasn't all they hoped for they should give it a 1. For instance the Lord of the Rings movies were entertaining, but have no business being rated higher than Citizen Kane or any of the countless classics relegated to lower ranks here. Similarly. Zoom has no business being rated lower than a piece of garbage like I Accuse My Parents which wasn't even watchable when it was skewered on Mystery Science Theater 3000.Remember folks most movies are mediocre. That means a low rating, not the bottom rating. Furthermore, just because a movie is exciting or satisfying doesn't make it a 10. For example, one can love the original Star Wars movies and still realize they have occasional flaws in acting, direction, pacing, or script.Is Zoom a great movie? Absolutely not. Will some children, some parents, and even some adults without children enjoy it? Yes. Will it go down in history for being remarkable in any way? Probably not.
    1. Reference:

      Preprints. (2024). Traditional ecological knowledge and environmental stewardship. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202406.1838.v1

      “Traditional Ecological Knowledge (TEK) represents a knowledge system grounded in lived experience and intergenerational learning.”(Preprints,2024)

      This article connects strongly to our course because in class we will study sustainability and social-ecological systems, In class we already discussed about social ecological system where we learned that Environmental management is not just technical but it's also related to social and historical things. In class. we discussed about how ecosystems and humans influence each other, which is exactly what Traditional ecological knowledge is based on. TEK is defined as generations of observation, trial and error instead of short term scientific studies and policies. This article also connects to discussion about whose knowledge is considered valid in environmental decision making. The course gives the idea that ignoring indigenous people's knowledge leads to ineffective policies and wrong results. This article support the course argument that for effective environmental management multiple ways of knowing the TEK is necessary. This article also reinforces that sustainability is not just about protecting nature but also about respecting culture, people and historical experience.

  5. Jan 2026
    1. Setting applies to this browser only Use device theme Dark theme Light theme

      Youtube offers a "light version" and a "dark version" which I tried both to see their levels of contrast to the foreground/videos. I personally found the light version to be easier to view the videos and location of the search bar. However, the dark version is a less harsh option on the eyes and Youtube also applied the contrasting colour to all words to ensure ease of reading.

    1. The king of Kish even sometimes enforced order inSumer. For example, Enannatum’s son, Enmetena, wrote that theborder between Lagash and Umma had been determined by thegreat god Enlil himself and had been confirmed by the king of Kish:“Mesalim, king of Kish, at the command of (the god) Ishtaran,measured the field and set up a (boundary-) stone there.” Theauthority of the king of Kish was therefore acknowledged, at leasttemporarily, by both the king of Umma and the king of Lagash.

      There is an interesting example of the mnemonic use of stone here in ancient Sumer. It serves as a boundary/border marker by its physical presence, but apart from any (other local) mnemonic uses, it also carries an inscription as a secondary form of long term written memory.

      Link to: https://hypothes.is/a/rpPeOl4IEeyqH1-fAP0WQw

    2. The investment of time and manpower devoted to the constructionof this complex would have resembled the work on a medievalcathedral. As early as 3600 BCE work had begun on the so-calledLimestone Temple in the Eanna precinct. Quarrymen and masonsremoved limestone from a rocky outcrop around fifty kilometers (31mi) to the southwest. Other men transported the stone to Uruk. Stillothers formed hundreds of thousands of mud bricks and clay cones,and set them out to harden in the sun. Others brought timber fromfar to the north for the roofs. Someone supervised all the workmenwho set the bricks and stones and mosaic cones in place. The menwould have been fed and provided for during the construction. Thebuilders were all probably residents of Uruk, united in their desire tocreate a magnificent home for their beloved divine queen.

      Possibility that even with proto-cuneiform (writing) evolving here that such temples were local memory palaces for the culture of the inhabitants who would have been primary orality-based?

    3. facts that no one couldconceivably commit to memory.

      This statement belies the power of orality and the size of built communities without literacy. It's more a question of understanding how it was done and how communities either trusted (or didn't) those who memorized the materials.

      Another factor is how long one needed to remember various facts, especially if for commerce and over what spaces?

      Were there stratifications of society based on the power of memory here? Compare the anthropology and archaeology with the studies by Lynne Kelly.

