for - stats - cosmolocalization - localization can reduce matter-energe usage by 60%

for - stats - cosmolocalization - mutualization can reduce matter-energy usage by another 80%

understand influence of knot placement

example of modeling cyclical trends

for - stats - history - Nov 1952 - hydrogen bomb - -April 1953 - discovery of DNA

for stats - 240,000 to 325,000 children and women trafficked every year in America

for - stats - CDC - underaged American children who have been molested - 50 million / year - 5 % boys - 25% girls

for - stats - natural language acquisition - 1 to 2 year old is age of fastest and best learning

comment - ALG philosophy - replicate the experiences that 1 to 2 year olds have

for - sustainable space heating - masonry heater - tip - chimney length for adequate draft - stats - masonry heater chimney length -18 feet for 8 inch diameter pipe to get good draft

for - sustainable heating - masonry heater - tip - firewood moisture content - stats - wood burned in masonry heater - less than 20% moisture content to avoid creosol deposits

for - stats - chances of losing control of ASI - 10 to 80%

for - quote - US reserve currency - used for 10% of global trade - and 90% of foreign exchange - stats - US reserve currency - used for 10% of global trade - and 90% of foreign exchange

for - stats - big ag takes 30% of profits - small farmers take 5%

for - stats - liberal dated 60 conservative, MAGA men in a year

for - colonialism - impacts - Americas - little ice age - cause - genocide of indigenous people in 17th century - abandoned fields - stats - colonialism - genocide - 55 million people - cooling of planet - MAGA - How to make the Americas great again - colonialism - justice - to - paper - Earth system impacts of the European arrival and Great Dying in the Americas after 1492 - https://hyp.is/fHnyIBL3EfCpcmfnGW26DA/www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0277379118307261

comment - The MAGA movement needs to deeply reflect on this - They claim national pride but do not go further back in history than the establishment of the United States - They need to recognize how the US was established on genocide in order to live in cultural truth - This reality creates a contradiction to their entire theme of white national power - It makes the elimination of DEI hypocritical as indigenous peoples have a far more legitimate claim than they do

for - stats - climate justice - climate debt - Global North owes Global South 36 trillion USD

for - report - Action Aid - climate justice - stats - 70% of economic growth of global North - unequal carbon budget

Proven statistic

for - carbon inequality - stats - carbon inequality

for - carbon inequality - stats - carbon inequality - 2 days of our carbon budget - if everyone emitted transportation emissions of 50 richest billionaires - source - Oxfam - Carbon Inequality kills - 2024

for - stats - early US settlers seized 1.5 billion acres of land starting from 1776

for - stats - health - eating bread - 9000 steps a day - to - step calculator - https://www.omnicalculator.com/sports/steps-to-km - approximately 7km walk each day

for - YouTube - health - diet - stats - health - 9000 steps a day - bread

for - stats - inequality - US - past 50 years - wealth redistribution - $80 trillion from bottom 90% - to top 1%

for - stats - Kenya IMF debt

> for - stats - addiction - rehab centers - 85% are based on disease model - and 85% use a religious oriented 12 step program

> for - stats - addiction - rehab relapse - 2 to 10 times - addiction - rehab - revolving door

> for - stats - AA - success rate - 8% - ego fatigue

> for - stats - addiction - tobacco - average duration - 25 years

> for - stats - addiction - alcohol - average duration - 15 years

> for - stats - addiction - marijuana - average duration - 6 years

> for - stats - addiction - cocaine - average duration - 4 years

for - stats - 2025 - digital nomads - 34 million - with crypto - 10 million - rootless - SOURCE - Youtube Ma Earth channel interview - Devcon 2024 - Cosmo Local Commoning with Web 3 - Michel Bauwens - 2025, Jan 2

for - paraphrase - history of labor - SOURCE - Youtube Ma Earth channel interview - Devcon 2024 - Cosmo Local Commoning with Web 3 - Michel Bauwens - 2025, Jan 2 - to - stats - Gallup Chairman's Blog - world poll 2024 - 15% of employees worldwide are engaged - SOURCE - Youtube Ma Earth channel interview - Devcon 2024 - Cosmo Local Commoning with Web 3 - Michel Bauwens - 2025, Jan 2

paraphrase - history of labor - Michel gives a nice succinct summary of the broad strokes of the history of labor over the last few millennia: - Civilizations have begun as slave-based societies first - Then when the Christian revolution occurred after the fall of the Roman Empire, "Ora et Labora (Pray and Work)" was adopted to transform work into a spiritually meaningful endeavor - Then in the 16th century, this philosophy was replaced by turning labor into a commodity, where it has remained ever since, - resulting in a world where 85% of those surveyed say they are not engaged with their job

to - stats - Gallup Chairman's Blog - world poll 2024 - 15% of employees worldwide are engaged - https://hyp.is/iOlXbNBOEe-t6hdOWtvTYw/news.gallup.com/opinion/chairman/212045/world-broken-workplace.aspx

for - example - efficacy of mutualisation - transportation - cars - SOURCE - Youtube Ma Earth channel interview - Devcon 2024 - Cosmo Local Commoning with Web 3 - Michel Bauwens - 2025, Jan 2 - stats - mutualisation - transportation - cars - 1 car can replace 13 - car is parked most of the time - 10% of existing cars doubles our requirement - SOURCE - Youtube Ma Earth channel interview - Devcon 2024 - Cosmo Local Commoning with Web 3 - Michel Bauwens - 2025, Jan 2

