- Mar 2024
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Progress Trap - Ronald Wright - 2004 Massey Lecture Series - A Short History of Progress
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- Jan 2024
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Local file Local file
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Uncontrolledself-replication in these newer technologies runs a much greater risk: arisk of substantial damage in the physical world.
As a case in point, the self-replication of misinformation on social media networks has become a substantial physical risk in the early 21st century causing not only swings in elections, but riots, take overs, swings in the stock market (GameStop short squeeze January 2021), and mob killings. It is incredibly difficult to create risk assessments for these sorts of future harms.
In biology, we see major damage to a wide variety of species as the result of uncontrolled self-replication. We call it cancer.
We also see programmed processes in biological settings including apoptosis and necrosis as means of avoiding major harms. What might these look like with respect to artificial intelligence?
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- Dec 2023
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www.psychologytoday.com www.psychologytoday.com
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Chess titans have anywhere from 20,000 to 100,000 configurations of pieces, or patterns, committed to memory. They are able to quickly pull relevant information from this mammoth database. With a mere glance, a grandmaster can then figure out how the configuration in front of him is likely to play itself out.
is this from Ognjen Amidzic's research on chess and memory?
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
- Oct 2023
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This is great and yes it makes perfect sense, thank you!The comment on reading is super helpful. As I've mentioned on here before I've come ti PhD straight from industry, so learning these skills from scratch. Reading especially is still tricky for me after a year, and I tend to read too deeply, and try to read whole texts, and then over annotate.It's good to be reminded that this isn't how academic reading works.
reply to Admirable_Discount75 at https://www.reddit.com/r/Zettelkasten/comments/17beucn/comment/k5nzic6/?utm_source=reddit&utm_medium=web2x&context=3
If you've not come across it before you'll likely find Adler & Van Doren (1972) for reading a useful place to start, especially their idea of syntopical reading. Umberto Eco (2015) is also a good supplement to a lot of the internet-based and Ahrensian ZK material. After those try Mills.
Adler, Mortimer J., and Charles Van Doren. How to Read a Book: The Classical Guide to Intelligent Reading. Revised and Updated ed. edition. 1940. Reprint, Touchstone, 2011. https://amzn.to/45IjBcV. (audiobook available; or a video synopsis: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y_rizr8bb0c)
Eco, Umberto. How to Write a Thesis. Translated by Caterina Mongiat Farina and Geoff Farina. 1977. Reprint, Cambridge, MA, USA: MIT Press, 2015. https://mitpress.mit.edu/books/how-write-thesis.
Mills, C. Wright. “On Intellectual Craftsmanship (1952).” Society 17, no. 2 (January 1, 1980): 63–70. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02700062.
Should it help, I often find that audiobook versions of books or coursework sources like The Great Courses (often free at local libraries, through Hoopla, or other sources), or the highest quality material from YouTube/podcasts listened to at 1.5 - 2x speed while you're walking/commuting can give you quick overviews and/or inspectional reads at a relatively low time cost. Short reminder notes/keywords (to search) while listening can then allow you to do fast searches of the actual texts and/or course guidebooks for excerpting and note making afterwards. Highly selective use of the audiobook bookmarking features let you relisten to short portions as necessary.
As an example, one could do a quick crash course/overview of something like Marx and Communism over a week by quickly listening to all or parts of:
- https://www.thegreatcourses.com/courses/the-rise-of-communism-from-marx-to-lenin
- https://www.thegreatcourses.com/courses/communism-in-power-from-stalin-to-mao
- https://www.thegreatcourses.com/courses/legacies-of-great-economists
- https://www.thegreatcourses.com/courses/modern-intellectual-tradition-from-descartes-to-derrida
These in combination with sources like Oxford's: Very Short Introduction series book on Marx (which usually have good bibliographies) would allow you to quickly expand into more specialized "handbooks" (Oxford, Cambridge, Routledge, Sage) on the subject of Marx and from there into even more technical literature and journal articles. Obviously the deeper you go, the slower things may become depending on the depth you're looking to go.
