- Mar 2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: ‘1 week to the SciBeh workshop “Building an online information environment for policy relevant science” Join us, register now! Topics: Crisis open science, interfacing to policy, online discourse, tools for research curation talks, panels, hackathons https://t.co/Gsr66BRGcJ https://t.co/uRrhSb9t05’ / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved 2 March 2021, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1323207455283826690
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Rowland Manthorpe. (2020, December 16). What’s happening with the data about the vaccine? Well, let’s put it this way: There’s a lot to sort out A THREAD on my reporting today [Tweet]. @rowlsmanthorpe. https://twitter.com/rowlsmanthorpe/status/1339347825147195392
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www.propublica.org www.propublica.org
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Kao, R. Z., Paul Mozur,Aaron Krolik,Jeff. (n.d.). Leaked Documents Show How China’s Army of Paid Internet Trolls Helped Censor the Coronavirus. ProPublica. Retrieved 2 March 2021, from https://www.propublica.org/article/leaked-documents-show-how-chinas-army-of-paid-internet-trolls-helped-censor-the-coronavirus
Tags
- China
- social media
- policy
- virus
- censor
- pandemic
- misinformation
- COVID-19
- internet
- outbreak
- is:article
- media
- propaganda
- lang:en
- government
Annotators
URL
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci. (2020, November 9). Session 2: The policy interface followed with a really helpful presentation by Lindsey Pike, from Bristol, and then panel discussion with Mirjam Jenny (Robert Koch Insitute), Paulina Lang (UK Cabinet Office), Rachel McCloy (Reading Uni.), and Rene van Bavel (European Commission) [Tweet]. @SciBeh. https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1325795286065815552
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www.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com
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Covid-19 Isn’t the Only Thing Shortening American Lives. (2021, February 23). Bloomberg.Com. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-02-23/covid-19-isn-t-the-only-thing-shortening-american-lives
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Behaviour change: Guides for national and local government and partners. (n.d.). GOV.UK. Retrieved 1 March 2021, from https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/behaviour-change-guide-for-local-government-and-partners
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www.ons.gov.uk www.ons.gov.uk
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All data related to Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, UK: 24 December 2020—Office for National Statistics. (n.d.). Retrieved 1 March 2021, from https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/24december2020/relateddata
Tags
- is:webpage
- policy
- infection
- pandemic
- transmissibility
- COVID-19
- community
- government
- lang:en
- household transmissibility
- household
- health
Annotators
URL
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- Feb 2021
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Partha, D., & David, P. A. (1994). Toward a new economics of science. Research Policy, 23(5), 487–521. https://doi.org/10.1016/0048-7333(94)01002-1
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www.scientificamerican.com www.scientificamerican.com
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McKenna, S. (n.d.). COVID Models Show How to Avoid Future Lockdowns. Scientific American. Retrieved 26 February 2021, from https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/covid-models-show-how-to-avoid-future-lockdowns/
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osf.io osf.io
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Armeni, Kristijan, Loek Brinkman, Rickard Carlsson, Anita Eerland, Rianne Fijten, Robin Fondberg, Vera Ellen Heininga, et al. ‘Towards Wide-Scale Adoption of Open Science Practices: The Role of Open Science Communities’. MetaArXiv, 6 October 2020. https://doi.org/10.31222/osf.io/7gct9.
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Health Nerd. (2021, February 1). The story continues—After @ikashnitsky and I pointed out that this paper was mathematically impossible, and had numerous errors, it was partially corrected Now, the lead author is calling us ‘trolls’ [Tweet]. @GidMK. https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1356085063998267398
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fsi.stanford.edu fsi.stanford.edu
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Wenner, A. (2020, October 28). Society Needs to Adapt to a World of Widespread Disinformation. https://Fsi.Stanford.Edu/. https://fsi.stanford.edu/news/society-needs-adapt-world-widespread-disinformation
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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Scudellari, M. (2020). How the pandemic might play out in 2021 and beyond. Nature, 584(7819), 22–25. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02278-5
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Dickie, Mure, and John Burn-Murdoch. ‘Scotland Reaps Dividend of Covid Response That Diverged from England’, 25 February 2021. https://www.ft.com/content/e1eddd2f-cb0b-4c7a-8872-2783810fae8d.
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www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
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Covid in Scotland: Nicola Sturgeon unveils ‘cautious’ route out of lockdown. (2021, February 23). BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-56170916
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Pskowski, M. (2021, February 24). ‘It doesn’t feel worth it’: Covid-19 is pushing New York’s EMTs to the brink. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/feb/24/new-york-paramedics-emts-covid-19-pandemic
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Siva, N. (2021). Severe mental illness: Reassessing COVID-19 vaccine priorities. The Lancet, 397(10275), 657. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00429-3
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theconversation.com theconversation.com
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Hyde, Z. (n.d.). Herd immunity is the end game for the pandemic, but the AstraZeneca vaccine won’t get us there. The Conversation. Retrieved 24 February 2021, from http://theconversation.com/herd-immunity-is-the-end-game-for-the-pandemic-but-the-astrazeneca-vaccine-wont-get-us-there-155115
Tags
- policy
- vaccination
- dose
- COVID-19
- outbreak
- high risk
- herd immunity
- efficacy
- lang:en
- government
- population
- strategy
- is:news
- pandemic
- immunity
- Australia
- vaccine
Annotators
URL
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www.pewresearch.org www.pewresearch.org
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NW, 1615 L. St, Suite 800Washington, & Inquiries, D. 20036USA202-419-4300 | M.-857-8562 | F.-419-4372 | M. (2020, December 8). The Changing Geography of COVID-19 in the U.S. Pew Research Center - U.S. Politics & Policy. https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/?p=20076611
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The COVID-19 Vaccine Communication Handbook. (n.d.). HackMD. Retrieved 23 February 2021, from https://hackmd.io/@scibehC19vax/home
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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there are two key elements to an anti-pattern that distinguish it from a bad habit, bad practice, or bad idea
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Isaac Newton Institute: COVID-19 and universities, 13 January 2021. (n.d.). GOV.UK. Retrieved 23 February 2021, from https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/isaac-newton-institute-covid-19-and-universities-13-january-2021
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TFC: Children and transmission - update paper, 10 February 2021. (n.d.). GOV.UK. Retrieved 23 February 2021, from https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/tfc-children-and-transmission-update-paper-10-february-2021
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Tim Colbourn. (2021, February 22). It’s good that opening up will be done in stages, though more could be done to ensure we don’t fail after the 1st stage and end up back in lockdown due to hospitals filling up again with unvaccinated people. I hope the government don’t end up regretting not doing the above. END [Tweet]. @timcolbourn. https://twitter.com/timcolbourn/status/1363989485516693508
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Potential Side Effects of COVID-19 Vaccines. (n.d.). HackMD. Retrieved 22 February 2021, from https://hackmd.io/@scibehC19vax/sideeffects
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Qin, A., & Wang, V. (2020, January 22). Wuhan, Center of Coronavirus Outbreak, Is Being Cut Off by Chinese Authorities. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/22/world/asia/china-coronavirus-travel.html
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bylinetimes.com bylinetimes.com
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Times info@bylinetimes.com (https://bylinetimes.com/), Byline. „Cambridge Analytica Psychologist Advising Global COVID-19 Disinformation Network Linked to Nigel Farage and Conservative Party“. Byline Times, 2. Februar 2021. https://bylinetimes.com/2021/02/02/cambridge-analytica-psychologist-advising-global-covid-19-disinformation-network-linked-to-nigel-farage-and-conservative-party/.