    1. for - Yann Lecun - paper - Yann Lecun - AI - LLMs are dead - language is optional for reasoning - to paper - VL-JEPA: Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture for Vision-language - https://hyp.is/eSxi8OxGEfCF7QMFiWL9Fg/arxiv.org/abs/2512.10942

      Comment - That language and reasoning are separate is obvious. - If we look at the diversity of life and its ability to operationalize goal seeking behavior, that already tells you that - Michael Levin's research on goal-seeking behavior of organisms and the framework of multi-scale competency architecture validates Lecun's insight - Orders of magnitude fewer efficiency of Lecun's team's prototype compared to LLM also validates this

  6. Dec 2025
    1. Can you take the tools that people use to study memory, learning, goal directedness, problem solving in behavioral cognitive sciences, and can you apply them to the kinds of things I'm talking about cells, tissues, molecular networks. And the answer is yes.

      for - intelligence - take from behavior / cognitive science - apply to molecular networks & tissues - Michael Levin

    1. That is a situation we are now living through, and it is no coincidence that the democratic conversation is breaking down all over the world because the algorithms are hijacking it. We have the most sophisticated information technology in history and we are losing the ability to talk with each other to hold a reasoned conversation.

      for - progress trap - social media - misinformation - AI algorithms hijacking and pretending to be human

    1. ow would you respond to such ways of of looking at data?

      for - progress cheerleaders - response to - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Steven Pinker - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Bill Gates - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fjacobin.com%2F2019%2F02%2Fsteven-pinker-global-poverty-neoliberalism-progress&group=vnpq69nW

    2. I think all of these kind of public good uh infrastructures that we have came about in this very narrow special window of time uh where you had this kind of incursion of egalitarianism uh and and a and a spirit of of you know public-mindedness that's all being eroded.

      for - public good - being eroded

    3. our world and data does they do have some legitimate research because that's what think tanks do. They launder illegitimate research with legitimate research. uh and their tactic primarily is to uh set the scope of what they are commenting on or researching uh that it you know it puts forward the kind of results that they want uh that aligns with their ideology.

      for - Our World in Data - discredited website - mix legitimate with illegitimate research to advance a biased ideology

    4. Steven Pinger's big book better angels of our nature uh inspired a whole literature debunking it

      for - book - Better Angels - Steven Pinker - inspired literature debunking him - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Steven Pinker - to - progress - Jason Hickel - responds to Bill Gates - https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fjacobin.com%2F2019%2F02%2Fsteven-pinker-global-poverty-neoliberalism-progress&group=vnpq69nW

    5. it's not so much about we have to you know expand the scope of the church or you know civilize people who don't have Jesus Christ and becomes more about we have to uh expand the market and we have to uh you know increase the the you know national revenue and the acreage that's under cultivation

      for - history - progress - after Enlightenment - no long about converting savages to Christians - became about expanding markets

    6. hat the book is is kind of trying to do is trace that lineage from that initial uh you know the the very first kind of literary endeavors um through uh you know uh Judaism and and through the classical Greek uh thinkers

      for - book - tracing history of progress / Growthist political economy narrative from Vikings to Mesopotamia to Judaism to Greeks to Islam to Enlightenment to US

    7. rogress: A History of Humankind's Worst Idea

      for - progress trap - book - to - book - Progress: A History of Humankind's Worst Idea - https://hyp.is/cMyt5tjMEfCGz9-Edzp-hA/harpercollins.co.uk/products/progress-a-history-of-humanitys-worst-idea-samuel-miller-mcdonald - author Samuel Miller McDonald

      SRG comment - interview - book on Progress - see other references: - to - book - A Short History of Progress (2004) - https://hyp.is/93k5CtjLEfC1UpPEi59BHA/archive.org/details/shorthistoryofpr0000wrig - to - movie - Surviving Progress (2011) - https://hyp.is/sRPYJtjLEfCwuDdwG2xNnw/www.nfb.ca/film/surviving-progress/ - SRG article - Cogress

