文章标题使用了'new'这个词，暗示RSI是一个新兴概念，但缺乏历史背景来支持这一说法。这可能导致读者对RSI的发展历程产生误解。文章应该提供RSI概念的历史发展信息，而不是简单地将其标记为'新'概念。

文章暗示递归自我改进的目标难以实现，但没有解释为什么它比其他AI目标更难实现。这是一个隐藏的前提假设，需要更多背景信息来支持。文章应该明确说明RSI面临的特定挑战，而不是笼统地说它'难以捉摸'。

文章标题暗示RSI与AGI具有相同的困难程度，但这是一个未经证比的断言。文章需要提供证据来证明RSI与AGI具有同等的技术挑战，而不是简单地假设它们难度相当。这种类比可能导致读者对两个领域的理解产生误导。

文章暗示AI实验室专注于递归自我改进，但缺乏具体证据支持这一说法。这是一个未经证实的概括，可能忽略了其他研究方向。文章应该提供具体例子和数据来支持这一论点，而不是做出笼统的断言。

文章标题做出了一个未经证实的断言，将递归自我改进(RSI)与通用人工智能(AGI)等同起来。这种等同缺乏证据支持，混淆了两个不同的概念。RSI是一种技术路径，而AGI是一个更广泛的目标。文章需要提供更多证据来支持这一等同主张，或者更准确地区分这两个概念。

性别差异(男性使用率是女性的两倍)和机构差异(顶尖大学研究人员使用率高40%)表明编码代理的采用存在显著不平等。这些差异不仅反映了技术获取的不平等，还可能反映了学术环境中的结构性不平等，值得进一步研究这些差异背后的原因。

这是一个显著的组织目标与实际能力之间的差距数据。85%的组织表示希望在未来三年内实现代理AI转型，但76%的组织承认现有基础设施不支持这一转变。这表明企业对AI代理技术的期望远超其实际准备程度，可能导致项目失败和投资浪费。此数据来自Celonis调研，可信度较高。

文章在最后提到使用AI工具辅助研究和写作，但未披露AI参与的具体程度和方式。这可能导致读者对文章内容的原创性和可靠性产生疑问。更透明的做法应详细说明AI在哪些具体环节参与、如何验证AI生成内容的准确性，以及人类作者如何审查和修改AI输出。

文章声称通过嵌入安全规则解决了安全问题，但没有提供足够的证据证明这种方法的实际效果或安全性。这是一种未经充分验证的因果关系断言。改进方法应包括具体的测试结果、安全审计数据或第三方验证，以支持这一论断的有效性。

这里存在一个逻辑谬误，即诉诸普遍性谬误(apppeal to popularity)。AI声称'每家公司都这么做'并不能证明这是安全的做法。这混淆了普遍做法与安全实践之间的区别。改进方法应该是提供具体的、基于证据的安全标准，而不是依赖行业普遍行为作为安全依据。

大多数人认为科技行业虽有差距但总体向上，作者认为AI热潮中的结果差距是有史以来最严重的，因为只有极少数人获得巨额财富，而大多数人即使在高薪工作中也难以实现财务自由。

这个数据点显示了Claude模型在软件工程和数学领域的表现差异。2.7分的软件工程优势和1.8分的数学劣势表明Claude确实在软件工程方面表现相对更好，而在数学方面相对较弱。这种差异虽然不算巨大，但方向性明显，与文章标题的论点一致。数据来自多个模型的平均值，具有一定统计意义。

大多数人认为小企业是创新和新技术采用的前沿。但数据显示事实恰恰相反，小企业在AI采用方面落后于大企业，这一反直觉的观察揭示了小企业在技术采用上的结构性障碍，挑战了人们对小企业创新形象的固有认知。

这里存在一个逻辑跳跃，从'大量AI报告'直接跳到'几乎完全不可管理'，没有解释为什么这些报告会导致如此严重的后果。文章没有讨论现有的邮件过滤系统、去重机制或其他可能的解决方案，暗示问题无法被技术手段缓解，这可能是一个未经证实的假设。

这里混淆了相关性与因果性。AI检测的漏洞确实可能不是秘密的，但这并不直接说明在私人列表上处理它们就是浪费时间。因果关系需要更严谨的论证，例如提供数据表明私人列表处理确实导致了更多重复或延误。

这是一个情感化的过度推论，将不采取安全措施的影响描述为'灾难性'，但没有提供具体证据支持这种极端后果。虽然AI代理安全漏洞确实带来风险，但使用这种夸张的语言可能掩盖了风险评估的客观性，导致过度反应或资源分配不当。

文章假设AI代理应该拥有与人类相同的权限水平，但这是一个未经证实的假设。在某些情况下，AI代理可能需要比人类更高的权限才能有效完成任务，尤其是在自动化大规模操作时。这种假设可能忽略了AI代理的特殊性和独特需求。

