458 Matching Annotations
  1. Apr 2022
    1. 2021-12-26

    2. (((Howard Forman))) [@thehowie]. (2021, December 26). South Africa Hospitalizations⬆️15% week over week⬆️0.3% from yesterday Gauteng Province⬆️2.4% week over week⬆️0.7% Long plateau: Ventilators are last to peak (17% of Delta peak) Should see meaningful declines later this week. Https://t.co/qNv1l5hNcv [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/thehowie/status/1475095305297268740

    3. South Africa Hospitalizations15% week over week0.3% from yesterday Gauteng Province2.4% week over week0.7% Long plateau: Ventilators are last to peak (17% of Delta peak) Should see meaningful declines later this week.
    1. 2022-01-14

    2. Danner, C. (2022, January 14). Seriously, Upgrade Your Face Mask. Intelligencer. https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/why-you-should-upgrade-your-face-mask-to-an-n95.html

    3. Throughout the pandemic, wearing a face mask has been one of the best ways that anyone can easily reduce their risk of catching or spreading COVID-19. Putting aside the often contentious debate over mask mandates, face masks remain a crucial and effective individual tool, which is why it continues to be frustrating that most people, two years in, are not wearing better masks.
    4. Seriously, Upgrade Your Face Mask Omicron is everywhere. Dr. Abraar Karan explains why cloth masks don’t cut it.
    1. this exchange is unedifying in style, but the content principles play - scoring past output for accuracy- seems important to online science discourse, particularly under conditions of high uncertainty. How could we build this in a less divisive, discourse undermining way?
    1. 2021-10-03

    2. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, October 2). @alexdefig How could my identity possibly affect the evidence I provided and gave sources for? Does knowing my name make those articles more or less relevant in any way? And, if yes, by what mechanism? [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1444360427903746055

    3. How could my identity possibly affect the evidence I provided and gave sources for? Does knowing my name make those articles more or less relevant in any way? and, if yes, by what mechanism?
    1. 2021-10-03

    2. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, October 2). @alexdefig I literally came to respond to your subtweet because I retweeted your thread with this information account, which also means it gets indexed in the http://SciBeh.org database. Along with high quality pro arguments- because this is what that account is for. [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1444363041710096386

    3. I *literally* came to respond to your subtweet because I *retweeted* your thread with this information account, which also means it gets indexed in the http://SciBeh.org database. Along with high quality pro arguments- because this is what that account is for.
    1. 2021-10-01

    2. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, October 1). @alexdefig against this survey data you might set actual uptake figures in France, various Canadian provinces, and Germany after the introduction of passports [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1443955929985159174

    3. against this survey data you might set actual uptake figures in France, various Canadian provinces, and Germany after the introduction of passports
    1. 2021-10-01

    2. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, October 1). @alexdefig and I didn’t say we should mandate them. I simply pointed out that when considering the impact of passports on uptake we should probably look at actual uptake in response to actual mandates in addition to survey data, which may or may not translate into action, no? [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1443958577173917699

    3. and I didn't say we *should* mandate them. I simply pointed out that when considering the impact of passports on uptake we should probably look at *actual uptake* in response to *actual mandates* in addition to survey data, which may or may not translate into action, no?
    1. 2021-10-01

    2. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, October 1). @alexdefig so, observational data has weaknesses- so does survey data, but it’s there and we should look at it. On your second point, yes, that is important, we should study that, if we have no data we can’t factor it into decision. Third is separate issue/factor to weigh. [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1443960096497627141

    3. so, observational data has weaknesses- so does survey data, but it's there and we should look at it. On your second point, yes, that is important, we should study that, if we have no data we can't factor it into decision. Third is separate issue/factor to weigh.
    1. 2021-10-01

    2. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, October 1). @alexdefig I get that you are against mandates. I am responding to the reasons you give for this. Those reasons should be evidence based, right? And they should also not include the claim you are trying to justify. That’s all. [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1443960408105107459

    3. I get that you are against mandates. I am responding to the *reasons* you give for this. Those reasons should be evidence based, right? and they should also not include the claim you are trying to justify. That's all.
    1. 2022-10-03

    2. (2) ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: “@alexdefig ‘reveal myself’? Really? This is the account of https://t.co/pIBRAjcOpt, the human being typing this right now is Ulrike Hahn. What is the relevance of that to the very specific piece of information I sought to inject in your thread for the benefit of readers?” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved April 29, 2022, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1444359889313153024