    1. for - Medium article - cogress - Part 1 - progress trap - James Gien Wong - definition - cogress - to - Medium article cogress - Part 2 - progress trap - James Gien Wong - https://hyp.is/t8FhpDGAEfC4J7f0NEFujg/medium.com/@gien_SRG/human-cogress-part-2-d6fd075a55c7 - to - Stop Reset Go hypothesis annotations - progress trap - Ronald Wright - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=ronald+wright - General - https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap - from - youtube - Planet Critical interview - Samuel Miller MacDonald - The Myth of Progress - https://hyp.is/r-hmFtjKEfCd8odATbINbA/www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEhmWEDkZUQ

    1. Milton [music] Freriedman, the economist most associated with neoliberalism, whose work was heavily financed by business elites. It was his theory, monitoism, which framed inflation as the ultimate economic threat

      for - economic history - Milton Friedman - represented business elites - Monetarism - inflation seen as ultimate threat to elites

    1. We conclude that our species must alter longstanding patterns of cultural evolution to avoid environmental disaster and escalating between-group competition.

      for - cultural evolution - futures - directional change<br /> - our species must alter longstanding patterns of cultural evolution to avoid - environmental disaster and - escalating between-group competition

      • SRG comment - validation for cultural change from traditional patterns that brought us to the anthropocene
  7. bafybeibsogdst46osf5xfgipobyduuvdzbn66sirxoqaekqnur434ldwwq.ipfs.dweb.link bafybeibsogdst46osf5xfgipobyduuvdzbn66sirxoqaekqnur434ldwwq.ipfs.dweb.link
    1. We speculate that, in the long term, culture will continue to grow in influence over human evolution until genes become secondary structures that encode human biological design blueprints but are ultimately governed by culture.

      for - genes subservient to culture - We speculate that, in the long term, culture will continue to grow in influence over human evolution - until genes become secondary structures that encode human biological design blueprints - but are ultimately governed by culture.

    1. For many if not all members of the human microbial fauna, generation times are measured in hours or even minutes. These short generation times, coupled with the large population sizes of many bacteria, effectively elide the boundary between ecological and evolutionary time

      for - microbiome - blurs ecological and evolutionary time - due to short generation time of microfauna

    1. in your latest book that you wrote with your brother brother Raymond Noble living system

      for - book - Understanding Living Systems - Denis and Raymond Noble - to - book - Understanding Living Systems - Denis and Raymond Noble - https://hyp.is/M7xm0NeMEfCqc2PC5Mwj2A/dokumen.pub/understanding-living-systems-9781009277365-9781009277396.html

    1. In fact, by the time humans began the practice of cultivation of annual grains the total human population on Earth stood at around 6–10 million people. One might say that hunting and gathering is an energetically contained system and not an energetically expansionary system.

      for - comparison - hunter gatherer vs agricultural - energetically contained vs energetically expansionary - stats - hunter -gatherer humans - population before agriculture - 6 to 10 million people.

    1. We do not fully understand yet the complex causal mechanisms between how something happens in one person's mind moves through neural networks then moves through social ecological networks um and actually may create change in entire sector or give rise to systems

      for - anthropocene - signalling - intrabrain - interbrain - SRG comment - individual / collective gestalt - SRG comment - how information flows from one brain to another - networked language!

    2. Christopher Broom's work on in hierarchy in the forest

      for - book - Hierarchy in the Forest - shared struggle against inequality - the most important part of human heritage, intelligence and history - SRG comment - recognizing the sacred in all beings - adjacent to Michel Bauwens and the oscillation of the commons - to - book - publisher's page - Hierarchy in the Forest - The Evolution of Egalitarianism - 2001 - Christopher Boehm - https://hyp.is/_w4TEtZoEfCcjmPIvOEOaQ/www.hup.harvard.edu/books/9780674006911

    3. Edward Tellella, another physicist, had naughty calculation that there's a nonzero chance that detonating the bomb would ignite the entire atmosphere of Earth, killing not just all humans, but every single shred of life. By that time, the US also knew that the Nazis were no longer capable of making the bomb nor even pursuing their own project anymore. They still went ahead and took the risk.

      for - progress trap - technology - nuclear - psychopathic behavior - Edward Teller calculation - decision to go ahead anyways!

