- Aug 2024
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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if we lose the Green and Ice Sheet, or the AMOC, it would be a complete disaster. So, you cannot measure it economically, it's an infinite parameter. So then, if the probability, even if the probability is low, if you multiply a low probability with an infinite impact, then risks are also infinitely high.
for - planetary emergency - risk analysis
planetary emergency - risk analysis - risk = probability x impact - If impact is high, then even low probability x high impact means high risk - If AMOC or Greenland icesheet melts, the impact is so high that it is not even economically measurable
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- Apr 2024
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Eine neue Studie beschäftigt sich mit der zunehmenden Frequenz der Aufeinanderfolge extremer Trockenheit und extremer Niederschläge in Pakistan und in vielen afrikanischen Ländern. Ähnliche Phänomene lassen sich in Norditalien feststellen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/14/extreme-drought-in-northern-italy-mirrors-climate-in-ethiopia
Tags
- process: increasing risk of droughts
- country: Ethiopia
- country: Pakistan
- country: Burkina Faso
- NGO: WaterAid
- expert: Katerina Michaelides
- country: Uganda
- region: Mediterranean
- by: Sandra Laville
- 2023-11-14
- process. increasing risk of floodings
- country: Italy
- expert: Tim Wainwright
- country: Ghana
- region: Africa
- country: Mozambique
- study: WaterAid Africa Drought Analysis
Annotators
URL
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- Feb 2023
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- Oct 2022
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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In the interest of reducing warranty claims (which are much more expensive than that incremental manufacturing cost) carmakers are sizing the whole unit to reliably accommodate the worst case draw (driver turns everything on at the same time, at idle).
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- Aug 2022
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci. (2021, December 23). Risk of hospital stay 40% lower with Omicron than Delta, UK data suggests https://t.co/VupN8hY4qq [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1473916654421643266
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gidmk.medium.com gidmk.medium.com
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Nerd, G. M.-K. H. (2022, February 25). The Jury is Still Out on Ivermectin. Medium. https://gidmk.medium.com/the-jury-is-still-out-on-ivermectin-7d0a1895549
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- Mar 2022
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infodemiology.jmir.org infodemiology.jmir.org
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Quinn, E. K., Fenton, S., Ford-Sahibzada, C. A., Harper, A., Marcon, A. R., Caulfield, T., Fazel, S. S., & Peters, C. E. (2022). COVID-19 and Vitamin D Misinformation on YouTube: Content Analysis. JMIR Infodemiology, 2(1), e32452. https://doi.org/10.2196/32452
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- Feb 2022
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www.biorxiv.org www.biorxiv.org
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Yamasoba, D., Kimura, I., Nasser, H., Morioka, Y., Nao, N., Ito, J., Uriu, K., Tsuda, M., Zahradnik, J., Shirakawa, K., Suzuki, R., Kishimoto, M., Kosugi, Y., Kobiyama, K., Hara, T., Toyoda, M., Tanaka, Y. L., Butlertanaka, E. P., Shimizu, R., … Sato, K. (2022). Virological characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 BA.2 variant (p. 2022.02.14.480335). bioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.02.14.480335
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- Dec 2021
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Bansal, B. (2021). Rapid COVID-19 Test: Investigating the Willingness to Take a Rapid Test Based on Multiple Factors. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/j3t76
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arcadia.io arcadia.io
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New Study Finds Vaccine Dose Timing Reduces Risk of Long-COVID in Unvaccinated Patients. (2021, December 15). Arcadia.Io. https://arcadia.io/press-release-vaccine-dose-timing-reduces-long-covid-risk/
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Eric Topol. (2021, December 14). Graph of Pfizer 3rd shot (booster) vs Omicron symptomatic infection, restoring to 75% protection, significantly less compared to its effect vs Delta (95%) with 95% CI, @UKHSA data, vs unvaccinated https://ft.com/content/8a6a0ec8-fd07-49cd-a3f5-386a06269a5c by @hannahkuchler @donatopmancini @mroliverbarnes https://t.co/PHMDZGIgDj [Tweet]. @EricTopol. https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1470744717398720513
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www.npr.org www.npr.org
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Wood, D., & Brumfiel, G. (2021, December 5). Pro-Trump counties now have far higher COVID death rates. Misinformation is to blame. NPR. https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/12/05/1059828993/data-vaccine-misinformation-trump-counties-covid-death-rate
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- Nov 2021
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Smith, C., Odd, D., Harwood, R., Ward, J., Linney, M., Clark, M., Hargreaves, D., Ladhani, S. N., Draper, E., Davis, P. J., Kenny, S. E., Whittaker, E., Luyt, K., Viner, R., & Fraser, L. K. (2021). Deaths in children and young people in England after SARS-CoV-2 infection during the first pandemic year. Nature Medicine, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01578-1