    3. "reveal myself"? really? this is the account of http://SciBeh.org, the human being typing this right now is Ulrike Hahn. What is the relevance of that to the very specific piece of information I sought to inject in your thread for the benefit of readers?
    1. 2021-10-03

    2. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, October 2). @alexdefig I literally only responded to one point in your overall argument/set of tweets. You somehow seem to assume that it is not possible to try to accumulate facts in order to come to a decision, [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1444361490786492418

    3. I literally only responded to *one* point in your overall argument/set of tweets. You somehow seem to assume that it is not possible to try to accumulate facts in order to come to a decision,
    1. 2021-09-29

    2. Michael Armstrong [@ArmstrongGN]. (2021, September 29). NBA player says he doesn’t need vaccine… 40-thousand likes and 1.4 million views. Scientist/doctor corrects NBA player… 4-thousand likes. We’re so screwed… [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/ArmstrongGN/status/1443052037160251392

    3. NBA player says he doesn’t need vaccine… 40-thousand likes and 1.4 million views. Scientist/doctor corrects NBA player… 4-thousand likes. We’re so screwed…
    1. 2021-11-02

    2. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, November 2). it’s lizard-people-level crazy to think the JCVI meant this: Https://t.co/ahkWAz3EpP 6/7 [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1455445597482364930

    3. depending on interpretation, and interpretation of current UK Covid policy, Singapore is not "the first country" to be trying this 7/7
    4. t's lizard-people-level crazy to think the JCVI meant this: https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1454980187976871941?s=20… 6/7
    5. this is a reasonable thing to consider: https://twitter.com/apsmunro/status/1454792162000916481?s=20… 5/7
    6. https://twitter.com/dgurdasani1/status/1454383106555842563?s=20… 4/7
    7. t can't possibly be what the JCVI meant with the respective bullet points in their minutes. Here a selection of that debate: 3/7
    8. The JCVI seems to have at least considered the value of childhood infections as providing boosters for adults, sparking intense debate about the ethics of this, whether this makes epidemiological sense, or whether, in fact, it would be so crazy and nonsensical that ...2/71
    9. interestingly the Singapore Health Minister also mentions "boosting through mild infections" - a concept that is currently generating much furore in the UK in the wake of the release of the JCVI minutes on child vaxx decisions 1/n
    1. 2021-10-11

    2. To assess the effectiveness of vaccination in preventing severe forms of Covid-19, EPI-PHARE conducted two real-life studies in parallel using data from the SNDS (National Health Data System), one in 15, 4 million people aged 50 to 74 (7.7 million vaccinated compared to 7.7 million unvaccinated) the other in 7.2 million people aged 75 and over (3.6 million vaccinated compared to 3 .6 million unvaccinated). Both cohorts were followed until July 20, 2021.
    3. Impact of vaccination on the risk of severe forms of Covid-19
    4. Covid-19: Efficacité vaccinale. (2021, October 11). EPI-PHARE. https://www.epi-phare.fr/rapports-detudes-et-publications/impact-vaccination-covid-octobre-2021/

    1. 2021-10-30

    2. A very disturbing read on the recent JCVI minutes released. They seem to consider immunity through infection in children advantageous, discussing children as live 'booster' vaccines for adults. I would expect this from anti-vaxx groups, not a scientific committee.
    3. Dr. Deepti Gurdasani [@dgurdasani1]. (2021, October 30). A very disturbing read on the recent JCVI minutes released. They seem to consider immunity through infection in children advantageous, discussing children as live “booster” vaccines for adults. I would expect this from anti-vaxx groups, not a scientific committee. [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/dgurdasani1/status/1454383106555842563

    1. 2021-10-27

    2. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, October 26). @Professologue @GYamey @ENirenberg I am not American either, but I would imagine that it is decision relevant when the costs of policies not only hit some citizens more than others, but particularly when they hit groups likely to be under-represented or even excluded from making those very decisions [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1453074595146240005

    3. I am not American either, but I would imagine that it is decision relevant when the costs of policies not only hit some citizens more than others, but particularly when they hit groups likely to be under-represented or even excluded from making those very decisions
    1. IHME | COVID-19 Projections. (n.d.). Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Retrieved April 21, 2022, from https://covid19.healthdata.org/

    2. As the pandemic continues to recede, IHME will update its COVID-19 models and forecasts at the beginning of each month. In the meantime, our researchers will keep track of any developments that might require more frequent updates.
    3. COVID-19 Projections
    1. pinkblondebonce ❤. (2022, January 13). Well I can’t SEE any Covid particles (I’m sure they are there)...but I can see another boatload of horrid these purifiers are sucking out of rooms at school: Https://t.co/6xNPSpxuqy [Tweet]. @blondebonce. https://twitter.com/blondebonce/status/1481694235283935233

