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  1. Apr 2020
    1. Abdulla, A., Wang, B., Qian, F., Kee, T., Blasiak, A., Ong, Y. H., Hooi, L., Parekh, F., Soriano, R., Olinger, G. G., Keppo, J., Hardesty, C. L., Chow, E. K., Ho, D., & Ding, X. (n.d.). Project IDentif.AI: Harnessing Artificial Intelligence to Rapidly Optimize Combination Therapy Development for Infectious Disease Intervention. Advanced Therapeutics, n/a(n/a), 2000034. https://doi.org/10.1002/adtp.202000034

    1. Peto, J., Alwan, N. A., Godfrey, K. M., Burgess, R. A., Hunter, D. J., Riboli, E., Romer, P., Buchan, I., Colbourn, T., Costelloe, C., Smith, G. D., Elliott, P., Ezzati, M., Gilbert, R., Gilthorpe, M. S., Foy, R., Houlston, R., Inskip, H., Lawlor, D. A., … Yao, G. L. (2020). Universal weekly testing as the UK COVID-19 lockdown exit strategy. The Lancet, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30936-3

    1. Sure. So I do want to start by just reminding listeners that talking about trauma, learning about trauma, can bring up some feelings, which is a very normal reaction to that. So I just want to remind people, if you notice that, that it’s okay to take a rain check on listening and engaging in this conversation. I also do recommend that even if you feel okay to engage with a discussion about trauma that it’s recommended that you do so in small doses, especially during these very challenging times.

      This is a lovely way to introduce this topic.

    1. Spontaneity is the big thing you'll miss

      Forget the calendar invite. Just jump into a conversation. That’s the idea powering a fresh batch of social startups poised to take advantage of our cleared schedules amidst quarantine. But they could also change the way we work and socialize long after COVID-19 by bringing the free-flowing, ad-hoc communication of parties and open office plans online. While “Live” has become synonymous with performative streaming, these new apps instead spread the limelight across several users as well as the task, game, or discussion at hand.

    1. Based on all of these approaches, it seems like a reasonable lower bound is that cases are at least 10x underreported, likely more than 20x underreported (according to several researchers), and potentially as much as 100x underreported.It seems reasonable, then, to assume that it’s not 1 out of every 10 people with COVID-19 who will need hospitalization -but rather 1 out of every 100 -500.Similarly, rather than 1 -4%, it seems likely that true CFR for COVID-19 will be well under half a percent, and potentially well under 0.1%for most of the population.
  2. onlinelibrary.wiley.com onlinelibrary.wiley.com
    1. ompared with patients without cardiac injury, patients with cardiac injury presented with more severe acute illness, manifested by abnormal laboratory and radiographic findings, such as higher levels of C-reactive protein, NT-proBNP, and creatinine levels; more multiple mottling and ground-glass opacity; and a greater proportion requiring noninvasive or invasive ventilation.
    2. After adjusting for age, preexisting cardiovascular diseases (hypertension, coronary heart disease, and chronic heart failure), cerebrovascular diseases, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, renal failure, cancer, ARDS, creatinine levels greater than 133 μmol/L, and NT-proBNP levels greater than 900 pg/mL, the multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression model showed a significantly higher risk of death in patients with cardiac injury than in those without cardiac injury, either during time from symptom onset (hazard ratio [HR], 4.26 [95% CI, 1.92-9.49]) or time from admission to study end point (HR, 3.41 [95% CI, 1.62-7.16]) (Table 3).
    3. Of patients with cardiac injury, only 22 (26.8%) underwent examination of electrocardiogram (ECG) after admission, and 14 of 22 ECGs (63.6%) were performed during the periods of elevation of cardiac biomarkers. All 14 ECGs were abnormal, with findings compatible with myocardial ischemia, such T-wave depression and inversion, ST-segment depression, and Q waves. The ECG changes in 3 patients with representative cardiac injury are shown in eFigure 2 in the
    4. The laboratory and radiologic findings are shown in Table 1. In the overall study population of 416 patients, median (IQR) levels of C-reactive protein (4.5 [1.4-8.5] mg/dL; to convert to milligrams per liter, multiply by 10) and procalcitonin (0.07 [0.04-0.15] ng/L) were elevated, while the median values of other laboratory indicators were within the normal range, such as counts of leukocytes, lymphocytes, platelets, erythrocytes; hemoglobin level; cardiac indicators
    5. In the present study, we also found that markers of inflammatory response, such as C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, and leukocytes, were significantly increased among patients who suffered from cardiac injury. The activation or enhanced release of these inflammatory cytokines can lead to apoptosis or necrosis of myocardial cells.
    6. In terms of laboratory findings, patients with cardiac injury compared with patients without cardiac injury showed higher median leukocyte count (median [IQR], 9400 [6900-13 800] cells/μL vs 5500 [4200-7400] cells/μL), and levels of C-reactive protein (median [IQR], 10.2 [6.4-17.0] mg/dL vs 3.7 [1.0-7.3] mg/dL), procalcitonin (median [IQR], 0.27 [0.10-1.22] ng/mL vs 0.06 [0.03-0.10] ng/mL), CK-MB (median [IQR], 3.2 [1.8-6.2] ng/mL vs 0.9 [0.6-1.3] ng/mL), myohemoglobin (median [IQR], 128 [68-305] μg/L vs 39 [27-65] μg/L), hs-TNI (median [IQR], 0.19 [0.08-1.12] μg/L vs <0.006 [<0.006-0.009] μg/L), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (median [IQR], 1689 [698-3327] pg/mL vs 139 [51-335] pg/mL),
    1. 100 nM MLN-4760did not interfere with immunoprecipitation of ACE2 by S1-Ig,nor did this inhibitor interfere with S-protein-mediated infec-tion (Figure 4B and C)

