the containment of China the choking of China is common ground for all of them they simply disagree on how to do it best whether to do it through the war in Ukraine or As Trump suggests and the war in Ukraine and con of China well thank you so much and thank you for this opportunity to have um an intimate closed door discussion so that um we can speak freely so I'm going to cut to the chase because my topic I think is the most uh pressing issue for Humanity at the moment the new cold war that the United States Unleashed against China this is not a shared responsibility it is a decision by Washington DC to unleash a cold war against China it started with Donald Trump it was already in the making from the Obama Administration but it has been reinforced exponentially under Joe Biden and the reason why I'm saying that this is the most pressing issue for Humanity is because we are being quick marched towards the precipice of a nuclear confrontation that the United States authorities knowingly are making a real possibility and the question is why the first question and once we go through the analysis then of course the second question and of equal importance is so what do we do about it I enjoy very much placing American and British in particular journalists who are part of this propaganda machine you know Financial Times Guardian Washington Post placing them in the difficult position with a very simple question why why is the United States declaring essentially a new Cold War against CH China and the first the first the first word that comes out of their mouth is Taiwan and I said to them what about Taiwan said well the Chinese want to take it over well I said they always wanted to take it over what's new I mean it was always the position of Beijing that Taiwan is a province of China and at some point they will have to fall under the fault like Hong Kong did didn't Richard Nixon know that in 1971 when he was visiting Beijing making friends with China didn't Clinton know that when he was inducting China into the World Trade Organization why wasn't Taiwan a problem then what has changed now they they look at me oh yeah well China is spying on us the NSA spying on you the CI I have and that is the truth and the line knows this we have a three-point NSA tap on me my phone that is three points means that if I talk to you you spied on if you talk to your wife your wife is spy don't if your wife talks to your child your spy your your child so I I know that they've told me that so I don't believe the Chinese are as good as the NSA at spying I mean the NSA was listening in to Chancellor Angela Merkel this was revealed and then you know when Angela Merkel was told that immediately she said okay do you want me to speak louder so you can hear hear me better so it wasn't a problem right now suddenly that China is developing surveillance and I hope China is developing surveillance methods because you know if if you're being spied on you need to spy back on it's the only way my one of my great friends and I'm very proud of that that may shock some of you is Julian Assange of WikiLeaks and Julian Assange a very brave man said to me once uh that what do you do with B Big Brother how do you stop Big Brother well what you do is you develop the technology so that you spy on him while he's spying on you so counter surveillance is the only way of dealing with surveillance so that they know that you know that they know this is essential for maintaining any degree of autonomy so I hope China is developing its capacity to counter the surveillance of the NSA um and it's a joke I mean the people in the NSA are laughing the heads off when they hear journalists from The Wall Street Journal saying that the reason for the new C war is that China is fing on the on the Americans and then I hear other idiotic answers like you know the the Chinese are building Naval vessels uh they are projecting Naval power well I will believe this I mean of course you're building Naval vessels you're expanding your economy you're expanding your capacity to um project your own power that is essential that's what every every country must do if it respects its own interests but I'm going to be worried about Chinese imperialism when I see Chinese vessels outside San Diego and Los Angeles and Chinese army bases next to El Paso on the US Mexican border until we see that it is ludicrous you just look at the map of the Pacific and you see American bases everywhere creating choke points for China and this is their official policy for 40 years and they have the audacity to say that China is a threat because China is anyway enough time wasted on these non- explanations of the new Cold War now you may have heard of um well I won't mention him yet the more sophisticated analysts in the United States would invoke the so-called FUSD trap or thusi curse that to put it in very um V terms if you live in an anarchic world if you are a child a boy and you go to school with a very rough school and there are lots of bullies you should be the biggest and nastiest bully that is the cynical realist school of thought of American geopolitics that America in this anarchic world because they don't really believe in God they don't believe that it's a God that will help them they think that they must be the nastiest biggest bully in the world in order to defend themselves their survival as a nation and their prosperity will depend on their capacity to bully everybody else and from preventing anyone who is getting too big for their boots to become an equally sized bully and they will say to you that they wear bullies around the world like for instance Imperial Japan Imperial Germany the Soviet Union and what the United states have succeeded in doing is effectively eliminating them annihilating them getting them out of the way and that now China is rising China is next and therefore for that experience a new Cold War now there's no doubt that the Deep state in the United States I make no mistake the United States is not a democracy it's an oligarchy with elections that are providing the legitimacy for this one party state to continue to exist and when I say one party State I mean one party State uh take for instance Victoria newand you may be familiar with this Diplomat of the Washington establishment Victoria nand worked for Bill Clinton she worked for George W bush she worked under Clinton she worked under Trump and no doubt she was going to work again for whoever wins in November Victoria nand is an example of the single state deep state of the United States now that deep State single party establishment United States is split along the line of two different conflicting views neither which of which is good news for China there is the the more intelligent nuanced line of thinking that which in Academia is uh represented by that very intelligent man from the University of Chicago John M mimer the view is this they they are very critical of the inability of Washington to focus Fus on what is necessary and their overreach they think that the United States is overreaching so they are very critical of the war of the United States role in firstly through Victoria nand creating the circumstances through the kud against Victor yanukovich the then president of Ukraine in 2014 they created a kudeta in order ethnically to cleanse Russian speakers from the Eastern side of Ukraine in order to provoke Putin into the first stage of war in 2014 against Ukraine so as to push for NATO expansion in uh Scandinavia and of course Georgia and Ukraine and so this pragmatic Viewpoint simply says that we shouldn't be doing this because that way we we are pushing Russia into the arms of China the whole point of the Nixon Administration was to split the Soviet Union from China and therefore win the Cold War so they're critical of the support of Ukraine and of Israel because they think that this simply disorient the United States policy it creates alliances amongst Americans enemies like alliances between Russia and China Iran and Russia and so on and that this is silly politics because the enemy is China and China needs to be contained and if you ask them why does China need to be contained China doesn't have a history of imperialism China has absolutely no interest in uh building military bases on the US Mexican border in taking you know Naval power and Pro in it to San Diego or Los Angeles or San Francisco China doesn't want that China wants to trade you know what they say yes we agree but if we let China become a regional superpower in the Pacific area in its own area in its backyard if we allow China for instance to become dominant in the South China Sea and in the Indian Ocean then China in the future will start trying to do what we have done and they will become an imperialistic force in the western hemisphere which for them is the Americans this is what they say they understand that China is not imperialistic but they fear that if they do not contain China through choke points just north of Indonesia you know the first array of islands the second array of islands between China and the Philippines and so then China will emulate the United States and therefore you better prevent that by choking China today so that's one line line of argument the second line of argument is the opposite argument that the United States must be a bully everywhere