- Jul 2024
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gemini.google.com gemini.google.com
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The illusion of knowledge: The song questions the notion that speaking confidently on a subject equates to understanding it deeply.
There is a need for intellectual humility within the community of researchers, and society in general. Do not speak confident about that which you do not know.
Relation to Charlie Munger's principle.
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- Apr 2024
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apps.apple.com apps.apple.com
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The Mzanzi kids multilingual language learning App was created for children between the ages of 2-6 years in South Africa. It was designed to stimulate visual, speech and language literacy skills at an early age by understanding basic everyday concepts and highlighting the correct pronunciation of speech in six (6) different languages; English, Afrikaans, IsiXhosa, IsiZulu, Sepedi and Setswana. The integration of images and phonetics provides a good foundation for children to learn and speak in their mother tongue or home language with confidence and fluency, but most importantly comprehend and appreciate the diversity of languages used by South Africans. This multilingual App provides a good introduction before entering a schooling environment, and offers a non-threatening, playful and fun way of learning languages using innovative technology.
This is an app for multilingual language learning. Mine will focus on the mother tongue.
I tried it out for a bit and found the audio very repetitive, which could be problematic. Minecraft had such good audio - C14 or C11? It is fantastically immersive, and the popularity of the game and audio is irrefutable if you look at longevity (games come and go often, and very few manage to stick and have a continuous impact, Minecraft is a good example of an exception to this, alongside other well adjusted and designed games.
I had fun learning the clicks in isiXhoso - something I want to practice, but the audio became too much as i hit the image repeatedly.
There's room for more resources. This application does not speak to all children, and no one application ever will, hence the need for many across a broad range of cultures and diversities.
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archive.org archive.org
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Beware of Mental-Itis! Industrial. The Calvin Company, 1937. http://archive.org/details/0800_Beware_of_Mental-itis_06_00_55_00.
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thegaryhalbertletter.com thegaryhalbertletter.com
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Besides that, we're an arrogant, surly lot most often more interested in dwelling on our divine wonderfulness than we are slaving away on your lowly project.
yes, an impeccable sense of confidence is REQUIRED in this level of success
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- Sep 2023
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github.com github.com
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I'd suggest that you play around a little bit with a vanilla app. Create a brand new app without any additional files, just what rails new generates. See how bin/rails runner Models raises an error because there is no models directory in autoload_paths. Now, put config.autoload_paths += %W(#{config.root}/app) in config/application.rb and observe how bin/rails runner Models just returns a prompt. With the confidence of having that running, then transalate to your app.
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- Jul 2023
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academic.oup.com academic.oup.com
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specific uses of the technology help develop what we call “relational confidence,” or the confidence that one has a close enough relationship to a colleague to ask and get needed knowledge. With greater relational confidence, knowledge sharing is more successful.
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- Apr 2023
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Vicky Zhao indirectly frames the answer for "why have a zettelkasten?", especially for learning, as overcoming the "illusion of competence" which is closely related to the mere-exposure effect and the Dunning–Kruger effect.
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www.schoolofmotion.com www.schoolofmotion.com
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reinforcing audio
Audio(music and sounds) within a video presentation is a tool that can help you engage more with your audience, unfortunately it is a double edged sword. There are times when the audio can fail or be delayed, which can throw off the rhythm of your presentation as well as your confidence. Using audio for edited videos gives the user more control as they can edit the audio to their liking.
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- Mar 2023
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www-nejm-org.manchester.idm.oclc.org www-nejm-org.manchester.idm.oclc.org
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interval
The probabilyty that 95% of the populaton will fall within this range
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- Jan 2023
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philosophybreak.com philosophybreak.com
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Confidence is the middle way between self-deprecation (deficiency) and arrogance (excess).
Уверенность — это средний путь между самоуничижением (недостаток) и высокомерием (избыток).
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www.tri-cityherald.com www.tri-cityherald.com
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In short, the agency put forth a rule that addresses the problem head-on without prevaricating or kowtowing to corporate America.
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- Oct 2022
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gamefound.com gamefound.com
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After the first week of the campaign, we realized what are the main problematic pillars and fixed them right away. Nevertheless, even with these improvements and strong support from the Gamefound team, we’re not even close to achieving the backer numbers with which we could safely promise to create a game of the quality we think it deserves.
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Local file Local file
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To be able to trustone's own experience, even if it often turns out to beinadequate, is one mark of the mature workman. Suchconfidence in o n e ' s own experience is indispensable tooriginality in any intellectual pursuit, and the file is onetool by which I have tried to develop and justify suchconfidence.