      hACE2 inhibitorm MLN-4760, does not interfere with immunoprecipitation of ACE2 by S1-Ig, nor did this inhibitor interfere with S-protein-mediated infection. So ACE2 inhibtor should not be a good way to interfere SARS infection

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    1. There were numerous differences in laboratory findings between patients admitted to the ICU and those not admitted to the ICU (Table 2), including higher white blood cell and neutrophil counts, as well as higher levels of D-dimer, creatine kinase, and creatine.
    2. Heart rate, respiratory rate, and mean arterial pressure did not differ between patients who received ICU care and patients who did not receive ICU care. These measures were recorded on day of hospital admission for all patients, then divided into those who were later admitted to the ICU or not.
    1. Plasma TnT levels demonstrated a high and significantly positive linear correlation with plasma high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels (β = 0.530, P < .001) and N-terminal pro–brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels (β = 0.613, P < .001). Plasma TnT and NT-proBNP levels during hospitalization (median [interquartile range (IQR)], 0.307 [0.094-0.600]; 1902.00 [728.35-8100.00]) and impending death (median [IQR], 0.141 [0.058-0.860]; 5375 [1179.50-25695.25]) increased significantly compared with admission values (median [IQR], 0.0355 [0.015-0.102]; 796.90 [401.93-1742.25]) in patients who died (P = .001; P < .001), while no significant dynamic changes of TnT (median [IQR], 0.010 [0.007-0.019]; 0.013 [0.007-0.022]; 0.011 [0.007-0.016]) and NT-proBNP (median [IQR], 352.20 [174.70-636.70]; 433.80 [155.80-1272.60]; 145.40 [63.4-526.50]) was observed in survivors
  3. www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
    1. No study has described the incidence of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction in COVID-19, but it appears to be low. Similarly, the incidence of left ventricular systolic dysfunction, acute left ventricular failure and cardiogenic shock have also not been described.
    1. We describe the first case of acute cardiac injury directly linked to myocardial localization of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS‐CoV‐2) in a 69‐year‐old patient with flu‐like symptoms rapidly degenerating into respiratory distress, hypotension, and cardiogenic shock.
    2. An intra‐aortic balloon pump (IABP) was placed on top of adrenaline (0.07 μg/kg/min), and noradrenaline (0.1 μg/kg/min) was added for worsening hypotension (systolic blood pressure: 80/67/60 mmHg).
    3. The first echocardiography showed a dilated left ventricle [left ventricular (LV) end‐diastolic diameter 56 mm], severe and diffuse LV hypokinesia (LV ejection fraction 34%). Three hours later, LV ejection fraction dropped to 25% and estimated cardiac index was 1.4 L/min/m2. Coronary angiography findings were unremarkable.
    4. Vice versa, we did not observe viral particles in cardiac myocytes and, therefore, we cannot infer on viral cardiotropism. Cardiac myocytes showed non‐specific damage that was mainly characterized by focal myofibrillar lysis. In addition, we did not observe cytopathic endothelia and small intramural vessel inflammation or thrombosis. Other cases are needed to confirm this observation.
    5. Cardiac myocytes showed non‐specific features consisting of focal myofibrillar lysis, and lipid droplets. We did not observe viral particles in myocytes and endothelia. Small intramural vessels were free from vasculitis and thrombosis. EMB did not show significant myocyte hypertrophy or nuclear changes; interstitial fibrosis was minimal, focal, and mainly perivascular
    6. The pathologic study showed low‐grade interstitial and endocardial inflammation (Figure 1A and 1B). Large (>20 μm), vacuolated, CD68‐positive macrophages were seen with immune‐light microscopy (Figure 1C and 1D); they were ultrastructurally characterized by cytopathy, with membrane damage and cytoplasmic vacuoles (Figure 1E). The ultrastructural study demonstrated single or small groups of viral particles with the morphology (dense round viral envelope and electron‐dense spike‐like structures on their surface) and size (variable between 70 and 120 nm) of coronaviruses (Figure 2). COVID‐19 infected Vero cells were used as control. The viral particles were observed in cytopathic, structurally damaged interstitial cells that demonstrated loss of the cytoplasmic membrane integrity (Figure 3)
    1. By the end of Jan 25, 31 (31%) patients had been discharged and 11 (11%) patients had died; all other patients were still in hospital (table 1). The first two deaths were a 61-year-old man (patient 1) and a 69-year-old man (patient 2). They had no previous chronic underlying disease but had a long history of smoking.