    1. Justin Trudeau. (2021, November 22). Update: The first doses of Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine for kids between the ages of 5 and 11 have arrived. We’ll have 2.9 million doses in the country by the end of the week—That’s enough for every eligible child to get their first shot. So please, get your kids vaccinated. Https://t.co/sWH0fzdz5R [Tweet]. @JustinTrudeau. https://twitter.com/JustinTrudeau/status/1462613405852999687

    1. Kai Kupferschmidt. (2021, December 1). If you’re curious how likely #omicron is to have spread from South Africa or Botswana to different places, @DirkBrockmann and colleagues have done some interesting calculations based on the world aviation network from 08/2021 You can see that US seems a very likely destination https://t.co/OSnZ6ZNble [Tweet]. @kakape. https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1466107074585239568

    2. Kai Kupferschmidt. (2021, December 1). @DirkBrockmann But these kinds of models do help put into context what it means when certain countries do or do not find the the variant. You can find a full explanation and a break-down of import risk in Europe by airport (and the people who did the work) here: Https://covid-19-mobility.org/reports/importrisk_omicron/ https://t.co/JXsYdmTnNP [Tweet]. @kakape. https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1466109304423993348

    3. Kai Kupferschmidt. (2021, December 1). @DirkBrockmann That percentage number tells you “how likely an infected passenger from South Africa or Botswana travels to each country and exits the airport there”. So: “0.9% in Germany means that out of 1000 such individuals, 9 are expected to have Germany as their final destination.” [Tweet]. @kakape. https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1466107478807097354

    4. Kai Kupferschmidt. (2021, December 1). @DirkBrockmann That percentage number tells you “how likely an infected passenger from South Africa or Botswana travels to each country and exits the airport there”. So: “0.9% in Germany means that out of 1000 such individuals, 9 are expected to have Germany as their final destination.” [Tweet]. @kakape. https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1466107478807097354

    1. Kaiser Health News. (2021, December 1). The number of U.S. deaths from COVID-19 has surpassed 775K. But left behind are tens of thousands of children—Some orphaned entirely—After their parents or a grandparent who cared for them died. [Tweet]. @KHNews. https://twitter.com/KHNews/status/1465861952270331905

    1. Gregg Gonsalves. (2021, November 1). The sad thing is that @MartinKulldorff and @DrJBhattacharya once were taken seriously. I’m the last person to say Tony Fauci is always right, but these two have turned into parodies of their former selves. This is just embarassing. Https://t.co/IB2IY0dCrK [Tweet]. @gregggonsalves. https://twitter.com/gregggonsalves/status/1455238042646626313

    2. Jason Abaluck. (2021, November 1). It is sad. @DrJBhattarcharya is the worst example I have personally seen of someone who was previously a scholar but who now engages in repeated misrepresentation of scientific results to serve a partisan agenda. [Tweet]. @Jabaluck. https://twitter.com/Jabaluck/status/1455312783789240320

    3. ReconfigBehSci. (2021, November 2). @jeremy_hume personally, I’d consider it a natural, considerate, and moral response to avoid contact with others when carrying an infection that can be dangerous to others. So what seems dystopian to me, is not doing so, and not creating the social/financial conditions that allow it. [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1455499076850655235

    1. ReconfigBehSci. (2022, January 24). @STWorg @FraserNelson @GrahamMedley no worse- he took Medley’s comment that Sage model the scenarios the government asks them to consider to mean that they basically set out to find the justification for what the government already wanted to do. Complete failure to distinguish between inputs and outputs of a model [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1485625862645075970

    1. (((Howard Forman))). (2022, January 27). New York Update Cases down 44% in one week. Positive rate now 7.3% Hospital census down 24% to level of December 31. Admits down 30%. Deaths appear to be declining. Great progress! Https://t.co/4a087WyejY [Tweet]. @thehowie. https://twitter.com/thehowie/status/1486797266618830853

    1. ReconfigBehSci. (2022, January 4). @STWorg and what is even more surprising is that it is popping up in a discourse between extremely educated individuals who think and argue about complex issues for a living [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1478346691073949702

