Emissions in advanced economies grew faster (+0.5%) than in emerging and developing economies (+0.3%) for the first time since the 1990s.
大多数人认为发达国家已经控制了排放增长,而发展中国家是排放增长的主要来源,但作者认为发达国家排放增长首次超过发展中国家,这挑战了传统的排放责任认知。
Emissions in advanced economies grew faster (+0.5%) than in emerging and developing economies (+0.3%) for the first time since the 1990s.
大多数人认为发达国家已经控制了排放增长,而发展中国家是排放增长的主要来源,但作者认为发达国家排放增长首次超过发展中国家,这挑战了传统的排放责任认知。
This paper’s authors argue that using GWP to assess the relative planetary warming caused by various different sectors is therefore a deeply flawed metric. They propose that a better measure for policymakers to adopt would be something called Effective Radiative Forcing, or ERF.
for - youtube - Just have a think - new paper - new metric for measuring emissions - ERF - to - paper - Increased transparency in accounting conventions could benefit climate policy - https://hyp.is/CUcbhF2TEfCn1ieAeq73JA/iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/adb7f2 - climate crisis - carbon emissions - agriculture has the highest of all - AgroSphere Technologies - cite this paper
for - Christine Wamsler - Lund University - homepage - from - youtube - Mindfulness World Community - Awareness, Care and Sustainability for Our Earth - https://hyp.is/GCUJ1APHEfCcr_vvv3lAFw/www.youtube.com/watch?v=CTUc_0GroGM
to - paper - An Interdisciplinary Model to Foster Existential Resilience and Transformation
to - paper - Engaging high-income earners in climate action : Policy insights from survey experiments
to - paper - Revolutionising sustainability leadership and education : addressing the human dimension to support flourishing, culture and system transformation
to - The System Within : Addressing the inner dimensions of sustainability and systems change
research areas - sustainable cities - collaborative governance - city-citizen collaboration - citizen participation - sustainability and wellbeing - sustainability transformation - inner development goals - inner transformation - inner transition - existential sustainability
Der Guardian kritisiert in einem Editorial den Verzicht auf Kernelemente des Green Deal in der europäischen Agrarpolitik, darunter die Nicht-Verabschiedung des Nature Restoration Law. Er verweist auf eine Umfrage, die zeigt, dass eine Mehrheit in Europa eine konsequentere Klimapolitik unterstützt.
Das EU-Parlament hat die vorgesehenen strengeren ökologischen Vorschriften für Agrarsubventionen verändert. So ist der Erhalt von Subventionen nicht mehr daran geknüpft, dass 4% der bebaubaren Fläche brach liegen. .https://taz.de/EU-und-Ampel-geben-Bauernprotesten-nach/!6004784/
why is it that we’re not focusing on those movements as the source of our strength and our organizing? It’s because we have a discourse framed around elite policy institutions that make them the primary actors and the coordination of mostly market mechanisms
for - climate crisis - climate communications - large social movements fizzle out - first framing element - elite policy institutions and businesses are seen as the primary actors - Joe Brewer
2023 haben Böden und Landpflanzen fast kein CO2 absorbiert. Dieser Kollaps der Landsenken vor allem durch Dürren und Waldbrände wurde in diesem Ausmaß kaum vorausgesehen, und es ist nicht klar, ob auf ihn eine Regeneration folgt. Er stellt Klimamodelle ebenso in Frage wie die meisten nationalen Pläne zum Erreichen von CO2-Neutralität, weil sie auf natürlichen Senken an Land beruhen. Es gibt Anzeichen dafür, dass die steigenden Temperaturen inzwischen auch die CO2-Aufnahmefähigkeit der Meere schwächen. Überblicksartikel mit Links zu Studien https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/14/nature-carbon-sink-collapse-global-heating-models-emissions-targets-evidence-aoe
Amy Westervelt und Kyle Pope fassen kurz und treffend die wichtigsten Desinformationstaktiken der Fossilindustrie zusammen: - Fossilindustrie als Garantin der Energiesicherheit - Gegensatz von Wirtschaft und Umwelt - Verbraucher:innen brauchen fossile Energien für ihren Lebensstandard - Fossilindustrien sind Teil der Lösung, nicht des Problems - Fossilindustrien als Wohltäterinnen und Sponsorinnen.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/14/climate-disinformation-explainer
Stefan Rahmstorf erklärt die neue Studie zum Tipping Point der Amoc. Die bisher beste Computersimulation des Strömungssystems bestätigt die Existenz des Kipppunkts. Sie ergibt auch ein Signal für die bevorstehende Auslosung des Kipppunkts. Messungen des Salzgehalts in der Nähe des südlichen Afrikas zeigen, dass das Risiko für die Auslosung deutlich gestiegen ist. https://scilogs.spektrum.de/klimalounge/neue-studie-legt-nahe-dass-die-atlantische-umwaelzzirkulation-amoc-auf-kippkurs-ist/