The function of memory served by having written notes is what allows the serious researcher or thinker to have greater confidence in their work, potentially more free from cognitive bias as one idea can be directly compared and contrasted with another by direct juxtaposition.
Tags
Annotators
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- Aug 2022
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www.bps.org.uk www.bps.org.uk
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Decision-making in uncertainty | BPS. (n.d.). Retrieved November 22, 2021, from https://www.bps.org.uk/events/decision-making-uncertainty
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forum.zettelkasten.de forum.zettelkasten.de
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I'm currently in a second master's program with a thesis coming up in about 8 months. I could not write my reports without my ZK. No going back for me! I'm also now more confident that I could pursue a PhD.
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- Mar 2022
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci. (2022, January 26). RT @PsyArXivBot: Confidence of others trumps confidence of self in social information use https://t.co/Tvanez1cjS [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1502295445527277574
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- Feb 2022
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healthydebate.ca healthydebate.ca
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Enough with the harassment: How to deal with anti-vax cults. (2022, January 26). Healthy Debate. https://healthydebate.ca/2022/01/topic/how-to-deal-with-anti-vax-cults/
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Gradassi, A., Bos, W. van den, & Molleman, L. (2022). Confidence of others trumps confidence of self in social information use. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/mqyu2
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- Dec 2021
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healthydebate.ca healthydebate.ca
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Vaccination among the pregnant lagging despite growing evidence of safety and efficacy. (2021, December 10). Healthy Debate. https://healthydebate.ca/2021/12/topic/vaccination-pregnant-safe-efficacy/
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arxiv.org arxiv.org
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Kan, U., Feng, M., & Porter, M. A. (2021). An Adaptive Bounded-Confidence Model of Opinion Dynamics on Networks. ArXiv:2112.05856 [Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2112.05856
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Pickles, K., Copp, T., Dodd, R. H., Cvejic, E., Seale, H., Steffens, M. S., Meyerowitz-Katz, G., Bonner, C., & McCaffery, K. (2021). COVID-19 vaccine intentions in Australia. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 21(12), 1627–1628. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00686-1
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- Nov 2021
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www.cnbc.com www.cnbc.com
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A list of useless filler phrases and softeners that are generally unnecessary. including the word "just". Worth exploring these in more depth.
I'm not sure I believe the "think"/"believe" one.
“I think this would ...” What to say instead: “I believe this would …”
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drive.google.com drive.google.com
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teachers’ confidencein their own basic IT skills promotes positive attitudes to online learning and that peer tutoring plays animportant role in teachers’ learning
- Disparities caused and/or exacerbated as a result of the forced transition to online learning.
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acpinternist.org acpinternist.org
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Frost, M. (n.d.). Busting COVID-19 vaccination myths. Retrieved November 2, 2021, from https://acpinternist.org/archives/2021/11/busting-covid-19-vaccination-myths.htm
Tags
- data
- social media
- safety
- young people
- disinformation
- online
- vaccine
- vaccination rate
- campaign
- USA
- health information
- COVID-19
- vaccine confidence
- FDA
- misinformation
- is:webpage
- trust
- immunization
- misconception
- speaking engagement
- public confidence
- anti-vaccine
- vaccine effectiveness
- lang:en
- risk
- infodemic
- mortality
- BIPOC
Annotators
URL
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- Oct 2021
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www.euro.who.int www.euro.who.int
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Denmark campaign rebuilds confidence in HPV vaccination. (n.d.). Retrieved October 6, 2021, from https://www.euro.who.int/en/health-topics/disease-prevention/vaccines-and-immunization/news/news/2018/3/denmark-campaign-rebuilds-confidence-in-hpv-vaccination
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Annotators
URL
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Larson, H. J., Hartigan-Go, K., & de Figueiredo, A. (2018). Vaccine confidence plummets in the Philippines following dengue vaccine scare: Why it matters to pandemic preparedness. Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics, 15(3), 625–627. https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2018.1522468
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Basol, M., Roozenbeek, J., & van der Linden, S. (n.d.). Good News about Bad News: Gamified Inoculation Boosts Confidence and Cognitive Immunity Against Fake News. Journal of Cognition, 3(1), 2. https://doi.org/10.5334/joc.91
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orb-international.com orb-international.com
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orb-developer. (2021, June 4). Vaccine Confidence Tracker: UK. ORB International. https://orb-international.com/2021/06/04/vaccine-confidence-tracker-uk/
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link.springer.com link.springer.com
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Shahsavari, S., Holur, P., Wang, T., Tangherlini, T. R., & Roychowdhury, V. (2020). Conspiracy in the time of corona: automatic detection of emerging COVID-19 conspiracy theories in social media and the news. Journal of Computational Social Science, 3(2), 279–317. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42001-020-00086-5
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www.vaccinestoday.eu www.vaccinestoday.eu
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Finnegan, G. (2021, September 8). How France overcame COVID-19 vaccine scepticism. VaccinesToday. https://www.vaccinestoday.eu/stories/how-france-overcame-covid-19-vaccine-scepticism/
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- Sep 2021
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docs.google.com docs.google.com
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confidence
a feeling of being certain of your ability to do things well:
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Glenza, J. (2021, September 27). How the US vaccine effort derailed and why we shouldn’t be surprised. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/sep/27/us-vaccine-effort-derailed
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- Aug 2021
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cgdev.org cgdev.org
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Center For Global Development. “Three New Estimates of India’s All-Cause Excess Mortality during the COVID-19 Pandemic.” Accessed August 11, 2021. https://cgdev.org/publication/three-new-estimates-indias-all-cause-excess-mortality-during-covid-19-pandemic.