all over the world including in Europe including the Ukraine and that for instance I I have been told that by somebody who was very high up in the Bush Administration and who was very high up in the chain of command of NATO in Brussels an American Republican he said to me that we need to expand NATO against the interest of of the Europeans he was clear against the interest of the Europeans and I said to him Bob why he said because of three reasons first because we must be in Europe the United States we to keep ourselves in number one reason he gave me number two to keep the Germans down look at the price of electricity in Germany today as a result of the war in Ukraine the German industrial machine is finished kaput as a result not just of that but that is one of the reasons and thirdly to keep the Russ out so this is you know if you were in the corridors of power in Washington DC this is the discussion you would hear the containment of China the choking of China is common ground for all of them they simply disagree on how to do it best whether to do it through the war in Ukraine or As Trump suggests and the war in Ukraine and con of China well this so far what I have presented to you is more or less common knowledge amongst anyone who's ever been in Washington been in Brussels spoken to these people to the cold Warriors to the new cold Warriors this is common knowledge but I think that that story that I've given you so far is incomplete why did the Clinton Administration and the Bush Administration after that were so gangho about trading with China why did they not start the new Cold War against China in the 1990s in the year 2000 in 2004 2005 200 8 why was it only around 2014 that this establishment decided to unleash the war against China it's not that they one explanation is that the Clinton Administration people could not see that China would develop to the extent that China developed that it would become so big I don't believe that I never believe explanations which presume the stupidity of the people involved I don't believe that these people were stupid and I don't believe that they didn't see that by shifting half of American manufacturing to the West Coast of China sorry to the east coast of China that you know that China would not grow and develop they knew it they were celebrating it I remember you know for years hearing that you know capitalism is fantastic because look at China the moment it introduced the market economy so and they become a superpower so they knew it that they wanted it why don't they want it now why is it suddenly choking points and containment and you know putting a boot on their neck what what really changed for me the essence of the pursuit of a new Cold War against China by the United States by the way Europe is irrelevant Europe is simply doing as it's told Europe doesn't want to unleash a cold war against China but you know they get the email from Washington DC do it and they do it against their interest and against their wishes so don't care about the the Europeans it's Washington if you we somebody like you know a strategic thinker like Henry Kissinger who is now dead but you know this is the example of the deep thinking American official what would you really be worried about since I mentioned Kissinger let me stick to him for a moment the year was 1970 Kissinger at the time who was working for President Nixon you'll recall was not the foreign minister was not in the is the state department yet he was the head of the National Security Council and he was the National Security advisor to the American president and he was the epitome all his life of American strategic thinking the thinking of that one party State the Deep state of the United States being a smart man when he saw the macroeconomic statistics and he saw that from 1968 from 1968 onwards America for the first time since the 1930s had become a deficit country for the first time in its history since it became a superpower or an important power in the bid War period and certainly since the 1950s when it was the only superpower in terms of economic superpower the United States slipped from being a surplus country from having a surplus in its trade balance uh to having a deficit and kid was worried because he knew that historically speaking every Empire that went from being a surplus to a deficit economic entity started fading so he got together his people at the National Security Council and he asked them a simple question how should we what should we do in order to retain our hegemony now that we are a deficit country and he said to the people go away and think about it and I want from each one of you half a page of a note very interesting right not 20 Pages half a page not a page half a page this is how Kissinger worked and these were very smart people right most of them came back and gave a very Germanic answer if we have a deficit we must cut down expenditure we must increase uh interest rates and so on and so forth in order to reduce Imports and bring about a balance between exports and imports to eliminate our trade deficit one man in his half a page which I actually acquired in the process of writing a book 15 years ago typ written a typewritten half a page he said what we must do we must treble our deficit treble our deficit we have a deficit which is bad we must make it three times as big and make the capitalists of the rest of the world pay for it which is exactly what happened the United States should increase its deficit and use it to create aggregate demand for the net exports of Germany and Japan and later on China because it is the trade deficit of the United States that sucks into the United States your aluminum your electric vehicles deficit dollars like I us and you know when people ask Paul vulkanen but will that not affect the value of the dollar he said no not as long as it is the only World Reserve currency the only currency that has demand people demand it even if they don't want to buy anything from the country which is producing it which is printing it so if you are today somebody of a mind comparable to gingers then you know that the reason why the United States is so hegemonic why it can afford to be the big bully around the world is because of the Monopoly of the payment system and let me give you an example which I gave uh when we with way way were having this conversation at China today China now China now now today um when Trump was elected because he hated Obama so deeply he wanted to take down something that Obama was very proud of Obama was very proud of two things Obamacare and the agreement between the west and Iran over the nuclear program of Iran and the ending of the sanctions which was signed by Iran by the United States and by the whole of the European Union enthusiastically and Trump wanted to destroy that agreement just because he hated Obama so he takes the agreement with Iran and tees it up tears it up the chancellor of Germany Angela Merkel was very annoyed because she had worked very hard together with Obama to bring about that agreement with Iran and she German businesses were already in negotiations in Iran to enter Iran Iran is a land of opportunity after so many years of sanctions for large conglomerates like the German ones especially when it came to energy to Consumer products to car manufacturing they were all ready to get in and Trump says no Merkel comes out and gives a press conference against the president of the United States this is unprecedented that doesn't happen often and she says I do not know what the United States will do we respect their opinion and their position position but Germany is going to maintain the agreement the peace agreement with Iran and German businesses will continue to do business in Iran on the basis of this International agreement which we are going to fulfill and which we are going to honor within 12 hours every single CEO of every German conglomerate came out and said not us we're not in we're out we will follow the Americans why it's really very simple because they depended on their net exports to the United States and the Trump Administration threatened them that they would not benefit from the tax cuts the corporate the the reductions in the corporate tax that Trump was bringing in he said to them you want to benefit from them no business in Iran you want to maintain your access to the dollar payment system no business with Iran so the German Cong con glomerate leaders turned against the German Chancellor the day after she gave a press conference effectively saying sorry Chancellor we are going with President Trump on this against their own Financial interests in Iran and in Europe which is exactly what they're doing now you know the United States together with Ukraine bomb the pipeline northstream one that costs billions every week for German industry have you heard a German industry say anything nothing because they are dependent on the American trade deficit but this whole thing for the trade deficit of the United States to function as a vacuum cleaner that sucks into the United States the net exports of Germany of France of Japan and of China you need the dollar to remain the Monopoly the monopolistic transaction system because it is only the monop of transactions that allows the Americans to continue with unfinanced unfunded deficits