这是一个过度简化的结论。虽然AI代理确实是攻击表面，但它只是整个安全生态系统的一部分。用户行为、网络配置、身份验证机制等其他因素同样重要。将问题完全归咎于代理本身可能忽视了安全问题的多维度性质。

这是一个未经充分验证的绝对断言。文章虽然描述了六次攻击都针对凭证而非模型，但这可能只是当前观察到的模式，而非普遍规律。攻击者未来可能会转向模型本身，尤其是随着AI模型安全性的提高和凭证保护措施的加强。这种过度概括可能导致对模型安全风险的忽视。

在模型微调任务上，AI系统已能达到人类研究员51%性能的一半，显示出AI在科研任务上的显著进步。

这一论断存在逻辑漏洞，作者声称安全措施越强，技术越有效，但没有解释为什么更多的安全措施会导致更大的漏洞。这可能是混淆相关性与因果性的例子。更严谨的做法是提供具体案例研究或实验数据，展示不同安全级别下该技术的成功率变化，而不是做出未经证实的断言。

文章声称Chrome没有4GB模型文件也能正常运行，但没有提供证据支持这一断言。虽然Chrome可能在某些功能上不依赖该模型，但完全移除可能影响性能或某些功能。需要更详细的分析来说明模型与Chrome核心功能之间的关系，而不是简单地假设它是可选的。

文章引用CCPA作为法律依据，但没有详细解释为什么预安装软件属于CCPA规定的'收集'范畴。CCPA主要关注个人信息的收集，而非软件安装。这种法律解释需要更精确，可能需要区分软件本身与软件可能收集的数据之间的区别，以及CCPA相关条款的具体适用范围。

作者声称法律分析与Anthropic案例相同，但没有明确说明具体哪些法律条款适用于Chrome的情况，特别是考虑到Chrome作为浏览器与桌面应用的区别。过度简化的法律类比可能导致错误的结论。需要更详细地分析Chrome特定情况下的法律适用性，包括用户同意、数据处理和环境影响等方面的差异。

【洞察】120 倍的人机差距意味着：当前 AI 推理能力的提升是「在已知模式上的优化」，而非「真正的归纳推理泛化」。这对所有声称「AI 已接近人类」的产品宣传都是正面挑战——AGI 时间线的预期需要重新校准，而非渐进式调整。

中小企业缺乏AI资源

大多数人认为大企业才能从AI中获益，但作者认为中小企业同样受益，只是缺乏内部资源来构建前沿部署。

大多数人认为已曝光的大型走私案件代表了走私活动的主体，但作者指出这些已知的案件可能只是冰山一角，实际走私规模可能是已知的数倍，这挑战了我们对当前走私情况掌握程度的认知。

大多数人认为AI会使专业知识和技能贬值，但作者认为AI实际上需要更高水平的工程专业知识，因为企业正在建立专门的卓越中心来培养AI技能，这表明AI工具正在提升而非降低工程工作的专业门槛。

大多数人可能认为不同类型的AI模型性能提升速度大致相同，但研究发现推理模型不仅有一次性的性能飞跃，而且提升速度是非推理模型的2-3倍。这一发现颠覆了人们对不同模型类型进步速度的预期。

2-3倍的速度差异是一个非常显著的数字，表明推理模型与非推理模型之间存在明显的性能差距。这个倍数关系暗示了架构变化可能带来的性能飞跃，而非简单的线性改进。这一数据点支持了推理能力可能是AI进步关键驱动力的假设。

文档透露了一个令人不安的事实：普通用户无法控制或审查这些定期更新的系统提示内容。这挑战了AI透明度的常见假设，用户实际上在使用一个不断变化但不可见的指令集，这种'黑盒更新'模式与开源AI理念背道而驰。

大多数人认为AI发展主要由私营部门推动，政府只是事后监管。作者质疑为什么政府没有像应对疫情一样建立AI监测和应对系统，这一观点挑战了当前AI治理模式的主流认知，暗示我们需要更系统化的公共AI管理框架。

这一巨大的认知鸿沟揭示了AI领域中的严重沟通危机。专家和公众对AI影响的看法存在显著分歧，可能导致政策制定过程中的脱节和社会对AI技术的抵制，需要更好的公众参与和透明度。

高管与员工之间52个百分点的信任差距揭示了AI实施中最危险的断层。这种信任鸿沟不仅阻碍了AI工具的有效使用，还可能导致组织内部的严重分裂，最终影响AI投资的回报率。

令人惊讶的是：员工与高管之间在AI信任度上存在惊人的52个百分点差距。这种巨大的信任鸿沟揭示了决策层与执行层对AI技术价值的认知差异，可能导致技术投资与实际需求严重脱节。

检测时间的巨大差异（267天与6分钟）展示了安全检测领域的革命性变化。传统方法依赖已知漏洞数据库，而新型行为分析系统能够在攻击发生时立即检测到异常行为，这种能力差异决定了安全事件的严重程度。

