- Oct 2024
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ageoftransformation.org ageoftransformation.org
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for - adjacency - polycrisis - war - israel-Iran war - Russia-Ukraine war - planetary adaptive cycle - planetary phase shift - release-to-reorganization stage
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ageoftransformation.org ageoftransformation.org
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for - rapid whole system change - Nafeez Ahmed - planetary phase shift - Nafeez Ahmed - planetary adaptive cycle - Nafeez Ahmed - essay - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024 Oct 16 - to - book - The Ascent of Humanity - chapter 8 Self and Cosmos: The Gaian Birthing - stillborn and the perilous journey through the womb - Charles Eisenstein
summary - This is a good article that makes sense of the inflection point that humanity now faces as it contends with multiple existential crisis - It summarizes the complexity of our polycrisis and its precarity and lays the theory for looking at the polycrisis from a different perspective: - as a planetary phase shift towards the potential end of scarcity and the next stage of our species evolution - Through the lens of ecologist Crawford Stanley Holling's lens of the adaptive cycle of ecological population dynamics, - and especially his 2004 paper "From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds" - Nafeez extends Holling's argument that we are undergoing a planetary adaptive cycle in which the back-loop is the dying industrial era. - In this sense, it is reminiscent of the writings of Charles Eisenstein in his book "The Ascent of Humanity", chapter 8: Self and Cosmos:, The Gaian Birth. - Eisenstein uses the the perilous journey of birth through the womb door as a metaphor of the transition we are currently undergoing.
to - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - https://hyp.is/KYCm2pFrEe-_PEu84xshXw/www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss1/art11/main.html?ref=ageoftransformation.org - book - The Ascent of Humanity - Chapter 8 - The Gaian Birthing - Charles Eisenstein - https://hyp.is/r8scTpG_Ee-gLTujlli5hQ/charleseisenstein.org/books/the-ascent-of-humanity/eng/the-gaian-birthing/
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major transitions “brought about on a global scale by the Internet and by climate, economic, and geopolitical changes” suggest that industrial civilisation is moving into the “back-loop” of a planetary-scale adaptive cycle
for - planetary adaptive cycle - 2004 paper - Crawford Stanley Holling - to - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004
to - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - https://hyp.is/KYCm2pFrEe-_PEu84xshXw/www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss1/art11/main.html?ref=ageoftransformation.org
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This new way of seeing the world should place humanity’s emergence as a planetary species at its centre. That reveals the biggest information gap of all: the inability to see that we are in the midst of a great transformation that could entail the dawn of a whole new life cycle for humanity on a planetary scale.
for - whole system change - big picture - back loop of planetary adaptive cycle - entering the reorganization phase - regional to planetary life cycle
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the emergence of greater vulnerability because of the increasing number of interconnections that link that wealth, and those who control it, in efforts to sustain it
for - quote / insight - decreased resiliency due to tight network of elites - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - creative alternatives - liminal spaces - rapid whole system change
quote / insight - decreased resiliency due to tight network of elites - (see quote below) - The front-loop phase is more predictable, - with higher degrees of certainty. - In both the natural and social worlds, - it maximizes production and accumulation. - We have been in that mode since World War II. - The consequence of this is not only an accumulation and concentration of wealth, - but also the emergence of greater vulnerability because of - the increasing number of interconnections that link that wealth, and - those who control it, - in efforts to sustain it. - Little time and few resources are available for alternatives that explore different visions or opportunities. - Emergence and novelty is inhibited. - This growing connectedness leads to increasing rigidity in its goal to retain control, - and the system becomes ever more tightly bound together. - This reduces resilience and the capacity of the system to absorb change, - thus increasing the threat of abrupt change. - We can recognize the need for change but become politically stifled in our capacity to act effectively.