for - stats - job satisfaction - Gallup poll 2024 - engaged employees worldwide - 15% - Gallup CEO - Jim Clifton - from - Youtube Ma Earth channel interview - Devcon 2024 - Cosmo Local Commoning with Web 3 - Michel Bauwens - 2025, Jan 2 - https://hyp.is/FiFXpNBMEe-n_Jc4-PJ5_A/www.youtube.com/watch?v=UCkLHj6r7y8

for - stats - Santa Ana winds dries to less than 10% relative humidity - SOURCE - Youtube - climate crisis - 2025 Los Angeles fires - The Catastrophic Climate Driven Conflagaration in Los Angeles - Paul Beckwith - 2025, Jan 10

for - physics - adiabatic warming - lapse rate - Santa Ana winds - venturi effect through canyons increases wind speed - SOURCE - Youtube - climate crisis - 2025 Los Angeles fires - The Catastrophic Climate Driven Conflagaration in Los Angeles - Paul Beckwith - 2025, Jan 10 - stats - Santa Ana winds warms 1 Deg C every 100 meter of descent due to adiabatic warming lapse rate - SOURCE - Youtube - climate crisis - 2025 Los Angeles fires - The Catastrophic Climate Driven Conflagaration in Los Angeles - Paul Beckwith - 2025, Jan 10

for - stats - 2025 Los Angeles fires - 5x increase in summer burned area - SOURCE - Youtube - climate crisis - 2025 Los Angeles fires - The Catastrophic Climate Driven Conflagaration in Los Angeles - Paul Beckwith - 2025, Jan 10

for - report - climate crisis - food system transformation - Public climate finance for food systems transformation - Global Alliance for the Future of Food - 2024, Nov - from - post - LinkedIn - Jonathan Foley - This is very, very important - stats - 2.5% climate funding for food system that contributes 30% of global climate emissions - 2025, Jan 3 - https://hyp.is/zKE7vsqkEe-RFB8co7Pdqw/www.linkedin.com/posts/jonathan-foley-182808b9_foodsystemeconomicscommission-cop29-climatefinance-activity-7281009061003706369-P1b0/ - TPC network - motivation

for - stats - climate crisis - funding - food system - contributes 30% of global emissions - receives 2.5% climate funding - only 1.5% of the 2.5% goes to sustainable food systems - source - Public climate finance for food systems transformation - Global Alliance for the Future of Food - 2024, Nov - reposted on LinkedIn by Jonathan Foley - to - Public climate finance for food systems transformation - Global Alliance for the Future of Food - 2024, Nov - https://hyp.is/E3p2hsqlEe-tG0ezHCPriw/futureoffood.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ga_climatefinancereport_2024.pdf - TPC network - motivation

for - p(doom) - definition - stats - p(doom) - 0.01 to 99.999999%

p(doom) - definition - the "probability of doom" or the chances that AI takes over the planet or does something to destroy us,

stats - p(doom) - founders of AI - Yann LeCun - less than 0.01% - Geoff Hinton - 10% chance on the next 20 years - Yoshua Bengio - 20% - Roman Yampolskiy, AI safety scientist and director of the Cyber Security Laboratory at the University of Louisville - 99.999999%

for - stats - climate crisis - global mean temperature gap in models vs measurement of - 0.2 Deg C - from The Print - YouTube - Low clouds disappearing over earth, rapidly acceleration heating - 2024, Dec

for - stats - 80% of all used software is open source - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20

for - stats - climate crisis - example - positive impacts of mutualisation / sharing - car sharing - 1 Shared car can replace 9 to 13 cars without loss of mobility - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20

for - stats - motivation for cosmolocal - high inefficacy of resource and energy use - 3x for transport as for production - from Substack article - The Cosmo-Local Plan for our Next Civilization - Michel Bauwens - 2024, Dec 20

for - stats - birth - 490,000 babies born every day - 5 to 6 every second - Anna Veerwal - Doula - birth educator

for - inequality - stats - global income thresholds for top 0.1% to bottom 50%

inequality - stats - global income thresholds for top 0.1% to bottom 50% - top 0.1% - $38,000,000 - next 0.9% below - $10,000,000 (rest of top 1%) - next 9% below - $ 1,800,000 (rest of top 10%) - next 40% below - $165,382 (rest of top 50%) - bottom 50% - $0

for - stats - carbon inequality - poorest 50% emit 12% - richest 10% emit 48% - Chancel, 2022

for - stats - biodiversity stewardship - 5% of the world's population - stewarding 80% of the world's biodiversity - Post Capitalist Philanthropy - Alnoor Ladha - Lynn Murphy - 2023

for - stats - philanthropy - possibly the world's 8th largest industry - with little transparency - Post Capitalist Philanthropy Webinar 1 - Alnoor Ladha - Lynn Murphy - 2023

for - stats - 27% of the gap can be reduced by wind and solar deployment and 20% by action on forests, while efficiency, electrification, fuel switching in buildings, transport and industry sectors can also contribute - UN Emissions Gap Report 2024 - Key Messages