这一统计洞察颠覆了“AI写代码更安全”的迷思。AI代理在优化代码功能性时，往往以牺牲安全性为代价，倾向于选择存在已知漏洞的旧版本依赖。这反映出当前AI模型在训练时对安全维度的忽视，也警示我们在AI辅助开发流程中必须强制引入自动化的安全卡点。

这句话尖锐地指出了当前政策制定中的矛盾：一方面承认AI可能带来的生存风险，另一方面却将其视为普通财产问题。这种不一致性反映了我们对新兴技术威胁的理解与应对措施之间的脱节，暗示需要全新的治理框架。

中美专业服务 Agent 的差距在这里变得具体可见：顶级美国模型 33%，中国最强开源模型（Qwen3.5、DeepSeek、GLM-5）约 14-15%，差距超过 2 倍。更值得注意的是智谱 AI 的 GLM-5 与 DeepSeek V3.2 并列，说明在专业服务 Agent 这个维度，国内头部玩家的能力相当接近。对于智谱的战略意义：这个 2 倍差距是否可以通过领域专精（比如专注于中国本土金融场景）来弥补？

「可测量的能力」与「真正关心的能力」之间的分歧正在扩大——这是整篇文章最深刻的洞见。所有当前 benchmark 都偏向「干净、自包含、可自动评分」的任务，而真实工作是「混乱、跨系统、需人类判断」的。随着 AI 向长任务延伸，这个测量-现实之间的鸿沟不会缩小，只会加速扩大。这意味着未来关于「AI 能否替代某类工作」的争论，将越来越难以用数据解决——因为数据本身无法捕捉真实工作的本质。

「推理行为的鲁棒性尚未被充分探索」——这句话是整个推理模型研究领域的集体盲点声明。过去两年，测试时计算（test-time compute）、长思维链（CoT）、o1/R1 类推理模型吸引了巨大关注，但几乎所有评测都在「孤立问题」环境下进行。在真实 Agent 部署场景中，「能否保持推理深度」这个最基本的可靠性问题，直到这篇论文才开始被系统研究。

「整体评分 vs 算法评分」的性能差距是一个深刻的警示：AI 在「有明确正确答案」的任务上表现远好于「需要人类判断质量」的任务。这意味着所有基于自动化评分的 AI benchmark，都在系统性地高估 AI 在真实工作中的能力。时间地平线数字本身也受制于这个局限——任何「可被算法打分」的任务，都比真实工作「更适合 AI」。

METR 主动承认其人类基准时间可能被高估——因为参与实验的人类和 AI 一样，都是低上下文的「新手」状态，而非熟悉项目的专业人员。这意味着「2 小时时间地平线」所对应的人类能力，更接近一个没有背景知识的外包工人，而非一个有经验的全职工程师。AI 与「有上下文的专业人员」之间的真实差距，比时间地平线数字显示的要大得多。

这个障碍揭示了 DG 方法的核心悖论：DG 方法最受欢迎的特性（允许跨单元界面不连续）恰恰使其无法直接用于相对熵稳定性分析——因为后者需要 Lipschitz 连续的解。SIAC 滤波正是为了「修复」这个不连续性而引入的桥梁，是理论美学与工程现实之间的精巧妥协。

智谱 CEO 唐杰亲口承认差距可能正在扩大——这句话的分量极重。在中国 AI 公司普遍对外宣称「与美国差距不大」的舆论环境下，一位领军者公开说出这句话，是罕见的清醒与坦诚。这与本文的核心论点完全吻合：算力差距在出口管制和国内芯片滞后的双重压力下，短期内很难缩小。对智谱内部的战略制定而言，这句话的代价和勇气都值得深思。

这个数字对国内 AI 从业者而言极为刺耳：Anthropic 一家的算力投入就超过智谱 AI 和 MiniMax 合计的十倍以上，而与 OpenAI 相比差距更大。所谓「中美 AI 竞争激烈」的叙事背后，是一场体量悬殊的不对称战争——不是同一量级的竞争，而是大卫与歌利亚的对决。对智谱这样的公司，这既是警醒，也是生存战略的根本约束。

大多数人认为当前最先进的多模态大模型已经接近或超越人类在复杂任务上的表现。然而，作者的数据表明，即使是最好的模型在复杂现实任务上的表现也远低于预期，准确率从整体56.3%骤降至23.0%。这一发现挑战了AI领域对当前技术能力的乐观评估，揭示了现实世界多模态代理任务的极端复杂性。

考虑到中国AI产业的快速发展和政府对AI的大力投资，大多数人可能认为中国拥有更大比例的全球AI计算能力，但作者认为中国公司仅拥有约5%的全球AI计算能力。这一数字远低于人们的预期，挑战了关于中国AI技术实力的普遍认知。