    1. The clinical effects of pneumonia have been linked to increased risk of cardiovascular disease up to 10-year follow-up16 and it is likely that cases infected via respiratory virus outbreaks will experience similar adverse outcomes. Therapeutic use of corticosteroids further augments the possibility of adverse cardiovascular events. However, long-term follow-up data concerning the survivors of respiratory virus epidemics are scarce. Lipid metabolism remained disrupted 12 years after clinical recovery in a metabolomic study amongst 25 SARS survivors,17 whereas cardiac abnormalities observed during hospitalisation in eight patients with H7N9 influenza returned to normal at 1-year follow-up.
    1. EMB (Panel E, day 7) documented diffuse T-lymphocytic inflammatory infiltrates (CD3+ >7/mm2) with huge interstitial oedema and limited foci of necrosis. No replacement fibrosis was detected, suggesting an acute inflammatory process. Molecular analysis showed absence of the SARS-CoV-2 genome within the myocardium. No contraction band necrosis or TTS-associated microvascular abnormalities were observed.
    2. CMR (day 7) showed a recovery of systolic function (from 52% by CTA to 64% by CMR), although with persistence of a mild hypokinesia at basal and mid left ventricular segments; at the same sites, diffuse myocardial oedema, determining wall pseudo-hypertrophy, was observed on short T1 inversion recovery (STIR) sequences (Panel D) and confirmed by T1 and T2 mapping (average native T1 = 1188 ms, normal value <1045; average T2 = 61 ms, normal value <50). Late gadolinium enhancement sequences demonstrated absence of detectable myocardial scar/necrotic foci.
    3. Although the first clinical suspicion was myocarditis, coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) was acquired to rule out coronary artery disease (CAD). Baseline chest scan (Panel B) confirmed bilateral patchy ground-glass opacities; CTA showed no aortic dissection, pulmonary embolism, or epicardial CAD (Panel C). Dynamic 3D volume-rendering reconstruction demonstrated a clear hypokinesia of the left ventricle mid and basal segments, with normal apical contraction, suggesting a reverse Tako-Tsubo syndrome (TTS) pattern
    4. ECG (Panel A) showed low atrial ectopic rhythm, mild ST-segment elevation in leads V1–V2 and aVR, reciprocal ST depression in V4–V6, and QTc 452 ms with diffuse U-waves. The high-sensitivity troponin T curve was 135–107–106 ng/L (normal value <14), NT-proBNP 512 pg/mL (normal value <153), and C-reactive protein 18 mg/L (normal value <6). Transthoracic echocardiogram showed mild left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVEF 43%) with inferolateral wall hypokynesis; neither ventricle was dilated and there was no pericardial effusion.
    1. Itis likely that cardiac troponin measurements wererequested in those who were more unwell or where there wasreasonable suspicion of myocardial ischemia or myocardial dysfunction. Only systematic testing of both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 will provide an accurate estimate of the prevalence of myocardial injuryin this condition.
    2. In a cohort of 191 patients with confirmed COVID-19 based on SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection, the univariable odds ratio for death when hs-cTnI concentrations were above the 99thpercentile upper reference limit was 80.1 (95% confidence interval [CI]10.3 to 620.4, P<0.0001).[4]This was higher than the odds ratios observed for all other biomarkerstested,including D-Dimer and lymphocyte count.
    1. While the spectrum of clinical manifestation is highly related to the inflammation process of the respiratory tract, this case provides evidence of cardiac involvement as a possible late phenomenon of the viral respiratory infection. This process can be subclinical with few interstitial inflammatory cells, as reported by an autopsy study,10 or can present with overt manifestations even without respiratory symptoms, as in the present case.
    2. A 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) showed low voltage in the limb leads, minimal diffuse ST-segment elevation (more prominent in the inferior and lateral leads), and an ST-segment depression with T-wave inversion in lead V1 and aVR
    3. Chest radiography was repeated on day 4 and showed no thoracic abnormalities. Transthoracic echocardiography, performed on day 6, revealed a significant reduction of LV wall thickness (interventricular septum, 11 mm; posterior wall, 10 mm), an improvement of LVEF to 44%, and a slight decrease of pericardial effusion (maximum, 8-9 mm). At the time of submission, the patient was hospitalized with progressive clinical and hemodynamic improvement.