to - quote - we are now in a back-loop of a planetary adaptive cycle - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - https://hyp.is/FTRDoJFuEe-rsvdKeYjr0g/www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss1/art11/main.html?ref=ageoftransformation.org
comment - These ideas are quite important for those change actors working to emerge creative alternatives - liminal spaces - rapid whole system change
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adaptive cycle
for - definition - adaptive cycle - Crawford Stanley Holling - IIASA
definition - adaptive cycle - Crawford Stanley Holling - IIASA - Predator-prey dynamics across a large variety of species, follow a recursive 'adaptive cycle' consisting of: - front loop stage - growth and accumulation - back loop stage - rapid reorganization with increased stability due to dependency on a limited number of conditions leading to reduced resiliency and either - renewal or - collapse <br /> - This is a characteristic of an ecosystem of many species coexisting together
Tags
- definition - adaptive cycle - Crawford Stanley Holling - IIASA
- to - book - The Ascent of Humanity - chapter 8 Self and Cosmos: The Gaian Birthing - stillborn and the perilous journey through the womb - Charles Eisenstein
- creative alternatives - liminal spaces - rapid whole system change
- whole system change - big picture - back loop of planetary adaptive cycle - entering the reorganization phase - regional to planetary life cycle
- planetary phase shift - Nafeez Ahmed
- planetary adaptive cycle - Crawford Stanley Holling
- quote / insight - decreased resiliency due to tight network of elites - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004
- to - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004
- essay - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024 Oct 16
- to - quote - we are now in a back-loop of a planetary adaptive cycle - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004
- to - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004
- planetary adaptive cycle - 2004 paper - Crawford Stanley Holling
- rapid whole system change - Nafeez Ahmed
- planetary adaptive cycle - Nafeez Ahmed
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www.ecologyandsociety.org www.ecologyandsociety.org
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for - planetary adaptive cycle - entering back-loop phase - paper - From Complex Regions to Complex Worlds - Crawford Stanley Holling - 2004 - from - essay - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024
from - essay - The End of Scarcity? From ‘Polycrisis’ to Planetary Phase Shift - Nafeez Ahmed - 2024 - https://hyp.is/okOeDJFqEe-9ZsMEsKWR9w/ageoftransformation.org/the-end-of-scarcity-from-polycrisis-to-planetary-phase-shift/
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- May 2024
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reproduction is not to produce the same it it's not about producing another Perry or another r or another Dennis 00:38:39 it's actually to produce another organism that is adapting and adaptable
for - key insight - evolution - not producing the same, but different, more adaptive
key insight - evolution - not producing the same, but different, more adaptive - The goal of evolution is not to replicate the same individual, but to create a different one that is BETTER ADAPTED to its environment - and towards this end, physiology is evolution, evolution is physiology (via epigenetics)
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- Feb 2023
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Each reflects the operation of psychological mechanisms that were designed through evolution to serve important adaptive functions, but that nevertheless can produce harmful consequences.
- Each of these 4 problems
- anxiety disorder
- domestic violence
- racial prejudice
- obesity
- reflects the operation of psychological mechanisms
- that were designed through evolution
- to serve important adaptive functions, - but that nevertheless can produce harmful consequences.
- Each of these 4 problems
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- Aug 2022
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Atari, M., Reimer, N. K., Graham, J., Hoover, J., Kennedy, B., Davani, A. M., Karimi-Malekabadi, F., Birjandi, S., & Dehghani, M. (2021). Pathogens Are Linked to Human Moral Systems Across Time and Space. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/tnyh9
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- cultural psychology
- Pathogen Avoidance
- moral foundation theory
- moral code
- moral behavior
- adaptive moral system
- culture
- psychiatry
- morality
- purity
- loyalty
- cross-cultural psychology
- social and personality psycholgy
- cultural difference
- computational linguistics
- linguistics
- social and behavioral science
- lang:en
- infectious diseases
- US
- research
- behavioral science
- care
- evolution
- COVID-19
- is:preprint
- pathogen
Annotators
URL
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- Dec 2021
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arxiv.org arxiv.org
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Kan, U., Feng, M., & Porter, M. A. (2021). An Adaptive Bounded-Confidence Model of Opinion Dynamics on Networks. ArXiv:2112.05856 [Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2112.05856
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- Oct 2021
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karenmcgrane.com karenmcgrane.com
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Adaptive Content
I learned about COPE from Karen McGrane.
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karenmcgrane.com karenmcgrane.com
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COPE
Create Once, Publish Everywhere
So when I talk about adaptive content, I popularized a case study from NPR in which they outlined their catchily-named approach to publishing web content, which they called COPE. It stands for Create Once, Publish Everywhere. And in NPR’s model, they maintain a single content model for their article form. So in this content structure, they would have for an article a title, a short title, a teaser, a short teaser, several images attached to the article, an audio file, the body text, whatever metadata was attached to the article, and they could serve up a different combination of that more granular content based on the type of device someone was using.
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Adaptive: Content, Context, and Controversy
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www.getsymphony.com www.getsymphony.com
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Adaptive Content
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karenmcgrane.com karenmcgrane.com
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COPE: Create Once, Publish Everywhere
Adaptive Content
COPE: Create Once, Publish Everywhere
With the growing need and ability to be portable comes tremendous opportunity for content providers. But it also requires substantial changes to their thinking and their systems.