So the capability reliability gap implies that if you’re willing to accept self driving cars mowing through droves of people until they can reliably not crush people on the street under their wheels, then we’d likely end up with self driving cards pretty quickly, but for the most part we don’t see this as acceptable

Gap is too small

for - adjacency - brain - learned from ancient cells (the body) - ion channels - gap junctions - ancient bacterial biofilms - the brain is built upon these and they are ancient and found in all cells, developed billions of years ago in bacterial biofilms

for - political movements - last gasp - MAGA movement - typo - gap

Der Artikel diskutiert die Notwendigkeit von Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) zur Erreichung der Klimaneutralität. Aktuell werden weltweit etwa 2,2 Gigatonnen CO₂ pro Jahr entnommen, hauptsächlich durch Aufforstung. Neue Technologien wie Direct Air Capture (DAC) sind noch wenig verbreitet, machen nur ein Promille aus. Um die Pariser Klimaziele zu erreichen, müsste die CO₂-Entnahme bis 2050 auf 7 bis 9 Gigatonnen pro Jahr steigen. Deutschland plant, bis 2045 klimaneutral zu werden, und benötigt dafür eine nationale CDR-Strategie. Derzeit kostet die Entnahme einer Tonne CO₂ mit neuen Methoden 100 Mal mehr als die Vermeidung einer Tonne Emissionen. 27 Staaten und die EU haben Vorschläge zur Ausweitung von CDR bis 2050 gemacht. [Zusammenfassung generiert mit Mistral] https://www.zeit.de/wissen/umwelt/2024-06/carbon-dioxide-removal-co2-entnahme-klimaneutralitaet-entwicklung

for - stats - climate crisis - global mean temperature gap in models vs measurement of - 0.2 Deg C - from The Print - YouTube - Low clouds disappearing over earth, rapidly acceleration heating - 2024, Dec

for - stats - 27% of the gap can be reduced by wind and solar deployment and 20% by action on forests, while efficiency, electrification, fuel switching in buildings, transport and industry sectors can also contribute - UN Emissions Gap Report 2024 - Key Messages

for - stats - Current National Declared Commitments (NDCs) only take us to a disastrous 2.6 Deg. C over the course of the century.- UN Emissions Gap Report 2024 - Key Messages

for - stats - GHG emissions grew 1.3 % year-on-year to 57.1 Gton CO2 eq in 2023 - UN Emissions Gap Report 2024 - Key Messages - stats - 7.5% decarbonization rate is now required every year to stay under 1.5 Deg C - UN Emissions Gap Report 2024 - Key Messages

for - stats - 2030 emissions - 42% lower than 2019 to stay within 1.5 Deg C - UN 2024 Emission's Gap Report

Der neueste Emissions Gap Report der Vereinten Nationen kommt zu dem.Ergebnis, dass die Erde auf eine Temperatur-Erhöhung um 3,1° zusteuert. Würden sich alle Staaten an ihre Selbstverpflichtungen halten, käme es zu einem Anstieg um etwas weniger als 3°. Noch immer sei ein Erreichen des 1,5°-Ziels technisch möglich, verlange aber einen entschlossenen Politikwechsel und Leadership https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/oct/24/crunch-time-for-real-un-says-time-for-climate-delays-has-run-out

Bericht: https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2024

Exactly, it is not that dissimilar at the big picture level.

The issue is the scale of our impact. It is like the sorcerer's apprentice. We have summoned powers beyond our control that threaten our very lives and our planet.

aka wisdom gap.

2023 Production Gap Report: Die USA, Russland und Saudi-Arabien planen wie die Mehrheit der 20 am meisten fossile Brennstoffe produzierenden Staaten, 2030 mehr Öl zu fördern als je zuvor. Indien will die Kohleproduktion bis 2030 verdoppeln, Kanada die Öl- und Gasförderung in 25 Jahren um 25% steigern. Brasilien will in 10 Jahren die Ölproduktion um 2/3, die Gasproduktion um 100% steigern. China, Deutschland, Großbritannien und Norwegen wollen die Produktion reduzieren. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/09/climate/coming-soon-more-oil-gas-and-coal.html

Die Pläne der Kohle-, Öl- und gasproduzierenden Staaten zur Ausweitung der Förderung würden 2030 zu 460% mehr Kohle, 83% mehr Gas und 29% mehr Ölproduktion führen, als mit dem Pariser Abkommen vereinbar ist. Der aktuelle Production Gap Report der Vereinten Nationen konzentriert sich auf die 20 stärksten Verschmutzer-Staaten, deren Pläne fast durchgängig in radikalem Widerspruch zum Pariser Abkommen stehen. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/08/insanity-petrostates-planning-huge-expansion-of-fossil-fuels-says-un-report

Report: https://productiongap.org/

• for: hard problem of consciousness - UTok, question - consciosness - UTok mind 1a, Gregg Henrique