for - 2nd Trump term - 2nd Trump presidency - 2024 U.S. election - existential threat for climate crisis - Title:Trump 2.0: The climate cannot survive another Trump term - Author: Michael Mann - Date: Nov 5, 2023
Summary - Michael Mann repeats a similiar warning he made before the 2020 U.S. elections. Now the urgency is even greater. - Trump's "Project 2025" fossil-fuel -friendly plan would be a victory for the fossil fuel industry. It would - defund renewable energy research and rollout - decimate the EPA, - encourage drilling and - defund the Loss and Damage Fund, so vital for bringing the rest of the world onboard for rapid decarbonization. - Whoever wins the next U.S. election will be leading the U.S. in the most critical period of the human history because our remaining carbon budget stands at 5 years and 172 days at the current rate we are burning fossil fuels. Most of this time window overlaps with the next term of the U.S. presidency. - While Mann points out that the Inflation Reduction Act only takes us to 40% rather than Paris Climate Agreement 60% less emissions by 2030, it is still a big step in the right direction. - Trump would most definitely take a giant step in the wrong direction. - So Trump could singlehandedly set human civilization on a course of irreversible global devastation.
The GOP has threatened to weaponize a potential second Trump term
for - 2nd Trump term - regressive climate policy
China hat einen lange angekündigten Plan zur Methan-Reduktion veröffentlicht. Der Zeitpunkt am Ende von Gesprächen des chinesischen Klima-Beauftragten Xie Zhenhua mit seinem amerikanischen Pendant John Kerry gilt als Signal für mehr Kooperation zwischen China und den USA im Vorfeld der COP28. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/08/china-methane-plan-climate-agreement-us
Mehr zu Methan-Emissionen und -Reduktion: https://hypothes.is/search?q=tag%3A%27process%3A+methane+reduction%27
date
Executive Summary
Koordiniert von der Heritage Foundation wurde ein umfassender Plan für die ersten sechs Monate einer republikanischen Präsidentschaft erarbeitet. Er würde eine Regulierung der Energiepolitik und Dekarbonisierungsmaßnahmen durch die Bundesregierung sowie die Durchsetzung von Umweltbestimmungen unmöglich machen. Die Heritage Foundation hatte entscheidenden Einfluss auf frühere republikanische Regierungen. Viele US-Politiker werden von der Fossilindustrie mitfinanziert.
Bidens Inflation Reduction Act löst offenbar wesentlich mehr Investitionen in Erneuerbare aus als zunächst erwartet. Angekündigt sind Investitionen von mindestens 150 Milliarden USD.Damit werden aber auch deutlich mehr Steuereinnahmen in Subventionen dieser Energien fließen, was zu heftigen Konflikten mit den Republikanern führt. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/03/business/ira-climate-tax-breaks-biden.html
Bericht von Bloomberg Green über grüne Investitionen von Venture-Kapitalisten. Im Vordergrund stehen - oft mit öffentlicher Beteiligung - nicht mehr die schon eingeführten Technologien zur Energieerzeugung sondern Elektrifizierung neuer Bereiche und auch das Speichern von CO2. 2022 würden ca. 70 Milliarden USD venture Capital und insgesamt 652 Milliarden in Climate Tech investiert. Der International Renewable Energy Agency zufolge müssen sich die Investitionen jährlich vervierfachen. https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2023-climate-tech-startups-where-to-invest/?srnd=green&leadSource=uverify%20wall
(For comparison, most organizations can’t avert a metric ton for less than $2. The average American causes around 16 metric tons of emissions per year.)
So, taxing people, say, $50 per year would allow the government to fund those charities, right? Sounds like an excellent way to facilitate climate change mitigation.
The Founders Pledge report used countries’ climate targets and projected policies to estimate how many metric tons of carbon can be saved by avoiding various lifestyle choices.
Are there countries that haven't already blown past their own targets and had to reset them? It seems quite naive of them to suggest that any country will be able to meet their targets. Indeed, considering how many countries that produce lots of GHGs have had to step back from their climate change targets, I would expect that accounting for policy changes would actually make population reduction even better.
