- Aug 2022
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fivethirtyeight.com fivethirtyeight.com
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Ladyzhets, B. (2021, November 9). The U.S. Is Relying On Other Countries’ Data To Make Its Booster Shot Decisions. FiveThirtyEight. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-u-s-is-relying-on-other-countries-data-to-make-its-booster-shot-decisions/
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Kozlov, M. (2021). Waning COVID super-immunity raises questions about Omicron. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-03674-1
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Zimmer, C. (2021, September 21). An extra J. & J. shot substantially boosts protection against Covid, the company reports. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/21/health/johnson-and-johnson-shot.html
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Lipsitch, M., Krammer, F., Regev-Yochay, G., Lustig, Y., & Balicer, R. D. (2021). SARS-CoV-2 breakthrough infections in vaccinated individuals: Measurement, causes and impact. Nature Reviews Immunology, 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41577-021-00662-4
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Gallagher, J. (2021, November 14). Covid vaccine ‘waning immunity’: How worried should I be? BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-59260294
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- Apr 2022
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Prof. Christina Pagel 🇺🇦. (2022, March 8). What could be causing it? Likely combo of: 1—Dominant BA.2 causing more infections (we await ONS!) 2—Reduction in masks, self-isolation & testing enabling more infections 3—Waning boosters in older people esp I worry that we will be stuck at high levels for long time. 2/2 https://t.co/xZ2SLFNVkS [Tweet]. @chrischirp. https://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1501250081693048838
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Eric Feigl-Ding on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved 21 March 2022, from https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1501778936942010370
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- Feb 2022
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Eric Feigl-Ding. (2022, January 13). WATCH📺—Despite 97.5% of all adults in England🏴 with antibodies to #COVID19 (via vax/infection)–hospitalizations still surging. Why? Because variants like #Omicron are adapting. Need multivalent vax, plus ➡️N95 & ventilation are agnostic to variants—Key! Https://t.co/gDNRJIWojX [Tweet]. @DrEricDing. https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1481732793482813443
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assets.publishing.service.gov.uk assets.publishing.service.gov.uk
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Academics: Viral Evolution Scenarios, 10 February 2022. (n.d.). GOV.UK. Retrieved February 14, 2022, from https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/academics-viral-evolution-scenarios-10-february-2022
Tags
- severity
- lang:en
- scenario
- vaccine efficacy
- protection
- surveillance
- therapeutic
- heterogeneity
- immunity
- variant
- infection
- waning immunity
- viral evolution
- antiviral drug resistance
- vaccination
- prediction
- UK
- immune escape
- antigenic escape
- transmissibility
- vaccine
- COVID-19
- testing
- is:report
Annotators
URL
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www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
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Peña-Hernández, M. A., Klein, J., Malik, A. A., Coppi, A., Kalinich, C., Vogels, C. B. F., Silva, J., Initiative, Y. S.-C.-2 G. S., Peaper, D. R., Landry, M.-L., Wilen, C., Grubaugh, N. D., Schulz, W., Omer, S. B., & Iwasaki, A. (2022). Comparison of infectious SARS-CoV-2 from the nasopharynx of vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals (p. 2021.12.28.21268460). medRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.12.28.21268460
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Adam, D. (2022). Will Omicron end the pandemic? Here’s what experts say. Nature, 602(7895), 20–21. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-00210-7
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- Jan 2022
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Tom Wenseleers. (2022, January 30). Seems that the second Omicron subvariant BA.2 may soon be about to cause cases to start rising again in South Africa... Or at least to stop the decline in new infections. Shows how fast immunity wanes & evolution can catch up. Https://t.co/3y4xqPgZ0L [Tweet]. @TWenseleers. https://twitter.com/TWenseleers/status/1487919837670219781
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Health Nerd. (2022, January 15). It was always likely that immunity to COVID-19 would wane, and we now know the median time to waning is around 1.5-2 years post infection for most people, sometimes less 😕 [Tweet]. @GidMK. https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1482188340091060229