• comment

• question - consciousness - UTok mind 1b
  • This is a great diagram and conveys a lot in a succinct manner.
  • However, I have a gut feeling that the Mind 01a is not quite the right representation
  • If language and analysis is in the Mind 3 domain, then it is combined with Mind 1b as neurocognition is itself a mental construction, rather than an object
  • All this addresses that there is a deep entanglement between many scientifically analytically rich "objects" and constructed ideas
    • Scientific objects are spoken about and mixed with non-scientifically-laden objects in the world as if they are one and the same. They are not. Scientifically-laden objects have a huge amount of analytic theory behind them. Without familiarity with that theory, the object loses its validity, especially to the lay person.
    • This could be a possible explanation of why scientists are losing their credibility in modernity and giving rise to alternative facts, misinformation and fake news
      • https://www.pewresearch.org/science/2022/02/15/americans-trust-in-scientists-other-groups-declines/

• for: polycrisis, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Cascade Institute Royal Roads University - Changemakers Speakers Series, etymology - polylcrisis

• Talk: Hope in the Polycrisis

• Speaker: Thomas Homer-Dixon
• Host: Royal Roads University - Changemakers Speakers Series

• Date: 2023

• SUMMARY

  • Thomas Homer-Dixon is a leading complex systems scientist and director of the Cascade Institute, which he co-founded at Royal Roads University in Victoria, B.C., Canada, to study the polycrisis and identify strategic high leverage interventions that could rapidly shift humanity's trajectory in the next few critical years.
  • The talk, entitled "Hope in the polycriisis" chronicles Homer-Dixon's multi-decade journey to understand the convergence of crisis happening in the world today.

  • In a real sense, the evolution of his thinking on these complex problems are reflected in the series of books he has written over the years, culminating in the 2023 book "Commanding Hope", based on a theory of hope:

    • Environment, Scarcity, and Violence (Princeton, 1999). - a book showing how other factors combine with environmental stress to produce violence.
    • “The Ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity?,” which appeared in Population and Development Review in 1995
    • “Resource Scarcity and Innovation: Can Poor Countries Attain Endogenous Growth?" ?” coauthored with Edward Barbier, which appeared in Ambio (1999)
    • The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civilization (2006), examined the threat to global stability of simultaneous and interacting demographic, environmental, economic, and political stresses. This led to examining energy as a major factor in our modern society.
    • "Commanding Hope: The Power we have to Renew a World in Peril"
      • https://commandinghope.com/

  • Homer-Dixon also talks about practical solutions, His team at Casacade Institute is researching a promising technology called ultra-deep geothermal, which could provide unlimted energy at energy densities comprable to fossil fuels.

  • He finishes his talk with his theory of Hope and how a "Robust" hope can be the key to a successful rapid transition.

• etymology - polycrisis

  • https://polycrisis.org/lessons/where-did-the-term-polycrisis-come-from/
  • Complexity theorists Edgar Morin and Anne Brigitte Kern first used the term polycrisis in their 1999 book, Homeland Earth, to argue that the world faces
    • “no single vital problem, but many vital problems, and it is this complex intersolidarity of problems, antagonisms, crises, uncontrolled processes, and the general crisis of the planet that constitutes the number one vital problem" (p. 74).
  • South African sociologist and sustainable transitions theorist Mark Swilling then adopted the term to capture
    • “a nested set of globally interactive socio-economic, ecological and cultural-institutional crises that defy reduction to a single cause” (2013, p. 98).
  • Climate change, rising inequality, and the threat of financial crises interact in complex ways that multiply their overall impact (Swilling 2013, 2019).

• for: adjacency - outdated government institutions - delegitimization - authoritarianism

• adjacency between

  • outdated government institutions
  • delegitimatization
  • authoritarianism
• adjacency statement
  • Since old government institutions are not coping with the challenges of modernity, suffering an ingenuity gap, it's fueling a political crisis enabling the rise of authoritarianism

• for: question - adaptation - answer - adaptation, adaptation - ingenuity, endogenous growth, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Cascade Institute

• question: adaptation

  • why do some societies successfully adapt to environmental stresses while others do not?

• answer: adaptation

  • Ingenuity
    • Researchers within societies that are able to adapt effectively are able to deliver ingenuity at the right time and place to prevent environmental problems from causing severe hardship.

