1,100 Matching Annotations
  1. Jan 2021
    1. removal of atmospheric carbon dioxide decreases radiative forcing, but is largely compensated by slower loss of heat to the ocean,

      Diese Ergebnisse sind inzwischen wohl revidiert.

    1. This reprieve will not necessarily spare polar ice sheets or evade tipping points that cannot be recrossed, the scientist cautions, and Earth is already experiencing “much more extreme weather … than we expected 10 years ago”.

      Die relativ optimistische Erkenntnis, dass ich die Erwärmung in den nächsten Jahren noch relativ schnell stoppen lässt, bedeutet also nicht, dass nicht vorher schon Kippelemente ausgelöst werden könnten. Michael Mann spricht hier ausdrücklich von einem Minenfeld, in dem sich die Menschheit bewegt.

    2. If we are going to avert ever more catastrophic climate change impacts, we need to limit warming below a degree and a half Celsius, a little less than three degrees Fahrenheit,” Mann said.

      Michael Mann hält eindeutig am 1,53° Ziel fest.

    1. The recent wave of net zero targets has put the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C within striking distance. The Climate Action Tracker (CAT) has calculated that global warming by 2100 could be as low as 2.1°C as a result of all the net zero pledges announced as of November 2020
    1. The Dogger Bank windfarm is an engineering feat that marks a step change in the growth of renewable energy. Each steel structure, weighing 2,800 tonnes, has been designed to soar more than 250 metres from where their heels are buried in the seabed to the top of each 107-metre blade
    1. Dieses Jahr haben wir einen Anstieg des Wasserspiegels des Sees um mehr als 13 Meter erlebt, verursacht durch die ständigen Regenfälle, die es bei uns seit Oktober 2019 gibt.
    1. If human beings really were able to take the long view — to consider seriously the fate of civilization decades or centuries after our deaths — we would be forced to grapple with the transience of all we know and love in the great sweep of time. So we have trained ourselves, whether culturally or evolutionarily, to obsess over the present, worry about the medium term and cast the long term out of our minds, as we might spit out a poison.

      +10

    2. These theories share a common principle: that human beings, whether in global organizations, democracies, industries, political parties or as individuals, are incapable of sacrificing present convenience to forestall a penalty imposed on future generations. When I asked John Sununu about his part in this history — whether he considered himself personally responsible for killing the best chance at an effective global-warming treaty — his response echoed Meyer-Abich. “It couldn’t have happened,” he told me, “because, frankly, the leaders in the world at that time were at a stage where they were all looking how to seem like they were supporting the policy without having to make hard commitments that would cost their nations serious resources.” He added, “Frankly, that’s about where we are today.”
  2. Dec 2020
    1. The science of the "Science is settled" crowd isn't an open system of skeptical inquiry, but a closed system of centralized authority funded and controlled by special interests, beholden to political agendas and intolerant of dissent. It has the same relationship to science that the various People's Democracies had to democracy.

      They try to mold our opinions so we are more amenable to their agendas.

    1. Hier ist auch bemerkenswert, wie viele Wissenschaftler mitgearbeitet haben.

      Der Artikel steht sehr gut klar, weshalb das net zero-Ziel problematisch ist. Unter anderem erklärt er Basics des schnellen und des langsamen Carbon Cycle.

      Unter anderem wird dabei klar, dass es nur relativ wenig bringt, einfach darauf zu setzen neue Bäume zu pflanzen.

    1. Nonethel ess, scholars have begun to iden-tify procedures that can potentially mitigate political sectarianism. These in clude efforts to help Americans comprehend opposing partisans regardless of their level of agree-ment, such as by focusing on commonalities rather than differences (e.g., “we’re all Amer-icans”; SM) or communicating in the moral language of the other side (e.g., when liberals frame the consequences of climate change in terms of sanctity violations; SM).

      Interesting, especially point re climate change.

      I would go further into the ontological sources of these issues e.g. attachment to views, and how we can address that.