    1. 🇺🇦 Meaghan Kall. (2022, January 27). NEW: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Vaccine effectiveness (symptomatic infection) data for BA.2 {Omicron’s more infectious sister} NO difference in VE between Omicron (BA.1) and BA.2 Possibly even higher VE for BA.2 but estimates overlap See full thread 🧵 from @freja_kirsebom https://t.co/bJ7uCn2cGV [Tweet]. @kallmemeg. https://twitter.com/kallmemeg/status/1486821549458001927

    1. Tom Wenseleers. (2022, January 23). @HarrySpoelstra @trvrb @CorneliusRoemer @JosetteSchoenma BA.2 has a growth rate advantage over BA.1 of ca 0.11/day. That’s quite sizeable. If it would have the same short generation time as BA.1 of 2.2 days it would imply a ca.1.3x higher transmissibility, due to higher contagiousness or immune escape. Https://t.co/X8TcWJ4pXQ [Tweet]. @TWenseleers. https://twitter.com/TWenseleers/status/1485375883066101763

    1. ReconfigBehSci. (2022, January 14). going out on a limb here: Deporting someone on health and safety grounds who has just publicly admitted to violating quarantine (subject to up to 3 y imprisonment) by going to a photo shoot and interview having tested “positive” won’t be something court will find controversial [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1481927837678456833

    1. Prof Peter Hotez MD PhD [@PeterHotez]. (2021, December 15). Many thanks @Finneganporter while i predicted some of this, a part that caught me off guard in the pandemic was the rise of contrarian intellectuals from conservative think tanks or even Harvard Stanford so desperate for relevance they aligned themselves with far right extremists [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/PeterHotez/status/1471100070250508288

    2. 2022-12-15

    3. Worth exploring I believe
    4. Maybe this always happens in times of great instability? Or maybe it reflects misplaced values of university administrators/boards? Where building endowments is all? Where many College Presidents are no longer scholars/thinkers but selected to keep Universities off the headlines?
    5. As a professor who trained or taught at similar great universities I’m interested in understanding how professors or even whole institutions lost their moral compass during the pandemic and were so eager to align with authoritarian leaders new outlets podcasters
    6. And then you begin to see how authoritarian or totalitarian regimes unfold. A common thread from my read of political thought leaders in this space like @anneapplebaum @ruthbenghiat is how authoritarianism relies in part on intellectual cover and Stanford Harvard others delivered
    7. Many thanks @Finneganporter while i predicted some of this, a part that caught me off guard in the pandemic was the rise of contrarian intellectuals from conservative think tanks or even Harvard Stanford so desperate for relevance they aligned themselves with far right extremists
    1. Dr. Deepti Gurdasani [@dgurdasani1]. (2021, December 14). So those critiquing others for being too certain (I get subtweeted a lot for this)- Am I certain about the exact impact of omicron in the UK? Not at all Am I certain it’ll be high impact? Quite Am I certain we should act now? Absolutely [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/dgurdasani1/status/1470828234480701443

    2. 2022-12-15

    3. So those critiquing others for being too certain (I get subtweeted a lot for this)- Am I certain about the exact impact of omicron in the UK? Not at all Am I certain it'll be high impact? Quite Am I certain we should act now? Absolutely
    4. Best to act early, quickly & scale back if the response was an overreaction. I can safely say that I've not seen any overreaction in UK pandemic policy though, so this is extremely unlikely. Under reaction which is far more damaging has been the mainstay, and continues to be.
    5. Same with long COVID. The greater the uncertainty, the more the need for caution, and the more the need for early action. Even the best-case scenarios look very concerning with omicron. So please don't use uncertainty as an excuse for inaction. Inaction will kill in a pandemic.
    6. I've seen people use 'uncertainty' around aspects of evidence to justify inaction. Uncertainty in evidence *does not* mean uncertainty in policy. As I've said, while there's a lot of uncertainty around the exact impact of omicron, there's little doubt that it'll be severe
    1. ReconfigBehSci. (2022, January 4). 2/2 it seems to be being advanced as part of an argument against measures to reign in rampant infection rates (as a kind of undercutting defeater). Arguments where its hard to tell whether they are meant as arguments for or against a position seem cases of “poor argument” [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1478340071027888132

    1. ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh]. (2021, December 18). @STWorg but I feel I know smart people who definitely believe their own Covid minimising nonsense, and while ideology is undoubtedly a factor, it can’t be all.... [Tweet]. Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1472170862728163343