• references

  • The ingenuity Gap: Can Poor Countries Adapt to Resource Scarcity (Homer-Dixon & Barbier,1995)?
    • http://www.homerdixon.com/1995/09/01/the-ingenuity-gap-can-poor-countries-adappt-to-resource-scarcity/
  • Resource Scaricity and Innovation: Can Poor Countries Attain Endogenous Growth (Homer-Dixon & Barbier,1999)?
    • http://www.homerdixon.com/1999/03/01/resource-scarcity-and-innovation-can-poor-countries-attain-endogenous-growth/
  • The Ingenuity Gap (2000)
    • http://www.ingenuitygap.com/
  • The Upside of Down (Homer-Dixon, 2006)
    • https://homerdixon.com/writing/books/the-upside-of-down/

• for: hard problem of consciousness - sensory motor theory, explanatory gap

• for: kariotic flow

• summary

  • While I appreciate the general idea, the explanation in terms of the 6 parts of the kariotic flow wheel is not clear. I found a strong salience mismatch

  • concrete examples would go a long way to bridge the explanatory gap between the salience landscape of the author and that of the reader

• for: explanatory gap

• comment

• insight
  • there is very little research on the role of language in the explanatory gap of the hard problem of consciousness

UN-Generalsekretär Guterres hat die Untätigkeit der politischen Führungen scharf angegriffen. Er spricht davon, dass man die vergifteten Wurzeln der Klimakrise, die fossilen Energien, endlich ausreißen muss. Der Emission Gap Report 2023 zeigt, dass keiner der G20-Staaten eine Dekarbonisierungspolitik betreibt, die mit den Zielen des Pariser Abkommens vereinbar ist. https://www.liberation.fr/environnement/climat/le-monde-va-faire-face-a-un-rechauffement-de-25-c-a-29-c-dici-2100-alerte-lonu-avant-la-cop-28-20231120_QXFYQM3CJNHALBWI4PV5KR4NIY/

Mehr zum Emissions Gap Report 2023: https://hypothes.is/search?q=tag%3A%22Emissions%20Gap%20Report%202023%22

Der Emissions Gap Report 2023 des UN-Umweltprogramms (Titel: Broken Rekord) zeigt, dass sich die Welt nach wie vor auf eine Erhitzung um 2,5-2,9° zubewegt. Die Wahrscheinlichkeit dafür, dass das 1,5°-Ziel noch erreicht wird, liegt bei höchstens 14%. Der Treibhausgasausstoß erreichte einen historischen Rekord; er war 2022 1,2% höher als 2021. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000195965/welt-steuert-auf-drei-grad-erhitzung-zu-methan

Bericht: https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2023

Die Schere zwischen den nötigen Maßnahmen zur Anpassung an die globale Erhitzung und den dafür zur Verfügung gestellten Mitteln geht weiter auf. Der neue Adaptation Gap Report der Vereinten Nationen stellt fest, dass die Kosten für die Anpassung dramatisch steigen. https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000193529/anpassung-an-klimakrise-hat-sich-verlangsamt-statt-an-fahrt-aufzunehmen

Report: https://www.unep.org/resources/adaptation-gap-report-2023

• for: good explanation: empiricism, empiricism - knowledge gap, quote, quote - Dan Robinson, quote - philosophy, quote - empiricism - knowledge gap, Critique of Pure Reason - goal 1 - address empiricism and knowledge gap

• good explanation : empiricism - knowledge gap

• quote

  • on the traditional empiricist account
    • we do not have direct access to the facts of the external world
    • that is we do not experience externality directly but only MEDIATELY, not immediately but MEDIATELY
      • because between us and the external world are those what do you call them oh yes, sense organs
    • and so the question is how faithfully they report what is going on out there
    • To raise the question how faithful is the sensory report of the external world
      • is to assume that you have some reliable non-sensory way of answering that question
    • That's the box you can't get out of and so there is always this gap between
      • reality as it might possibly be known by some non-human creature and
      • reality as empirically sampled by the senses
        • whose limitations and distortions are very well known
          • but not perfectly classified or categorized or or measured

• Comment

  • Robinson contextualizes the empiricist project and gap thereof, as one of the 4 goals of Kant's Critique of Pure Reason.
  • Robinson informally calls this the "Locke" problem, after one of the founders of the Empiricist school, John Locke.
  • Robinson also alludes to a Thomas Reed approach to realism that contends that we don't experience reality MEDIATELY, but IMMEDIATELY, thereby eliminating the gap problem altogether.
  • It's interesting to see how modern biology views the empericist's knowledge gap, especially form the perspective of the Umwelt and Sensory Ecology

• fresh perspective

  • cancer can be interpreted as a breakdown in the bodies multiscale competency architecture causing cancerous cells to lose their higher level synchronizing signals and revert to their more evolutionarily primitive forms as individuals that see the body as simply an external environment

• adjacency between

  • gap junction coupling
  • cancer
  • healthy tissue coherence
  • multiscale competency architecture
• adjacency statement
  • gap junction coupling appears to be an evolutionary means of cohering individuals together to form a larger group
  • hence, they seem to play a critical role in the continued evolution of more complex multicellular organisms
  • their pathologies within multicellular beings destroy multicellular structures and create disease, reverting the organism, or competent multicellular structures of the organism such as tissues and organs back to individualistic behavior, as in cancers

• for: gap junctions, multicellular cohesion, multicellular unity, MET, major evolutionary transition, group to individual, group glue

• comment

  • gap junctions play a critical role in cohering a group of cells together
  • hence they might be considered a kind of "cellular glue" which fosters evolutionary fitness by incentifying individual organisms to beneficially socially interact with other individual organisms

• question

  • do gap junctions play a role in major evolutionary transition (MET)?