    4. During the first days of her hospitalization, the patient remained hypotensive (systolic blood pressure less than 90 mm Hg) and required inotropic support (dobutamine) in the first 48 hours, during which there was a further increase in levels of NT-proBNP (8465 pg/mL), high-sensitivity troponin T (0.59 ng/mL), and creatine kinase–MB (39.9 ng/mL), with a progressive stabilization and reduction during the following days (Table). Blood pressure progressively stabilized, although systolic pressure remained less than 100 mm Hg, and dobutamine treatment was weaned on day 4.
    5. Transthoracic echocardiography revealed normal left ventricular (LV) dimensions with an increased wall thickness (interventricular septum, 14 mm, posterior wall, 14 mm) and a diffuse echo-bright appearance of the myocardium. There was diffuse hypokinesis, with an estimated LV ejection fraction (LVEF) of 40%. There was no evidence of heart valve disease. Left ventricular diastolic function was mildly impaired with mitral inflow patterns, with an E/A ratio of 0.7 and an average E/e′ ratio of 12. There was a circumferential pericardial effusion that was most notable around the right cardiac chambers (maximum, 11 mm) without signs of tamponade. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) confirmed the increased wall thickness with diffuse biventricular hypokinesis, especially in the apical segments, and severe LV dysfunction (LVEF of 35%) (Video 1 and Video 2). Short tau inversion recovery and T2-mapping sequences showed marked biventricular myocardial interstitial edema. Phase-sensitive inversion recovery sequences showed diffuse late gadolinium enhancement extended to the entire biventricular wall (Figure 2). The myocardial edema and pattern of late gadolinium enhancement fulfilled all the Lake Louise criteria for the diagnosis of acute myocarditis.6 The circumferential pericardial effusion was confirmed, especially around the right cardiac chambers (maximum, 12 mm).
    6. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging showed increased wall thickness with diffuse biventricular hypokinesis, especially in the apical segments, and severe left ventricular dysfunction (left ventricular ejection fraction of 35%). Short tau inversion recovery and T2-mapping sequences showed marked biventricular myocardial interstitial edema, and there was also diffuse late gadolinium enhancement involving the entire biventricular wall. There was a circumferential pericardial effusion that was most notable around the right cardiac chambers. These findings were all consistent with acute myopericarditis.
    1. Third, Huang’s study noted that high concentration of IL-1β, IFN-γ, IP-10 and MCP-1 could be detected in patients infected with 2019-nCoV, which might lead to activated T-helper-1 (Th1) cell responses [4]. Furthermore, they also found that ICU patients had much higher concentrations of inflammatory factors than those non-ICU patients, suggesting that the cytokine storm was associated with disease severity
    2. Second, hypoxaemia may be also an important reason of cardiac injury. In Huang’s study, 32% COVID-19 patients had various degree of hypoxaemia and need required high-flow nasal cannula or higher-level oxygen support. In Chen’s study, up to 76% of patients require oxygen therapy. Due to severe 2019-nCoV infection, the pneumonia may cause significant gas exchange obstruction, leading to hypoxaemia, which significantly reduces the energy supply by cell metabolism, and increases anaerobic fermentation, causing intracellular acidosis and oxygen free radicals to destroy the phospholipid layer of cell membrane. Meanwhile, hypoxia-induced influx of calcium ions also leads to injury and apoptosis of cardiomyocytes.
    1. It is reasonable to expect that severe and critical cases have more severe effects on the cardiovascular system owing to more robust inflammatory response. At this early stage, our knowledge is mainly based on available numerators data, and the exact population-level denominators are not known. Also, it is likely that the asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic cases are missing from most reports, which further skews our understanding of the disease.
    1. COVID‐19 prognosis is related to age and sex. The expression of ACE2 decreases with increasing age. ACE2 expression is higher in young people than in elderly individuals and higher in females than in males.11, 12 This pattern does not match the characteristic of severely ill COVID‐19 patients being mostly elderly males. We believe that whether the level of ACE2 expression is high or low is not a key factor affecting the prognosis of patients with COVID‐19. The relationship between sex and prognosis requires additional data to verify.