the reason why the United States is so hegemonic why it can afford to be the big bully around the world is because of the Monopoly of the payment system

will that not affect the value of the dollar he said no not as long as it is the only World Reserve currency the only currency that has demand people demand it even if they don't want to buy anything from the country which is producing it which is printing it

one man in his half a page which I actually acquired in the process of writing a book 15 years ago typ written a typewritten half a page he said what we must do we must treble our deficit treble our deficit we have a deficit which is bad we must make it three times as big and make the capitalists of the rest of the world pay for it which is exactly what happened the United States should increase its deficit and use it to create aggregate demand for the net exports of Germany and Japan and later on China

the United States slipped from being a surplus country from having a surplus in its trade balance uh to having a deficit and kid was worried because he knew that historically speaking every Empire that went from being a surplus to a deficit economic entity started fading

when he saw the macroeconomic statistics and he saw that from 1968 from 1968 onwards America for the first time since the 1930s had become a deficit country

why did the Clinton Administration and the Bush Administration after that were so gangho about trading with China why did they not start the new Cold War against China in the 1990s in the year 2000 in 2004 2005 200 8 why was it only around 2014 that this establishment decided to unleash the war against China

the United States is not a democracy it's an oligarchy with elections that are providing the legitimacy for this one party state to continue to exist