    4. boardrooms and parliaments, it's somewhere between 3 to 21%. Now, again, numbers are very disputed

      for - stats - psychopathy - 3 to 21% in boardrooms and parliaments - more likely to find psychopath in boardroom and parliament than grocery store - SRG comment - stats- shadow side of leadership - high percentage of leaders have dark triad

    5. And why does this happen? How do we have such a huge shift in human social relations? One of the big reasons is status competition

      for - reason for - social shift - from egalitarianism - to power hierarchy - status competition - SRG comment - Goliath's Curse - status competition - Deep Humanity antidote

    6. Now compare that for instance with another kind of biologically built structure where we're getting comparable amounts of morphological change of morphos species or technos species uh uh you know which have developed just over a few decades

      for - stats - speed - cultural (technological) evolution - cell phone - 35 years to touchscreen phones - comparison - speed of cultural vs biological evolution - progress trap

    7. the economy should be embedded into the nature.

      for - ecological civilization - economy should be embed into nature

    8. We're looking to the meiosene and potentially even the eene for modern analoges and there were no humans living in those intervals. So we don't know the human impact of the kinds of conditions that are being forecast that are being modeled for a hundred years from now.

      for - comparison - anthropocene - past similiar epochs - miocene and possibly eocene - no humans alive at that time - unknown impacts of living in such an environment

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    1. we have to have a party that takes no money by definition. And the thing about young people is they communicate with social media. They don't need billions of dollars for a campaign. They can do it completely free of charge.

      for - climate crisis - power of young people to affect politics - create party which takes no money - young people don't need - opinion - James Hansen

      SRG comment - James Hansen - youth and politics -TPF - cISTP -TPF as a vehicle

  8. Nov 2025
    1. Intertwined with its concern over ethnicity and religion, the Orange Order presented an ideal of nationalism that differed from the conceptions being presented by other competing forces in Canada. While other Canadian thinkers of the early-twentieth century began to conceive of the Canadian nation as part of a North American tradition, along with the United States, or as a “northern nation” that, through the crucible of Arctic winters, broke with both the United States and Europe, the Orange Order celebrated Canada’s past and highlighted the accomplishments of the British in North America. As the Order saw it, the devotion of the Loyalists and the rise of an Anglophone hegemony in North America were foundational to Canada’s existence, and both owed their authority to British identity. Indeed, as Scott See points out with regard to the Orange Order’s Loyalism of the nineteenth century, The Orange Order served as a form of connective tissue to link the Old World with the New. It was a complex blend of full-throated dedication to the Empire and unswerving support for Britain’s imperial endeavors, as well as an indigenous pronouncement of colonial identity in North America that applauded the British connection, yet strove to articulate a distinct identity of Britishness. (See Citation2014, 182)

      "Intertwined with its concern over ethnicity and religion, the Orange Order presented an ideal of nationalism that differed from the conceptions being presented by other competing forces in Canada. While other Canadian thinkers of the early-twentieth century began to conceive of the Canadian nation as part of a North American tradition, along with the United States, or as a “northern nation” that, through the crucible of Arctic winters, broke with both the United States and Europe, the Orange Order celebrated Canada’s past and highlighted the accomplishments of the British in North America. As the Order saw it, the devotion of the Loyalists and the rise of an Anglophone hegemony in North America were foundational to Canada’s existence, and both owed their authority to British identity. Indeed, as Scott See points out with regard to the Orange Order’s Loyalism of the nineteenth century,

      The Orange Order served as a form of connective tissue to link the Old World with the New. It was a complex blend of full-throated dedication to the Empire and unswerving support for Britain’s imperial endeavors, as well as an indigenous pronouncement of colonial identity in North America that applauded the British connection, yet strove to articulate a distinct identity of Britishness. (See Citation2014, 182)"

      SPECIFIC BRITISH IDENTITY -> EMPHASIZES THIS AS OPPOSED TO NORTH AMERICAN IDENTITY CURRENTS LIKE AMERICANISM

      Flag is connection between Canadians and the British Empire. Again, empty identity though. " “the Flag of our Empire, upon which the sun never sets is the outward and visible emblem of our loyalty to the great British Commonwealth, of which Canada is an integral part” (“Forms” Citation1937). This strain of thought resembled the ideas of imperialists like Stephen Leacock, who before World War I had advocated for greater Canadian participation in British imperial ventures as a means of sharing in the military victories won overseas and the spread of Anglo-Saxon civilization."