    1. Stadtentwicklungskonzept 4.0: Graz strebt die Erhöhung der Lebensqualität und die Senkung des CO2 Ausstoßesan. Trotz wachsender Bevölkerung soll bis 2050 nur mehr ein Fünftel des Ressourcenverbrauchs anfall
    1. It seems to also highlight how much our governments, banks and big corporations roles play into the state of our planet, how much we need them to change so that our individual choices can actually make a significant difference. Read more

      Notice the subtle othering: it's not "us" who have been doing this but the "governments, banks and big corporations" ... But who are their shareholders, who are their citizens, staff, customers etc? Us ...

      Note this is a comment on Attenborough's book. I do wonder what his recommendations are...

    1. “Although we now have at our disposal some fairly sophisticated methods of characterizing uncertainty,” she warned, “these do not actually enable us to control or even predict the extent of the disaster.

      Many believe models predict the future. Exhibit A: Climate change

  3. Nov 2020
    1. On page 230, Li and Chakraborty3report that the rate at which tropical cyclones from the North Atlantic decay after landfall has changed since the 1960s — their intensity has been decreasing more slowly over time.
    1. The report finds that strongly reducing greenhouse gas emissions, protecting and restoring ecosystems, and carefully managing the use of natural resources would make it possible to preserve the ocean and cryosphere as a source of opportunities that support adaptation to future changes, limit risks to livelihoods and offer multiple additional societal benefits.
    1. Zu einer Studie. Nach der weitere Erwärmung nicht mehr zu verbinden ist. Die Studie ist simplistic just und widerlegt nicht, dass kurzfristig die Emissionen radikal reduziert werden müssen.

    1. In Wissenschaft, Politik, Behörden, Medien, Zivilgesellschaft und anderswo - viele Menschen sprechen, schreiben, kommunizieren über den Klimawandel. In unserer Serie stellen wir einige von ihnen vor. Jeden Monat stellen wir dazu einer anderen Person dieselben sechs Fragen. Teil 11: Martha Stangl, Mitarbeiterin des österreichischen Klimaforschungsnetzwerk CCCA und Nebenerwerbslandwirtin
    1. Während Richard Walker seinen Vortrag über den New Deal zum Green New Deal hält, brennen nördlich der San Francisco Bay die Wälder. In den Wintern fällt zu wenig Regen und Schnee. Die Sommer sind zu heiß. Gleichzeitig sind die Immobilien in den Städten begehrte Investitions- und Spekulationsobjekte, die hohe Renditen versprechen. Die Folge sind exorbitante Mieten, die sich in San Francisco immer weniger Menschen leisten können. Sie ziehen in immer abgelegenere Gegenden. Dorthin, wo Immobilien noch bezahlbar sind. Oftmals gibt es in den preiswert errichteten Siedlungen nur eine Durchgangsstraße. 2018 verbrannten Einwohner in Paradise auf der Flucht vor den Flammen im Stau.Immer wieder entstehen die Feuer durch Funkenflug oberirdischer Stromleitungen, die trockene Blätter und Gräser in Brand setzen. Mitverantwortlich dafür sind fehlende Investitionen in Wartung und Pflege.
    1. Das Analyse-Unternehmen Vico Research & Consulting untersucht seit 2003 regelmäßig, wie in den sozialen Netzwerken über den Klimawandel debattiert wird. Die Ergebnisse der aktuellen Studie vom ersten Halbjahr 2020 basieren auf über eine Million deutschsprachige Social-Media-Beiträgen, die sich mit dem Thema beschäftigten.

      Diese Studie hat offenbar ein ziemliches mediales Echo gefunden. Rein vorn der Berichterstattung her lässt sich vermuten, dass es sich um ein industriefreundliches PR-Produkt handelt.