for - stats - Current National Declared Commitments (NDCs) only take us to a disastrous 2.6 Deg. C over the course of the century.- UN Emissions Gap Report 2024 - Key Messages

for - stats - GHG emissions grew 1.3 % year-on-year to 57.1 Gton CO2 eq in 2023 - UN Emissions Gap Report 2024 - Key Messages - stats - 7.5% decarbonization rate is now required every year to stay under 1.5 Deg C - UN Emissions Gap Report 2024 - Key Messages

for - stats - 2030 emissions - 42% lower than 2019 to stay within 1.5 Deg C - UN 2024 Emission's Gap Report

for - stats - climate change - emissions reductions from behavioral change - 20% reduction in households

for - stats - climate change - emissions reductions from behavioral change - 33% reduction in EU

for - stats - carbon emissions reduction during covid - decarbonization rate - 17% in early April 2020 and 8.6% average between Jan and Apr 2020 compared to same period in 2019

for - stats - defeat of incumbents since 2020 in Western democracies is about 80%

for - stats - most people in America agree on 85 - 90% of issues - unpack why and how the 10 - 15% is made so divisive

for - stats - Perato's law - social transformation - fascism, polarization and climate crisis - climate communication - 80% will change if we listen, 19% will require deeper conversations - 1% will not change - Roger Hallam

for - stats - internet - average connection speed - hasn't increased as much as storage and processing power

for - stats - green growth - 2024 - Global South vs Global North

stats - green growth - 2024 - Global South has - 60% of world population - 20% of fossil fuel production - fossil fuel production in decline - 70% of global renewable resource potential - In 2024, 87% of capex of electricity generation is renewable - From 2019 to 2024, renewable energy has grown 23% annually and now supplies 9% of its electricity - 17% of Global South has already overtaken Global North in % of renewable electricty generation

for - quote - organized crime in Cape Town

quote - organized crime in Cape Town - Andre Lincoln - Caryn Dolley - (see below) - Why you don’t see it is because it’s subtle, very sophisticated and it is a massive business. - How many restaurants and clubs on these famous streets are paying protection money to criminals? It's pretty startling - And what about construction shakedowns? 63 billion Rand of projects impacted in 2019 - https://hyp.is/Smjb3I5CEe-fXHsx-Sy8kQ/www.inclusivesociety.org.za/post/overview-of-the-construction-mafia-crisis-in-south-africa

for - stats - construction mafia impacts - South Africa - 2019 - R63 billion - Overview of the Construction Mafia Crisis in South Africa - Inclusive Society Institute - 2023

for - critique - extreme wealth inequality cannot be avoided for the greater improvement of society - The Gospel of Wealth - Andrew Carnegie - stats - Mondragon corporation - comparison of pay difference between highest paid and lowest paid - adjacency - Gandhi quote - Andrew Carnegie beliefs in The Gospel of Wealth

critique - extreme wealth inequality cannot be avoided for the greater improvement of society - The Gospel of Wealth - Andrew Carnegie - It's a matter of degree - Wealth differences within US corporations of 344 to 1 are obscene and not necessary, as proven by - Wealth difference of 6 to 1 in Mondragon federation of cooperatives - To quote - Gandhi, there is enough to meet everyone's needs but not enough to meet everyone's greed - The great problem with such large wealth disparity is that those who know how to game the system can earn obscene amounts of money - and since the concept of luxury goods is made desirable and proportional to monetary wealth, it creates a positive feedback loop of insatiability - The combination of engaging in ever greater luxury lifestyle and power is intoxicating and addictive

to - stats - Mondragon corporation - comparison of pay difference between highest paid and lowest paid - https://hyp.is/QAxx-o14Ee-_HvN5y8aMiQ/www.csmonitor.com/Business/2024/0513/income-inequality-capitalism-mondragon-corporation

for - critique - extreme wealth a reward for rare management skills - Andrew Carnegie - The Gospel of Wealth - Mondragon counterexample - to - stats - Mondragon pay difference between highest and lowest paid - article - In this Spanish town, capitalism actually works for the workers - Christian Science Monitor - Erika Page - 2024, June 7

critique - extreme wealth a reward for rare management skills - Andrew Carnegie - The Gospel of Wealth - Mondragon counterexample - This is invalidated today by large successful cooperatives such as Mondragon

to - stats - Mondragon corporation - comparison of pay difference between highest paid and lowest paid - https://hyp.is/QAxx-o14Ee-_HvN5y8aMiQ/www.csmonitor.com/Business/2024/0513/income-inequality-capitalism-mondragon-corporation

for - stats - Mondragon corporation - pay difference comparison between highest paid and lowest paid - from - essay - The Gospel of Wealth - Andrew Carnegie - Carnegie organization

from - essay - The Gospel of Wealth - Andrew Carnegie - Carnegie organization - https://hyp.is/dIoiDo16Ee-0n2OpOK3lwg/www.carnegie.org/about/our-history/gospelofwealth/

stats - Mondragon corporation - comparison of pay difference between highest paid and lowest paid - Modragon - 6 to 1 - typical US - 344 to 1 - typical Spain - 77 to 1

for - Link rot study - on NY Times archive - show how pervasive it is - stats - link rot - NY Times study - digital decay - link rot - internet is ephemeral - dead links

for - digital delay stats - Pew Research

summary - That digital decay and link rot are digital facts of life means that annotating information on the page that is relevant for you to preserve is a good practice. - It may appear redundant but if that page disappears in the future, you will be glad you have preserved it in a place accessible to you - in your annotations!

