- Apr 2024
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davekarpf.substack.com davekarpf.substack.com
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Schattschneider tells us that contentious politics can be best understand through a lens of conflict expansion. Those in power will (and, strategically, should) try to maintain and contain the scope of a conflict. Those arrayed against them will (and should) attempt to expand the scope of the conflict. If you want to understand an episode of contentious politics, don’t evaluate the substance of the arguments as though you are judging an intercollegiate debate. Instead, watch the crowd.
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- Jan 2022
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www.ifw-kiel.de www.ifw-kiel.de
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Bayerlein, M., Boese, V. A., Gates, S., Kamin, K., & Murshed, S. M. (2021). Populism and COVID-19: How Populist Governments (Mis)Handle the Pandemic. 2(3): 389–428. https://doi.org/10.1561/113.00000043
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Prof. Christina Pagel. (2022, January 19). This makes it so clear that the release of all measures right now (esp masks, esp schools) is only to protect himself & his job. Boris has zero interest in protecting others from getting sick, needing hospital or dying. Or protecting businesses, schools, NHS from disruption. [Tweet]. @chrischirp. https://twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1483884632651313152
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www.barrons.com www.barrons.com
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Nash, D. (n.d.). The CDC Got Lost Trying to Follow the Science. Retrieved January 14, 2022, from https://www.barrons.com/articles/cdc-guidance-covid-isolation-pandemic-51641847943
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Torcuil Crichton. (2022, January 3). Sign of the covid times—Front page Scotland edition contrasting with front page London edition https://t.co/qCitRaa0b9 [Tweet]. @Torcuil. https://twitter.com/Torcuil/status/1477997545628577792
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www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
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Cowper, A. (2022). Omicron: Who needs action when you’ve got Plan B? BMJ, 376, o15. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.o15
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- Dec 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Peter den Haan. (2021, December 21). @dgurdasani1 Two headlines, one year apart. ~74,000 dead. Nothing learned whatsoever. Https://t.co/pjEmUoXxfA [Tweet]. @revpdh. https://twitter.com/revpdh/status/1473252947903590402
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Sridhar, D. (2021, November 28). How bad will the Omicron Covid variant be in Britain? Three things will tell us. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/nov/28/omicron-covid-variant-britain-southern-africa
Tags
- England
- strategy
- COVID-19
- is:news
- travel ban
- home-testing kit
- science
- public health measures
- government
- stock market
- virus genome
- UK
- health outcome
- data
- mask wearing
- hospitalization
- booster
- South Africa
- predominant strain
- mortality
- protection
- variant
- transmission
- lang:en
- vaccine
- vaccine efficacy
- mask mandate
- Omicron
- travel restrictions
- testing
- immunity
Annotators
URL
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Oltermann, P. (2021, November 30). Germany’s chancellor-to-be Olaf Scholz ‘backs mandatory Covid jabs.’ The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/nov/30/austria-pushes-on-with-plan-for-mandatory-covid-vaccines
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- Nov 2021
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Castle, S., & Landler, M. (2021, November 24). A Claim of Herd Immunity Reignites Debate Over U.K. Covid Policy. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/24/world/europe/uk-virus-herd-immunity.html
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unherd.com unherd.com
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The Left’s Covid failure. (2021, November 23). UnHerd. https://unherd.com/2021/11/the-lefts-covid-failure/
Tags
- strategy
- Western society
- COVID-19
- is:webpage
- working class
- political spectrum
- science
- government
- epidemiology
- socialism
- political affiliation
- polarization
- right-wing
- left-wing
- economy
- lockdown
- economics
- social media
- socio-economic
- transmission
- lang:en
- vaccine
- public health
- intervention
- neoliberalism
- income
- policy
- vaccination
- mainstream