  4. Oct 2020
    1. Umfrage unter amerikanischen Wählern im Jahr 2020, die zeigt, dass die Klimakrise immer noch eine geringe Priorität hat und dass die meisten die Folgen von Temperaturerhöhungen nicht einschätzen können. Via Genvieve Günther auf Twitter https://twitter.com/doctorvive/status/1308760710470676480?s=21

    1. Kommentar in der NYT zu den mörderischen Folgen der Trump'schen Anti-Wissenschaftspolitik. Wir sollten uns nicht zu sehr darüber erheben: Auch die europäischen Regierungen ignorieren konsequent die Erkenntnisse zu den planetaren Grenzen.

    1. The places migrants left behind never fully recovered. Eighty years later, Dust Bowl towns still have slower economic growth and lower per capita income than the rest of the country. Dust Bowl survivors and their children are less likely to go to college and more likely to live in poverty. Climatic change made them poor, and it has kept them poor ever since.

      Intergenerational social problems here; we should be able to learn from the past and not repeat our mistakes.

    2. Part of the problem is that most policies look only 12 months into the future, ignoring long-term trends even as insurance availability influences development and drives people’s long-term decision-making.

      Another place where markets are failing us. We need better regulation for this sort of behavior.

    1. Miya Yoshitani, executive director of the Asian Pacific Environmental Network, which focuses on environmental justice issues affecting working-class Asian and Pacific Islander immigrant and refugee communities.
    2. There's a grassy vacant lot near her apartment where Franklin often takes a break from her job as a landscaping crew supervisor at Bon Secours Community Works, a nearby community organization owned by Bon Secours Health System. It's one of the few places in the neighborhood with a lot of shade — mainly from a large tree Franklin calls the mother shade. She helped come up with the idea to build a free splash park in the lot for residents to cool down in the heat. Now Bon Secours is taking on the project. "This was me taking my stand," Franklin says. "I didn't sit around and wait for everybody to say, 'Well, who's going to redo the park?' "

      Reminiscent of the story in Judith Rodin's The Resilience Dividend about the Kambi Moto neighborhood in the Huruma slum of Nairobi. The area and some of the responsibility became a part of ownership of the space from the government. Meanwhile NPR's story here is doing some of the counting which parallels the Kambi Moto story.

    1. Consumer demand is one of four important variables that, when combined, can influence and shape farming practices, according to Festa. The other three are the culture of farming communities, governmental policies, and the economic system that drives farming.
    2. Festa argues that this is why organic farming in the U.S. saw a 56 percent increase between 2011 and 2016.

      A useful statistic but it needs more context. What is the percentage of organic farming to the overall total of farming?

      Fortunately the linked article provides some additional data: https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/01/10/organic-farming-is-on-the-rise-in-the-u-s/

    3. "The fundamental problem with climate change is that it's a collective problem, but it rises out of lots of individual decisions. Society's challenge is to figure out how we can influence those decisions in a way that generates a more positive collective outcome," says Keith Wiebe, senior research fellow at the International Food Policy Research Institute.
    4. Agriculture, forestry, and other types of land use account for 23 percent of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, according to the IPCC.
    1. Still, organic farming makes up a small share of U.S. farmland overall. There were 5 million certified organic acres of farmland in 2016, representing less than 1% of the 911 million acres of total farmland nationwide. Some states, however, had relatively large shares of organic farmland. Vermont’s 134,000 certified organic acres accounted for 11% of its total 1.25 million farm acres. California, Maine and New York followed in largest shares of organic acreage – in each, certified organic acres made up 4% of total farmland.
    1. climate theorists

      I find it interesting to be reading about a completely different sort of climate theory in this book than the one commonly known in popular society.

  5. Sep 2020
    1. If everyone did all of the above things, they would have the personal infrastructure in place to enable their lives to become zero-emissions. But the above changes only cover 45% of average American emissions—so what gives? The remaining 55% of emissions come indirectly from the goods, services, and food we buy. The only way we’ll get to a zero-carbon world is for each of those industries to adopt new technology and change their processes to be emissions-free, or be replaced with a zero-emissions alternative. That’s why your first action is voting to make sure that policies and incentives are put in place to accelerate the overall transition.