    2. R2 = .49 .... 50% still unaccounted for? I'm game..
    3. Interesting question. Not sure there is much variance left to explain once you take into account ideology. For climate change r=.7 between denial and libertarianism. Massive.
    4. but I feel I know smart people who definitely believe their own Covid minimising nonsense, and while ideology is undoubtedly a factor, it can't be all....
    5. Hmm. post-Brexit I'd say. Pandemic puts all that on steroids but it all ultimately comes back to the original Project Gaslight (a.k.a. Leave).
    6. there is an interesting post-pandemic research stream on "successive detachment from reality in non-clinical populations" to be had here that could become a thing...
    7. It's pretty stunning. The expectation that they can gaslight not just the British public (that's easy) but other governments (that don't drip feed on UK tabloids) is beyond weird.
    8. "act like"
    9. .@SciBeh !?
    10. 2022-12-18

    1. 47/ And finally, GBD, Tucker from AIER/Brownstone, Clare Craig from HART etc are operating in Uganda to increase vax hesitancy and build the antivax movement In how many other countries are they doing the same? Heinous
    1. 46/ Good money in podcasts £30k a month good, thats part of the issue, many of them do this full time while those of us fighting for sense are working full time
    1. 45/ And of course this can easily be debunked, Davis surely must have seen the corrections fill his TL, yet its still up and being quoted by others Doesn't help those falling for conspiracy theories to have MPs spreading this crap
    1. 44/ Recently we had @DavidDavisMP getting his facts from a podcast and claiming deaths had been massively overstated
    1. 42/ Just America's Frontline Doctors alone are estimated to have taken in at least $15 million for consultations and alternative treatments
    1. 41/ $2.5million just from subsstack, where Nawaz from LBC is now plying his conspiracy theories
    1. 39/ In the UK we see another attempt at a Proud Boys tribute act, some people really want aggressive paramilitaries on UK streets Also seeing a poliferation of "common law constables"
    1. 38/ Special shout out to Tenpenny for most insane comment of the month Quantum entanglement to steal your bank details!
    1. 37/ Of course the far right groups like the Proud Boys have joined in, starting to look like the antivax movement is being subsumed into the far right
    1. 36/ Once again its the same ecosystem of overlapping groups and narratives in the US "Defeat the Mandate" also came with a festival of fruitloops
    1. 35/ We see groups of politicians, media, astroturf, academics, the far right all coming into alignment and cooperation to undermine the pandemic effort with disinformation and political pressure on a weakened Prime Minister who only cares about his job
    1. 34/ Then we see those involved in the NHS astroturf campaign linked to the #TogetherDeclaration campaign also have far rights links, and Russian links
    1. 32/ Now we have a midwife as well, "I'm not antivax, but..." Also linked to the new disinformation campaign
    1. 30/ We have the "I'm not antivax but..." NHS guy who Javid spoke to quickly being handed a platform and given prominence by the disinformation groups/campaigns
    1. 29/ We also have new astroturf organisation and campaigns not just against mandates but also putting out a lot of disinformation
    1. 28/ Now there's another one on children which they are all quoting as "incredibly robust", its not rare, no need for measures A look at the issues with this study
    1. 24/ Other examples Misuse of statistics on lockdown harms to children, just as the urgency of normality have done No suprise to see Lucy Johnson at it
    1. 23/ Just look how Sunetra Gupta was silenced last week by writing an article in the Telegraph that reached a large audience. She now says herd immunity means constant reinfection, thats how we protect the vulnerable
    1. 22/But remember its the GBD who see themselves as the martyrs of the pandemic, forge about their meetings with politicians, their support from swathes of the RW media, their the ones being silenced
    1. 21/ The CRG and the APPG sponsored by the GBDs Collateral Global fill the media with disinformation on a daily basis The APPGs recent attempts to halt vaccination of under 16s shows how far they've embraced the ideology
    1. 20/ Issue is that its Bhattacharya who the CRG MPs currently quoting as they oppose all measures in schools, calling for masks to be completely banned
    1. 19/ More time and effort has been spent on gaslighting to keep measures out of schools than any other aspect of the pandemic It is after all the key part of a pro-infection herd immunity strategy Great read here on Bhattacharya
    1. 17/ What we are dealing with is not just a difference of opinion between experts, its deliberately muddying the waters and there seems to be concern that its the antivaxxers and conspiracy theorists who are lapping this up
    1. 16/ It also appears there's been manipulation o VAER to support these dredging tactics Thousand of adverse reactions reported from a single IP
    1. 15/ If you're willing to support the pro-infection agenda then it seems you'll be offered a short cut to gaining a large platform
    1. 13/ Last year Hoeg was one of those behind the paper that dredged VAER massively inflating the risk of myocarditis from vax Turner of the Telegraph promoted it poisoning the debate on child vax in the UK