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journals.sagepub.com journals.sagepub.com
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Gurdasani, D., Bhatt, S., Costello, A., Denaxas, S., Flaxman, S., Greenhalgh, T., Griffin, S., Hyde, Z., Katzourakis, A., McKee, M., Michie, S., Ratmann, O., Reicher, S., Scally, G., Tomlinson, C., Yates, C., Ziauddeen, H., & Pagel, C. (2021). Vaccinating adolescents against SARS-CoV-2 in England: A risk–benefit analysis. Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 01410768211052589. https://doi.org/10.1177/01410768211052589
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- Oct 2021
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Iacobucci, G. (2021). Covid and flu: What do the numbers tell us about morbidity and deaths? BMJ, n2514. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n2514
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Covid and Age—The New York Times. (n.d.). Retrieved October 15, 2021, from https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/12/briefing/covid-age-risk-infection-vaccine.html
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Covid booster shots important to stop infection, finds English study | Coronavirus | The Guardian. (n.d.). Retrieved October 14, 2021, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/oct/14/covid-booster-shots-important-to-stop-infection-finds-english-study
Tags
- data analysis
- protection
- science
- lang:en
- COVID-19
- booster
- breakthrough infection
- UK
- vaccine
- risk
- epidemiology
- transmission
- is:news
- research
Annotators
URL
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Gurdasani, Deepti. ‘Vaccinating Adolescents in England: A Risk-Benefit Analysis’. OSF Preprints, 4 August 2021. https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/grzma.
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www.aappublications.org www.aappublications.org
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Study: Myocarditis risk 37 times higher for children with COVID-19 than uninfected peers | American Academy of Pediatrics. (n.d.). Retrieved October 10, 2021, from https://www.aappublications.org/news/2021/08/31/covid-myocarditis-risk-children-083121
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- Sep 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Sam Wang on Twitter: “These are risk levels that you pose to other people. They’re compared with you as—A nonsmoker—A sober driver—A vaccinated person. Unvaccinated? 5x as likely to get sick, for 3x as long. Total risk to others? 15x a vaccinated person Details:https://t.co/ckTWaivK8n https://t.co/PhpLvX2dsm” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved September 19, 2021, from https://twitter.com/SamWangPhD/status/1438361144759132167
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- Aug 2021
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www.haaretz.com www.haaretz.com
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These Israeli COVID-19 graphs prove Pfizer vaccine works—Israel News—Haaretz.com. (n.d.). Retrieved August 17, 2021, from https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/israel-covid-graphs-prove-vaccines-works-delta-pfizer-1.10101640
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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We shouldn’t be giving Covid boosters while millions wait for a first dose | Andrew Pollard and Seth Berkley | The Guardian. (n.d.). Retrieved August 17, 2021, from https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/aug/13/covid-boosters-dose-vaccine
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Trisha Greenhalgh on Twitter: “LONG THREAD on masks. Mute if not interested. Do masks work? Why do some people claim they don’t work? Do they cause harm? What kinds of masks should we wear? How does masking need to change now we know that Covid is airborne? When can we stop wearing them? Get your popcorn. 1/” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved August 1, 2021, from https://twitter.com/trishgreenhalgh/status/1414294003479089154
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- Jul 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Dvir Aran. (2021, July 27). You’ve probably seen reports from Israel on low vaccine effectiveness in this wave. Is it because of Delta? Waning immunity? We think the reason is mostly that we got the denominator wrong. Https://t.co/yloh5Vo9Xi [Tweet]. @dvir_a. https://twitter.com/dvir_a/status/1420059124700700677
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Global experts urge Boris Johnson to delay ‘dangerous’ Covid reopening | Coronavirus | The Guardian. (n.d.). Retrieved July 9, 2021, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/07/global-experts-urge-boris-johnson-delay-covid-reopening
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- Jun 2021
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www.economist.com www.economist.com
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See how age and illnesses change the risk of dying from covid-19 | The Economist. (n.d.). Retrieved June 29, 2021, from https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/covid-pandemic-mortality-risk-estimator
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www.newscientist.com www.newscientist.com
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Risk of covid-19 infection plummets 21 days after a vaccination | New Scientist. (n.d.). Retrieved June 25, 2021, from https://www.newscientist.com/article/2281512-risk-of-covid-19-infection-plummets-21-days-after-a-vaccination/?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_campaign=echobox&utm_medium=social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1624329998