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getuikit.com getuikit.comUIkit1
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WordPress & Joomla from the UIkit creators
Run for Water
I used one of these themes for the redesign of the Run for Water site. I transitioned away from Jamstack, because the organization is centred around volunteers, and it was important to empower them to easily make changes to the marketing front end of their organization. The WordPress theme has a beautiful interface for managing content. However, it goes against the philosophy of COPE (Create Once, Publish Everywhere), recommended by Karen McGrane in her presentations on Content in a Zombie Apocalypse.
Symphony
My interest in the subject of Adaptive Content goes back to the days when Symphony was my tool of choice.
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- Sep 2021
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www.science.org www.science.org
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Israelow, B., Mao, T., Klein, J., Song, E., Menasche, B., Omer, S. B., & Iwasaki, A. (2021). Adaptive immune determinants of viral clearance and protection in mouse models of SARS-CoV-2. Science Immunology. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciimmunol.abl4509
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- May 2021
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www.biorxiv.org www.biorxiv.org
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Israelow, B., Mao, T., Klein, J., Song, E., Menasche, B., Omer, S. B., & Iwasaki, A. (2021). Adaptive immune determinants of viral clearance and protection in mouse models of SARS-CoV-2. BioRxiv, 2021.05.19.444825. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.05.19.444825
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- Feb 2021
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medium.com medium.com
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AI agents can acquire novel behaviors as they interact with the world around them and with other agents. The behaviors learned from such interactions are virtually impossible to predict, and even when solutions can be described mathematically, they can be “so lengthy and complex as to be indecipherable,” according to the paper.
The sheer number of interacting variables that you'd need to track makes it impossible to make any accurate predictions.
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- Oct 2020
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Maia, H. P., Ferreira, S. C., & Martins, M. L. (2020). Adaptive network approach for emergence of societal bubbles. ArXiv:2010.08635 [Nlin, Physics:Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2010.08635
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news.berkeley.edu news.berkeley.edu
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In an interview, he described how these emerging support systems engage students and evaluate their strengths and weaknesses, even when they’re not in the classroom. The systems are not an online course, but rather an online tutor, driven by artificial intelligence, that can assess a student’s strengths and weaknesses and deliver personalized individual instruction.
An interview with Zachary Pardos, a professor at UC Berkeley who is creating adaptive tutoring software. He describes how he thinks technology and the pandemic will change education over the next several years. He expects greater accessibility to wireless provided like school buses, greater use and development of adaptive tutoring software, and more online learning. I'd need more information on how the system deals with students who don't get it - do they have multiple explanations for math, or just one? 5/10
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- Sep 2020
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Susan Athey, July 22, 2020. (2020, August 2). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hqTOPrUxDzM
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maxkasy.github.io maxkasy.github.io
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Kasy, M. (2020). How to run an adaptive field experiment. Retrieved from https://maxkasy.github.io/home/files/slides/adaptive_field_slides_kasy.pdf
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- Aug 2020
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Malani, A., Soman, S., Asher, S., Novosad, P., Imbert, C., Tandel, V., Agarwal, A., Alomar, A., Sarker, A., Shah, D., Shen, D., Gruber, J., Sachdeva, S., Kaiser, D., & Bettencourt, L. M. A. (2020). Adaptive Control of COVID-19 Outbreaks in India: Local, Gradual, and Trigger-based Exit Paths from Lockdown (Working Paper No. 27532; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27532
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- Jul 2020
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osf.io osf.io
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Méndez, P. F. (2020). Blue uncertainty: Warding off systemic risks in the Anthropocene – Lessons from COVID-19 [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/z2br5
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- May 2020
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Grifoni, A., Weiskopf, D., Ramirez, S. I., Mateus, J., Dan, J. M., Moderbacher, C. R., Rawlings, S. A., Sutherland, A., Premkumar, L., Jadi, R. S., Marrama, D., de Silva, A. M., Frazier, A., Carlin, A., Greenbaum, J. A., Peters, B., Krammer, F., Smith, D. M., Crotty, S., & Sette, A. (2020). Targets of T cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus in humans with COVID-19 disease and unexposed individuals. Cell, S0092867420306103. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cell.2020.05.015
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Almaatouq, A., Noriega-Campero, A., Alotaibi, A., Krafft, P. M., Moussaid, M., & Pentland, A. (2020). Adaptive social networks promote the wisdom of crowds. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 201917687. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1917687117
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- Apr 2020
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Leitner, S. (2020, April 18). On the dynamics emerging from pandemics and infodemics. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/nqru6
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- Mar 2020
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library.educause.edu library.educause.edu
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However, there is skepticism about AI’s ability to replace human teaching in activities such as judging writing style, and some have expressed concern that policy makers could use AI to justify replacing (young) human labor.