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- Aug 2023
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drive.google.com drive.google.com
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highlights the dire financial circumstances of the poorest individuals, who resort to high-interest loans as a survival strategy. This phenomenon reflects the interplay between human decision-making and development policy. The decision to take such loans, driven by immediate needs, illustrates how cognitive biases and limited options impact choices. From a policy perspective, addressing this issue requires understanding these behavioral nuances and crafting interventions that provide sustainable alternatives, fostering financial inclusion and breaking the cycle of high-interest debt.
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- Jul 2023
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www.newyorker.com www.newyorker.com
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“Hemingway read Garnett’s Dostoyevsky and he said it influenced him,” he continued. “But Hemingway was just as influenced by Constance Garnett as he was by Fyodor Dostoyevsky. Garnett breaks things into simple sentences, she Hemingwayizes Dostoyevsky, if you see what I mean.”
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- Jun 2023
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geniuslink.com geniuslink.com
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First saw via Ryan Holiday.
Also saw a live example on 2023-06-16 at https://personalknowledgegraphs.com/#/page/pkg for an affiliate link for a book.
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h.readthedocs.io h.readthedocs.io
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I always like to point to a text that changed my thinking about this question, and that’s Kathleen Yancey’s “Writing in the 21st Century.” It basically states that students are writing more than ever before. If you were to challenge a group of students (which I have) to document how many text messages, TikTok, IG posts, Facebook posts, tweets, emails they send out in a day, the sheer volume of writing is staggering. Why we don’t value that writing in academia is the question for me.
interesting point! some other things in my head:
1) in addition to our increased writing endeavors, we've also been engaging in extensive reading as well, but our reading material has evolved beyond books, encompassing the plethora of content available in the vast expanse of cyberspace
2) and while the quantity of reading has expanded significantly, it is equally intriguing to recognize that the nature of these texts has shifted towards shorter formats—tweets, ig post captions, microblogs, etc
3) AND lastly, the act of reading has swiftly evolved into the realm of listening, with the emergence of podcasts, audiobooks, listenable videos, and similar forms of content consumption
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- Apr 2023
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www.schoolofmotion.com www.schoolofmotion.com
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(6-10+ minutes) engaging videos that appear to do well on YouTube
This number(6-10minutes) is appealing to most viewers as it is concise and delivers a information in short bursts. It is ideal for quick tutorials, news and entertainment.
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beiner.substack.com beiner.substack.com
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You own a fish farm
- A good story
- about how myopic, self-interested short-termism behavior
- can lead to temporary success
- and long term failure
- A good story
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- Mar 2023
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docdrop.org docdrop.org
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- Ronald Wright gives his famous Massey talk on = progress traps
- The book
- A Short History of Progress
- is based on a series of 5 talks he gave at the Massey Lectures
- All five talks are recorded here
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- Feb 2023
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delawareo.com delawareo.com
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improper handline of a firearm in a motor vehicle
Should be "improper handling of a firearm in a motor vehicle".
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wordcraft-writers-workshop.appspot.com wordcraft-writers-workshop.appspot.com
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Sloan, Robin. “Author’s Note.” Experimental fiction. Wordcraft Writers Workshop, November 2022. https://wordcraft-writers-workshop.appspot.com/stories/robin-sloan.
brilliant!
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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mnscu-my.sharepoint.com mnscu-my.sharepoint.com
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Wolff, Tobias. “Bullet in the Brain.” The New Yorker, September 17, 1995. https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/1995/09/25/bullet-in-the-brain.
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www.robinsloan.com www.robinsloan.com
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But a good short story is always basically a memento mori.
An interesting theory...
An Occurrence at Owl Creek Bridge by Ambrose Bierce comes to mind as an excellent example.
