Der Standardbericht zu dem neuen State of the climate-Report konzentriert sich auf die Forderung nach sofortigen Veränderungen in der Wirtschaft. Er enthält auch eine Übersicht zu den Temperaturanomalien in Österreich in diesem Jahr. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000192443/hoechsttemperaturen-wie-2023-gab-es-womoeglich-erstmals-seit-100000-jahren

Mehr zum State of the climate 2023-Report: https://hypothes.is/search?q=tag%3A%22report%3A%202023%20state%20of%20the%20climate%22;

Auf einer Geberkonferenz in Bonn haben die Industrieländer über 4 Jahre insgesamt 9,4 Milliarden Dollar für den grünen Klimafonds zugesagt. Die Summe ist geringer als die für den Vierjahreszeitraum davor. https://taz.de/Klimaschutz-im-globalen-Sueden/!5960545/

Zwischen 2016 und 2021 wurden weltweit mindestens 43,1 Millionen Kinder durch klimabedingte Wetterereignisse wie Überschwemmungen, Stürme, Dürren und Waldbrände vertrieben. Bei diesen Angaben aus einem neuen Unicef-Report handelt es sich um Mindestzahlen; die realen Werte dürften weit höher liegen. Der Bericht prognostiziert Verschlimmerungen bis hin zu mehr als einer Verdoppelung dieser Zahlen bis 2050. https://taz.de/Unicef-Bericht-zum-Klimawandel/!5964808/

Bericht: https://www.unicef.org/reports/children-displaced-changing-climate

Am 23. Oktober wurde der erste Bericht des europäischen Steuerobservatoriums publiziert, bei dem es unter anderem darum geht, in welchem Maß die beschlossene 15% Mindeststeuer auf die Gewinne internationaler Unternehmen umgesetzt wird und welche Ergebnisse zu erwarten sind. Der Bericht stellt da, welche enormen Mengen an Geld von internationalen Unternehmen und von Milliardären nach wie vor nicht versteuert werden. Eine milliardärssteuer von 2% des gesamtvermögens würde die Hälfte der 500 Milliarden Dollar ergeben, die der globale Süden jährlich mindestens an Klimafinanzierung braucht.https://www.liberation.fr/economie/fiscalite-mondiale-la-grande-evasion-continue-20231023_MEIIRA4OCNDDVBWPY4SVWBF7L4/

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/13/uk-foreign-aid-climate-through-private-consultancies

• for: progress trap, progress trap - climate change - zombie virus

• faustian bargain
• link of aerosols in atmosphere to temporary cooling

see graph

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/oct/13/poorest-countries-should-get-300bn-a-year-to-fight-climate-crisis-says-joseph-stiglitz

• for: climate change - individual change, producer-consumer entanglement, big oil, COP28

• for: climate denial, climate denialism,

• paraphrase

  1. It's not real
  2. It's not us
  3. It's not that bad
  4. We have time (delay, delay and delay)
  5. It's too expensive to fix
  6. Dismiss or undermine solutions
  7. It's too late: you should have warned us earlier

• for: climate communication, climate communication - comedians, Climate Science Translated, Climate Science Breakthrough

• potential partner

  • Climate Science Breakthrough

• for: Long Knife, Charles Koch, Osage, Koch Industry, big oil - corruption, Koch Industry - Osage, climate denial

• for: Carbon capture - MIT hoax, climate delay, kick the can down the road

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/10/frans-timmermans-european-left-to-unite-right-climate-backlash

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox

The increased efficiency in the use of a resource doesn't imply a decrease in the usage of that resource, but rather may cause in incommensurate increase in use because of decrease in cost.

The increased efficiency of the use of a resource may act as a catalyst for increasing usage.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milankovitch_cycles

• for: science communication, climate communication

Mit drastischen Repressionsmaßnahmen versuchte die Polizei, Proteste gegen die Internationale Automobilausstellung IAAA in München zu unterdrücken. Verdächtig wirkende Personen wurden in der Stadt festgehalten und durchsucht, während der Automobiliindustrie große Flächen als „open spaces“ zur Veerfügung gestellt wurden. Dennoch erregten Proteste und Aktionen große öffentliche Aufmerksamkeit. https://taz.de/Protest-gegen-Automobilausstellung-IAA/!5956556/

Durch die ausgedehnten Waldbrände haben die brandbedingten Treibhausgasemissionen in Kanada 2023 mit 410 Megatonnen ein Allzeithoch erreicht. Der zweithöchste Wert waren 138 Megatonnen 2014. Besonders hoch waren die Emissionen durch Waldbrände auch in Griechenland, Spanien und Portugal. Die Werte werden vom EU-Programm Copernicus erhoben. https://www.repubblica.it/green-and-blue/2023/09/14/news/incendi_copernicus_emissioni_co2_2023_record_canada-414437862/

Copernicus-Bericht: https://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/copernicus-record-breaking-wildfires-throughout-2023-boreal-wildfire-season

4 Einwohner:innen der indonesischen Insel Pari haben in der Schweiz eine Klimaklage gegen den Schweizer Zementkonzwern Holcim eingereicht, einen der größten Treibhausgas-Emittenten der Welt.Durch die globale Erhitzung wird Pali viel öfter überflutet als früher. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000189643/inselbewohner-klagen-schweizer-konzern-wegen-klimasch228den

In einem der wichtigsten laufenden Prozesse gegen Fossilunternehmen hat der Staat Kalifornien 5 amerikanische Firmen verklagt. Ein Ziel ist es, einen Ausgleichsfonds für zukünftige Schäden einzurichten, zu denen es durch die bewusst wahrheitswidrige Werbung und Kommunikation der Unternehmen gekommen ist. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/15/business/california-oil-lawsuit-newsom.html

Informationen des Gouverneurs von Kalifornien: https://www.gov.ca.gov/2023/09/16/people-of-the-state-of-california-v-big-oil/

Die Europäische Union befindet sich bei der Umsetzung ihrer Klimaziele in einem entscheidenden Moment. In einem Bericht des European Council on Foreign Relations werden die politischen HIndernisse für die Dekaarbonisierung analysiert, Dabei wird detailliert auf die geopolitische Situation und auf die Bedingungen in den EU-Staaten eingegangen..