    1. Among the numerous points that resonated for us in the framework was the authors' contention that schools and other dominant institutions have historically privileged language, particularly written literacy, over all other modes of communication, thereby neglecting the possibilities of those other modes.

      Literary studies are predominantly focused in non-fiction works or other subjects based heavily in reality. To break away from this promotes creativity and can help those with more imaginative minds to flourish in a setting where they may otherwise struggle.

    2. Rhiannon herself showed ambivalence about bringing her personal writing into school when we asked if she had ever shown her stories to one of her teachers: "[No, and] I don't think I'd want her to read them anyway," she replied, "because they're in a fashion that she probably wouldn't understand even if I tried to explain it to her. I just think that she isn't open-minded."
    1. audience appeal (e.g., having a space in which to affiliate with others who share interests or goals) and time for in-depth discussions around a finished text (perhaps one that was collaboratively authored) are the main factors in young people's decisions to create content destined for informal sharing after school.

      A shared personal interest and connection increases engagement, regardless of what sort of environment the conversation takes place in. It just so happens that online spaces are the easiest environments to express such interest and make such connections.

    1. when that base looks for solutions, they can't find a bunch of glib corporatists in fancy suits with flashy smiles. They have to see authentic hardcrable defenders of the working class and hear ideas that speak to them, not at them.

      for - MAGA base - when the old economy dies, they will be looking for defenders of the working class - adjacency - corporation to cooperation - MAGA base

    1. we can’t recapture the same processes we used to learn to speak for the very first time

      for - unlearning language - key insight - language - cannot recapture same process we used as child - cannot recapture the same processes we used to learn to speak language for the very first time - basically, we lose access to that original vocal learning circuit as an adult - question - language learning - what is this vocal learning circuit of an infant? - why do we lost access to the vocal learning circuit we had as a child? - observation - clue - language - accidental world recall and substitution - a clue to how we remember words - I wrote the above sentence "why do we lost access to the vocal learning circuit we had as a child?" when I meant to write: - "why do we LOSE access to the vocal learning circuit we had as a child?' - This very observation also has the same mistake: - "observation - clue - language - accidental world" instead of: - observation - clue - language - accidental WORD"! - I've noticed this accidental word substitution when we are in the midst of automatically composing sentences quite often and have also wondered about it often. - I think it offers an important clue about how we remember words, and that is critical for recall for using language itself. - We must store words in clusters that are indicated by the accidental recall