1988 Convention Against Illicit Traffic in Narcotic Drugs and Psychotropic Substances was adopted by consensus at a conference in Vienna in 1988. The Convention aimed to provide more effective weapons against the illicit drug trade, which had become a growing concern due to the influence of organized crime groups. The Convention is an instrument of international criminal law, designed to globally harmonize national criminal laws and enforcement actions to decrease illicit drug trafficking by criminalization and punishment.

1971 Convention on Psychotropic Substances expanded the scope of international drug control to include synthetic drugs

1961 Single Convention on Narcotic Drugs marked a shift in the international community's approach to drug control, moving beyond simply regulating the production and trade of drugs to focus on individual drug users.

the outbreak of World War II and the subsequent transfer of the League's drug control bodies to the United States marked a shift in the balance of power, paving the way for the United States to play a crucial role in shaping the emerging post-war world order, including international drug control.

1990s and 2000s saw a shift towards a more nuanced approach to drug control, with a greater emphasis on harm reduction and public health.

1980s, the international community continued to grapple with the issue of drug abuse and trafficking, leading to the formulation of the International Drug Abuse Control Strategy and the development of new treaties and soft law instruments.

reflected the influence of Western manufacturing countries, which sought to protect their commercial interests. The 1972 Amending Protocol to the Single Convention strengthened the international drug control system, but maintained its prohibitive ethos and supply-side focus. The Protocol expanded provisions for treatment, rehabilitation, and prevention measures, but did not fundamentally change the Single Convention.

focused on regulating the licit trade, which inevitably led to the development of an illegal market.

1936 Trafficking Convention sought to strengthen the existing transnational legal framework, but its complexity and encroachment upon legal areas considered sovereign by many states meant it failed to win widespread acceptance.

1931 Convention for Limiting the Manufacture and Regulating the Distribution of Narcotic Drugs introduced a proscriptive manufacturing limitation system, where parties were required to provide estimates of national drug requirements to the Drug Supervisory Body (DSB).

1925 International Opium Convention established a standardized import-export certification system to regulate drug movements between parties and included cannabis within a multilateral treaty for the first time.

international drug control system began in 1909 with the Shanghai Opium Commission, which aimed to address the "opium problem." The commission's recommendations led to the first legally binding multilateral treaty in 1912, which restricted opium use to medical purposes.

The Federal Bureau of Narcotics (FBN) focused on punishing users in the informal market, while largely ignoring the medical market. This led to a misreading of the situation, where authorities attributed the success of the medical market to the "good customers" rather than the more humane and effective policies. As a result, the medical market remained relatively invisible, and its lessons were not applied to future drug policy.

nhance the stigma of addiction and preserve his bureau's budget.

rise of heroin use

addiction as a moral failing rather than a disease. The law also led to the criminalization of drug use, with many people being arrested and imprisoned for drug-related offenses. The punitive approach to drug control was driven by a native-born Protestant desire to police and control non-white communities, and it was accompanied by public demonization of drug users and sellers.

African Americans in the South,

new drug crises were already brewing in both licit and illicit markets by the 1950s.

divide was fueled by anxieties about race, class, and sexuality,

esponse to the public health consequences of rising opioid and cocaine use in the late 19th century.

The Act was intended to gather information

Webb-Kenyon Act, which prohibited shipments of liquor to states that prohibited its sale. The prohibition movement gained strength, and in 1917, the House passed a Prohibition resolution, which eventually became part of the Constitution.

The public and congressmen believed that narcotics, including opiates and cocaine, had no value except as medicine and were associated with foreigners or alien subgroups.

n the early 20th century, the medical profession had a high rate of addiction, with around 2% of physicians being addicts.

practical significance of the law was still debated among the groups affected, and there was no general agreement on what would be the desirable or actual enforcement of the law.

The law was the result of international pressure, particularly from the Hague Convention, and was seen as a way to redeem the American government's international pledges.

law required records to be kept of all narcotics transactions, and copies of these records were to be kept by district internal revenue offices.