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/28/eu-faces-make-or-break-moment-for-green-transition-report-says

Report: https://ecfr.eu/publication/ends-of-the-earth-how-eu-climate-action-can-weather-the-coming-election-storm/

• for: key insight, climate movement, biodiversity movement, adjacency, adjacency - climate movement - biodiversity movement

• key insight

  • We currently have
    • a climate movement and
    • a biodiversity movement.
  • These are for the most part, two separate movements.
  • As our understandings grow and spread of how important biodiversity is to climate,
    • these two movements can merge and synergize.

• for: biodiversity regulated climate, adjacency, adjacency - biodiversity - climate

Interesting to see this take up some space as an example from 1972.

Der britische Premierminister Richi Sunak hat das Ok für die Ausbeutung des Rosebank Field gegeben, des größten noch nicht genutzten britischen Öl- und Gsvorkommens in der Nordsee. In der ersten Phase sollen ab 2026/27 245 Millionen Barrel Öl sowie Gas gefördert werden. Eiine Woche zuvor wurde die Verschärfung der Umweltstandards für Heizungen und Autos in Großbritannien aufgeschoben.

https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/le-royaume-uni-ouvre-la-porte-a-lexploitation-dun-nouveau-champ-de-petrole-20230927_56LVXX7RSNH2FOVT74OEXZ5H3I/?redirected=1

• for: example - animal-plant communication, bee-flower communication, bee - primrose flower communication, communication - animal - plant, communication - bee - flower, 2019 University of Tel Aviv study, education, education - climate change, education - climate departure, education - species extinction

• for: communication - plants, education, education - climate change, education - climate departure, education - species extinction
• question: climate change education, climate departure education

• for: climate change - false binary, jobs vs environment, example, example climate change - false binary, climate departure, leverage point

• example: false environmental binary

  • activists need to better communicate the false binary that climate denialists keep using to pull the wool over people's eyes.
  • jobs vs environment ignores the short term threat of environmental degradation
  • this is where participatory climate departure can show the threat in a visceral, concrete way that is far more compelling you the average person than any intellectual attempt to explain the differences example - climate change - false binary

Anders als im Koalitionsvertrag vereinbart, verzichtet die deutsche Bundesregierung darauf, in dieser Legislaturperiode den strengeren Energiestandard EH40 für Neugebäude einzuführen und wird sich auch auf EU-Ebene für weichere Sanierungsvorschriften einsetzen. https://taz.de/Neubau-Plaene-der-Ampel/!5959680/

https://www.repubblica.it/green-and-blue/2023/09/22/news/gualtieri_roma_taglio_emissioni_66_climate_ambition_summit-415187473/

ongoing rise in transporation emissions in developing countries.

Österreich verzichtet bei der Abgaben auf einen großen Teil der möglichen und etwas in Deutschland zu zahlenden Beträge. 2026 wird der Preis für eine Tonne CO₂ für Lastwagen unter 70 Euro liegen, obwohl in der EU 200 möglich wären. https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000187399/oesterreich-schont-den-schwerverkehr-bei-der-lkw-maut

• comment
  • Johan Rockstrom does not believe that a Marshall plan is feasible. He cites the rapid pace of development in India and China as a reason a Marshall plan would not work.
  • To unpack this further, China and India were both countries on the other side of (white) colonialism and now are trying to catch up. Whereas historical, white colonialism marginalized both non-white, indigenous populations as well as nature, now these countries are marginalizing nature.
  • To determine whether a Marshall plan by these large emitting countries would be feasible or not depends on the answer to another question:
    • Can these countries pivot to a Marshall plan of a disruptive rate of 15% ?
  • We must remember, as Kevin Anderson reminds us, it is uneven. Only a small minority of the population must undergo radical decarbonization rates, namely the small minority of high carbon, elite emitters.
  • What would a global Marshall plan even look like? We don't know - because the conversation is being discouraged. That's the point Kevin Anderson is making.

• for: quote, quote - Kevin Anderson, quote - Kevin Anderson - Marshall plan, discussion - Johan Rockstrom / Kevin Anderson, perspectival knowing

• quote

  • Our choice to fail over the last 30 years has brought us to this position.
  • And a way out of that, a way out of the Marshall Plan, is to say we can have these negative emissions
  • I think we need to say that, okay that's one way out of it – if they work.
  • Another way out of it is the Marshall Plan.
  • And so we need to open that that dialogue up. but we've... in effect, I think the IAMs have closed that dialogue,.
  • Which is one of the reasons, going back to... It would be interesting to see other parts of the world looking at this, because, I would have a guess,
    • when we say 'that's not feasible', many people elsewhere in the world are saying 'well of course it's feasible, we've been doing... we've been living like that for years!'