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Devlin, H., Davis, N., & correspondents, N. D. S. (2022, January 14). Expect another Omicron wave in early summer, Sage says. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/14/expect-another-covid-omicron-wave-in-early-summer-sage-says
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Jennifer Cohn ✍🏻 📢. (2022, January 11). This chart says it all. If u got double vaccinated early on & are not yet boosted, ur effectively unvaccinated against Omicron infection. Thus, many adults & teens are effectively unvaccinated against infection. Kids got vaccinated recently & thus may be in a safer position. 1/ [Tweet]. @jennycohn1. https://twitter.com/jennycohn1/status/1481034404260581377
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ourworldindata.org ourworldindata.org
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How do death rates from COVID-19 differ between people who are vaccinated and those who are not? (n.d.). Our World in Data. Retrieved January 8, 2022, from https://ourworldindata.org/covid-deaths-by-vaccination
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- Dec 2021
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www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
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Richterman, A., Scott, J., & Cevik, M. (2021). Covid-19 vaccines, immunity, and boosters. BMJ, 375, n3105. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n3105
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Mallapaty, S., Callaway, E., Kozlov, M., Ledford, H., Pickrell, J., & Van Noorden, R. (2021). How COVID vaccines shaped 2021 in eight powerful charts. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-03686-x
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Altmann, D. M., & Boyton, R. J. (2021). SARS-Cov-2 immune waning and reinfection in care-home settings. The Lancet. Healthy Longevity, 2(12), e776–e777. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2666-7568(21)00276-2
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www.latimes.com www.latimes.com
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Should the definition of “fully vaccinated” be changed to include a booster shot? (2021, December 11). Los Angeles Times. https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2021-12-11/should-the-definition-of-fully-vaccinated-include-a-booster-shot
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Thiruvengadam, R., Awasthi, A., Medigeshi, G., Bhattacharya, S., Mani, S., Sivasubbu, S., Shrivastava, T., Samal, S., Rathna Murugesan, D., Koundinya Desiraju, B., Kshetrapal, P., Pandey, R., Scaria, V., Kumar Malik, P., Taneja, J., Binayke, A., Vohra, T., Zaheer, A., Rathore, D., … Garg, P. K. (2021). Effectiveness of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infection during the delta (B.1.617.2) variant surge in India: A test-negative, case-control study and a mechanistic study of post-vaccination immune responses. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, S1473309921006800. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00680-0
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- Nov 2021
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Thiruvengadam, R., Awasthi, A., Medigeshi, G., Bhattacharya, S., Mani, S., Sivasubbu, S., Shrivastava, T., Samal, S., Murugesan, D. R., Desiraju, B. K., Kshetrapal, P., Pandey, R., Scaria, V., Malik, P. K., Taneja, J., Binayke, A., Vohra, T., Zaheer, A., Rathore, D., … Garg, P. K. (2021). Effectiveness of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 infection during the delta (B.1.617.2) variant surge in India: A test-negative, case-control study and a mechanistic study of post-vaccination immune responses. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00680-0
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Castle, S., & Landler, M. (2021, November 24). A Claim of Herd Immunity Reignites Debate Over U.K. Covid Policy. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/24/world/europe/uk-virus-herd-immunity.html
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www.health.state.mn.us www.health.state.mn.us
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COVID-19 Vaccine Breakthrough Weekly Update—Minnesota Dept. Of Health. (n.d.). Retrieved November 23, 2021, from https://www.health.state.mn.us/diseases/coronavirus/stats/vbt.html
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www.thenakedscientists.com www.thenakedscientists.com
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To Plan B, or not to Plan B? (2021, November 2). https://www.thenakedscientists.com/articles/interviews/plan-b-or-not-plan-b
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Campbell, D., & editor, D. C. H. policy. (2021, November 3). Covid jabs to be compulsory for NHS staff in England from April. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/nov/03/covid-jabs-to-be-compulsory-for-nhs-staff-in-england-from-april