      The "above things" being:

      1. Vote for elected officials who prioritize smart climate policy; join climate action or political groups to support pro-climat candidates and non-profits.
      2. Use only electric vehicles. Your next car [and this right here is a measure of how very car-dependent Americans as a whole are] needs to be electric. [AND you also need to press your power companies and government for clean electricity; lots of electricity comes from coal!]
      3. Electrify your house. There's a reason California's no longer permitting gas in new construction. Induction has vastly improved!
      4. Switch to all-green electricity. See my note on #2.
    1. Although relocations can be difficult, it requires a certain level of privilege to be a climate change migrant in America right now. Most of the people I spoke with are relatively free to move around, without the ties of children or home ownership, and with enough money to afford to relocate.

      There's a racial divide here, too. With harassment and violence on the rise against Black and Asian Americans, moving anywhere where there are fewer of us is another dimension of precarity.

    1. Die wichtigsteUnterkategorie der Kategorie"Energie" ist Verkehr mit einem Anteil von 31% an den gesamten Emissionen (ohne LULUCF; vgl. Table A.I-1 in Umweltbundesamt, 2020a),

      Der Verkehr hat einen Anteil von 31% an den gesamten Emissionen in Österreich.

    1. CO2-Emissionen von neu zugelassenen PKWs in Österreich

    2. In den letzten Jahren konnten die Verbräuche und damit die CO2-Emissionen durch technische Weiterentwicklungen, vor allem durch die voranschreitende Elektrifizierung und das Downsizing der Antriebe, reduziert werden. Diese Verbrauchsvorteile wurden durch den Trend zu leistungsstärkeren und schwereren Fahrzeugen teilweise kom-pensiert: So hat etwa die durchschnittliche Motorleistung bei neu zugelassenen Dieselfahr-zeugen von 2000 bis 2018um rd.44%zugenommen und ist 2018auf 108kW gestiegen

      Die Emissionen pro km steigen weiter an. Geringfügige Steigerungen der Effizienz werden dadurch aufgefressen, dass immer stärkere Autos gekauft werden. Die durchschnittliche Motorleistung bei neuzugelassenen Dieselfahrzeugen hat von 2000 bis 2018 um 44% zugenommen.

    1. Die wichtigsten Verursacher von Treibhausgas-Emissionen (ohneEmissions-handel) waren 2018die Sektoren Verkehr (47,3%),Landwirtschaft (16,2%),Ge-bäude (15,6%)sowie Energie und Industrie (11,6%).

      2018 betrug der Anteil des Verkehrs an den in Österreich verursachten Treibhausgasemissionen 47,3 %.

    1. Keenan calls the practice of drawing arbitrary lending boundaries around areas of perceived environmental risk “bluelining,” and indeed many of the neighborhoods that banks are bluelining are the same as the ones that were hit by the racist redlining practice in days past. This summer, climate-data analysts at the First Street Foundation released maps showing that 70% more buildings in the United States were vulnerable to flood risk than previously thought; most of the underestimated risk was in low-income neighborhoods.

      Bluelining--a neologism I've not seen before, but it's roughly what one would expect.

    2. Jesse Keenan, an urban-planning and climate-change specialist then at Harvard’s Graduate School of Design, who advises the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission on market hazards from climate change. Keenan, who is now an associate professor of real estate at Tulane University’s School of Architecture, had been in the news last year for projecting where people might move to — suggesting that Duluth, Minnesota, for instance, should brace for a coming real estate boom as climate migrants move north.

      Why can't we project additional places like this and begin investing in infrastructure and growth in those places?

    3. That’s what happened in Florida. Hurricane Andrew reduced parts of cities to landfill and cost insurers nearly $16 billion in payouts. Many insurance companies, recognizing the likelihood that it would happen again, declined to renew policies and left the state. So the Florida Legislature created a state-run company to insure properties itself, preventing both an exodus and an economic collapse by essentially pretending that the climate vulnerabilities didn’t exist.