- COVID passport
Annotators
URL
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Cauchemez, S., & Bosetti, P. (2021). A reconstruction of early cryptic COVID spread. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-02989-3
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- Oct 2021
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Reicher, S. (2021, October 28). Covid measures give us choice. They are not restrictions on British life. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/oct/28/covid-measures-choice-restrictions-science-freedom-infections-safe
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- Sep 2021
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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‘Calculated risk’: Ardern gambles as New Zealand Covid restrictions eased | New Zealand | The Guardian. (n.d.). Retrieved September 23, 2021, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/sep/22/calculated-risk-ardern-gambles-as-new-zealand-covid-restrictions-eased
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- Aug 2021
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www.timesofisrael.com www.timesofisrael.com
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Serious COVID patients hit 400 as nearly 6,000 cases diagnosed Tuesday | The Times of Israel. (n.d.). Retrieved August 12, 2021, from https://www.timesofisrael.com/serious-covid-patients-hit-400-as-nearly-6000-cases-diagnosed-tuesday/
Tags
- mortality
- is:news
- restrictions
- COVID-19
- strategy
- Israel
- prison
- government
- transmission
- lang:en
- vaccine
- intervention
- inmates
- hospitalization
- lockdown
Annotators
URL
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Marchetti, M., Gatti, D., Inguscio, L., & Mazzoni, G. (2021). Psychological well-being and lockdown: A study on an Italian sample during the first COVID-19 wave [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/mnu7e
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- Jul 2021
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Covid: More EU states to restrict venue access for unvaccinated people | Coronavirus | The Guardian. (n.d.). Retrieved July 27, 2021, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/26/covid-more-eu-states-restrict-venue-access-unvaccinated-people?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
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www.politico.eu www.politico.eu
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Europe’s vaccination program is a success story. (2021, April 6). POLITICO. https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-vaccination-coronavirus-success-story/
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www.jpost.com www.jpost.com
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More than 1,000 Israelis test positive for COVID - The Jerusalem Post. (n.d.). Retrieved July 18, 2021, from https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/for-first-time-since-march-855-new-coronavirus-cases-in-israel-674084
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Global experts urge Boris Johnson to delay ‘dangerous’ Covid reopening | Coronavirus | The Guardian. (n.d.). Retrieved July 9, 2021, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/07/global-experts-urge-boris-johnson-delay-covid-reopening
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www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
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Hughes, B., Miller-Idriss, C., Piltch-Loeb, R., White, K., Creizis, M., Cain, C., & Savoia, E. (2021). Development of a Codebook of Online Anti-Vaccination Rhetoric to Manage COVID-19 Vaccine Misinformation [Preprint]. Public and Global Health. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.03.23.21253727
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- Jun 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Christophe Fraser 💙 on Twitter: “Reading Cummings accounts of early creation of Test & Trace, a question I have is when and how it was morphed from aiming to find ~30 contacts per index case, needed to contain spread, into a service that contacts 2-4 contacts per index case, mostly within household.” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved June 28, 2021, from https://twitter.com/ChristoPhraser/status/1408454903249477632
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assets.publishing.service.gov.uk assets.publishing.service.gov.uk
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Challen, R., Dyson, L., Overton, C., Guzman-Rincon, L., Danon, L., & Gog, J. (n.d.). Briefing note: Potential community transmission of B.1.617.2 inferred by S-gene positivity. 18.