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- Oct 2022
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dictionary.apa.org dictionary.apa.org
- Sep 2022
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dictionary.apa.org dictionary.apa.org
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maintenance rehearsal repeating items over and over to maintain them in short-term memory, as in repeating a telephone number until it has been dialed (see rehearsal). According to the levels-of-processing model of memory, maintenance rehearsal does not effectively promote long-term retention because it involves little elaboration of the information to be remembered. Also called rote rehearsal. See also phonological loop.
The practice of repeating items as a means of attempting to place them into short-term memory is called maintenance rehearsal. Examples of this practice include repeating a new acquaintance's name or perhaps their phone number multiple times as a means of helping to remember it either for the short term or potentially the long term.
Research on the levels-of processing model of memory indicates that maintenance rehearsal is not as effective at promoting long term memory as methods like elaborative rehearsal.
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- Aug 2022
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Kozlov, M. (2022). Why scientists are racing to develop more COVID antivirals. Nature, 601(7894), 496–496. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-00112-8
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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If I'm not mistaken, this is the original song which C.J. Craig sings a portion of in the Red Haven's on Fire episode of The West Wing. https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0745672
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o49C8jQIsvs
Video about the Double-Bubble Map: https://youtu.be/Hm4En13TDjs
The double-bubble map is a tool for thought for comparing and contrasting ideas. Albert Rosenberg indicates that construction of opposites is one of the most reliable ways for generating ideas. (35:50)
Bluma Zeigarnik - open tasks tend to occupy short-term memory.
I love his compounding interest graphic with the steps moving up to the right with the quote: "Even groundbreaking paradigm shifts are most often the consequence of many small moves in the right direction instead of one big idea." This could be an awesome t-shirt or motivational poster.
Watched this up to about 36 minutes on 2022-08-10 and finished on 2022-08-22.
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- Jul 2022
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Ronald Wright: Can We Still Dodge the Progress Trap? Author of 2004’s ‘A Short History of Progress’ issues a progress report.
Title: Ronald Wright: Can We Still Dodge the Progress Trap? Author of 2004’s ‘A Short History of Progress’ issues a progress report.
Ronald Wright is the author of the 2004 "A Short History of Progress" and popularized the term "Progress Trap" in the Martin Scroses 2011 documentary based on Wright's book, called "Surviving Progress". Earlier Reesarcher's such as Dan O'Leary investigated this idea in earlier works such as "Escaping the Progress Trap http://www.progresstrap.org/content/escaping-progress-trap-book
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- Jun 2022
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given the impacts that humans are having on the planet our flourishing can no longer be limited just by what we do in 00:07:16 our lifetimes nor our development opportunities of the current and future generations dependent only on the productive capacity that we leave as legacy but it depends on is also on the health 00:07:27 of the underlying natural systems and resources that support our well-being
Long term thinking needs to replace short term thinking. How will we do that when political leaders are continuously influenced by industry lobbies from the monied entrenched incumbents whose deep pockets buy political influence and therefore influence policy direction?
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- Apr 2022
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Natalie E. Dean, PhD. (2021, May 4). The imminent FDA authorization of a vaccine for 12-15 year olds is great news, and adolescents should be able to access vaccine. But in the short term, we must also grapple with the ethics of vaccinating adolescents ahead of high-risk adults in other countries. [Tweet]. @nataliexdean. https://twitter.com/nataliexdean/status/1389381649314598914
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gobookmart.com gobookmart.com
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The easiest and simplest way to get out of a reading slump or to get into reading in the first place is to begin small. Novellas offer (almost) the sumptuousness and holisticness of novels. But they also don’t strain the mind too much because they are quick reads. Here are 10 short and easy to read books that will help beginners start reading. This list of novellas and short novels that are easy to slip into, not just because of their length but also because of the style of writing itself.