Tags
Annotators
URL
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Haslam, S. A., Steffens, N. K., Reicher, S., & Bentley, S. (2020). Identity leadership in a crisis: A 5R framework for learning from responses to COVID-19. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/bhj49
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Aknin, L., Neve, J.-E. D., Dunn, E., Fancourt, D., Goldberg, E., Helliwell, J., Jones, S. P., Karam, E., Layard, R., Lyubomirsky, S., Rzepa, A., Saxena, S., Thornton, E., VanderWeele, T., Whillans, A., Zaki, J., Caman, O. K., & Amour, Y. B. (2021). A Review and Response to the Early Mental Health and Neurological Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/zw93g
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www.washingtonpost.com www.washingtonpost.com
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The intellectual cesspool of the inflation truthers
Powerful Headline (words) from a Washington Post article under Economic Policy. WORDS.....! Words..... When you study Legal Theory you learn that "words" play a significant role in all aspects of social order.
Controlling the rhetoric with consistent narrative
This statement simply implies the use of consistent narrative (story) to allow control of the rhetoric. Narrative can be viewed as believable while Rhetoric is a general pejorative. When the rhetoric is mis or dis-information the narrative must be credible.
Main stream media (MSM) has held a long-term standing across the world as being credible. This standing is eroding. It has eroded considerably over the last 25 years among critical thinkers and the general population has started to take notice.
I question everything from MSM especially when narrative is duplicated with identical rhetoric across known government media assets. History is a wonderful thing when searching for Truth. Events in historical time periods can be researched, parsed and studied for patterns based on future evidence and outcomes.
Information "Spin" is real and happens for one purpose, that purpose is to benefit a position, agenda, person, plan, etc., by manipulating (advertising, PR, propaganda) information. Spin is difficult to refute without hard facts. Spin has a short-term shelf life, but that is all it needs to chart a new course, set the "ball" in motion so to say.
History allows Truth to overcome Spin.
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Vaccine experts defend UK decision to delay second Pfizer Covid jab. (2021, January 23). The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/23/vaccine-experts-defend-uk-decision-to-delay-second-pfizer-covid-jab
Tags
- UK
- vaccination
- policy
- dose
- confidence
- COVID-19
- international
- public
- protection
- lang:en
- strategy
- population
- government
- is:news
- isolated
- BMA
- vaccine
- delay
Annotators
URL
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www.imperial.ac.uk www.imperial.ac.uk
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Imperial News. “Staff ‘need Clearer Guidance’ as COVID Overwhelms ICUs | Imperial News | Imperial College London.” Accessed February 19, 2021. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/212833/staff-need-clearer-guidance-covid-overwhelms/.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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O’Dwyer, E. J., Beascoechea-Seguí, N., & Souza, L. S. (2020). Rehearsing post-Covid-19 citizenship: Social representations and social practices in UK mutual aid groups. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/v84mr
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Turk, E., Čelik, T., Smrdu, M., Šet, J., Kuder, A., Gregorič, M., & Kralj-Fišer, S. (2021). ADHERENCE TO COVID-19 MITIGATION MEASURES IN SLOVENIA: THE ROLE OF SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC AND PERSONALITY FACTORS. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/hrfyk
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jointoucan.com jointoucan.com
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ucl.zoom.us ucl.zoom.us
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Zoom Video. “Welcome! You Are Invited to Join a Webinar: CEPEO (UCL)’s Research Seminar: Dr. Claire Crawford, University of Birmingham. After Registering, You Will Receive a Confirmation Email about Joining the Webinar.” Accessed February 19, 2021. https://ucl.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_RLY7x51NTSm-QGl4a-gCKw.
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europepmc.org europepmc.org
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H, Yu, Yang J, Marziano V, Deng X, Guzzetta G, Zhang J, Trentini F, et al. “Can a COVID-19 Vaccination Program Guarantee the Return to a Pre-Pandemic Lifestyle?,” February 9, 2021. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-200069/v1.
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www.scienceintheclassroom.org www.scienceintheclassroom.org
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News and policy links
Yahoo UK reports about the functionality of the self-healing wearable electronics, inquiring that the technology could possibly replace smart watches.
Read More at:
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assets.publishing.service.gov.uk assets.publishing.service.gov.uk
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Bear, Laura., Melendez-Torres, G.J., Solanke, Iyiola. (2021). Principles for co-production of guidance relating to the control of COVID-19.
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blogs.bmj.com blogs.bmj.com
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Chris Ham: The United Kingdom’s poor record on covid-19 is a failure of policy learning. (2021, January 26). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/01/26/chris-ham-the-united-kingdoms-poor-record-on-covid-19-is-a-failure-of-policy-learning/
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Taylor, J. (2021, February 17). Treasurer says Facebook has ‘damaged its reputation’ with Australian news ban. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/feb/18/facebook-to-restrict-australian-users-sharing-news-content
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www.americanpurpose.com www.americanpurpose.com
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Fake News and Conspiracy Theories. (2021, February 16). American Purpose. https://www.americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/fake-news-and-conspiracy-theories/
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link.springer.com link.springer.com
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Levin, A. T., Hanage, W. P., Owusu-Boaitey, N., Cochran, K. B., Walsh, S. P., & Meyerowitz-Katz, G. (2020). Assessing the age specificity of infection fatality rates for COVID-19: Systematic review, meta-analysis, and public policy implications. European Journal of Epidemiology, 35(12), 1123–1138. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-020-00698-1
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www.climatechangecommunication.org www.climatechangecommunication.org
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Debunking Handbook 2020 | Center For Climate Change Communication. (n.d.). Retrieved 16 February 2021, from https://www.climatechangecommunication.org/debunking-handbook-2020/
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Schneider, I. K., Dorrough, A. R., & Frank, C. (2021). Ambivalence and Adherence to Measures to Reduce the Spread of COVID-19. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/b9hcg
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Cruwys, T., Stevens, M., Donaldson, J. L., Cardenas, D., Platow, M. J., Reynolds, K. J., & Fong, P. (2021). Perceived COVID-19 risk is attenuated by ingroup trust: Evidence from three empirical studies. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/94sd3
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Sanders, J., Tosi, A., Obradović, S., Miligi, I., & Delaney, L. (2021). Lessons from lockdown: Media discourse on the role of behavioural science in the UK COVID-19 response. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/dw85a
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Mukhlis, H., Widyastuti, T., Harlianty, R. A., Susanti, S., & Kumalasari, D. (2020). Study on Awareness of COVID-19 and Compliance with Social Distancing during COVID-19 Pandemic in Indonesia. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/c9rme
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Prosser, A. M. B. (2020, November 10). The Pandemic and my PhD: Lessons from a Policy Research Placement with the Reset Initiative. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/jg67m
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www.npr.org www.npr.org
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Early Data Shows Striking Racial Disparities In Who’s Getting The COVID-19 Vaccine. (n.d.). NPR.Org. Retrieved 11 February 2021, from https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2021/01/28/961703505/early-data-shows-striking-racial-disparities-in-whos-getting-the-covid-19-vaccin
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Urminsky, O., & Bergman, A. (2021). The Masked Majority: Underprediction Of Widespread Support For Covid-19 Safety Policies. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/fhdkv
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Stokel-Walker, C. (2021). Covid-19: Why test and trace will fail without support for self-isolation. BMJ, 372, n327. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n327
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www.dovepress.com www.dovepress.com
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Pak, A., McBryde, E., & Adegboye, O. A. (2021, January 26).
Does High Public Trust Amplify Compliance with Stringent COVID-19 Government Health Guidelines? A Multi-country Analysis Using Data from 102,627 Individuals
. Risk Management and Healthcare Policy; Dove Press. https://doi.org/10.2147/RMHP.S278774
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Arceneaux, K., Bakker, B. N., Hobolt, S. B., & De Vries, C. E. (2020, October 5). Is COVID-19 a Threat to Liberal Democracy?. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/8e4pa
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medium.com medium.com
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I have a Content Security Policy!Oh, do you now.And did somebody tell you that this would prevent malicious code from sending data off to some dastardly domain? I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but the following four lines of code will glide right through even the strictest content security policy.