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assets.publishing.service.gov.uk assets.publishing.service.gov.uk
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SPI-M-O: Summary of further modelling of easing restrictions - Roadmap Step 2 —GOV.UK. (n.d.). Retrieved June 26, 2021, from https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/975909/S1182_SPI-M-O_Summary_of_modelling_of_easing_roadmap_step_2_restrictions.pdf
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Australia must eventually face reality: Live with Covid or become a hermit nation | Peter Collignon | The Guardian. (n.d.). Retrieved June 16, 2021, from https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jun/15/australia-must-eventually-face-reality-live-with-covid-or-become-a-hermit-nation?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
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- May 2021
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blogs.bmj.com blogs.bmj.com
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Martin McKee: What did we learn from Dominic Cummings’ evidence to MPs on the covid crisis? - The BMJ. (n.d.). Retrieved May 29, 2021, from https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/05/26/martin-mckee-what-did-we-learn-from-dominic-cummings-evidence-to-mps-on-the-covid-crisis/?utm_campaign=shareaholic&utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=socialnetwork
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lessonsfromthecrisis.substack.com lessonsfromthecrisis.substack.com
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It’s bizarre that this needs saying, but of course the UK had a Herd Immunity plan—Lessons From The Crisis. (n.d.). Retrieved May 28, 2021, from https://lessonsfromthecrisis.substack.com/p/its-bizarre-that-this-needs-saying
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Lewis Goodall on Twitter: “Here we go. He’s not messing about: ‘The truth is, senior ministers, senior officials, senior advisors like me fell disastrously short of the standards that the public has the right to expect in a crisis like this. When the public needed us most the government failed.’ https://t.co/lV7QqIpTDY” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved May 27, 2021, from https://twitter.com/lewis_goodall/status/1397471561205092352
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Wellenius, G. A., Vispute, S., Espinosa, V., Fabrikant, A., Tsai, T. C., Hennessy, J., Dai, A., Williams, B., Gadepalli, K., Boulanger, A., Pearce, A., Kamath, C., Schlosberg, A., Bendebury, C., Mandayam, C., Stanton, C., Bavadekar, S., Pluntke, C., Desfontaines, D., … Gabrilovich, E. (2021). Impacts of social distancing policies on mobility and COVID-19 case growth in the US. Nature Communications, 12(1), 3118. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23404-5
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blogs.bmj.com blogs.bmj.com
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Covid-19: We must put in place a financial plan of action for achieving vaccine equity—The BMJ. (n.d.). Retrieved May 20, 2021, from https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/05/19/covid-19-we-must-put-in-place-a-financial-plan-of-action-for-achieving-vaccine-equity/#disqus_thread
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www.wsj.com www.wsj.com
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Pancevski, B. (2020, December 6). Long a Holdout From Covid-19 Restrictions, Sweden Ends Its Pandemic Experiment. Wall Street Journal. https://www.wsj.com/articles/long-a-holdout-from-covid-19-restrictions-sweden-ends-its-pandemic-experiment-11607261658
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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The UK has record death tolls, yet still the government has no clear Covid strategy | Helen Ward. (2021, January 21). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jan/21/uk-record-death-tolls-no-clear-covid-strategy
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Gallotti, R., Valle, F., Castaldo, N., Sacco, P., & De Domenico, M. (2020). Assessing the risks of ‘infodemics’ in response to COVID-19 epidemics. Nature Human Behaviour, 4(12), 1285–1293. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-00994-6
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Sprengholz, P., Korn, L., Eitze, S., & Betsch, C. (2021). Allocation of COVID-19 vaccination: When public prioritization preferences differ from official regulations. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/6na7t
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twitter.com twitter.comTwitter1
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ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: “this is utterly bizarre: How would one conceptually even begin to determine a number by which the model overestimated unmitigated deaths. What is the comparison unmitigated ‘prediction’ to what actually happened supposed to mean?” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved May 1, 2021, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1384070393514790918
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- Apr 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Dr Ellie Murray on Twitter: “There are 3 types of disaster responses: •panicking or freezing; •taking action; and •ignoring the disaster. That last one is the most common response to sudden disasters, like when, for example, a ferry sinks. I didn’t expect it would also be most common in a pandemic.” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved April 25, 2021, from https://twitter.com/EpiEllie/status/1384223819670245378
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www.medscape.com www.medscape.com
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Topol, E. J. (2021, March 18). It’s Okay to Overreact: Devi Sridhar Shares COVID’s Humbling Lesson. Medscape. https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/947382