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Parsons, J. E., Newby, K. V., & French, D. P. (2018). Do interventions containing risk messages increase risk appraisal and the subsequent vaccination intentions and uptake? – A systematic review and meta‐analysis. British Journal of Health Psychology, 23(4), 1084–1106. https://doi.org/10.1111/bjhp.12340
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Pishko, A. M., Bussel, J. B., & Cines, D. B. (2021). COVID-19 vaccination and immune thrombocytopenia. Nature Medicine, 1–2. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01419-1
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- May 2021
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Brewer, N. T., DeFrank, J. T., & Gilkey, M. B. (2016). Anticipated Regret and Health Behavior: A Meta-Analysis. Health Psychology : Official Journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association, 35(11), 1264–1275. https://doi.org/10.1037/hea0000294
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- Apr 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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(20) Carolyn Barber, MD on Twitter: ‘@VincentRK Thank you. Very helpful. Retweeting this which lines up with your UK data. Https://t.co/ECNaGuqiaB’ / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved 24 April 2021, from https://twitter.com/cbarbermd/status/1381407627884695556
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Local file Local file
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Taquet, M. (2021, April 15). COVID-19 and cerebral venous thrombosis: a retrospective cohort study of 513,284 confirmed COVID-19 cases. https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/H2MT7
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Jeremy Faust MD MS (ER physician) on Twitter: “Let’s talk about the background risk of CVST (cerebral venous sinus thrombosis) versus in those who got J&J vaccine. We are going to focus in on women ages 20-50. We are going to compare the same time period and the same disease (CVST). DEEP DIVE🧵 KEY NUMBERS!” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved April 15, 2021, from https://twitter.com/jeremyfaust/status/1382536833863651330
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci. ‘@sarahflecke “Reports Emerging of Rare Types of Multiple Thrombosis, Bleeding, and Thrombocytopenia .. Similar to Disseminated Intravasc. Coagulation ... in Otherwise Healthy Individuals Shortly after Receiving ..AstraZeneca ..Vaccine. These Outcomes Are Not Included in the Present Analysis.”’ Tweet. @SciBeh (blog), 2 April 2021. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1377984798422077446.
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- Mar 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Carl T. Bergstrom on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved 19 February 2021, from https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1357799981977985025
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iuni.iu.edu iuni.iu.edu
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Indiana University Network Science Institute. ‘Alessandro Vespignani on Computational Epidemiology at the Time of COVID-19’. Accessed 7 March 2021. http://iuni.iu.edu/news/event/59.
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- Feb 2021
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jamanetwork.com jamanetwork.com
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Mori, Makoto, Harlan M. Krumholz, and Heather G. Allore. ‘Using Latent Class Analysis to Identify Hidden Clinical Phenotypes’. JAMA 324, no. 7 (18 August 2020): 700–701. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.2278.
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- Jan 2021
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pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Brewer NT, Chapman GB, Gibbons FX, Gerrard M, McCaul KD, Weinstein ND. Meta-analysis of the relationship between risk perception and health behavior: the example of vaccination. Health Psychol. 2007;26(2):136–45. doi:10.1037/0278-6133.26.2.136
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- Sep 2020
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slate.com slate.com
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Sudhir, A. (2020, July 1). The Medical Case for Reopening Schools. Slate Magazine. https://slate.com/technology/2020/07/school-reopening-medical-case.html
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www.ajpmonline.org www.ajpmonline.org
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Liu, Y., Finch, B. K., Brenneke, S. G., Thomas, K., & Le, P. D. (2020). Perceived Discrimination and Mental Distress Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence From the Understanding America Study. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2020.06.007
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- Aug 2020
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osf.io osf.io
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Landgrave, M. (2020). How Do Legislators Value Constituent’s (Statistical) Lives? COVID-19, Partisanship, and Value of a Statistical Life Analysis. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/n93w2
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Sun, K., Wang, W., Gao, L., Wang, Y., Luo, K., Ren, L., Zhan, Z., Chen, X., Zhao, S., Huang, Y., Sun, Q., Liu, Z., Litvinova, M., Vespignani, A., Ajelli, M., Viboud, C., & Yu, H. (2020). Transmission heterogeneities, kinetics, and controllability of SARS-CoV-2. MedRxiv, 2020.08.09.20171132. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.08.09.20171132
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www.jahonline.org www.jahonline.org
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Gaiha, S. M., Cheng, J., & Halpern-Felsher, B. (2020). Association Between Youth Smoking, Electronic Cigarette Use, and Coronavirus Disease 2019. Journal of Adolescent Health, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jadohealth.2020.07.002