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stackoverflow.com stackoverflow.com
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That won't work if the external content is on another site due to same origin policy. In some obscure cases, the remote site might support JSONP; but probably not.
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www.emailtooltester.com www.emailtooltester.com
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Similarly to a cell phone setup, you prepay your email quota. Although they famously used to offer credits that ‘never expired’, new changes mean that credits now expire after 12 months (or, if purchased before May 15th 2019, they’ll expire on May 15th 2020).
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- Jan 2021
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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Sadique, M. Z., Devlin, N., Edmunds, W. J., & Parkin, D. (2013). The Effect of Perceived Risks on the Demand for Vaccination: Results from a Discrete Choice Experiment. PLoS ONE, 8(2). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0054149
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www.frontiersin.org www.frontiersin.org
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Harvey. N.,(2020) Behavioral Fatigue: Real Phenomenon, Naïve Construct, or Policy Contrivance? Frontiers in Psychology. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2020.589892/full
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blog.linuxmint.com blog.linuxmint.com
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We can certainly explain the issues snap cause without using political or religious arguments. We did so in the documentation I linked to above.
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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Surveys in a time of Covid [u/hamilton_ian] (2020-01-28). Reddit. Retrieved from: https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/l739ru/surveys_in_a_time_of_covid/
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unix.stackexchange.com unix.stackexchange.com
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For the future, you should: Install LTS (Long-term support) versions as they have an 8-year life span (with Extended Security Maintenance) or 5 years without. The current LTS version is Ubuntu 18.04.1 LTS Bionic Beaver released on July 26, 2018 with an EOL in April 2023. OR Carefully watch the EOL of the interim / development releases and upgrade frequently.
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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(2021). How epidemiology has shaped the COVID pandemic. Nature, 589, 491-492. Doi: 10.1038/d41586-021-00183-z
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www.mbie.govt.nz www.mbie.govt.nz
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Diversity in science
Diversity in Science New Zealand
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www.euraxess.ie www.euraxess.ie
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Gender Equality in Research
Gender equality in research in Irelad
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www.arc.gov.au www.arc.gov.au
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Gender Equality in Research
Gender equility in Research in Australia
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ec.europa.eu ec.europa.eu
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Promoting Gender Equality in Research and Innovation
EU commission to promote gender equality
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genderaction.eu genderaction.eu
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The FuTure oF Gender equaliTy in european research and innovaTion
The future of gender equiality in european research
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www.genderportal.eu www.genderportal.eu
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GenPORT Policy Briefs Now Online!
Policy briefs on gender equility in Research
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Gopinath. G., (2020) IMF: New predictions suggest a deeper recession and a slower recovery. World Economic Forum. Retrieved from: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/06/imf-lockdown-recession-covid19-coronavirus-economics-recession
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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u/nick_chater (2020) Behavioural Policy challenge: when does compulsion help? Reddit. Retrieved from: https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/hzci8g/behavioural_policy_challenge_when_does_compulsion/
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Drake. T. M., Docherty. A. B., Weiser. T. G., Yule. S., Sheikh. A., Harrison. E. M., (2020). The effects of physical distancing on population mobility during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK. Retrieved from https://www.thelancet.com/journals/landig/article/PIIS2589-7500(20)30134-5/fulltext#.XvrKIDSbor0.twitter
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www.behaviourworksaustralia.org www.behaviourworksaustralia.org
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Grundy. E., (2020) SCRUB PROJECT WAVE 4: AUSTRALIANS’ VIEWS ON PRIVATE GATHERINGS, REMOTE WORKING AND GETTING TESTED. Behaviour Works Australia. Retrieved from https://www.behaviourworksaustralia.org/scrub-project-wave-4-australians-views-on-private-gatherings-remote-working-and-getting-tested/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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Bargain. O., Aminjonov. U., (2020) Trust and Compliance to Public Health Policies in Times of COVID-19. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13205/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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FitzRoy. F., Jin. J., (2020). Reforming Tax and Welfare: Social Justice and Recovery after the Pandemic. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/pp157/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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Fuchs-Schunder. N., Kuhn. M., Tertilt. M., (2020). The Short-Run Macro Implications of School and Child-Care Closures Institute of labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13353/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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Dave. D. M., Friedson. A. I., Matsuzawa. K., McNichols. D.. Sabia. J. J. (2020). .Did the Wisconsin Supreme Court Restart a COVID-19 Epidemic? Evidence from a Natural Experiment. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13314/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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FitzRoy. F., Spencer. D., (2020). Economic Policy Response to the Pandemic: From COVID-19 Emergency to Economic Democracy. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/pp160/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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Snower. D. J., (2020), The Socio-Economics of Pandemics Policy. Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/pp162/
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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u/acholcombe (2020, August 6) Trust in scientific findings and experts, but, rationally, not in what experts tell us to do. Reddit. Retrieved from: https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciMeta/comments/i4cxtz/trust_in_scientific_findings_and_experts_but/g1f5z2n/
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Stevenson Betsey {@BetseyStevenson} (2020, Aug, 13) Hmmm....these two decisions seem connected somehow. Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/BetseyStevenson/status/1293693723633647617
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dailyfreepress.com dailyfreepress.com
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Yang. A. (2020) Boston University instates policy to issue degrees to students after death, starting this Fall. The Daily Free Press. Retrieved from: https://dailyfreepress.com/2020/08/12/boston-university-to-issue-degrees-to-students-after-death-starting-this-fall/
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onlinexperiences.com onlinexperiences.com
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Bloomberg. (2020). Bloomberg Prognosis: How Covid-19 is Reshaping the Global Healthcare Ecosystem. Retrieved from: https://onlinexperiences.com/scripts/Server.nxp?LASCmd=AI:4;F:QS!10100&ShowUUID=CB925306-099F-4D23-8526-0FDD06AC15C8&LangLocaleID=1033&AffiliateDate=TW
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci (2020) but that then does not sound to me like a disease control policy- it makes no sense in that way. It would make sense, though, if your goal is to build herd immunity via the least vulnerable.. to be honest, I'm surprised it's actually legal as a policy (has it been challenged?) Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1295731502467121152
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh] (2020, August) I'm familiar with those constraints/arguments- but keeping family members of infected individuals isolated is one of the most basic public health measure - it surely would be legal to mandate, particularly given the role pre/asymptomatic spread? no? Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1295726328994566144
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh] (2020, August) can I ask, though: schooling was mandatory- were you still meant to go to school when there was an infected household member? or were you specifically barred from going to school or work if there was an infected household member? sources would be much appreciated! Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1295692557884825602
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Jo Maugham QC [@jolyonMaugham] (2020, August) Calling on retired lawyers! Law students! Bored lawyers! We at @GoodLawProject need your help with some research... we are working on what will be (well, if we win it) seminal litigation to establish the precautionary principle as a freestanding part of E&W common law! Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/1296092565075369984
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atomiks.github.io atomiks.github.ioThemes1
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The CSS automatically gets injected into <head> with the CDN (tippy-bundle). With CSP enabled, you may need to separately link dist/tippy.css and use dist/tippy.umd.min.js instead.
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Smith, R., Myrick, J. G., Lennon, R. P., Martin, M. A., Small, M. L., Scoy, L. J. V., & Group, D. R. (2020). Optimizing COVID-19 Health Campaigns: A Person-Centered Approach. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/xuefh
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stackoverflow.com stackoverflow.com
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JSONP is really a simply trick to overcome XMLHttpRequest same domain policy. (As you know one cannot send AJAX (XMLHttpRequest) request to a different domain.) So - instead of using XMLHttpRequest we have to use script HTMLl tags, the ones you usually use to load JS files, in order for JS to get data from another domain. Sounds weird?