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- Mar 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Colin D’Mello CTVNews. (2020, November 25). BREAKING: CTVNews has learned McKinsey & Company was paid $1.6million to help create the COVID-19 command tables, and $3.2 million to help with the school re-opening strategy. Https://t.co/F3FQtG8ftW #onpoli [Tweet]. @ColinDMello. https://twitter.com/ColinDMello/status/1331625704501424129
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Biggs, A. T., & Littlejohn, L. F. (2021). Revisiting the initial COVID-19 pandemic projections. The Lancet Microbe, 2(3), e91–e92. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2666-5247(21)00029-X
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- Feb 2021
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theconversation.com theconversation.com
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Hyde, Z. (n.d.). Herd immunity is the end game for the pandemic, but the AstraZeneca vaccine won’t get us there. The Conversation. Retrieved 24 February 2021, from http://theconversation.com/herd-immunity-is-the-end-game-for-the-pandemic-but-the-astrazeneca-vaccine-wont-get-us-there-155115
Tags
- is:news
- strategy
- COVID-19
- government
- high risk
- outbreak
- herd immunity
- pandemic
- population
- dose
- efficacy
- lang:en
- Australia
- vaccine
- policy
- vaccination
- immunity
Annotators
URL
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Alex Wickham. (2021, January 5). The experts have now changed their minds on testing arrivals, masks, mass gatherings, mass testing, herd immunity... Https://t.co/hjVKVzD4Dc [Tweet]. @alexwickham. https://twitter.com/alexwickham/status/1346363554207698944
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Vaccine experts defend UK decision to delay second Pfizer Covid jab. (2021, January 23). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/23/vaccine-experts-defend-uk-decision-to-delay-second-pfizer-covid-jab
Tags
- is:news
- strategy
- COVID-19
- public
- government
- delay
- international
- UK
- BMA
- population
- confidence
- dose
- protection
- lang:en
- vaccine
- policy
- vaccination
- isolated
Annotators
URL
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www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
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Pollock, A. M., & Lancaster, J. (2020). Asymptomatic transmission of covid-19. BMJ, 371, m4851. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m4851
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- Oct 2020
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Jeremy Farrar on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved October 28, 2020, from https://twitter.com/JeremyFarrar/status/1318983210282459136
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www.bristolpost.co.uk www.bristolpost.co.uk
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Shepherd, D. (2020, October 18). People will be “afraid” to report symptoms due to huge fines. BristolLive. https://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/bristol-university-professor-fears-people-4617695
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twitter.com twitter.com
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APPG on Coronavirus on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved October 27, 2020, from https://twitter.com/AppgCoronavirus/status/1318471895914893313
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99-percent.org 99-percent.org
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How Did We Get Into This Mess? (2020, October 15). 99%. https://99-percent.org/how-did-we-get-into-this-mess/
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www.newscientist.com www.newscientist.com
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Vaughan, A. (n.d.). England & Wales had most excess deaths in Europe’s covid-19 first wave. New Scientist. Retrieved October 16, 2020, from https://www.newscientist.com/article/2256986-england-wales-had-most-excess-deaths-in-europes-covid-19-first-wave/
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www.hope-project.dk www.hope-project.dkApp1
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The HOPE-project (http://hope-project.dk ) tracks public opinion during #covid19, sharing findings with the public & authorities. This graph is the most concerning yet: The # willing to use an approved COVID-vaccine recommended for them
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www.sciencemag.org www.sciencemag.org
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VogelOct. 6, G., 2020, & Pm, 4:35. (2020, October 6). ‘It’s been so, so surreal.’ Critics of Sweden’s lax pandemic policies face fierce backlash. Science | AAAS. https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/10/it-s-been-so-so-surreal-critics-sweden-s-lax-pandemic-policies-face-fierce-backlash
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www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
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Gallagher, J. (2020, October 9). Covid cases increase rapidly as next steps planned. BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-54477618
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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Yong, S. by E. (n.d.). America Is Trapped in a Pandemic Spiral. The Atlantic. Retrieved October 12, 2020, from https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/09/pandemic-intuition-nightmare-spiral-winter/616204/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved October 10, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13575/
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www.psychologs.com www.psychologs.com
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Covid-19: Is Behavioural Science The Key To Handle The Pandemic? (n.d.). Retrieved October 10, 2020, from https://www.psychologs.com/article/covid-19-is-behavioral-science-the-key-to-handle-the-pandemic
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- Sep 2020