      some believe that ACe2 level of expression does not correlate covid-19 prognosis

    1. The mechanism of acute myocardial injury caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection might be related to ACE2. ACE2 is widely expressed not only in the lungs but also in the cardiovascular system and, therefore, ACE2-related signalling pathways might also have a role in heart injury.
    1. being open with people and securing their trust is vitally important. “The key to our success has been absolute transparency with the public – sharing every detail of how this virus is evolving, how it is spreading and what the government is doing about it, warts and all.”
    2. “Testing is absolutely critical with a fast-travelling virus like this,” says Kang. “We have tested over 350,000 cases so far – some patients are tested many times before they are released, so we can say they are fully cured. Altogether, we’re talking about one out of 145 or one out of 150 people having been tested so far.”
    3. “We took an all-government approach. The Prime Minister created a task force of all government ministries and, crucially, all regional and city governments, too – we are a very devolved democracy.” This joined-up strategy, involving the different regional authorities around the country soon paid off. “When one region ran out of hospital beds we asked other provinces to open up beds in their hospitals. When it ran out of doctors we asked doctors in other regions to help,” she continues.
    1. We find Alper et al.'s (2000) concept of "conflict efficacy" useful: it says that conflict should be measured not by its nature or origin, but by its contribution to the perception among group members that conflicts can and are dealt with productively.

      How do we establish hyper local conflict efficacy while engaged in participatory action research?

    2. Ravn (1998) poses the interesting possibility that Thomas' definition of conflict includes in it both productive and unproductive conflict, because productive conflict stops before it gets to the third phase of non-acceptance, instead using the energy of conflict as a positive force.

      Productive conflict surfaces pain points and theories of causality from different stakeholder perspective, but does so without getting the point of non-acceptance.

    3. Skule (1999) describes how an inter-organisational group of workers from five food-and-drink companies were taken through a training program that included "practice in other companies". Says Skule, "Most of the skilled operators described [the experience] in terms like "see things differently", “opened my eyes”, “think more about what I am doing”, “more alert” and “think more about the consequences”. These new perspectives or ways of seeing in turn made operators attend to features in their work situation in a new way. From a former habitual way of working according to minimum standards, many skilled operators developed a more reflectively skilled way of performing their job, within the limits of existing job structures and routines." We believe this kind of benefit may not be as often used as is possible.

      Having teachers participate in laboratory classroom residencies has had this impact, but communicating the importance to experts is a challenge, and the tyranny of experts is to deny the importance of practitioners gaining insight or seeing new possibilities.

    4. The strength of unwritten rules is that they are habitual within the group and thus both adaptive and resilient. Good management practice creates habits rather than rules. Coming

      I like creating and testing protocols with peers to develop productive, generative routines. We set aside protocols when the routine suggests new possibilities, and develop new protocols when the routine fails to be productive or generative.