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Sherrard-Smith, E., Hogan, A. B., Hamlet, A., Watson, O. J., Whittaker, C., Winskill, P., Ali, F., Mohammad, A. B., Uhomoibhi, P., Maikore, I., Ogbulafor, N., Nikau, J., Kont, M. D., Challenger, J. D., Verity, R., Lambert, B., Cairns, M., Rao, B., Baguelin, M., … Churcher, T. S. (2020). The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa. Nature Medicine, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Levin, A. T., Cochran, K. B., & Walsh, S. P. (2020). Assessing the Age Specificity of Infection Fatality Rates for COVID-19: Meta-Analysis & Public Policy Implications (Working Paper No. 27597; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27597
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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The New Hazardous Jobs and Worker Reallocation. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved July 27, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13532/
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- Jul 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Ahn, M. H., Shin, Y. W., Kim, J. H., Kim, H. J., Lee, K.-U., & Chung, S. (2020). High Work-related Stress and Anxiety Response to COVID-19 among Healthcare Workers in South Korea: SAVE study [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/9nxth
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Garmendia, A., & Alfonso, S. L. (2020). Popular Reactions To External Threats in Federations. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/qyjtm
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academic.oup.com academic.oup.com
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Lighter, J., Phillips, M., Hochman, S., Sterling, S., Johnson, D., Francois, F., & Stachel, A. (n.d.). Obesity in Patients Younger Than 60 Years Is a Risk Factor for COVID-19 Hospital Admission. Clinical Infectious Diseases. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa415
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Su, Q., Hu, J., Lin, H., Zhang, Z., Zhu, E. C., Zhang, C., Wang, D., Gao, Z., & Cao, B. (2020). Prevalence and risks of severe events for cancer patients with COVID-19 infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis. MedRxiv, 2020.06.23.20136200. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.23.20136200
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- Jun 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Abdelrahman, M. K. (2020, April 14). Personality Traits, Risk Perception and Social Distancing During COVID-19. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/6g7kh
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www.dkv.global www.dkv.global
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COVID-19 Regional Safety Assessment | DKG. (n.d.). DKV. Retrieved June 17, 2020, from https://www.dkv.global/covid-safety-assessment-200-regions
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- May 2020
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www.digital-democracy.org www.digital-democracy.org
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If it’s a live pet, you do a little threat modeling: is the cat cute and cuddly, or will it scratch the kid’s face off?
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Annotators
URL
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wintoncentre.maths.cam.ac.uk wintoncentre.maths.cam.ac.uk
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Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication
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- Apr 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Dai, B., Fu, D., Meng, G., Qi, L., & Liu, X. (2020, April 25). The effects of governmental and individual predictors on COVID-19 protective behaviors in China: a path analysis model. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/hgzj9
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www.cmu.edu www.cmu.edu
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Fischhoff, B., de Bruin, W. B., Güvenç, Ü., Caruso, D., & Brilliant, L. (2006). Analyzing disaster risks and plans: An avian flu example. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 33(1–2), 131–149. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-006-0175-8
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci en Twitter: “https://t.co/DN7ajEZkiJ and Fischhoff, B., Wong-Parodi, G., Garfin, D., Holman, E.A., & Silver, R. (2018). Public understanding of Ebola risks: Mastering an unfamiliar threat. Risk Analysis, 38(1), 71-83. doi: 10.1111/risa.12794 2)” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved April 16, 2020, from https://twitter.com/scibeh/status/1243547189248393218
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www.troyhunt.com www.troyhunt.com
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It might be contrary to traditional thinking, but writing unique passwords down in a book and keeping them inside your physically locked house is a damn sight better than reusing the same one all over the web. Just think about it - you go from your "threat actors" (people wanting to get their hands on your accounts) being anyone with an internet connection and the ability to download a broadly circulating list Collection #1, to people who can break into your house - and they want your TV, not your notebook!
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time.com time.com
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“Even if experts are saying it’s really not going to make a difference, a little [part of] people’s brains is thinking, well, it’s not going to hurt. Maybe it’ll cut my risk just a little bit, so it’s worth it to wear a mask,” she says.
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