      This is an interesting and telling example.

    4. And federal agriculture aid withholds subsidies from farmers who switch to drought-resistant crops, while paying growers to replant the same ones that failed.

      Here's a place were those who cry capitalism will save us should be shouting the loudest!

    5. The federal National Flood Insurance Program has paid to rebuild houses that have flooded six times over in the same spot.

      We definitely need to quit putting good money after bad.

    6. Similar patterns are evident across the country. Census data shows us how Americans move: toward heat, toward coastlines, toward drought, regardless of evidence of increasing storms and flooding and other disasters.

      And we wonder why there are climate deniers in the United States?

    7. Climate Change Will Force a New American Migration

    1. Studie zur Klimaungerechtigkeit in Österreich, vor allem wegen der Vorschläge zum Erreichen von mehr Klimagerechtigkeit durch ökologische Steuerreform u.ä. interessant. Siehe auch Standard-Artikel dazu Greenpeace-Report - Wesentlich mehr CO2 durch Reiche als Arme - noen.at

    2. Kenner vertritt die Ansicht, dass einige dieser Personen durch ihre überlegenen finanziellen Möglichkeiten die poli-tische Debatte aktiv und erfolgreich beeinflussen und damit indirekt zu einer Verschärfung der Ungleichheit in der Verteilung der CO2-Emissionen beitragen

      Beziehung zur aktiven Klimaleugnung z.B. in der Murdoch-Presse

    1. Artikel in der NYT, in dem die Waldbrände als offensichtliches Ergebnis der Klimakrise bezeichnet werden - als ein Ergebnis, das viel schneller kommt als erwartet.

  6. Aug 2020
    1. An IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty.

      via Julia Steinberger.

    1. A six-word California fire ecology primer: The state is in the hole. A seventy-word primer: We dug ourselves into a deep, dangerous fuel imbalance due to one simple fact. We live in a Mediterranean climate that’s designed to burn, and we’ve prevented it from burning anywhere close to enough for well over a hundred years. Now climate change has made it hotter and drier than ever before, and the fire we’ve been forestalling is going to happen, fast, whether we plan for it or not.
    1. Kurzes fact sheet für Journalisten, via Stefan Rahmstorf auf Twitter. Relevant auch als Beispiel für Kooperation von Wissenschaft und Journalismus.

    1. UN-Konzept zur Rekultivierung zerstörter Boden, das angeblich für 300 Billiarden Dollar die Emissionen von 20 Jahren binden kann. Artikel von Ende 2019, nach der UN-Konferenz über Desertifikation.

    1. Interview mit Anders Levermann, bei dem er deutlich sagt, dass der CO2-Ausstoß so schnell gestoppt werden muss, dass keine Zeit für einen systemwandel vorhanden ist. Dabei spricht er allerdings dann von Strukturwandel. Die Sätze aus diesem Interview kann man alle zitieren, interessant ist aber dieser sehr explizite Standpunkt, der mich an Michael Mann erinnert.

    1. conventionally

      Highjacking von Formaten ist eine gute Option, weil es an bekannte Praktiken anschlißt.

    2. Some climate scientists, such as Professor Ed Hawkins and Professor Richard Betts in the UK, have had great success on Twitter calmly and patiently explaining climate science to all-comers (including climate sceptics) and have won a lot of respect (and a large audience) doing so.

      Bedeutet, dass für die Klimakommunikation in Österreich Twitter Accounts von Wissenschaftlern wichtig wären.

    1. Bernard Stiegler analysiert die Beziehungen zwischen Wissen und Technik, und zwar ausgehend von Derrida und Heidegger. Vieles wirkt auf mich wie eine Art Parallel-Unternehmen zu Latour, bei dem ich bisher nie einen Hinweis auf Stiegler gefunden habe. Auch bei Stiegler geht es darum zu erklären, warum Staaten und Wirtschaft nicht auf die Klimakrise reagieren. Wenn ich es richtig sehe, dann verbindet er das Konzept der différance mit einer Art bioökonomischem Ansatz.- Bemerkenswert ist auch seine Marketing- und Medienkritik und generell sein Versuch, Denkgewohnheiten in eine Beziehung zu den Mechanismen des neoliberalen Kapitalismus zu setzen.