Maha describes here the primary concern I have with the pursuit of both AI and adaptive technologies in education. Not that the designers of such tools are attempting to replace human interaction, but that the spread of "robotic" educational tools will accelerate the drive to further reduce human-powered teaching and learning, leading perhaps to class-based divisions in educational experiences like Maha imagines here.
AI and adaptive tool designers often say that they are hoping their technologies will free up time for human teachers to focus on more impactful educational practices. However, we already see how technologies that reduce human labor often lead to further reductions the use of human teachers — not their increase. As Maha points out, that's a social and economic issue, not a technology issue. If we focus on building tools rather than revalorizing human-powered education, I fear we are accelerating the devaluation of education already taking place.
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- Nov 2019
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elearningindustry.com elearningindustry.com
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Author Mary Burns discusses the key elements of computer adaptive testing (CAT). CAT is defined as assessments that use algorithms to progressively adjust test difficulty based upon learner's correct or incorrect responses. The benefits of CAT include more immediate data and are often more reliable. Types of test items are also covered to illustrate how the test can meet various levels of cognition and measure expertise. An issue related to CAT is the intensive time needed to develop multiple test items at multiple levels of cognition. Rating: 8/10
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- May 2019
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campustechnology.com campustechnology.com
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Open learning software from Carnegie Mellon
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d3e7x39d4i7wbe.cloudfront.net d3e7x39d4i7wbe.cloudfront.net
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Professors base these grades on a combination of factors and values, such as 10% participation, 20% homework, 30% final exam, and 40% group project. Digital adaptive learning tools can do this too, and then take the student’s score and match it with the next best skill in the subject’s overall scope and sequence.
This is interesting. This could be interesting in design.
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Adaptive learning does not fit easily into the status quo. Besides having to use a blended learning model, in which class-time is divvied up between traditional and electronic learning, teachers must be willing to let students progress at their own pace.
Could this fit within a trades model?
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This is different to simply providing differentiated content for students. For instance, if a learner was not in class during a period when a particular skill was introduced, and years later was learning a new skill that built on that prior knowledge, that learner would struggle. Adaptive sequencing tools could help that student go back to find this gap and learn this content first, rather than following the same sequence as everyone else
This could be very powerful in trades training.
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Practice Engine
This is brilliant. Start simple and then ramp it up for practice.
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A fixed-form assessment is one in which the items are preselected, and every student is tested on the same set of questions (e.g. a final exam).
fixed form assessment vs. adaptive assessment.
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Let’s break these down a little further
Content, Assement, sequence. The three places adaptive learning occurs.
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How do we use testing – or assessment – not simply to rank students but as meaningful windows into why they struggle to learn? And the big one: Can changes in digital curriculum help close the aching achievement gap?
OMG YES!!!
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we define digital adaptive learning tools as education technologies that can respond to a student’s interactions in real-time by automatically providing the student with individual support
Definition of adaptaive learning
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Knewton alone has raised nearly $160 million.
interesting
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The tools, however, are not a panacea. For several reasons, it’s unlikely that a single tool will ever be able to take over a student’s education and direct them to every single thing they should do. Nor is it likely that we would want it to, as a critical part of education is building student agency – helping students own their learning, make decisions, become lifelong learners, and develop their metacognitive skills.
YES!
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But a critical challenge correctly noted in this report, written by EdSurge and supported by Pearson, is to decipher just what it means for a learning technology to be adaptive.
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Adaptive learning is an enormously promising field. Educators worldwide are using adaptive tools to change their practice. The tools are growing and gaining acceptance in classrooms.
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- Feb 2019
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dougengelbart.org dougengelbart.org
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The Two Sides of the H-LAM/T System
When I view this diagram, I am reminded of Robert Rosen's Modeling Relation, an image of which is here The Modeling Relation grew out of research in Relational Biology which was the first mathematical biology to recognize that relations among organism components and between those components and the environment are key to understanding complex adaptive systems.
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It is the augmentation means that serve to break down a large problem in such a way that the human being can walk through it with his little steps, and it is the structure or organization of these little steps or actions that we discuss as process hierarchies.
As I begin to read this (as I did back in 2000 when I was introduced to Doug) I begin to think in terms of reductionism as a practice in the face of problems which are highly complex, nonlinear, and which do not submit to chunking.