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developer.mozilla.org developer.mozilla.org
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store.steampowered.com store.steampowered.com
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But the draconican policies surrounding custom levels absolutely kill it.Any sort of creativity and innovation is crushed instantaneously because it's "not a verified song".
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- Dec 2020
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inst-fs-iad-prod.inscloudgate.net inst-fs-iad-prod.inscloudgate.net
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Sridhar. D. (2020) The best way to keep schools open? Stop coronavirus entering them in the first place. The Guardian. Retrieved from: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/aug/24/the-best-way-to-keep-schools-open-stop-coronavirus-entering-them-in-the-first-place
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Chandrasekhar. A. G., Goldsmith-Pinkman. P., Jackson. M. O., Thau. S., (2020) Interacting Regional Policies in Containing a Disease. Retrieved from: https://arxiv.org/abs/2008.10745
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Dhami. M., Weiss-cohen. L., Ayton. P., (2020) Are people experiencing the ‘pains of imprisonment’ during the Covid-19 lockdown? PsyArXiv Preprints. Retrieved from: https://psyarxiv.com/5xwbs/
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twitter.com twitter.com
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KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation) @KFF (2020) RT @KFF @DrewAltman discusses two fundamental policy decisions made by the Trump administration that set the U.S. on the controversial an…
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci @SciBeh (2020) For those who might think this issue isn't settled yet, the piece include below has further graphs indicating just how much "protecting the economy" is associated with "keeping the virus under control" Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1306216113722871808
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covidstates.org covidstates.org
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covidstates (2020) A 50-state covid-19 survey. Retrieved from: https://covidstates.org/
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janlelis.com janlelis.com
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci [@SciBeh] (2020) SciBeh is organising a workshop on "Building an online information environment for policy relevant science" Mark the date, Nov. 9/10, 2020, join us, contact us with thoughts and suggestions, and RT!. Twitter. Retrieved from: https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1309436825753260032
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www.latimes.com www.latimes.com
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The official definition of a “close contact” — 15 minutes, within six feet — isn’t foolproof.
The takeaway: The official definition of a "close contact" for COVID-19 is not foolproof.
The claim: The official definition of a "close contact" - 15 minutes, within six feet - isn't foolproof.
The evidence: In Korea, a person sitting in a restaurant 6.5 meters (>20ft) away from the COVID index case for five minutes was infected, most likely because airflow from the air conditioner carried droplets with COVID-19 from the infected person to the person who became infected (1). How common transmission across large distances occurs is still debated (2). As several indoor outbreaks were attributed to airborne transmission, precautions to prevent airborne COVID transmission are needed (3). Examples include better air filtration/UV to kill virus in the system, increased air flow from outside, avoidance of recirculating interior air, and avoiding overcrowding in interior spaces.
Sources:
1) https://jkms.org/DOIx.php?id=10.3346/jkms.2020.35.e415
2) https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166093420302858?via%3Dihub
3) https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7454469/pdf/ciaa939.pdf
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www.scientificamerican.com www.scientificamerican.com
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Achakulwisut, P. (n.d.). The U.S. Risks Locking In a Climate Health Crisis in Response to COVID. Scientific American. Retrieved December 10, 2020, from https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-u-s-risks-locking-in-a-climate-health-crisis-in-response-to-covid/
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www.harborfreight.com www.harborfreight.com
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For safety reasons, certain pumps and sprayers cannot be returned to the store if opened.
More likely: they don't want to deal with these returns because of risk to store and because they want to keep the money they made from the sale.
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- Nov 2020
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www.acpjournals.org www.acpjournals.org
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The recommendation to wear surgical masks to supplement other public health measures did not reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection rate among wearers by more than 50% in a community with modest infection rates, some degree of social distancing, and uncommon general mask use.
The takeaway: While minimal protection occurs when a mask is worn in a place where many others are not wearing a mask, community masking is associated with a reduction in COVID cases.
The claim: In a community with modest infection rates, some social distancing, and most people not wearing masks, wearing a surgical mask did not reduce the SARS-CoV-2 infection rate by more than 50%.
The evidence: This study showed that wearing a mask in a community where most people did not wear a mask, did not reduce the risk of getting infected by 50%. Fewer COVID infections were reported in the mask group than in the unmasked group. This study agrees with a meta analysis which showed that masks resulted in a decrease in infections but did not prevent all infections (1) According to the CDC, seven studies have shown community level benefit when masking recommendations were made (2).
When most in the community are not wearing masks, social distancing, and washing hands, wearing a mask alone provides minimal protection to the mask wearer. Community wide masking is associated with a reduction in COVID cases (2).
Sources:
1) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29140516/
2) https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/more/masking-science-sars-cov2.html
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img1.wsimg.com img1.wsimg.com
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Stienwandt, S., Cameron, E. E., Soderstrom, M., Casar, M. J., Le, C., & Roos, L. E. (2020). Keeping Kids Busy: Family Factors Associated with Hands-on Play and Screen Time During the COVID-19 Pandemic. PsyArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/prtyf
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www.justfacts.com www.justfacts.com
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Anxiety From Reactions to Covid-19 Will Destroy At Least Seven Times More Years of Life Than Can Be Saved by Lockdowns
Take away: Though the number of COVID deaths prevented and the exact number of years lost due directly to decreases in mental health from lockdowns is at best a rough estimate, several facts are known. Lockdowns decrease mental health, and a decrease in mental health shortens lives too.
The claim: Anxiety from reactions to COVID-19 will destroy at least seven times more years of life than can be saved by lockdowns.
The evidence: This article references many studies detailing the anxiety surrounding COVID-19 (1-4). These studies indicate that many people have increased stress due to COVID. Nature Public Health Emergency Collection reports that the mental health cost of widespread lockdowns may negate the lives saved by this policy (5). This article lists many articles which describe the effect of stay-at-home orders on mental health. Additionally, the effect of poor mental health on physical outcomes is well-defined. Poor mental health shortens lives. Other factors with COVID such as negative media coverage and dealing with job loss and death are also described as negatively affecting mental health. It is unclear how much of the negative mental health outcomes is directly related to lockdowns and what is contributed to the disease, job loss, future uncertainty, and continuous media coverage.
Several supporting facts used in this article are now outdated or could use clarification. Many assumptions are detailed in this article to estimate the number of years lost due to mental harm caused by lockdowns. One example is the authors used a survey of 1,266 patients to estimate the number of people in the United States who have suffered mental harm from lockdowns. These estimates are challenging to conclusively verify. The authors did choose the conservative estimate for each of their numbers. One example of an outdated number is the predicted number of deaths was 114,228 by August 4th. The actual number of deaths per Johns Hopkins was 157,500 (6).
Based on the facts, anxiety and mental disorders can be deadly. Lockdowns result in an increase in poor mental health. The exact number of years lost due to poor mental health directly resulting from lockdowns is less clear. Poor mental health may also result from constant media coverage, loss of loved ones and fear of the future.
The sources:
2) https://www.kff.org/health-reform/report/kff-health-tracking-poll-early-april-2020/
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github.com github.com
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If your Svelte components contain <style> tags, by default the compiler will add JavaScript that injects those styles into the page when the component is rendered. That's not ideal, because it adds weight to your JavaScript, prevents styles from being fetched in parallel with your code, and can even cause CSP violations. A better option is to extract the CSS into a separate file. Using the emitCss option as shown below would cause a virtual CSS file to be emitted for each Svelte component. The resulting file is then imported by the component, thus following the standard Webpack compilation flow.