    1. Extremwetter wie jetzt gerade in Großbritannien vergrößern das Risiko von Eisenbahnunglücken wie dem von Stonehaven..Bisher hat die Leitung der britischen Eisenbahnen entsprechende Warnungen nicht ernst genommen.

    1. Factsheet, um die Begriffsverwirrung um den Begriff der "Klimaneutralität" aufzulösen und Manipulationen zu erschweren. Die AG Klimaneutral des CCCA, die hinter diesem Factsheet steht, formuliert Sieben grundlegende Forderungen - wohl der wichtigste Teil des Factsheets.

    1. Die Polemik von Hans-Werner Sinn gegen Klimapolitik in Deutschland ist hier frei zugänglich online - ein Muster sophistischer Argumentation, ausgehend u.a. von: Wenn wir die Welt nicht zerstören, tun es andere; 2. Alles Öl, das im Boden ist, wird gefördert - egal was wir einsparen; 3. Die deutsche Autoindustrie muss leben, auch wenn wir sterben müssen.

    1. Essay von James Dyke. Hypothese (als "ernstes Gedankenspiel"): Wir haben die Kontrolle über die weitere Entwicklung des Erdsystems bereits verloren, der eigentliche Akteur ist die Technosphäre, die die Menschheit ganz oder teilweise ersetzen kann. Nach der ersteh Lektüre habe ich in Die Klimakrise als Tragödie—zwei Essays darüber geschrieben.

    1. Hierzulande ist Shellenberger bislang kaum wahrgenommen worden. Eine der wenigen Ausnahmen ist die SPD-nahe Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung. Ihr Magazin Internationale Politik und Gesellschaft (IPG) hat mit dem umstrittenen Autor ein ausführliches Interview geführt, in dem er unter andere

      Deutsches Interview mit Shellenberger. Der Artikel geht kurz auf die wissenschaftliche Kritik an ihm ein.

    1. In addition to the issue of path dependency—recall that RCP8.5 2005 to 2020 total cumulative CO2 emissions are within 1% of historical emissions—the issue of missing carbon cycle climate feedbacks is critical.

      Carbon feedbacks are the reason for assuming that RCP8.5 is realistic in spite of probably lower cumulative emissions until 2050.

  7. Jul 2020
  8. Jun 2020
    1. Smith had been pondering assimilationist climate theory for s ome time. He may have learned it first f rom Buffon, or from James Bow-doin’s opening oration of t he newly established American Academy of Arts and Sciences i n Boston on May 4, 1780.
  9. May 2020
    1. “I think the main issue is that people focus way, way too much on people’s personal footprints, and whether they fly or not, without really dealing with the structural things that really cause carbon dioxide levels to go up,” said Gavin Schmidt, a climatologist and the director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City.

      Key quote. Correct. Individual action is not enough. We need a collective change of behaviour.

    1. destroying rainforest ecosystems raises the odds of new pathogens making the jump from animals to humans. It also harms our ability to deal with climate change, as tropical forests are a key component in absorbing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere
    2. Environmental agencies have reported an uptick in deforestation during lockdowns, as well as increases in poaching, animal trafficking and illegal mining worldwide
  10. Apr 2020
    1. Using the MIT study’s data, Turner co-authored a 2015 paper published in the Journal of Industrial Ecology, estimating that “it takes more than 100 times the energy to manufacture an alkaline battery than is available during its use phase.” And when the entirety of a battery’s emissions are added up — including sourcing, production, and shipping — its greenhouse gas emissions are 30 times that of the average coal-fired power plant, per watt-hour.All of which is to say: An appliance powered by an alkaline battery consumes more carbon than an appliance that’s plugged into an electrical outlet, according to the study.
    1. EIT Climate-KIC is a Knowledge and Innovation Community (KIC), working to accelerate the transition to a zero-carbon economy. Supported by the European Institute of Innovation and Technology, we identify and support innovation that helps society mitigate and adapt to climate change. We believe that a decarbonised, sustainable economy is not only necessary to prevent catastrophic climate change, but presents a wealth of opportunities for business and society.

      would be interesting to understand more about their budget, philosophy and approach.