The AMA favored restrictive legislation, but also wanted to ensure that any bill had a maximum chance of passage. After several revisions, the Harrison Act was finally passed in December 1914.

Executive Committee to monitor the status of the legislation and make revisions.

he American Pharmaceutical Association called for a National Drug Trade Conference (NDTC) to bring together representatives from various trade associations to discuss the proposed legislation.

worked with Representative Francis Burton Harrison, a Democrat, to introduce a bill that would eliminate the use of narcotics except for medical purposes.

912, Hamilton Wright returned to the United States with the goal of increasing support for the International Opium Convention and ensuring the passage of domestic legislation to control narcotics.

The Hague Opium Convention was an international conference held in 1911-1912, where 12 nations gathered to discuss the regulation of opium and other drugs.

Dr. Wright believed that the Shanghai meeting gave the United States a moral obligation to appear with a clean slate before asking other nations to enact drastic legislation.

The resolutions included calls for the gradual suppression of opium smoking, the reexamination of national laws, and the control of morphine and other opium derivatives. The commission also recommended that nations not export opium to countries whose laws prohibit its importation. The meeting was significant because it marked the beginning of an American tradition in narcotic control, which emphasized the enactment of strict domestic legislation as an example to other nations.

he Shanghai Opium Commission was a meeting of 13 nations, including the United States, Great Britain, and the Netherlands, that convened on February 1, 1909, to discuss the opium problem.

Dr. Wright launched a national survey to collect information on the use of opium and its derivatives in the United States, and the State Department requested federal anti-narcotic legislation before the Shanghai meeting. This led to the passage of the first federal antinarcotic legislation in 1909, which banned the importation of smoking opium.

in the United States, there was growing concern about the opium trade and its impact on China.

The US government faced opposition from anti-opium groups,

The US acquired the Philippines in 1898, following the Spanish-American War, and with it, an opium problem.

lower-class social origins

“I anticipated some time ago that in [the] event of our securing Federal control of the sale and distribution of morphine and cocaine, the fiends would turn to Indian hemp, and for that reason incorporated that drug in the proposed act for the control of the interstate traffic in narcotics.”

Cannabis is rather an unimportant drug and that we have given undue attention to the whole subject of Cannabis

n the US, cannabis was initially seen as a potentially effective medicine, psychiatric tool, and stimulant for extraordinary visions and experiences.

The drug's reputation as a "killer weed" was likely influenced by Mexican ideas about marijuana, which associated it with violence, madness, and crime.

anti-marijuana laws followed this pattern, state by state, as a result of anti-Mexican sentiment.

stereotype of the marijuana user in Mexico was that of a dangerous, unpredictable madman,

"Mexican hypothesis" suggests that Mexican migrant workers brought marijuana to the US in the early 20th century, leading to its prohibition due to racial prejudice

In Mexico, the war on drugs was closely tied to US-Mexican relations, with the US exerting significant influence over Mexican drug policy. The Mexican government's efforts to prohibit drugs were often unsuccessful, and the country's drug trade continued to thrive

The United States, driven by domestic and foreign policy considerations, led the movement to codify international standards. The US experience in the Philippines and the lessons learned from the Chinese opium story led to the conclusion that only a system that restricted both supply and demand could be effective. The Hague Convention's Article 13 allowed the US to exert pressure on Latin American countries to adhere to international drug control standards, which ironically became a tool of imperialism.

This led to the emergence of a larger hemispheric network that linked Andean coca peasants to chemists, smugglers, and users in the United States and elsewhere. By the 1960s, agents of the U.S. Federal Bureau of Narcotics reported on recipes for coca paste, cocaine sulfates, and crude cocaine, which were refined in labs in Havana and later Colombia.

around the AI is um the problem right now as I understand it as I see it is a lot of the AI has been coded from the

we have to learn how to become friends and to do that actually involves quite a bit of learning to enter like Universal friendship and Universal friendship is actually a pretty high stage of realization

“We shape our buildings; thereafter they shape us,” said Sir Winston Churchill in his speech to the meeting in the House of Lords, October 28, 1943, requesting that the House of Commons bombed out in May 1941 be rebuilt exactly as before.

Is it that we each do our own thing and we develop some form of in a collegiality between us, how to go forward?

beyond our power to alter, and therefore to be accepted and made the best of. It is a waste of time to criticize the inevitable.

emust bewareofacertaincrazeforcollectingwhich sometimestakespossessionofthosewhomakenotes.Theywanttohaveafullnotebookorfilingcabinet;theyareinahurrytoputsomethingintheemptyspaces,andtheyaccumulatepassagesasotherpeoplefillstamp and postcard albums.Thatisadeplorablepractice;itisasortofchild-ishness,andrisksbecomingamania. Orderisanecessity, butitmustserveus,notweit.Toin-dulge obstinatelyinaccumulatingandcompletingistoturn one’smindaway from producingandeyen from learning; excessive attentiontoclassifi-cation interferes withuse;nowinthisconnectioneverything mustbesubordinatedtothegoodofthework.