• comment

  • In rebuttal to Johan's perspective on Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs),
    • Kevin is addressing the issue of perspectival knowing, and
    • its implications on what solutions we entertain as a global society.
  • The example he cites is Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs) illustrates two major perspectives:
    • Johan includes NETs as he see's that without them, the transition goes from manageable to unmanageable
    • Kevin questions the inclusion of the NETs as potentially shutting down discussion about what Johan would consider an unmanageable situation
  • Kevin brings up a valid point for inclusion of other voices, especially those indigenous ones who are still institutionally marginalized not only in economic and cultural spaces, but also academic and intellectual ones.
  • The decolonization of academia takes on a concrete form here. Both the global and local south have lived under severe economic repression for centuries. Anderson's contention is that making do with less is something that billions of people have had to contend with for centuries as a social norm forced upon them by colonialist then post colonialist institutions.
  • Inclusivity of a greater diversity of voices does play an important role in shaping the future direction of humanity.
  • We should be having an open discussion about a Marshall plan and should not be afraid to go there.
    • We had it in WWII, which, while more direct threat, is not as great as the threat of climate change on all life on earth in a slightly greater time scale.
  • The global and local south has a lot to teach the global and local north. For this great transition of humanity to occur likely simultaneously requires
    • radical amounts of resource transfer from the global / local north to the global / local south,and
    • radical degrowth

• for: leverage points, quote, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - motivating the silent majority, climate change - priority, social tipping point
• quote
  • In a normal distribution,
    • from over here you have the denialists and
    • over here you have the environmental activists.
  • But in between you have a lot of different types of people.
  • And the majority are actually
    • we know this from opinion polls
  • very supportive of science.
  • They're very supportive of and concerned about climate change.
  • They want climate action.
  • It's just that they live their normal lives, they have many preoccupations in life.They have
    • children,
    • health,
    • school,
    • financing,
    • incomes.
  • You know, many, many things to be worried about.
  • But that's the question:
    • how do we get this majority, the silent majority, to join us?
  • I don't think that the way to make them join us is to
    • scare them and
    • fight with the denialists.
  • I think the way to make them join is to show that this pathway can get a better life.
• author: Johan Rockstrom

• date: Sept., 2023

• comment

  • in other words
  • the silent majority does not yet hold climate change activism to be sufficiently high on their list of priorities yet to warrant the necessary scale of action

• for: climate science - citizen engagement, johan rockstrom - advocacy for citizen engagement, scientist - activism
• comment
  • supporting the previous comment, Johan Rockstrom see's scientists having a much more active role engaging with the public.

• for: quote, quote - Kevin Anderson, quote - academic support for bottom-up actors, bottom-up actors - academic support

• quote

  • We have been happy to engage with CEOs, with the senior policy makers, with the 'Davos set'.
  • We've been happy to engage with them – across, generally, the sort of more senior climate change academics. But they haven't delivered for 30 years.
  • But what we haven't... Who we very seldom engage with – the balance, to me, is wrong – with citizenry groups.
  • We haven't engaged... with the climate parliament group. Our support has been biased towards a group who are very much in favor of the status quo.

• comment

• Kevin is tuning into a potential idling capacity and leverage point that academic community has by-and-large missed.
  • Academic support of bottom-up and citizen groups could yield the kind of top-down and bottom-up partnership that could really accelerate climate policy action

• for: top-down and bottom-up partnerships, top-down and bottom-up climate action
• comment
  • as the polycrisis accelerates, this is only going to get worse so we have to find a new, nonlinear way for politicians to actually work in partnership with bottom-up actors

• for: Swedish climate report, cidtizen action, bottom-up climate action, top-down and bottom-up partnership

• future research

  • study the Swedish parliament climate policy model and citizen's roles in achieving it and see if it can be replicated in all countries

• question

  • is there anyone studying this with the object of scaling to other countries?

• for: Johan Rockstrom - top down strategy, quote, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - climate top down strategy

• quote

  • we have a crisis and things have to change at the global level so fast that we need to correct big system failures at a very large scale. And I'm convinced that that can only be done top-down not bottom-up.
• author: Johan Rockstrom
• date: Sept., 2023

Die Meeresoberfläche ist im globalen Durchschnitt 0,5 Grad wärmer als zwischen. 1991 und 2000. Die zusätlich Erhitzung hat im April begonnen und ist unabhängig von jahreszeitlichen Schwankungen. Interview mit der italienischen Ozeanografin Sabrina Speich, in Paris forscht und unterrichtet und gerade beim Festival della Mente einen Vortrag über Ozeanografie und Klimaveränderungen gehalten hat.

https://www.repubblica.it/green-and-blue/2023/09/18/news/sabrina_speich_oceani_riscaldamento_globale_aumento_temperature-414361749/

Vortrag von Sabrina Speich: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=-pHe7v_1v1I

• for: climate change policy hypocrisy, fossil fuel lobby, EU climate policy, Hoekstra, Fox guarding the henhouse, Linked In post

• comment

  • What does it say about the EU's authenticity to deal with the global boiling crisis when they put a fox in charge of the henhouse?
  • this seems awfully similar to the choice for positioning an oil man to head COP28.
  • The fossil fuel lobby is EXTREMELY busy in the opaque back end of politics. We need more light to shine and bring the back end fossil fuel lobby activity out of the shadows to pre-empt future leadership betrayals.

• future research

  • uncover future fossil fuel lobby’s game plan and future attempts to coopt climate change policy leadership
  • needed in order to proactively preempt the next attempt at coopting climate leadership. It’s difficult when we are simply reacting

• for: TPF
• comment
  • Hamburg climate futures outlook 2023 report supports need for something on the scale of the planned TPF

I'm Vorfeld des UN Climate Ambition Summit am Mittwoch nahmen zwischen 50.000 und 75.000 Menschen (nach Angaben der Organisierenden) in New York am "March to end fossil fuels" teil. Damit war er die größte Klimakundgebung in den USA seit dem Beginn der Pandemie. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez forderte in einer Rede das Ende aller fossilen Projekte in den USA und eine demokratische Emergie-Wirtschaft. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/17/march-to-end-fossil-fuels-new-york-city

Die Abgeordneten des europäischen Parlaments haben dafür gestimmt, die EU-Länder zu verpflichen, den Verbrauch erneuerbarer Energie bis 2030 von 22% auf 42% zu steigern. Die Renewable Energy Directive muss noch vom Europäischen Rat angenommen werden. Biomasse gilt weiterhin als erneuerbar. https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/les-eurodeputes-votent-pour-faire-doubler-la-consommation-denergie-renouvelable-dici-a-2030-20230912_WMEQYLIL65G6LC7CVDD6CV5AOQ/