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diff.substack.com diff.substack.comThe Diff1
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the lifecycle of most companies is that they grow by delivering much more value than they charge for, they raise funds based on their growth, and then they make those investments pay off by capturing more value. In its maturity, a company will capture a greater share of the value it creates.
The deal with pharma, in theory, is that they're given market exclusivity for a limited time to recoup their investment in R&D. With startups, they give us free or subsidized service for a limited time and recoup by exploiting their scale afterwards. Whereas with pharma, their upside is capped, with startups, society's upside is capped.
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codesandbox.io codesandbox.io
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- Oct 2020
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Experts say closing borders early and tightly regulating travel have gone a long way toward fighting the virus. Other factors include rigorous contact tracing, technology-enforced quarantine and universal mask wearing. Further, Taiwan’s deadly experience with SARS has scared people into compliance.
The Takeaway: The combination of closing borders, tightly regulating travel, effective quarantine of all exposed people using cell phone data for enforcement, and universal mask wearing contributed to effectively keeping COVID-19 from infecting most of Taiwan's population.
The claim: Closing borders early, tightly regulating travel, contact tracing, technology-enforced quarantine, universal mask wearing, and Taiwan's previous deadly experience with SARS resulted in control of SARS-CoV-2 in Taiwan.
The evidence: The earlier COVID-19 cases are stopped from entering a country, the fewer cases will be present to spread the disease to others. To illustrate, it is easier to stop a trickle of water than to try to dam up a flood and easier to extinguish a candle than a forest fire. Taiwan closed its borders on January 23rd, 2020 (1). The Philippines closed their borders on February 2nd, 2020 (2). Tightly regulating travel will help to stop cases before they enter the country. Effective quarantining the few cases and contacts of the cases which do enter a country is critical to preventing the spread of the disease within the country. Taiwan used mobile telephone data to enforce quarantine (1). Without quarantine, each infected person will spread COVID-19 to 2-6 additional people based on the R0 (3, 4). Universal masking will help slow the spread of disease (5). Previous experience with controlling a deadly disease will most likely increase compliance to methods to control the disease.
Per Our World in Data website, Taiwan had one of the least stringent government responses to COVID-19 (6). The biweekly number of COVID-19 cases in Taiwan was 23 on October 29, 2020 (7). Neighboring countries had biweekly COVID-19 cases of 372 (China), 28,644 (Philippines), 11,871 (Malaysia), 51 (Vietnam), and 8,142 (Japan). These neighboring countries had more stringent government responses to COVID-19 (6).
Sources:
1) https://focustaiwan.tw/society/202001230011
3) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32234343/
4) https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32097725/
5) https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-020-1132-9#annotations:7jRWRheWEeuY8x_rXDuRjg
6) https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covid-stringency-index
7) https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/biweekly-confirmed-covid-19-cases
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www.mdpi.com www.mdpi.com
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Brous, P., & Janssen, M. (2020). Trusted Decision-Making: Data Governance for Creating Trust in Data Science Decision Outcomes. Administrative Sciences, 10(4), 81. https://doi.org/10.3390/admsci10040081
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stackoverflow.com stackoverflow.com
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just don't work for a company that forces you to support IE6. this can't be a good company anyways.
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www.aeaweb.org www.aeaweb.org
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Ferraro, P. J., Miranda, J. J., & Price, M. K. (2011). The Persistence of Treatment Effects with Norm-Based Policy Instruments: Evidence from a Randomized Environmental Policy Experiment. American Economic Review, 101(3), 318–322. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.101.3.318
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www.thelocal.se www.thelocal.se
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What you need to know about Sweden’s new local coronavirus recommendations. (2020, October 19). https://www.thelocal.se/20201019/what-you-need-to-know-about-swedens-new-local-coronavirus-recommendations
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www.bristolpost.co.uk www.bristolpost.co.uk
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Shepherd, D. (2020, October 18). People will be “afraid” to report symptoms due to huge fines. BristolLive. https://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/bristol-university-professor-fears-people-4617695
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Brown, R. C. H., Kelly, D., Wilkinson, D., & Savulescu, J. (2020). The scientific and ethical feasibility of immunity passports. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30766-0
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Royal Statistical Society on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved October 25, 2020, from https://twitter.com/RoyalStatSoc/status/1317133702183456769
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en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org
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Intercepting proxies are commonly used in businesses to enforce acceptable use policy, and to ease administrative overheads since no client browser configuration is required.
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arxiv.org arxiv.org
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Raimondo, S., Benigni, B., & De Domenico, M. (2020). Environmental conditions and human activity nexus. The case of Northern Italy during COVID-19 lockdown. ArXiv:2010.07721 [Physics]. http://arxiv.org/abs/2010.07721
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50 percent effective
Take away: Cloth face masks filter approximately 50% of bacteriophage five times smaller than one SARS-CoV-2 virus. Therefore it is reasonable to assume that masks, including cloth masks, are 50% effective.
The claim: Masks are assumed to be 50% effective.
The evidence: Face masks, including home made face masks, were shown to reduce aerosol exposure (1). Masks made from various materials were shown to filter 50-68% of Bacteriophage CS2 which is 20 nm (2). When NaCl aerosols were used instead of a bacteriophage, penetration by NaCl occurred 9-98% of the time depending on the size of the particles (3). Two well written reviews detail the efficacy of facemasks (4, 5). SARS-CoV-2 virus is ~100 nm in size (6).
Sources: 1 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2440799/
2 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7108646/
3 https://academic.oup.com/annweh/article/54/7/789/202744
4 https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202004.0203/v1
5 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7497125/#ref23
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www.nature.com www.nature.com
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IJzerman, H., Lewis, N. A., Przybylski, A. K., Weinstein, N., DeBruine, L., Ritchie, S. J., Vazire, S., Forscher, P. S., Morey, R. D., Ivory, J. D., & Anvari, F. (2020). Use caution when applying behavioural science to policy. Nature Human Behaviour, 1–3. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-00990-w
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved October 15, 2020, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1316293486224838661
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www.sciencedirect.com www.sciencedirect.com
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Howard, M. C. (2021). Gender, face mask perceptions, and face mask wearing: Are men being dangerous during the COVID-19 pandemic? Personality and Individual Differences, 170, 110417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paid.2020.110417
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Letters. (2020, October 11). Resistance to lockdown rules is not just ‘fatigue’ | Letters. The Guardian. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/11/resistance-to-lockdown-rules-is-not-just-fatigue
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www.hope-project.dk www.hope-project.dkApp1
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The HOPE-project (http://hope-project.dk ) tracks public opinion during #covid19, sharing findings with the public & authorities. This graph is the most concerning yet: The # willing to use an approved COVID-vaccine recommended for them
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medium.com medium.com
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Feldman, J. (2020, October 11). The “herd immunity strategy” isn’t part of a scientific debate about COVID-19. Medium. https://medium.com/@jmfeldman/the-herd-immunity-strategy-isnt-part-of-a-scientific-debate-about-covid-19-abddf6bc7c13
Tags
- politics
- agenda
- policy
- epidemiology
- campaign
- is:blog
- debate
- discussion
- COVID-19
- opinion
- accountability
- herd immunity
- lang:en
- strategy
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blogs.bmj.com blogs.bmj.com
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Abraar Karan: Politics and public health in America—taking a stand for what is right. (2020, October 9). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2020/10/09/abraar-karan-politics-and-public-health-in-america-taking-a-stand-for-what-is-right/
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www.acpjournals.org www.acpjournals.org
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In comparison, the ratio is approximately 2.5 times greater than the estimated IFR for seasonal influenza
Take away:
If correct numerators and denominators are used, COVID-19 is at least 10 times as deadly as seasonal influenza.
The claim:
The Infection Fatality Ratio for COVID-19 is “approximately 2.5 times higher than the estimated IFR for seasonal influenza.”