For many years, scientists, including a group of more than 15,000, have sounded the alarm about the impending dangers of climate change driven by increasing greenhouse gas emissions and ecosystem change (Ripple et al. 2020).

If we were observers who routinely traced  every motion of every molecule, we would say, what do you mean that there's randomness in  what's going on? There's no randomness. I can see what every individual molecule does. So  in a sense, that's an example of a place where being an observer of the kind we are is the  thing that causes us to perceive laws of the kind we perceive.

And what I assume you shall assume, For every atom belonging to me as good belongs to you.

What should make us really concerned is the lack  of leadership, is the lack of efforts of acting on that evidence. So if there's anything  that all this leads for

human beings are good at getting distracted at mentally drifting away doing something else and thereby thereby understanding the world and give meaning to stuff

curiosity trap

i think it's a near miss it's the most likely thing to save us

Economic Policy Institute,by the year 2032 the majority of the working class willbe composed of people of colo

The job losses described here are notupper management positions but rather jobs formerlyoccupied by the white working class.

Dueto the cheaper cost of manufacturing in China, manyU.S. companies have outsourced their labor abroad.This has resulted in a massive trade deficit betweenthe U.S. and China and has led to a loss of around 2.4million jobs since 2013, or almost two-thirds of allU.S. manufacturing jobs

fol-lowing the signing of NAFTA there has been a drasticincrease in the number of Mexican immigrants arriv-ing to the United States through the Southern Border

if you have the cognitive abilities of something that is you know 10 to 100 times smarter than you trying to to outm smarten it it's just you know it's just not going to happen whatsoever so you've effectively lost at that point which means that 00:36:03 you're going to be able to overthrow the US government

I think important in this moment of trying to get out of orientation to these structures and habits 00:07:14 semantics um and and and epistemological patterns that that lock us into the kind of thinking that is the source of the 00:07:27 colonial violence and the industrial violence that we're living within

the United States was suppressing Democratic movements around the world because if an authoritarian if a communist can win an 00:13:59 election fairly one time that's the end of free and fair elections

what Trump cares about is polling numbers and uh supporting Russia is a losing issue here in America when you look at polls for Americans do you 00:08:53 support additional military aid for Ukraine it's consistently above 60% so Trump flipped on Russia support for this Aid Bill to relieve the political 00:09:05 pressure

we have to get past the November election no politician wants to talk about 00:03:19 additional military aid prior to November 5th

nines nine is thought to be largely produced by labs in China

THE ADMINISTRATION ALSO HAS BEEN PRETTY QUIET ABOUT THAT FACT. THEY ARE NOT EAGER TO TELL THAT. THEY ARE VERY WORRIED THAT ENVIRONMENTAL GROUPS

Confusion about what it means toown a book leads people to a falsereverence for paper, binding, and type—a respect for the physical thing—thecraft of the printer rather than thegenius of the author.

So come my soul to bliss, as I speak true.So speaking as I think, alas, I die

As Thoreau said, “We do not ride on the railroad; it rides upon us”;and this is what we must fight, in our time. The question is, indeed,Which is to be master? Will we survive our technologies?

We do not ride on the railroad; it rides uponus. Did you ever think what those sleepers are thatunderlie the railroad ? Each one is a man, an Irish¬man, or a Yankee man. The rails are laid on them, andthey are covered with sand, and the cars run smoothlyover them. They are sound sleepers, I assure you.And every few years a new lot is laid down and runover; so that, if some have the pleasure of riding on arail, others have the misfortune to be ridden upon.

But lo!men have become the tools of their tools. The manwho independently plucked the fruits when he was hun¬gry is become a farmer; and he who stood under a treefor shelter, a housekeeper.

But if we are downloaded into our technology, what are the chancesthat we will thereafter be ourselves or even human?

Chettyet al. (2014) estimate intergenerational mobility for the US down to highly disaggregated geographic areas (commuting zones) and find that it varies considerably. In some parts of the country, mobility (or equality of opportunity) is on a par with some of the most mobile countries in Europe, while in other parts, children struggle to escape poverty when born into it. They also find that areas with relatively high rates of mobility tend to be ones that are less residentially segregated (i.e. households from different socioeconomic backgrounds and different races reside in the same neighbourhoods) and have lower inequality, higher quality public school systems, stronger social networks, and stronger family structures. The empirical observation that more equal societies tend to be more mobile is also known as the Great Gatsby curve (Corak 2013).