Eine Koalition kleiner Inselstaaten hat beim internationalen Seegerichtshof eine Aussage zur Belastung der Ozeane durch Treibhausgase beantragt. Wenn diese als Verschmutzung im Sinne des Seerechts anerkannt wird, lassen sich damit Klagen gegen die Industriestaaten auf Einschreiten gegen die globale Erhitzung begründen. https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/pollution/des-etats-insulaires-intentent-une-action-en-justice-pour-proteger-les-oceans-20230911_ATZV3N2EAZCMXEWEKUZ32ACL4Q/

• for: green city, living city, environmental justice, safe and just transition, safe and just boundaries earth system boundaries, just transition, climate justice, cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries
• title: Environmental justice in a very green city: Spatial inequality in exposure to urban nature, air pollution and heat in Oslo, Norway
• author: Zander S. Venter, Helene Figari, Olve Krange, Vegard Gundersen
• date: Feb. 2023
• source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004896972207293X#f0005

• for: climate departure, biodiversity loss, extinction

• for: climate change impacts - canada
• comment
  • imagine no more hockey or skating outside!

• for: climate departure, Camilo Mora, stats, stats - climate departure - canada, climate departure - montreal, climate departure - vancouver, climate departure - toronto
• paraphrase
  • Cities across the country will begin to reach “climate departure”: a symbolic rubicon, after which a climate falls completely outside historical norms.
  • Even the coldest year, going forward, will be hotter than the hottest in the past.
  • The concept was defined in 2013 by researchers at the University of Hawai’i, who crunched computer models of 39 different planetary futures to arrive at their predictions.
  • In a scenario consistent with roughly two degrees warming by mid-century,
• stats: start - Montreal is estimated to reach its departure point in 2072, - Toronto in 2074 and - Vancouver in 2083.
• stats: end
• comment
  • the article doesn't mention two important points
    • a number of places are expected to reach climate departure in the 2020's, such as
      • Manokwari, Indonesia in 2020
      • Lagos and Jakarta in 2029
    • Even if we decarbonize at the most aggresive RCP pathway, it would not prevent climate departure, but only delay it by a few decades
  • The implications are profound. It means that the living organisms on most places on the planet will be on a path to extinction or migration. The entire biosphere will be in migration and this also has profound implications on human social and economic systems. Species whose livelihood billions of people depend on will be migrating to other parts of the environment, potentially devastating large swathes of local economies the world over.
• Reference:
  • climate departure global map (2013)
    • https://manoa.hawaii.edu/news/attachments/img6034_3468l.gif
  • Annotation of Dr. Camilo Mora's 2013 paper on climate departure:
    • https://bafybeieahubpyssaodlciia3o3rminifeb63mpmgafqxliqj4nwilkojze.ipfs.4everland.io/

• for: futures, futures - Canada, climate impacts, climate impacts - Canada
• title: CANADA IN THE YEAR 2060
• author: Anne Shibata Casselman
• date: Sept., 2023

Zu den vielen negativen Folgen von Hitzewellen gehört, dass sie die Luftqualität verschlechtern. Die World Meteorological Organisation zeigt in ihrem Bericht über Luftqualität und Klima 2022 u.a., dass die Hitzewellen des Jahres zu sehr viel mehr Waldbränden und zu einem bedeutend höheren Anteil an Sahara-Staub in der Luft einiger Regionen führten.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/06/world-meteorologists-point-to-vicious-cycle-of-heatwaves-and-air-pollution

Bei dem afrikanischen klimagipfel in Nairobi zeichnen sich Konflikte über einen Ausstieg aus fossilen Energien ab. Einige Länder, darunter Nigeria und Senegal, wollen die vorhandenen und zum Teil gerade entdeckten Ressourcen ausbeuten.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/04/africa-leaders-climate-crisis-plans-nairobi-summit-opens

• for: climate financing, JETP, Just Energy Transition Partnerships
• summary
  • Just Energy Transition Partnerships (JETP) are happening in South Africa and also Indonesia, Vietnam, Senegal and possibly India.
  • Will these actually happen? Will they be enough to avoid the highest risk of planetary tipping points?

• for: quote, quote - climate change intervention, Trojan horse, Deborah Ramalope
• quote
  • Given the high unemployment rate in South Africa as well … you cannot sell it as a climate change intervention, you really need to sell it as a socioeconomic intervention.
• author: Deborah Ramalop
• date: Aug. 15, 2023
• source: https://www.wired.co.uk/article/just-energy-transition-partnerships-south-africa-cop
• comment
  • A Trojan horse strategy

• for: climate change financing - South Africa, Malango Mughogho, ZeniZeni, net-zero

Interview mit dem philippinischen Anwalt Tony Opposa, der die Kampagne World's Youth for Climate Justice unterstützt. Es geht dabei darum, das Recht junger und zukünftiger Generationen auf eine intakte Umwelt vor dem Internationalen Gerichtshof einklagbar zu machen. Oposa hat schon sehr früh in den Philippinen Prozesse geführt, bei denen es um die Rechte zukünftiger Generationen geht. https://taz.de/Anwalt-ueber-Klimaklagen/!5954750/

In Nairobi findet in dieser Woche der erste afrikanische klimagipfel statt. Ein zentrales Thema sind Funanzierungsleistungen des globalen Nordens. Viele Initiativen besonders der kenianischen Präsidentschaft sind umstritten. NGOs befürchten, dass sie die Länder, die die Klima-Katastrophe verursachen, entlasten und nicht zur Minderung der Emissionen beitragen.

https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000185400/afrikanische-laender-suchen-bei-eigenem-klimagipfel-nach-zukunftsschancen