Tags
- age-specific infection fatality rates
- civil registration
- India
- data source
- death
- Coronavirus
- attendant accountability
- authoritative estimate
- is:article
- Consumer Pyramid Household Survey
- lang:en
- statistical confidence
- COVID-19
- pandemic
Annotators
URL
cgdev.org/publication/three-new-estimates-indias-all-cause-excess-mortality-during-covid-19-pandemic -
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thebulletin.org thebulletin.org
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How to trash confidence in a COVID-19 vaccine: Brexit edition—Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. (n.d.). Retrieved August 10, 2021, from https://thebulletin.org/2021/08/how-to-trash-confidence-in-a-covid-19-vaccine-brexit-edition/#.YQwD9u6LazM.twitter
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www.kff.org www.kff.org
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Lopes, L., Stokes, M., & 2021. (2021, June 30). KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor: June 2021. KFF. https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-covid-19/poll-finding/kff-covid-19-vaccine-monitor-june-2021/
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- Jul 2021
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allafrica.com allafrica.com
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Leah Keating on Twitter: “This work with @DavidJPOS and @gleesonj is now on arXiv (https://t.co/hxjZnCmKcM): ‘A multi-type branching process method for modelling complex contagion on clustered networks’ Here is a quick overview of our paper: (1/6) https://t.co/3jQ2flhk71” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved July 23, 2021, from https://twitter.com/leahakeating/status/1418150117106978816
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www.journals.uchicago.edu www.journals.uchicago.edu
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Heesen, R., & Bright, L. K. (2020). Is Peer Review a Good Idea? The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 000–000. https://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axz029
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Jensen, U., Ayers, S., & Koskan, A. (2021). Video-based messages to reduce COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and nudge uptake. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/df9qw
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medium.com medium.com
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It’s fun but when would we ever use things like this in actual code?When it’s well tested, commented, documented, and becomes an understood idiom of your code base.We focus so much on black magic and avoiding it that we rarely have a chance to enjoy any of the benefits. When used responsibly and when necessary, it gives a lot of power and expressiveness.
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www.ecdc.europa.eu www.ecdc.europa.eu
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Countering online vaccine misinformation in the EU/EEA. (n.d.). Retrieved July 2, 2021, from https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/countering-online-vaccine-misinformation-eu-eea
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- Jun 2021
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thisisourshot.ca thisisourshot.ca
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Home—This Is Our Shot Canada. (n.d.). Retrieved June 28, 2021, from https://thisisourshot.ca/
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science.sciencemag.org science.sciencemag.org
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Larson, H. J., & Broniatowski, D. A. (2021). Volatility of vaccine confidence. Science, 371(6536), 1289–1289. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abi6488
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www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
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Mahase, E. (2021). Covid-19: UK has highest vaccine confidence and Japan and South Korea the lowest, survey finds. BMJ, n1439. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n1439
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- May 2021
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Remmel, A. (2021). ‘It’s a minefield’: COVID vaccine safety poses unique communication challenge. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-01257-8
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journals.sagepub.com journals.sagepub.com
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Dunn, E. W., Chen, L., Proulx, J. D. E., Ehrlinger, J., & Savalei, V. (2021). Can Researchers’ Personal Characteristics Shape Their Statistical Inferences? Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 47(6), 969–984. https://doi.org/10.1177/0146167220950522
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Vaccine confidence fears as under-30s in UK offered AstraZeneca alternative. (2021, April 7). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/apr/07/under-30s-in-uk-should-be-offered-alternative-covid-vaccine-to-astrazeneca-jab-says-regulator
Tags
- Oxford
- alternative
- under-30s
- AstraZeneca
- UK
- blood clots
- low risk
- lang:en
- young women
- COVID-19
- vaccine confidence
- is:news
- Europe
Annotators
URL
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Sturgis, P., Brunton-Smith, I., & Jackson, J. (2021). Trust in science, social consensus and vaccine confidence. Nature Human Behaviour. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01115-7
Tags
- scepticism
- science
- scientific trust
- country-level differences
- is:article
- vaccine
- social consensus
- vaccine hesitancy
- COVID-19
- vaccine confidence
- behavioral science
- trust
- immunization
- herd immunity
- anti-vaxxer
- lang:en
- epidemiology
- vaccination uptake
- vaccine acceptance
- societal consensus
Annotators
URL
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Politicians must dial down the rhetoric over COVID vaccines. (2021). Nature, 591(7851), 502–502. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-00769-7
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blogs.bmj.com blogs.bmj.com
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How will covid-19 vaccine safety concerns impact vaccine confidence? (2021, April 16). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/04/16/how-will-the-uks-decision-to-offer-an-alternative-to-the-oxford-astrazeneca-covid-19-vaccine-for-under-30s-following-safety-signals-impact-vaccine-confidence/
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Ben Wakana. (2021, April 14). NEW POLL: The J&J pause makes people more confident in vaccines, not less. M-O-R-E C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N-T https://t.co/bqe6bTBwiR [Tweet]. @benwakana46. https://twitter.com/benwakana46/status/1382436908689657867
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www.kff.org www.kff.org
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KFF. “KFF COVID-19 Vaccine Monitor – April 2021,” May 6, 2021. https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-covid-19/poll-finding/kff-covid-19-vaccine-monitor-april-2021/.
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thehill.com thehill.com
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It’s too soon to declare vaccine victory—Four strategies for continued progress | TheHill. (n.d.). Retrieved May 12, 2021, from https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/552219-its-too-soon-to-declare-covid-vaccine-victory-four-strategies-for
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Approaching email development this way transitions more of the quality assurance (QA) process to the browser instead of the email client. It gives email designers more power, control, and confidence in developing an email that will render gracefully across all email clients.
can mostly test with browser and have less need (but still not no need) to test with email client
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- Apr 2021
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Keenan, E. (2021, April 14). Doctors weigh in as U.S. pauses use of Johnson & Johnson vaccine. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/news/world/2021/04/13/im-not-losing-sleep-over-this-doctors-weigh-in-as-us-pauses-use-of-johnson-johnson-vaccine.html
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci. ‘RT @benwakana46: NEW POLL: The J&J Pause Makes People more Confident in Vaccines, Not Less. M-O-R-E C-O-N-F-I-D-E-N-T Https://T.Co/Bq…’. Tweet. @SciBeh (blog), 14 April 2021. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1382618891222925314.
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Céline Gounder, MD, ScM, FIDSA. (2021, April 14). With all due respect to @NateSilver538, he is not an expert on the psychology of vaccine confidence. He is a poll aggregator and political pundit. He is not an infectious disease specialist, epidemiologist, vaccinologist, virologist, immunologist, or behavioral scientist. Https://t.co/HBrI6zj9aa [Tweet]. @celinegounder. https://twitter.com/celinegounder/status/1382299663269761024
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- Mar 2021
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www-sciencedirect.ez29.periodicos.capes.gov.br www-sciencedirect.ez29.periodicos.capes.gov.br
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Larson, H. J., Cooper, L. Z., Eskola, J., Katz, S. L., & Ratzan, S. (2011). Addressing the vaccine confidence gap. The Lancet, 378(9790), 526–535. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(11)60678-8
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Larson, H. J., Jarrett, C., Eckersberger, E., Smith, D. M. D., & Paterson, P. (2014). Understanding vaccine hesitancy around vaccines and vaccination from a global perspective: A systematic review of published literature, 2007–2012. Vaccine, 32(19), 2150–2159. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2014.01.081
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Figueiredo, A. de, Simas, C., Karafillakis, E., Paterson, P., & Larson, H. J. (2020). Mapping global trends in vaccine confidence and investigating barriers to vaccine uptake: A large-scale retrospective temporal modelling study. The Lancet, 396(10255), 898–908. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31558-0
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Finnegan, G., Holt, D., English, P. M., Glismann, S., Thomson, A., Salisbury, D. M., Bogaerts, H., & Bonanni, P. (2018). Lessons from an online vaccine communication project. Vaccine, 36(44), 6509–6511. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.05.007
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www.biorxiv.org www.biorxiv.org
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Bertana, A., Chetverikov, A., Bergen, R. S. van, Ling, S., & Jehee, J. F. M. (2020). Dual strategies in human confidence judgments. BioRxiv, 2020.09.17.299743. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.17.299743
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Rahnev, D. (2020). Confidence in the Real World. Trends in Cognitive Sciences. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tics.2020.05.005
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www.pewresearch.org www.pewresearch.org
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NW, 1615 L. St, Suite 800Washington, and DC 20036USA202-419-4300 | Main202-857-8562 | Fax202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. ‘Intent to Get a COVID-19 Vaccine Rises to 60% as Confidence in Research and Development Process Increases’. Pew Research Center Science & Society (blog), 3 December 2020. https://www.pewresearch.org/science/2020/12/03/intent-to-get-a-covid-19-vaccine-rises-to-60-as-confidence-in-research-and-development-process-increases/.
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Boseley, S. (2021, March 15). Coronavirus: report scathing on UK government’s handling of data. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/mar/15/mp-report-scathing-on-uk-goverment-handling-and-sharing-of-covid-data
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www.pnas.org www.pnas.org
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Mendels, D.-A., Dortet, L., Emeraud, C., Oueslati, S., Girlich, D., Ronat, J.-B., Bernabeu, S., Bahi, S., Atkinson, G. J. H., & Naas, T. (2021). Using artificial intelligence to improve COVID-19 rapid diagnostic test result interpretation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(12). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2019893118
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- Feb 2021
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www.wsj.com www.wsj.com
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We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April
Overall scientific credibility: 'very low', according to scientists who analyzed this article.
Find more details in Health Feedback's analysis
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www.nejm.org www.nejm.org
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Placebo-Controlled Trials of Covid-19 Vaccines—Why We Still Need Them. (2021). New England Journal of Medicine, 384(2), e2. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMp2033538
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Hickok, A., Kureh, Y., Brooks, H. Z., Feng, M., & Porter, M. A. (2021). A Bounded-Confidence Model of Opinion Dynamics on Hypergraphs. ArXiv:2102.06825 [Nlin, Physics:Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2102.06825
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Vaccine experts defend UK decision to delay second Pfizer Covid jab. (2021, January 23). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/23/vaccine-experts-defend-uk-decision-to-delay-second-pfizer-covid-jab
Tags
- dose
- government
- vaccine
- UK
- BMA
- isolated
- vaccination
- strategy
- COVID-19
- is:news
- protection
- population
- international
- public
- lang:en
- confidence
- delay
- policy
Annotators
URL
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Mega, E. R. (2021). Trust in COVID vaccines is growing. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-00368-6
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- Jan 2021
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sciencing.com sciencing.com
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What is vaccine hesitancy and why do so many people have it? (n.d.). Vogue India. Retrieved 13 January 2021, from https://www.vogue.in/wellness/content/what-is-vaccine-hesitancy-and-why-do-so-many-people-have-it
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- Oct 2020
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metascience.com metascience.com
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Fiona Fidler: Misinterpretations of evidence, and worse misinterpretations of evidence (Video). (n.d.). Metascience.com. Retrieved 29 October 2020, from https://metascience.com/events/metascience-2019-symposium/fiona-fidler-misinterpretations-of-evidence/
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stackoverflow.com stackoverflow.com
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Final Form makes the assumption that your validation functions are "pure" or "idempotent", i.e. will always return the same result when given the same values. This is why it doesn't run the synchronous validation again (just to double check) before allowing the submission: because it's already stored the results of the last time it ran it.
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- Sep 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Antoniou, Rea, Heather Romero-Kornblum, J. Clayton Young, Michelle You, Joel Kramer, and Winston Chiong. ‘No Utilitarians in a Pandemic? Shifts in Moral Reasoning during the COVID-19 Global Health Crisis’, 21 September 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/yjn3u.
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Susan Athey, July 22, 2020. (2020, August 2). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hqTOPrUxDzM
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www.pmo.gov.sg www.pmo.gov.sg
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katherine_chen. (2020, June 17). PMO | National Broadcast by PM Lee Hsien Loong on 7 June 2020 [Text]. Prime Minister’s Office Singapore; katherine_chen. http://www.pmo.gov.sg/Newsroom/National-Broadcast-PM-Lee-Hsien-Loong-COVID-19
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Any typescript definitions exported from this library should be tested, otherwise it can cause real pain and doubt for ts users.
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- Aug 2020
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osf.io osf.io
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Pickup, M., Stecula, D., & van der Linden, C. (2020). Novel coronavirus, old partisanship: COVID-19 attitudes and behaviors in the United States and Canada [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/5gy3d
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Gruijters, Stefan L.K. ‘The Fallacy of Manipulation “Checks” in Psychological Experiments’. Preprint. PsyArXiv, 20 August 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/fkzv5.
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jamanetwork.com jamanetwork.com
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Califf, Robert M., Adrian F. Hernandez, and Martin Landray. ‘Weighing the Benefits and Risks of Proliferating Observational Treatment Assessments: Observational Cacophony, Randomized Harmony’. JAMA 324, no. 7 (18 August 2020): 625–26. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.13319.
Tags
- proliferating observational treatment
- randomised clinical trials
- noise
- is:report
- COVID-19
- benefits
- benefits and risks
- confusion
- therapies
- reliable truth
- assessments
- observational
- false confidence
- RCTs
- lang:en
- causation
- epidemiology
- nonrandomised studies
- risks
- treatment
- clinical management
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academic.oup.com academic.oup.com
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Lavoie, K. (2019). Applying behavioural science to improve physicians’ ability to help people improve their own health behaviours. European Journal of Public Health, 29(Supplement_4). https://doi.org/10.1093/eurpub/ckz185.812
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- Jul 2020
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www.nber.org www.nber.org
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Aksoy, C. G., Eichengreen, B., & Saka, O. (2020). The Political Scar of Epidemics (Working Paper No. 27401; Working Paper Series). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27401
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osf.io osf.io
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Aksoy, C. G., Eichengreen, B., & Saka, O. (2020). The Political Scar of Epidemics [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/p25nh
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Aksoy, C. G., Eichengreen, B., & Saka, O. (2020). Revenge of the Experts: Will COVID-19 Renew or Diminish Public Trust in Science? [Preprint]. SocArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/5ym9n
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Kim, H., & Florack, A. (2020). When Social Interaction Backfires: Frequent Social Interaction during the COVID-19 Pandemic Period Is Associated with Decreased Well-Being and Higher Panic Buying. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/sg5vx
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Chan, H., Torgler, B., Brumpton, M., Macintyre, A., Arapoc, J., Savage, D. A., … Stadelmann, D. (2020, July 3). How confidence in health care systems affects mobility and compliance during the COVID-19 pandemic. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/86qxu
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- Jun 2020
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved June 22, 2020, from https://twitter.com/JASPStats/status/1274764017752592384
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Henley, J. (2020, June 6). Merkel among winners as Europeans give verdict on anti-Covid battles. The Observer. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/06/no-european-leader-is-safe-as-public-lose-faith-in-coronavirus-responses
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Angner, E. (2020, May 11). "Terrific assessment of projections of demand for Swedish ICU beds. The first two panels are model-based projections by academics; the third is a simple extrapolation by the public-health authority; the fourth is the actual outcome /1." Twitter. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1260121561861939200
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psycnet.apa.org psycnet.apa.org
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Attali, Y., Budescu, D., & Arieli-Attali, M. (2020). An item response approach to calibration of confidence judgments. Decision, 7(1), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1037/dec0000111
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Lunn, P. D., Timmons, S., Julienne, H., Belton, C., Barjaková, M., Lavin, C., & McGowan, F. P. (2020). Using Decision Aids to Support Self-Isolation During the COVID-19 Pandemic [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/fngx5
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Moore, D. A., & Schatz, D. (2020). Overprecision increases subsequent surprise [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/wfcbv
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- May 2020
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kellysutton.com kellysutton.com
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The test is being marked as skipped because it has randomly failed. How much confidence do we have in that test and feature in the first place.
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“Make it work” means shipping something that doesn’t break. The code might be ugly and difficult to understand, but we’re delivering value to the customer and we have tests that give us confidence. Without tests, it’s hard to answer “Does this work?”
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Mandel, D. R., Collins, R. N., Risko, E. F., & Fugelsang, J. A. (2020). Effect of Confidence Interval Construction on Judgment Accuracy. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/mktgj
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www.w3.org www.w3.org
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The "'strict-dynamic'" source expression aims to make Content Security Policy simpler to deploy for existing applications who have a high degree of confidence in the scripts they load directly, but low confidence in their ability to provide a reasonable list of resources to load up front.
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psycnet.apa.org psycnet.apa.org
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Can we count on parents to help their children learn at home? (2020, May 8). Evidence for Action. https://blogs.unicef.org/evidence-for-action/can-we-count-on-parents-to-help-their-children-learn-at-home/
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Fischer, H., & Said, N. (2020, May 12). Metacognition_ClimateChange_Fischer&Said_Preprint. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/fd6gy
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Van den Akker, O., Weston, S. J., Campbell, L., Chopik, W. J., Damian, R. I., Davis-Kean, P., Hall, A. N., Kosie, J. E., Kruse, E. T., Olsen, J., Ritchie, S. J., Valentine, K. D., van ’t Veer, A. E., & Bakker, M. (2019). Preregistration of secondary data analysis: A template and tutorial [Preprint]. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/hvfmr
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- Apr 2020
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Sibley, C. G., Greaves, L., Satherley, N., Wilson, M., Lee, C., Milojev, P., … Barlow, F. (2020, April 20). Short-term effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and a nationwide lockdown on institutional trust, attitudes to government, health and wellbeing. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/cx6qa
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behavioralscientist.org behavioralscientist.org
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Epistemic Humility—Knowing Your Limits in a Pandemic—By Erik Angner. (2020, April 13). Behavioral Scientist. https://behavioralscientist.org/epistemic-humility-coronavirus-knowing-your-limits-in-a-pandemic/
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www.troyhunt.com www.troyhunt.com
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In the past, I've had people approach me with all sorts of creative means by which I could store this data and make it available to people. But no matter how good a crypto solution I come up with, being able to hand-on-heart say "I don't store passwords in HIBP" is enormously important. Not "I store them but I've been really, really, really careful with them" because that always leaves an element of doubt in people's minds.
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- Mar 2020
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www.thesun.co.uk www.thesun.co.uk
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Melting glaciers reveal LOST island in Antarctica – and humans are already visiting it
Overall scientific credibility: 'low' according to the scientists who analyzed this article.
Find more details in Climate Feedback's analysis
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- Feb 2020
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about.gitlab.com about.gitlab.com
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development is hard because you have to preserve the ability to quickly improve the product in the future
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- Nov 2019
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www.dailymail.co.uk www.dailymail.co.uk
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Breakthrough as scientists create a new cowpox-style virus that can kill EVERY type of cancer
Overall scientific credibility: 'neutral', according to scientists who analyzed this article.
Find more details in Health Feedback's analysis
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kentcdodds.com kentcdodds.com
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Because they're more integrated and try to serialize an incomplete system (e.g. one with some kind of side effects: from browser/library/runtime versions to environment to database/API changes), they will tend to have high false-negatives (failing test for which the production code is actually fine and the test just needs to be changed). False negatives quickly erode the team's trust in a test to actually find bugs and instead come to be seen as a chore on a checklist they need to satisfy before they can move on to the next thing.
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kentcdodds.com kentcdodds.com
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But isn't the point of testing to be confident the application works? Who cares if your unit works if the app is broken? I definitely want to know if the third party component I'm using breaks my use case. I mean, I'm not going to rewrite their entire test base, but if I can easily test my use case by not mocking out their component then why not do that and get the extra confidence?
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So finally I'm coming out with it and explaining why I never use shallow rendering and why I think nobody else should either. Here's my main assertion:With shallow rendering, I can refactor my component's implementation and my tests break. With shallow rendering, I can break my application and my tests say everything's still working.This is highly concerning to me because not only does it make testing frustrating, but it also lulls you into a false sense of security. The reason I write tests is to be confident that my application works and there are far better ways to do that than shallow rendering.
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kickass.partners kickass.partners
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We're not just fast, we know where we're going.
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You’ll rest easy at night, knowing that the proper amount of automated test coverage is in place and protecting your product from unintentional breakage.
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medium.com medium.com
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Unit test coverage grants confidence that code logic is correct(and serves as great developer documentation!)
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testing-library.com testing-library.com
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You want to write maintainable tests for your React components. As a part of this goal, you want your tests to avoid including implementation details of your components and rather focus on making your tests give you the confidence for which they are intended. As part of this, you want your testbase to be maintainable in the long run so refactors of your components (changes to implementation but not functionality) don't break your tests and slow you and your team down.