for - stats - link rot - digital decay study - NY Times - 550,000 articles - 2.2 million links - 6% dead in 2018 articles - 72% dead in 1998 articles.

for - digital delay stats - Pew Research

summary - That digital decay and link rot are digital facts of life means that annotating information on the page that is relevant for you to preserve is a good practice. - It may appear redundant but if that page disappears in the future, you will be glad you have preserved it in a place accessible to you - in your annotations!

for stats - digital decay - twitter -20% of tweets are no longer publicly visible 0ne month later

for - stats - digital stats - 54% of Wikipedia pages contain at least one link in their “References” section that points to a page that no longer exists.

for - stats - digital decay - 23% of news webpages contain at least one broken link, - stats - digital decay - 21% of webpages from government sites contain at least one broken link

for stats - digital stats - 38% of webpages in 2013 no longer exist May 2024

for - stats - digital decay - 25% of webpages that existed from 2013 to 2023 no longer exist as of Oct 2023

stats - digital decay - A quarter of all webpages that existed at one point between 2013 and 2023 are no longer accessible as of October 2023

for - stats - earth system boundary - biodiversity - intact natural systems - 50 to 60% global land need to be intact

for - stats - earth system boundary - biodiversity - human modified ecosystems -absolute minimum of 10% - below this, many of Nature's contribution to people would no longer be provided

for - stats - earth system boundary - biodiversity - human modified ecosystems - minimum of 20 to 25% natural / semi-natural habitat per square kilometer

for - stats - earth system boundary - biodiversity - human modified ecosystems - 6 critical Nature's Contribution to People at local scales

stats - earth system boundary - biodiversity - human modified ecosystems - 6 critical Nature's Contribution to People at local scales - pollination pest and disease control - water-quality regulation - soil protection - natural hazards mitigation - recreation

for - stats - earth system boundary - biodiversity - intact natural systems - 15% below ESB in 2018

for - biodiversity - impact of monoculture diet

biodiversity - impact of monoculture diet - FAO study done before 2000 and often cited shows that 75% of the global diet comes from 12 plant and 5 animal food sources

to - stats - progress trap - monoculture - table of 12 plant and 5 animal species that make up 75% of world's diet - https://hyp.is/iznepFWoEe-umbNyOGVqrg/thefuturemarket.com/biodiversity

• progress trap - monoculture - instead of agrobiodiversity - examples of
  • https://hyp.is/kV_NalWpEe-xFufxGAqPhw/foodtechconnect.com/2019/01/07/biodiverse-food-intersection-taste-sustainability/

for - stats - global annual economic cost of insect pollinators - 235 to 577 billion USD - OECD 2019

for - stats - ecosystem disruption and financial losses study - Dutch investors risk 510 billion EUR or 36% of the Dutch 1.4 trillion EURO investment is at risk

for - stats - table of 12 plants and 5 animal species that make up 75% of the world's food (FAO)

from - Swiss RE Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (BES) index report - https://hyp.is/Jqw9MlWpEe-DhnehMbtbjA/www.swissre.com/dam/jcr:a7fe3dca-c4d6-403b-961c-9fab1b2f0455/swiss-re-institute-expertise-publication-biodiversity-and-ecosystem-services.pdf

for - stats - table of 12 plants and 5 animal species that make up 75% of the world's food (FAO)

for - stats - climate crisis intervention - urgency - reduce emissions by 50% in 5 years!

for - stats - anthropology - she of modern humans - 250,000 year stats - anthropology - she of modern humans - 250,000 years - quote - Ronald Wright - update from 50,000 to 250,000 years old

for - stats - seawater farming crops - 300 edible species

stats - seawater farming crops - 300 edible species - education campaigns and cooking classes to publicize and new edible crops

for - stats - seawater farming - soil nutrition impacts - 8% increase in 6 months

for - stats - agriculture - 1/3 of world's soils are degraded

for - stats - carbon sequestration - salt marshes - 30x more sequestration than rainforests

for - stats - whites become minority percentage of US working class by 2032

stats - whites become minority percentage of US working class by 2032 - From Economic Policy Institute

to - People of color will be a majority of the American working class in 2032 -

for - stats - US trade deficit with China

stats US trade deficit with China - Due to the cheaper cost of manufacturing in China, many U.S. companies have outsourced their labor abroad. - This has resulted in - a massive trade deficit between the U.S. and China and - has led to a loss of around 2.4 million jobs since 2013, or - almost two-thirds of all U.S. manufacturing jobs

for - quote - Mexico - NAFTA job loss - stats - Mexico - NAFTA job loss

quote - Mexico - NAFTA job loss - - This decline in agricultural production, - coupled with a sheer reduction in wages due to a lack of labor and regulatory standards in the agree- ment, - created over 1.3 million lost jobs in the Mexican agricultural sector alone, - leading to an unprecedented level of immigration into the United States

stats - Mexico - NAFTA job loss - Mexico lost 1.3 million jobs due to mass migration to the US due to NAFTA

for - stats - 25 to 34 year old people of color is earliest U.S. working class cohort to transition in the year 2021.