• adjacency between

  • gap junction
  • cancer
  • MET
  • individual to group
• adjacency statement
  • gap junctions may play a role in major evolutionary transition, enabling individual cells to unite into a group, leading to the evolution of multicellular organisms. Investigate and do literature review to see if this is the case.

• for: cellular collaboration, gap junction, bioelectrical networks, bioelectric network

• interesting fact: multicellular mechanisms to create coherence in competent constituent subunit cells

• more research
  • very interesting mechanisms that mediate benefits of collective behavior of competent subunits within the biological body.

• for: nonduality, non-duality, duality, dualism, hard problem of consciousness, explanatory gap, relativistic theory of consciousness, human INTERbeing, human INTERbeCOMing, Deep Humanity, DH
• title: A Relativistic Theory of Consciousness
• author: Nir Lahav, Zahariah A. Neemeh

• date: May 12, 2022

• abstract

  • In recent decades, the scientific study of consciousness has significantly increased our understanding of this elusive phenomenon.
  • Yet, despite critical development in our understanding of the functional side of consciousness, we still lack a fundamental theory regarding its phenomenal aspect.
  • There is an “explanatory gap” between
    • our scientific knowledge of functional consciousness and
    • its “subjective,” phenomenal aspects,
  • referred to as the “hard problem” of consciousness.
  • The phenomenal aspect of consciousness is the first-person answer to “what it’s like” question, and
    • it has thus far proved recalcitrant to direct scientific investigation.
  • Naturalistic dualists argue that it is composed of a primitive, private, non-reductive element of reality that is independent from the functional and physical aspects of consciousness.
  • Illusionists, on the other hand, argue that it is merely a cognitive illusion, and that all that exists are ultimately physical, non-phenomenal properties.
  • We contend that both the dualist and illusionist positions are flawed because they tacitly assume consciousness to be an absolute property that doesn’t depend on the observer.
  • We develop a conceptual and a mathematical argument for a relativistic theory of consciousness in which
    • a system either has or doesn’t have phenomenal consciousness with respect to some observer.
  • Phenomenal consciousness is neither private nor delusional, just relativistic.
    • In the frame of reference of the cognitive system, it will be observable (first-person perspective) and
    • in other frame of reference it will not (third-person perspective).
  • These two cognitive frames of reference are both correct,
    • just as in the case of
      • an observer that claims to be at rest
      • while another will claim that the observer has constant velocity.
  • Given that consciousness is a relativistic phenomenon, neither observer position can be privileged,
    • as they both describe the same underlying reality.
  • Based on relativistic phenomena in physics
    • we developed a mathematical formalization for consciousness which bridges the explanatory gap and dissolves the hard problem.
  • Given that the first-person cognitive frame of reference also offers legitimate observations on consciousness,
    • we conclude by arguing that philosophers can usefully contribute to the science of consciousness by collaborating with neuroscientists to explore the neural basis of phenomenal structures.

• comment

  • This is a promising approach to solving the hard problem of consciosness

• Paraphrase
• Claim
  • earth-friendly, justice-supporting consumers cannot translate their values into meaningful impact.
• Evidence
• “the shading and distancing of commerce” Princen (1997) is an effect of information assymetry.
  • producers up and down a supply chain can hide the negative social and environmental impacts of their operations, putting conscientious consumers at a disadvantage. //
• this is a result of the evolution of alienation accelerated by the industrial revolution that created the dualistic abstractions of producers and consumers.
• Before that, producers and consumers lived often one and the same in small village settings
• After the Industrial Revolution, producers became manufacturers with imposing factories that were cutoff from the general population

• This set the conditions for opaqueness that have plagued us ever since. //

• time constraints, competing values, and everyday routines together thwart the rational intentions of well-meaning consumers (Røpke 1999)

• assigning primary responsibility for system change to individual consumers is anathema to transformative change (Maniates 2001, 2019)

• This can be broken down into three broad categories of reasons:

  • Rebound effects
    • https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=jevon%27s+paradox
    • increases in consumption consistently thwart effciency-driven resource savings across a wide variety of sectors (Stern 2020). -sustainability scholars increasingly critique “effciency” both as:
      • a concept (Shove 2018)
      • as a form of“weak sustainable consumption governance” (Fuchs and Lorek 2005).
    • Many argue that, to be successful, effciency measures must be accompanied by initiatives that limit overall levels of consumption, that is, “strong sustainable consumption governance.

  • Attitude-behavior gap

  • Behavior-impact gap

Is Emma flirting or is this a younger sister teasing an older brother?