    5. Inter-organisational networks help organisations sustain productive rule networks

      The development of rule networks is critical right now in education. We've needed to establish rule networks to help practitioners understand the unreliability of standardized test data and develop agentive identities that aren't bound to those data sets. Now, in the absence of standardized tests in the US (they've been cancelled this year), charged with helping students learn while schools are closed, we need to establish rule networks that foster empathy and responsiveness to the needs of the community. At the same time we need rule networks that allow for experimentation and discovery.

    6. In rejecting managerialism, we can equally discover the tyranny of the expert, as in Orwell’s nightmare the animals look through the window of the farm to see the pigs dressed as men.

      The tyranny of the expert seems in part to deny the validity of the experience of the practitioners.

    7. What inter-organisational networks provide is the opportunity for employees to discover this paradox for themselves through learning about the experiences of people at other organisations, and in the process to change how they manage their own constellation of identities in relation to their organisation.

      Practitioners gain valuable perspective when they are engaged with a community of practice. Inter-organizational networks seem vital to the development of meaningful participatory action research.

    8. The most effective systems leave a sufficient level of inefficiency in order that they can be resilient in changing contexts.

      This reminds me of the inefficiency of educational technology staff and professional learning in schools. Trainers and coaches can be seen as inefficient because change is slow and implementation of digital tools is uneven and seemingly detached from performance metrics. Still, having people who are knowledgeable and capable of providing job-embedded coaching and support is vital at a time like this, when schools are called upon to be resilient.

    9. Idealistic approaches tend to privilege expert knowledge, analysis and interpretation. Naturalistic approaches emphasise the inherent un-knowability of current and future complexities, and thus they de-privilege expert interpretation in favor of enabling emergent meaning at the ground level.

      This concept was discussed in yesterday's webinar. As we look to the scientific community, we instinctively expect them to be able to present a complete picture of COVID-19, and we expect problem solving to be top down and efficient.

    1. Entire countries serve as guinea-pigs in large-scale social experiments. What happens when everybody works from home and communicates only at a distance? What happens when entire schools and universities go online? In normal times, governments, businesses and educational boards would never agree to conduct such experiments. But these aren’t normal times. 

      These questions suggest the importance of hyperlocal communities of practice that are engaged in safe-to-fail experiments under these larger areas of shift and potential inquiry.

    2. Instead of every country trying to do it locally and hoarding whatever equipment it can get, a co-ordinated global effort could greatly accelerate production and make sure life-saving equipment is distributed more fairly.

      The governor of New York just proposed sharing ventilators nationally to help states meet their needs. He's also redistributing ventilators around the state.

    3. When people are told the scientific facts, and when people trust public authorities to tell them these facts, citizens can do the right thing even without a Big Brother watching over their shoulders. A self-motivated and well-informed population is usually far more powerful and effective than a policed, ignorant population.

      These conditions seem like a very high bar nationally but perhaps not locally or hyperlocally.

    4. But temporary measures have a nasty habit of outlasting emergencies, especially as there is always a new emergency lurking on the horizon.

      In education we've taken temporary measures related to technology use and access. Students without devices are provided devices by schools, and also provided free access to the Internet.

      Teachers, many of whom have had little training, are suddenly charged with teaching online.

    5. One of the problems we face in working out where we stand on surveillance is that none of us know exactly how we are being surveilled, and what the coming years might bring. Surveillance technology is developing at breakneck speed, and what seemed science-fiction 10 years ago is today old news.

      This is particularly true because of the use of AI. "Dressing for the Surveillance Age," by John Seabrook explains how researchers have to interact with the surveillance systems in order to develop ways to trick them.

      Goldstein’s research is ultimately aimed at understanding these vulnerabilities, and making A.I. systems more secure. He explained that he and his student Zuxuan Wu were able to create a pattern that confuses the network using the same trial-and-error methods employed in training the neural network itself. “If you just try random patterns, you will never find an adversarial example,” he said. “But if you have access to the system you can find a pattern to exploit it.” To make the sweatshirt, they started with a pattern that looked like random static.

      https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2020/03/16/dressing-for-the-surveillance-age

    6. But with coronavirus, the focus of interest shifts. Now the government wants to know the temperature of your finger and the blood-pressure under its skin. 