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- Mar 2022
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Halilova, J. G., Fynes-Clinton, S., Green, L., Myerson, J., Wu, J., Ruggeri, K., … Rosenbaum, R. (2022, January 28). Short-sighted decision-making by those not vaccinated against COVID-19. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/6uqky
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- Feb 2022
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Local file Local file
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Zeigarnik effect: Open tasks tend to occupy our short-term memory –until they are done. That is why we get so easily distracted bythoughts of unfinished tasks, regardless of their importance. Butthanks to Zeigarnik’s follow-up research, we also know that we don’tactually have to finish tasks to convince our brains to stop thinkingabout them. All we have to do is to write them down in a way thatconvinces us that it will be taken care of.
The Zeigarnik effect is the idea that open or pending tasks tend to occupy our short-term memory until they are done or our brain is otherwise convinced that they're "finished". This is why note taking can be valuable. By writing down small things, we can free up our short-term or working memories to focus or work on other potentially more important tasks. It is named for Soviet psychologist Bluma Zeigarnik.
The Zeigarnik effect is some of the value behind David Allen's "Getting Things Done" system. Writing down to do lists tricks our mind into freeing up space from things we need to take care of. If they're really important, we've got a list and can then take care of them. Meanwhile our working memories are freed up for other tasks.
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- Jan 2022
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english.elpais.com english.elpais.com
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The letters of “aeros” include the five most frequent letters used in English (as Edgar Allan Poe pointed out in the cryptographic challenge included in his famous short story The Golden Beetle)
"Orate" and "aeros" are respectively the best words to start with when playing Wordle.
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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software design on the scale of decades: every detail is intended to promote software longevity and independent evolution. Many of the constraints are directly opposed to short-term efficiency. Unfortunately, people are fairly good at short-term design, and usually awful at long-term design
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Banerjee, A. (2022, January 12). I’m leading a long Covid trial – it’s clear Britain has underestimated its impact. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/jan/12/long-covid-trial-britain-short-term-virus
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Geddes, L., & correspondent, L. G. S. (2022, January 11). Covid loses 90% of ability to infect within five minutes in air – study. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/11/covid-loses-90-of-ability-to-infect-within-five-minutes-in-air-study
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- Nov 2021
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bbhosted.cuny.edu bbhosted.cuny.edu
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They say that hell hath no fury like a woman scorned, and I can only imagine the conversation between Eve and Skywoman: “Sister, you got the short end of the stick . . .”
It's a bit funny and ironic to think that the communal/peaceful Skywoman would use such a Western-centric phrase like "short end of the stick", which as I understand it has an economic underpinning of a receipt by which the debtor and the lender used marked sticks that were broken apart with one somewhat shorter than the other. When put back together the marks on the stick matched each other, but the debtor got the shorter end. (Reference: Behavioral Economics When Psychology and Economics Collide by Scott A. Huettel; what was his source?)
Compare with etymologies expanded upon here:
The Long Story of The Short End of the Stick by Charles Clay Doyle. American Speech, Vol. 69, No. 1 (Spring, 1994), pp. 96-101 (6 pages), Duke University Press. https://doi.org/10.2307/455954
Which doesn't include the economic reference at all.
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Local file Local file
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er the years, writers (and speakers) have experimented with numer- ous images in expressions with the same general structure and probable meaning as worse end of the staff and short end of the stick
Not mentioned here is the idea of the "fuzzy end of the lollipop" as heard (twice?) by the character Sugar Kane Kowalczyk played by Marylin Monroe in Some Like it Hot (United Artists, 1959).
It's the story of my life: I always get the fuzzy end of the lollipop."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=chJbqwCTURI
The urban dictionary has an unsourced reference for Abraham Lincoln as the source, but I'm loathe to believe it without more direct sourcing.
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drive.google.com drive.google.com
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, or ‘that is tragic’, nor are we certain, since short stories, we have been taught, should be brief and conclusive, whether this, which is vague and inconclusive, should be called a short story at all.