The evidence:
Blackburn et al. report an infection fatality ratio among community-living adults of 0.26% (1). If institutionalized adults had been included the ratio would be higher, likely approximating the 0.6% mortality rate among exposed individuals readily calculated by combining official death tolls, the known 30% undercount (2), and a definitive CDC study that found 10 times as many people have been exposed to the novel coronavirus than are reported as cases (3). Among the elderly, Blackburn et al. calculate COVID-19 is 2.5 times deadlier than seasonal flu. This is clearly an underestimate:
1) Blackburn et al. use CDC estimates of case-fatality rates calculated on the basis of all Americans, including the institutionalized, not limited to much healthier community-dwellers.
2) The seasonal influenza case fatality rates reported by the CDC, including the often cited 0.1% overall, are for symptomatic cases. Their denominators are estimated by using the reported number of influenza hospitalizations to guess the burden of clinical illness (4). But antibody studies show that 65%-85% of people infected with influenza never develop symptoms (5). The 0.6% mortality rate calculated here for SARS-CoV-2-exposed individuals is 6 times higher than the 0.1% usually cited for seasonal influenza. Given the overestimation of commonly accepted influenza mortality rates due to failure to take asymptomatic infections into account, SARS-CoV-2 can be seen to be not 2.5 times, or even 6 times, but at least 10 times as lethal as seasonal flu.
Sources:
1 http://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-5352
2 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2767980
3 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2768834
4 https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/how-cdc-estimates.htm
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Kavanagh, M. M. (2020). US elections and a foreign policy for pandemics. The Lancet Public Health, 5(10), e517–e518. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30211-5
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved October 11, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13622/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved October 11, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13640/
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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COVID-19 and the Labor Market. (n.d.). IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved October 11, 2020, from https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13757/
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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COVID-19 and the Law Colloquium Series | Elections. (2020, September 30). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uKInisfa60o
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www.psychologs.com www.psychologs.com
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Covid-19: Is Behavioural Science The Key To Handle The Pandemic? (n.d.). Retrieved October 10, 2020, from https://www.psychologs.com/article/covid-19-is-behavioral-science-the-key-to-handle-the-pandemic
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danallosso.substack.com danallosso.substack.com
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Horwitz argued a fairly radical point, which I think never received wide enough recognition due to the subject matter and his extremely difficult (dense and dry) style. He said, “I seek to show that one of the crucial choices made during the antebellum period was to promote economic growth primarily through the legal, not the tax, system, a choice which had major consequences for the distribution of wealth and power in American society”
I'll have to add this book to my to read stack.
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www.theatlantic.com www.theatlantic.com
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“Let’s really leverage housing policy as part of a larger economic-mobility agenda for the community.”
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Opportunity bargains, however, are not an inexhaustible resource. The crucial question, says the Berkeley economist Enrico Moretti, is whether the opportunity in these places derives from “rival goods”—institutions, such as schools, with limited capacity—or “non-rival goods,” such as local culture, which are harder to deplete. When new people move in, what happens to opportunity? And even if an influx of families doesn’t disrupt the opportunity magic, people aren’t always eager to pick up and leave their homes. Moving breaks ties with family, friends, schools, churches, and other organizations. “The real conundrum is how to address the larger structural realities of inequality,” says the Harvard sociologist Robert Sampson, “and not just try to move people around
It's all about the value of links!
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www.rt.com www.rt.com
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A scientific review of the science behind lockdown concludes the policy was a MISTAKE & will have caused MORE deaths from Covid-19
Take Away: The new scientific paper confirms earlier modeling work and should not be interpreted as a detailed prediction for future deaths due to the ongoing pandemic.
The Claim: "A scientific review of the science behind lockdown concludes the policy was a MISTAKE & will have caused MORE deaths from Covid-19"
The Evidence: The scientific process involves replication and confirmation of experiments and studies. A new paper replicates and expands on an early modeling study of the COVID-19 pandemic in England (1). Their findings support the earlier results. However, there are limitations to the replication paper, which does not accurately reflect the current state of the pandemic response and does not make detailed predictions for a second wave of infections and deaths.
A recent expert response to the paper further explains (2):
"It needs to be stressed that all the simulations assume that interventions are only in place for 3 months (18th April – 18th July) and then completely relaxed. This gives rise to a strange set of scenarios where a second wave is allowed to progress in an uncontrolled manner."
“It is this that leads to the counter-intuitive headline finding “that school closures would result in more overall covid-19 deaths than no school closures” – actually what the authors find is that a short period of intense lock-down (including the closure of schools) leads to a large second wave if it is allowed to run with no controls. To be fair the authors do highlight this in the paper, but it is not in the reported press release." -Prof Matt Keeling, Professor of Populations and Disease, University of Warwick
Sources:
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Building an Online Community for Behavioural Science COVID-19 Response – Prof. Ulrike Hahn. (2020, August 8). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=noWjiDQSD14
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www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
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The model predicted that school closures and isolation of younger people would increase the total number of deaths, albeit postponed to a second and subsequent waves. The findings of this study suggest that prompt interventions were shown to be highly effective at reducing peak demand for intensive care unit (ICU) beds but also prolong the epidemic, in some cases resulting in more deaths long term. This happens because covid-19 related mortality is highly skewed towards older age groups. In the absence of an effective vaccination programme, none of the proposed mitigation strategies in the UK would reduce the predicted total number of deaths below 200 000.
Take away: This model excludes the possibility of vaccination. As many vaccines are in stage three clinical trials, the conclusion that more people will die from closing schools, etc. will most likely not be realized.
The claim: School closures and isolation of younger people will increase total number of deaths from second and subsequent waves of COVID-19 when restrictions are lifted.
The evidence: This model predicts more deaths from the combination of place closures such as schools, case isolations, household quarantine, and social distancing of over 70s than for the combination of case isolation, household quarantine, and social distancing for over 70s. The majority of the deaths for the combination of place closures, case isolations, household quarantine, and social distancing of over 70s occur once the restrictions are lifted. This model excludes the possibility of a vaccine reducing the size of the second wave.
At least ten companies have a COVID-19 vaccine in the final stage (Phase III) of clinical trials (1). Therefore a model which excludes vaccination will most likely not be accurate to reality once a vaccine is widely administered.
Source:
1 https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/draft-landscape-of-covid-19-candidate-vaccines
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www.thelancet.com www.thelancet.com
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Bozorgmehr, K. (2020). Power of and power over COVID-19 response guidelines. The Lancet, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32081-X
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. ‘COVID-19 and the Labor Market’. Accessed 6 October 2020. https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13707/.
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. ‘COVID-19 and the Labor Market’. Accessed 6 October 2020. https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13690/.
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. ‘COVID-19 and the Labor Market’. Accessed 6 October 2020. https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13683/.
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covid-19.iza.org covid-19.iza.org
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IZA – Institute of Labor Economics. ‘COVID-19 and the Labor Market’. Accessed 6 October 2020. https://covid-19.iza.org/publications/dp13650/.
Tags
- lockdown
- less educated
- American Community Survey
- lower wages
- essential workers
- Department of Homeland Security (DHS)
- microdata
- COVID-19
- frontline workers
- policy makers
- researchers
- lang:en
- labour market
- Hispanics
- disadvantaged minorities
- is:report
- safety net policy
- men
- immigrants
- demographic market
- social insurance
Annotators
URL
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Adam Kucharski on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved October 5, 2020, from https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1312749950028189697
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www.propublica.org www.propublica.org
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Part of the problem is that most policies look only 12 months into the future, ignoring long-term trends even as insurance availability influences development and drives people’s long-term decision-making.
Another place where markets are failing us. We need better regulation for this sort of behavior.