I remember when news media outlets in the First Amendment-loving US used to criticize China for its lack of press freedom; but the New York Times is now accusing Beijing of not cracking down enough on its news media and online discourse in order to silence criticism of Israel and the US. Good luck with that.

Have you thought about citing the quote directly here, together with several summary points about why it provokes such questions, instead of creating just clickbait for your substack service? I believe that interested readers would click on your link in any case. Not interested will not be annoyed by having to click on the link to get to know that they are not interested. (It applies also for other areas of (self)marketing, by the way :-)

Recent work has revealed several new and significant aspects of the dynamics of theory change. First, statistical information, information about the probabilistic contingencies between events, plays a particularly important role in theory-formation both in science and in childhood. In the last fifteen years we’ve discovered the power of early statistical learning.

In January 2018, Deutsche Bank produced an 81-page report, “US Income and Wealth Inequality”,

What if, early in the morning on Election Day in 2016, Mark Zuckerberg had used Facebook to broadcast “go-out-and-vote” reminders just to supporters of Hillary Clinton? Extrapolating from Facebook’s own published data, that might have given Mrs. Clinton a boost of 450,000 votes or more, with no one but Mr. Zuckerberg and a few cronies knowing about the manipulation.

Corruptible: Who Gets Power and How it Changes Us

Moscow then illegally annexed Crimea from Ukraine in 2014

40-plus million pounds, sufficient to achieve national distribution across the U.S.

Poland’s ambition clearly aligns with America’s aim to shift Europe’s balance of power towards the “new Europe”, which explains why the US has been quick to lend it considerable support, even at the cost of sowing further divisions on the continent. “Poland has become our most important partner in continental Europe,” a senior US Army official in Europe told Politico. Significantly, after visiting Ukraine last month, Biden made only one other additional stop on his European trip: Warsaw.

In addition, at least two justices have ties to the oil industry writ large. Justice Amy Coney Barrett’s father was a Shell attorney for nearly three decades and served in leadership positions with the American Petroleum Institute, and Justice Samuel Alito owns stock in ConocoPhillips and Phillips 66 (Alito recused himself from the Baltimore case but Barrett did not).

Expert Opinionon theCurrent State of U.S. Surveillance Law and AuthoritiesfromProf. Stephen I. Vladeck,University of Texas School of Law

(b) Motion to Advance — A request to advance a hearing date (move the hearing to an earlier date) should be made by written motion.  A motion to advance should completely articulate the reasons for the request.  The motion should be filed with a cover page labeled “MOTION TO ADVANCE” and comply with the deadlines and requirements for filing.  See Chapter 5.2 (Filing a Motion), Appendix E (Cover Pages).

Americans especially tend reflexively to dismiss the idea of conspiracy. Living in a political culture ignorant of secret police, a political underground, and coups d'état,

nalyze the content of 69,907 headlines pro-duced by four major global media corporations duringa minimum of eight consecutive months in 2014. In or-der to discover strategies that could be used to attractclicks, we extracted features from the text of the newsheadlines related to the sentiment polarity of the head-line. We discovered that the sentiment of the headline isstrongly related to the popularity of the news and alsowith the dynamics of the posted comments on that par-ticular news

Q-associated influencers strategically center the U.S. military in their narratives. This appearance of analliance with the military enhances their credibility and attracts followers, including veterans. Thesuggestion of an alliance also creates a cadre of committed adherents.

On the one hand, conspiracy theorists seem to disregard accuracy; they tend to endorse mutually incompatible conspiracies, think intuitively, use heuristics, and hold other irrational beliefs. But by definition, conspiracy theorists reject the mainstream explanation for an event, often in favor of a more complex account. They exhibit a general distrust of others and expend considerable effort to find ‘evidence’ supporting their beliefs. In searching for answers, conspiracy theorists likely expose themselves to misleading information online and overestimate their own knowledge. Understanding when elaboration and cognitive effort might backfire is crucial, as conspiracy beliefs lead to political disengagement, environmental inaction, prejudice, and support for violence.

A map showing the locations of significant recent fires across Russia.