• for: system change, polycrisis, extreme weather, planetary tipping points, climate disruption, climate chaos, tipping point, hothouse earth, new meme, deep transformation
• title: The Great Disruption has Begun
• author: Paul Gilding
• date: Sept 3, 2023
• source: https://www.paulgilding.com/cockatoo-chronicles/the-great-disruption-has-begun

• summary

  • good q uick opening paragraphs that summarize the plethora of extreme events in 2023 up to Sept 2023 (but misses the Canadian Wildfires) and also the list of potential planetary tipping points that are giving indication of being at the threshold.
  • He makes a good point about the conservative nature of science that underestimates impacts due to the inertia of scientific study.
  • Coins a good meme
    • Everything, everywhere, all at once
  • He ties all the various crisis together to show the many components of the wicked problem we face
  • finally what it comes down to is that we cannot stop the coming unprecedented changes but we can and must slow it down as much as possible and we should be prepared for a wild ride

• comment

  • It would be a good educational tool for deep and transformative climate education to map all these elements of the polycrisis and show their feedbacks and interactions, especially how it relates to socio-economic impacts to motivate transformative change and mobilize the urgency now required.

• for: quote, quote - Paul Gilding, quote - climate disruption, quote - science underestimates climate impacts
• quote
  • Knowing the science community has long underestimated climate impacts,
  • it is my judgement that the climate system has crossed a critical threshold.
  • I believe its destabilisation will now trigger
    • cascading and
    • chaotic changes and
    • disruption to human social and
    • economic systems
  • and do so globally.
• author: Paul Gilding
• source: https://www.paulgilding.com/cockatoo-chronicles/the-great-disruption-has-begun

• date: Sept. 3, 2023

• comment

  • the concept of emptiness (shunyata), found throughout eastern philosophy is an organizing principle that can be used to frame the polycrisis, especially the many system wide entanglements.
  • Emptiness's two main characteristics:
    • interdependency and
    • change
  • are analogous to:
    • complexity / ecology and
    • evolution

• key finding
  • global temp of 2 Deg C could theoretically result in a billion human deaths
• title: Quantifying Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Human Deaths to Guide Energy Policy
• authors: Joshua Pearce, Richard Pamcutt
• date: aug. 19, 2023

• for: cross-scale translation of earth system boundaries, downscaled planetary boundaries, leverage point

• stats

  • 10000 to 1 million is optimum size
• question: investigate rationale

• for: climate change impacts - dietary, climate change impacts - meat eating, carbon footprint - meat, leverage point - meat eating
• title: Demographic and Socioeconomic Correlates of Disproportionate Beef Consumption among US Adults in an Age of Global Warming
• author: Donald Rose

• date: Aug. 30, 2023

• stats

  • study based on NHANES study of 10, 248 U.S. adults between 2015 and 2018 indicated that 12% accounted for all beef consumed

• for: climate change impacts - meat, carbon footprint - meat, leverage point - food, stats, stats - meat eating
• title:
• stats
  • 12% OF AMERICANS EAT HALF OF ALL BEEF CONSUMED IN A DAY
• date: Aug. 30, 2023
• source: https://www.futurity.org/beef-food-climate-change-2967702-2/
• cited paper: https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/15/17/3795

• for climate change - impacts, climate departure, extinction, biodiversity loss, marine heat wave, ubc, Pacific Northwest heatwave
• paraphrase
• stats
  • An unprecedented heatwave occurred in the Pacific Northwest (PNW)
    • from ~25 June to 2 July 2021,
    • over lands colonially named
      • British Columbia (BC)
      • Alberta (AB) in Canada,
      • Washington (WA),
      • Oregon (OR) in the United States.
  • Near-surface air temperature anomalies reached up to 16–20 °C above normal over a wide region (Fig. 1),
    • with many locations breaking all-time maximum temperature records by more than 5 °C (Fig. 2a).
  • The Canadian national temperature record was broken 3 days in a row, at multiple locations,
    • with the highest temperature of 49.6 °C recorded in Lytton, BC, on 29 June (Figs. 1b),
    • 4.6 °C higher than the Canadian record prior to this event.
  • The new record temperature was reportedly the hottest worldwide temperature recorded north of 45° latitude,
    • and hotter than any recorded temperature in Europe or South America.

• for: marine heat wave, fish dieoff, fish kill, extinction, climate departure, climate change - impacts
• title: The unprecedented Pacific Northwest heatwave of June 2021
• date: Feb. 9, 2023

• for: fish kill, climate change - impacts, climate departure, fish kill - Australia

• for: climate change - impacts, extinction, biodiversity loss, fish kill, salmon dieoff, stats, stats - salmon, logging, human activity

• paraphrase

• stats

  • None of the 28 streams Cunningham and his colleagues studied hit summertime highs warmer than 25.9 C,
  • the point where warming water can become lethal.
  • But in four rivers, temperatures climbed past 20.3 C,
    • the threshold where some have found juvenile coho stop growing.
  • In some watersheds, deforestation rates climbed to 59 per cent.

• comment

  • deforestation may be a contributing factor but there are also other variables like changes in glacial melt water

-for: salmon survival temperature, stats, stats - salmon, salmon dieoff, climate change - impacts, fish kill - paraphrase -stats - One study found once temperatures climb past 20.3 C, - salmon stop growing because they can't get enough food to satisfy their metabolism.