      In the development of a medical defense against a pandemic, it is vital that we remember that the horrible kinds of triage decisions hospitals are making right now would be less likely if these kinds of digitally mediated emergency measures were developed and ready to deploy.

  4. Mar 2020
    1. wearing simple face masks which exert a barrier function that blocks those big projectile droplets that land in the nose or throat may substantially reduce the production rate R, to an extent that may be comparable to social distancing and washing hands.

      Most important message of the article

    2. avoiding large droplets, which cannot enter the lung anyway but land in the upper respiratory tracts, could be the most effective means to prevent infection. Therefore, surgical masks, perhaps even your ski-mask, bandanas or scarf

      Wear a mask!

    3. Surprisingly, ACE2 expression in the lung is very low: it is limited to a few molecules per cell in the alveolar cells (AT2 cells) deep in the lung. But a just published paper by the Human Cell Atlas (HCA) consortium reports that ACE2 is highly expressed in some type of (secretory) cells of the inner nose!

      Major route of viral entry is likely via large droplets that land in the nose — where expression of the viral entry receptor, ACE2 is highest. This is the transmission route that could be effectively blocked already by simple masks that provide a physical barrier.

    4. SARS-Cov-2 virus, like any virus, must dock onto human cells using a key-lock principle, in which the virus presents the key and the cell the lock that is complementary to the key to enter the cell and replicate. For the SARS-Cov-2 virus, the viral surface protein “Spike protein S” is the “key” and it must fit snugly into the “lock” protein that is expressed (=molecularly presented) on the surface of the host cells. The cellular lock protein that the SARS-Cov-2 virus uses is the ACE2 protein

      SARS-Cov-2 enters the host cell by docking with its Spike protein to the ACE2 (blue) protein in cell surfaces:

    5. Filtering effect for small droplets (aerosols) by various masks; home-made of tea cloth, surgical mask (3M “Tie-on”) and a FFP2 (N95) respirator mask. The numbers are scaled to the reference of 100 (source of droplets) for illustrative purposes, calculated from the PF (protection factor) values

    6. The tacit notion at the CDC that the alveolae are the destination site for droplets to deliver the virus load (the alveolae are after all the anatomical site of life-threatening pneumonia), has elevated the apparent importance of N95 masks and led to the dismissal of surgical masks.

      Why N95 masks are much better over the surgical masks

    7. droplets of a typical cough expulsion have a size distribution such that approximately half of the droplet are in the categories of aerosols, albeit they collectively represent only less than 1/100,000 of the expelled volume

      Droplets of a typical cough

    8. For airborne particles to be inspired and reach deep into the lung, through all the air ducts down to the alveolar cells where gas-exchange takes place, it has to be small

      Only droplets < 10 um can reach to alveolae (deep into lung). Larger droplets stuck in the nose, throat, upper air ducts of the lung, trachea and large bronchia.

    9. Droplets can (for this discussion) be crudely divided in two large categories based on size

      2 categories of droplets:

      a) Droplets < 10 um: upper size limit of aerosol. Can float in the air/rooms by ventilation or winds and can be filtered (to 95%) by N95 favial masks (droplets < than 0.3 um). Here the surgical masks cannot help.

      b) Droplets > 10 um (reaching 100+ um): called as spray droplets. Can be even visible by human from coughing/sneezing (0.1+ um).

    10. Droplet larger than aerosols, when exhaled (at velocity of <1m/s), evaporate or fall to the ground less than 1.5 m away. When expelled at high velocity through coughing or sneezing, especially larger droplets (> 0.1 micrometers), can be carried by the jet more than 2m or 6m, respectively, away.

    11. The official recommendation by CDC, FDA and others that masks worn by the non-health-care professionals are ineffective is incorrect at three levels: In the logic, in the mechanics of transmission, and in the biology of viral entry.
    12. Flattening the curve”. Effect of mitigating interventions that would decrease the initial reproduction rate R0 by 50% when implemented at day 25. Red curve is the course of numbers of infected individuals (”case”) without intervention. Green curve reflects the changed (”flattened”) curve after intervention. Day 0 (March 3, 2020) is the time at which 100 cases of infections were confirmed (d100 = 0).

      If people would start wearing a mask: