https://enb.iisd.org/baku-un-climate-change-conference-cop29-daily-report-21nov2024?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=ENB%20Update%20-%2022%20November%202024&utm_content=ENB%20Update%20-%2022%20November%202024+CID_101e5e432c1275bb2b530a99204aa7a7&utm_source=cm&utm_term=Read%20the%20daily%20report

for - tinnitus - mitigation via the Clarify - sensory substitution - vibrate at the same time as the sound - to decrease amplitude of tinnitus - Neosensory - David Eagleman

Die Fossilindustrie finanziert seit Jahrzehten Universitäten und fördert damit Publikationen in ihrem Interesse, z.B. zu false solutions wie #CCS. Hintergrundbericht anlässlich einer neuen Studie: https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/sep/05/universities-fossil-fuel-funding-green-energy

Studie: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.904

for - adjacency - open source - Stop Reset Go complexity mapping - objective - Nora Bateson comment on more information - diversity - Indyweb/Indranet - progress trap mitigation

adjacency - between - Nora Bateson comment - Stop Reset Go complexity mapping<br /> - open source - progress trap mitigation - Indyweb/Indranet

• adjacency relationship
  • When Nora talks about the
    • oversimplified,
    • reductionist
  • problem-solving approach that most of modernity employs to tackle wicked problems,
  • it boils down to oversimplification.
  • There are usually far more causes and conditions to a problem than are known to construct the solution
  • In Deep Humanity praxis, this is how we get into progress traps, the shadow side of progress
    • https://jonudell.info/h/facet/?max=100&expanded=true&user=stopresetgo&exactTagSearch=true&any=progress+trap
  • The Stop Reset Go complexity mapping system is designed to reveal greater information by
    • creating a space for diverse perspectives to systematically engage in addressing the same wicked problem
  • This system must be open source in order to create the space for maximum diversity
  • The Stop Reset Go process is specifically designed as a workspace for diversity for the purpose of
    • mitigating progress traps and
    • helping find more effective ways to address wicked problems
  • This is done by using Trailmark Markin notation within the Indyweb/Indranet people-centered, interpersonal software ecosystem

Not necessarily. PoS can be used to invite, sharing with invited member the invitee's stake. Thus it does not affect consensus.

As stake determines weight on consensus.

And as stake may determine how often peers choose to sync to that node. Thus limiting harm done on the communication level by low-stake Sybils.

for - quote - Michael Mann - quote - a Second Trump presidency - polycrisis - politics and climate crisis - climate mitigation strategy - voting in 2024 U.S. election - adjacency - Michael Mann - 2nd Trump presidency - exceeding planetary boundaries - exceeding 1.5 Deg C - Gen Z voting

adjacency - between - Michael Mann - 2nd Trump presidency - exceeding planetary boundaries - exceeding 1.5 Deg C - Trump's presidency is existential threat to humanity - Gen Z voting - 2024 election - adjacency statement - Michael Mann's quote " A second Trump term is game over for the climate - really" applies to the 2024 election if Trump becomes the Republican nominee. - Trumps dismal environmental record in his 2016 to 2020 term speaks for itself. He would do something similiar in 2025 if he were the president. G - Given there are only 5 years and 172 days before we hit the dangerous threshold of burning through all the carbon budget for humanity, - https://climateclock.world/ - It is questionable whether Biden's government alone can do enough, but certainly if Trump won the 2024 election, his term in office would create a regression severe enough to put the Paris Climate goal of staying within 1.5 Deg C out of reach, and risk triggering major planetary tipping points - A Biden government is evidence-based and believes in anthropogenic climate change and is already taking measures to mitigate it. A Trump government is not evidence-based and is supported by incumbent fossil fuel industry so does not have the interest of the U.S. population nor all of humanity at heart. - Hence, the 2024 U.S. election can really determine the fate of humanity. - Gen Z can play a critical role for humanity by voting against a government that would, in leading climate scientists Michael Mann's words, be game over for a stable climate, and therefore put humanity and unimaginable risk. - Gen Z can swing the vote to a government willing to deal with the climate crisis over one in climate denial so voting activists need to be alerted to this and create the right messaging to reach Gen Z - https://hyp.is/LOud7sBBEe6S0D8itLHw1A/circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/41-million-members-gen-z-will-be-eligible-vote-2024

• for: climate mitigation, stats - 40% reduction by 2030, quote - Johan Rockstrom, quote - fossil fuel phase out

• quote: Johan Rockstrom

  • All stakeholders in the world must now act according to the agreed Cop28 output, and deliver on the CopP28 Global Stocktake Agreement,
    • which means rapidly transitioning away from oil, coal and gas, aiming at more than 40% reductions by 2030
• Date: Dec 31, 2023

Nach einer Serie von Katastrophen wehrt sich der neuseeländische Umweltminister James Shaw dagegen, Klimaanpassung gegen Klimaschutz auszuspielen. Er fordert die Stärkung von Communities und den Schutz der wirtschaftlich Schwächsten und damit Verwundbarsten.

Klein, B., Generous, N., Chinazzi, M., Bhadricha, Z., Gunashekar, R., Kori, P., Li, B., McCabe, S., Green, J., Lazer, D., Marsicano, C. R., Scarpino, S. V., & Vespignani, A. (2021). Higher education responses to COVID-19 in the United States: Evidence for the impacts of university policy (p. 2021.10.07.21264419). https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.10.07.21264419

ReconfigBehSci. (2021, December 15). RT @CaulfieldTim: Check out the #OpenWHO course “#Infodemic Management 101” https://openwho.org/courses/infodemic-management-101 via @WHO @TDPurnat cc @ScienceUpFirst @… [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1471132916445061130

IPCC AR6 WG III chapter 5: Demand, services and social aspects of mitigation https://hyp.is/go?url=https%3A%2F%2Freport.ipcc.ch%2Far6wg3%2Fpdf%2FIPCC_AR6_WGIII_FinalDraft_Chapter05.pdf&group=world

Public Annotation of IPCC Report AR6 Climate Change 2022 Mitigation of Climate Change WGIII Chapter 5: Demand, Services and Social Aspects of Mitigation

NOTE: Permission given by one of the lead authors, Felix Creutzig to annotate with caveat that there may be minor changes in the final version.

This annotation explores the potential of mass mobilization of citizens and the commons to effect dramatic demand side reductions. It leverages the potential agency of the public to play a critical role in rapid decarbonization.

As per IPCC AR6 WGIII, Chapter 5 outlining for the first time, the enormous mitigation potential of social aspects of mitigation - such as behavioral change - can add up to 40 percent of mitigation. And also harkening back to Donella Meadows' leverage points that point out shifts in worldviews, paradigms and value systems are the most powerful leverage points in system change.

Stop Reset Go advocates humanity builds an open source, open access praxis for Deep Humanity, understand the depths of what it means to be a living and dying human being in the context of an entwined culture. Sharing best practices and constantly crowdsourcing the universal and salient aspects of our common humanity can help rapidly transform the inner space of each human INTERbeing, which can powerfully influence outer (social) transformation.

In IPCC AR6 WGIII Parlence, middle actors can mediate a community scale change, which becomes a force multiplier for individual change. Supercharging individual change is what can lead to significant scale of impact through many and many types of mesh interventions. The scale of such mesh interventions will have a "trickle up" effect to affect and accelerate the actions of top down actors.

This would be truly empowering as the current agency of the individual at the grassroots level is ineffectual.

Stop Reset Go (SRG) s a simple but powerful meme that is designed to be used by anyone to effect transition. When we recognize that something is harmful and needs to change, SRG can be invoked as a simple rule for transition. The colors of the traffic light are used as a mnemonic aid. If there is a problem with a human process, then STOP. think of an alternative way of achieving the same goal that does not bring about the harm (RESET). When the alternative has been trialed, tested and proven to work without causing more progress traps, then find a way to scale and implement the solution (GO).

SRG therefore becomes a simple mesh intervention that can be applied at all scales and dimensions. Its iterative and recursive use can be tracked in the Indyweb and interventions can be modeled by AI assistants that can analyze for potential unintended consequences through connections outside the focus area of the designer, and not normally explored by the designers. This augers a truly circular design methodology of the lowest potential impact.

IPCC AR6 WGIII Chapter 5: demand, services and social aspects of mitigation identifies that up to 45% of mitigation can result from a demand-side socialization strategy and collective action mobilization. This gives us tremendous power of impact to mobilize people. The low hanging fruit can be identified by comprehensive, ongoing, deep, global conversations with the greatest diversity of actors with a common vision collectively searching for the social tipping points, leverage points and idling resources and scaling massively thru the Indyweb as a cosmolocal network (what's light we share, what's heavy we produce locally).

Climate scientist and realist Professor Kevin Anderson has argued for many years that demand side changes are the only solutions that can be implemented rapidly enough to peak emissions and drop emissions rapidly in the short term (next few years), buying time for reneewable energy solutions to scale globally.

This is the key idea behind mobilizing an effective global, multi-stakeholder, bottom-up response. Minor operations implies an aggregate approach that has little impact, otherwise known colloquially as "tinkering at the edge". IPCC AR6, WGIII Chapter 5 articulates this same message and for the first time, outlines that demand side system changes can play a significant role in mitigation effectiveness against the hyperthreat. It must be collectively organized individual change that scales to community scales around the globe in order to have impact, leveraging what the IPCC call "middle actors".

An effective strategy must be very time sensitive to the short time window to peak emissions so must identify all leverage points, idling resources and social tipping points available to a global bottom-up mobilization.

Taylor, S. (2021). The Psychology of Pandemics. Annual Review of Clinical Psychology. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-clinpsy-072720-020131

Subramanian, S. V., & Kumar, A. (2021). Increases in COVID-19 are unrelated to levels of vaccination across 68 countries and 2947 counties in the United States. European Journal of Epidemiology, 36(12), 1237–1240. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-021-00808-7

Another Angry Woman. (2022, January 1). A reminder that sometimes “living with it” means taking some mitigations, forever, e.g. How in order to live with cholera we make sure our water doesn’t have shit in it by building infrastructure to make sure our water doesn’t have shit in it. [Tweet]. @stavvers. https://twitter.com/stavvers/status/1477362596097536018

Lee, A., Cheng, K. K., Cruickshank, S., & Greenhalgh, T. (n.d.). “We suppressed our scientific imagination”: Four experts examine the big successes and failures of the COVID response so far. The Conversation. Retrieved March 31, 2022, from http://theconversation.com/we-suppressed-our-scientific-imagination-four-experts-examine-the-big-successes-and-failures-of-the-covid-response-so-far-178705

Jia, J. S., Yuan, Y., Jia, J., & Christakis, N. (2022, January 30). Risk perception and behaviour change after personal vaccination for COVID-19 in the USA. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/afyv8

Agrawal, M., Peterson, J., Cohen, J. D., & Griffiths, T. (2022). Stress, Intertemporal Choice, and Mitigation Behavior During the COVID-19 Pandemic. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/ureqg

Catherine Finnecy. (2022, February 11). SPI-M-O currently estimates that a combination of behavioural change...and mitigations (e.g. Testing, self-isolation) are currently reducing transmission by 20–45% [Tweet]. @cfinnecy. https://twitter.com/cfinnecy/status/1492213392681181184

Major COVID course correction immediately required. (n.d.). Retrieved February 7, 2022, from https://ozsage.org/media_releases/major-covid-course-correction-immediately-required/

Drury, P. J. (2021, December 31). the crowd: Three forms of Covid leadership. The Crowd. https://drury-sussex-the-crowd.blogspot.com/2021/12/three-forms-of-covid-leadership.html

Jones, C. M., Diethei, D., Schöning, J., Shrestha, R., Jahnel, T., & Schüz, B. (2021). Social reference cues can reduce misinformation sharing behaviour on social media. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/v6fc9

Deepti Gurdasani on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved 14 November 2021, from https://twitter.com/dgurdasani1/status/1459137846955196419

Al-Hasan, A., Khuntia, J., & Yim, D. (2021). Does Seeing What Others Do Through Social Media Influence Vaccine Uptake and Help in the Herd Immunity Through Vaccination? A Cross-Sectional Analysis. Frontiers in Public Health, 9, 1668. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2021.715931

Meuris, C., Kremer, C., Geerinck, A., Locquet, M., Bruyère, O., Defêche, J., Meex, C., Hayette, M.-P., Duchene, L., Dellot, P., Azarzar, S., Maréchal, N., Sauvage, A.-S., Frippiat, F., Giot, J.-B., Léonard, P., Fombellida, K., Moutschen, M., Durkin, K., … Darcis, G. (2021). Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 After COVID-19 Screening and Mitigation Measures for Primary School Children Attending School in Liège, Belgium. JAMA Network Open, 4(10), e2128757. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.28757

Pagel, C., & Yates, C. A. (2021). Tackling the pandemic with (biased) data. Science, 374(6566), 403–404. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abi6602

Matt Butler on Twitter: “The public’s verdict on SARS-CoV2, the virus causing Covid-19, and the importance this has in Hospitals. Firstly the majority of frontline staff and public surveyed agree #COVIDisAirborne. Yes echo chamber and all but this is the best I have till a big hitter does similar. /1 https://t.co/Yzg9y4NWSM” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved October 10, 2021, from https://twitter.com/mjb302/status/1441580000508092416

@lakens: I’m interested to hear which COVID studies by psychologists you think have had a measurable positive effect on the world. E.g.… [Tweet]. https://twitter.com/lakens/status/1427856489990004741?s=20

On Questions of COVID Mitigation Methods, South Dakotans are Sharply Polarized. (n.d.). South Dakota State University. Retrieved 8 October 2021, from https://www.sdstate.edu/news/2021/09/questions-covid-mitigation-methods-south-dakotans-are-sharply-polarized

Call for applicants for 1st WHO training in infodemic management. (n.d.). Retrieved September 29, 2021, from https://www.who.int/news-room/articles-detail/call-for-applicants-for-1st-who-training-in-infodemic-management

Lessler, J., Grabowski, M. K., Grantz, K. H., Badillo-Goicoechea, E., Metcalf, C. J. E., Lupton-Smith, C., Azman, A. S., & Stuart, E. A. (2021). Household COVID-19 risk and in-person schooling. Science, 372(6546), 1092–1097. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abh2939

How Taiwan triumphed over Covid as the UK faltered. (2021, March 24). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/mar/24/how-taiwan-triumphed-over-covid-as-uk-faltered

Frankham, L., Thorsteinsson, E. B., & Bartik, W. J. (2021). Antenatal Depression and the Impact of COVID-19 Mitigation Efforts in Australia. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/ahn6x

Sridhar. D. (2020) The best way to keep schools open? Stop coronavirus entering them in the first place. The Guardian. Retrieved from: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/aug/24/the-best-way-to-keep-schools-open-stop-coronavirus-entering-them-in-the-first-place

The Independent SAGE Report 18. Retrieved from https://www.independentsage.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Emergency-plan-Oct-2020-FINAL.pdf on 25/10/2020

AI and control of Covid-19 coronavirus. (n.d.). Artificial Intelligence. Retrieved October 15, 2020, from https://www.coe.int/en/web/artificial-intelligence/ai-and-control-of-covid-19-coronavirus

Stevens, S. K., Brustad, R., Gilbert, L., Houge, B., Milbrandt, T., Munson, K., Packard, J., Werneburg, B., & Siddiqui, M. A. (2020). The Use of Empathic Communication During the COVID-19 Outbreak. Journal of Patient Experience, 2374373520962602. https://doi.org/10.1177/2374373520962602

Landi, F., Marzetti, E., Sanguinetti, M., Ciciarello, F., Tritto, M., Benvenuto, F., Bramato, G., Brandi, V., Carfì, A., D’Angelo, E., Fusco, D., Lo Monaco, M. R., Martone, A. M., Pagano, F., Rocchi, S., Rota, E., Russo, A., Salerno, A., Cattani, P., … Bernabei, on behalf of the G. A. C.-19 G. T. (n.d.). Should face masks be worn to contain the spread of COVID-19 in the postlockdown phase? Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. https://doi.org/10.1093/trstmh/traa085

Harries, A. D., Martinez, L., & Chakaya, J. M. (n.d.). SARS-CoV-2: How safe is it to fly and what can be done to enhance protection? Transactions of The Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. https://doi.org/10.1093/trstmh/traa106

COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved October 11, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13625/

Covid-19: Is Behavioural Science The Key To Handle The Pandemic? (n.d.). Retrieved October 10, 2020, from https://www.psychologs.com/article/covid-19-is-behavioral-science-the-key-to-handle-the-pandemic

Kunycky, A., September 16, & 2020. (n.d.). ‘Every drop in the ocean counts.’ Harvard Law Today. Retrieved September 21, 2020, from https://today.law.harvard.edu/every-drop-in-the-ocean-counts/

Gardner, J. M., Willem, L., Wijngaart, W. van der, Kamerlin, S. C. L., Brusselaers, N., & Kasson, P. (2020). Intervention strategies against COVID-19 and their estimated impact on Swedish healthcare capacity. MedRxiv, 2020.04.11.20062133. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.11.20062133

The tricks of using an aeroplane toilet and other ways to reduce your COVID risk while flying. (2020, August 28). https://www.abc.net.au/news/health/2020-08-29/coronavirus-transmission-flights/12593970

COVID-19: Doing It Right. (2020, July 3). Open Mind. https://tamino.wordpress.com/2020/07/03/covid-19-doing-it-right/

Wang, X., Ferro, E. G., Zhou, G., Hashimoto, D., & Bhatt, D. L. (2020). Association Between Universal Masking in a Health Care System and SARS-CoV-2 Positivity Among Health Care Workers. JAMA. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.12897

Here’s how to stop the virus from winning. (2020, June 26). Science. https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2020/06/how-to-stop-coronavirus-surges-from-winning-the-war-cvd/

Adam Kucharski on Twitter: “Controlling COVID-19 means reducing interactions between infectious and susceptible people. This can include measures at individual scale (test/trace/isolate), community scale ('local lockdowns’), or national scale (closed borders/traveller quarantines). 1/” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved July 18, 2020, from https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1278700288115986438

Starominski-Uehara, M. (2020). Reducing the Risks of New Coronavirus in Vulnerable Areas in Brazil [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/4739g

Jarynowski, A., & Płatek, D. (2020). Could Ramadan catalyze or inhibit SARS-CoV-2 spread? Preliminary results [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/725dv

Aiken, E. L., McGough, S. F., Majumder, M. S., Wachtel, G., Nguyen, A. T., Viboud, C., & Santillana, M. (2020). Real-time estimation of disease activity in emerging outbreaks using internet search information. PLOS Computational Biology, 16(8), e1008117. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008117

ReconfigBehSci {@SciBeh} (2020). it's definitely worth considering a broad range of ideas...but does this not run into the same difficulties that plagued "shielding"? Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1297563172723929088

Sherrard-Smith, E., Hogan, A. B., Hamlet, A., Watson, O. J., Whittaker, C., Winskill, P., Ali, F., Mohammad, A. B., Uhomoibhi, P., Maikore, I., Ogbulafor, N., Nikau, J., Kont, M. D., Challenger, J. D., Verity, R., Lambert, B., Cairns, M., Rao, B., Baguelin, M., … Churcher, T. S. (2020). The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa. Nature Medicine, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y

Schalkwyk, M. C. I. van, Hird, T. R., Maani, N., Petticrew, M., & Gilmore, A. B. (2020). The perils of preprints. BMJ, 370. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.m3111. https://t.co/qNPLYCeT99?amp=1

Barnett, M., Buchak, G., & Yannelis, C. (2020). Epidemic Responses Under Uncertainty (Working Paper No. 27289; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27289

Jones, Callum J, Thomas Philippon, and Venky Venkateswaran. ‘Optimal Mitigation Policies in a Pandemic: Social Distancing and Working from Home’. Working Paper. Working Paper Series. National Bureau of Economic Research, April 2020. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26984.

Glover, A., Heathcote, J., Krueger, D., & Ríos-Rull, J.-V. (2020). Health versus Wealth: On the Distributional Effects of Controlling a Pandemic (Working Paper No. 27046; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27046

Atkeson, A., Kopecky, K., & Zha, T. (2020). Estimating and Forecasting Disease Scenarios for COVID-19 with an SIR Model (Working Paper No. 27335; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27335

Briscese, G., Lacetera, N., Macis, M., & Tonin, M. (2020). Compliance with COVID-19 Social-Distancing Measures in Italy: The Role of Expectations and Duration (Working Paper No. 26916; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26916

Irfan, U. (2020, July 10). Why extreme heat is so alarming for the fight against Covid-19. Vox. https://www.vox.com/2020/7/10/21311766/covid-19-coronavirus-heat-wave-hot-texas-arizona

Fonseca, S. C., Rivas, I., Romaguera, D., Quijal-Zamorano, M., Czarlewski, W., Vidal, A., Fonseca, J. A., Ballester, J., Anto, J. M., Basagana, X., Cunha, L. M., & Bousquet, J. (2020). Association between consumption of vegetables and COVID-19 mortality at a country level in Europe. MedRxiv, 2020.07.17.20155846. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.17.20155846

ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: “last week’s issue radar had little response. So will try out polls. The issue: As countries come out of hard lockdown their advice is becoming more nuanced (potentially applying differently across age groups, health conditions, professions, and parts of the country).... 1/6” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved July 18, 2020, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1282252067395043329

Garmendia, A., & Alfonso, S. L. (2020). Popular Reactions To External Threats in Federations. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/qyjtm

DeFranza, David, Mike Lindow, Kevin Harrison, Arul Mishra, and Himanshu Mishra. ‘Religion and Reactance to COVID-19 Mitigation Guidelines’. Preprint. PsyArXiv, 14 July 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/ngdys.

Seyitoğlu, F., & Ivanov, S. H. (2020). Service robots as a tool for physical distancing in tourism [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/k3z6m

Ecker, U. K. H., Butler, L. H., Cook, J., Hurlstone, M. J., Kurz, T., & Lewandowsky, S. (2020). Using the COVID-19 economic crisis to frame climate change as a secondary issue reduces mitigation support. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 101464. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvp.2020.101464

Ecker, U. K. H., Butler, L. H., Cook, J., Hurlstone, M. J., Kurz, T., & Lewandowsky, S. (2020). Using the COVID-19 Economic Crisis to Frame Climate Change as a Secondary Issue Reduces Mitigation Support [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/zc2q8

Free our knowledge. (n.d.). Retrieved June 30, 2020, from https://www.freeourknowledge.org/pages/about/