for - stats - majority of U.S. working class will be people of color by 2029

stats - majority of U.S. working class will be people of color by 2029 - prime-age U.S. working class cohort is age 25 to 54

for stats - U.S. working class projected to become majority people of color by 2032.

stats - U.S. working class projected to become majority people of color by 2032. - source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

for - stats - U.S. working class - 666.1% of civilian workforce between 18 and 64

for - stats - comparison of cognitive powers - AGI AI agents vs human researcher

stats - comparison of cognitive powers - AGI AI agents vs human researcher - 100 million AGI AI researchers - each AGI AI researcher is 100x more efficient that its equivalent human AI researcher - total productivity increase = 100 million x 100 = 10 billion human AI researchers! Wow!

for - stats - AI evolution - equivalent of 100 million human researchers working 24/7

stats - AI evolution - equivalent of 100 million human researchers working 24/7 - By 2027, the industry's aim is to have tens of millions of GPU training clusters, running - millions of copies of automated AI researchers, or the equivalent of - 100 million human AI researchers working 24/7

for - stats - AI evolution - Math benchmark - 2022 to 2024

stats - AI evolution - Math benchmark - 2022 to 2024 - 50% increase in accuracy over 2 years - inference accuracy improved 1000x or 3 Orders Of Magnitude (OOM)

for - stats - AI - evolution - Math benchmark

stats - AI - evolution - Math benchmark - 2021 - GPT3 scored 5% - 2022 - scored 50% - 2024 - Gemini 1.5 Pro scored 90%

for - stats - AI music platform Udio - tracks created per day - over 800000

O Índice de Vegetação por Diferença Normalizada (NDVI, do inglês Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) é uma métrica amplamente utilizada na área de sensoriamento remoto para quantificar a vegetação em uma determinada área a partir de imagens de satélite ou aeronaves. Este índice é baseado na reflexão da luz em diferentes comprimentos de onda pelas plantas.

for - renewable energy - deep geothermal - stats - deep geothermal

stats - deep geothermal - 20 km deep hole can access super-hot temperatures in greater than 90% of locations across the globe

stats - 60% of Africa's food is composed of: - wheat - rice - maize

for - stats - Africa - main crops - Africa - main crops

for - stats - carbon footprint of stone, steel, concrete

stats - carbon footprint - stone, steel , concrete - ( see below)

• The Inventory of Embodied Carbon and Energy 2019 says carbon footprint of the following building materials are:
  • ‘General stone’ - 0.079kg carbon per kg .
  • Concrete - 0.15kg carbon per kg and
  • Steel - 2.8kg carbon per kg.

for - stone availability - stats - stone availability

stone stats - rough calculation below

• Question: Is there enough stone?
• According to the Global Cement and Concrete Association,
  • annual worldwide concrete production is roughly 1.6 km3.
• Due to its higher strength its equivalent in stone would be about one quarter of that volume.
• To put this into context,
  • the volume of a small, Ben Nevis-ish mountain is about 30km3;
  • all the world’s buildings* would only make a 56km3 or two Nevis,
  • the Earth’s crust (rock) has a volume of 10 billion km3.
• Assumptions for above calculations:
  • 7bn people living in threes in
  • 120m2 live work units made of
  • 200mm slabs.

for - definition - Weird - stats - Weird countries - greatest sense of self - inspiration - introduce - Sarah Stein Lubrano - Rachell - Indyweb - Indranet

definition - Weird - Western Educated Industrialized Rich Democratic

inspiration - introduce Rachel and Sarah to Indyweb / Indranet - As soon as I heard Rachel and Sarah talk about the prominent and unique WEIRD feature of sense of self, - I immediately thought that we must introduce them to our work on the Indyweb / |ndranet as our system is designed based on the epistemology that - we are not a thing - we are a process - we are evolution in realtime action - the very use of the Indyweb / Indranet reinforces the reality that we are a process and not a fixed entity - so deconstructs the social construct of the self

for - silver economy - stats - silver economy

stats - silver economy - 2024 - 7 trillion yuan ($982 billion USD) - 6 % GDP - 2035 - 30 trillion yuan ($4.2 trillion USD) - 10% GDP

question - silver economy - climate change impacts? transition impacts?

for - Gen Z influence on 2024 US election - Trump 2024 win - an existential threat to humanity - stats - Gen Z - 2024 U.S. election

comment - Gen Z can play a role in determining the future of human civilization. How? Their vote in the upcoming 2024 U.S. election. If Donald Trump wins, it can pose an existential threat to human civilization - https://hyp.is/mwqwpsA-Ee6bAd9C2MLeKg/www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-2024-presidency-climate-change-rcna131928

stats - Gen Z - 2024 U.S. election

• In the next presidential election, 40.8 million members of Gen Z (ages 18-27 in 2024) will be eligible to vote,
  • including 8.3 million newly eligible youth (ages 18-19 in 2024)
  • who will have aged into the electorate since the 2022 midterm election.
• These young people have tremendous potential to
  • influence elections and to
  • spur action on issues they care about
• if they are adequately reached and supported by parties, campaigns, and organizations.

for - stats - % of people inhabiting earthen buildings

for - stats - spiritual but not religious

stats - spiritual but not religious - Pew research study shows 22% of Americans now identify as spiritual but not religious - Only 11% say that are involved in a religious community

for - stats - Africa - food insecurity - adjancency - food colonialism - food insecurity - food dependency

stats - food insecurity - 20 plant species make up 90% of food consumed in Africa - 3 crops introduced by the Green Revolution make up 60% of all calories consumed - wheat - maize - rice

• African countries have become reliant on a few food items.