    1. About InfluenceMap InfluenceMap empowers investors, corporations, the media and campaigners with data-driven and clearly communicated analysis on critical issues associated with climate change and the energy transition. Our flagship platform is the world's leading analysis of how companies and trade associations impact climate-motivated policy globally.
  11. Dec 2019
    1. New analysis by the Climate Impact Lab brings more bad news for American skiers already experiencing disappointing conditions at their favorite resorts. Within the next 20 years, the number of days at or below freezing in some of the most popular ski towns in the US will decline by weeks or even a month. If global greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise at the same pace that they did in the first decade of this century, ski resorts could see half as many sub-freezing days compared to historical averages by late century.
    1. Across the CONUS as a whole, total snowfall largely declined between 1930 and 2007, according to a 2009 study cited by the Environmental Protection Agency. That study examined long-term snowfall-station data, finding that snowfall totals dropped by more than half in the Northwest, and also declined sharply in the Southwest.
    1. a wet, ungenial summer

      Mary Shelley understates the weather emergency in 1816, which was often called "the year without a summer." Following the eruption of Mt. Tambora in Indonesia, Europe's weather turned cold and wet enough to destroy crops and induce famine among populations across the continent. For a vivid account, see Gillen D'Arcy Wood, Tambora: The Eruption that Changed the World (Princeton University Press, 2014).

    1. The season was cold and rainy

      In 1816 the eruption of the volcano Mount Tambora (Indonesia) created extreme weather around the world in what came to be called "the year without a summer." See Gillen D'Arcy Wood, Tambora: The Eruption that Changed the World (New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 2015). Food shortages and cold affected millions of Europeans.

  12. Sep 2019
    1. Table 2.2:

      IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5 °C - Table 2.2: The assessed remaining carbon budget and its uncertainties

    1. Is there a planetary threshold in the trajectory of theEarth System that, if crossed, could prevent stabili-zation in a range of intermediate temperature rises?

      Yes: there are tipping points.

    1. While Conway pointedly evaded questions about Trump’s previously claiming that global warming is a hoax, the candidate himself adamantly denied having made such claims during his first debate against Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016: CLINTON: “They’ve looked at my plans and they’ve said, OK, if we can do this, and I intend to get it done, we will have 10 million more new jobs, because we will be making investments where we can grow the economy. Take clean energy. Some country is going to be the clean-energy superpower of the 21st century. Donald thinks that climate change is a hoax perpetrated by the Chinese. I think it’s real.” TRUMP: “I did not. I did not. I do not say that.” CLINTON: “I think science is real.” TRUMP: “I do not say that.” But Trump has, in fact, said just that. Here, from the public record, in his own words, are instances of Donald Trump calling global warming a hoax (and more colorful things): The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive. — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 6, 2012 Ice storm rolls from Texas to Tennessee – I’m in Los Angeles and it’s freezing. Global warming is a total, and very expensive, hoax! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 6, 2013 NBC News just called it the great freeze – coldest weather in years. Is our country still spending money on the GLOBAL WARMING HOAX? — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 25, 2014 freestar.queue.push(function () { googletag.display('post-body-2'); }); Snowing in Texas and Louisiana, record setting freezing temperatures throughout the country and beyond. Global warming is an expensive hoax! — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 29, 2014 Give me clean, beautiful and healthy air – not the same old climate change (global warming) bullshit! I am tired of hearing this nonsense. — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) January 29, 2014

      Trump said climate change is a hoax & then claimed he never said that.