    1. for - search prompt 2 - can an adult who has learned language experience pre-linguistic reality like an infant who hasn't learned language yet? - https://www.google.com/search?q=can+an+adult+who+has+learned+language+experience+pre-linguistic+reality+like+an+infant+who+hasn%27t+learned+language+yet%3F&sca_esv=869baca48da28adf&biw=1920&bih=911&sxsrf=AE3TifNnrlFbCZIFEvi7kVbRcf_q1qVnNw%3A1762660496627&ei=kBAQafKGJry_hbIP753R4QE&ved=0ahUKEwjyjouGluSQAxW8X0EAHe9ONBwQ4dUDCBA&uact=5&oq=can+an+adult+who+has+learned+language+experience+pre-linguistic+reality+like+an+infant+who+hasn%27t+learned+language+yet%3F&gs_lp=Egxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAid2NhbiBhbiBhZHVsdCB3aG8gaGFzIGxlYXJuZWQgbGFuZ3VhZ2UgZXhwZXJpZW5jZSBwcmUtbGluZ3Vpc3RpYyByZWFsaXR5IGxpa2UgYW4gaW5mYW50IHdobyBoYXNuJ3QgbGVhcm5lZCBsYW5ndWFnZSB5ZXQ_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-K1A7IHCTItOC41Mi4xMbgHgcUBwgcHMzUuNDcuMsgHcQ&sclient=gws-wiz-serp - from - search prompt 1 - can we unlearn language? - https://hyp.is/Ywp_fr0cEfCqhMeAP0vCVw/www.google.com/search?sca_esv=869baca48da28adf&sxsrf=AE3TifMGTNfpTekWWBdYUA96_PTLS9T00A:1762658867809&q=can+we+unlearn+language?&source=lnms&fbs=AIIjpHxU7SXXniUZfeShr2fp4giZ1Y6MJ25_tmWITc7uy4KIegmO5mMVANqcM7XWkBOa06dn2D9OWgTLQfUrJnETgD74qUQptjqPDfDBCgB_1tdfH756Z_Nlqlxc3Q5-U62E4zbEgz3Bv4TeLBDlGAR4oTnCgPSGyUcrDpa-WGo5oBqtSD7gSHPGUp_5zEroXiCGNNDET4dcNOyctuaGGv2d44kI9rmR9w&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj4_LP9j-SQAxVYXUEAHVT8FfMQ0pQJegQIDhAB&biw=1920&bih=911&dpr=1 - to - search prompt 2 (AI) - can an adult who has learned language re-experience pre-linguistic phenomena like an infant with no language training? - https://hyp.is/m0c7ZL0jEfC8EH_WK3prmA/www.google.com/search?q=can+an+adult+who+has+learned+language+re-experience+pre-linguistic+phenomena+like+an+infant+with+no+language+training?&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIHCAEQIRiPAjIHCAIQIRiPAtIBCTQzNzg4ajBqN6gCALACAA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8&udm=50&ved=2ahUKEwjfrLqDm-SQAxWDZEEAHcxqJgkQ0NsOegQIAxAB&aep=10&ntc=1&mstk=AUtExfAG148GJu71_mSaBylQit3n4ElPnveGZNA48Lew3Cb_ksFUHUNmWfpC0RPR_YUGIdx34kaOmxS2Q-TjbflWDCi_AIdYJwXVWHn-PA6PZM5edEC6hmXJ8IVcMBAdBdsEGfwVMpoV_3y0aeW0rSNjOVKjxopBqXs3P1wI9-H6NXpFXGRfJ_QIY1qWOMeZy4apWuAzAUVusGq7ao0TctjiYF3gyxqZzhsG5ZtmTsXLxKjo0qoPwqb4D-0K-uW-xjkyJj0Bi45UPFKl-Iyabi3lHKg4udEo-3N4doJozVNoXSrymPSQbr2tdWcxw93FzdAhMU9QZPnl89Ty1w&csuir=1&mtid=WBYQaYfuHYKphbIPzYmKiAs

    1. for - search - Google - Can we unlearn language? - https://www.google.com/search?sca_esv=869baca48da28adf&sxsrf=AE3TifMGTNfpTekWWBdYUA96_PTLS9T00A:1762658867809&q=can+we+unlearn+language%3F&source=lnms&fbs=AIIjpHxU7SXXniUZfeShr2fp4giZ1Y6MJ25_tmWITc7uy4KIegmO5mMVANqcM7XWkBOa06dn2D9OWgTLQfUrJnETgD74qUQptjqPDfDBCgB_1tdfH756Z_Nlqlxc3Q5-U62E4zbEgz3Bv4TeLBDlGAR4oTnCgPSGyUcrDpa-WGo5oBqtSD7gSHPGUp_5zEroXiCGNNDET4dcNOyctuaGGv2d44kI9rmR9w&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj4_LP9j-SQAxVYXUEAHVT8FfMQ0pQJegQIDhAB&biw=1920&bih=911&dpr=1 search results returned - interesting - to - article - Can You Unlearn A Language? - IFLScience It's definitely possible to lose fluency in your native language, but research suggests you're unlikely to forget it altogether. - https://hyp.is/MdiWar0dEfC4ajvO0fJCkA/www.iflscience.com/can-you-unlearn-a-language-70874 - from - Linkedin post - John Vervaeke - https://hyp.is/pIMO8rzIEfCPtcvbQ8nTxg/www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7392196128005537792/

      new search prompt - This prompt did not give me the results I was looking for - Need to refine the prompt - Can an adult who has learned language experience pre-linguistic reality like an infant who hasn't learned language yet? - to - new search prompt - can an adult who has learned language experience pre-linguistic reality like an infant who hasn't learned language yet? -