• Just 20 plant species now provide 90% of our food, with three

  • wheat,
  • maize and
  • rice

accounting for 60% of all calories consumed on the continent and globally.

• This deprives the continent of diverse food sources,

at the very time when research has found

massive food and nutrition insecurity in Africa.

• By 2020, about 20% of the continent’s population (281.6 million) faced hunger.
• This figure is likely to have increased,
  • given the impacts of successive droughts, floods and COVID-19.

Yet historically, Africa had

- 30,000 edible plant species, and 
- 7,000 were traditionally cultivated or foraged for food.

The continent is a treasure trove of agrobiodiversity (a diversity of types of crops and animals) and

• its countries could easily feed themselves.

for - climate crisis - food production impacts - stats - high emissions scenario -food production

stats - high emissions scenario - over 30% of food crop production and animal production impacted - mostly around equator

• for: climate mitigation, stats - 40% reduction by 2030, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - fossil fuel phase out

• quote: Johan Rockstrom

  • All stakeholders in the world must now act according to the agreed Cop28 output, and deliver on the CopP28 Global Stocktake Agreement,
    • which means rapidly transitioning away from oil, coal and gas, aiming at more than 40% reductions by 2030
• Date: Dec 31, 2023

• for: stats - CCS, Kevin Anderson - CCS stats

• stats

  • actually, IEA shows that we are currently capturing 45 million tons currently (Dec 2023)
  • 45 million tons captured in 2021 (IEA CCS 2021)
  • out of 36.3 billion tonnes emitted (IEA, 2021)
  • 0.124% captured in 2021 and
  • 3x current rate at 125 Mt/yr by 2030
  • far from enough

• reference

  • https://www.iea.org/reports/global-energy-review-co2-emissions-in-2021-2
  • https://www.iea.org/energy-system/carbon-capture-utilisation-and-storage

• for: stats - CCS, stats - CCUS

• stats

  • 125 Mt / year by 2030

• for: stats - CCS 2021, CCUS - 2021

• stats

  • CCS / CCUS in 2021: 45 Mt CO2

• for: pernicious cascades - qualities, stats - pernicious cascade, synchronized crisis

• stats - pernicious cascades - climate change

• Pernicious cascades - qualities
  • amplifying
    • global mean temp
      • in 2000: 0.72 Deg C warmer than pre-industrial (1850)
      • in 2020 1.2 Deg C warmer than pre-industrial
  • accelerating
    • warming per decade:
      • 1970 to 2010 - 0.18 Deg C / decade
      • 2010 to 2040 - 0.27 Deg C / decade
  • syncrhonizing
    • many systems are becoming unstable:
      • higher inflation
      • higher levels of precarity
      • higher levels of inequality
      • destabilizing climate / increase in extreme weather events
      • geopolitical conflicts
      • political polarization
      • misinformation
      • major migration
    • Cascade institute does not view these as random events - not a set of coincidence or "perfect storm"
    • instead, invisible synchronization and causality between events
    • our research reveals the invisible connections

• for: stats - major stressors of the polycrisis, trigger events

• stats: major stressors of the polycrisis

  • profile of a crisis
    • a crisis occurs when
  • a major stressor occurs
    • there are between 15 and 20 of them
  • and combines with much less predictable "trigger" events
    • also called stochastic or random events

• for: stats - bank emissions

• stats: bank emissions

  • if your bank is equivalent to the largest 11 US banks, the Project Drawdown report estimates
    • 0.24 metric tons of CO2 for every $1,000 USD saved in the bank
    • between 20 to 30 percent of your money is likely used to finance fossil fuel projects or other carbon intensive sectors like mining.

• for: stats - staying under 1.5 Deg C

• stats: staying under 1.5 Deg C

  • is equivalent to shutting down the economies of China, the US, India, Japan and Russia

• for: stats - oil and gas - steep drop in revenues of fossil fuel producer economies

• stats: oil and gas - steep drop in revenues of fossil fuel reliant economies

  • per capita net income from oil and natural gas among producer economies will be 60% lower in 2030 in a 1.5 °C scenario.relative to revenues between 2010 and 2022.

• question

  • many producer economies are not diversifying into clean energy fast enough to compensate for these steep revenue drops

• for: stats - oil and gas industry - required investments in clean energy

• stats: oil and gas industry - required investments in clean energy

  • 50 % of capital expenditure by 2030 and reduction in scope 1 and 2 emissions

• comment

  • Wow, is it really possible for the industry to spend 50 % of their budget on clean energy in 7 years? This would be unprecedented, given that greenwashing is all we've ever seen in the past.