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The more your tests resemble the way your software is used, the more confidence they can give you.
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- Sep 2019
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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The Best Probiotics
Overall scientific credibility: 'high', according to scientists who analyzed this article.
Find more details in Health Feedback's analysis
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- Mar 2019
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elearningindustry.com elearningindustry.com
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This page describes a method of teaching designed specifically for adults. The instructional design theory is Keller's "ARCS," which stands for attention, relevance, confidence, and satisfaction--all features that adult learning experiences should be characterized by. The text on this page is readable but the popups and graphics are a bit annoying. rating 3/5
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- Feb 2019
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www.auccaravan.com www.auccaravan.com
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the vote of no confidence
See the February 10, 2019 article in The Caravan about the AUC University Senate's 80% vote of no confidence in the AUC president and his administration.
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- Dec 2018
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highline.huffingtonpost.com highline.huffingtonpost.com
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Everything You Know About Obesity Is Wrong
Overall scientific credibility: 'debated', according to scientists who analyzed this article.
Find more details in Health Feedback's analysis
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- Nov 2018
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iphysresearch.github.io iphysresearch.github.io
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Learning Confidence Sets using Support Vector Machines
也是一篇讨论“置信度”的文章。将二分类问题转化为一个分别独立的“三分类”问题,且分类边界可学习,而边界的取定用 SVM。文章里似乎有不少详尽的数学理论推导,值得练手推推看~
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Inhibited Softmax for Uncertainty Estimation in Neural Networks
这种关乎网络“置信度confidence”或者叫“不确定度uncentainty”的 paper 还是挺有意义的,虽然现在还是婆说婆有理的阶段。文内综述了很多 Related 工作,还是挺值得 mark 下的。作者提的Inhibited Softmax蛮好理解的,另repo里放了不少ipynb文档[good]。
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Learning Confidence for Out-of-Distribution Detection in Neural Networks
此文对我来说,值得好好看一看~
关键在于最后一层处,并行的多安排了一层表示学习confidence 的输出层。不过,总觉得这种操作很片面,有点以偏概全~
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www.virclass.net www.virclass.net
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blog is called Rebecca’s Pocket. In her oft-cited essay “Weblogs: a history and perspective”, she writes about how blogging not only helped her gain knowledge about herself and her own interests, blogging actually led her to value more highly her own opinion and her own point of view. Partly, this was because she carefully considered her ideas as she wrote.
This demonstrates how blogging is one of those informal yet vital places where people become great writers.
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- Jul 2018
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This result is consistent with analysis by the data science team at Quora, a site where users ask and answer questions. That team found that women use uncertain words and phrases more often than men do, even when they are just as confident.
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- Jul 2016
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thesocialwrite.com thesocialwrite.com
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You might even notice that your confidence isn’t the only thing that goes up, this was my first step in growing internally, and you’ll find that in the end Social Development isn’t just about learning to talk to other people, it’s a deep discovery about who you truly are.
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Basically it makes you go from walking in a mild pace towards your goals to sprinting at them full speed with a rocket pack strapped to your back!
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Self-Acceptance + Self Assurance = Confidence
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- Jan 2016
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www.gutenberg.org www.gutenberg.org
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I am now viewing the "Workman's Sandwich" and wondering what it would take humankind to provide the WorkWOMAN's Sandwich... Ladies on the job deserve just as much roast beef as any male laborer. If I may, I'd like to propose an ideal sandwich: it would include the contents of; Cheese churned from the breast milk of strong, independent mothers, Turkey of the female farmer's land, and mustard from a female CEO-owned grocery store on Wall Street.
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- Oct 2013
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rhetoric.eserver.org rhetoric.eserver.org
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Let reading, therefore, be at first sure, then continuous, and for a long time slow, until, by exercise, a correct quickness is gained.
learning at their own pace and building confidence along the way.
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rhetoric.eserver.org rhetoric.eserver.org
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we believe that we cannot and shall not fail, or that we shall succeed completely
confidence is key to success
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Confidence is, about what things we feel it, and under what conditions. It is the opposite of fear, and what causes it is the opposite of what causes fear; it is, therefore, the expectation associated with a mental picture of the nearness of what keeps us safe and the absence or remoteness of what is terrible: it may be due either to the near presence of what inspires confidence or to the absence of what causes alarm.
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rhetoric.eserver.org rhetoric.eserver.org
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the three, namely, that induce us to believe a thing apart from any proof of it: good sense, good moral character, and goodwill
these things are confidence builders
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URL
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