. We also find evidence of “falsehood echo chambers”, where users that are more often exposed to misinformation are more likely to follow a similar set of accounts and share from a similar set of domains. These results are interesting in the context of evidence that political echo chambers are not prevalent, as typically imagined

And finally, at the individual level, we found that estimated ideological extremity was more strongly associated with following elites who made more false or inaccurate statements among users estimated to be conservatives compared to users estimated to be liberals. These results on political asymmetries are aligned with prior work on news-based misinformation sharing

We found that misinformation-exposure scores are significantly positively related to language toxicity (Fig. 3a; b = 0.129, 95% CI = [0.098, 0.159], SE = 0.015, t (4121) = 8.323, p < 0.001; b = 0.319, 95% CI = [0.274, 0.365], SE = 0.023, t (4106) = 13.747, p < 0.001 when controlling for estimated ideology) and expressions of moral outrage (Fig. 3b; b = 0.107, 95% CI = [0.076, 0.137], SE = 0.015, t (4143) = 14.243, p < 0.001; b = 0.329, 95% CI = [0.283,0.374], SE = 0.023, t (4128) = 14.243, p < 0.001 when controlling for estimated ideology). See Supplementary Tables 1, 2 for full regression tables and Supplementary Tables 3–6 for the robustness of our results.

Aligned with prior work finding that people who identify as conservative consume15, believe24, and share more misinformation8,14,25, we also found a positive correlation between users’ misinformation-exposure scores and the extent to which they are estimated to be conservative ideologically (Fig. 2c; b = 0.747, 95% CI = [0.727,0.767] SE = 0.010, t (4332) = 73.855, p < 0.001), such that users estimated to be more conservative are more likely to follow the Twitter accounts of elites with higher fact-checking falsity scores. Critically, the relationship between misinformation-exposure score and quality of content shared is robust controlling for estimated ideology

Our results show that Fox News is reducing COVID-19 vaccination uptake in the United States, with no evidence of the other major networks having any effect. We first show that there is an association between areas with higher Fox News viewership and lower vaccinations, then provide an instrumental variable analysis to account for endogeneity, and help pin down the magnitude of the local average treatment effect.

Στην κορύφωση αυτής της δεύτερης, πλέον, κρίσης εί-χαμε μια συγκέντρωση στη θαλάσσια περιοχή μεταξύ των Κυθήρων καιτων ακτών της Μέσης Ανατολής πάνω από εκατό πολεμικών σκαφών,εξοπλισμένων και με πυρηνικά όπλα,7 και σε απόσταση λίγων μιλίων τοένα από το άλλο.

ο καθεστώς Παπαδόπουλου συνέ-δραμε ουσιαστικά τις αμερικανικές επιχειρήσεις στην επίμαχη περίοδο.Από τα παραπάνω μπορεί να συναχθεί, όπως επισημαίνει και ο ChrisWoodhouse, ότι «η τότε αμερικανική κυβέρνηση δεν είχε λόγους να είναιδυσαρεστημένη με τον Παπαδόπουλο ή τον Μαρκεζίνη».4

ο Αμερικανός υφυπουργός ΕξωτερικώνRoger Davies δήλωνε στον αντικαθεστωτικό ταξίαρχο Ορέστη Βιδάλη,37προσπαθώντας να δικαιολογήσει την υποστήριξη των Ηνωμένων Πολι-τειών στο –ήδη ανατραπέν τότε– καθεστώς Παπαδόπουλου: «Υπήρχανβάσιμοι λόγοι στις σχέσεις μας με την κυβέρνηση Παπαδόπουλου. Ηπρόσφατη κρίση στη Μέση Ανατολή απέδειξε πόσο δύσκολη θα ήταν ηδιατήρηση της θέσεώς μας στην Ανατολική Μεσόγειο χωρίς την υπο-στήριξη που είχαμε από την Ελλάδα».38

χει τεκμηριωθεί α) η άδεια πλήρους χρή-σης του λιμένος της Σούδας από τον 6ο Στόλο, β) η χρήση του ελληνικούεναέριου χώρου και γ) η κατά περίπτωση χρήση των ελληνικών αεροδρο-μίων (κυρίως του αεροδρομίου στο Ακρωτήρι Χανίων) από τα αμερικα-

το, κρίσιμο για την όλη επιχείρηση, αεροπλανοφόρο USSIndependence εκείνο το φθινόπωρο ναυλοχούσε στον Πειραιά, απ’ όπουαπέπλευσε αμέσως μόλις ξέσπασαν οι εχθροπραξίες στις 7 Οκτωβρίου30και κατευθύνθηκε νοτίως της Κρήτης. Παρέμεινε εκεί καθ’ όλο το διάστημα του πολέμου, ανεφοδιάζοντας τα αεροσκάφη που μετέφεραν ταεφόδια και φρουρώντας με τα δικά του μαχητικά το τελευταίο τμήματης διαδρομής προς το Ισραήλ, για να επιστρέψει στο λιμάνι του Πειραιάστις 5 Νοεμβρίου, μετά την αποκλιμάκωση της κρίσης.

“We’re at war. This is a political war, a cultural war, and it’s a spiritual war,” Ogles said after he won his primary. “And as we go forward, we’ve got to get back to honoring God and country.”