Looks at Russian example of MODERNIST short story and likes that its
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onlinelibrary.wiley.com onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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Li, Y., Cheng, P., & Jia, W. (n.d.). Poor ventilation worsens short-range airborne transmission of respiratory infection. Indoor Air, n/a(n/a). https://doi.org/10.1111/ina.12946
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twitter.com twitter.com
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𝚃𝚘𝚖 𝙻𝚊𝚠𝚝𝚘𝚗 💙. (2021, October 30). From the paper—Ventilation makes a big difference further away, but below 1-1.5m then you’d have to be in a gale to be safe! ✅DISTANCE if you can ✅VENTILATE - works even within 2m, but sadly not so much within 1-1.5m ✅PPE if you have to get close #COVIDisAirborne https://t.co/wYuWdG47He [Tweet]. @LawtonTri. https://twitter.com/LawtonTri/status/1454355692593328132
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- Oct 2021
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jamanetwork.com jamanetwork.com
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Groff, D., Sun, A., Ssentongo, A. E., Ba, D. M., Parsons, N., Poudel, G. R., Lekoubou, A., Oh, J. S., Ericson, J. E., Ssentongo, P., & Chinchilli, V. M. (2021). Short-term and Long-term Rates of Postacute Sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Systematic Review. JAMA Network Open, 4(10), e2128568. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.28568
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- Jun 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci. (2021, June 7). RT @JamesWard73: Thanks to the person who pointed me towards this report: Https://t.co/XZZ7JsdA8t (you know who you are!)—Lots of interes… [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1402050855449202696
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- May 2021
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journals.plos.org journals.plos.org
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After 10 minutes, the word lists were collected and students were asked to write down as many of the list items as they could recall within five minutes.
Were students asked or told if they'd be tested with this on long-term memory?
Personally, I'd have used a simple major system method to memorize such a list for short term memory, but would have used other techniques for long term memory.
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- Apr 2021
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trailblazer.to trailblazer.to
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A falsey return value from #validate will deviate the flow and go straight to End.fail_fast.
Similar to: How, in Rails, aborting a before_action causes all later ones to be skipped.
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- Mar 2021
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science.sciencemag.org science.sciencemag.org
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Dehning, J., Zierenberg, J., Spitzner, F. P., Wibral, M., Neto, J. P., Wilczek, M., & Priesemann, V. (2020). Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb9789
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- Feb 2021
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www.nejm.org www.nejm.org
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Placebo-Controlled Trials of Covid-19 Vaccines—Why We Still Need Them. (2021). New England Journal of Medicine, 384(2), e2. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMp2033538
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- Nov 2020
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wresch.github.io wresch.github.io
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Important caveat: in the combined expression, if the middle command has a non-zero exit status, then both the middle and the rightmost command end up getting executed.
I don't think that is surprising, is it? Since && and || have the same order of precedence. So I think this is more of a clarification than a caveat.
I think this is just because:
a && b || c is equivalent to: (a && b) || c (so of course c gets evaluated if
(a && b)is false (that if eitheraorbis false).I think they just mean, in this case:
bedmap && mv || failif
mvfails, thenfailstill gets executed.Easier to see with a simpler example:
⟫ true && false || echo 'fail' fail ⟫ false && true || echo 'fail' failBetter example/explanation here: https://hyp.is/-foxmCVXEeuhnLM-le_R4w/mywiki.wooledge.org/BashPitfalls
The caveat/mistake here is if you treat it / think that it is equivalent to if a then b else c. That is not the case if b has any chance of failing.
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The potential problem: if second_task fails, third_task will not run, and execution will continue to the next line of code - next_task, in this example. This may be exactly the behavior you want. Alternatively, you may be intending that if second_task fails, the script should immediately exit with its error code. In this case, the best choice is to use a block - i.e., curly braces: first_task && { second_task third_task } next_task Because we are using the -e option, if second_task fails, the script immediately exits.
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When people write COND && COMMAND, typically they mean "if COND succeeds (or is boolean true), then execute COMMAND. Regardless, proceed to the next line of the script." It's a very convenient shorthand for a full "if/then/fi" clause.