The age gap and the family relationship both can make this a little icky - though people talk about it less than Marianne and Colonel Brandon in Sense and Sensibility

Johnson, T., Moultrie, T., Gonsalves, G., & Hassan, F. (2021, October 12). An inconvenient truth: The real reason why Africa is not getting vaccinated. Bhekisisa. https://bhekisisa.org/opinion/2021-10-12-an-inconvenient-truth-the-real-reason-why-africa-is-not-getting-vaccinated/

Gye, H. (2021, November 29). All adults to be offered booster jabs after 3 months, and over-12s to get second doses. Inews.Co.Uk. https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/covid-booster-jabs-to-be-offered-all-adults-after-3-months-and-over-12s-second-doses-1325151

Karan, A. (2022). We cannot afford to repeat these four pandemic mistakes. BMJ, 376, o631. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.o631

Michael McCarthy. (2021, August 27). #COVD19 vax rates are still increasing in Australia. The over 70s are approaching 90% with first doses. The red line is the rate for all people >=16. That should reach 60% soon. Https://t.co/NH3Q7jumgT [Tweet]. @mickresearch. https://twitter.com/mickresearch/status/1431185640884826112

Gap analysis in 4 steps Instead of groping around in the dark, a gap analysis of the gap leads us through a detailed investigation of where our organization is currently and where we want to be. This allows us to act on the basis of facts, not on the basis of assumptions.

Refers to pay between workers "in the same roles" but links to an article that uses a gross unadjusted figure. Nothing in the link supports the claim being made, which was hardly surprising considering this claim has been debunked thousands of times over the last few decades.

Scribner, H. (2022, January 29). A new COVID-19 variant surge ‘will happen again,’ experts say. Deseret News. https://www.deseret.com/coronavirus/2022/1/29/22904290/new-covid-19-variant-surge-next-major-coronavirus-mutation

THe author points to a new research gap

research gap

Racine, N., Madigan, S., Cardinal, S., Hartwick, C., Leslie, M., Motz, M., & Pepler, D. (2021). Community-Based Research: Perspectives of Psychology Researchers and Community Partners. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/cxrmt

Nigg, C., Petersen, E., & MacIntyre, T. (2021). Natural Environments, Psychosocial Health, and Health Behaviors during COVID-19 – A Scoping Review. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/a9unf

Team, E. (2019, May 20). Vaccine Champions: Young people demand healthier future. VaccinesToday. https://www.vaccinestoday.eu/stories/vaccine-champions-young-people-demand-healthier-future/

grey

Ranney, O. by M. (n.d.). Opinion: Biden’s six-point Covid plan leaves some holes. CNN. Retrieved 13 September 2021, from https://www.cnn.com/2021/09/10/opinions/holes-in-bidens-six-point-covid-plan-ranney/index.html

Social science literature absent the experience of middle-aged women. Interregate empty next syndrome.

The L&D team can work with the business, managers, employees, SME's to help with a bottom-up training needs analysis, and this can help with a more democratic learning culture.

Hopes UK trial will allay pregnant women’s Covid vaccine concerns. (2021, August 3). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/aug/03/hopes-uk-trial-will-allay-pregnant-womens-covid-vaccine-concerns

Unvaccinated Is Different From Anti-Vax—The Atlantic. (n.d.). Retrieved August 1, 2021, from https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/07/unvaccinated-different-anti-vax/619523/

20 million children miss out on lifesaving measles, diphtheria and tetanus vaccines in 2018. (n.d.). Retrieved June 24, 2021, from https://www.who.int/news/item/15-07-2019-20-million-children-miss-out-on-lifesaving-measles-diphtheria-and-tetanus-vaccines-in-2018

Prof. Gavin Yamey MD MPH on Twitter: “The defining image of our time https://t.co/KynuxjJpTP” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved June 7, 2021, from https://twitter.com/GYamey/status/1400810637509500933

Hammerstein, S., König, C., Dreisoerner, T., & Frey, A. (2021). Effects of COVID-19-Related School Closures on Student Achievement—A Systematic Review [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/mcnvk

Black in D.C. have 8 in 10 coronavirus infections—The Washington Post. (n.d.). Retrieved May 29, 2021, from https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-coronavirus-blacks-vaccine/2021/05/25/1b6208da-bd6d-11eb-9c90-731aff7d9a0d_story.html

Covid-19: We must put in place a financial plan of action for achieving vaccine equity—The BMJ. (n.d.). Retrieved May 20, 2021, from https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/05/19/covid-19-we-must-put-in-place-a-financial-plan-of-action-for-achieving-vaccine-equity/#disqus_thread

Maxmen, A. (2021). Will COVID force public health to confront America’s epic inequality?. Nature, 592(7856), 674-680.

Alon, T., Doepke, M., Olmstead-Rumsey, J., & Tertilt, M. (2020). This Time It’s Different: The Role of Women’s Employment in a Pandemic Recession. IZA Discussion Paper, 13562.