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- Oct 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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John Roberts on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved 31 October 2021, from https://twitter.com/john_actuary/status/1453289464441233422
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Yates, K. (2021, October 21). Britain’s Covid numbers show we need to move immediately to ‘plan B.’ The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/oct/21/britain-covid-numbers-plan-b-data
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China’s ‘zero Covid’ vs Singapore’s ‘living with it’: Rapid low-cost testing could mean we don’t need to choose | South China Morning Post. (n.d.). Retrieved October 15, 2021, from https://www.scmp.com/comment/opinion/article/3152167/chinas-zero-covid-vs-singapores-living-it-rapid-low-cost-testing
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Yahoo Finance. (2021, September 21). “The J&J results exceed expectations,” Yale Radiology and Public Health Professor @thehowie says about the COVID-19 vaccine. “They continue to point out that the J&J vaccine is highly effective even as a one dose vaccine.” https://t.co/AOsxo9IwKT [Tweet]. @YahooFinance. https://twitter.com/YahooFinance/status/1440356401826590727
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- Sep 2021
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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Wu, K. J. (2021, September 3). What We Actually Know About Waning Immunity. The Atlantic. https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/09/waning-immunity-not-crisis-right-now/619965/
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twitter.com twitter.com
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John Burn-Murdoch. (2021, August 23). NEW: in the last couple of weeks there have a lot of new studies out assessing vaccine efficacy, many of which have touched on the question of waning immunity. Unsurprisingly, these have prompted a lot of questions. Time for a thread to summarise what we do and don’t know: [Tweet]. @jburnmurdoch. https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1429878189011111936
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twitter.com twitter.com
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David Dowdy on Twitter: “@NEJM joining the waning immunity debate. I’m going to push back a bit. Data from @UCSDHealth of vax effectiveness in health workers: 94% in June, 65% in July. Interpreted as ‘likely to be due to...delta and waning immunity over time, compounded by end of masking requirements.’ https://t.co/flDOfBbTs7” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved September 2, 2021, from https://twitter.com/davidwdowdy/status/1433254675915157504?s=20
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- May 2021
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academic.oup.com academic.oup.com
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seronegative
Bilich et al showed that IgG and IgA antibody responses declined during the six-month follow-up, raising concerns that humoral immunity against SARS-CoV-2 may not provide longterm protection. Anti-S1 antibody responses decrease over time, whereas anti-nucleocapsid antibody titres persist, this is important in the context of vaccine development focusing on the induction of immune responses to the RBD of the spike protein.
Bilich T, Nelde A, Heitmann JS, Maringer Y, Roerden M, Bauer J, et al. T cell and antibody kinetics delineate SARS-CoV-2 peptides mediating long-term immune responses in COVID-19 convalescent individuals. Science Translational Medicine. 2021:eabf7517.
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for IgM
Zhou et al showed that serum IgM and IgG, especially in patients with moderate‐to‐high levels, declined significantly between week 4 to 10 after illness onset. Paper suggests that a decline in IgM may be an indicator of virus clearance. Although IgG levels declined to low levels within 11 weeks, they remained detectable.
Figueiredo‐Campos et al quantified IgM, IgG and IgA and showed that although titres reduced, IgG antibodies remained robust with confirmed neutralisation activity for up to 6 months
Zhou W, Xu X, Chang Z, Wang H, Zhong X, Tong X, Liu T, Li Y. The dynamic changes of serum IgM and IgG against SARS-CoV-2 in patients with COVID-19. J Med Virol. 2021 Feb;93(2):924-933. doi: 10.1002/jmv.26353. Epub 2020 Sep 28. PMID: 32706425; PMCID: PMC7404900.
Figueiredo‐Campos, P., Blankenhaus, B., Mota, C., Gomes, A., Serrano, M., Ariotti, S., Costa, C., Nunes‐Cabaço, H., Mendes, A.M., Gaspar, P., Pereira‐Santos, M.C., Rodrigues, F., Condeço, J., Escoval, M.A., Santos, M., Ramirez, M., Melo‐Cristino, J., Simas, J.P., Vasconcelos, E., Afonso, Â. and Veldhoen, M. (2020), Seroprevalence of anti‐SARS‐CoV‐2 antibodies in COVID‐19 patients and healthy volunteers up to 6 months post disease onset. Eur. J. Immunol., 50: 2025-2040. https://doi.org/10.1002/eji.202048970
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