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- Sep 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Sueki, H., & Ueda, M. (2020). Short-term effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on suicidal ideation: A prospective cohort study. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/3jevh
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Postdocs in crisis: Science cannot risk losing the next generation. (2020). Nature, 585(7824), 160–160. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02541-9
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www.tandfonline.com www.tandfonline.com
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Beest, I. van. (2020). Editorial. Social Influence, 0(0), 1–3. https://doi.org/10.1080/15534510.2020.1783758
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- Aug 2020
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Jarynowski, A., & Płatek, D. (2020). Could Ramadan catalyze or inhibit SARS-CoV-2 spread? Preliminary results [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/725dv
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Barro, Robert J, José F Ursúa, and Joanna Weng. ‘The Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the “Spanish Flu” for the Coronavirus’s Potential Effects on Mortality and Economic Activity’. Working Paper. Working Paper Series. National Bureau of Economic Research, March 2020. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26866.
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Zhou, Dong, and Amir Bashan. ‘Dependency-Based Targeted Attacks in Interdependent Networks’. Physical Review E 102, no. 2 (3 August 2020): 022301. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.102.022301.
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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The Short-Term Economic Consequences of COVID-19: Exposure to Disease, Remote Work and Government Response. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved August 8, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13159/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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The Short-Term Economic Consequences of COVID-19: Occupation Tasks and Mental Health in Canada. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved August 5, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13254/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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Reacting Quickly and Protecting Jobs: The Short-Term Impacts of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Greek Labor Market. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved July 27, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13516/
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- Jul 2020
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www.cnn.com www.cnn.com
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CNN, B. Helen R., Steve George, Meg Wagner, Melissa Macaya, Mike Hayes and Veronica Rocha. (n.d.). July 13 coronavirus news. CNN. Retrieved July 25, 2020, from https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/coronavirus-pandemic-07-13-20-intl/index.html
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osf.io osf.io
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Payne, J. L., Morgan, A., & Piquero, A. R. (2020). COVID-19 and Social Distancing Measures in Queensland Australia Are Associated with Short-Term Decreases in Recorded Violent Crime [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/z4m8t
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- Jun 2020
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www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
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Edridge, A. W., Kaczorowska, J. M., Hoste, A. C., Bakker, M., Klein, M., Jebbink, M. F., Matser, A., Kinsella, C., Rueda, P., Prins, M., Sastre, P., Deijs, M., & Hoek, L. van der. (2020). Coronavirus protective immunity is short-lasting. MedRxiv, 2020.05.11.20086439. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.11.20086439
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www.economist.com www.economist.com
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The sharing economy will have to change. (n.d.). The Economist. Retrieved June 8, 2020, from https://www.economist.com/business/2020/06/04/the-sharing-economy-will-have-to-change
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- May 2020
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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For instance, cor does not distribute over cand: compare (A cand B) cor C with (A cor C) cand (B cor C); in the case ¬A ∧ C , the second expression requires B to be defined, the first one does not
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- Apr 2020
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Nordmann, E., Horlin, C., Hutchison, J., Murray, J., Robson, L., Seery, M., & MacKay, J. R. D., Dr. (2020, April 27). 10 simple rules for supporting a temporary online pivot in higher education. Retrieved from psyarxiv.com/qdh25
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- Mar 2020
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www.theverge.com www.theverge.com
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Pocket Casts is instead committed to podcasting’s open ecosystem of freely available RSS feeds, CEO Owen Grover says.
I wish their app allowed one to actually use the podcast's native URL(s) when sharing instead of providing a pca.st shortened URL.
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- Feb 2020
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www.themarshallproject.org www.themarshallproject.org
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One 15-year-old from Albuquerque said she missed her mother, who was intermittently homeless and mentally unstable, when she stayed in short-term foster homes. But she also felt better taken care of in foster care, and believed she would have more success in school and more opportunities in life if she stayed. Generally, being a short-stayer was like “being luggage, kind of—just tossing me around,” she said.
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- Mar 2015
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www.danshort.com www.danshort.com
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Daniel M. Short
The author
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