    1. for - to - search - Google - Can we unlearn language? - https://hyp.is/Ywp_fr0cEfCqhMeAP0vCVw/www.google.com/search?sca_esv=869baca48da28adf&sxsrf=AE3TifMGTNfpTekWWBdYUA96_PTLS9T00A:1762658867809&q=can+we+unlearn+language?&source=lnms&fbs=AIIjpHxU7SXXniUZfeShr2fp4giZ1Y6MJ25_tmWITc7uy4KIegmO5mMVANqcM7XWkBOa06dn2D9OWgTLQfUrJnETgD74qUQptjqPDfDBCgB_1tdfH756Z_Nlqlxc3Q5-U62E4zbEgz3Bv4TeLBDlGAR4oTnCgPSGyUcrDpa-WGo5oBqtSD7gSHPGUp_5zEroXiCGNNDET4dcNOyctuaGGv2d44kI9rmR9w&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj4_LP9j-SQAxVYXUEAHVT8FfMQ0pQJegQIDhAB&biw=1920&bih=911&dpr=1

    2. Your brain is incredible at pattern recognitionBut this superpower has a dark side:Once you see a pattern, it becomes incredibly hard to "unsee" it.You become trapped in your own mental models.

      for - adjacency - learning - unlearning - ritual - language - BEing journey - question - Could we apply ritual to unlearn language? - quote - Your brain is incredible at pattern recognition. But this superpower has a dark side: - Once you see a pattern, it becomes incredibly hard to "unsee" it. - You become trapped in your own mental models - John Vervaeke

      adjacency - learning - unlearning - ritual - language - BEing journey - Could we apply ritual to break the pattern of language? This could be an interesting BEing journey!

    1. The easiest way to understand our research directions is to read our recent research. This research continuesmany of the directions our team worked on prior to Anthropic, including: GPT-3, Circuit-Based Interpretability,Multimodal Neurons, Scaling Laws, AI & Compute, Concrete Problems in AI Safety, and Learning from HumanPreferences.

      Anthropic reading material

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    1. for - definition - city - towns and cities - to - UN Statistical Commission Report - https://hyp.is/Y4mBcrgGEfCKeB-o1NPMjA/unstats.un.org/UNSDWebsite/statcom/session_52/documents/BG-4a-DEGURBA_Manual-E.pdf

      summary - A new definition of cities settles an outstanding ambiguity in urban planning - what is the definition of a city? - Defined as a location with minimum population of 50,000 and population density of 1,500 people / square kilometers, it turns out there are 10,000 cities on the planet, and 48% of humanity lives in cities. - 25% of humanity lives in towns, which are future cities

  9. Oct 2025
    1. for - US Republican governance failure - blue states provide welfare to red states - youtube - Dave Pakman - blue states vs red states - The US survives Trump's mismanagement because the US is a welfare state in which the blue states, with far better social policies is forced to bail out the tax-friendly red states - The red states keep choosing the same dysfunctional policies, and keep having to get bailed out by the blue states - In this sense, the federal government is being exploited to keep red states doing the same thing

    1. Ask anyone and they will tell you that helping children develop self-control is anenormous challenge and responsibility.

      I totally agree - it's a very tall order. Teaching children self control in a classroom is very different from teaching children when you are babysitting or teaching your own children. I do believe that because I do not ye have children, the techniques I am learning to be effective will also change the way I parent. But this skill is very hard to teach in a positive way.

    1. TLDR: When working with LLMs, the risks for the L&D workflow and its impact on substantive learning are real:Hallucination — LLMs invent plausible-sounding facts that aren’t trueDrift — LLM outputs wander from your brief without clear constraintsGeneric-ness — LLMs surface that which is most common, leading to homogenisation and standardisation of “mediocre”Mixed pedagogical quality — LLMs do not produce outputs which are guaranteed to follow evidence-based practiceMis-calibrated trust — LLMs invite us to read guesswork as dependable, factual knowledge These aren’t edge cases or occasional glitches—they’re inherent to how AI / all LLMs function. Prediction machines can’t verify truth. Pattern-matching can’t guarantee validity. Statistical likelihood doesn’t equal quality.

      Real inherent issue using AI for learning.

    2. AI’s instructional design “expertise” is essentially a statistical blend of everything ever written about learning—expert and amateur, evidence-based and anecdotal, current and outdated. Without a structured approach, you’re gambling on which patterns the model draws from, with no guarantee of pedagogical validity or factual accuracy.

      Issue with applying general LLMs to instructional design