• for: climate change - impacts, complexity, fish dieoff, salmon dieoff, convergence, ecosystem - logging, convergence - climate change and logging

Deutschland hat 2022 ca 6,3 Milliarden Euro Klima-Hilfsgelder an Länder des globalen Südens gezahlt. Die Zahlen wurden vom Bundesentwicklungsministerium bekannt gegeben. Damit löst Deutschland ein Versprechen der Merkel-Regierung ein. Hintergrund sind die internationalen Verhandlungen um Klimafinanzierung, bei denen auch Deutschland darauf drängt, dass China in einen gemeinsamen Fonds einzahlt. https://taz.de/Geld-fuer-Klimaschutz/!5953213/

Ausführlicher und gut recherchierte Artikel über den aktuellen El Niño und seine möglichen ökologischen wirtschaftlichen Konsequenzen. Die globale Erhitzung erhöht in vielen Regionen das Risiko, dass es durch den voraussichtlich starken El Niño zu extremen Wetter-Ereignissen, Enteeinbrüchen und Epidemien kommt, in dramatisch (via @RuthMottram).

Infografik: https://www.economist.com/img/b/1000/1153/90/media-assets/image/20230826_FBC223.png

https://www.economist.com/briefing/2023/08/24/el-nino-and-global-warming-are-mixing-in-alarming-and-unpredictable-ways

• for: climate communication, polycrisis communication, Canadian fires, Canadian wildfires, Canadian forest fires

• quote

  • Across the region,
    • roads buckled,
    • car windows cracked and
    • power cables melted.
  • The emerald fringes of conifers browned overnight,
    • as if singed by flame.
  • Entire cherry orchards were destroyed, the fruit stewed on the trees.
  • More than 650,000 farm animals died of heat stress.
  • Hundreds of thousands of honeybees perished,
    • their organs exploding outside their bodies.
  • Billions of shoreline creatures,
    • especially shellfish,
  • simply baked to death,
    • strewing beaches with empty shells and a fetid stench that lingered for weeks.
  • Birds and insects went unnervingly silent.
  • All the while the skies were hazy but clear, the air preternaturally still, not a cloud in sight.
  • The air pressure was so high they’d all dissipated.

• author: Anne Shibata Casselman

• date: Aug, 2023

• source:

  • https://macleans.ca/society/environment/canada-in-the-year-2060/

• comment

  • this description is so visceral that it should be made into a short movie,
  • a new communication format more powerful than mainstream media presently uses is to record the actual substantial and visceral impacts with video and show to the public

• for: Canada's future, climate future - Canada, climate communication, polycrisis communication
• quote
  • What follows is a portrait of Canada in a world warmed by two degrees. This is not what our country will look like if the world fails to reduce emissions—this is our future even if we do.
• author: Anne Shibata Casselman
• date: Aug, 2023
• source
  • https://macleans.ca/society/environment/canada-in-the-year-2060/

In Norwegen wurde für eine Studie untersucht, welche Emotionen am ehesten zu einem klimapolitischen Engagement führen. Ärger führt danach am ehesten dazu, dass sich Menschen an Protesten beteiligen. Generell seien die Teilnehmenden aber zu wenig beunruhigt von der globalen Erhitzung. Der GuardianA-Artikel verweist auf anderen Forschende und Projekte zu Gefühlen und Klimaveränderung.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/21/anger-is-most-powerful-emotion-by-far-for-spurring-climate-action-study-finds

Über den nördlichen Teilen des Great Barrier Reefs würden die heißesten Temperaturen seit 1985 gemessen. Die Hitzewelle könnte eine zweite große Korallenbleiche nach der letztjährigen auslösen.

Zu der neuen Studie von Terry Hughes über das Great Barrier Reef, das Kurt vor den endgültigen zerstört steht.

• for: TPF, crowdsource solutions, climate crisis - commons, polycrisis - commons, quote, quote - crowdsourcing solutions, quote Miles Fidelman, Center for Civic Networking, Protocol Technologies Group, bottom-up, collective action
• quote
  • At best, we will see new forms of collaboration among large numbers of people toward beneficial ends.
  • The most obvious example is the changing nature of responses to largescale natural disasters.
  • Perhaps we will see this spirit of volunteer and entrepreneurial cooperation emerge to address such pressing issues as climate change
    • e.g., maybe, the Green New Deal will be crowdsourced.
• author: Miles Fidelman
  • founder, Center for Civic Networking
  • principal, Protocol Technologies Group

• for: climate change - evolutionary causes, cultural evolution - unsustainability, unsustainability
• definition: Anthroecological theory (AET)
  • This theory proposes that the ultimate cause of anthropogenic environmental change is multi-level selection for niche construction and ecosystem engineering

• for: polycrisis, Trumpism, Chaos, distraction, climate crisis, climate communication, complexity, adjacency climate change fossil fuel industry, adjacency climate change big oil, adjacency climate change politics big oil, quote adjacency climate change fossil fuel industry, quote adjacency climate change big oil
• key insight
  • claim
    • One big reason that big oil is funding GOP to keep the chaotic Trump story as the main headline is to foster distraction from climate change impacts
    • big news story in the US is Donald Trump and the election, climate change impacts of extreme weather is minimized
    • the distraction of politics from a chaotic GOP is perfect distraction for the masses to ignore climate change and for big oil to continue BAU
• paraphrase
• quote
  • when you take a step back and look at that part of the distraction and the chaos that Trump and these GOP trolls deliver
  • it's it's a wonderful Boon for the oil and gas industry and the Koch brothers and the guys that fund these campaigns and the federal Federalist Society that's owning the Supreme Court
  • they want to keep doing business as usual and the easiest way to do that is
    • to have this big chaotic GOP that ignores climate change and
    • to play into what they want
      • the mainstream media not focusing more on climate change let alone making those two connections
    • a lot of mainstream media is scared to make that connection because oil companies are paying the bills of CNN and every other network
• author
  • Noel Casler

• for: extinction, climate departure, Jane Goodall, quote, tapestry, thread,
• quote
  • we humans depend on the natural world
  • but what we depend on is healthy ecosystems that are made up of a complex mix of plants and animal species
  • each one has a role to play and I see it as like a beautiful living tapestry and as an animal or plant species disappears from that ecosystem it's like pulling out a thread
  • and if enough threads are pulled then the tapestry will hang in tatters and the ecosystem will disappear
• author
  • Jane Goodall