• for: stats - oil and gas industry - repurposing for clean energy

• stats: oil and gas industry - repurposing for clean energy

  • only 30 % of the energy consumed in a clean energy future within 1.5 Deg C comes from low emission fuels and technologies that benefit from oil and gas industry resources
  • this leaves a huge deficit of 70 %.

• question

  • How will the transition account for these human and technological resources?

• for: stats - oil and gas industry - fight for survival

• stats: oil and gas industry - fight for survival

  • competing oil producers will have to reach an agreement on who has the right to produce the remaining carbon budget
  • 24 million barrels a day are still produced in a 1.5 Deg C scenario but are largely uncombusted
    • 75 % of that will be used in petrochemical and other industry
    • 920 billion cubic meters of natural gas
      • 50% of this for hydrogen production

• for: stats - oil and gas industry - steep drop in production

• stats - oil and gas industry - steep drop in production

  • no new fields can be developed to meet a 1.5 Deg C scenario
  • any new developments face the certain risk of being a stranded asset
  • by 2040, 7 million less barrels of oil are produced each day to meet a 1.5 Deg C scenario

• for: stats - oil and gas industry operational emissions

• stats: oil and gas industry - operational emissions

  • 15% of all global emissions are from the production, transport and processing of fossil fuels

• for: stats - oil and gas industry - clean energy investments

• comment

  • Inclusive transformation
    • Clearly, transforming the dirty fossil fuel industry into clean energy industry requires migrating as much of those 12 million dirty energy jobs as possible. We can't alienate the fossil fuel industry.
    • the barometer to measure this paradigm shift in fossil fuel industry narrative is their investment into clean energy. Over the years, majors have acted like politicians, promising significant clean energy investment, then backsliding. There is no more time for that.

• for: stats - oil and gas industry - profit split, stats - oil and gas industry - reserves split

• stats: oil and gas industry profit split

  • 50 % to governments
  • 40 % to investments
  • 10% to shareholders and debt

• stats: oil and gas reserve splits

  • majors: 13 % production, 13 % reserves
  • National Oil Companies: 50% production, 60 % reserves

• stats - oil and gas vs clean energy returns

• stats: oil and gas vs clean energy returns between 2010 and 2022

  • 6 to 9 % for oil and gas
  • 6 % for clean energy

• for: stats - fossil fuel industry - valuation in a 1.5 Deg C world

• stats: fossil fuel industry - valuation in a 1.5 Deg C world

  • current 2023 valuation: 6 trillion USD
  • current NDCs met (short of a 1.5 Deg C world): 4.5 trillion USD
  • 1.5 Deg C world: 2.4 trillion USD

for: stats - oil and gas industry, stats - fossil fuel industry

• stats: oil and gas industry
• stats: fossil fuel industry
  • The fossil fuel industry's production, transport and processing operations accounts for 15% of global energy-related greenhouse gas emissions.

• for: stats - oil and gas industry, stats - fossil fuel industry

• stats - oil and gas industry

• stats - fossil fuel industry
  • Oil and gas producers account for approximately 1% of total clean energy investment
  • 60 % of that comes from 4 companies

• for: stats - oil and gas industry, stats - fossil fuel industry

• stats - oil and gas industry

• stats - fossil fuel industry
  • supplies approximately 50% of all total global energy
  • employs 12 million people directly
  • Since 2018, annual revenues average 13 trillion USD
  • revenue split
    • 50 % to governments
    • 40% to investment
    • 10% to shareholders and debt
  • Major oil companies account for 13 % of all reserves
  • National Oil Companies (NOC) account for
    • over 50% of all production
    • close to 60% of all reserves

• for: Nationally Determined Contributions insufficient to meet 1.5 Deg C, NDC insufficient to meet 1.5 Deg C

• stats: climate change - NDC

  • current NDCs
    • 45% reduction in fossil fuel usage by 2050
  • NDCs to meet 1.5 Deg C
    • 75% reduction in fossil fuel usage by 2050

• for: stats - sleep apnea - most likely time to die

• stats: sleep apnea

  • most likely to die between midnight and 6am

• for: stats - sleep apnea cycle

• stats: sleep apnea cycle

  • can happen up to 100 times an hour!

I feel like college (on paper) do so much to help their students adjust to their new lives and the new world that they are exposed to on campus. What can they change to make this better?

• for: carbon sinks, carbon sinks - oceans, carbon sinks - forests, stats, stats, forest carbon sink, stats - ocean carbon sink, question, question - when do carbon sinks turn into carbon sources?

• stats

  • forests are absorbing 25% of carbon dioxide emissions
  • oceans are absorbing 50% of carbon dioxide emissions
  • these are stressing these carbon sinks

• question

  • how much longer can they absorb without unintended consequences playing out?

• for: stats, stats - invasive species - red fire ants,
• stats:
  • prefers farms and cities
    • could infest 50% of urban areas
  • could inhabit up to 7% of EU continent
  • infestation vectors
    • walk
    • fly
    • carried by wind
    • shipping
      • Sicily, the site of discovery, ships a variety of plants across the Mediterranean
    • Southern Spain offers ideal climate for red fire ants
    • Climate change could increase its range by 25% by 2050.