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Han, E., Tan, M. M. J., Turk, E., Sridhar, D., Leung, G. M., Shibuya, K., Asgari, N., Oh, J., García-Basteiro, A. L., Hanefeld, J., Cook, A. R., Hsu, L. Y., Teo, Y. Y., Heymann, D., Clark, H., McKee, M., & Legido-Quigley, H. (2020). Lessons learnt from easing COVID-19 restrictions: An analysis of countries and regions in Asia Pacific and Europe. The Lancet, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32007-9
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www.scotsman.com www.scotsman.com
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Beware comforting lies about a “herd immunity” Covid-19 strategy. Here’s why it’s dangerous – Professor Devi Sridhar. (n.d.). Retrieved September 25, 2020, from https://www.scotsman.com/news/opinion/columnists/covid-19-herd-immunity-strategy-flawed-until-we-have-coronavirus-vaccine-professor-devi-sridhar-2981017
Tags
- strategy
- is:news
- COVID-19
- protection
- government response
- prediction
- epidemiology
- herd immunity
- lang:en
- vaccine
- uncertainty
- antibody
- safety
Annotators
URL
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Gov’t approves total coronavirus lockdown starting Friday. (n.d.). The Jerusalem Post | JPost.Com. Retrieved September 25, 2020, from https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/coronavirus-cabinet-to-meet-as-daily-cases-spike-to-nearly-7000-643263
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unherd.com unherd.com
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Is this the second wave? (2020, September 22). UnHerd. https://unherd.com/2020/09/do-we-need-a-second-lockdown/
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www.scientificamerican.com www.scientificamerican.com
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Hotz, J. (n.d.). Can an Algorithm Help Solve Political Paralysis? Scientific American. Retrieved September 21, 2020, from https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/can-an-algorithm-help-solve-political-paralysis/
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Coronavirus cases are rising again in the UK. Here’s what should happen next | Devi Sridhar. (2020, September 8). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/sep/08/coronavirus-cases-rising-uk-second-wave
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Somerville, Northeastern Partner To Look For Coronavirus In City Sewage. (n.d.). Retrieved September 8, 2020, from https://www.wbur.org/commonhealth/2020/09/03/city-sewage-coronavirus
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www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
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Explore airport testing to cut quarantine—Labour. (2020, September 6). BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-54045057
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news.bloomberglaw.com news.bloomberglaw.com
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Trump Back-to-School Threats Pressure Educators Fearing Covid. (n.d.). Retrieved September 3, 2020, from https://news.bloomberglaw.com/coronavirus/trump-back-to-school-threats-pressure-educators-fearing-covid-1
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Parthasarathy, S. (2020). More testing alone will not get us out of this pandemic. Nature, 585(7823), 8–8. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02495-y
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- Aug 2020
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Zheng, Q., Jones, F. K., Leavitt, S. V., Ung, L., Labrique, A. B., Peters, D. H., Lee, E. C., & Azman, A. S. (2020). HIT-COVID, a global database tracking public health interventions to COVID-19. Scientific Data, 7(1), 286. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-020-00610-2
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Smeeth, L. (2020, June 8). Without public faith in government actions, the UK will never beat Covid-19 | Liam Smeeth. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/jun/08/public-faith-government-policy-covid-19
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Stephen Reicher on Twitter: “A very simple question to start the week. Scotland now has a clear strategy to drive towards elimination of the virus. But what is the strategy in England? We have a series of policy changes - open the pubs, end shielding - but we have no clear overall statement of strategy.” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved June 30, 2020, from https://twitter.com/reicherstephen/status/1277524208185204736
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ca.yahoo.com ca.yahoo.com
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Coronavirus update: CDC chief backs school reopenings; Pfizer lifts curtain on vaccine data. (n.d.). Retrieved August 27, 2020, from https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-update-cdc-chief-backs-school-reopenings-pfizer-lifts-curtain-on-vaccine-data-180316629.html
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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Stay-At-Home Orders, Social Distancing and Trust. COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved August 5, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13234/
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Mallapaty, S. (2020). How schools can reopen safely during the pandemic. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02403-4
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Lewis, D. (2020). ‘We felt we had beaten it’: New Zealand’s race to eliminate the coronavirus again. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02402-5
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abcnews.go.com abcnews.go.com
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News, A. B. C. (n.d.). Trump, DeVos downplay risks of reopening schools, claim children don’t spur transmission: FACT CHECK. ABC News. Retrieved August 9, 2020, from https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-devos-downplay-risks-reopening-schools-claim-children/story?id=71950023
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A Vaccine Reality Check. (n.d.). MSN. Retrieved August 9, 2020, from https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/a-vaccine-reality-check/ar-BB178Yaf
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