• for: inequality, poverty, W2W, Jane Goodall, socio-ecological system, climate justice, emptiness - example, entanglement - inequality and climate crisis
• key insight
  • if you're very poor and you're living in some kind of Wilderness Area
    • you're going to destroy the environment in order to survive
    • example: Gumby Street National Park
      • in 1960 it was part of the Great Forest
      • but by the late 1980s was a tiny Islander forest and all the hills around were bare
      • more people living there than the land could support
      • too poor to buy food elsewhere
        • struggling to survive
        • cutting down the trees to make money from charcoal or Timber
        • or to make more land grow more food and
      • that's when it hit me
        • if we don't help these people these local communities find ways of living without destroying the environment
        • we can't save chimpanzees forests or anything else so we need to alleviate poverty
• comment
  • This is why the inequality crisis is entangled with the climate crisis

• for: future climate impacts, futures, climate impacts, preparedness, climate change - human migration, climate refuge, climate departure, Camilo Mora

• comment

  • There will be massive human migration
  • Europe is already unable to cope with the migration of a million climate refugees from Syria
  • The US is polarized due to mass migration of a few people escaping climate crisis and violence in central and South America
  • Developed countries will be overwhelmed with climate refugees number in the millions or tens of millions
  • In addition to human migration, the migration of species seeking cooler temperatures will fundamentally reshape our economies
  • climate departure is the date when local climate goes outside normal historical bounds and locally adapted species do not recognize it anymore and will be forced to migrate to survive
  • climate departure is a huge issue that is going to happen, regardless of which decarbonoization path we take. This means all species on the globe will be undergoing dramatic environmental shifts, making mass extinction more likely.

• reference

  • Dr. Camilo Mora et al. seminal 2013 paper on climate departure: https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbafybeihfoajtasczfz4s6u6j4mmyzlbn7zt4f7hpynjdvd6vpp32zmx5la.ipfs.dweb.link%2FTheprojectedtimingofclimatedeparture2013.pdf&group=vnpq69nW

• for: doughnut economics, climate change - societal impacts, whole system change - motivation
• question: why transform?
  • answer
    • The word transformation is carefully chosen by John and here he explains why.
    • We face an extreme and growing polycrisis that threatens to overpower our capacity to cope with it unless we act now for whole system transformation.
    • Voices across all of society are becoming more vocal of the need to transform the existing system.
    • This transformation program does not need everyone to participate, just a sufficient but small percentage of the population who are aligned to these ideas.
    • Not everyone believes such transformation is necessary but the R+D project only needs to onboard a small percentage of the population who does believe to change the entire system for the benefit of even the non-believers.
• comment
  • John is implying social tipping points as well as social engineering

In Hobart treffen sich Antarktis-Forschende zu einem Symposion, bei dem die neuesten Daten zum antarktischen Meereis und den Temperaturen der die Antarktis umgebenden Ozeane besprochen werden. Im Juli nahm das Meereis um die Antarkris 15% weniger Fläche ein als 1981-2010. Die Abnahme begann 2016 und hat wie die Temperatursteigerungen der Ozean ein dramatisches Ausmaß erreicht. Die Abnahme kann schwerwiegende Folgen für das Festlandseis und die Meeresströmungen haben.

https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat/climat-pourquoi-la-fonte-de-lantarctique-nous-concerne-tous-20230813_F5GVCV32CBACDPWJEAUMZV4WWM/

• for: climate departure
• compare: climate departure

• for: futures, decarbonizing - cultural sector, climate futures - cultural sector, climate futures - cultural industry
• paraphrase
  • more local performances
  • more local purchases
  • leverage point for regional transition
  • reduce capacity
  • slowdown
  • reconceive / eco-conceive the arts so that it may endure
  • educate and change public policy

• for: cape town, cape town - climate plan

• for: TPF, youth climate activism

Die italienische Klimatologin Serena Giacomin weist darauf hin, dass vor allem die Länge der aktuellen Hitzewellen und die Feuchtigkeit der Luft für die Gesundheit gefährlich sind, weniger die kurzfristige Höhe der Temperatur. Eine Kommunikation der Gefahre sei für die Betroffenen überlebenswichtig. Stereotype wie dass es im Sommer immer heiß sei, vergrößerten das Risiko.

https://www.repubblica.it/cronaca/2023/08/07/news/climatologa_serena_giacomin_prevenzione_afa_caldo-410373239/

• for: social tipping point, social tipping points, leverage point, leverage points, STP, 25% STP threshold

• title

  • Climate change can drive social tipping points – for better or for worse
• source
  • https://theconversation.com/climate-change-can-drive-social-tipping-points-for-better-or-for-worse-210641
• date
  • July 31, 2023
• author
  • Sonia Graham
• reference
  • https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/pan3.10516

• for: art and healing, climate anxiety, eco-anxiety, TPF

• for: social tipping points, STP, social tipping point, leverage point, Sirkku Juhola

• title

  • Social tipping points and adaptation limits in the context of systemic risk: Concepts, models and governance
• authors
  • Sirkku Juhola
  • Tatiana Filatova
  • Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler
  • Reinhard Mechler
  • Jurgen Scheffran
  • Pia-Johanna Schweizer
• date
  • Sept 21, 2022

• abstract

  • Physical tipping points have gained a lot of attention in global and climate change research to understand the conditions for system transitions when it comes to the atmosphere and the biosphere.
  • Social tipping points have been framed as mechanisms in socio-environmental systems, where a small change in the underlying elements or behavior of actors triggers a large non-linear response in the social system.
  • With climate change becoming more acute, it is important to know whether and how societies can adapt.
  • While social tipping points related to climate change have been associated with positive or negative outcomes,
    • overstepping adaptation limits has been linked to adverse outcomes where actors' values and objectives are strongly compromised.
  • Currently, the evidence base is limited, and most of the discussion on social tipping points in climate change adaptation and risk research is conceptual or anecdotal.
  • This paper brings together three strands of literature -
    • social tipping points,
    • climate adaptation limits and
    • systemic risks,
  • which so far have been separate.
  • Furthermore, we discuss
    • methods and
    • models
  • used to illustrate the dynamics of
    • social and
    • adaptation tipping points
  • in the context of cascading risks at different scales beyond adaptation limits.
  • We end with suggesting that further evidence is needed to identify tipping points in social systems,
    • which is crucial for developing appropriate governance approaches.