Eckel, M. (14:25:51Z). RT America Received More Than $100 Million In Russian Government Funding Since 2017, Filings Show. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-rt-america-funding/31427870.html
Hignell, B., Saleemi, Z., & Valentini, E. (2021). The role of emotions on policy support and environmental advocacy. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/45pge
Politics of COVID-19 Misinformation. (n.d.). HackMD. Retrieved 4 August 2021, from https://hackmd.io/@scibehC19vax/misinfo_politics
Vaughan, A. (n.d.). UK citizens’ assembly shows big support for green covid-19 recovery. New Scientist. Retrieved June 23, 2020, from https://www.newscientist.com/article/2246693-uk-citizens-assembly-shows-big-support-for-green-covid-19-recovery/
Could COVID-19 mark a ‘turning point’ in the climate crisis? (n.d.). World Economic Forum. Retrieved May 29, 2020, from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/05/green-recovery-can-revive-virus-hit-economies-and-tackle-climate-change-study-says/
Baker, C. M., Campbell, P. T., Chades, I., Dean, A. J., Hester, S. M., Holden, M. H., McCaw, J. M., McVernon, J., Moss, R., Shearer, F. M., & Possingham, H. P. (2020). From climate change to pandemics: Decision science can help scientists have impact. ArXiv:2007.13261 [Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2007.13261
Hackathon: Climate denial and COVID-19 misinformation: birds of a feather? : BehSciAsk. (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved 6 March 2021, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/jjk00r/hackathon_climate_denial_and_covid19/
Achakulwisut, P. (n.d.). The U.S. Risks Locking In a Climate Health Crisis in Response to COVID. Scientific American. Retrieved December 10, 2020, from https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-u-s-risks-locking-in-a-climate-health-crisis-in-response-to-covid/
Raimondo, S., Benigni, B., & De Domenico, M. (2020). Environmental conditions and human activity nexus. The case of Northern Italy during COVID-19 lockdown. ArXiv:2010.07721 [Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2010.07721
Part of the problem is that most policies look only 12 months into the future, ignoring long-term trends even as insurance availability influences development and drives people’s long-term decision-making.
Another place where markets are failing us. We need better regulation for this sort of behavior.
Jesse Keenan, an urban-planning and climate-change specialist then at Harvard’s Graduate School of Design, who advises the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission on market hazards from climate change. Keenan, who is now an associate professor of real estate at Tulane University’s School of Architecture, had been in the news last year for projecting where people might move to — suggesting that Duluth, Minnesota, for instance, should brace for a coming real estate boom as climate migrants move north.
Why can't we project additional places like this and begin investing in infrastructure and growth in those places?
That’s what happened in Florida. Hurricane Andrew reduced parts of cities to landfill and cost insurers nearly $16 billion in payouts. Many insurance companies, recognizing the likelihood that it would happen again, declined to renew policies and left the state. So the Florida Legislature created a state-run company to insure properties itself, preventing both an exodus and an economic collapse by essentially pretending that the climate vulnerabilities didn’t exist.
This is an interesting and telling example.
And federal agriculture aid withholds subsidies from farmers who switch to drought-resistant crops, while paying growers to replant the same ones that failed.
Here's a place were those who cry capitalism will save us should be shouting the loudest!
The federal National Flood Insurance Program has paid to rebuild houses that have flooded six times over in the same spot.
We definitely need to quit putting good money after bad.
How Europe can emerge stronger out of the coronavirus crisis. (n.d.). World Economic Forum. Retrieved 25 July 2020, from https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/07/resilient-european-economy/
Azim, S. S., roy, arindam, Aich, A., & Dey, D. (2020). Fake news in the time of environmental disaster: Preparing framework for COVID-19 [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/wdr5v
Rosenbloom, D., & Markard, J. (2020). A COVID-19 recovery for climate. Science, 368(6490), 447–447. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc4887
Leiserowitz, A., Maibach, E., Rosenthal, S. A., Kotcher, J., Ballew, M. T., Bergquist, P., Gustafson, A., Goldberg, M. H., & Wang, X. (2020). Politics and global warming, April 2020 [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/d7vbq
Soutter, A., & Mõttus, R. (2020). Political Preferences, Personality Traits, and Environmentalism. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/fm95k
Johnson, N.F., Velásquez, N., Restrepo, N.J. et al. The online competition between pro- and anti-vaccination views. Nature (2020). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2281-1
Kutscher, C. (2020 April 8). The Coronavirus and Climate Change: How we're making the same mistakes. Medium. https://medium.com/@chuck.kutscher/the-coronavirus-and-climate-change-how-were-making-the-same-mistakes-2cd01cce2295