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Pfattheicher, Stefan, Michael Bang Petersen, and Robert Böhm. ‘Information about Herd Immunity and Empathy Promote COVID-19 Vaccination Intentions’, 30 September 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/wzu6k.
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www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
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Kaplan, Edward H, Dennis Wang, Mike Wang, Amyn A Malik, Alessandro Zulli, and Jordan H Peccia. ‘Aligning SARS-CoV-2 Indicators via an Epidemic Model: Application to Hospital Admissions and RNA Detection in Sewage Sludge’. Preprint. Infectious Diseases (except HIV/AIDS), 29 June 2020. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.27.20141739.
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- Sep 2020
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Petrie-Flom Center
COVID-19 and the Politics of Reproductive Health: Global Perspectives. (2020, August 18). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kex9O_cwMwo
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behavioralscientist.org behavioralscientist.org
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Behavioral Scientist. ‘Creating Citizen Choice Architects - By Ralph Hertwig & Samuli Reijula’, 28 September 2020. https://behavioralscientist.org/creating-citizen-choice-architects/.
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www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
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Covid: Cardiff and Swansea go into local lockdown—BBC News. (n.d.). Retrieved September 29, 2020, from https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-54310400
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Learning lessons before launching an inquiry—IfG LIVE 2020 Labour Fringe Programme—YouTube. (n.d.). Retrieved September 29, 2020, from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cCZl-naQ6UM
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Haas, I. J., Baker, M., & Gonzalez, F. (2020). Political Uncertainty Moderates Neural Evaluation of Incongruent Policy Positions. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/bmr59
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Computational Social Science to Address the (Post) COVID-19 Reality. (2020, June 27). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7d-Dq0e1JJ0&list=PL9UNgBC7ODr6eZkwB6W0QSzpDs46E8WPN&index=4
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www.scibeh.org www.scibeh.org
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SciBeh 2020 Workshop on “Building an online information environment for policy relevant science.” (2020, September 23). SciBeh. https://scibeh.org/events/workshop2020/
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www.bmj.com www.bmj.com
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COVID-19: Open, reasoned, detailed, discussion of the options is overdue and welcome. (2020). https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3702/rr-2
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osf.io osf.io
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Hennessy, E. A., Acabchuk, R., Arnold, P. A., Dunn, A. G., Foo, Y. Z., Johnson, B. T., Geange, S. R., Haddaway, N. R., Nakagawa, S., Mapanga, W., Mengersen, K., Page, M. J., Sánchez-Tójar, A., Welch, V., & McGuinness, L. A. (2020). Ensuring Prevention Science Research is Synthesis-Ready for Immediate and Lasting Scientific Impact [Preprint]. MetaArXiv. https://doi.org/10.31222/osf.io/ptg9j
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twitter.com twitter.com
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ReconfigBehSci on Twitter: “having spent a few days looking at ‘debate’ about COVID policy on lay twitter (not the conspiracy stuff, just the ‘we should all be Sweden’ discussions), the single most jarring (and worrying) thing I noticed is that posters seem completely undeterred by self contradiction 1/3” / Twitter. (n.d.). Retrieved September 23, 2020, from https://twitter.com/SciBeh/status/1308340430170456064
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Webinar series DAY 1 - Insights into COVID-19 modelling & evidence-based policy making. Retrieved from on 21/09/2020 from https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLNzrUckV9eSJAybOPMPxPulI0bciy8HXf
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Webinar series DAY 2 - Insights into COVID-19 modelling & evidence-based policy making. Retrieved on 21/09/2020 from https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLNzrUckV9eSJIF41YCUaUWHOg_CTxmc99
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www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
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There are two possible approaches to build widespread SARS-CoV-2 immunity: (1) a mass vaccination campaign, which requires the development of an effective and safe vaccine, or (2) natural immunization of global populations with the virus over time. However, the consequences of the latter are serious and far-reaching—a large fraction of the human population would need to become infected with the virus, and millions would succumb to it.
Take away: Mass infection without vaccination to achieve herd immunity will result in millions of deaths based on the observed death rate and may not result in herd immunity due to virus mutation. Historically, vaccination results in less deaths than the disease.
The claim: Herd immunity from widespread disease instead of vaccination will lead to many people dying.
The evidence: Approximately 50-67% of a given population is estimated to need to be infected for herd immunity to COVID-19 to exist which will result in millions of deaths. This is supported by additional publications (1, 2). This number assumes that the virus will not mutate to the point where re-infection is possible. If mutation occurs, COVID could become established in the general population similar to influenza or the common cold (3). A third publication estimates a needed infected percentage of 29-74% (4). These publications support the statement that millions will die if herd immunity is achieved via infection without vaccination. Historically, vaccination results in fewer deaths/disease on a population level than the disease for which the vaccine is designed to prevent (5-7).
Sources:
1 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7314002/
2 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7262166/pdf/JMV-9999-na.pdf
3 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7164482/
5 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28708957/
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www.w3.org www.w3.org
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GitHub Issues are preferred for discussion of this specification.
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www.behaviourchangewheel.com www.behaviourchangewheel.com
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The Behaviour Change Wheel Book—A Guide To Designing Interventions. (n.d.). Retrieved September 17, 2020, from http://www.behaviourchangewheel.com/
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stackoverflow.com stackoverflow.com
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I edited the post twice to remove the broken link /react-js-the-king-of-universal-apps/ (with the edit-comments clearly mentioning that it is a broken link), but the peers have rejected the edit both the times. Can someone guide me what's wrong in editing an answer and removing a broken link?
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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SAYAS Webinar 2: What Science will look like after COVID-19? (2020, July 23). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LA8zwwVpKJ8&feature=emb_logo
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fivethirtyeight.com fivethirtyeight.com
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Jr, N. L. (2020, September 14). Why Coming Up With Effective Interventions To Address COVID-19 Is So Hard. FiveThirtyEight. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-coming-up-with-effective-interventions-to-address-covid-19-is-so-hard/
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www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
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Prescott, K. (2020, September 11). Lockdown again: “It can’t get any worse.” BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/business-54117668
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www.propublica.org www.propublica.org
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Jesse Keenan, an urban-planning and climate-change specialist then at Harvard’s Graduate School of Design, who advises the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission on market hazards from climate change. Keenan, who is now an associate professor of real estate at Tulane University’s School of Architecture, had been in the news last year for projecting where people might move to — suggesting that Duluth, Minnesota, for instance, should brace for a coming real estate boom as climate migrants move north.
Why can't we project additional places like this and begin investing in infrastructure and growth in those places?
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That’s what happened in Florida. Hurricane Andrew reduced parts of cities to landfill and cost insurers nearly $16 billion in payouts. Many insurance companies, recognizing the likelihood that it would happen again, declined to renew policies and left the state. So the Florida Legislature created a state-run company to insure properties itself, preventing both an exodus and an economic collapse by essentially pretending that the climate vulnerabilities didn’t exist.
This is an interesting and telling example.
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And federal agriculture aid withholds subsidies from farmers who switch to drought-resistant crops, while paying growers to replant the same ones that failed.
Here's a place were those who cry capitalism will save us should be shouting the loudest!
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The federal National Flood Insurance Program has paid to rebuild houses that have flooded six times over in the same spot.
We definitely need to quit putting good money after bad.
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Natalie Savona: Who is responsible for health behaviour? (2020, September 11). The BMJ. https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2020/09/11/natalie-savona-who-is-responsible-for-health-behaviour/
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www.dailymail.co.uk www.dailymail.co.uk
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Take away: People are infectious for only part of the time they test positive. The tests for COVID-19 were granted emergency status by the FDA so some debate concerning the most ideal number of cycles is to be expected. It is worth noting that the FDA has the disclaimer "Negative results do not preclude 2019-nCoV infection and should not be used as the sole basis for treatment or other patient management decisions. Negative results must be combined with clinical observations, patient history, and epidemiological information (2)."