• reference

  • https://www.rifs-potsdam.de/en/news/social-tipping-points-spotlight

• for: social tipping point, social tipping points, leverage point, STP

• reference

  • https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.frontiersin.org%2Farticles%2F10.3389%2Ffclim.2022.1009234&group=world

• for: climate denial, climate denier, climate change denialism, climate change denial, climate change denier
• title
  • Why focusing on “climate change denial” is counterproductive
• authors
  • Christian Bretter
  • Felix Schulz
• source
  • https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2217716120

• date

  • March 1, 2023

• claim

  • We believe that the dichotomous view of
    • climate change “deniers” and
    • climate change “accepters”
  • is not helpful.
  • This way of framing the debate only stymies our path to a zero-carbon future. It does so for three primary reasons:
    • First, it creates an inaccurate picture by overstating the share and importance of climate change deniers for tackling climate change.
    • Second, a focus on climate denialism divides and polarizes society, further preventing constructive engagement with different opinions.
    • Third, it distracts us from concentrating on the more pressing question: how we should tackle climate change, not if.

• comment

  • I disagree with some of the claims, especially when there is a spectrum of disbelief that has significant impacts on dealing with climate crisis effectively.
    • for example, there is a lot of climate change denialism in the Republican party which is holding up adequate funding for dealing effectively with the climate crisis.

• for: high-SES, 1%, W2W, inequality, carbon inequality, elites, billionaires, millionaires, leverage point
• five high carbon emission areas of high-SES, HNWI, VHNWI
  • consumption
  • investor
  • role model within social networks
  • participants in organizations
  • citizens seeking to influence public policies or corporate behavior

• for: high-SES, 1%, W2W, inequality, carbon inequality, elites, billionaires, millionaires, leverage point
• definition
  • high-SES
    • high socioeconomic status
    • equivalent to high net worth individual (HNWI) or
    • very high net worth individual (VHNWI)

• for: carbon inequality, w2w, leverage point - climate change, 1%, inequality, wealth tax
• title
  • The role of high-socioeconomic-status people in locking in or rapidly reducing energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions
• authors
  • Kristian S. Nielsen
  • Kimberly A. Nicholas
  • Felix Creutzig
  • Thomas Dietz
  • Paul C. Stern
• date
  • Sept 30, 2021 -source
  • https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-021-00900-y
• abstract
  • People with high socioeconomic status disproportionally affect energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions directly
    • through their consumption and
    • indirectly through their financial and social resources.
  • However, few climate change mitigation initiatives have targeted this population segment,
    • and the potential of such initiatives remains insufficiently researched.
  • In this Perspective, we analyse key characteristics of high-socioeconomic-status people and explore five roles through which they have a disproportionate impact on energy-driven greenhouse gas emissions and potentially on climate change mitigation, namely as:
    • consumers,
    • investors,
    • role models,
    • organizational participants and
    • citizens.
  • We examine what is known about their disproportionate impact via consumption and
    • explore their potential influence on greenhouse gas emissions through all five roles.
  • We suggest that future research should focus on strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by high-socioeconomic-status people and to align their
    • investments,
    • organizational choices and
    • actions as social and political change agents
  • with climate change mitigation goals.

• for: inequality, climate justice, wealth tax
• policy paper
• title
  • survival of the richest
• date
  • Jan 16, 2023
• executive summary
  • Since 2020, the richest 1% have captured almost two-thirds of all new wealth
    • nearly twice as much money as the bottom 99% of the world’s population.
  • Billionaire fortunes are increasing by $2.7bn a day,
    • even as inflation outpaces the wages of at least 1.7 billion workers, more than the population of India.7
  • Food and energy companies more than doubled their profits in 2022,
    • paying out $257bn to wealthy shareholders,
    • while over 800 million people went to bed hungry
  • Only 4 cents in every dollar of tax revenue comes from wealth taxes and
    • half the world’s billionaires live in countries with no inheritance tax on money they give to their children.
  • A tax of up to 5% on the world’s multi-millionaires and billionaires could raise $1.7 trillion a year,
    • enough to lift 2 billion people out of poverty, and fund a global plan to end hunger.

• for: inequality, wealth tax, climate justice, earth system justice
• policy paper
• title
  • Survival of the Richest
• source
  • Oxfam

• date

  • Jan 2023

• Executive Summary

  • Since 2020, the richest 1% have captured almost two-thirds of all new wealth
    • nearly twice as much money as the bottom 99% of the world’s population.
  • Billionaire fortunes are increasing by $2.7bn a day,
    • even as inflation outpaces the wages of at least 1.7 billion workers, more than the population of India.7
  • Food and energy companies more than doubled their profits in 2022,
    • paying out $257bn to wealthy shareholders,
    • while over 800 million people went to bed hungry
  • Only 4 cents in every dollar of tax revenue comes from wealth taxes and
    • half the world’s billionaires live in countries with no inheritance tax on money they give to their children.
  • A tax of up to 5% on the world’s multi-millionaires and billionaires could raise $1.7 trillion a year,
    • enough to lift 2 billion people out of poverty, and fund a global plan to end hunger.