      Review: Any apologetics since 2016?

    1. “Depending on the warming scenarios used and adaptation levels assumed, with other factors held constant, by approximately the year 2080, climate change is estimated to induce 1.4 [million] to 6.7 million adult Mexicans ... to emigrate as a result of declines in agricultural productivity alone,” the researchers wrote.
  13. Aug 2019
    1. The history of the scientific discovery of climate change began in the early 19th century when ice ages and other natural changes in paleoclimate were first suspected and the natural greenhouse effect first identified. In the late 19th century, scientists first argued that human emissions of greenhouse gases could change the climate. Many other theories of climate change were advanced, involving forces from volcanism to solar variation. In the 1960s, the warming effect of carbon dioxide gas became increasingly convincing. Some scientists also pointed out that human activities that generated atmospheric aerosols (e.g., "pollution") could have cooling effects as well. During the 1970s, scientific opinion increasingly favored the warming viewpoint. By the 1990s, as a result of improving fidelity of computer models and observational work confirming the Milankovitch theory of the ice ages, a consensus position formed: greenhouse gases were deeply involved in most climate changes and human-caused emissions were bringing discernible global warming. Since the 1990s, scientific research on climate change has included multiple disciplines and has expanded. Research has expanded our understanding of causal relations, links with historic data and ability to model climate change numerically. Research during this period has been summarized in the Assessment Reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Climate change is a significant and lasting change in the statistical distribution of weather patterns over periods ranging from decades to millions of years. It may be a change in average weather conditions, or in the distribution of weather around the average conditions (such as more or fewer extreme weather events). Climate change is caused by factors that include oceanic processes (such as oceanic circulation), biotic processes (e.g., plants), variations in solar radiation received by Earth, plate tectonics and volcanic eruptions, and human-induced alterations of the natural world. The latter effect is currently causing global warming, and "climate change" is often used to describe human-specific impacts.

      This section needs citations included.

    1. However as we mentioned earlier on the subject of biological growth populations, this does not mean that one could not improve a chronology by reducing the number of series used if the purpose of removing samples is to enhance a desired signal. The ability to pick and choose which samples to use is an advantage unique to dendroclimatology. That said, it begs the question: how low can we go?
    1. Before venturing into the subject of sample depth and chronology quality, we state from the beginning, "more is always better". However as we mentioned earlier on the subject of biological growth populations, this does not mean that one could not improve a chronology by reducing the number of series used if the purpose of removing samples is to enhance a desired signal. The ability to pick and choose which samples to use is an advantage unique to dendroclimatology. That said, it begs the question: how low can we go?
  14. Jul 2019
    1. zombie theory

      since 1991, less than two per cent of all peer-reviewed studies say climate change is caused by something other than human activities (that's burning fossil fuels and digging up forests, to you and me).

      source

  15. Jun 2019
  16. Feb 2019
    1. Amazon, Google, and Microsoft have all struck lucrative arrangements—collectively worth billions of dollars—to provide automation, cloud, and AI services to some of the world’s biggest oil companies, and they are actively pursuing more.

      https://www.wsj.com/articles/silicon-valley-courts-a-wary-oil-patch-1532424600

    1. “I don’t think most people have a systems view of the natural world,” he said. “But it’s all connected and when the invertebrates are declining the entire food web is going to suffer and degrade. It is a system-wide effect.”
    1. three days

      I read that the average number of days in a cold snap has declined from 6 to 2 over the past 100 years (National Climate Assessment).

  17. Dec 2018
  18. Nov 2018
    1. clean air and water

      Do these still qualify as public goods? I would argue that our use of air and water has started diminishing these goods' availability—and quality—for others.

  19. Oct 2018
    1. a comprehensive crash course on human psychology to deal with the massive changes we’re seeing; a guide to self-care for the most important decade in human history. We need to know how climate change will change us as social beings, how we can deal with grief, how to go about the process of imagining a new society. We will need to know not only how we can survive in this new world, but how we will live.