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Personalized learning
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- Dec 2018
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campustechnology.com campustechnology.com
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The Next Frontier of Adaptive Learning
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- Aug 2018
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eds.a.ebscohost.com eds.a.ebscohost.com
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Adaptive Learning Systems
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- Jul 2018
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- Apr 2018
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edplus.asu.edu edplus.asu.edu
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adaptive courseware approach involves using software to guide students along their own particular learning pathways, with assis-tance often provided by intelligent tutoring software, which uses artificial intelligence to deliver customized responses
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- Feb 2018
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www.insidehighered.com www.insidehighered.com
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Integrating Technology, Homework Help and Calculus
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iopscience.iop.org iopscience.iop.org
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The results of data analysis in this study showthat there isthedifferencein the gain score of knowledge on normal distribution application between students wholearn online tutorial content in non-linear learning model and thosewho learn online tutorial content in conventional learning model.
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- Dec 2017
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www.edsurge.com www.edsurge.com
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Find courseware to meet your teaching and learning needs
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www.edsurge.com www.edsurge.com
- Nov 2017
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At the very least, the tool should allow for robust formative assessment, and should be capable of giving timely, helpful feedback to learners.
The “at the very least” part makes it sound as though this were the easy part.
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- Oct 2017
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adaptivelearninginelt.wordpress.com adaptivelearninginelt.wordpress.com
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The flexibility and social nature of how technology infuses other aspects of our lives is not captured by the model of Personalized Instruction, which focuses on the isolated individual’s personal path to a fixed end-point. To truly harness the power of modern technology, we need a new vision for educational technology (Enyedy, 2014: 16).
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nepc.colorado.edu nepc.colorado.edu
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recent studies show little evidence for the effectiveness of this model of integrating technology into the learning process.
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lti.hypothesislabs.com lti.hypothesislabs.com
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Overall, across the ALMAP trials, adding adaptivity to developmental and gateway courses had no effect on course completion rates after controlling for students’ initial achievement levels under any of the three possible use cases.
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- Sep 2017
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Based on this experiment, the evidence suggests adaptive learning did not improve grades or rates of course completion. The tech is still too new to make a definitive judgment.
Interesting, the evidence for efficacy is still not there (yet).
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wcetfrontiers.org wcetfrontiers.org
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Developing Effective Courses Using Adaptive Learning Begins with Proper Alignment
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edutechnica.com edutechnica.com
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Assessment tends to be where courses differ the most
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adaptive paths available for different learner profiles
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the level of effort required to completely reinvent a single online course to be adaptive
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- Apr 2017
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waitbutwhy.com waitbutwhy.com
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This is why people can play the piano with their fingers but not with their toes.
That does not really explain why there are very talented musicians that have limb defects, but I suppose that similar to a blind person being able to hear better, their brains adjust (like complex-adaptive systems do) and reassign a new input-element (e.g. the feet) to a left-over motoric system(e.g. the hands).
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- Mar 2017
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mfeldstein.com mfeldstein.com
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Adaptive Learning is data-driven and continually takes data from students and adapts their learning pathway to “change and improve over time for each student”.
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environment.yale.edu environment.yale.edu
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Interpretive Communities
Should be credited to Stanley Fish.
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www.jstor.org www.jstor.org
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There may well be a dominant reading, but this can erode over time if the “interpretive community” (Fish 1980) to which it speaks changes or the message lost entirely if that com-munity is decisively disrupted or displaced.14
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- Jan 2017
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er.educause.edu er.educause.edu
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Personalized Learning: What It Really Is and Why It Really Matters
Breaking out of ed tech hype.
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- Jul 2016
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hybridpedagogy.org hybridpedagogy.org
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E-texts could record how much time is spent in textbook study. All such data could be accessed by the LMS or various other applications for use in analytics for faculty and students.”
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- Jun 2016
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www.jstor.org.proxyau.wrlc.org www.jstor.org.proxyau.wrlc.org
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"complex adaptive system."
"the combination of multiple strange loops"
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- May 2016
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elearningwiki.com elearningwiki.com
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Both Udacity and Knewton require the human, the learner, to become a technology, to become a component within their well-architected software system. Sit and click. Sit and click.
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- Jan 2016
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www.edsurge.com www.edsurge.com
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There is no single correct way to implement personalized learning
You mean Knewton isn’t the only way to do things? Or that Knewton will adopt all sorts of different methods?
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- Aug 2015
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lumenlearning.com lumenlearning.com
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We’ll have an even more humane, ethical, productive, and effective version of the courseware when we come out of the pilot in Spring term.
Yikes. Sounds a little scary.
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