The claim: Up to 90 percent of people diagnosed with coronavirus may not be carrying enough of it to infect anyone else
The evidence: Per Walsh et al. (1), SARS-CoV-2 virus (COVID-19) is most likely infectious if the number of PCR cycles is <24 and the symptom onset to test is <8 days. RT-PCR detects the RNA, not the infectious virus. Therefore, setting the cycle threshold at 37-40 cycles will most likely result in detecting some samples with virus which is not infectious. As the PCR tests were granted emergency use by the FDA (samples include 2-9), it is not surprising that some debate exists currently about where the cycle threshold should be. Thresholds need to be set and validated for dozens of PCR tests currently in use. If identifying only infectious individuals is the goal, a lower cycle number may be justified. If detection of as many cases as possible to get closer to the most accurate death rate is the goal, setting the cycle threshold at 37-40 makes sense. A lower threshold will result in fewer COVID-19 positive samples being identified. It is worth noting that the emergency use approval granted by the FDA includes the disclaimer that a negative test does not guarantee that a person is not infected with COVID-19. RNA degrades easily. If samples are not kept cold or properly processed, the virus can degrade and result in a false negative result.
Source: 1 https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa638/5842165
2 https://www.fda.gov/media/134922/download
3 https://www.fda.gov/media/138150/download
4 https://www.fda.gov/media/137120/download
5 https://www.fda.gov/media/136231/download
6 https://www.fda.gov/media/136472/download
7 https://www.fda.gov/media/139279/download
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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r/BehSciAsk - Behavioural Policy challenge: How well do people understand trade-offs and accept them? (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved 9 September 2020, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/ii3n2x/behavioural_policy_challenge_how_well_do_people/
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www.youtube.com www.youtube.com
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Susan Athey, July 22, 2020. (2020, August 2). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hqTOPrUxDzM
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papers.ssrn.com papers.ssrn.com
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Casoria, F., Galeotti, F., & Villeval, M. C. (2020). Perceived Social Norm and Behavior Quickly Adjusted to Legal Changes During the COVID-19 Pandemic (SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 3681204). Social Science Research Network. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3681204
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www.medrxiv.org www.medrxiv.org
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Clifford, S., Quilty, B. J., Russell, T. W., Liu, Y., Chan, Y.-W. D., Pearson, C. A. B., Eggo, R. M., Endo, A., Group, C. C.-19 W., Flasche, S., & Edmunds, W. J. (2020). Strategies to reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 re-introduction from international travellers. MedRxiv, 2020.07.24.20161281. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.24.20161281
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Jason Furman on Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved September 7, 2020, from https://twitter.com/jasonfurman/status/1301871401226338305
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psyarxiv.com psyarxiv.com
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Lewandowsky, Stephan, Simon Dennis, Amy Perfors, Yoshihisa Kashima, Joshua White, Paul Michael Garrett, Daniel R. Little, and Muhsin Yesilada. ‘Public Acceptance of Privacy-Encroaching Policies to Address the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United Kingdom’. Preprint. PsyArXiv, 4 September 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/njwmp.
Tags
- UK
- antibodies
- willingness
- privacy-encroaching policy
- opt-out clause
- COVID-19
- time limited
- public
- lang:en
- immunity passport
- public acceptance
- social distancing
- infected
- contact
- co-location tracking
- is:preprint
- health agencies
- tracking technology
- United Kingdom
- widespread acceptance
Annotators
URL
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twitter.com twitter.com
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Peter Slattery on Twitter: “Are you, or is anyone you know, researching how COVID-19 has affected behaviour and behavioural drivers in Victoria and Australia, in particular behaviours that related to topics such as ‘active transport’, ‘service provision’, ‘working from home’ and ‘car usage’?” / Twitter. (n.d.). Twitter. Retrieved June 23, 2020, from https://twitter.com/peterslattery1/status/1274874801174179840
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www.rse.org.uk www.rse.org.uk
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Tea & Talk Podcast. (2020, June 5). The Royal Society of Edinburgh. https://www.rse.org.uk/publication/tea-talk-podcast/
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www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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Nuzzo, J. B., & Sharfstein, J. M. (2020, July 1). Opinion | We Have to Focus on Opening Schools, Not Bars. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/01/opinion/coronavirus-schools.html
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www.fastcompany.com www.fastcompany.com
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Sorokanich, L., Sorokanich, L., & Sorokanich, L. (2020, June 16). Six experts on how we’ll live, work, and play in cities after COVID-19. Fast Company. https://www.fastcompany.com/90506247/six-experts-on-how-well-live-work-and-play-in-cities-after-covid
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criticallegalthinking.com criticallegalthinking.com
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Admin. (2020, June 8). Institutional Vandalism: The University & Covid-19. Critical Legal Thinking. https://criticallegalthinking.com/2020/06/08/institutional-vandalism-the-university-covid-19/
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www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
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Spinney, L. (2020, May 31). Covid-19 expert Karl Friston: “Germany may have more immunological ‘dark matter.’” The Observer. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/31/covid-19-expert-karl-friston-germany-may-have-more-immunological-dark-matter
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www.spiked-online.com www.spiked-online.com
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Covid-19 is far more widespread than we think. (n.d.). Retrieved June 22, 2020, from https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/06/19/covid-19-is-far-more-widespread-than-we-think/
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www.scielosp.org www.scielosp.org
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Jr, C., & De, K. R. (2020). Trying to make sense out of chaos: Science, politics and the COVID-19 pandemic. Cadernos de Saúde Pública, 36, e00088120. https://doi.org/10.1590/0102-311x00088120
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papers.ssrn.com papers.ssrn.com
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Benvenisti, E. (2020). The WHO – Destined to Fail?: Political Cooperation and the COVID-19 Pandemic (SSRN Scholarly Paper ID 3638948). Social Science Research Network. https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=3638948
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iowacapitaldispatch.com iowacapitaldispatch.com
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Obradovich, K. (n.d.). Reynolds says COVID-19 immunity strikes a “balance.” It’s not even close. - Iowa Capital Dispatch. Retrieved July 1, 2020, from https://iowacapitaldispatch.com/2020/06/29/reynolds-says-covid-19-immunity-strikes-a-balance-its-not-even-close/
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wip.mitpress.mit.edu wip.mitpress.mit.edu
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Building the New Economy · Works in Progress. (n.d.). Works in Progress. Retrieved June 16, 2020, from https://wip.mitpress.mit.edu/new-economy
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www.bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com
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What Happens to Public Space When Everything Moves Outside. (2020, June 29). Bloomberg.Com. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-06-29/what-happens-to-public-space-when-everything-moves-outside
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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u/nick_chater (2020) Behavioural Policy Challenge: when does compulsion help? reddit. Retrieved from: https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/hzci8g/behavioural_policy_challenge_when_does_compulsion/
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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r/BehSciResearch—Looking for partnersfor project on pandemic and adolescents’ wellbeing. (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved July 18, 2020, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciResearch/comments/hrkixd/looking_for_partnersfor_project_on_pandemic_and/
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www.reddit.com www.reddit.com
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R/BehSciMeta—Introducing “Horizon Scanning”—A new scibeh.org activity. (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved June 11, 2020, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciMeta/comments/h0xhv8/introducing_horizon_scanning_a_new_scibehorg/
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r/BehSciAsk - Issue Radar: Covid-19 and threats to democracy. (n.d.). Reddit. Retrieved June 18, 2020, from https://www.reddit.com/r/BehSciAsk/comments/hbf4g9/issue_radar_covid19_and_threats_to_democracy/
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