for - social tipping point - 2023 paper - paper details

paper details - title: The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority - author - Jordan Everall - Jonathan. F Donges - Ilona. M. Otto - Preprint date - 20 Nov 2023 - Publication - EGUsphere Preprint Repository

summary - This is a recent 2023 paper that summarizes social tipping point research for fields of interest to me, such as climate change. - I'm reading, looking for any real world experimental validation of social tipping point in climate change - I didn't find any but still interesting

from - search - google - research on complex contagion refutes the 25% social tipping point threshold - https://www.google.com/search?q=research+on+complex+contagion+refutes+the+25%25+social+tipping+point+threshold&oq=research+on+complex+contagion+refutes+the+25%25+social+tipping+point+threshold&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOTIGCAEQRRhA0gEJMjAyOTRqMGo3qAIAsAIA&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8 - search results returned of interest - The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to ... - https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-2241/

Read Minority Rules: Scientists Discover Tipping Point for the Spread of Ideas by Gabrielle DeMarco

found via: https://hypothes.is/a/kMVt4rC4Ee6E5bdC29_e_g

Timmy Broderick in Evidence Undermines ‘Rapid Onset Gender Dysphoria’ Claims In Scientific American at 2023-08-24 (accessed:: 2023-08-25 09:26:00)

• for: social tipping point, STP, TPF, social norms, complex contagion, lowering threshold
• policy changes can lower tipping point thresholds

• for: social tipping point, STP, tipping point, social norm, complex contagion
• study findings
  • Two factors can help hasten beneficial change
    • common understanding of the benefits from change due to:
      • events that attract attention
      • opinion polls that aggregate information
      • finding an angle on an issue that appeals to a broad demographics
    • perserverence
      • leaders who persevere even at great cost

• for: social tipping point, STP
• title
  • Creating Change: How to Make Big Things Happen
• guest
  • Damon Centola
• description
  • a very clear exposition of how complex contagion works and what must be done to spread complex behavior change
• comment
  • this is particularly important for rapid whole system change and mobilizing a bottom-up movement to deal with our current polycrisis

• comment
• Derek Black is an example
• of what it takes to undo deeply culturally conditioned misinformation
• these variables have to be present for that to work
  • open mind
  • patience
  • accurate information
  • a caring, patient, informed community
• Derek Black offers a lesson of what is required to depolarize society using social tipping points
• there needs to be scalable education program to reach still open-minded individuals holding opposing views
• to openly and respectfully debate difficult, polarizing issues
• in order to form the wide bridges necessary for social tipping points of complex issues

• 25% social tipping point threshold is adjustable
• depending on the variables of the context
• = question - how do we apply this adjustability for complex contagion such as climate change norms?

• = complex contagion
  • example: climate change norms

How might this leadership happen within the social epidemic view of Malcolm Gladwell's Tipping Point framework?

• the law of the few,
• the stickiness factor, and
• the power of context

and with respect to mavens, connectors, and salespeople?

Wagner, U., & Echterhoff, G. (2021). Socially induced false memories in the absence of misinformation. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/f8eyr

Reframing loss as gain is one strategy worth exploring for behavior change. Also explore social tipping points of complex contagion.

Climate change requires large investment in behavior change. It is a case of complex contagion, not simple contagion. Wide bridges are the key to bringing about social tipping points of complex contagion.

Putting people beyond the pale creates a social contagion of sorts. It would be interesting to look at these cases from the perspective of public health and view these as disease. What information falls out of doing this? How does this model change?

From Applebaum's perspective that these cases may help sow the seeds of authoritarianism, could they be viewed as something like an initial case of untreated syphilis and authoritarianism becomes a version of festered stage three syphilis.

What other things may stem from these effects as second and third order problems from a complexity theory perspective?

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Leah Keating on Twitter: “This work with @DavidJPOS and @gleesonj is now on arXiv (https://t.co/hxjZnCmKcM): ‘A multi-type branching process method for modelling complex contagion on clustered networks’ Here is a quick overview of our paper: (1/6) https://t.co/3jQ2flhk71” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved July 23, 2021, from https://twitter.com/leahakeating/status/1418150117106978816

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Cf ROGD

Bystander intervention could be contagious much like other healthy or unhealthy behavior is; we know obesity is contagious. Bystander intervention could travel as well.