• for: Canadian forest fires, stats - Canadian forest fires
• stats: 2017
  • pyrocumulonimbus cloud rose 13 km into the stratosphere, a world record
  • 12,000 square kilometers burned
• stats: 2023
  • to the date of this article (Sept 1, 2023), 100,000 square kilometers burned

• for: climate departure, Camilo Mora, stats, stats - climate departure - canada, climate departure - montreal, climate departure - vancouver, climate departure - toronto
• paraphrase
  • Cities across the country will begin to reach “climate departure”: a symbolic rubicon, after which a climate falls completely outside historical norms.
  • Even the coldest year, going forward, will be hotter than the hottest in the past.
  • The concept was defined in 2013 by researchers at the University of Hawai’i, who crunched computer models of 39 different planetary futures to arrive at their predictions.
  • In a scenario consistent with roughly two degrees warming by mid-century,
• stats: start - Montreal is estimated to reach its departure point in 2072, - Toronto in 2074 and - Vancouver in 2083.
• stats: end
• comment
  • the article doesn't mention two important points
    • a number of places are expected to reach climate departure in the 2020's, such as
      • Manokwari, Indonesia in 2020
      • Lagos and Jakarta in 2029
    • Even if we decarbonize at the most aggresive RCP pathway, it would not prevent climate departure, but only delay it by a few decades
  • The implications are profound. It means that the living organisms on most places on the planet will be on a path to extinction or migration. The entire biosphere will be in migration and this also has profound implications on human social and economic systems. Species whose livelihood billions of people depend on will be migrating to other parts of the environment, potentially devastating large swathes of local economies the world over.
• Reference:
  • climate departure global map (2013)
    • https://manoa.hawaii.edu/news/attachments/img6034_3468l.gif
  • Annotation of Dr. Camilo Mora's 2013 paper on climate departure:
    • https://bafybeieahubpyssaodlciia3o3rminifeb63mpmgafqxliqj4nwilkojze.ipfs.4everland.io/

• for: cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, leverage point

• stats

  • 10000 to 1 million is optimum size
• question: investigate rationale

• for: climate change impacts - dietary, climate change impacts - meat eating, carbon footprint - meat, leverage point - meat eating
• title: Demographic and Socioeconomic Correlates of Disproportionate Beef Consumption among US Adults in an Age of Global Warming
• author: Donald Rose

• date: Aug. 30, 2023

• stats

  • study based on NHANES study of 10, 248 U.S. adults between 2015 and 2018 indicated that 12% accounted for all beef consumed

• for: climate change impacts - meat, carbon footprint - meat, leverage point - food, stats, stats - meat eating
• title:
• stats
  • 12% OF AMERICANS EAT HALF OF ALL BEEF CONSUMED IN A DAY
• date: Aug. 30, 2023
• source: https://www.futurity.org/beef-food-climate-change-2967702-2/
• cited paper: https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/15/17/3795

• for: climate change - impacts, extinction, biodiversity loss, fish kill, salmon dieoff, stats, stats - salmon, logging, human activity

• paraphrase

• stats

  • None of the 28 streams Cunningham and his colleagues studied hit summertime highs warmer than 25.9 C,
  • the point where warming water can become lethal.
  • But in four rivers, temperatures climbed past 20.3 C,
    • the threshold where some have found juvenile coho stop growing.
  • In some watersheds, deforestation rates climbed to 59 per cent.

• comment

  • deforestation may be a contributing factor but there are also other variables like changes in glacial melt water

-for: salmon survival temperature, stats, stats - salmon, salmon dieoff, climate change - impacts, fish kill - paraphrase -stats - One study found once temperatures climb past 20.3 C, - salmon stop growing because they can't get enough food to satisfy their metabolism.

• for: search engine manipulation effect, SEME, voting, voting - bias, voting - manipulation, voting - search engine bias, democracy - search engine bias, quote, quote - Robert Epstein, quote - search engine bias, stats, stats - tilting elections
• paraphrase
• quote
  • In our early experiments, reported by The Washington Post in March 2013,
    • http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/could-google-tilt-a-close-election/2013/03/29/c8d7f4e6-9587-11e2-b6f0-a5150a247b6a_story.html?ref=hackernoon.com
  • we discovered that Google’s search engine had the power to shift the percentage of undecided voters supporting a political candidate by a substantial margin without anyone knowing.
  • 2015 PNAS research on SEME
    • http://www.pnas.org/content/112/33/E4512.full.pdf?with-ds=yes&ref=hackernoon.com
    • stats begin
    • search results favoring one candidate
    • could easily shift the opinions and voting preferences of real voters in real elections by up to 80 percent in some demographic groups
    • with virtually no one knowing they had been manipulated.
    • stats end
    • Worse still, the few people who had noticed that we were showing them biased search results
    • generally shifted even farther in the direction of the bias,
    • so being able to spot favoritism in search results is no protection against it.
    • stats begin
    • Google’s search engine 
      • with or without any deliberate planning by Google employees 
    • was currently determining the outcomes of upwards of 25 percent of the world’s national elections.
    • This is because Google’s search engine lacks an equal-time rule,
      • so it virtually always favors one candidate over another, and that in turn shifts the preferences of undecided voters.
    • Because many elections are very close, shifting the preferences of undecided voters can easily tip the outcome.
    • stats end